CHAPTER XXIV

CONCLUSION

Progress in 40 years 330

Some items in material progress, 1867-1903 332

What Dudley Baxter wrote in 1867 333

The poor within our borders to-day are as large in number as

the entire population in 1867 338

The employer the effective schoolmaster 340

A poor government is a weak government 341

Sir Robert Giffen on taxation 341

We must have regard to both palliatives and remedies 342

Public ownership of capital must replace private ownership 343

The substitution of the public shareholder for the private

shareholder not difficult 344

The uplifting of work through the reduction of toil 345

The statesman must take up the tools of the scientist 346

The appeal to the few 348

The appeal to the people 348

INDEX 351

RICHES AND POVERTY

BOOK I

THE ERROR OF DISTRIBUTION

CHAPTER I

THOUGHTS ARISING OUT OF A GREAT CONTROVERSY

During recent years a considerable share of the thoughts of men has been

devoted to the consideration of one part of our fiscal policy,—that part

which is concerned with Customs duties. In public and in private, on

hundreds of platforms and in thousands of homes, the ancient issue has

been debated between those who hold that Customs duties should be

imposed for revenue purposes only and those who contend that Customs

duties may be used as instruments with which to direct wisely the

agricultural, industrial and commercial development of a nation. In the

arguments which have been adduced by both sides in this controversy a

large part has been taken by evidence of the prosperity or want of

prosperity of the United Kingdom, as though Customs policy were the sole

factor in determining the wealth and progress of a people. Blind to the

fact that a wise Customs policy can at best enable a nation to make the

most of its natural advantages, extreme disputants have been engaged on

the one side in piling up incontestable evidences of British wealth and

on the other side in producing equally incontestable evidences of

British poverty. The Free Trader has revelled in import and export,

shipping, banking and revenue statistics, while the Protectionist has

reminded us of the existence of millions on the verge of hunger, of

hundreds of thousands of paupers, and of tens if not hundreds of

thousands of unemployed. The Free Trader has demonstrated that, as a

whole, we are a wealthy and a prosperous people. The Protectionist has

been able to throw doubt upon that wealth and prosperity chiefly because

it is an indisputable fact that, whatever may be true of our accumulated

wealth and total income, every British city has its slums, its paupers

and its out-of-works. The Protectionist has been unable to resist the

Free Trade evidence as to the magnificence of our commerce and shipping

and the increasing national income recorded by the Inland Revenue

Commissioners. The Free Trader has had reluctantly to admit the

existence, in our wealthy country, of social disorders and masses of

extreme poverty which are terrible blots upon our prosperity. If one

side has dwelt almost exclusively upon signs of wealth and the other

side almost exclusively upon evidences of poverty, what else could be

expected when a highly complicated problem became the shuttlecock of

faction? Even honest politicians become afraid to make statements which

may be treated as "admissions" when party feeling runs high. The more

should we welcome the notable utterance of Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman

at Perth on June 5th, 1903:

"But I take it (the Chamberlain policy of 'Preference') as confined to

food, and it amounts to this, that the cost of the necessaries of daily

life is to be raised to the people of this country in order that the

Colonial producer may do more business, make larger profit, and the

landowner get better rents. Now the pinch of this does not fall upon the

well-to-do. It may be an inconvenience to a great number of people, but

the real pinch of it falls upon a needier class altogether, who are

sadly large among us. What is the population of the Colonies which I

have named? About thirteen millions. This is the population who will

share more or less the benefit of this new arrangement. In this country

we know, thanks to the patience and accurate scientific investigations

of Mr Rowntree and Mr Charles Booth, that there is about 30 per cent. of

our population underfed, on the verge of hunger. Thirty per cent. of 41

millions comes to something over 12 millions—almost identical as you see

with the whole population of the Colonies. So that it comes to this,

that for every man in the Colonies who is benefited, one head is shoved

under water in this country. I think I might set down that fact as

almost enough of itself to condemn any scheme, however plausible. Surely

the fact that about 30 per cent. of the population is living in the grip

of perpetual poverty is, or ought to be, a sufficient answer to the

Prime Minister's complacent suggestion that we can now afford to try

experiments which fifty years ago were not to be thought of."

These words have been widely used as a reply to the assertion that we

are a prosperous people. Their true meaning is, that while we have

acquired great wealth, and enjoy a considerable national income, that

wealth and that income are not so distributed as to give a sufficiency

of material things to all our population. As for their use as an

"argument" for Protection, we have but to turn to that land favoured of

nature, the United States of America, to find records of poverty fully

as distressing as our own.

Mr Robert Hunter, the American sociologist, thus summarises the poverty

of the United States of America: "There are probably in fairly

prosperous years no less than 10,000,000 persons in poverty; that is to

say, underfed, underclothed, and poorly housed. Of these about 4,000,000

persons are public paupers. Over 2,000,000 working men are unemployed

from four to six months in the year. About 500,000 male immigrants

arrive yearly and seek work in the very districts where unemployment is

greatest. Nearly half of the families in the country are propertyless.

Over 1,700,000 little children are forced to become wage-earners when

they should still be in school. About 5,000,000 women find it necessary

to work, and about 2,000,000 are employed in factories, mills, etc.

Probably no less than 1,000,000 workers are injured or killed each year

while doing their work, and about 10,000,000 of the persons now living

will, if the present ratio is kept up, die of the preventable disease,

tuberculosis."

We have, then, to thank the fiscal controversy for this: In the belief

that evidence of prosperity, or the reverse of prosperity, is a proof or

disproof, as the case may be, of the wisdom of a particular Customs

policy, we have been reminded at once of our riches and of our poverty.

Through the controversy over that absurd phrase the "balance of trade,"

worthy landsmen have been reminded that the United Kingdom possesses

half the world's seagoing ships, and poor clerks have learned with

astonishment that our oversea investments produce over £100,000,000 of

profits per annum. The unemployed workman, drawing from his beneficent

trade union the small allowance with which his own thrift has provided

him, and which barely keeps the wolf from his door, has learned that our

imports of food—"chiefly from foreign countries"—are worth £200,000,000

per annum. Millions—other people's millions—have become common objects

of the newspaper column, and it is probable that a great part of our

population is now acquainted with the fact that the gross income brought

under the review of the Income Tax Commissioners is about £1,000,000,000

per annum. It has also, alas, become familiar that our Poor Law

expenditure reaches £17,000,000 a year, and that, even in our best years

of trade, many of our skilled workmen are denied the means of earning

their livelihood. While demonstrating our prosperity the good Free

Trader has paused to write a cheque for a West Ham Distress Fund, or

subscribed some shillings for a children's slum party.

The object of these pages is to help the reader to form an accurate idea

of the distribution of the wealth which results from our industries and

commerce. 44,000,000 people in the United Kingdom work to produce

certain commodities, and a part of this output is exchanged for

commodities produced in other lands. We produce, we export, and we

import, and our home production increased by our imports and decreased

by our exports constitutes a great income which is divided up amongst us

in such manner that some of us are rich and some of us are poor. Let us

endeavour to make concrete our ideas on the subject of riches and

poverty, that we make quite sure what we mean when we speak of the

wealth and prosperity of the United Kingdom.

CHAPTER II

THE NATIONAL INCOME

In considering and estimating the national income it is necessary to

remind ourselves, in the first place, that our production, our exports

and our imports, alike consist of both goods and services. The processes

of thought and action result in the conception, production, distribution

and use of ponderable and imponderable commodities. In an advanced

community the greater part of the material and immaterial productions

which are the expressions of its various activities becomes the subject

of exchange. The many exchanges are made by reference to a common

standard, and thus we are enabled to measure, in terms of money, the

greater part of the national income. There remains a not inconsiderable

production of ponderable and imponderable things which it is difficult

or impossible to measure in terms of money, but upon which largely

depends the happiness of a people. The material produce which does not

become the subject of exchange, includes several very important items,

amongst which may be mentioned the produce of the gardens or allotments

of many agricultural labourers, and the production of clothing and the

cooking of food by the women of the middle and lower classes. The

immaterial things which do not come into the market are exceedingly

important, especially to the poor. The household work of a poor woman

with a husband and several children, if it could be measured in terms of

money, would be worth a considerable sum. The imponderable part, the

managing, the careful buying, the arranging, the cleaning, the serving,

added to the manufacturing part, the cooking and the stitching, go often

to make a sixteen-hours' working day, and who shall place a market price

upon each of the sixteen hours? In the well-to-do household we also find

the woman active for some fourteen or sixteen hours a day, but the

product of the hours is more often immaterial than in the poor man's

home. Thus the care of servants has been known to cause the expenditure

of much time and anxiety by women of large income. A rich woman who has

studied under Marchesi may exercise in private, to solace her father or

lover, a soprano worth one shilling per note in the public concert-room.

It is worth no less in the drawing-room, but in estimating the national

income we have to neglect its market value just as we must neglect that

of the poor woman's apple-pie.

With this reminder as to the production of unexchanged commodities,

which, while important, are yet but an exceedingly small part of the

product of the entire activities of our people, I proceed to an

examination of the money value of that greater part of the product which

is bought and sold.

The collection of the Income Tax makes a more or less complete

inquisition into the profits or salaries received or earned by those

whose incomes exceed £160 per annum. Below that limit income tax is not

payable, but a small amount of the income of persons with less than this

£3 per week does actually come under the review of the Commissioners.

If we take the figures of the latest period of which we have record, we

find that in the financial year 1908-9 (_i.e._ the twelve months ended

March 31st, 1909) the following particulars of gross incomes were

ascertained by the Inland Revenue Officials (fifty-third Report of the

Commissioners of Inland Revenue, Cd. 5308, p. 105):—

GROSS AMOUNT OF INCOME BROUGHT UNDER REVIEW IN 1908-9

Schedule A. Profits from the ownership of

lands, houses, railways, mines, etc. £269,900,000

Schedule B. Profits from the occupation

of lands (Farmers' Tax) 17,400,000

Schedule C. Profits from British, Indian,

Colonial and Foreign Government

Securities 47,500,000

Schedule D. Profits from Businesses, Concerns,

Professions, Employments, etc.,

including certain profits from places

abroad 565,600,000

Schedule E. Salaries of Government,

Corporation, and Public Company

Officials 109,600,000

--------------

£1,010,000,000

--------------

The following table shows the growth of the aggregate during the past

fifteen years:—

GROSS PROFITS ASSESSED TO INCOME TAX

(_From Inland Revenue Report_)

1893-4 £673,700,000

1894-5 657,100,000

1895-6 677,800,000

1896-7 704,700,000

1897-8 734,500,000

1898-9 762,700,000

1899-1900 791,700,000

1900-1 833,300,000

1901-2 867,000,000

1902-3 879,600,000[1]

1903-4 902,800,000[2]

1904-5 912,100,000

1905-6 925,200,000

1906-7 943,700,000

1907-8 980,100,000

1908-9 1,010,000,000

It should be observed that these figures are for gross income, and some

adjustments have to be made before we can arrive at the total income of

that part of the nation which has the mingled pleasure and pain of

paying Income Tax.

From the £1,010,000,000 brought under review in 1908-9, the Inland

Revenue authorities allowed the following deductions before arriving at

taxable incomes:—

(_a_) Exemptions in respect of incomes

under £160 per annum £58,400,000

(_b_) Abatements on incomes ranging from

£160 per annum to £700 per annum 120,300,000

(_c_) Life Insurance Premiums 10,500,000

(_d_) Charities, Hospitals, Friendly

Societies, etc. 11,800,000

(_e_) Repairs to Lands and Houses 40,100,000

(_f_) Wear and tear of Machinery and Plant 22,900,000

(_g_) Other Allowances 52,700,000

------------

Total Deductions £316,700,000

============

So that Income Tax in 1908-9 was actually collected not upon

£1,010,000,000 but upon £693,300,000.

But we have not to make all the above deductions in arriving at the

actual income of the income tax paying class. We have only to deduct

those items which are not the real income of that class, viz.:—

(_a_) Exemptions in respect of incomes

under £160 £58,400,000

(_d_) Charities, Hospitals, etc. 11,800,000

(_e_) Repairs to Lands and Houses 40,100,000

(_f_) Wear and tear of Machinery 22,900,000

(_g_) Other Allowances 52,700,000

------------

£185,900,000

============

Deducting these items we get:—

GROSS ASSESSMENTS TO INCOME TAX

CORRECTED[3]

Gross Assessments 1908-9 £1,010,000,000

Less Deductions as above 185,900,000

--------------

£824,100,000

==============

This figure may be compared with the £719,500,000 given on page 11 of

"Riches and Poverty" (1905) for the fiscal year 1902-3. The increase is

no less than £104,600,000 in five years, and this increase is especially

commended to the notice of those critics who have worked so hard to

whittle away a little from my estimates of 1903-4. The onward sweep of

the figures has been magnificent; and accomplished facts now provide the

apologists of the rich with the task of explaining away another

£100,000,000 or so per annum.

To resume, the £824,100,000 arrived at above, handsome figure as it is,

is certainly not complete. There is unquestionably still a considerable

amount of evasion under Schedule D of the Income Tax. The landlords of

Schedule A cannot escape assessment because the tax is paid by occupiers

and deducted from rent, but there is a certain amount of

under-assessment. Under Schedules B, C and E evasion is, for the most

part, difficult or impossible. Under Schedule D,[4] however, a large

number of incomes are understated and many which ought to be assessed

escape altogether. It is almost as true to-day as it was in 1861 that,

in the words of Mr Lowe's Draft Report to the Income Tax Committee of

that year, "Schedule D depends on the conscience of the tax-payer who

often, it is to be feared, returns hundreds instead of thousands, and

who is certain to decide any question that he can persuade himself to

think doubtful, in his own favour." It is recorded by the Income Tax

Commissioners in their Twenty-Eighth Annual Report that when, in 1803,

taxation at source was substituted for self-assessment in the case of

all income but business profits, the effect was to make the produce of

the tax at 5 per cent. in 1803 almost equal to that of 10 per cent. in

1799, showing that in the earlier year those who assessed themselves

unaccountably overlooked one-half of their incomes. Dudley Baxter

reminds us in his classical paper on the National Income[5] that in his

Budget Speech in 1853 Mr Gladstone quoted a remarkable instance of

evasion. When Cannon Street Station was constructed, twenty-eight

persons claimed compensation for the loss of annual profits which they

estimated at £48,000. The jury, after considering their case, awarded

them £27,000. They had returned their profits to the Income Tax

Commissioners at £9,000! In recent years the formation of limited

liability companies has frequently revealed profits far in excess of

those previously stated under Schedule D. Whatever figure we allow for

such evasion must, in the nature of the case, be conjectural. In "Riches

and Poverty" (1905), p. 13, I estimated evasion and avoidance as 20 per

cent. of the declared profits. Twenty per cent. of £365,000,000 (the

profits of "Businesses, Professions, etc," assessed under Schedule D) in

1902-3 was £73,000,000. We have since had remarkable proof of the

reasonableness of this estimate. In 1907-8 the gross assessments to

Income Tax rose by £36,000,000 (see p. 11). There is little doubt that

part of the rise was due to Mr Asquith's enactment (Finance Act, 1907,

Clause 19) differentiating between earned and unearned incomes _on the

condition that earned or partly earned incomes up to £2,000 a year were

declared by their owners_. For the financial year 1907-8 does not

include the profits of the good year 1907 which (see Chap. 21) were not

assessed under our averaging system until 1908-9. It was the new

personal declarations which led to the revelation of income hitherto

escaping tax, and part of the £36,000,000 rise in assessments in 1907-8

is undoubtedly part also of the estimate of £73,000,000 escaping tax

which I made in "Riches and Poverty" (1905). For 1908-9, therefore, I

reduce my estimate of income escaping tax accordingly. I now take it as

£60,000,000 in 1908-9.

Another point for consideration is the amount of profit received by

persons in this country from places abroad. It is exceedingly difficult

to tax the whole of such profits. In 1908-9, £88,800,000, made up as

follows, was ear-marked by the Commissioners as profit received from

abroad:—

ASSESSED PROFITS EAR-MARKED AS

RECEIVED FROM ABROAD, 1908-9

(1) India Government Stocks, Loans }

and Guaranteed Railways } £9,000,000

(2) Colonial or Foreign Government }

Securities } 23,200,000

(3) Colonial or Foreign Securities,

other than Government, Coupons,

and Oversea Railways other

than those in (1) 56,600,000

-----------

£88,800,000

===========

The total profit received or receivable yearly in this country from

oversea investments it is impossible to estimate precisely, but there is

good reason to believe that it is not less than £140,000,000. It should

not be imagined, however, that the whole of the difference between this

sum and that ear-marked by the Commissioners escapes assessment.

Undoubtedly some of it eludes taxation, but a considerable sum, it

should be remembered, is included with ordinary business profits under

Schedule D. A few illustrations will make this clear. Messrs Armstrong,

Whitworth & Co. have a shipyard in Italy the profits of which are

received in this country, but are not distinguished from the ordinary

profits of the company in the income-tax assessment. The same is true of

such a firm as Lipton Ld. which owns extensive tea plantations in

Ceylon. The profits made in Ceylon and remitted to this country are

included in and assessed with the general profits of the business. There

are a large number of firms which similarly own foreign or colonial

property or branches which are organic parts of their businesses and are

often the sources of their materials. When allowance is made for these

facts it is probable that some £115,000,000 of oversea profits

(including the nearly £90,000,000 or so actually ear-marked) are

assessed to income tax, leaving but about £25,000,000 unassessed.

Accepting these figures, we arrive at the following estimate of the

total income enjoyed by those persons who have over £3 per week:—

INCOME OF PERSONS ENJOYING OVER £160

PER ANNUM, 1908-9

Gross Assessments to Income Tax Schedules

A, B, C, D, and E £1,010,000,000

_Deduct_

Items not representing real income, etc.

(see page 12) 185,900,000

--------------

£824,100,000

_Add_

(_a_) For under-assessment under

Schedule D 60,000,000

(_b_) Foreign profits escaping tax 25,000,000

------------

£909,100,000

============

The foregoing figures relate to the fiscal year ended March 31st, 1909,

the latest period for which detailed figures are available.

It is necessary to point out again that while this fiscal year 1908-9

covered the assessment of the calendar year 1907, which was a year of

great profit-making, it did not fully assess the profits of that boom

year. Under Schedule D of the Income Tax the profits assessed in 1908-9

were the profits of the three years 1905, 1906, and 1907. That is to

say, the figures just arrived at, £909,100,000, _are an understatement

of the true aggregate incomes of those having upwards of £160 a year in

1907_. The actual income of the income tax payers in 1907 greatly

exceeded £909,000,000.

In "Riches and Poverty" (1905) my equally conservative estimate of the

income tax payers' aggregate income for 1903-4 was £830,000,000. We

therefore get the following comparison:—

GROWTH OF AGGREGATE INCOME OF PERSONS

ENJOYING OVER £160 A YEAR

1903-4. Estimate of "Riches and }

Poverty" (1905) } £830,000,000

1908-9. Estimate of this Edition }

(1910) } 909,000,000

------------

Increase £79,000,000

============

And this remarkable growth in five years is shown in spite of the fact

that I have allowed for £13,000,000 of income tax assessment as being

due to increased severity of collection, for I have assumed that

£13,000,000 more of existing home profits were revealed in 1908-9 than

in 1903-4.

Now let us turn to the incomes which do not exceed £160 a year, and

which, therefore, are not assessable to income tax.

First of all, we have the class of small incomes which lie between the

manual workers and the income tax payers. We cannot hope, in view of the

poverty of the information which our present Census methods place at our

disposal, to estimate this part of the national income with any degree

of confidence, and we can at best arrive at a rough approximation. I

estimate that in 1908, of our "occupied" population, about 3,100,000

were neither income tax payers on the one hand nor manual labourers on

the other hand. That is to say, they were petty tradesmen, civil

servants, clerks, shopmen, travellers, canvassers, agents, teachers,

farmers, inn-keepers, lodging-house-keepers, pensioners, and so forth,

whose profits or salaries are below £3 per week. At what rate can we

estimate their average income?

The total includes a very considerable number of young persons between

10 and 20 years of age. The teachers, some 250,000 in number, include

pupil teachers of both sexes whose remuneration begins at a few

shillings per week, and as a whole the teaching profession is wretchedly

paid. The commercial and law clerks, some 500,000 in number, include

juniors, office boys, and poorly paid girl typists. As to shopkeepers,

there is an exceedingly large number of these distributing agents whose

incomes are of the slenderest dimensions. Unfortunately we do not know

how many shops in the United Kingdom have an annual value of less than

£20, but their number must be very great, and the petty tradesmen who

keep them have to work hard for poor returns. We have also to remember

the quite considerable number of shops which are branches of great

distributive firms and managed by shopmen with small salaries. As to

shop assistants in general, their salaries are exceedingly small. I am

informed by the National Amalgamated Union of Shop Assistants,

Warehousemen and Clerks that the average male assistant "living in" gets

from £25 to £30 per annum plus "premiums" and board and lodging, while

"living out" the average is about £74. Grocery and boot salesmen in the

shops of big distributing companies, who often are not required to "live

in," get from 20s. to 30s. per week. The wages of the "managers" of

shops are sometimes as low as 25s. per week. As for the value of the

"living in," this may be illustrated by the fact that in a certain West

of London house, where "living in" is the rule, a man applied for

permission to "live out." He was told that he could do so, but that only

£5 per annum extra could be allowed him. In a return to the Board of

Trade for the purpose of statistics, the same employer would doubtless

value the same "truck" at £30 or £40 per annum. I have before me the

wages paid to the young women who work for a great multiple shop firm

with 200 shops; they range from 3s. to 11s. per week!

Passing to the class of commercial travellers and canvassers, there is

perhaps no calling in which earnings vary so greatly. While there are a

number in the income-tax class, there are thousands of men included in

the class we are now considering who live on "commission only," and

thousands more who are paid by generous employers 15s. to 25s. per week

plus a small commission. Advertisement and book canvassers are engaged

upon widely varying terms, and many of them have a very precarious

livelihood.

In "Riches and Poverty," edition 1905, I wrote: "Nearly the whole of the

farmers of the United Kingdom earn less than £160 per annum. Out of a

total profit of £17,500,000 as much as £11,000,000 is excused on the

ground that income is below £160. This £17,500,000 is the annual income

of an uncertain number of the larger farmers, probably as many as

300,000, which gives an average income of about £60 per annum! In

1902-3, 302 farmers elected to have their actual profits assessed under

Schedule D. They were assessed at £10,974, which gives an average of

only £37 per annum. These 302 farmers paid an aggregate rental of

£116,259!"

These remarks did not take sufficient account of the under-assessment of

farmers' profits under Schedule B. It would probably have been nearer

the mark to take one-half of the rental paid rather than the official

one-third as representing farmers' profits. If we did so, the profits of

300,000 farmers would come out at say £26,000,000 instead of

£17,500,000, and the average profit would run to £87 per annum. Even

this correction, however, would leave the great majority of our farmers

under the £160 income tax line.

These notes on some of the largest classes of persons which go to make

up the order of incomes immediately under consideration will serve to

show that we are dealing with working men and working women whose

earnings are exceedingly small. It should also be remembered that many

of them are subject to losses from terms of unemployment. Clerks and the

poorer travellers have little security of tenure, and at any given time

there are many out of work. Hundreds of applications are commonly

received in reply to single advertisements for clerks and travellers. To

the petty tradesman bad trade does not spell "unemployment," but it

often spells keeping a shop which does not keep its proprietor for many

months.

Taking everything into consideration, and remembering that no large

incomes are introduced to weight the average, the upper limit being as

low as £160 per annum, I do not think we can estimate the average income

of the 3,100,000 persons at more than £75 per annum, and I should put

the figure lower if I did not assume that a certain amount of interest

is drawn by some members of the group. This estimate gives £232,000,000

as the annual income of those who are not "manual" workers, but whose

incomes are not assessed to income tax because they are less than £3 per

week.

I have thus assigned to these members of the lower middle classes no

greater earning power than they possessed in 1903. I think I am well

advised in this. As will be seen later, wages have been almost

stationary of late, and there is no reason to believe that clerks,

commission men, etc., have fared better. Even as I write there comes to

me a letter from a man whom I employed when editing a newspaper some

years ago. He says (August 1910), "My present wage is 25s. per week,

with no allowance for lodging out when doing country work. It is easily

understood that this is not a sum which allows of luxuries for the

present or provision for the future." He is now a directory canvasser,

one of thousands in the employ of a large firm of publishers.

Since these pages went to the printer, a Committee of the British

Association has issued a Report (1910) on the group of incomes just

referred to which largely confirms the conclusions I presented in 1905.

The Committee arrive at an average earned income of £71 against the £75

which I consider to cover both earned and unearned incomes. They treat

of 4,000,000 people where I treat of 3,100,000, but that is because,

while I exclude manual labourers as a class, the Committee include many

manual labourers. Thus the Committee include sweeps in this intermediate

class, while I include them with the manual workers whose earnings we

shall next consider.

We now come to the largest class of the working population, the "manual

workers" commonly so called.

Including persons of both sexes and all ages, I estimate from the census

returns the number of manual workers in our population of 44,500,000 at

15,500,000. This number includes, in addition to all those engaged in

industrial, agricultural, and domestic service, soldiers, sailors,

policemen, and postmen.

In 1886 the Board of Trade conducted the only Census of Wages made in

the United Kingdom prior to 1907. (We have not yet had a report on the

later Census.) Sir Robert Giffen, who in his then capacity as Assistant

Secretary of the Board of Trade in charge of the Commercial Department,

directed the Census, describes in his General Report issued in 1893 (C.

6889) the method adopted. Schedules were sent out to employers, after

careful consideration of the circumstances of each industry, specifying

the various occupations of each trade and asking for details as to rates

of wages, the numbers employed at each rate, the hours of labour, and so

forth.

As to industrial employment generally the following trades were

investigated: Cotton, woollen, worsted, linen, jute, hemp, silk, carpet,

hosiery and lace manufacture, smallwares, flock and shoddy manufacture,

coal and iron mines, metalliferous mines, paraffin oil works, slate

mines and quarries, granite quarries and works, stone quarries, china

clay works, police, construction and care of roads, pavements and

sewers, gasworks, waterworks, pig-iron manufacture, general engineering,

iron and brass foundries, iron and steel, shipbuilding (iron and wood),

tin plate manufacture, saw mills, brass and metal wares, cooperage

works, coach and carriage building, boot and shoe making, breweries,

distilleries, brick and tile making, chemical manure manufacture, and

railway carriage and wagon building.

The details obtained related to 355,838 men, 80,253 boys, 151,263 women

and 48,772 girls, and were considered by Sir Robert Giffen to be

"representative of, perhaps, three-fourths of the manual labour classes

of the United Kingdom." He also expressed the opinion that the "broad

results shown by the census summary would not be sensibly modified by

including the great mass of other employments not comprised in that

summary."

In the following table the Board of Trade summarised the proportion of

men, women, boys and girls working at various rates of wages, in 1886,

in the industries which I have mentioned:—

WAGES IN 1886. THE BOARD OF TRADE SUMMARY OF RATES OF WAGES (NOT ACTUAL

EARNINGS) DERIVED FROM THE DETAILED EXAMINATION OF 38 SELECTED

INDUSTRIAL OCCUPATIONS

Men. Women. Boys. Girls.

Per Cent. Per Cent. Per Cent. Per Cent.

Half Timers -- -- 11.9 27.2

Under 10s. per week 0.1 26.0 49.7 62.5

10s. to 15s. " 2.4 50.0 32.5 8.9

15s. to 20s. " 21.5 18.5 5.8 1.4

20s. to 25s. " 33.6 5.4 0.1 --

25s. to 30s. " 24.2 0.1 -- --

30s. to 35s. " 11.6 -- -- --

35s. to 40s. " 4.2 -- -- --

Above 40s. " 2.4 -- -- --

----- ----- ----- -----

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

----- ----- ----- -----

Average Rate of _s._ _d._ _s._ _d._ _s._ _d._ _s._ _d._

wages 24 9 12 11 9 2 6 5

It will be seen that the average rate of men's wages came out at 24s.

9d. per week or, say, £64 per annum in a year of constant occupation.

The weighted average rate for both sexes and all ages comes out at 17s.

6d. per week or, counting 52 weeks' work in the year, £45. 10s. per

annum.

The Board of Trade also investigated the rates of wages in other

occupations, and the following table compares the £64 of the adult males

in general industries with the rates of wages paid to adult males in (1)

railway service, (2) building, (3) mercantile marine, (4) Royal Navy,

(5) Army, (6) domestic service, (7) asylums, (8) hospitals (in 1886

unless another date is given):—

AVERAGE RATES OF WAGES (NOT ACTUAL

EARNINGS) FOR MEN IN 1886

Per Annum

Average of Wage Census (38 Industrial occupations) £64

Railways (for 1891) 60

Building Trades (for 1891) 73

Seamen: Mercantile Marine, including estimated }

value of food and berths } 65

Royal Navy, including value of food, etc. 65

Army (Non-Coms, and men). Including value }

of food, etc. } 48

Domestic Servants (large households). Including }

value of food, etc. } 68

Employees in Lunatic Asylums. Including value }

of food, etc. } 60

Employees in Hospitals and Infirmaries. Including }

value of food, etc. } 61

---

Unweighted Average £62

---

In his report already referred to, Sir Robert Giffen, after detailing

the average rates of the above table, says (p. xxxiii): "Thus in nearly

all these trades the average rates are about the same as the average

rate in the Census of Wages Summary." But the table does not include the

badly paid agricultural labourer, the largest group of all, and the

figures for seamen, etc., are, it should be observed, swollen by

estimates of the value of board and lodging.

Finally, Sir Robert Giffen arrived at the general conclusion that "the

broad results shown by the census summary would not be sensibly modified

by including the great mass of other employments not comprised in that

summary."

In January 1893 Sir Robert Giffen gave evidence before the Labour

Commission and submitted the facts I have detailed. He prepared a

general estimate of the proportion of the national income then taken by

the wage-earning classes, and his evidence on this point (questions 6909

to 6914) is summarized in the following table:—

EARNINGS OF MANUAL LABOURERS IN 1886

(Sir Robert Giffen's estimate for the Labour Commission)

Number. Annual Average Aggregate Earnings.

per Wage-Earner.

Men 7,300,000 £60 0 0 £439,000,000

Women 2,900,000 40 0 0 118,000,000

Boys 1,700,000 23 8 0 46,000,000

Girls 1,260,000 23 0 0 29,000,000

---------- --------- ------------

13,200,000 £48 0 0 £633,000,000

---------- --------- ------------

There can be no question that this estimate of Sir Robert Giffen's

somewhat exaggerated the actual earnings of manual labourers as a whole.

In the first place, it was too much to assume that the 24s. 9d. per week

or £64 per annum was representative of the whole of adult male labour.

Without introducing agricultural labourers (the largest group in the

country), general labourers, postmen, and other ill-paid workers, the

unweighted average of the table on page 24 is £62. If £60 per annum had

been given as the average _rate of wages_ of all the adult male workers

in 1886 it would probably have been an exaggeration. It was not given as

a rate of wages, however, but as the actual earnings of the men after

all allowance made for short time, unemployment, sickness, accidents,

strikes, lockouts, stress of weather, etc. Sir Robert Giffen appears to

have assumed that all the adult male workers of the United Kingdom were

employed on the average about 50 weeks out of 52, and were paid at the

average rate of £64 per annum!

In 1866 Leone Levi, in estimating the manual workers' earnings, assumed

that four weeks per annum were lost. Dudley Baxter in 1867 pointed out,

in criticism of Leone Levi, that if four weeks' "play" were all that

need be allowed "England would be a perfect Paradise for working

men."[6] Dudley Baxter, in view of the circumstances of his day, allowed

ten weeks for "play" in making his estimate, and there can be no

question that he was nearer the truth than Levi. At the present day the

level of employment is very much the same as it has been for the past

forty years, while sickness, accidents, and the weather are still with

us. We need not wonder, then, if Professor A. L. Bowley, who has given

the subject of wages so much attention, bases his estimates upon the

loss of six weeks' work per annum through sickness and holidays, and

makes an additional allowance for unemployment, while also assuming that

10 per cent. of the working population only get casual or irregular

work, bringing them in about half the amount shown in the Wage Census.[7]

If the estimate given to the Labour Commission had allowed for six

weeks' "play," the average earnings of men, women, boys and girls would

have come out at £40. 5s. per annum instead of £48, and the aggregate

earnings, therefore, at much less than £633,000,000. Leone Levi's

estimate for 1884, allowing for only four weeks' play in the year, was

£521,000,000. This figure is too large, but it is over £100,000,000 less

than that of Sir Robert Giffen.

I now take the Wage Census figure of 1886 as a basis and correct it for

the upward movement of wages since that date by the wage index numbers

of the Board of Trade (Cd. 4954, which slightly corrects the index

numbers of Cd. 1761, used in "Riches and Poverty," 1905 edition, p. 24),

which are based on the mean of over 150 rates:—

Average Wage

(Men, Women, and Board of Trade

Year. Children) per Index Number

Week. 1900 = 100.*

_s._ _d._

1886 (Wage Census figure) 17 6 82.86

1900 " " 21 1 100.00

1908 " " 21 3 101.02

* The meaning of this column is that, if the average wage of 1900 be

represented by 100, the average wage of 1886 is represented by 82·86 and

that of 1908 by 101·02.

We thus arrive at 21s. 3d. as the average weekly wage of the manual

workers in 1908. There is much reason to believe that this estimate errs

on the side of liberality. It is unfortunate that we have not a

compulsory wage census, and the method of estimation used here can

pretend to no more than approximation. It neglects the important fact

that between 1886 and 1908 the ranks of women and child workers have

swollen at the expense of adult male workers. The 15,500,000 (estimated)

manual workers of 1908 consisted as to a larger proportion of women and

children than the 13,200,000 (estimated) manual workers of 1886. I

regard the 21s. 3d., therefore, as the most liberal figure that can be

put forward as the average earnings of the men and women and child

workers of the United Kingdom in 1908.

We have now to decide what allowances should be made (1) for the great

army of casual, incompetent, and aged or ageing workers who figure in

the census returns as following definite occupations, and (2) for the

loss of time through unemployment, sickness, accidents, stress of

weather, strikes, lockouts, "bank" and other holidays, etc., in the case

of the remaining workers.

With regard to the first item, I do not think we are justified in

estimating the incompetents and casuals at less than 1,000,000 out of

the 15,500,000. For the purposes of the present estimate, I assume that

these 1,000,000 workers earn, on the average, £25 per head per annum, or

an aggregate of £25,000,000. My view is that this is a liberal estimate

of the earnings of what may be termed the camp-followers of the

industrial army.

With regard to the remaining 14,500,000, we have to form an estimate of

the amount of time lost per annum through voluntary or enforced leisure.

No certain information exists, and the widest differences of opinion

have been expressed on the subject. As I have said above, Dudley Baxter

took ten weeks; Leone Levi took four weeks; Mr A. L. Bowley takes six

weeks plus a further allowance for unemployment.

The Board of Trade, in their recent examination of fluctuations in

employment, made an analysis from the records of the Amalgamated Society

of Engineers, combined with information supplied by employers, of the

time lost in the engineering trade. They came to the conclusion that, in

an average year, perhaps 8 per cent. of working time was lost from all

causes, and expressed the opinion that in a good year the loss might

fall to 4 per cent. and in a bad year rise to 15 per cent. or more (Cd.

2337, p. 101). This would mean, for the engineering trade only, a loss

of time varying from only two weeks in the year to as much as eight

weeks or more.

In other employments the widest variations exist. There are the quite

regular employments, such as the army, the navy, the postal service, the

police service, and, for the greater part, the railway service. There

are violently fluctuating employments, such as the building trades and

the shipbuilding trades. In all alike, sickness takes its toll, and

unemployment arises from accidents, from disputes, from "drink," and

from seasonal influences and depression, while, on the other hand,

overtime occasionally goes to swell the aggregate earnings.

I make the assumption that the average working year of the 14,500,000

remaining wage-earners consists of 44 weeks. Applying the average wage

already arrived at (21s. 3d. per week), we get an average annual earning

of, say, £46. 15s., which gives us £678,000,000 as the probable

aggregate earnings of the 14,500,000 workers. Adding the £25,000,000

assumed to be earned by the remaining 1,000,000, we arrive at

£703,000,000 as the total earnings of the manual labourers in 1908.

It is probable that this calculation does not take sufficient account

either of the changes of occupations since 1886, or, as has been already

pointed out, of the changes in the respective proportions of men, women

and children employed. The average wage of the 1886 Census, taken as the

basis of the calculation, was, it is necessary to insist, exaggerated by

the omission of the most ill-paid workmen, while the returns upon which

it was based, framed as they were by employers, are only too likely in a

proportion of cases to have put the wages paid in the most favourable

light. The employers again, who filled in the forms, were only some 75

per cent. of the firms applied to by the Board of Trade, and it is a

fair inference that those who neglected to reply had no excessive pride

in the records of their wage-sheets. I submit, therefore, that as the

1886 average wage figure is a liberal estimate,[8] the figure which I

have deduced from it does not, in all probability, err on the side of

under-estimation.

Professor Bowley estimates the total paid in wages in 1901 as

£705,000,000,[9] and the Board of Trade in the Fiscal Blue Book of 1903

(Cd. 1761) say:—

"From investigations based on the Board of Trade Census of Wages (1886)

combined with the recorded changes of wages since that date and the

distribution of the working population among various industries as shown

in the census returns, the total wages bill of the United Kingdom has

been estimated at between £700,000,000 and £750,000,000, according to

the state of employment."

The estimate which I have given, therefore, differs but little from

those of Professor Bowley and the Board of Trade.[10] I prefer to use

the smaller figures on several grounds. In the first place, the

allowance for "play" is a conservative one. In the second place, I have

the gravest doubts as to the propriety of including in the estimates of

the wages of domestic servants, sailors, and others, an allowance for

the value of "lodging," as is done in the figures used. To include so

many shillings a week for the accommodation afforded by a seaman's bunk

or a general servant's fraction of an attic is to flatter "earnings" out

of all resemblance to the truth. The free cottages and other allowances

to agricultural labourers are often of a scarcely marketable character.

We may be justified in valuing an unhealthy hovel at 1s. 6d. per week,

in view of the fact that the labourer, if he had it not, would need to

pay rent elsewhere, but in too many cases the "cottage" is fit not for

inhabitation but for demolition. In the third place, no allowance is

made for the excessive rents paid by workmen in London and other large

towns. These rents are really part of the working expenses of the wage

earners, and there is as good ground for making deductions on account of

them as there is for deducting wear and tear of machinery in the case of

income-tax incomes.

We can now arrive at an approximate estimate of the National Income as a

whole in 1908-9 (say 1908).

THE NATIONAL INCOME IN 1908

(1) Persons with incomes which exceed

£160 per annum £909,000,000

(2) Persons with incomes below £160 per

annum:—

(_a_) Persons earning small salaries,

petty tradesmen, etc. 232,000,000

(_b_) The wage-earning classes 703,000,000

--------------

£1,844,000,000

==============

It will be seen that _the income tax exemption limit of £160 per annum

splits the national income into two almost equal parts_. Of a total

income amounting to £1,844,000,000 in 1908, those with over £160 per

annum took £909,000,000, while those with less than £160 per annum took

£935,000,000.

[Footnote 1: Figures examined in "Riches and Poverty" (1905), Chapter 2.]

[Footnote 2: In "Riches and Poverty" (1905), Chapter 2, I estimated this

figure at £900,600,000.]

[Footnote 3: It has been too freely assumed in calculating the national

income that the gross assessments represent actual income.]

[Footnote 4: As Schedule D is an exceedingly important gauge of national

prosperity, it may be well to remind the reader of its precise

application. It is a tax upon all income derived from trades, industries

and professions, and from all sources not specified under the other four

Schedules. Profits from businesses established in places abroad are

assessable under it. The assessments are made annually, and are

generally based upon the mean of the income received during the

preceding three years. Fuller particulars will be found in Chapter 21.]

[Footnote 5: "National Income." R. Dudley Baxter. Macmillan & Co. 1868.]

[Footnote 6: "The National Income," Dudley Baxter.]

[Footnote 7: "Economic Journal," Sept. 1904. Page 458.]

[Footnote 8: Take, for example, the boot and shoe trade. The Wage Census

for 1886 (Cd. 6889, p. xiii.) gives the average earnings in boot and

shoe factories (both sexes and all ages) as £48 per annum. In 1908, more

than twenty years after, the Board of Trade "Labour Gazette" shows, from

employers' returns, that (in a July week) 60,337 boot workers took only

£58,147 in wages, which is about 19s. per week or £49, 8s. in a year of

52 such weeks. With regard to this trade, it is clear that either the

1886 estimate was too liberal, or that earnings have been practically

stationary in the twenty years.]

[Footnote 9: "Economic Journal," September 1904.]

[Footnote 10: If, however, the reader prefers to rely upon the larger

estimates he will find that the general conclusions of this and the

following chapter remain practically unaltered.]

CHAPTER III

DISTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL INCOME

Taking the population of the United Kingdom, 1908, at 44,500,000, and

the total income at £1,844,000,000, we get an average income per head of

about £40.

Thus, if the income of the nation were equally distributed amongst its

inhabitants, a family of five persons would enjoy an income of about

£200 per annum.

But how is the £1,840,000,000 actually divided amongst our people?

Contrasts between great riches and extreme poverty are every day

presented to our eyes. Can we do anything to reduce to a definite shape

our vague conceptions of riches and poverty?

Investigation of the material at our disposal has convinced me that it

is hopeless to do very much in the way of detailed classification of

incomes. Our census methods are ridiculously inadequate, and our

inquisition into individual incomes is but partial. It is possible,

however, to depict the subject of distribution in broad outlines with

considerable accuracy.

As we have already noticed, the £160 line at which assessment to income

tax begins, divides the national income into two almost equal parts.

Those persons who have more than £160 per annum enjoy an aggregate

income of £909,000,000. Those persons who have less than £160 per annum

enjoy an aggregate income of £935,000,000.

Let us endeavour to discover how many persons have an income of £160 and

upwards.

A certain amount of confused light is thrown on the subject by the

returns of the Inland Revenue Department. Under Schedules D and E, which

relate to profits from "Businesses, Concerns, Professions, Employment,

etc.," to use the official language,[11] the commissioners give us a

record of the number of individual assessments which are made. A summary

of these is as follows:—

INCOME TAX. SCHEDULES D AND E.

PROFITS FROM BUSINESSES, CONCERNS, EMPLOYMENTS, ETC.

Number of Gross Income

Assessments. Assessed.

(_a_) Persons not employees 416,661 £109,900,000

(_b_) Firms (number of partners

not known) 53,663 80,500,000

(_c_) Public Companies (number

of shareholders unknown) 37,937 291,000,000

(_d_) Local Authorities 11,985 24,000,000

(_e_) Bankers, Coupon dealers,

etc., deducting tax on

behalf of the Revenue not available 33,100,000

(_f_) Employees (Schedule D) 114,074 27,100,000

(_g_) Employees (Schedule E) 471,564 109,600,000

--------- ------------

1,105,884 £675,200,000

========= ============

We have thus a record of 1,100,000 _assessments_, but these assessments

do not always correspond to individual tax-payers.

Item _a_, "Persons not employees," gives us the fact that 416,661

individuals are taxed in respect of trading or professional profits.

Item _b_ reveals the existence of 53,663 firms with an unknown number of

partners. Item _c_ covers a great many large and small shareholders.

Item _d_ covers a large number of investors who have lent money to local

bodies. Item _e_ similarly covers many persons of property deriving

interest from various securities which are taxed "at the source." In

items _f_ and _g_ each assessment refers to an individual.

Further, these 1,100,000 assessments are made under Schedules D and E

only, which cover but £675,000,000 out of a total gross assessment to

income tax of £1,010,000,000 in 1908-9. There remain to consider

Schedules A, B, and C.

A moment's reflection will show that from these three schedules, which

deal respectively with realty, farmers' profits, and government

securities, we can expect little assistance. The assessments under

Schedule A are made upon tenants, who in the majority of cases are not

the actual and ultimate tax-payers. The number of assessments is

enormous; we do not know it, but it would not help us if we did, for it

has no relation whatever to the number of property owners. Under

Schedule B, as is explained elsewhere,[12] there are few income tax

payers. Under Schedule C certain interest from home and foreign

government securities is taxed, but not by assessment on the actual

tax-payers.

To sum up, the number of assessments to income tax is not known, and, if

it were known, it would be very much greater than the number of

individual tax-payers. Two-thirds of the income tax is collected, not

directly from the persons who owe the tax, but indirectly or "at the

source." It is possible for an individual tax-payer to appear more than

once in each schedule. With delightful humour the Inland Revenue

Commissioners give a hypothetical case of a composite income of £5000

per annum, made up as follows:—

HYPOTHETICAL COMPOSITE INCOME

Schedule. Amount.

A Profits from the Ownership of Lands, Houses, etc. £500

B " from the Occupation of Lands 200

C " from Government Securities 200

D " as an Author 100

D " as a Solicitor (partner in a firm the

total profits of which are £5000) 2,500

D " from Investments in a Public Company

(total profits of the Company,

£55,000) 500

D " Investment in Municipal Stock 100

D " from Investments in Foreign Bonds

(payable by coupons cashed in the

United Kingdom) 100

D " Salary as a Land-Agent 500

E " Salary as a Borough Auditor 300

------

£5,000

======

This hypothetical gentleman, who is at once a landlord, a farmer, a

fundholder, a man of letters, a lawyer, a shareholder, an investor in

foreign bonds, a land-agent, and a borough auditor, does great credit to

the sense of humour of the Inland Revenue authorities, and may be called

an extreme case. There are, however, tens of thousands of fortunate or

unfortunate persons who are at once business men, investors, and

landlords or houselords, and it is clear that if we are to arrive at the

actual number of individuals who earn or receive incomes of £160 per

annum or upwards we must proceed by other methods.

Before leaving the table on page 33, however, the reader should take

note of the low range of incomes it reveals, so far as individuals can

be detected in the list:

Per Annum.

(_a_) The 416,661 persons not employees have an

average income of £260

(_f_) The 114,074 employees taxed under

Schedule D have an average income of 230

(_g_) The 471,564 employees taxed under

Schedule E have an average income of 230

Many of these individuals have other sources of income beside their

earnings, but the low mean income of each class remains remarkable when

that fact is taken into account. Classes _f_ and _g_ cannot possibly

deceive the Income Tax Commissioners as to their incomes, for the law

compels employers to tell the authorities exactly what their employees

earn. With an average as low as £230 it is clear that the majority of

salaries lie between the exemption limit of £160 and £200 a year. The

under payment of the middle class stands revealed.

If the reader takes note of these facts he will be less surprised by the

results of the analysis to which we will now proceed.

We now turn to what information is available upon the subject of

individual incomes. So far as the poorer classes of income tax payers

are concerned, some clear light is afforded by the Income Tax

Commissioners in a table showing the number of persons claiming

abatements. This table, which is of great importance, is given on page

37.

These abatements are claimed by certain individuals who satisfy the

Commissioners that their entire incomes, _from every source_, lie

between £160 and £700 per annum. Thus we get definite information that

in 1908-9, 779,552 individuals declared their incomes to be within these

limits.

The record of the number of abatements is worth particular attention. In

1893-4 the limit of exemption was £150. In the following year the

exemption limit was raised £10 to £160, and for the first time an

abatement was allowed upon incomes up to £500. In 1898-9 abatements were

introduced on incomes up to £700.

INDIVIDUAL INCOMES BETWEEN £160 AND £700

Defined by claims for abatements

----------+--------------------------------------------------------------+

| ABATEMENTS. |

+----------+---------+-----------+---------+---------+---------+

| | £160 on | £100 on | £150 on | £120 on | £70 on |

| £120 on | incomes | incomes | incomes | incomes | incomes |

|incomes of|exceeding| exceeding |exceeding|exceeding|exceeding|

Year. | £150 and |£160 but | £400 but |£400 but |£500 but |£600 but |

| under | not | not | not | not | not |

| £400. |exceeding| exceeding |exceeding|exceeding|exceeding|

| | £400. | £500. | £500. | £600. | £700. |

----------+----------+---------+-----------+---------+---------+---------+

1893-4 | 509,397 | | | | | |

1894-5 |} | 436,325 | 13,010 | | | |

1895-6 |} | 449,003 | 20,375 | | | |

1896-7 |} | 464,017 | 23,492 | | | |

1897-8 |} | 481,306 | 26,056 | | | |

1898-9 |}Exemption| 495,791 |} | 31,669 | 11,115 | 3,940 |

1899-1900|}limit and| 515,680 |} | 38,055 | 16,861 | 6,714 |

1900-1 |}abatement| 530,014 |}Abatements| 42,123 | 20,520 | 8,647 |

1901-2 |}altered--| 554,727 |}extended--| 46,967 | 23,899 | 10,490 |

1902-3 |}see next | 575,444 |} see | 49,610 | 26,737 | 11,982 |

1903-4 |} column | 603,338 |}following | 51,922 | 27,777 | 12,879 |

1904-5 |} | 612,548 |} columns. | 53,384 | 29,227 | 13,483 |

1905-6 |} | 622,437 |} | 56,305 | 31,100 | 14,886 |

1906-7 |} | 628,818 |} | 58,704 | 33,150 | 16,607 |

1907-8 |} | 638,482 |} | 64,560 | 39,166 | 22,272 |

1908-9 |} | 648,310 |} | 66,523 | 40,721 | 23,998 |

----------+----------+---------+-----------+---------+---------+---------+

----------+---------+----------+--------

| | |

| | |

| | Annual | Rate of

| Total | Increase | Income

|Abatement|in No. of | Tax.

Year. |Granted. |Abatements|Pence in

| | Granted. | the £.

| | |

| | |

----------+---------+----------+--------

1893-4 | 509,397 | | 7

1894-5 | 449,335 | | 8

1895-6 | 469,378 | 20,043 | 8

1896-7 | 487,509 | 18,131 | 8

1897-8 | 507,362 | 19,853 | 8

1898-9 | 542,515 | 35,153 | 8

1899-1900| 577,310 | 34,795 | 8

1900-1 | 601,304 | 23,994 | 12

1901-2 | 636,083 | 34,779 | 14

1902-3 | 663,773 | 27,690 | 15

1903-4 | 695,916 | 32,143 | 12

1904-5 | 708,642 | 12,726 | 12

1905-6 | 724,728 | 16,086 | 12

1906-7 | 737,279 | 12,551 | 12

1907-8 | 764,480 | 27,201 |9 to 12

1908-9 | 779,552 | 15,072 |9 to 12

----------+---------+----------+--------

It will be seen that since 1897-8 there has been a rapid increase in the

number of abated incomes. This has been caused not by the sudden growth

of incomes of this class, but by (1) the abatements being better

understood, and (2) heavier taxation making it better worth while for

individuals to claim the abatements. With the income tax at 1s. and 1s.

3d. it became worth while to fill up the form. We have, then, to thank

the late war, and the increased taxation which followed it, for putting

at our disposal a fairly complete record of the number of individual

incomes between £160 and £700. Probably the record is still incomplete,

and we must make an allowance for the fact. It is probable also that a

certain number of persons of small income who ought to pay tax escape

assessment. Both counts, however, are certainly well covered by adding a

small percentage to the number of individual incomes revealed by the

claimed abatements. In "Riches and Poverty," edition 1905, with the

actual claims made standing at about 700,000, I suggested that 50,000

would be a fair estimate of the number not claiming abatements or who

escaped taxation. But in five years some 80,000 new claims have been

made. Over 27,000 of these were made in 1907-8; this was probably due to

the clause in the Finance Act of 1907 compelling all employers, and not

companies alone, to divulge their employees' incomes, thus bringing to

light non-assessed incomes and causing claims for abatements by their

owners. My estimate of 50,000 I should, in view of this further

information, raise to 90,000 or 100,000, and at the present time I am

inclined to think that some 40,000 incomes between £160 and £700 must

still be regarded as either escaping tax or as being not reviewed in the

abatements table. We thus arrive at, in round figures, 820,000 as a near

approximation to the number of individuals who possess between £160 and

£700 per annum.

The aggregate income of the 779,000 persons granted abatements in 1908-9

is not given in the report. We can, however, estimate it closely, and

this is done in the following table, figures being added for the 40,000

persons whom we have assumed either to neglect to claim abatements or to

escape taxation altogether:—

INDIVIDUAL INCOMES BETWEEN £160 AND £700 (1908)

Estimated

Aggregates.

648,000 Incomes between £160 and £400.

Average assumed to be £300 £194,400,000

67,000 Incomes between £400 and £500.

Average assumed to be £450 30,150,000

41,000 Incomes between £500 and £600.

Average assumed to be £550 22,550,000

24,000 Incomes between £600 and £700.

Average assumed to be £650 15,600,000

40,000 (balance of estimated total of

820,000) Incomes of persons who

either neglect to claim abatements or

altogether escape taxation. Average

assumed to be £300 12,000,000

------------

820,000 Incomes aggregate £274,700,000

To proceed, we see that some 820,000 persons enjoy an estimated

aggregate income of £274,700,000 per annum. But the total income of the

income tax paying classes we have already seen to be £909,000,000. There

remains therefore, to form an estimate of the number of persons who

enjoy the balance of £634,000,000.

Our best clue to these persons, who individually possess incomes

exceeding £700 a year, is to be found in the number of rich men's houses

in the United Kingdom.

In Great Britain an Inhabited House Duty is levied upon the occupiers of

all houses and residential business premises of an annual value

exceeding £20. The duty being graduated, we obtain records of the houses

of Great Britain classified according to their rentals. The duty is not

levied in Ireland.

The Inland Revenue report gives us the following interesting record.

GREAT BRITAIN ONLY: PRIVATE DWELLING-HOUSES OF £20 AND UPWARDS:

1908-9

Class of House. Number of Class of House. Number of

Houses. Houses.

£ 20 and under £25 384,583 | £ 20 and over 1,473,214

25 " 30 256,906 | 25 " 1,088,631

30 " 41 414,663 | 30 " 831,725

41 " 50 104,949 | 41 " 417,062

50 " 61 125,051 | 50 " 312,113

61 " 80 61,498 | 61 " 187,062

80 " 100 38,898 | 80 " 125,564

100 " 150 44,953 | 100 " 86,666

150 " 200 16,563 | 150 " 41,713

200 " 300 13,649 | 200 " 25,150

300 " 400 5,207 | 300 " 11,501

400 " 500 2,416 | 400 " 6,294

500 " 600 1,187 | 500 " 3,878

600 " 700 723 | 600 " 2,691

700 " 800 472 | 700 " 1,968

800 " 900 323 | 800 " 1,496

900 " 1000 176 | 900 " 1,173

1000 and over 997 | 1000 " 997

The figures refer to Great Britain only, but the number of income tax

payers in Ireland is small, the payment of income tax in that country,

in 1908, being but £996,000 out of £31,860,000 paid by the United

Kingdom as a whole.

If there were a constant ratio between incomes and rentals, and if every

private house contained but one family, the record of houses would be a

sufficient clue to the number of income tax payers; but there is no such

correspondence, and a considerable proportion of the houses are let in

tenements.

In London persons with an income over £160 a year rarely pay a rental

less than £30. In the provinces a rental as low as £25 may sometimes

represent an income tax payer. Many £25, £30, and even £40, and more

houses in London and elsewhere are tenement dwellings. Some notorious

London slums consist of houses of about £30 annual value. In West London

6s. a week, £15, 12s. a year, commands two poor rooms.

Some residential shops, etc., not included in the above list, house

income tax payers, but usually the well-to-do shopkeeper lives away from

his shop, the upper part of which is let to poorer persons.

These considerations make it impossible to deduce the aggregate of

income tax payers from the house record, but it is a suggestive fact

that in Great Britain there were in 1908 only 1,088,631 private houses

of £25 and over. It is clear that the number of persons with incomes

exceeding £160 a year cannot much exceed that figure, even when

allowance is made for the Irish houses not included in the record.

As we have ascertained from the income tax abatement claims the

approximate number of income tax payers between £160 and £700 a year, we

are enabled to neglect the difficult relation of small rentals to

incomes, and to concentrate our attention upon a simpler and more

satisfactory problem, the number of houses likely to be in the

occupation of persons with upwards of £700 a year.

It is submitted that persons in the Metropolis possessing an income of

over £700 per annum are unlikely to occupy private dwelling-houses of an

annual value below £60. Indeed, London householders with incomes below

£700 sometimes pay higher rentals than £60. Against this fact we must,

however, place the existence of many blocks of flats of high rentals

which pay Inhabited House Duty, not per flat, but per block. I think we

may balance the one consideration against the other, and assume that the

private dwelling-houses in London exceeding £60 in annual value roughly

correspond to the number of persons with £700 per annum and upwards.

In the provinces and Scotland rentals are lower, and I think we may

safely draw the line at £50, in view of the fact that we are excluding,

as in London, all residential shops, public houses, etc.

The number of houses in Great Britain of the classes referred to is as

follows:—

PRIVATE DWELLING-HOUSES IN GREAT BRITAIN LIKELY TO BE IN THE OCCUPATION

OF PERSONS WITH £700 PER ANNUM AND UPWARDS (1908-9)

Annual Value. Metropolis. Rest of England. Scotland.

£50 to £61 76,141 10,739

61 " 80 18,502 37,075 5,921

80 " 100 10,033 24,875 3,988

100 " 150 12,593 28,411 3,949

150 " 200 5,110 10,075 1,378

200 " 300 5,541 7,427 681

300 " 400 2,645 2,437 125

400 " 500 1,408 960 48

500 " 600 748 424 15

600 " 700 504 210 9

700 " 1000 746 212 13

£1000 and over 826 145 26

------ ------- ------

58,656 188,392 26,892

====== ======= ======

If the reader has not before examined the subject he will probably be

exceedingly surprised to find that there are so few rich men's houses,

and therefore so few rich men, in Great Britain. In England and Wales

there are 247,048 houses and in Scotland only 26,892 houses likely to

contain persons with incomes exceeding £700 per annum. There are nine

times as many such houses in England as in Scotland. This corresponds

closely to the income tax assessments. The yield of the income tax in

Scotland is but one-ninth or one-tenth of the yield in England.

We have to add an estimate for Ireland. The yield of the income tax in

Ireland is very small, about one-third of the yield of Scotland. If,

then, we add 9000 houses for Ireland, we shall probably be near the

truth.

We thus get the following figures for the whole of the United Kingdom,

making our figures round:

PRIVATE DWELLING-HOUSES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM PROBABLY CORRESPONDING

TO INCOME TAX PAYERS WITH £700 AND UPWARDS PER ANNUM (1908-9)

Number.

London 58,700

Rest of England and Wales 188,400

Scotland 27,000

Ireland 9,000

-------

Total 283,100

=======

We can now arrive at an estimate of the total number of income tax

payers. It is as follows:

INCOME TAX PAYERS OF THE UNITED KINGDOM (1908-9)

Incomes. Number.

Between £160 and £700 820,000

Exceeding £700 280,000

---------

Total 1,100,000

=========

I think that this estimate of 1,100,000 may be accepted with confidence

as a near approximation to the actual number of individual incomes which

exceeded £160 per annum in 1908-9.

Taking 1,100,000 as a trustworthy figure, we are in a position to show

how the population of the United Kingdom is divided by the line of

income tax exemption. If we assume that each of the 1,100,000 persons is

the head of a family of five persons, we get, by obvious

calculation, the following result:

THE EQUATOR of BRITISH INCOMES

+----------------------------------+

| |

| £909,000,000 per annum |

| taken by |

| 5,500,000 people |

|having Incomes of £160 and upwards|

| per annum |

| |

+----------------------------------+

| |

| £935,000,000 per annum |

| taken by |

| 39,000,000 people |

| having Incomes below £160 |

| per annum |

| |

+----------------------------------+

_In 1908 the Income Tax Exemption limit of £160 per annum divided the

National Income into two almost equal parts._

DISTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL INCOME AS BETWEEN THOSE WITH MORE AND

THOSE WITH LESS THAN £160 PER ANNUM (1908-9)

Number. Income.

Persons with incomes of

over £160 and their

families (1,100,000 × 5) 5,500,000 £909,000,000

Persons with incomes of less

than £160 and their

families (total population

less 5,500,000) 39,000,000 935,000,000

---------- -----------

44,500,000 £1,844,000,000

========== ==============

These striking facts are expressed in diagrammatic form on page 45.

Broadly speaking, it is shown that _one-half of the entire income of the

United Kingdom is enjoyed by about 12 per cent. of its population_.

But a still more extraordinary conclusion emerges from the facts we have

examined. Of the 1,100,000 income tax payers, 820,000 are persons with

incomes over £160 and not exceeding £700. The aggregate income of these

820,000 persons we estimated at £275,000,000 (page 39), and the estimate

is a liberal one. By subtraction from the total income of the income tax

classes (£909,000,000) we see that the 280,000 rich persons with over

£700 per annum possess an aggregate income of £634,000,000 per annum.

The facts are clearly shown in the following table and in the diagram

which forms the frontispiece of this volume:

RICHES, COMFORT, AND POVERTY, 1908

Distribution of the National Income as between (1) those with £700 per

annum and upwards; (2) those with £160 to £700 per annum; and (3) those

with not more than £160 per annum.

Number. Income.

RICHES

Persons with Incomes of

£700 per annum and

upwards and their

families, 280,000 × 5 1,400,000 £634,000,000

COMFORT

Persons with Incomes

between £160 and £700

per annum and their

families, 820,000 × 5

4,100,000 275,000,000

POVERTY

Persons with Incomes of

less than £160 per

annum and their

families 39,100,000 935,000,000

---------- --------------

44,500,000 £1,844,000,000

========== ==============

Thus, to the conclusion that one-half of the entire income of the nation

is enjoyed by but about 12 per cent. of its population, we must add

another even more remarkable, viz.: that _more than one-third of the

entire income of the United Kingdom is enjoyed by less than

one-thirtieth of its people_.

The broad outlines thus drawn I shall not attempt to amplify, for, as

will be gathered from the nature of the available material, such

amplification would be of little value. Nor would any useful purpose be

served by any arbitrary division of our population into "upper,"

"middle," and "working" classes. The three divisions of population at

which we have arrived, although arbitrary, have naturally arisen in the

course of our inquiry, and with some propriety we may term them

respectively the Rich Classes, the Comfortable Classes and the Poor

Classes.

The great fact emerges that the enormous annual income of the United

Kingdom is so badly distributed amongst us that, out of a population of

44,500,000, 39,000,000 are "poor" in the sense that their incomes do not

exceed £160 a year. It is no longer incredible that in a population of

44,500,000 people, enjoying an aggregate income of £1,844,000,000, there

exist "30 per cent. living in the grip of perpetual poverty." When we

realize that 39,000,000 out of our 44,500,000 are poor, measured by a

very modest standard of income, the statistics of Booth and Rowntree

cease to surprise us. In analysis, the United Kingdom is seen to contain

a great multitude of poor people, veneered with a thin layer of the

comfortable and the rich.

It will be of interest to compare the above statistics with those which

appeared in "Riches and Poverty," edition 1905. The statement then

presented was based on the Inland Revenue figures of 1903-4, and the

frontispiece bore the heading "British Incomes in 1904." For the

purposes of comparison, the 1905 edition figures may be attributed to

1903, since the fiscal year 1903-4 is as to nine months in 1903.

Similarly, the figures arrived at in the above pages may be dated 1908,

an interval of five years separating the two investigations.

The following is the comparison arrived at, after adjustment of the

earlier figures by raising the estimated number of income tax payers in

1903 from 1,000,000 to 1,050,000, for the reasons given on page 38.

DISTRIBUTION OF BRITISH INCOMES

---------------------------+-----------------------+---------------------

| 1903 | 1908

|Figures of "Riches |

| and Poverty," 1905 |

| edition, adjusted[13]|

| by raising estimate |

RANGE OF INCOME. | of Income |

| Tax payers from |

| 1,000,000 to |

| 1,050,000. |

+------------+----------+------------+--------

| Number of | | Number of |

| Persons. | Income. | Persons. | Income.

---------------------------+------------+----------+------------+--------

Persons with over £700 | | Million£ | |Million£

a year and their families| 1,250,000 | 570 | 1,400,000 | 634

| | | |

Persons with over £160, | | | |

but not over £700, and | | | |

their families | 4,000,000 | 260 | 4,100,000 | 275

| | | |

Persons with not more | | | |

than £160 and their | | | |

families | 37,250,000 | 880 | 39,000,000 | 935

---------------------------+------------+----------+------------+--------

Totals | 42,500,000 | 1710 | 44,500,000 | 1844

---------------------------+------------+----------+------------+--------

The result is to show that, in the five years, the wealthy classes have

increased their share of the national dividend, both actually and

relatively. We shall later find this conclusion confirmed by a

comparison of the respective growths of taxed incomes and wage rates.

The stationariness of wages is a fact which closely demands the

attention of the nation.

[Footnote 11: For a fuller explanation of these Schedules reference

should be made to Chapter 21.]

[Footnote 12: See Chapter 21.]

[Footnote 13: The change in the proportions through the adjustment is

insignificant and negligible, as will be seen by reference to the

original estimate.]

CHAPTER IV

THE ESTATES OF RICH AND POOR

Our review of the extraordinary facts relating to what has been called

with grim humour the "National" income, prepares us for an examination

of the estates of rich and poor.

Legal distribution of the property of deceased persons can only be made

upon payment of certain taxes, commonly called death duties, and legally

known as the Estate, Legacy and Succession duties. The nature and extent

of these duties I shall discuss in a later chapter. At this point I am

only concerned with the facts which are brought to light in the

collection of the chief death duty, the Estate duty, as since varied, of

the great 1894 Budget[14] of the late Sir William Harcourt.

The principle of graduation was very properly applied to this duty, and

accordingly we obtain, through the reports of the Inland Revenue

Commissioners, an exceedingly valuable record, not only of the total

value of the property which is "left"—it is a suggestive term—by the

deceased, but of the classification of that property in large and small

estates.[15]

The Estate Duty is payable upon all estates which exceed £100 net (net,

that is, after the discharge of all debts due by the deceased) and the

Inland Revenue authorities undoubtedly pass under review the greater

part of the property which is thus legally taxable. There must be a

certain leakage, of course, for such heritages as household furniture,

cash in money or notes, bearer bonds, and so forth, are sometimes

divided up amongst the relatives of a departed property owner without

account to the State, and it is difficult properly to assess unquoted

securities, goodwills, trade stocks, furniture, etc. Moreover, large

sums pass _inter vivos_. How much property thus escapes official

observation we do not know, but it is probably a considerable amount.

PROPERTY LEFT AT DEATH IN THE UNITED KINGDOM. NUMBERS AND VALUES OF

ESTATES BROUGHT TO THE NOTICE OF THE INLAND REVENUE COMMISSIONERS IN THE

FIVE YEARS 1904-5 TO 1908-9.

------------------------------------------+----------------+----------------+

| | |

CLASS OF ESTATE. | 1904-5. | 1905-6. |

| | |

------------------------------------------+-------+--------+-------+--------+

| | Value. | | Value. |

|Number.|Mill. £.|Number.|Mill. £.|

A. _Estates not Dutiable_: | | | | |

Bankrupt Estates | 1,628| | 1,552| |

Estates not exceeding £100 net | 15,931| 0.9 | 15,462| 0.9 |

+-------+--------+-------+--------+

Total A | 17,559| 0.9 | 17,014| 0.9 |

+-------+--------+-------+--------+

B. _Estates Liable to Duty_: | | | | |

Small Estates:— | | | | |

(1) Not exceeding £300 gross | 18,505| 3.5 | 18,262| 3.5 |

(2) Between £300 and £500 gross | 8,846| 3.6 | 8,907| 3.6 |

_Net Capital Values_:— | | | | |

Exceeding £100 but not over £500 | 5,853| 2.5 | 5,728| 2.5 |

" 500 " 1,000 | 10,098| 8.4 | 9,894| 8.1 |

" 1,000 " 10,000 | 16,704| 60.4 | 16,130| 58.8 |

" 10,000 " 25,000 | 2,295| 41.8 | 2,254| 40.4 |

" 25,000 " 50,000 | 883| 34.6 | 931| 36.4 |

" 50,000 " 75,000 | 288| 18.9 | 277| 19.5 |

" 75,000 " 100,000 | 161| 15.0 | 139| 12.1 |

" 100,000 " 150,000 | 128| 14.0 | 133| 18.2 |

" 150,000 " 250,000 | 89| 21.6 | 91| 18.6 |

" 250,000 " 500,000 | 44| 17.6 | 70| 23.9 |

" 500,000 " 1,000,000 | 23| 17.2 | 21| 13.1 |

" 1,000,000 " 2,000,000 |} | | | |

" 2,000,000 " 3,000,000 |} 1| 5.9 | 8| 13.5 |

" 3,000,000 |} | | | |

+-------+--------+-------+--------+

Total B | 63,918| 265.1 | 62,845| 272.2 |

+-------+--------+-------+--------+

_Total Estates_ | 81,477| 266.0 | 79,859| 273.1 |

------------------------------------------+-------+--------+-------+--------+

+----------------+----------------+----------------+----------------

| | | | Average of

| 1906-7. | 1907-8. | 1908-9. | 1904-5 to

| | | | 1908-9.

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

| | Value. | | Value. | | Value. | | Value.

|Number.|Mill. £.|Number.|Mill. £.|Number.|Mill. £.|Number.|Mill. £.

| | | | | | | |

| 1,704| | 1,663| | 1,802| | 1,670|

| 16,039| 0.9 | 16,475| 0.9 | 15,875| 0.9 | 15,956| 0.9

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

| 17,743| 0.9 | 18,138| 0.9 | 17,677| 0.9 | 17,626| 0.9

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

| | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | |

| 18,995| 3.7 | 19,340| 3.7 | 19,481| 3.7 | 18,917| 3.6

| 9,311| 3.7 | 9,736| 3.9 | 9,640| 3.8 | 9,288| 3.7

| | | | | | | |

| 5,990| 2.6 | 6,374| 3.0 | 6,422| 2.9 | 6,074| 2.7

| 10,516| 8.6 | 10,782| 9.1 | 10,729| 9.1 | 10,404| 8.6

| 17,098| 61.6 | 17,356| 65.4 | 17,266| 64.5 | 16,910| 62.1

| 2,473| 42.5 | 2,341| 40.3 | 2,328| 40.4 | 2,338| 41.0

| 909| 34.9 | 908| 35.5 | 918| 34.4 | 910| 35.1

| 314| 19.6 | 278| 19.8 | 297| 19.5 | 291| 19.4

| 127| 11.3 | 144| 14.0 | 155| 13.9 | 145| 13.2

| 159| 19.2 | 109| 16.4 | 136| 16.8 | 133| 16.9

| 104| 22.4 | 90| 18.7 | 78| 17.3 | 90| 19.7

| 58| 21.3 | 51| 20.1 | 50| 20.1 | 54| 20.6

| 18| 12.9 | 17| 16.6 | 15| 8.3 | 19| 13.6

| | | { 4| 4.6 | 6| 9.2 | } |

| 10| 34.1 | { 1| 2.6 | 1| 2.2 | } 7| 18.1

| | | { 2| 8.6 | 2| 5.0 | } |

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

| 66,082| 298.5 | 67,533| 282.3 | 67,524| 270.9 | 65,580| 278.3

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

| 83,825| 299.4 | 85,671| 283.2 | 85,201| 271.8 | 83,206| 279.2

+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------+-------+--------

Before setting out particulars of the numbers and values of the estates

revealed through the operation of the Estate Duty, it will be well to

remind the reader of the number of deaths per annum in the United

Kingdom. In the years 1899 to 1903, the figures were as follows:—

DEATHS IN UNITED KINGDOM

Year. Deaths.

1904 707,000

1905 670,000

1906 681,000

1907 679,000

1908 677,000

Average Deaths per annum 1904-1908 = 683,000.

We see that the mean number of deaths in the five years 1904-8 was just

over 680,000 per annum.

We now inquire, as to these 680,000 persons who die in the United

Kingdom in a year, how many leave property of sufficient value to be

brought under the notice of the tax-gatherers, and what is the value of

the property left by them.

These questions are answered in considerable detail by the table on

pages 52 and 53, which shows, for each of the last five financial years

of which we have record, the numbers and values of the estates reviewed.

It will be seen that, taking the average of these five years, we get the

following summary facts:—

Deaths per annum 683,000

Sworn Estates per annum, number 83,206

Estates of less value than £100 net each per annum 17,626

Estates exceeding £100 net each per annum 65,580

Net value of Dutiable Estates per annum £278,300,000

The question now arises, what is the average value of the tiny estates

which are not the subject of affidavits? What is the amount of property

per head left by the poor people who form the great majority of the

inhabitants of our rich country? There are the few humble sticks of

furniture, and the small sums invested in savings banks, friendly

societies, trade unions, building societies, etc., What are these worth?

The Chief Registrar of Friendly Societies, Mr Stuart Sim, in his latest

Report (No. 105 of 1909), p. 44, gives us the Summary of Registered

Provident Societies and Thrift Institutions, which appears on page 56.

The total funds, £439,000,000, represent the savings of some millions of

people, but the total number of "members," nearly 34,000,000, must not

be taken to stand for so many individuals. There is, of course, much

duplication in the membership, one individual being sometimes member of

two, three, four, or more societies or clubs. A carpenter, earning 30s.

a week, may be a member of his trade union, member of two friendly

societies, have a few pounds in the Post Office Savings Bank, and be a

depositor in a building society, thus figuring as "five members" in the

list.

The list is not complete, for it does not cover the industrial insurance

companies, which waste in costly management so large a part of the sums

paid them, and unregistered friendly societies and slate clubs.

THRIFT INSTITUTIONS: SUMMARY OF REGISTERED PROVIDENT SOCIETIES

AND CERTIFIED AND POST OFFICE SAVINGS BANKS AT DEC. 31st, 1907.

--------------------------------------+--------+-----------+-----------

NATURE OF INSTITUTION. | No. of | No. of | Funds.

|Returns.| Members. |

--------------------------------------+--------+-----------+-----------

Building Societies: | | | £

Incorporated Societies | 1,852 | 565,047| 57,300,118

Unincorporated Societies | 58 | 58,000| 15,989,111

+--------+-----------+-----------

| 1,910 | 623,047| 73,289,229

+========+===========+===========

Friendly Societies, etc.: | | |

Ordinary Friendly Societies | 6,563 | 3,416,869| 19,346,567

Societies having Branches | 20,640 | 2,710,437| 25,610,365

Collecting Friendly Societies | 55 | 9,010,574| 9,946,447

Benevolent Societies | 73 | 29,716| 337,393

Working Men's Clubs | 1,036 | 272,847| 381,463

Specially Authorised Societies | 162 | 70,980| 532,717

Specially Authorised Loan Societies | 618 | 141,850| 897,784

Medical Societies | 96 | 313,755| 65,513

Cattle Insurance Societies | 60 | 4,029| 8,570

Shop Clubs | 7 | 12,207| 1,349

+--------+-----------+-----------

| 29,310 | 15,983,264| 57,128,168

+========+===========+===========

Co-operative Societies: | | |

Industries and Trades | 2,267 | 2,461,028| 53,788,917

Businesses | 399 | 108,550| 984,680

Land Societies | 146 | 18,631| 1,619,716

+--------+-----------+-----------

| 2,812 | 2,588,209| 56,393,313

+========+===========+===========

Trade Unions | 652 | 1,973,560| 6,424,176

+--------+-----------+-----------

Workmen's Compensation Schemes (1) | 59 | 99,371| 164,560

+--------+-----------+-----------

Friends of Labour Loan Societies | 248 | 33,576| 260,905

+--------+-----------+-----------

Total Registered Provident Societies| 34,991 | 21,301,027|193,660,351

+========+===========+===========

| Banks. |Depositors.| Deposits.

Railway Savings Banks | 18 | 64,126| 5,865,072

Trustee Savings Banks (including | | |

Investments in Stock) | 222 | 1,780,214| 61,729,588

Post Office Savings Bank (including | | |

Investments in Stock) | 15,166 | 10,692,555|178,033,974

+--------+-----------+-----------

Total Certified and Post Office | | |

Savings Banks | 15,406 | 12,536,895|245,628,634

+========+===========+===========

Grand Total | 50,397 | 33,837,922|439,288,985

--------------------------------------+--------+-----------+-----------

(1) The figures given include 64,700 members, and £105,475 funds

undistributed, at 31st December 1907, in respect of Schemes whose

Certificates had expired or were revoked at that date.

_Note._—Where Returns are made to a date other than 31st December the

particulars at the nearest date available are given.

On the other hand, it would be a profound mistake to regard the sum

shown—£439,000,000—as belonging entirely to manual workers. No small

part of the funds of building societies, savings banks, etc., belong to

the middle classes, and even professional men do not disdain to purchase

houses through building societies.

Additions must be made for the tiny stocks of little shopkeepers and the

"furniture" in poor houses, but on the latter account those who know

what the furniture of the poor usually consists of will make modest

estimates of its value. Its exchange value is almost negligible, and its

value in use is that it is a factor in the sordid discomfort of the poor

home, being in that respect not unworthy of the ugly walls which enclose

it.

Altogether it is probable that we may estimate the total property of the

poor at less than £500,000,000 in 1908, and regard this sum as belonging

chiefly to a great mass of people, forming by far the greater part of

the 39,000,000 persons under the line of Income Tax exemption. Probably

about £15,000,000 of this sum passes at death per annum, and only a

small part of it, chiefly the house property, comes under review by

Somerset House.

With the facts we have reviewed we are in a position to arrive at a just

idea of the respective proportions of rich and poor estates. On page 59

will be found a table which shows the nature of those proportions. I

have taken the averages of the past five years arrived at in the tables

on pages 52-53, and have made a rough division between rich and poor by

drawing the line at the possession of property worth £1,000 net capital

value.

To give a true idea of the division of deaths in the two classes, it is

necessary to make allowance in the rich class for the deaths of the

children of the well-to-do. It may be taken that, in addition to the

20,000 adults who die every year possessed of estates worth upwards of

£1,000, 7,500 children and young persons die in well-to-do homes. I then

place in the upper part of the table the number of deaths remaining

after deduction from 683,000 of all the other figures in the table.

In arriving at the amount of property left by the poor I have assumed

that of the £15,000,000 of savings estimated as passing at death per

annum, £5,000,000 does actually come under review in the first few lines

of the table on pages 52-53. The balance, £10,000,000, I have brought

into the account as corresponding to the 592,294 deaths in the first

line of the table on p. 59.

With these explanations the table will speak for itself, and its tale is

a startling one. We see that, drawing the line between the rich and poor

arbitrarily at the possession of £1,000, of the 683,000 persons who die

in a year, 28,397 die rich or very rich, leaving £259,700,000, while

654,603 die poor or very poor, leaving between them only £29,500,000.

The figures over £10,000 are worth special attention:—

FORTUNES OVER £10,000 EACH (NET)

Year. Number. Value.

1904-5 3,912 £186,600,000

1905-6 3,924 195,700,000

1906-7 4,172 218,200,000

1907-8 3,945 197,200,000

1908-9 3,986 187,100,000

_Year by year, with the regularity of the seasons, about four thousand

persons die leaving between them about £200,000,000 out of total estates

declared to be worth about £300,000,000._

PROPERTY LEFT BY 683,000 PERSONS

Average of 1904-5 to 1908-9

_POOR AND VERY POOR_

Deaths. Property Left.

Died with so little property

that no affidavit was sworn

(Property estimated at

£10,000,000, see p. 58) 592,294 £10,000,000

Died Bankrupt 1,670

Died leaving less than £100

net 15,956 900,000

Died leaving between £100

and £500 net 34,279 10,000,000

Died leaving between £500

and £1,000 net 10,404 8,600,000

------- -----------

Total Poor and Very Poor 654,603 £29,500,000

_RICH AND VERY RICH_

Died under age without

property 7,500

Died leaving between £1,000

net and £10,000 net 16,910 62,100,000

Died leaving between £10,000

net and £1,000,000 net 3,980 179,500,000

Died millionaires 7 18,100,000

------- ------------

Total Rich and Very Rich 28,397 £259,700,000

------- ------------

TOTAL RICH AND POOR 683,000 £292,500,000

======= ============

170 persons per annum die worth £150,000 each; 80 die worth over

£250,000 each; 26 die worth over £500,000 each; and 7 die worth about

£2,500,000 each.

Thus, in an average year, 26 persons die leaving between them far more

than is possessed by 654,000 poor persons who die in one year. Again, in

a single average year, the wealth left by the few rich people who die

approaches in amount the aggregate property possessed by the whole of

the living poor.

[Footnote 14: Finance Act, 1894 (57 & 58 Vict. c. 30).]

[Footnote 15: It was in the first edition of this work that attention

was first drawn to this new source of information.]

CHAPTER V

THE NATIONAL ACCUMULATIONS

We pass from the consideration of the property which is left at death in

a single year to the estimation of the value of the total capital stock

of the United Kingdom.

We can proceed by two different methods. We can argue from the property

left by those who die in a single year to the property possessed by the

living, or we can capitalize that part of the national income which is

derived from property. The former method was used as long ago as the

'fifties by Porter in his "Progress of the Nation." The second method

has been employed by many statisticians, notably by Sir Robert Giffen.

In the following table I have formed an estimate of the accumulated

wealth of the nation at the present time, dividing it into three

categories:—

(1) "National" property in the proper sense, i.e. property in the

possession of the Imperial Government or Local Authorities.

(2) Land and Capital Stock within the United Kingdom owned by private

individuals, and

(3) Property in foreign countries and British Possessions owned by

persons in the United Kingdom.

ACCUMULATED WEALTH OF THE UNITED KINGDOM: 1908

[This table should not be quoted without the context]

(1) PUBLIC PROPERTY (IMPERIAL AND LOCAL):—

(_a_) Imperial Property £550,000,000

(_b_) Local Property 1,370,000,000

--------------

£1,920,000,000

Subtract (1) National Debt

(£762,000,000) and (2) Local

Loans (£600,000,000) 1,362,000,000

--------------

£558,000,000

==============

(2) PROPERTY IN THE UNITED KINGDOM OWNED BY PRIVATE INDIVIDUALS:—

(_c_) Agricultural Lands and the Farmhouses,

Buildings, Fences, Roads,

Ditches, etc., thereof. Profits

under Schedule A of Income

Tax (1908-9) £52,000,000

capitalized at 20 years' purchase £1,040,000,000

(_d_) Houses, Business Premises, etc.,

and their Lands. Profits under

Schedule A of Income Tax

(1908-9) £217,000,000 capitalized

at 15 years' purchase 3,255,000,000

(_e_) Other Profits from Land under

Schedule A of Income Tax

(1908-9) £1,300,000 capitalized

at 25 years' purchase 32,000,000

(_f_) Farmers' Capital. Estimated at

£6 per acre for 47,000,000 acres

under cultivation 282,000,000

(_g_) The National Debt (neglecting

the small amount held abroad) 762,000,000

(_h_) Local Debts 600,000,000

(_i_) Capital of Miscellaneous Trades:—

(1) Profits of Miscellaneous

Businesses, Professions, etc.,

taxed under Schedule D of

Income Tax in 1908-9 (allowing

for profits assumed to

escape taxation £60,000,000,

see p. 16), and deducting

for profits from abroad

(£25,000,000, see p. 16), were

£444,000,000. One-half of

this sum (£222,000,000)

assumed to be from capital

and capitalized at 10 years'

purchase 2,220,000,000

(2) Profits of small traders who

are not Income Tax payers

are in part derived from

capital 100,000,000

(_j_) Railways. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 =

£43,000,000 capitalized at 25

years' purchase 1,075,000,000

(_k_) Mines and Quarries. Profits taxed

under Schedule D 1908-9 =

£18,000,000 capitalized at 5

years' purchase 90,000,000

(_l_) Gasworks. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 = £7,800,000

capitalized at 20 years' purchase 156,000,000

(_m_) Ironworks. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 = £5,100,000

capitalized at 5 years' purchase 25,000,000

(_n_) Waterworks. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 = £6,200,000

capitalised at 20 years' purchase 124,000,000

(_o_) Canals. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 = £4,200,000

capitalized at 20 years' purchase 84,000,000

(_p_) Markets, Tolls, Fishings, Cemeteries,

etc. Profits taxed under

Schedule D 1908-9 = £1,400,000

capitalized at 20 years' purchase 28,000,000

(_q_) Other Interests and Profits taxed

under Schedule D 1908-9 =

£7,700,000 capitalized at 20

years' purchase 154,000,000

(_r_) Furniture, Works of Art, etc., in

Private Houses. Assumed to be

one-sixth of the value of "Houses"

in Schedule A (see item _d_) 540,000,000

---------------

£10,567,000,000

(3) PROPERTY IN PLACES ABROAD OWNED BY PERSONS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM

(_s_) Interest from Indian, Colonial and

Foreign Government Securities

taxed under Schedule C 1908-9

= £32,200,000 capitalized at

25 years' purchase £805,000,000

(_t_) Interest from Indian, Colonial and

Foreign Securities, including

Railways, taxed under Schedule D

1908-9 = £56,600,000

capitalized at 20 years' purchase 1,132,000,000

(_u_) Other Profits from abroad derived

from property assumed to have

a capital value of about 700,000,000

--------------

£2,637,000,000

==============

SUMMARY

(1) Public Property £558,000,000

(2) Property in the United Kingdom

owned by Private Individuals 10,567,000,000

(3) Property in places abroad owned by

persons in the United Kingdom 2,637,000,000

---------------

£13,762,000,000

===============

To the explanations given in the table itself some further notes may be

added. For the greater part, the estimates are based, it will be seen,

upon Income Tax statistics. The items thus arrived at are near

approximations to the truth. The table also contains some necessarily

rough estimates of uncertain items.

The matter of public property is an exceedingly difficult one to deal

with. In item _a_ I have estimated that our warships and stores of naval

and military material, Imperial shipyards, dockyards and arsenals,

public offices, galleries, museums and their contents, government

factories and workshops and their plant, post office, telegraph and

telephone capital, etc., are worth £550,000,000 at a conservative

estimate. The capital value of all our ships, allowing for depreciation,

cannot be less than £150,000,000, and naval works and material must be

worth fully £80,000,000. Army material and military works are of less

value, but can scarcely be estimated at less than £120,000,000. The

value of the post office, telegraph and telephone businesses at only 15

years' purchase of the profits would be £60,000,000. The Suez Canal

shares are worth £28,000,000. Thus £550,000,000 as an estimate of the

total value of all Imperial property is not an excessive figure.[16]

The public property in the care of local authorities, as trustees for

the nation, is exceedingly great. It is convenient to consider common

lands in this connexion. Probably there are some 2,000,000 acres of

common lands in England and Wales—all that remains unfilched of full

many times that area.[17] If we value these commons at an average of £25

per acre—some of the commons, as in Surrey, are worth from £200 to

£2,000 an acre, valued at present market rates—we get £50,000,000.

Roads are an important item in the national valuation—they are almost

all that is left to the nation of the nation's area. There are about

22,000 miles of main roads and about 97,000 miles of minor roads. These

have value as land and value as highways, but if we value land and

construction together at an average of only £5,000 per mile we arrive at

about £600,000,000 as a conservative estimate of the value of the roads

of the United Kingdom.

There remain to consider the values of the parks and other land,

buildings (including offices, houses, schools, markets, asylums and

workhouses), bridges, sewers, lighting systems, gasworks, electric light

and power undertakings, tramways, waterworks, reservoirs, etc.

The outstanding debts of the local authorities of the United Kingdom are

now about £600,000,000. The whole of this amount has been spent upon the

objects referred to and they are worth considerably more. I submit that

it is a very conservative estimate to value local government property at

20 per cent. more than the amount of the outstanding loans or say

£720,000,000.

We thus arrive at £1,370,000,000 as a rough but reasonable estimate of

the value of the local property. Adding it to the £550,000,000 of

Imperial property we get £1,920,000,000 as a valuation of that portion

of the accumulated wealth of the United Kingdom which is in the

collective ownership of the nation.[18]

But, against the possession of these large amounts of property we have

to set the mortgages upon the public assets which are represented by the

National Debt and Local Debts. These, of course, are not directly

secured upon Imperial and Local Government property, but upon the

Imperial and local revenues. It is convenient, however, to regard them

as mortgages, and to deduct them as I have done in the table. Making

this deduction, I am able properly to include the amount of the national

debt and local debts in my estimate of the value of private property

(see items _g_ and _h_). This gives a true view of the subject. The

people of the United Kingdom collectively own relatively little

property. In the time to come this will be remedied, for local

authorities are rapidly acquiring reproductive undertakings. Until they

are paid for, however, by the discharge of the loans raised to acquire

or equip them, we do well to remember that they are mortgaged to

individuals. Therefore, in deducting the debts from the valuation of

public property and in adding them to the private property I submit that

I am presenting an accurate picture of the actual position.

To sum up this part of the subject, the people of the United Kingdom

collectively possess property worth £1,920,000,000 and are collectively

indebted to a few of their number in the sum of £1,362,000,000. Thus,

all that they may be said to own collectively is property worth the

comparatively insignificant sum of £558,000,000.

I pass to the private property which is commonly called "national"

wealth.

In item _c_ agricultural lands and the farmhouses and other buildings

thereon are valued at £1,040,000,000. In 1898 the Royal Commission on

Agriculture arrived at the value of lands by taking 18 years' purchase

of the profits of 1893. The value of agricultural land is now rising

with the appreciation in the price of food.[19]

Item _d_ "Houses," it should be clearly understood, covers not only

dwelling-houses, but factories, workshops, offices, and all other

premises save farmhouses. It also includes, as is so often overlooked,

both house value and land value. In capitalizing at 15 years' purchase,

the market value of the property is certainly not overstated. The

£3,255,000,000 so arrived at is a handsome sum and by far the most

considerable item in the list. It includes, in the value of factories

and other business premises, a considerable amount of trade capital.

It should not be forgotten that we are speaking of economic valuation,

not of intrinsic value. Houses which rank for no small part of the

£3,255,000,000 are of small intrinsic value, their economic value being

only produced by the sheer necessities of those whose needs must find a

roof. London contains great areas of filthy brick-work which are worthy

to be destroyed, but worth many millions to the houselords who draw

rents from them.

Item _f_ deals with farmers' capital. Here I have used the figure

arrived at in 1905 by R. H. Inglis Palgrave.[20] After careful

examination of the amounts of capital per acre employed in various parts

of the country, Mr Palgrave considers £6 an acre an excessive estimate,

but Major Craigie, who has given the subject much attention, is inclined

to think it too low.

Items _g_ and _h_ have been already referred to.

Item _i_ (1) is an estimate of the amount of capital employed in the

miscellaneous trades and professions taxed under Schedule D of the

Income Tax. I have assumed that one-half of the estimated profits were

derived from capital, and this half I have capitalized at 10 years'

purchase. The amount so arrived at—£2,220,000,000—may be regarded as a

reasonable estimate, not as an accurate one. In 1908, it may be pointed

out, the nominal "paid up" capital of registered joint-stock companies

amounted to £2,123,000,000.

Under _i_ (2) £100,000,000 is put down as a rough estimate of the

capital employed by small traders whose incomes are less than £160 per

annum. I think that £100,000,000 is a liberal estimate, but it should be

noted, against this opinion, that in 1885 Sir Robert Giffen's estimate

was £335,000,000. In either case the figure is sheer guesswork; there is

no proper statistical material.

Items _j_ to _q_ need little comment. I point out, however, that the

profits of mines, quarries and ironworks are capitalized at only 4

years' purchase by some authorities in view of their exhaustible

character.

Item r relates to furniture, works of art and other movable property. I

have estimated this to amount to one-sixth of the item "Houses" (_d_).

It is right to point out, however, that this estimate is very much at

variance with former ones. Sir Robert Giffen in 1885 took one-half of

the value of "Houses," and Mulhall and other statisticians have commonly

used this estimate. But is it reasonable? I think not. In the first

place the item "Houses" covers a great number of business premises the

contents of which are valuable but are already estimated for in item

_i_. The item also covers the value of all the land connected with the

premises. Deducting for land and for business premises, could we, even

as to the balance, assert that the average private dwelling contains

furniture and other effects worth 50 per cent. of the cost of the

structures? Enquiry has shown me that such an estimate would be only

warrantable in the case of rich houses. But rich houses, as we have

seen, are comparatively few, and "comfortable" houses not many. Coming

to the great bulk of the small dwelling houses of the United Kingdom the

furniture and effects are so poor that their value, unfortunately, as

compared even with that of the mean houses which shelter them, is small,

and in many cases negligible.

In taking one-sixth instead of one-half of item _d_ in arriving at item

_r_ therefore, I feel that I am making the most liberal possible

estimate. To make the figure about £1,600,000,000, as we should do by

taking the traditional one-half of the value of "Houses," would, I

submit, be very wide of the mark.

The total value thus estimated of the property in the United Kingdom

owned by individuals affords a striking contrast with that owned by the

State. It amounts to £10,567,000,000.

We have now to consider the third category: "Property in places abroad

owned by persons in the United Kingdom." The items speak for themselves

and are capitalized at very reasonable rates. We get the remarkable fact

that certain persons in this country own about £2,600,000,000 of

property in places abroad.

The grand total of the whole estimate is £13,762,000,000—£300 per head

of the population, or say £1,500 per family of five persons.

[Footnote 16: There is also, of course, the value of the trained

personnel of both army and navy, which could not be taken at less than

£250 per soldier and £400 per sailor, but I confine this estimate to the

value of "property" commonly so called.]

[Footnote 17: There are no commons in Ireland and Scotland.]

[Footnote 18: In 1885 Sir Robert Giffen estimated Government and local

property at £500,000,000, but I do not know his reasons for naming that

figure.]

[Footnote 19: Lord Eversley seems to think that 25 years' purchase meets

the conditions of 1905. See discussion in the Royal Statistical

Society's Journal for March 1905.]

[Footnote 20: "Estimates of Agricultural Losses." Paper read to the

Royal Statistical Society in March 1905.]

CHAPTER VI

THE MONOPOLY OF CAPITAL

In view of the facts as to rich and poor estates which we examined in

Chapter 4, it is obvious that to state that the accumulated wealth of

the United Kingdom probably amounts to £300 per head of the population,

or £1,500 per family of five persons, is to mask in averages a great

inequality of distribution.

Reverting to the Death Duty records, it is possible, by means of them,

to give a true idea of the manner of distribution amongst our people of

the greater part of the nearly £14,000,000,000 of capital.

I again direct attention to the tables on pages 52 and 53. Year after

year, with extraordinary constancy, a certain amount of money passes in

each class of estate. So small are the variations in relation to the

magnitude of the totals that it is hardly necessary to average the five

years in working at the figures.

If about 65,000 persons die every year leaving about £279,000,000, what

is the ratio to these figures of the numbers and property of the living?

The question thus raised is an exceedingly interesting one. Porter in

his "Progress of the Nation" seems to have assumed a ratio of 45 to 1,

but I do not think that the true figure can be so high as this.

The British Crown, since Queen Anne, has passed at the following dates:

Anne, 1702

George I., 1714

George II., 1727

George III., 1760

George IV., 1820

William IV., 1830

Victoria, 1837

Edward VII., 1901

George V., 1910

Thus, in 208 years, the Crown has passed eight times, or, on the

average, once in about 26 years.

I have investigated the dates at which a considerable number of

well-known estates have passed at death during two centuries and have

found the most remarkable variations in different families. The Earldom

of Suffolk has passed at average intervals of 16.7 years between 1731

and 1898. The Earldom of Coventry has passed at intervals of 22 years

between 1712 and 1843. These are intervals which are well under the

average, while above the mean are cases quite as remarkable. The Earldom

of Essex, between 1709 and 1892, has passed only four times, giving an

average of 45.7 years. The Earldom of Bathurst, again, between 1775 and

1892, passed only five times, giving an average of 43.4 years.

Riches and Poverty (1910) · 第 13 / 17 章