To inculcate the Rumanians with the spirit of discipline the prince

took in hand with energy and pursued untiringly, in spite of all

obstacles, the organization of the army. A reliable and well-organized

armed force was the best security against internal trouble-mongers, and

the best argument in international relations, as subsequent events

amply proved.

The Rumanian political parties were at the outset personal parties,

supporting one or other of the candidates to the throne. When Greek

influence, emanating from Constantinople, began to make itself felt, in

the seventeenth century, a national party arose for the purpose of

opposing it. This party counted upon the support of one of the

neighbouring powers, and its various groups were known accordingly as

the Austrian, the Russian, &c., parties. With the election of Cuza the

external danger diminished, and the politicians divided upon principles

of internal reform. Cuza not being in agreement with either party, they

united to depose him, keeping truce during the period preceding the

accession of Prince Carol, when grave external dangers wore

threatening, and presiding in a coalition ministry at the introduction

of the new constitution of 1866. But this done, the truce was broken.

Political strife again awoke with all the more vigour for having been

temporarily suppressed.

The reforms which it became needful to introduce gave opportunity for

the development of strong divergence of views between the political

parties. The Liberals—the Red Party, as they were called at the

time—(led by C.A. Rosetti and Ioan Bratianu, both strong Mazzinists,

both having taken an important part in the revolutionary movements of

1848 and in that which led to the deposition of Cuza) were advocating

reforms hardly practicable even in an established democracy; the

Conservatives (led by Lascar Catargiu) were striving to stem the flood

of ideal liberal measures on which all sense of reality was being

carried away.[1] In little more than a year there were four different

Cabinets, not to mention numerous changes in individual ministers.

‘Between the two extreme tendencies Prince Carol had to strive

constantly to preserve unity of direction, he himself being the only

stable element in that ever unstable country.’ It was not without many

untoward incidents that he succeeded. His person was the subject of

more than one unscrupulous attack by politicians in opposition, who did

not hesitate to exploit the German origin and the German sympathies of

the prince in order to inflame the masses. These internal conflicts

entered upon an acute phase at the time of the Franco-German conflict

of 1870. Whilst, to satisfy public opinion, the Foreign Secretary of

the time, M.P.P. Carp, had to declare in parliament, that ‘wherever the

colours of France are waving, there are our interests and sympathies’,

the prince wrote to the King of Prussia assuring him that ‘his

sympathies will always be where the black and white banner is waving’.

In these so strained circumstances a section of the population of

Bucarest allowed itself to be drawn into anti-German street riots.

Disheartened and despairing of ever being able to do anything for that

‘beautiful country’, whose people ‘neither know how to govern

themselves nor will allow themselves to be governed’, the prince

decided to abdicate.

[Footnote 1: A few years ago a group of politicians, mainly of the old

Conservative party, detached themselves and became the

Conservative-Democratic party under the leadership of M. Take Ionescu.]

So strong was the feeling in parliament roused by the prince’s decision

that one of his most inveterate opponents now declared that it would be

an act of high treason for the prince to desert the country at such a

crisis. We have an inkling of what might have resulted in the letter

written by the Emperor of Austria to Prince Carol at the time, assuring

him that ‘my Government will eagerly seize any opportunity which

presents itself to prove by deeds the interest it takes in a country

connected by so many bonds to my empire’. Nothing but the efforts of

Lascar Catargiu and the sound patriotism of a few statesmen saved the

country from what would have been a real misfortune. The people were

well aware of this, and cheers lasting several minutes greeted that

portion of the message from the throne which conveyed to the new

parliament the decision of the prince to continue reigning.

The situation was considerably strengthened during a period of five

years’ Conservative rule. Prince Carol’s high principles and the

dignified example of his private life secured for him the increasing

respect of politicians of all colours; while his statesmanlike

qualities, his patience and perseverance, soon procured him an

unlimited influence in the affairs of the state. This was made the more

possible from the fact that, on account of the political ignorance of

the masses, and of the varied influence exercised on the electorate by

the highly centralized administration, no Rumanian Government ever

fails to obtain a majority at an election. Any statesman can undertake

to form a Cabinet if the king assents to a dissolution of parliament.

Between the German system, where the emperor chooses the ministers

independently of parliament, and the English system, where the members

of the executive are indicated by the electorate through the medium of

parliament, independently of the Crown, the Rumanian system takes a

middle path. Neither the crown, nor the electorate, nor parliament

possesses exclusive power in this direction. The Government is not,

generally speaking, defeated either by the electorate or by parliament.

It is the Crown which has the final decision in the changes of régime,

and upon the king falls the delicate task of interpreting the

significance of political or popular movements. The system—which comes

nearest to that of Spain—undoubtedly has its advantages in a young and

turbulent polity, by enabling its most stable element, the king, to

ensure a continuous and harmonious policy. But it also makes the

results dangerously dependent on the quality of that same element.

Under the leadership of King Carol it was an undoubted success; the

progress made by the country from an economic, financial, and military

point of view during the last half-century is really enormous. Its

position was furthermore strengthened by the proclamation of its

independence, by the final settlement of the dynastic question,[1] and

by its elevation on May 10, 1881, to the rank of kingdom, when upon the

head of the first King of Rumania was placed a crown of steel made from

one of the guns captured before Plevna from an enemy centuries old.

[Footnote 1: In the absence of direct descendants and according to the

constitution, Prince Ferdinand (born 1865), second son of King Carol’s

elder brother, was named Heir Apparent to the Rumanian throne. He

married in 1892 Princess Marie of Coburg, and following the death of

King Carol in 1914, he acceded to the throne as Ferdinand I.]

From the point of view of internal politics progress has been less

satisfactory. The various reforms once achieved, the differences of

principle between the political parties degenerated into mere

opportunism, the Opposition opposing, the Government disposing. The

parties, and especially the various groups within the parties, are

generally known by the names of their leaders, these denominations not

implying any definite political principle or Government programme. It

is, moreover, far from edifying that the personal element should so

frequently distort political discussion. ‘The introduction of modern

forms of state organization has not been followed by the

democratization of all social institutions…. The masses of the people

have remained all but completely outside political life. Not only are

we yet far from government of the people by the people, but our

liberties, though deeply graven on the facade of our constitution, have

not permeated everyday life nor even stirred in the consciousness of

the people.’[1]

[Footnote 1: C. Stere, _Social-democratizm sau Poporanizm_, Jassy.]

It is strange that King Carol, who had the welfare of the people

sincerely at heart, should not have used his influence to bring about a

solution of the rural question; but this may perhaps be explained by

the fact that, from Cuza’s experience, he anticipated opposition from

all political factions. It would almost seem as if, by a tacit

understanding, and anxious to establish Rumania’s international

position, King Carol gave his ministers a free hand in the rural

question, reserving for himself an equally free hand in foreign

affairs. This seems borne out by the fact that, in the four volumes in

which an ‘eyewitness’, making use of the king’s private correspondence

and personal notes, has minutely described the first fifteen years of

the reign, the peasant question is entirely ignored.[1]

[Footnote 1: The ‘eyewitness’ was Dr. Schaeffer, formerly tutor to

Prince Carol.]

Addressing himself, in 1871, to the Rumanian representative at the

Porte, the Austrian ambassador, von Prokesch-Osten, remarked: ‘If

Prince Carol manages to pull through without outside help, and make

Rumania governable, it will be the greatest _tour de force_ I have ever

witnessed in my diplomatic career of more than half a century. It will

be nothing less than a conjuring trick.’ King Carol succeeded; and only

those acquainted with Rumanian affairs can appreciate the truth of the

ambassador’s words.

7

_Contemporary Period: Foreign Affairs_

Up to 1866 Rumanian foreign politics may be said to have been

non-existent. The offensive or defensive alliances against the Turks

concluded by the Rumanian rulers with neighbouring princes during the

Middle Ages were not made in pursuance of any definite policy, but

merely to meet the moment’s need. With the establishment of Turkish

suzerainty Rumania became a pawn in the foreign politics of the

neighbouring empires, and we find her repeatedly included in their

projects of acquisition, partition, or compensation (as, for instance,

when she was put forward as eventual compensation to Poland for the

territories lost by that country in the first partition).[1] Rumania

may be considered fortunate in not having lost more than Bucovina to

Austria (1775), Bessarabia to Russia (1812), and, temporarily, to

Austria the region between the Danube and the Aluta, called Oltenia

(lost by the Treaty of Passarowitz, 1718; recovered by the Treaty of

Belgrade, 1739).

[Footnote 1: See Albert Sorel, _The Eastern Question in the Eighteenth

Century_ (Engl. ed.), 1898, pp. 141, 147 &c.]

While her geographical position made of Rumania the cynosure of many

covetous eyes, it at the same time saved her from individual attack by

exciting countervailing jealousies. Moreover, the powers came at last

to consider her a necessary rampart to the Ottoman Empire, whose

dissolution all desired but none dared attempt. Austria and Russia,

looking to the future, were continually competing for paramount

influence in Rumania, though it is not possible to determine where

their policy of acquisition ended and that of influence began.

The position of the principalities became more secure after the Paris

Congress of 1858, which placed them under the collective guarantee of

the great powers; but this fact, and the maintenance of Turkish

suzerainty, coupled with their own weakness, debarred them from any

independence in their foreign relations.

A sudden change took place with the accession of Prince Carol; a

Hohenzollern prince related to the King of Prussia and to Napoleon III

could not be treated like one of the native boyards. The situation

called for the more delicacy of treatment by the powers in view of the

possibility of his being able to better those internal conditions which

made Rumania ‘uninteresting’ as a factor in international politics. In

fact, the prince’s personality assured for Rumania a status which she

could otherwise have attained only with time, by a political, economic,

and military consolidation of her home affairs; and the prince does not

fail to remark in his notes that the attentions lavished upon him by

other sovereigns were meant rather for the Hohenzollern prince than for

the Prince of Rumania. Many years later even, after the war of 1878,

while the Russians were still south of the Danube with their lines of

communication running through Rumania, Bratianu begged of the prince to

give up a projected journey on account of the difficulties which might

at any moment arise, and said: ‘Only the presence of your Royal

Highness keeps them [the Russians] at a respectful distance.’ It was

but natural under these circumstances that the conduct of foreign

affairs should have devolved almost exclusively on the prince. The

ascendancy which his high personal character, his political and

diplomatic skill, his military capacity procured for him over the

Rumanian statesmen made this situation a lasting one; indeed it became

almost a tradition. Rumania’s foreign policy since 1866 may be said,

therefore, to have been King Carol’s policy. Whether one agrees with it

or not, no one can deny with any sincerity that it was inspired by the

interests of the country, as the monarch saw them. Rebuking Bismarck’s

unfair attitude towards Rumania in a question concerning German

investors, Prince Carol writes to his father in 1875: ‘I have to put

Rumania’s interests above those of Germany. My path is plainly mapped

out, and I must follow It unflinchingly, whatever the weather.’

Prince Carol was a thorough German, and as such naturally favoured the

expansion of German influence among his new subjects. But if he desired

Rumania to follow in the wake of German foreign policy, it was because

of his unshaken faith in the future of his native country, because he

considered that Rumania had nothing to fear from Germany, whilst it was

all in the interest of that country to see Rumania strong and firmly

established. At the same time, acting on the advice of Bismarck, he did

not fail to work toward a better understanding with Russia, ‘who might

become as well a reliable friend as a dangerous enemy to the Rumanian

state’. The sympathy shown him by Napoleon III was not always shared by

the French statesmen,[1] and the unfriendly attitude of the French

ambassador in Constantinople caused Prince Carol to remark that ‘M. de

Moustier is considered a better Turk than the Grand Turk himself’.

Under the circumstances a possible alliance between France and Russia,

giving the latter a free hand in the Near East, would have proved a

grave danger to Rumania; ‘it was, consequently, a skilful, if imperious

act, to enter voluntarily, and without detriment to the existing

friendly relations with France, within the Russian sphere of influence,

and not to wait till compelled to do so.’

[Footnote 1: See _Revue des Deux Mondes_, June 15, 1866, article by

Eugène Forcade.]

The campaigns of 1866 and 1870 having finally established Prussia’s

supremacy in the German world, Bismarck modified his attitude towards

Austria. In an interview with the Austrian Foreign Secretary, Count

Beust (Gastein, October 1871), he broached for the first time the

question of an alliance and, touching upon the eventual dissolution of

the Ottoman Empire, ‘obligingly remarked that one could not conceive of

a great power not making of its faculty for expansion a vital

question’.[2] Quite in keeping with that change were the counsels

henceforth tendered to Prince Carol. Early that year Bismarck wrote of

his sorrow at having been forced to the conclusion that Rumania had

nothing to expect from Russia, while Prince Anthony, Prince Carol’s

father and faithful adviser, wrote soon after the above interview

(November 1871), that ‘under certain circumstances it would seem a

sound policy for Rumania to rely upon the support of Austria’.

Persevering in this crescendo of suggestion, Austria’s new foreign

secretary, Count Andrassy, drifted at length to the point by plainly

declaring not long afterwards that ‘Rumania is not so unimportant that

one should deprecate an alliance with her’.

[Footnote 2: Gabriel Hanotaux, _La Guerre des Balkans et l’Europe_

(Beust, Mémoires), Paris, 1914, p. 297.]

Prince Carol had accepted the throne with the firm intention of shaking

off the Turkish suzerainty at the first opportunity, and not

unnaturally he counted upon Germany’s support to that end. He and his

country were bitterly disappointed, therefore, when Bismarck appealed

directly to the Porte for the settlement of a difference between the

Rumanian Government and a German company entrusted with the

construction of the Rumanian railways; the more so as the Paris

Convention had expressly forbidden any Turkish interference in

Rumania’s internal affairs. It thus became increasingly evident that

Rumania could not break away from Russia, the coming power in the East.

The eyes of Russia were steadfastly fixed on Constantinople: by joining

her, Rumania had the best chance of gaining her independence; by not

doing so, she ran the risk of being trodden upon by Russia on her way

to Byzantium. But though resolved to co-operate with Russia in any

eventual action in the Balkans, Prince Carol skilfully avoided

delivering himself blindfold into her hands by deliberately cutting

himself away from the other guaranteeing powers. To the conference

which met in Constantinople at the end of 1876 to settle Balkan affairs

he addressed the demand that ‘should war break out between one of the

guaranteeing powers and Turkey, Rumania’s line of conduct should be

dictated, and her neutrality and rights guaranteed, by the other

powers’. This _démarche_ failed. The powers had accepted the invitation

to the conference as one accepts an invitation to visit a dying man.

Nobody had any illusions on the possibility of averting war, least of

all the two powers principally interested. In November 1876 Ali Bey and

M. de Nelidov arrived simultaneously and secretly in Bucarest to sound

Rumania as to an arrangement with their respective countries, Turkey

and Russia. In opposition to his father and Count Andrassy, who

counselled neutrality and the withdrawal of the Rumanian army into the

mountains, and in sympathy with Bismarck’s advice, Prince Carol

concluded a Convention with Russia on April 16, 1877. Rumania promised

to the Russian army ‘free passage through Rumanian territory and the

treatment due to a friendly army’; whilst Russia undertook to respect

Rumania’s political rights, as well as ‘to maintain and defend her

actual integrity’. ‘It is pretty certain’, wrote Prince Carol to his

father, ‘that this will not be to the liking of most of the great

powers; but as they neither can nor will offer us anything, we cannot

do otherwise than pass them by. A successful Russian campaign will free

us from the nominal dependency upon Turkey, and Europe will never allow

Russia to take her place.’

On April 23 the Russian armies passed the Pruth. An offer of active

participation by the Rumanian forces in the forthcoming campaign was

rejected by the Tsar, who haughtily declared that ‘Russia had no need

for the cooperation of the Rumanian army’, and that ‘it was only under

the auspices of the Russian forces that the foundation of Rumania’s

future destinies could be laid’. Rumania was to keep quiet and accept

in the end what Russia would deign to give her, or, to be more correct,

take from her. After a few successful encounters, however, the Tsar’s

soldiers met with serious defeats before Plevna, and persistent appeals

were now urged for the participation of the Rumanian army in the

military operations. The moment had come for Rumania to bargain for her

interests. But Prince Carol refused to make capital out of the serious

position of the Russians; he led his army across the Danube and, at the

express desire of the Tsar, took over the supreme command of the united

forces before Plevna. After a glorious but terrible struggle Plevna,

followed at short intervals by other strongholds, fell, the peace

preliminaries were signed, and Prince Carol returned to Bucarest at the

head of his victorious army.

Notwithstanding the flattering words in which the Tsar spoke of the

Rumanian share in the success of the campaign, Russia did not admit

Rumania to the Peace Conference. By the Treaty of San Stefano (March

3,1878) Rumania’s independence was recognized; Russia obtained from

Turkey the Dobrudja and the delta of the Danube, reserving for herself

the right to exchange these territories against the three southern

districts of Bessarabia, restored to Rumania by the Treaty of Paris,

1856. This stipulation was by no means a surprise to Rumania, Russia’s

intention to recover Bessarabia was well known to the Government, who

hoped, however, that the demand would not be pressed after the

effective assistance rendered by the Rumanian army. ‘If this be not a

ground for the extension of our territory, it is surely none for its

diminution,’ remarked Cogalniceanu at the Berlin Congress. Moreover,

besides the promises of the Tsar, there was the Convention of the

previous year, which, in exchange for nothing more than free passage

for the Russian armies, guaranteed Rumania’s integrity. But upon this

stipulation Gorchakov put the jesuitical construction that, the

Convention being concluded in view of a war to be waged against Turkey,

it was only against Turkey that Russia undertook to guarantee Rumania’s

integrity; as to herself, she was not in the least bound by that

arrangement. And should Rumania dare to protest against, or oppose the

action of the Russian Government, ‘the Tsar will order that Rumania be

occupied and the Rumanian army disarmed’. ‘The army which fought at

Plevna’, replied Prince Carol through his minister, ‘may well be

destroyed, but never disarmed.’

There was one last hope left to Rumania: that the Congress which met in

Berlin in June 1878 for the purpose of revising the Treaty of San

Stefano, would prevent such an injustice. But Bismarck was anxious that

no ‘sentiment de dignité blessée’ should rankle in Russia’s future

policy; the French representative, Waddington, was ‘above all a

practical man’; Corti, the Italian delegate, was ‘nearly rude’ to the

Rumanian delegates; while Lord Beaconsfield, England’s envoy, receiving

the Rumanian delegates privately, had nothing to say but that ‘in

politics the best services are often rewarded with ingratitude’. Russia

strongly opposed even the idea that the Rumanian delegates should be

allowed to put their case before the Congress, and consent was obtained

only with difficulty after Lord Salisbury had ironically remarked that

‘having heard the representatives of Greece, which was claiming foreign

provinces, it would be but fair to listen also to the representatives

of a country which was only seeking to retain what was its own’.

Shortly before, Lord Salisbury, speaking in London to the Rumanian

special envoy, Callimaki Catargiu, had assured him of England’s

sympathy and of her effective assistance in case either of war or of a

Congress. ‘But to be quite candid he must add that there are questions

of more concern to England, and should she be able to come to an

understanding with Russia with regard to them, she would not wage war

for the sake of Rumania.’ Indeed, an understanding came about, and an

indiscretion enabled the _Globe_ to make its tenor public early in June

1878. ‘The Government of her Britannic Majesty’, it said, ‘considers

that it will feel itself bound to express its deep regret should Russia

persist in demanding the retrocession of Bessarabia…. England’s

interest in this question is not such, however, as to justify her

taking upon herself alone the responsibility of opposing the intended

exchange.’ So Bessarabia was lost, Rumania receiving instead Dobrudja

with the delta of the Danube. But as the newly created state of

Bulgaria was at the time little else than a detached Russian province,

Russia, alone amongst the powers, opposed and succeeded in preventing

the demarcation to the new Rumanian province of a strategically sound

frontier. Finally, to the exasperation of the Rumanians, the Congress

made the recognition of Rumania’s independence contingent upon the

abolition of Article 7 of the Constitution—which denied to

non-Christians the right of becoming Rumanian citizens—and the

emancipation of the Rumanian Jews.[1]

[Footnote 1: Rumania only partially gave way to this intrusion of the

powers into her internal affairs. The prohibition was abolished; but

only individual naturalization was made possible, and that by special

Act of Parliament. Only a very small proportion of the Jewish

population has since been naturalized. The Jewish question in Rumania

is undoubtedly a very serious one; but the matter is too controversial

to be dealt with in a few lines without risking misrepresentation or

doing an injustice to one or other of the parties. For which reason it

has not been included in this essay.]

It was only after innumerable difficulties and hardships that, at the

beginning of 1880, Rumania secured recognition of an independence which

she owed to nobody but herself. Whilst Russia was opposing Rumania at

every opportunity in the European conferences and commissions, she was

at pains to show herself more amenable in _tête-à-tête_, and approached

Rumania with favourable proposals. ‘Rather Russia as foe than

guardian,’ wrote Prince Carol to his father; and these words indicate

an important turning-point in Rumania’s foreign policy.

In wresting Bessarabia from Rumania merely as a sop to her own pride,

and to make an end of all that was enacted by the Treaty of Paris,

1856, Russia made a serious political blunder. By insisting that

Austria should share in the partition of Poland, Frederick the Great

had skilfully prevented her from remaining the one country towards

which the Poles would naturally have turned for deliverance. Such an

opportunity was lost by Russia through her short-sighted policy in

Bessarabia—that of remaining the natural ally of Rumania against

Rumania’s natural foe, Austria-Hungary.

Rumania had neither historical, geographical, nor any important

ethnographical points of contact with the region south of the Danube;

the aims of a future policy could only have embraced neighbouring

tracts of foreign territory inhabited by Rumanians. Whereas up to the

date of the Berlin Congress such tracts were confined to

Austria-Hungary, by that Congress a similar sphere of attraction for

Rumanian aspirations was created in Russia.[1] The interests of a

peaceful development demanded that Rumania should maintain friendly

relations with both the powers striving for domination in the Near

East; it was a vital necessity for her, however, to be able to rely

upon the effective support of at least one of them in a case of

emergency. Russia’s conduct had aroused a deep feeling of bitterness

and mistrust in Rumania, and every lessening of her influence was a

step in Austria’s favour. Secondary considerations tended to intensify

this: on the one hand lay the fact that through Russia’s interposition

Rumania had no defendable frontier against Bulgaria; on the other hand

was the greatly strengthened position created for Austria by her

alliance with Germany, in whose future Prince Carol had the utmost

confidence.

[Footnote 1: It is probable that this confederation had much to do with

the readiness with which Bismarck supported the demands of his good

friend, Gorchakov.]

Germany’s attitude towards Rumania had been curiously hostile during

these events; but when Prince Carol’s father spoke of this to the

German Emperor, the latter showed genuine astonishment: Bismarck had

obviously not taken the emperor completely into his confidence. When, a

few days later, Sturdza had an interview with Bismarck at the latter’s

invitation, the German Chancellor discovered once more that Rumania had

nothing to expect from Russia. Indeed, Rumania’s position between

Russia and the new Slav state south of the Danube might prove

dangerous, were she not to seek protection and assistance from her two

‘natural friends’, France and Germany. And, with his usual liberality

when baiting his policy with false hopes, Bismarck went on to say that

‘Turkey is falling to pieces; nobody can resuscitate her; Rumania has

an important role to fulfil, but for this she must be wise, cautious,

and strong’. This new attitude was the natural counterpart of the

change which was at that time making itself felt in Russo-German

relations. While a Franco-Russian alliance was propounded by Gorchakov

in an interview with a French journalist, Bismarck and Andrassy signed

in Gastein the treaty which allied Austria to Germany (September 1879).

As Rumania’s interests were identical with those of Austria—wrote Count

Andrassy privately to Prince Carol a few months later—namely, to

prevent the fusion of the northern and the southern Slavs, she had only

to express her willingness to become at a given moment the third party

in the compact. In 1883 King Carol accepted a secret treaty of

defensive alliance from Austria. In return for promises relating to

future political partitions in the Balkans, the monarch pledged himself

to oppose all developments likely to speed the democratic evolution, of

Rumania. Though the treaty was never submitted to parliament for

ratification, and notwithstanding a tariff war and a serious difference

with Austria on the question of control of the Danube navigation,

Rumania was, till the Balkan wars, a faithful ‘sleeping partner’ of the

Triple Alliance.

All through that externally quiet period a marked discrepancy existed

and developed between that line of policy and the trend of public

opinion. The interest of the Rumanians within the kingdom centred

increasingly on their brethren in Transylvania, the solution of whose

hard case inspired most of the popular national movements. Not on

account of the political despotism of the Magyars, for that of the

Russians was in no way behind it. But whilst the Rumanians of

Bessarabia were, with few exceptions, illiterate peasants, in

Transylvania there was a solidly established and spirited middle class,

whose protests kept pace with the oppressive measures. Many of them—and

of necessity the more turbulent—migrated to Rumania, and there kept

alive the ‘Transylvanian Question’. That the country’s foreign policy

has nevertheless constantly supported the Central Powers is due, to

some extent, to the fact that the generation most deeply impressed by

the events of 1878 came gradually to the leadership of the country; to

a greater extent to the increasing influence of German education,[1]

and the economic and financial supremacy which the benevolent passivity

of England and France enabled Germany to acquire; but above all to the

personal influence of King Carol. Germany, he considered, was at the

beginning of her development and needed, above all, peace; as Rumania

was in the same position the wisest policy was to follow Germany,

neglecting impracticable national ideals. King Carol outlined his views

clearly in an interview which he had in Vienna with the Emperor Franz

Joseph in 1883: ‘No nation consents to be bereaved of its political

aspirations, and those of the Rumanians are constantly kept at fever

heat by Magyar oppression. But this was no real obstacle to a friendly

understanding between the two neighbouring states.’

[Footnote 1: Many prominent statesmen like Sturdza, Maiorescu, Carp,

&c. were educated in Germany, whereas the school established by the

German community (_Evangelische Knaben und Realschule_), and which it

under the direct control of the German Ministry of Education, is

attended by more pupils than any other school in Bucarest.]

Such was the position when the Balkan peoples rose in 1912 to sever the

last ties which bound them to the decadent Turkish Empire. King Carol,

who had, sword in hand, won the independence of his country, could have

no objection to such a desire for emancipation. Nor to the Balkan

League itself, unfortunately so ephemeral; for by the first year of his

reign he had already approached the Greek Government with proposals

toward such a league, and toward freeing the Balkans from the

undesirable interference of the powers.[1] It is true that Rumania,

like all the other states, had not foreseen the radical changes which

were to take place, and which considerably affected her position in the

Near East. But she was safe as long as the situation was one of stable

equilibrium and the league remained in existence. ‘Rumania will only be

menaced by a real danger when a Great Bulgaria comes into existence,’

remarked Prince Carol to Bismarck in 1880, and Bulgaria had done

nothing since to allay Rumanian suspicions. On the contrary, the

proviso of the Berlin Convention that all fortifications along the

Rumania frontier should be razed to the ground had not been carried out

by the Bulgarian Government. Bulgarian official publications regarded

the Dobrudja as a ‘Bulgaria Irredenta’, and at the outset of the first

Balkan war a certain section of the Bulgarian press speculated upon the

Bulgarian character of the Dobrudja.

[Footnote 1: See Augenzeuge, op. cit., i. 178]

The Balkan League having proclaimed, however, that their action did not

involve any territorial changes, and the maintenance of the _status

quo_ having been insisted upon by the European Concert, Rumania

declared that she would remain neutral. All this jugglery of mutual

assurances broke down with the unexpected rout of the Turks; the

formula ‘the Balkans to the Balkan peoples’ made its appearance, upon

which Bulgaria was at once notified that Rumania would insist upon the

question of the Dobrudja frontier being included in any fundamental

alteration of the Berlin Convention. The Bulgarian Premier, M. Danev,

concurred in this point of view, but his conduct of the subsequent

London negotiations was so ‘diplomatic’ that their only result was to

strain the patience of the Rumanian Government and public opinion to

breaking point. Nevertheless, the Rumanian Government agreed that the

point in dispute should be submitted to a conference of the

representatives of the great powers in St. Petersburg, and later

accepted the decision of that conference, though the country considered

it highly unsatisfactory.

The formation of the Balkan League, and especially the collapse of

Turkey, had meant a serious blow to the Central Powers’ policy of

peaceful penetration. Moreover, ‘for a century men have been labouring

to solve the Eastern. Question. On the day when it shall be considered

solved, Europe will inevitably witness the propounding of the Austrian

Question.’[1] To prevent this and to keep open a route to the East

Austro-German diplomacy set to work, and having engineered the creation

of Albania succeeded in barring Serbia’s way to the Adriatic; Serbia

was thus forced to seek an outlet in the south, where her interests

were doomed to clash with Bulgarian aspirations. The atmosphere grew

threatening. In anticipation of a conflict with Bulgaria, Greece and

Serbia sought an alliance with Rumania. The offer was declined; but, in

accordance with the policy which Bucarest had already made quite clear

to Sofia, the Rumanian army was ordered to enter Bulgaria immediately

that country attacked her former allies. The Rumanians advanced

unopposed to within a few miles of Sofia, and in order to save the

capital Bulgaria declared her willingness to comply with their claims.

Rumania having refused, however, to conclude a separate peace, Bulgaria

had to give way, and the Balkan premiers met in conference at Bucarest

to discuss terms. The circumstances were not auspicious. The way in

which Bulgaria had conducted previous negotiations, and especially the

attack upon her former allies, had exasperated the Rumanians and the

Balkan peoples, and the pressure of public opinion hindered from the

outset a fair consideration of the Bulgarian point of view. Moreover,

cholera was making great ravages in the ranks of the various armies,

and, what threatened to be even more destructive, several great powers

were looking for a crack in the door to put their tails through, as the

Rumanian saying runs. So anxious were the Balkan statesmen to avoid any

such interference that they agreed between themselves to a short time

limit: on a certain day, and by a certain hour, peace was to be

concluded, or hostilities were to start afresh. The treaty was signed

on August 10, 1913, Rumania obtaining the line

Turtukai-Dobrich-Balchik, this being the line already demanded by her

at the time of the London negotiations. The demand was put forth

originally as a security against the avowed ambitions of Bulgaria; it

was a strategical necessity, but at the same time a political mistake

from the point of view of future relations. The Treaty of Bucarest,

imperfect arrangement as it was, had nevertheless a great historical

significance. ‘Without complicating the discussion of our interests,

which we are best in a position to understand, by the consideration of

other foreign, interests,’ remarked the President of the Conference,

‘we shall have established for the first time by ourselves peace and

harmony amongst our peoples.’ Dynastic interests and impatient

ambitions, however, completely subverted this momentous step towards a

satisfactory solution of the Eastern Question.

[Footnote 1: Albert Sorel, op, cit., p. 266.]

The natural counter-effect of the diplomatic activity of the Central

Powers was a change in Rumanian policy. Rumania considered the

maintenance of the Balkan equilibrium a vital question, and as she had

entered upon a closer union with Germany against a Bulgaria subjected

to Russian influence, so she now turned to Russia as a guard against a

Bulgaria under German influence. This breaking away from the

‘traditional’ policy of adjutancy-in-waiting to the Central Powers was

indicated by the visit of Prince Ferdinand—now King of Rumania—to St.

Petersburg, and the even more significant visit which Tsar Nicholas

afterwards paid to the late King Carol at Constanza. Time has been too

short, however, for those new relations so to shape themselves as to

exercise a notable influence upon Rumania’s present attitude.

8

_Rumania and the Present War_

_(a) The Rumanians outside the Kingdom_

The axis on which Rumanian foreign policy ought naturally to revolve is

the circumstance that almost half the Rumanian nation lives outside

Rumanian territory. As the available official statistics generally show

political bias it is not possible to give precise figures; but roughly

speaking there are about one million Rumanians in Bessarabia, a quarter

of a million in Bucovina, three and a half millions in Hungary, while

something above half a million form scattered colonies in Bulgaria,

Serbia, and Macedonia. All these live in more or less close proximity

to the Rumanian frontiers.

That these Rumanian elements have maintained their nationality is due

to purely intrinsic causes. We have seen that the independence of

Rumania in her foreign relations had only recently been established,

since when the king, the factor most influential in foreign politics,

had discouraged nationalist tendencies, lest the country’s internal

development might be compromised by friction with neighbouring states.

The Government exerted its influence against any active expression of

the national feeling, and the few ‘nationalists’ and the ‘League for

the cultural unity of all Rumanians’ had been, as a consequence, driven

to seek a justification for their existence in antisemitic agitation.

The above circumstances had little influence upon the situation in

Bucovina. This province forms an integral part of the Habsburg

monarchy, with which it was incorporated as early as 1775. The

political situation of the Rumanian principalities at the time, and the

absence of a national cultural movement, left the detached population

exposed to Germanization, and later to the Slav influence of the

rapidly expanding Ruthene element. That language and national

characteristics have, nevertheless, not been lost is due to the fact

that the Rumanian population of Bucovina is peasant almost to a man—a

class little amenable to changes of civilization.

This also applies largely to Bessarabia, which, first lost in 1812, was

incorporated with Rumania in 1856, and finally detached in 1878. The

few Rumanians belonging to the landed class were won over by the new

masters. But while the Rumanian population was denied any cultural and

literary activities of its own, the reactionary attitude of the Russian

Government towards education has enabled the Rumanian peasants to

preserve their customs and their language. At the same time their

resultant ignorance has kept them outside the sphere of intellectual

influence of the mother country.

The Rumanians who live in scattered colonies south of the Danube are

the descendants of those who took refuge in these regions during the

ninth and tenth centuries from the invasions of the Huns. Generally

known as Kutzo-Vlakhs, or, among themselves, as Aromuni, they are—as

even Weigand, who undoubtedly has Bulgarophil leanings, recognizes—the

most intelligent and best educated of the inhabitants of Macedonia. In

1905 the Rumanian Government secured from the Porte official

recognition of their separate cultural and religious organizations on a

national basis. Exposed as they are to Greek influence, it will be

difficult to prevent their final assimilation with that people. The

interest taken in them of late by the Rumanian Government arose out of

the necessity to secure them against pan-Hellenic propaganda, and to

preserve one of the factors entitling Rumania to participate in the

settlement of Balkan affairs.

I have sketched elsewhere the early history of the Rumanians of

Transylvania, the cradle of the Rumanian nation. As already mentioned,

part of the Rumanian nobility of Hungary went over to the Magyars, the

remainder migrating over the mountains. Debarred from the support of

the noble class, the Rumanian peasantry lost its state of autonomy,

which changed into one of serfdom to the soil upon which they toiled.

Desperate risings in 1324, 1437, 1514, 1600, and 1784 tended to case

the Hungarian oppression, which up to the nineteenth century strove

primarily after a political and religious hegemony. But the Magyars

having failed in 1848 in their attempt to free themselves from Austrian

domination (defeated with the assistance of a Russian army at Villagos,

1849), mainly on account of the fidelity of the other nationalities to

the Austrian Crown, they henceforth directed their efforts towards

strengthening their own position by forcible assimilation of those

nationalities. This they were able to do, however, only after

Königgrätz, when a weakened Austria had to give way to Hungarian

demands. In 1867 the Dual Monarchy was established, and Transylvania,

which up to then formed a separate duchy enjoying full political

rights, was incorporated with the new Hungarian kingdom. The Magyars

were handicapped in their imperialist ambitions by their numerical

inferiority. As the next best means to their end, therefore, they

resorted to political and national oppression, class despotism, and a

complete disregard of the principles of liberty and humanity.[1]

Hungarian was made compulsory in the administration, even in districts

where the bulk of the population did not understand that language. In

villages completely inhabited by Rumanians so-called ‘State’ schools

were founded, in which only Hungarian was to be spoken, and all

children upwards of three years of age had to attend them. The

electoral regulations were drawn up in such a manner that the Rumanians

of Transylvania, though ten times more numerous than the Magyars, sent

a far smaller number than do the latter to the National Assembly. To

quash all protest a special press law was introduced for Transylvania.

But the Rumanian journalists being usually acquitted by the juries a

new regulation prescribed that press offences should be tried only at

Kluj (Klausenburg)—the sole Transylvanian town with a predominating

Hungarian population—a measure which was in fundamental contradiction

to the principles of justice.[2] In 1892 the Rumanian grievances were

embodied in a memorandum which was to have been presented to the

emperor by a deputation. An audience was, however, refused, and at the

instance of the Hungarian Government the members of the deputation were

sentenced to long terms of imprisonment for having plotted against the

unity of the Magyar state.

[Footnote 1: The Rumanians inhabit mainly the province of Transylvania,

Banat, Crishiana, and Maramuresh. They represent 46.2 per cent. of the

total population of these provinces, the Magyars 32.5 per cent., the

Germans 11.5 per cent., and the Serbs 4.5 per cent. These figured are

taken from official Hungarian statistics, and it may therefore be

assumed that the Rumanian percentage represents a minimum.]

[Footnote 2: Over a period of 22 years (1886-1908) 850 journalists were

charged, 367 of whom were Rumanians; the sentences totalling 216 years

of imprisonment, the fines amounting to Fcs. 138,000.]

Notwithstanding these disabilities the Rumanians of Transylvania

enjoyed a long period of comparative social and economic liberty at a

time when Turkish and Phanariote domination was hampering all progress

in Rumania. Office under the Government growing increasingly difficult

to obtain, the Rumanians in Transylvania turned largely to commercial

and the open professions, and, as a result, a powerful middle class now

exists. In their clergy, both of the Orthodox and the Uniate

Church—which last, while conducting its ritual in the vernacular,

recognizes papal supremacy— the Rumanians have always found strong

moral support, while the national struggle tends to unite the various

classes. The Rumanians of Hungary form by far the sanest element in the

Rumanian nation. From the Rumanians within the kingdom they have

received little beside sympathy. The important part played by the

country at the Peace of Bucarest, and her detachment from

Austria-Hungary, must necessarily have stimulated the national

consciousness of the Transylvanians; while at the same time all hope

for betterment from within must have ceased at the death of Archduke

Francis Ferdinand, an avowed friend of the long-suffering

nationalities. It is, therefore, no mere matter of conjecture that the

passive attitude of the Rumanian Government at the beginning of the

present conflict must have been a bitter disappointment to them.

_(b) Rumania’s Attitude_

The tragic development of the crisis in the summer of 1914 threw

Rumania into a vortex of unexpected hopes and fears. Aspirations till

then considered little else than Utopian became tangible possibilities,

while, as suddenly, dangers deemed far off loomed large and near. Not

only was such a situation quite unforeseen, nor had any plan of action

been preconceived to meet it, but it was in Rumania’s case a situation

unique from the number of conflicting considerations and influences at

work within it. Still under the waning influence of the thirty years

quasi-alliance with Austria, Rumania was not yet acclimatized to her

new relations with Russia. Notwithstanding the inborn sympathy with and

admiration for France, the Rumanians could not be blind to Germany’s

military power. The enthusiasm that would have sided with France for

France’s sake was faced by the influence of German finance. Sympathy

with Serbia existed side by side with suspicion of Bulgaria. Popular

sentiment clashed with the views of the king; and the bright vision of

the ‘principle of nationality’ was darkened by the shadow of Russia as

despot of the Near East.

One fact in the situation stood out from the rest, namely, the

unexpected opportunity of redeeming that half of the Rumanian nation

which was still under foreign rule; the more so as one of the parties

in the conflict had given the ‘principle of nationality’ a prominent

place in its programme. But the fact that both Austria-Hungary and

Russia had a large Rumanian population among their subjects rendered a

purely national policy impossible, and Rumania could do nothing but

weigh which issue offered her the greater advantage.

Three ways lay open: complete neutrality, active participation on the

side of the Central Powers, or common cause with the Triple Entente.

Complete neutrality was advocated by a few who had the country’s

material security most at heart, and also, as a _pis aller_, by those

who realized that their opinion that Rumania should make common cause

with the Central Powers had no prospect of being acted upon.

That King Carol favoured the idea of a joint action with Germany is

likely enough, for such a policy was in keeping with his faith in the

power of the German Empire. Moreover, he undoubtedly viewed with

satisfaction the possibility of regaining Bessarabia, the loss of which

must have been bitterly felt by the victor of Plevna. Such a policy

would have met with the approval of many Rumanian statesmen, notably of

M. Sturdza, sometime leader of the Liberal party and Prime Minister; of

M. Carp, sometime leader of the Conservative party and Prime Minister;

of M. Maiorescu, ex-Prime Minister and Foreign Secretary, who presided

at the Bucarest Conference of 1913; of M. Marghiloman, till recently

leader of the Conservative party, to name only the more important. M.

Sturdza, the old statesman who had been one of King Carol’s chief

coadjutors in the making of modern Rumania, and who had severed for

many years his connexion with active politics, again took up his pen to

raise a word of warning. M. Carp, the political aristocrat who had

retired from public life a few years previously, and had professed a

lifelong contempt for the ‘Press and all its works’, himself started a

daily paper (_Moldova_) which, he intended should expound his views.

Well-known writers like M. Radu Rosetti wrote[1] espousing the cause

favoured by the king, though not for the king’s reasons: Carol had

faith in Germany, the Rumanians mistrusted Russia. They saw no

advantage in the dismemberment of Austria, the most powerful check to

Russia’s plans in the Near East. They dreaded the idea of seeing Russia

on the Bosphorus, as rendering illusory Rumania’s splendid position at

the mouth of the Danube. For not only is a cheap waterway absolutely

necessary for the bulky products forming the chief exports of Rumania;

but these very products, corn, petroleum, and timber, also form the

chief exports of Russia, who, by a stroke of the pen, may rule Rumania

out of competition, should she fail to appreciate the political

leadership of Petrograd. Paris and Rome were, no doubt, beloved

sisters; but Sofia, Moscow, and Budapest were next-door neighbours to

be reckoned with.

[Footnote 1: See R. Rosetti, _Russian Politics at Work in the Rumanian

Countries_, facts compiled from French official documents, Bucarest,

1914.]

Those who held views opposed to those, confident in the righteousness

of the Allies’ cause and in their final victory, advocated immediate

intervention, and to that end made the most of the two sentiments which

animated public opinion: interest in the fate of the Transylvanians,

and sympathy with France. They contended that though a purely national

policy was not possible, the difference between Transylvania and

Bessarabia in area and in number and quality of the population was such

that no hesitation was admissible. The possession of Transylvania was

assured if the Allies were successful; whereas Russia would soon

recover if defeated, and would regain Bessarabia by force of arms, or

have it once more presented to her by a Congress anxious to soothe her

‘sentiment de dignité blessée’. A Rumania enlarged in size and

population had a better chance of successfully withstanding any

eventual pressure from the north, and it was clear that any attempt

against her independence would be bound to develop into a European

question. Rumania could not forget what she owed to France; and if

circumstances had made the Transylvanian question one ‘à laquelle on

pense toujours et dont on ne parle jamais’, the greater was the duty,

now that a favourable opportunity had arisen, to help the brethren

across the mountains. It was also a duty to fight for right and

civilization, proclaimed M. Take Ionescu, the exponent of progressive

ideas in Rumanian politics; and he, together with the prominent

Conservative statesman, M. Filipescu, who loathes the idea of the

Rumanians being dominated by the inferior Magyars, are the leaders of

the interventionist movement. It was due to M. Filipescu’s activity,

especially, that M. Marghiloman was forced by his own party to resign

his position as leader on account of his Austrophil sentiments—an event

unparalleled in Rumanian politics.

These were the two main currents of opinion which met in conflict at

the Crown Council—a committee _ad hoc_ consisting of the Cabinet and

the leaders of the Opposition—summoned by the king early in August

1914, when Rumania’s neutrality was decided upon. The great influence

which the Crown can always wield under the Rumanian political system

was rendered the more potent in the present case by the fact that the

Premier, M. Bratianu, is above all a practical man, and the Liberal

Cabinet over which he presides one of the most colourless the country

ever had: a Cabinet weak to the point of being incapable of realizing

its own weakness and the imperative necessity at this fateful moment of

placing the helm in the hands of a national ministry. M. Bratianu

considered that Rumania was too exposed, and had suffered too much in

the past for the sake of other countries, to enter now upon such an

adventure without ample guarantees. There would always be time for her

to come in. This policy of opportunism he was able to justify by

powerful argument. The supply of war material for the Rumanian army had

been completely in the hands of German and Austrian arsenals, and

especially in those of Krupp. For obvious reasons Rumania could no

longer rely upon that source; indeed, Germany was actually detaining

contracts for war and sanitary material placed with her before the

outbreak of the war. There was the further consideration that, owing to

the nature of Rumania’s foreign policy in the past, no due attention

had been given to the defence of the Carpathians, nor to those branches

of the service dealing with mountain warfare. On the other hand, a

continuous line of fortifications running from Galatz to Focshani

formed, together with the lower reaches of the Danube, a strong barrier

against attack from the north. Rumania’s geographical position is such

that a successful offensive from Hungary could soon penetrate to the

capital, and by cutting the country in two could completely paralyse

its organization. Such arguments acquired a magnified importance in the

light of the failure of the negotiations with Bulgaria, and found many

a willing ear in a country governed by a heavily involved landed class,

and depending almost exclusively in its banking organization upon

German and Austrian capital.

From the point of view of practical politics only the issue of the

conflict will determine the wisdom or otherwise of Rumania’s attitude.

But, though it is perhaps out of place to enlarge upon it here, it is

impossible not to speak of the moral aspect of the course adopted. By

giving heed to the unspoken appeal from Transylvania the Rumanian

national spirit would have been quickened, and the people braced to a

wholesome sacrifice. Many were the wistful glances cast towards the

Carpathians by the subject Rumanians, as they were being led away to

fight for their oppressors; but, wilfully unmindful, the leaders of the

Rumanian state buried their noses in their ledgers, oblivious of the

fact that in these times of internationalism a will in common, with

aspirations in common, is the very life-blood of nationality. That

sentiment ought not to enter into politics is an argument untenable in

a country which has yet to see its national aspirations fulfilled, and

which makes of these aspirations definite claims. No Rumanian statesman

can contend that possession of Transylvania is necessary to the

existence of the Rumanian state. What they can maintain is that

deliverance from Magyar oppression is vital to the existence of the

Transylvanians. The right to advance such a claim grows out of their

very duty of watching over the safety of the subject Rumanians. ‘When

there are squabbles in the household of my brother-in-law,’ said the

late Ioan Bratianu when speaking on the Transylvanian question, ‘it is

no affair of mine; but when he raises a knife against his wife, it is

not merely my right to intervene, it is my duty.’ It is difficult to

account for the obliquity of vision shown by so many Rumanian

politicians. ‘The whole policy of such a state [having a large

compatriot population living in close proximity under foreign

domination] must be primarily influenced by anxiety as to the fate of

their brothers, and by the duty of emancipating them,’ affirms one of

the most ardent of Rumanian nationalist orators; and he goes on to

assure us that ‘if Rumania waits, it is not from hesitation as to her

duty, but simply in order that she may discharge it more

completely’.[1] Meantime, while Rumania waits, regiments composed

almost completely of Transylvanians have been repeatedly and of set

purpose placed in the forefront of the battle, and as often

annihilated. Such could never be the simple-hearted Rumanian peasant’s

conception of his duty, and here, as in so many other cases in the

present conflict, the nation at large must not be judged by the policy

of the few who hold the reins.

[Footnote 1: _Quarterly Review_, London, April, 1915, pp. 449-50.]

Rumania’s claims to Transylvania are not of an historical nature. They

are founded upon the numerical superiority of the subject Rumanians in

Transylvania, that is upon the ‘principle of nationality’, and are

morally strengthened by the treatment the Transylvanians suffer at the

hands of the Magyars. By its passivity, however, the Rumanian

Government has sacrificed the prime factor of the ‘principle of

nationality’ to the attainment of an object in itself subordinate to

that factor; that is, it has sacrificed the ‘people’ in order to make

more sure of the ‘land’. In this way the Rumanian Government has

entered upon a policy of acquisition; a policy which Rumania is too

weak to pursue save under the patronage of one or a group of great

powers; a policy unfortunate inasmuch as it will deprive her of freedom

of action in her external politics. Her policy will, in its

consequences, certainly react to the detriment of the position acquired

by the country two years ago, when independent action made her arbiter

not only among the smaller Balkan States, but also among those and her

late suzerain, Turkey.

Such, indeed, must inevitably be the fate of Balkan politics in

general. Passing from Turkish domination to nominal Turkish suzerainty,

and thence to independence within the sphere of influence of a power or

group of powers, this gradual emancipation of the states of

south-eastern Europe found its highest expression in the Balkan League.

The war against Turkey was in effect a rebellion against the political

tutelage of the powers. But this emancipation was short-lived. By their

greed the Balkan States again opened up a way to the intrusion of

foreign diplomacy, and even, as we now see, of foreign troops. The

first Balkan war marked the zenith of Balkan political emancipation;

the second Balkan war was the first act in the tragic _débâcle_ out of

which the present situation developed. The interval between August 1913

(Peace of Bucarest) and August 1914 was merely an armistice during

which Bulgaria and Turkey recovered their breath, and German and

Austrian diplomacy had time to find a pretext for war on its own

account.

‘Exhausted but not vanquished we have had to furl our glorious

standards in order to await better days,’ said Ferdinand of Bulgaria to

his soldiers after the conclusion of the Peace of Bucarest; and

Budapest, Vienna, and Berlin have no doubt done their best to keep this

spirit of revenge alive and to prevent a renascence of the Balkan

Alliance. They have succeeded. They have done more: they have succeeded

in causing the ‘principle of nationality’—that idea which involves the

disruption of Austria—to be stifled by the very people whom it was

meant to save. For whilst the German peoples are united in this

conflict, the majority of the southern Slavs, in fighting the German

battles, are fighting to perpetuate the political servitude of the

subject races of Austria-Hungary.

However suspicious Rumania may be of Russia, however bitter the

quarrels between Bulgars, Greeks, and Serbs, it is not, nor can it ever

be natural, that peoples who have groaned under Turkish despotism for

centuries should, after only one year of complete liberation, join

hands with an old and dreaded enemy not only against their fellow

sufferers, but even against those who came ‘to die that they may live’.

These are the Dead Sea fruits of dynastic policy. Called to the thrones

of the small states of the Near East for the purpose of creating order

and peace, the German dynasties have overstepped their function and

abused the power entrusted to them. As long as, in normal times,

political activities were confined to the diplomatic arena there was no

peril of rousing the masses out of their ignorant indolence; but, when

times are abnormal, it is a different and a dangerous thing to march

these peoples against their most intimate feelings. When, as the

outcome of the present false situation, sooner or later the dynastic

power breaks, it will then be for the powers who are now fighting for

better principles not to impose their own views upon the peoples, or to

place their own princes upon the vacant thrones. Rather must they see

that the small nations of the Near East are given a chance to develop

in peace and according to their proper ideals; that they be not again

subjected to the disintegrating influence of European diplomacy; and

that, above all, to the nations in common, irrespective of their

present attitude, there should be a just application of the ‘principle

of nationality’.

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