The number of children to 100 marriages is--

In the seventeen counties of England in which there

are from 100 to 177 people on the square mile..........387

In the seventeen counties in which there

are from 177 to 282 people on the square mile..........389

The difference is small, but not smaller than differences which Mr

Sadler has brought forward as proofs of his theory. We say that

these English tables no more prove that fecundity increases with the

population than that it diminishes with the population. The thirty-four

counties which we have taken make up, at least four-fifths of the

kingdom: and we see that, through those thirty-four counties, the

phenomena are directly opposed to Mr Sadler's principle. That in the

capital, and in great manufacturing towns, marriages are less prolific

than in the open country, we admit, and Mr Malthus admits. But that any

condensation of the population, short of that which injures all physical

energies, will diminish the prolific powers of man, is, from these very

tables of Mr Sadler, completely disproved.

It is scarcely worth while to proceed with instances, after proofs so

overwhelming as those which we have given. Yet we will show that Mr

Sadler has formed his averages on the census of Prussia by an artifice

exactly similar to that which we have already exposed.

Demonstrating the Law of Population from the Censuses of Prussia at two

several Periods.

(Here follows a table showing for inhabitants on a square league the

average number of births to each marriage from two different censuses.)

1756 1784

832 to 928...4.34 and 4.72

1175 to 1909...4.14 and 4.45 (including East Prussia at 1175)

2083 to 2700...3.84 and 4.24

3142 to 3461...3.65 and 4.08

Of the census of 1756 we will say nothing, as Mr Sadler, finding himself

hard pressed by the argument which we drew from it, now declares it to

be grossly defective. We confine ourselves to the census of 1784: and we

will draw our lines at points somewhat different from those at which Mr

Sadler has drawn his. Let the first compartment remain as it stands.

Let East Prussia, which contains a much larger population than his last

compartment, stand alone in the second division. Let the third

consist of the New Mark, the Mark of Brandenburg, East Friesland and

Guelderland, and the fourth of the remaining provinces. Our readers

will find that, on this arrangement, the division which, on Mr Sadler's

principle, ought to be second in fecundity stands higher than that which

ought to be first; and that the division which ought to be fourth stands

higher than that which ought to be third. We will give the result in one

view.

Miscellaneous Writings and Speeches — Volume 2 · 第 49 / 53 题