CHAPTER II

THE HOME OF THE RAIN

The gray morning broke over the desolate scene, and Anton, hollow-eyed

and exhausted, looked at the muddy waters rushing savagely over the

place where his home had stood. By the tops of the trees, only, was he

able to trace the outline of the fields he had known all his boyhood.

"Do you suppose it'll ever dry up, Ross?" he asked.

"Of course it will, Anton," the older lad said, reassuringly, "you'll

see. In a week or two all this water'll run off and you'll forget that

the old place ever looked like this."

The crippled lad shook his head, as though in doubt.

"My books have gone," he said mournfully.

The tones were quiet, but a tragedy lay beneath the words, and no one

knew better than Ross how largely his chum's life lay in the world

revealed in his tiny library. The flood would pass away and the

fertility of summer would hide every trace of the disaster, but for

Anton's loss there was no such swift remedy. His books were his closest

friends, and now, at one stroke, he was bereft of all of them.

"Come," said Ross, to change the current of his chum's thoughts, "we'll

have to make a start. Where do you suppose your folks are?"

The younger lad turned to his friend with the quick responsiveness and

willing resignation often found among those who have suffered a great

deal or who are handicapped in Life's race.

"I haven't the least idea," he said, "they might have gone over to the

other shore."

"Yes," agreed Ross, thoughtfully, "that's likely. They'd certainly have

more chance of finding help and grub over there. And, talking of grub,

Anton, aren't you hungry?"

"Starving," admitted the younger lad.

"Then I tell you what, we'd better go and hunt up Levin."

"The chap who used to be with the Weather Bureau, you mean?" Anton

asked.

"Yes."

"Don't you think that I ought to try to find Father first?" queried the

younger lad, hesitatingly. "He might be worrying."

"It's because of your folks that I think we ought to go first to the

camp," explained Ross. "We couldn't possibly row right across the flood

to the other shore. We've had trouble enough getting as far as this.

Besides, Anton, even if we did get over, we wouldn't know where to look

for your people. There's a chance that Levin may have heard from them,

and if he hasn't, he might send some one with a message. We couldn't do

much searching, anyway."

In truth, the boys were utterly exhausted. The only member of the party

who seemed in high spirits was Rex. He frisked about and jumped on the

two boys, his tail sticking straight up in the air, as though he were

convinced that it was solely through his exertions that Lassie and the

puppies had been rescued.

Ross slung the basket, with its living freight, across his shoulders and

started off. Lassie watched this elevation of her children with manifest

uneasiness, but as her master seemed satisfied, there was nothing for

her to do but to follow behind, which she did with her nose as close to

the basket as possible.

Nerve-frazzled and tired out, Anton pegged away behind. The heavy

downpour of rain, which had not ceased for a day and a night, and which

had followed upon the heavy rains of the week before, had made the

ground as soft as a bog. The crippled lad's crutch sank in so deeply at

every step that it was only with great pain that he could keep up at

all. Still, he struggled along bravely.

Ross, turning to see how his chum was faring, caught the boy's tense and

haggard look, and understood.

"Look here, Anton," he said, at once, "we'll never get anywhere this

way. You get into the boat and I'll tow you."

"But you can't, you're just about all in," protested the younger boy.

"You can't tow the boat with me in it, all the way."

"Got to!" declared Ross abruptly. "It's a sure thing that you're not

able to walk there with the ground in this sodden condition. Anyway, I

won't have to carry the puppies."

Thankful but still protesting, Anton got into the boat and the journey

began anew.

It was a weary way. Ross staggered forward, half-blind with sleep,

wading knee-deep, sometimes waist-deep, in the water. The rain had

stopped, but the sky was heavy and the clouds hung low. Twice Anton had

to jerk on the tow-rope to jolt Ross awake, for, unnoticing, he was

heading for deep water. Even near the shore the torrent was full of

floating debris. The bodies of horses and cattle drifting down the

stream told of many impoverished farms and the flotsam was eloquent of

wrecked and demolished houses and indicative of suffering.

When, after an hour's toil, rescuer and rescued reached the drier land

that sloped up to the levee, it was hard to tell which was the more

exhausted. To the last, however, Ross refused to let his chum bear the

burden of the puppies, and he lurched up the road to the place where he

had left the gang at work on the cave-in, not so many hours before. It

seemed weeks ago.

The Weather Man was still at work. He had been up all night, also, but

he greeted the lad cheerily as he came in sight.

"Hello, Boss!" he called, then, as the boy's exhausted state became more

evident, "what have you been doing? Has anything happened?"

"Anton was marooned," answered Ross in the dull, listless voice of

extreme fatigue.

"Marooned? You mean he was caught by the flood?"

As though in answer, Anton, toiling heavily and wearily on his crutch,

came in sight.

"Yes," said Ross, in the same tone, "he was left behind."

"How was that?" the Weather Man asked sharply.

"It wasn't anybody's fault, Mr. Levin," replied Anton, who had heard the

last two sentences as he came up, "Father thought I'd gone with Uncle

Jack, and Uncle Jack thought I'd gone with Father."

"You're not hurt?"

"No, sir," the crippled lad answered, "not a bit. Ross is, though. He

cut his arm diving through the window."

The Forecaster turned swiftly to the older boy and began examining the

injury.

"Is the house still standing?" he asked.

"No, sir," the boy answered, "it's all in bits down by Jackson's Gully."

The weather expert nodded. He knew the lay of the land and had expected

the water from the flooded hollow to pour down towards the entrance to

the gully.

"How did you get out, then?" he asked.

Anton burst into a glowing account of his rescue in the little boat

which the boys had made for their pirate adventures of two years before.

Even the excitement of the story, however, was not strong enough to keep

his overtaxed frame from showing signs of a breakdown and the Weather

Man cut the story short.

"I'm going to breakfast later," he said curtly, "but not for a couple of

hours. You two had better take a rest now. Here, Sam," he called to one

of the negroes, "bring me a bucket of coffee from your camp-kettle, and

fetch some corn-pone. Quick now, these boys are famished."

"Yas, suh! Yas, suh!" came the reply, and, a moment later, a bucket of

coffee and some corn-bread and molasses were brought.

Despite their hunger, neither Ross nor Anton could eat more than a few

mouthfuls, and the hot drink was the last straw to their sleepiness.

Ross fell asleep with an unfinished piece of corn-pone in his hand, and

Anton's head was nodding.

"Ain' no more weight than a babby, Mister Levin," said the laborer, as

he picked up the little crippled lad and carried him to a tiny open shed

near by, which was the only dry spot to be found in the neighborhood.

Very tenderly he laid the boy down on a pile of clothes that had been

salvaged while the Forecaster put his overcoat over Ross and laid him

beside his chum.

"There," said the Weather Man, "let them sleep a while. They'll be ready

for a real breakfast in a couple of hours."

Though hungry himself, the Forecaster waited for three hours before

awakening the lads. Anton, by nature a light sleeper, awoke easily and

was refreshed, but the awakening of Ross was a real task. He had been on

a severe strain for twenty-seven hours and Nature demanded sleep. At

last, however, he was roused and after he had plunged his head in a pail

of cold water, he felt as full of ginger as ever and ready to start on

rescue work all over again.

"I'm just going to breakfast," the Forecaster announced. "Do you want to

go along?"

"Do I? I should say I did! But I'm afraid, sir, that Anton and I will

eat up everything in sight."

"You don't need to worry about that," the Forecaster replied, "my men

have been hauling supplies all night. Why, Ross, there are over two

thousand people homeless this morning, right around this district.

They've all got to eat breakfast, too, so you see even your best

efforts won't seriously decrease the supply."

"I'm not so sure about that, sir," Ross said laughing, "right now I feel

as though I could eat all you've gathered for the entire two thousand."

"Come and try, then," the Weather Man said, smiling. Then, turning to

Anton, he continued, "Likely enough, some of your people will be at the

big tent that's been put up. If they're not there, I'll send out a

couple of the boys on horseback to cover both sides of the flooded area

and pass the word that you're safe." He turned to the older boy. "I've

already sent word to your father, Ross."

The boys thanked him and started down the levee. Owing to the continuous

work of the night, the cave-in had gradually been filled up, averting a

break at this point. The river, turbid and swollen, was swirling by, not

more than three feet below the top of the levee.

"Is the water going down yet, Mr. Levin?" asked Ross. "It looks as

though the rain were over."

"Yes," answered the Forecaster, "the rain is over, but the water's not

going down yet. It's rising. I'm fairly sure that there won't be any

more rain for a few days, fortunately, but I heard from Greenville this

morning that the river was still rising. We can stand another nine or

ten inches, but a foot would be serious. Of course, the break that

flooded out Jackson's Hollow, where your place was, Anton, is relieving

the pressure a little. We've been lucky here. I haven't heard of any

loss of life so far. It's a nasty flood, but when the rainfall last week

was reported as being so heavy, I knew we couldn't escape trouble."

"Is it just the rain that makes floods?" Anton asked.

"Just rain," was the laconic answer.

"Why is it," asked the younger boy, "that there's more rain one year

than another?"

"If I could tell you that," the old Weather Forecaster replied, "I'd be

the cleverest meteorologist in the world."

"But doesn't anybody know why it rains?"

"Certainly, we know why it rains."

"Why, Mr. Levin?"

The Forecaster pushed back his hat from his forehead and looked

quizzically at the white-faced lad.

"You really want to know why rain comes? Very well, Anton, I'll try to

tell you. Stop me, though, if you don't quite understand.

"The Earth goes whirling about in space, revolving around the Sun, as

you know, and it has, like a sort of skin around it, an envelope of air.

This air is kept from flying off by the force of gravity. You know what

that is?"

"Yes, sir," the cripple answered, "it's what makes a stone fall to the

ground."

"Exactly. Now the air is made up of little particles or molecules, like

the stone, only, of course, not so heavy. They're heavy enough, though.

How much weight of air do you suppose you're carrying, Anton?"

The boy looked puzzled.

"I don't quite see what you mean, sir," he answered.

"Suppose you had a pea on your head, it wouldn't be heavy to carry,

would it?"

"Why, no," answered the lad, laughing.

"Supposing you had a basket of peas, the basket being only about as big

round as your head, but six feet high, that would make quite a load,

wouldn't it?"

"I don't believe I could carry it," was the answer.

"And if the basket were sixty feet high, as high as a barn?"

"I'd be squashed under it."

"And if it were six miles high!"

"Why," answered Anton, "a basket six miles high, even if you filled it

up with cotton fluff, would weigh tons and tons!"

"Well, my boy," said the Weather Forecaster, "you're carrying on the top

of your head a column of air, not only six, but sixty miles high, yes,

and more than that! You don't notice it, of course, because you're used

to it, and your body is made to accommodate itself to that weight by

your tissues being full of air at the same pressure. Just the same, not

counting the weight which presses on your whole body, amounting to about

seventeen tons, you're carrying on your head, at this minute, a weight

of over six hundred pounds."

"Six hundred pounds! As much as if I were carrying three heavy men

sitting on my head!"

"Every bit of it, and more, under certain conditions of the atmosphere.

This depends mainly on the circulation of the winds, especially those

great movements a thousand miles in diameter known as 'lows' and 'highs'

or cyclones and anti-cyclones. In the United States, an anti-cyclone

generally means fair weather, and in an anti-cyclone the barometric

column rises. That's why a barometer helps to foretell weather some time

in advance; it responds to the vast movements of the atmosphere rather

than to local conditions.

"Of course, Anton, at sixty miles up, the air is so thin that it has

hardly any weight. Indeed, we wouldn't know there was any air at that

height but for the trail that shooting stars leave. A meteor glows

because of friction, and in a vacuum there is no friction. Therefore

there must be air at the vast heights where shooting stars are first

seen."

"Could an aeroplane get up there?"

The Forecaster shook his head.

"Never," he answered. "Even six miles up, the air would be too thin to

sustain the weight of an aeroplane unless the machine were flying at

terrific velocity, and besides, at that height, there wouldn't be enough

air for an aviator to breathe. At that, Anton, you can see for yourself

that if the air is saturated with water vapor--and the cloud-bearing

atmosphere is eight or ten miles thick--there is room for a lot of

water."

"It's evaporation that puts water into the air, isn't it, sir?" asked

Ross.

"Exactly. The sun is shining on some part of the earth all the time.

There's never a second, day or night, that water is not being evaporated

from the seas, from lakes, from rivers and from the earth itself. All

the water that is taken up must fall somewhere, and all the rain that

falls means that the atmosphere must fill itself with water vapor again.

It's a continuous performance, and the water which is being evaporated

into the air falls to the earth, sooner or later, as rain, hail, or

snow."

"If it's all so regular," said Anton thoughtfully, "I don't see why we

don't get the same amount of rain every day, or at least every season."

"It isn't regular at all," the Weather Forecaster explained. "If

climatic conditions were regular, we could forecast the weather several

years in advance, instead of only a few days. There are a thousand

complicating factors. Land and sea are irregularly divided, and as there

is more evaporation from the sea than the land, every little curve in a

coast line means a disturbance of regularity. Then, Anton, remember,

while the earth is almost a globe it is not perfectly round, so that

every variation from the regular curve disturbs the air currents.

Moreover, the motions of the earth are very complicated. Sometimes it is

nearer the sun than at other times. It wobbles slightly on its axis. It

is inclined to the plane of the ecliptic, causing the seasons, and that

brings a new set of factors into the problem. A mountain range or a

desert will modify the atmosphere, even the difference between a forest

and a prairie is noticeable."

"Suppose you could figure all those things out, couldn't you foretell

the weather, then?"

The Forecaster shook his head.

"Suppose you had a thousand marbles of different colors," he said, "and

you dropped them from the top of a house to the hard ground below, a

rough and rocky piece of ground, could you ever figure out what kind of

a pattern they would make? You might measure the size of the marbles and

compute how many times they would strike against each other in falling,

meantime figuring the angles of direction that each collision would

produce. You might measure the resistance of the ground and the

elasticity of the marbles and estimate the manner in which they would

bounce after striking the ground and the distance to which they would

roll. After you had done all that, you might have the right to expect

that you would know the pattern that the marbles would make as they lay

scattered on the ground. But you would be wrong, for if you dropped

those marbles a thousand, yes, a million times, the pattern would be

different each time. After tens of billions of experiments you might be

able to find the proportion of patterns, but the result would never be

of practical use.

"It's the same way with the weather. We know well enough how to do the

things that would enable us to prophesy a long time in advance what the

weather is going to be, but the problem approaches impossibility because

there are too many factors that enter into the calculation. We're

learning all the time, but it's a big piece of work and needs big men to

do it. That's why, Anton, I can't tell you why this particular district

had more rain this year than it has had for several seasons past."

Anton, pegging away on his crutch beside the Forecaster, looked up at

him with an added eagerness in his eyes.

"And yet all those things are going on, right where I can see them!" he

exclaimed.

"Yes," the Weather Man answered. "Some men can explore distant

countries, and we envy them; some men can explore the greatest and the

smallest things in the world with marvellous scientific instruments and

we envy them, too; but every day and all day, and every night and all

night, we are surrounded by the World of the Weather, less explored,

less known than even the most remote corner of the earth. Why, Anton, if

you could simply follow all the various causes that brought about this

flood that made you homeless, you would have a story of adventure that

would make the most daring explorer green with envy."

"But you do predict floods and rains, Mr. Levin," Ross put in. "Father

told me, a week ago, that warnings for this flood had been sent out by

the Weather Bureau."

"Yes, indeed," the Weather Man answered. "I should say that weather

warnings issued by the Bureau save half a billion dollars to the country

every year and prevent the loss of hundreds of lives. All those are

short-range predictions. Very few of them cover much more than a week in

advance, except, perhaps, a West Indian Hurricane which has been

reported from the Antilles, or a flood on the Mississippi which is

caused by heavy rains in the upper reaches of the streams flowing into

it."

"Well, that's prophesying, isn't it?"

"Yes, and no," was the reply. "It's predicting, and it's due to

observation. If a storm is moving eastward, with a heavy rainfall, and

we've had telegraphic dispatches from all the towns in the west through

which it has passed, it's not hard to figure the speed at which the

storm is traveling, and it's a sure prediction to tell a city to the

eastward of that storm that rain can be expected at about a certain

date. Or, if there's a high flood wave at St. Louis, and we know the

speed of the Mississippi current, we can notify Greenville, Vicksburg,

and New Orleans at what time the trouble is likely to come to them. If

no more rain is falling at Greenville and the river is going down there,

we can notify Vicksburg that the flood danger is passing away. That's

the observational end of the work, and in that line, the Weather Bureau

of the United States is the best in the world."

The weather expert was proceeding to explain in detail the manner of

collecting these observations, when suddenly Anton clutched him by the

arm.

"What's that, Mr. Levin?" he cried.

The Forecaster looked ahead, then glanced down at the boy with a smile.

"What does it look like?" he asked.

"Why," said Anton, "it looks like a circus tent; you know, the one that

was here the week before last."

"It is the circus tent," the Forecaster replied. "When I found that

there were a couple of thousand people to be fed and looked after, the

only shelter I could think of, that was big enough, was the circus tent.

So, late last night, I sent a wagon up there, asking for the loan of the

tent for a day or two. And what do you suppose the circus folk did?"

"Sent it?"

"They sent it, with two of their wagons, a lot of food, their cooking

kit, and the two cooks who travel with the circus. What's more, Anton,

you remember those two clowns in the show who were so funny?"

"You bet I do!" exclaimed the lad, his eyes shining.

"They volunteered to come down and help as waiters. They're doing it,

too, and it's a right good thing, for every one around in the place is

roaring with laughter half the time. Folks work a lot better when

they're cheerful."

A perfect gale of merriment, which greeted the boys as they neared the

tent, showed the truth of the Forecaster's statement. He had greatly

understated the work of the circus. Nearly all the performers were

there, busily helping the distressed.

"They're a right kindly folk, the circus people, as a rule," remarked

the Forecaster.

"Are they all here?" queried Anton. "Goliath, the strong man, the Flying

Squirrel Brothers, Androcles, the lion tamer, Princess Tiny and the

rest?"

"Yes, most of them," the Forecaster answered. "Goliath is in charge of

one of the gangs I've got at work on the river front, and the darkies

are so proud of being under him that they're working like fury. The

Flying Squirrel Brothers--cracker-jack mechanics, both of them--have

been fixing up some tackle and machinery that we needed, but I think

Androcles stayed back with his lions. I suppose he thought the lions

wouldn't do us any good. But if you're not too hungry to wait just for a

second--"

He paused.

"What?" queried Anton excitedly.

"Yes, there they are!" the Forecaster answered, gazing along the levee.

Both boys followed his glance.

Vast, bulky shadows stood outlined against the distant Arkansas shore

and the clearing sky. Unreal they seemed, until it was evident that they

were moving.

There, shuffling along with that heavy rolling gait which is unlike that

of any other animal in the world, came two colossal elephants.

Anton shrieked with delight.

"Elephants! Real elephants!" he cried. "Oh, Mr. Levin, I haven't ever

seen an elephant quite close."

He started off up the levee, but the Forecaster called him back.

"Have your breakfast first, Anton," he said; "you've got all day to look

at the elephants. They're the best workers I've got. I'd like to have a

gang of them at work on the levee all the time."

This sentiment was not shared by Rex. At the first sight of the huge

creatures, Lassie had given a low growl. Rex stood silent, with a

stillness that Ross knew to be ominous, and just as the Forecaster

finished speaking, with an angry growl, he started off to do battle

against the elephants. It was a sight to see him, with his hair

bristling, rushing forward to dispute the passage of these huge brutes

who dared to approach the vicinity of Lassie and the puppies. Only the

sharp commands of Ross availed to bring him back, and throughout

breakfast he lay well in advance of the tent, watching, and growling

loudly every time the elephants passed, dragging the flat sleds loaded

with sand bags to the cave-in a few hundred yards beyond.

"I've been wondering," began Anton, using the expression most often on

his lips, "why there are so many floods on the Mississippi. Why is it?

Lots of rivers I know don't have these awful floods every year."

"I've wondered, too," said Ross.

The Weather Man looked at the two boys, then took a cigar out of his

pocket.

"I can't stay away from the levee very long," he said, "but I need a

cigar after breakfast, anyway, and I'll tell you why the Mississippi is

one of the worst flood rivers in the world and why the safeguarding of

the Mississippi is the biggest piece of work to be done in the United

States. It's a bigger piece of work than the Panama Canal, and a more

difficult piece of work. It means millions of dollars every year to the

people of the United States."

"Why is it such a hard job?"

"The Mississippi River," the Forecaster began, "is two and a half

thousand miles in length; the longest river in the world."

"Longer than the Amazon?" asked Anton.

"Yes, a great deal. Besides, it is navigable for nearly two thousand

miles, clear from St. Paul, Minnesota, to the Gulf. It drains two-fifths

of the area of the United States. To put it another way, all the rain

and snow that falls between New York State and Montana sooner or later

makes its way into the Mississippi River, except for the rain that is

used up by plants and animals or that is evaporated before it reaches

the river or that drains by underground seepage to the ocean. So you see

what a vast amount of water it must carry. Now, boys," he continued,

"what kind of banks has the river around here, rock or earth?"

"Mud!" answered Ross, tersely.

"Right," the Forecaster agreed, "and it is mud nearly all the way along.

But do you know what mud is?"

This was rather a poser, but finally Anton said slowly,

"It's a mixture of earth and water, isn't it?"

The Forecaster looked shrewdly at the boy.

"You've hit it just right," he said, "mud is earth or soil that has been

washed down by the river. That's what makes the bottom of the river so

irregular and why it's always shifting. You can see for yourselves,

boys, that if the bottom of the Mississippi is just made of light mud,

light enough to be carried down as muddy water for hundreds of miles,

any little change in the current of the river will stir up that mud

again and scoop out a hole. If it happens to be near a bank, the bank

will be eaten away and, naturally, will cave right in."

"About how much mud does the Mississippi carry down, Mr. Levin?" Anton

asked.

"In flood time, as much as a thousand tons a minute will be carried past

here."

Ross whistled.

"A thousand tons a minute!" he exclaimed. "Why, I should think that

would fill up the river in no time."

"It would," the Weather Man answered, "if the river stood still. In

flood time, however, the water is flowing rapidly and takes the mud

clear down to the delta. That's why there is always so much new land

being made at the mouth of the river. You could buy a piece of land

under water now, Ross, if you wanted, and be quite sure that in twenty

years' time there would be land there for a farm."

"But a thousand tons a minute!" the boy repeated, "that seems huge!"

"It is pretty big," the Forecaster agreed, "but I'll show you where it

comes from. You know, boys, generally the land slopes down in the

direction of the river, doesn't it?"

"Yes," assented the two boys, "it's supposed to. But it doesn't here.

The lie of the land is away from the river."

"That's just exactly the point," the Forecaster declared. "The banks of

the Mississippi range in height from about twenty to forty feet above

extreme low water. As the river, in times of flood, rises as high as

forty to fifty feet above low water, unless there were levees, the river

would overflow its banks every spring or flood time."

"It does, quite often, even yet," commented Ross, looking on the flooded

scene around him.

"Well," said the Weather Man, "the present levee system only dates

back to the end of the Civil War, although there were levees built

during the first settlement of New Orleans, two centuries ago. Remember,

though, that the Mississippi has been flowing down its present bed for

several hundred thousand years, with a flood every spring, so that the

overflow has had its effect. Of course, before the land was broken up by

farming, there wasn't as much earth carried down into the river to make

mud as there is now.

"When the Mississippi River, with its heavy sediment, overflows the

banks into the swamps, it's easy to see that the current will be slower

in the flooded area than in the main bed of the river."

"Of course," agreed Ross, "but what has that got to do with it?"

"A great deal," the Forecaster replied succinctly. "The faster a river

flows, the more sediment it can carry without allowing it to drop to the

bottom; the slower it flows, the more readily is the sediment dropped.

If you put some mud in a glass of water and keep stirring it with a

spoon, the mud will never sink to the bottom. Even if you let it stand

perfectly still, it will take several days before the finest particles

sink to the bottom of the glass and the water becomes clear."

"Yes," agreed Anton, "I've often wondered why."

"Well," the Weather Man continued, "if you look closely at the mud in

the bottom of the glass, you'll see that the bigger particles are at the

bottom and then those a little smaller and so on up, until your top

layer is made of a mud composed of particles so fine that you'd have to

get a microscope to see them."

"I don't quite see why," said Ross. "I know bigger things are heavier,

but why should a big bit of earth sink more quickly than a small bit,

when they're both made of just exactly the same stuff?"

The Weather Man looked at him.

"Some of these days," he said, "remind me to talk to you about sunlight

and dust, and I'll tell you a heap of things you don't know. Right now,

get this idea in your head. The larger a piece of matter is, the smaller

is the surface in proportion to the bulk. A feather of swan's down will

float in a high wind, but if you roll that feather into a ball, it will

fall. Why? You haven't made it any heavier. You've only reduced the

amount of surface which was borne up by the air. It's the same way with

mud, the bigger pieces sink first because they have less surface in

proportion to their weight."

"Yes," answered Ross, "I can see that now."

"Very good, then," the Forecaster continued, "when the Mississippi

overflowed its banks and the water got out of the current of the main

stream, so that it flowed more gently, the sediment began to fall, the

larger pieces first and those that were finer until it was only at the

most distant point from the river that the finest mud settled. This has

gone on, year after year, for thousands of years.

"Therefore, you see, the lands nearest the river are higher than those

farther away. In two big basins, the St. Francis and the Yazoo basins,

the slope and the drainage is away from the river, instead of towards

it."

"In that case, then," said Anton thoughtfully, "the Mississippi runs in

a groove on the top of a hill."

"That's it exactly," the Forecaster said, "and some of the most fertile

fields lie in the lowlands made of the fine mud at the bottom of this

hill. It's just like that hollow where your house was, Anton. The flood

hasn't done much damage south of here because all the waters poured down

into that fine plantation land where your place was located."

"What I don't see," said Ross, "is why the Government doesn't build a

really high levee all the way along the river. I don't mean just a few

feet higher, but a regular wall 'way higher than the river ever goes. I

mean a regular stone wall, twice as high as any levee that we've got

now. I should think that would make the river behave."

"It would and it wouldn't," replied the Weather Man. "What are you going

to build that wall on? On the ground?"

"I suppose so," said Ross. "I hadn't thought much about that."

"Indeed you hadn't," his friend replied. "You've got to remember, Ross,

that the Mississippi doesn't run in a straight line; it bends and twists

like a snake. In the bends the current strikes on the outwardly curving

bank, and, as you know, the water is always deep there. This causes a

rapid caving and erosion of the bank. At the foot of each bend, the main

flow crosses to the other side, where it strikes the bank which has

become concave there, and eats into that bank just as, a few hundred

yards higher, it has been eating into the opposite one."

"I know you've always got to pilot a boat first on one side of the river

and then on the other," said Ross thoughtfully.

"You have. And, if you remember, you'll see that it is generally on the

side nearest to the concave shore that the boats pass."

"Yes," agreed Ross thoughtfully, "I guess it is."

"Now, you can easily see," the Forecaster continued, "that the river

might keep its own channel clean if it flowed straight down with a

current of equal strength. But, as the current crosses from side to

side, it slackens speed at each of these crossings. Therefore, as the

current becomes slower, it drops some of the heavier particles of sand

or mud, forming a bar at every bend, sometimes so high as to prevent

navigation."

"That's what the dredges are for, isn't it?" asked Ross.

"Yes. The Government has twelve large dredges at work all the time,

keeping the navigation channel open."

"I don't see, yet, why the stone wall idea wouldn't work," protested

Ross.

"I'm just showing you," was the reply. "If you built your heavy wall on

the bank, the water would strike the concave bank at one of these

crossings, eat away the earth under the wall and your wall would topple

in. Then the current would cross the stream, undermine the bank on the

other side and your masonry would crumble there, too. So much for the

wall."

"Suppose you sunk that wall, away down deep, below the level of the

bottom of the river?" suggested Ross.

"That might work," the expert replied, "but it would cost more money

than the United States could afford to spend. Besides, Ross, where would

you build this wall? Right on the bank?"

"Of course."

"But the Mississippi is half a mile wide at some places and three miles

wide at others. If the river were absolutely walled in, you'd have swift

currents at one place and slow in another. Then your channel would fill

up in the wide places and you'd be as badly off as before."

"Make it all the same width, then," said Ross.

"Build two-thirds of the whole two thousand miles by some underwater

system, constructing the wall under water? If you had ever read of the

difficulty of building one lighthouse foundation, my boy, you wouldn't

talk so glibly about building huge retaining masses of masonry under

water."

"Suppose it were done, that way, Mr. Levin," put in Anton, "would that

settle it all?"

"You mean--suppose there was a high masonry wall, making a canal equal

in width and height from St. Louis to the Gulf, would that turn the

Mississippi into a permanent ship channel? Is that what you mean?"

"Yes."

"No, it wouldn't," the expert replied. "What are you going to do with

all the little streams that flow into the Mississippi? Think for a

minute, boys. You can see that wherever you narrow the banks, the river

channel has got to be made deeper to accommodate the water, hasn't it?"

"Yes," both boys agreed, "it has."

"In other words, suppose that before you put up this huge masonry wall,

the flood crest was fifty feet at Memphis, then, after the wall was

built, the flood crest would be seventy-five or a hundred."

"Suppose it were," said Ross, "the wall would hold it in."

"So you think. There are the tributaries to consider. Take the Yazoo,

for example. It flows into the main river until the Mississippi reaches

the fifty-foot flood level. If you raise the flood level of the

Mississippi to seventy-five feet, the water in the main river will be

twenty-five feet higher than the water which used to run into it at the

fifty-foot level, won't it?"

Ross whistled.

"I see where you're coming to," he said; "I'd never have thought of

that. Go ahead, Mr. Levin."

"With the water in the main stream twenty-five feet higher than in the

tributary, due to your retaining wall, boy, instead of the water in the

Yazoo River flowing into the Mississippi, all the water above the

fifty-foot level in the Mississippi would flow into the Yazoo. The Yazoo

couldn't hold the water, and as the stream backed up, it would overflow

its banks. All the low valleys would be flooded in exactly the same way

that they were before, only, instead of the floods coming directly

through a break in the levee or over the banks of the Mississippi, they

would come over the banks of the Yazoo. That would be true of every

small river that flows into the Mississippi, and there are scores of

them."

"What can be done, Mr. Levin?"

"There's only one thing to do," the Weather Man answered, "and that's to

build up the levee system, year after year, steadily and without pause,

making allowances for the tributaries flowing into the Mississippi and

paying especial heed to the rainfall that may be expected in the basin.

Wherever possible, forestry must be undertaken to keep the slopes from

erosion. Reservoirs might be built with great profit, from which water

could be let down during the low water periods.

"When the river channels are accurately adjusted to the amount of

rainfall in the river basin, destructive floods will be averted. We can

never expect that the Mississippi will be absolutely put in harness. The

basin is too huge, the amount of water that has to be carried down is

too great. Permanent dredging and permanent levee construction and

repair will always be necessary, and a close co-ordination between the

Weather Bureau and the government and state engineers is a first need in

the problem."

"Just how does the Weather Bureau come in," asked Ross, "the rainfall?"

"It isn't only the rainfall of the few days in advance," the Forecaster

answered, "it's the rain that has fallen before and the rain that's

going to fall. If there should be twelve inches of rainfall after a

long drought throughout the Mississippi basin, it would make

comparatively little difference, for all the rain that fell on the dry

ground would be sucked up by it and only a very little would flow into

the rivers and streams that feed the Mississippi.

"On the other hand, if there had been slight but frequent rains for

weeks and weeks, those twelve inches of water would make an entirely

different story. No one, except the Weather Bureau, would have kept

track of the amount of rain that had fallen.

"If the ground has been steadily soaked, even by light occasional

showers, twelve inches more of rain cannot soak in. Therefore, the

entire amount of rain will flow directly into the stream channels and

thus into the Mississippi. Flood warnings will be sent out, the height

of the flood crest can be estimated, the length of the period of the

danger will be known in advance and the proper preparations can be made.

If further rain is threatened, that information can be sent out, also,

and the entire Mississippi valley is completely prepared. That's the

true preparedness, my boy, being ready for the foe that you know will

come. Stupidity or cowardice are the only causes for not being willing

and ready to help in time of danger."

"What can a chap do?" asked Ross, aflame with eagerness.

The Forecaster looked at him thoughtfully, but before he answered, Anton

piped in, with a plaintive note in his voice:

"Is there anything that I could do?"

In spite of himself, the Forecaster's glance fell on the crutch. Anton's

intent gaze followed the look and he flushed. A sudden silence fell, the

silence of an abiding tragedy from which all eyes are always turned, the

tragedy of the disabled.

"Yes," he said with grave quietness, "there's a great deal that you can

do."

The crippled lad regarded him steadily.

The steady rushing of the Mississippi in flood could be heard near by

with its thousand miles of menace.

"We need work," the weather expert said, at last, "work with the heart

behind it. Even now, the United States Weather Bureau has over four

thousand co-operative observers, who work without pay, who work with

their hearts behind their duties. Still, this is all too few."

Anton's gaze never wavered, but a question crept into his eyes.

"Yes," answered the Forecaster, "you can be one. I know your father

well, and I'm sure that he will be guaranty for the instruments. The

work of making and recording observations will be yours. Never late,

never forgetting, never swerving from your duty, your post at the

rain-gauge and the barometer will be as honorable and responsible a post

as the soldier's at sentry-post or behind the gun."

The lad's eyes glowed more deeply.

"Storms, frosts, and droughts will be your enemies," the Forecaster

continued, "and they never sleep and never give quarter. The

lighthouse-keeper who lets his light go out and permits a ship to go

unwarned to wreck upon the rocks is not more guilty than the Weather

Observer who allows disaster to sweep, unwarned, upon his district. It

is a trust, Anton. Can you and will you take it?"

The sun broke through the clouds, lighting up the yellow wood of the

crutch and turning it into gold. It caught the boy's eye, but with a new

significance. No longer would it stand between him and his future. There

was something he could do for his country, as well as though he were

the strongest and best-built lad in all the neighborhood. Life, with its

promises of work, opened before him.

"I'll take the trust," he answered simply.

The Boy with the U. S. Weather Men · 第 2 / 10 章