RATIOS

3 { 1 _Ab_ class may produce either all _Ab_’s,

{ 2 _or_ both _Ab_’s and _ab_’s.

{ 1 _AB_ class may produce either all _AB_’s,

{ 2 _or_ both _AB_’s and _Ab_’s,

9 { 2 _or_ both _AB_’s and _aB_’s,

{ 4 _or_ all four possible classes again, namely,

{ _AB_’s, _Ab_’s, _aB_’s, and _ab_’s,

and the average number of members of each class will approach the ratio

1 : 3 : 3 : 9 as indicated above.

The details of these experiments and of others like them made with

_three_ pairs of differentiating characters are all set out in Mendel’s

memoir.

Professor de Vries has worked at the same problem in some dozen species

belonging to several genera, using pairs of varieties characterised by

a great number of characters: for instance, colour of flowers, stems,

or fruits, hairiness, length of style, and so forth. He states that in

all these cases Mendel’s principles are followed.

The numbers with which Mendel worked, though large, were not large

enough to give really smooth results[10]; but with a few rather

marked exceptions the observations are remarkably consistent, and

the approximation to the numbers demanded by the law is greatest in

those cases where the largest numbers were used. When we consider,

besides, that Tschermak and Correns announce definite confirmation in

the case of _Pisum_, and de Vries adds the evidence of his long series

of observations on other species and orders, there can be no doubt

that Mendel’s law is a substantial reality; though whether some of

the cases that depart most widely from it can be brought within the

terms of the same principle or not, can only be decided by further

experiments.

[10] Professor Weldon (p. 232) takes great exception to this

statement, which he considerately attributes to “some writers.”

After examining the conclusions he obtained by algebraical study of

Mendel’s figures I am disposed to think my statement not very far out.

One may naturally ask, How can these results be brought into harmony

with the facts of hybridisation hitherto known; and, if all this is

true, how is it that others who have carefully studied the phenomena

of hybridisation have not long ago perceived this law? The answer to

this question is given by Mendel at some length, and it is, I think,

satisfactory. He admits from the first that there are undoubtedly cases

of hybrids and cross-breds which maintain themselves pure and do not

break up. Such examples are plainly outside the scope of his law. Next

he points out, what to anyone who has rightly comprehended the nature

of discontinuity in variation is well known, that the variations in

_each_ character must be _separately_ regarded. In most experiments in

crossing, forms are taken which differ from each other in a multitude

of characters--some continuous, others discontinuous, some capable of

blending with their contraries, while others are not. The observer on

attempting to perceive any regularity is confused by the complications

thus introduced. Mendel’s law, as he fairly says, could only appear in

such cases by the use of overwhelming numbers, which are beyond the

possibilities of practical experiment. Lastly, no previous observer had

applied a strict statistical method.

Both these answers should be acceptable to those who have studied the

facts of variation and have appreciated the nature of Species in the

light of those facts. That different species should follow different

laws, and that the same law should not apply to all characters alike,

is exactly what we have every right to expect. It will also be

remembered that the principle is only explicitly declared to apply to

discontinuous characters[11]. As stated also it can only be true where

reciprocal crossings lead to the same result. Moreover, it can only be

tested when there is no sensible diminution in fertility on crossing.

[11] See later.

Upon the appearance of de Vries’ paper announcing the “rediscovery”

and confirmation of Mendel’s law and its extension to a great number

of cases two other observers came forward almost simultaneously and

independently described series of experiments fully confirming Mendel’s

work. Of these papers the first is that of Correns, who repeated

Mendel’s original experiment with Peas having seeds of different

colours. The second is a long and very valuable memoir of Tschermak,

which gives an account of elaborate researches into the results of

crossing a number of varieties of _Pisum sativum_. These experiments

were in many cases carried out on a large scale, and prove the main

fact enuntiated by Mendel beyond any possibility of contradiction.

The more exhaustive of these researches are those of Tschermak on

Peas and Correns on several varieties of Maize. Both these elaborate

investigations have abundantly proved the general applicability of

Mendel’s law to the character of the plants studied, though both

indicate some few exceptions. The details of de Vries’ experiments are

promised in the second volume of his most valuable _Mutationstheorie_.

Correns in regard to Maize and Tschermak in the case of _P. sativum_

have obtained further proof that Mendel’s law holds as well in the case

of varieties differing from each other in _two_ pairs of characters,

one of each pair being dominant, though of course a more complicated

expression is needed in such cases[12].

[12] Tschermak’s investigations were besides directed to a

re-examination of the question of the absence of beneficial

results on cross-fertilising _P. sativum_, a subject already much

investigated by Darwin, and upon this matter also important further

evidence is given in great detail.

That we are in the presence of a new principle of the highest

importance is manifest. To what further conclusions it may lead us

cannot yet be foretold. But both Mendel and the authors who have

followed him lay stress on one conclusion, which will at once suggest

itself to anyone who reflects on the facts. For it will be seen that

the results are such as we might expect if it be imagined that the

cross-bred plant produced pollen grains and egg-cells, each of which

bears only _one_ of the alternative varietal characters and not both.

If this were so, and if on an average the same number of pollen grains

and egg-cells transmit each of the two characters, it is clear that on

a random assortment of pollen grains and egg-cells Mendel’s law would

be obeyed. For 25 per cent. of “dominant” pollen grains would unite

with 25 per cent. “dominant” egg-cells; 25 per cent. “recessive” pollen

grains would similarly unite with 25 per cent. “recessive” egg-cells;

while the remaining 50 per cent. of each kind would unite together.

It is this consideration which leads both Mendel and those who have

followed him to assert that these facts of crossing prove that each

egg-cell and each pollen grain is pure in respect of each character

to which the law applies. It is highly desirable that varieties

differing in the form of their pollen should be made the subject of

these experiments, for it is quite possible that in such a case strong

confirmation of this deduction might be obtained. [Preliminary trials

made with reference to this point have so far given negative results.

Remembering that a pollen grain is not a germ-cell, but only a bearer

of a germ-cell, the hope of seeing pollen grains differentiated

according to the characters they bear is probably remote. Better hopes

may perhaps be entertained in regard to spermatozoa, or possibly female

cells.]

As an objection to the deduction of purity of germ-cells, however, it

is to be noted that though true intermediates did not generally occur,

yet the intensity in which the characters appeared did vary in degree,

and it is not easy to see how the hypothesis of _perfect_ purity in the

reproductive cells can be supported in such cases. Be this, however, as

it may, there is no doubt we are beginning to get new lights of a most

valuable kind on the nature of heredity and the laws which it obeys. It

is to be hoped that these indications will be at once followed up by

independent workers. Enough has been said to show how necessary it is

that the subjects of experiment should be chosen in such a way as to

bring the laws of heredity to a real test. For this purpose the first

essential is that the differentiating characters should be few, and

that all avoidable complications should be got rid of. Each experiment

should be reduced to its simplest possible limits. The results obtained

by Galton, and also the new ones especially described in this paper,

have each been reached by restricting the range of observation to one

character or group of characters, and it is certain that by similar

treatment our knowledge of heredity may be rapidly extended.

* * * * *

To the above popular presentation of the essential facts, made for

an audience not strictly scientific, some addition, however brief,

is called for. First, in regard to the law of Ancestry, spoken of on

p. 5. Those who are acquainted with Pearson’s _Grammar of Science_,

2nd ed. published early in 1900, the same author’s paper in _Proc.

R. S._ vol. 66, 1900, p. 140, or the extensive memoir (pubd. Oct.

1900), on the inheritance of coat-colour in horses and eye-colour in

man (_Phil. Trans._ 195, A, 1900, p. 79), will not need to be told that

the few words I have given above constitute a most imperfect diagram of

the operations of that law as now developed. Until the appearance of

these treatises it was, I believe, generally considered that the law

of Ancestral Heredity was to be taken as applying to phenomena like

these (coat-colour, eye-colour, &c.) where the inheritance is generally

_alternative_, as well as to the phenomena of _blended_ inheritance.

Pearson, in the writings referred to, besides withdrawing other large

categories of phenomena from the scope of its operations, points out

that the law of Ancestral Heredity does not satisfactorily express the

cases of alternative inheritance. He urges, and with reason, that these

classes of phenomena should be separately dealt with.

* * * * *

The whole issue as regards the various possibilities of heredity now

recognized will be made clearer by a very brief exposition of the

several conceptions involved.

If an organism producing germ-cells of a given constitution, uniform in

respect of the characters they bear, breeds with another organism[13]

bearing _precisely similar_ germ-cells, the offspring resulting will,

if the conditions are identical, be uniform.

[13] For simplicity the case of self-fertilisation is omitted from

this consideration.

In practice such a phenomenon is seen in _pure_-breeding. It is true

that we know no case in nature where all the germ-cells are thus

identical, and where no variation takes place beyond what we can

attribute to conditions, but we know many cases where such a result

is approached, and very many where all the essential features which we

regard as constituting the characters of the breed are reproduced with

approximate certainty in every member of the pure-bred race, which thus

closely approach to uniformity.

But if two germ-cells of dissimilar constitution unite in

fertilisation, what offspring are we to expect[14]? First let us

premise that the answer to this question is known experimentally to

differ for many organisms and for many classes of characters, and may

almost certainly be in part determined by external circumstances. But

omitting the last qualification, certain principles are now clearly

detected, though what principle will apply in any given case can only

be determined by direct experiment made with that case.

[14] In all the cases discussed it is assumed that the gametes are

similar except in regard to the “heritage” they bear, and that no

_original_ variation is taking place. The case of mosaics is also

left wholly out of account (see later).

This is the phenomenon of _cross_-breeding. As generally used, this

term means the union of members of dissimilar varieties, or species:

though when dissimilar gametes[15] produced by two individuals

of the same variety unite in fertilisation, we have essentially

_cross_-breeding in respect of the character or characters in which

those gametes differ. We will suppose, as before, that these two

gametes bearing properties unlike in respect of a given character, are

borne by different individuals.

[15] The term “gamete” is now generally used as the equivalent of

“germ-cell,” whether male or female, and the term “zygote” is here

used for brevity to denote the organism resulting from fertilisation.

In the simplest case, suppose a gamete from an individual presenting

any character in intensity _A_ unite in fertilisation with another

from an individual presenting the same character in intensity _a_. For

brevity’s sake we may call the parent individuals _A_ and _a_, and the

resulting zygote _Aa_. What will the structure of _Aa_ be in regard to

the character we are considering?

Up to Mendel no one proposed to answer this question in any other way

than by reference to the intensity of the character in the progenitors,

and _primarily_ in the parents, _A_ and _a_, in whose bodies the

gametes had been developed. It was well known that such a reference

gave a very poor indication of what _Aa_ would be. Both _A_ and _a_

may come from a population consisting of individuals manifesting the

same character in various intensities. In the pedigree of either _A_

or _a_ these various intensities may have occurred few or many times.

Common experience leads us to expect the probability in regard to _Aa_

to be influenced by this history. The next step is that which Galton

took. He extended the reference beyond the immediate parents of _Aa_,

to its grandparents, great-grandparents, and so on, and in the cases he

studied he found that from a knowledge of the intensity in which the

given character was manifested in each progenitor, even for some few

generations back, a fairly accurate prediction could be made, not as to

the character of any individual _Aa_, but as to the average character

of _Aa_’s of similar parentage, in general.

But suppose that instead of individuals presenting one character in

differing intensities, two individuals breed together distinguished by

characters which we know to be mutually exclusive, such as _A_ and _B_.

Here again we may speak of the individuals producing the gametes as _A_

and _B_, and the resulting zygote as _AB_. What will _AB_ be like? The

population here again may consist of many like _A_ and like _B_. These

two forms may have been breeding together indiscriminately, and there

may have been many or few of either type in the pedigree of either _A_

or _B_.

Here again Galton applied his method with remarkable success. Referring

to the progenitors of _A_ and _B_, determining how many of each type

there were in the direct pedigree of _A_ and of _B_, he arrived at the

same formula as before, with the simple difference that instead of

expressing the probable average intensity of one character in several

individuals, the prediction is given in terms of the probable number of

_A_’s and _B_’s that would result on an average when particular _A_’s

and _B_’s of known pedigree breed together.

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