My first answer would be that it is scarcely fair to pose this question

just yet. The League was founded only three years ago--much too short

a period to afford a test of the working of a gigantic, complex, but

very delicate and sensitive human machine. There has been hardly time

enough even to catalogue and chart the myriads of nerves that thread

its system. You cannot move a finger at the councils of Geneva without

touching some hidden nerve and setting it in a condition of quivering

protest. The League has, however, been long enough in existence to

reveal its strength and its weaknesses, its power, its potentialities

and its perils.

It has already achieved triumphs of which its founders may well be

proud. The restoration of Austria to life when it seemed to have been

hopelessly submerged in the deluge of economic, financial and political

disaster which had overwhelmed it, is a notable feat of artificial

respiration. The successful effort organised by the League to stamp out

typhus in Eastern Europe and prevent its spread to the West is also a

success worthy of record. But for this intelligently conducted campaign

that terrible disease would have ravaged Russia and Central Europe

and laid low millions out of populations so enfeebled by hunger and

privation as to become easy victims to its devastating assaults.

The Labour branch of the League has also been specially active and

energetic, and its persistent endeavours to raise and co-ordinate the

standards of toil in all countries are producing marked and important

results. In addition great credit is due to the League for the splendid

work it has accomplished in alleviating the distress which prevailed

amongst the famine-stricken areas of Eastern Europe and amongst the

refugees who fled from the horrors of victorious Bolshevism in Russia,

and the still greater horrors of Turkish savagery in Asia Minor.

But these humanitarian tasks, praiseworthy though they be, were not the

primary objects of the foundation of the League. Its main purpose was

the averting of future wars by the setting up of some tribunal to which

nations would be bound by their own covenant and the pressure of other

nations to resort in order to settle their differences. Its failure or

success as an experiment will be judged by this test alone. How does it

stand in this respect?

It succeeded in effecting a settlement of a dangerous dispute between

Sweden and Finland over the possession of the Aaland Islands. That

success was on the line of its main purpose. Here the methods of the

League gave confidence in its complete impartiality.

So much can, unfortunately, not be said of another question where it

was called in and gave its decision. Its Silesian award has been acted

upon but hardly accepted by both parties as a fair settlement. That is

due to the manner adopted in reaching judgment. Instead of following

the Aaland precedent in the choice of a tribunal, it pursued a course

which engendered suspicion of its motives. It created a regrettable

impression of anxiety to retain a certain measure of control over

the decision. There was a suspicion of intrigue in the choice of the

tribunal and the conduct of the proceedings. In the Aaland case no

great power was particularly interested in influencing the conclusions

arrived at either way. But here two powers of great authority in the

League--France and Poland--were passionately engaged in securing a

result adverse to Germany. The other party to the dispute had no

friends, and was moreover not a member of the League.

Britain stood for fair play, but she was not a protagonist of the

claims of Germany. Poland had a powerful advocate on the League--a

country with a vital interest in securing a pro-Polish decision. In

these circumstances the League ought to have exercised the most

scrupulous care to avoid any shadow of doubt as to its freedom from

all bias. Had it chosen distinguished jurists outside its own body to

undertake at least a preliminary investigation as it did in the Aaland

case, all would have been well. It preferred, however, to retain the

matter in its own hands. Hence the doubts and misgivings with which

the judgment of the League has been received not only by the whole of

Germany, but by many outside Germany.

This decision, and the way Poland has flouted the League over Vilna

served to confirm the idea which prevails in Russia and Germany that

France and Poland dominate the League. The Silesian award may be just,

but the fact remains that it will take a long series of decisions

beyond cavil to restore or rather to establish German and Russian

confidence in the League.

It is unfortunate that countries which cover more than half Europe

should feel thus about a body whose success depends entirely on the

confidence reposed in its impartiality by all the nations which may be

called upon to carry out its decrees, even though these may be adverse

to their views or supposed interests. The Vilna fiasco, the Armenian

failure, the suspicions that surround the Silesian award, the timidity

which prevents the tackling of reparations, which is the one question

disturbing the peace of Europe to-day, the futile conversations and

committees on disarmament which everyone knows, will not succeed in

scrapping one flight of aëroplanes or one company of infantry. All

these disappointments arise from one predominating cause. What is it?

Undoubtedly the great weakness of the League comes from the fact that

it only represents one half the great powers of the world. Until the

others join you might as well call the Holy Alliance a League of

Nations.

The ostensible purpose of that combination was also to prevent a

recurrence of the wars that had for years scorched Europe, and to

establish European peace on the firm basis of a joint guarantee of

delimited frontiers. But certain powers with selfish ambitions dictated

its policy. They terrorised Europe into submission and called that

peace.

No historical parallel is quite complete, but there is enough material

in the occurrences of to-day to justify the reference. The League to be

a reality must represent the whole civilised world. That is necessary

to give it balance as well as authority. That was the original

conception. To ask why that failed is to provoke a bitter and a barren

controversy.

I do not propose to express any opinion as to the merits of the

manoeuvres which led to the defeat of the treaty in America. Whether

the Senate should have honoured the signature of an American President

given in the name of his country at an international conference, or

whether the commitment was too fundamentally at variance with American

ideas to justify sanction--whether the amendments demanded as the

condition of approval would have crippled the League and ought to have

been rejected, or whether they were harmless and ought to have been

accepted--these are issues which it would serve no helpful purpose for

me to discuss.

But as to the effect of the American refusal to adhere to the League,

there can be no doubt. It robbed that body of all chance of dominating

success in the immediate future. It is true that three great powers

remained in the League, but Russia was excluded, Germany was not

included, and when America decided not to go in, of the great powers,

Britain, France and Italy alone remained.

The effect has been paralysing. Where these three powers disagree on

important issues upon which action is required, nothing is done. The

smaller powers cannot, on questions where one or more of the great

powers have deep and acute feeling, impose their will; and no two great

powers will take the responsibility of overruling the third.

Hence questions like reparations which constitute a standing menace to

European peace are not dealt with by the League. Had America been in,

even with an amended and expurgated constitution, the situation would

have been transformed. America and Britain, acting in concert with an

openly sympathetic Italy and a secretly assenting Belgium, would have

brought such pressure to bear on France as to make it inevitable that

the League should act.

The success of the League depends upon the readiness of nations great

and small to discuss all their differences at the council table. But no

great power has so far permitted any international question in which

it has a direct and vital interest to be submitted to the League for

decision.

It has been allowed to adjudicate upon the destiny of the Aaland

Islands, over the fate of which Sweden and Finland had a controversy.

It has taken cognisance of disputes between Poland and Lithuania

about Vilna, although even here its decision has been ignored by the

parties. But the acute and threatening quarrel which has broken out

between France and Germany over the question of reparations the former

resolutely declines to submit to consideration by the League.

The Treaty of Versailles is so wide in its application and so

comprehensive and far-reaching in its character that it touches

international interests almost at every point. So that the French

refusal to agree to a reference of any problems in which they are

directly concerned which may arise out of this treaty has had the

effect of hobbling the League. As long as that attitude is maintained,

the League is impotent to discharge its main function of restoring and

keeping peace.

The dispute over reparations clouds the sky to-day, and until it is

finally settled it will cause grave atmospheric disturbances for

a whole generation. It is not an impossibility that it may end in

the most destructive conflict that ever broke over the earth. It is

churning up deadly passions. If ever there was an occasion which called

for the intervention of an organisation set up for the express purpose

of finding peaceable solutions for trouble-charged international feuds,

surely this is pre-eminently such a case. Not only do the French

government decline to entertain the idea of putting the covenant which

constitutes the first and foremost part of the Treaty of Versailles

into operation: they have gone so far as to intimate that they will

treat any proposal of the kind as an unfriendly act. The constitution

of the League stipulates that it will be the friendly duty of any power

to move that any international dispute which threatens peace shall

be referred to the League. Nevertheless, one leading signatory rules

out of the covenant all the questions which vitally affect its own

interests. This is the power which has invaded the territory of another

because the latter has failed to carry out one of the provisions of the

same treaty!

This emphatic repudiation of a solemn contract by one of its promoters

has been acquiesced in by all the other signatories. Repudiation and

acquiescence complete the electrocuting circuit. This limitation of

the activities of the League is the gravest check which it has yet

sustained in its career. I do not believe it would have occurred had

America, with or without Article 10, been an active member of this

body. Its great authority, added to that of Britain and Italy, would

have made the pressure irresistible, and its presence on the council

would have helped materially to give such confidence in the stability

and impartiality of the League that Germany would have accepted the

conclusions arrived at without demur and acted upon them without

chicane. A rational settlement of the reparations problem by the League

would have established its authority throughout the world. Germany,

Russia and Turkey, who now treat its deliberations with distrust and

dislike tinctured with contempt, would be forced to respect its power,

and would soon be pleading for incorporation in its councils. The

covenant would thus become a charter--respected, feared, honoured and

obeyed by all. There would still be injustice, but redress would be

sought and fought for in the halls of the League. There would still

be oppression, but freedom would be wrung from the clauses of the

covenant. Argument, debate and intercession would be the recognised

substitutes for shot, shell and sword. Wars would cease unto the ends

of the earth, and the reign of law would be supreme.

Wherein lies the real power of the League, or to be more accurate, its

possibility of power? It brings together leading citizens of most of

the civilised states of the world to discuss all questions affecting or

likely to affect peace and concord amongst nations. The men assembled

at Geneva do not come there of their own initiative, nor do they merely

represent propagandist societies engaged in preaching the gospel of

peace. They are the chosen emissaries of their respective governments.

They are the authorised spokesmen of these governments. When in doubt

they refer to their governments and receive their instructions, and the

proceedings are reported direct to the governments. They meet often and

regularly, and they debate their problems with complete candour as well

as courtesy.

It is in itself a good thing to accustom nations to discuss their

difficulties face to face in a public assembly where reasons have

to be sought and given for their attitude which will persuade and

satisfy neutral minds of its justice and fairness. It is a practice

to be cultivated. It is the practice that ended in eliminating the

arbitrament of the sword in the internal affairs of nations. It is

only thus that international disputes will gradually drift into the

debating chamber instead of on to the battlefield for settlement. Wars

are precipitated by motives which the statesmen responsible for them

dare not publicly avow. A public discussion would drag these emotives

in their nudity into the open where they would die of exposure to the

withering contempt of humanity. The League by developing the habit

amongst nations of debating their differences in the presence of the

world, and of courting the judgment of the world upon the merits of

their case, is gradually edging out war as a settler of quarrels. That

is the greatest service it can render mankind. Will it be allowed to

render that service? If not, then it will perish like many another

laudable experiment attempted by mankind in the effort to save itself.

But if it dies, the hope of establishing peace on earth will be buried

in the same tomb.

_London, April 2nd, 1923._

V

THE TREATY OF VERSAILLES AND ITS CRITICS

I have had recently special opportunities for appreciating the extent

to which the Treaty of Versailles has not been read by those who

have formed very definite opinions concerning its qualities. There

is no justification for a failure to peruse this great international

instrument. It is the most important document of modern times. It has

reshaped for better or for worse much of the geography of Europe. It

has resurrected dead and buried nationalities. It constitutes the deed

of manumission of tens of millions of Europeans who, up to the year of

victory, 1918, were the bondsmen of other races. It affects profoundly

the economics, the finance, the industrial and trade conditions of the

world; it contains clauses upon the efficacy of which may depend the

very existence of our civilisation. Nevertheless there are few who can

tell you what is in the Treaty of Versailles. You might have thought

that although men differed widely as to its merits, there would

have been no difficulty in securing some measure of agreement as to

its actual contents. Every endeavour was made to give full publicity

to the draft when it was first presented to the Germans, and to the

final document when signed. Even before the form of the draft was ever

settled, the actual decisions were reported from day to day. Never

was a treaty so reported and so discussed in every article and every

particle of its constitution, and to-day you can procure an official

copy of it from any bookseller for the moderate price of 2_s._ 6_d._ In

spite of that no two men who happen to profess diverse opinions as to

its justice or injustice can agree as to its contents.

A visitor to England in the year 1713 probably experienced the same

perplexity in seeking information from a Whig and a Tory respectively

as to the Treaty of Utrecht. So this treaty has become one of those

fiercely debated subjects, as to which the contestants deliberately

refuse to regard any testimony, or recognise the existence of any fact,

which is in the least inconsistent with their particular point of view.

It has come to pass that the real Treaty of Versailles has already

disappeared, and several imaginary versions have emerged. It is around

these that the conflict rages.

In France there exist at least two or three schools of thought

concerning the Versailles Treaty. There is one powerful section

which has always regarded it as a treasonable pact, in which M.

Clemenceau gave away solid French rights and interests in a moment of

weakness under pressure from President Wilson and myself. That is the

Poincaré-Barthou-Pertinax school. That is why they are now, whilst in

form engaged in enforcing the treaty, in fact carrying out a gigantic

operation for amending it without consulting the other signatories.

This has come out very clearly in the remarkable report from a French

official in the Rhineland which was disclosed in the London _Observer_.

It is obvious from this paper that whilst the French government have

worked their public into a frenzied state of indignation over the

failure of Germany to carry out the Treaty of Versailles, they were

the whole time deliberately organising a plot to overthrow that treaty

themselves. Their representative on the Rhine was spending French money

with the consent of the French government to promote a conspiracy for

setting up an independent republic on the Rhine under the protection

of France. It was a deliberate attempt by those who disapproved of

the moderation of the Treaty of Versailles to rewrite its clauses in

the terms of the militarist demands put forward by Marshal Foch at

the Peace conference. Marshal Foch, the soul of honour, wanted to see

this done openly and straightforwardly. What he would have done like

the gentleman he is, these conspirators would have accomplished by

deceit--by deceiving their Allies and by being faithless to the treaty

to which their country had appended its signature. That is one French

school of thought on the Treaty of Versailles. It is the one which has

brought Europe to its present state of confusion and despair.

There is the second school which reads into the treaty powers

and provisions which it does not contain, and never contemplated

containing. These critics maintain stoutly that M. Briand, and all

other French prime ministers, with the exception of M. Poincaré,

betrayed their trust by failing to enforce these imaginary

stipulations. They still honestly believe that M. Poincaré is the first

French minister to have made a genuine attempt to enforce French rights

under the treaty.

In the background there is a third school which knows exactly what

the treaty means, but dares not say so in the present state of French

opinion. Perhaps they think it is better to bide their time. That time

will come, and when it does arrive, let us hope it will not be too late

to save Europe from the welter.

In America there are also two or three divergent trends of opinion

about this treaty. One regards it as an insidious attempt to trap

America into the European cockpit, so as to pluck its feathers to line

French and English bolsters. If anything could justify so insular

an estimate it would be the entirely selfish interpretation which

is put upon the treaty by one or two of the Allied governments. The

other American party, I understand, defends it with vigour as a great

human instrument second only in importance to the Declaration of

Independence. There may be a third which thinks that on the whole it

is not a bad settlement, and that the pity is a little more tact was

not displayed in passing it through the various stages of approval and

ratification. This party is not as vocal as the others.

In England we find at least three schools. There are the critics who

denounce it as a brutal outrage upon international justice. It is to

them a device for extorting incalculable sums out of an impoverished

Germany as reparation for damages artificially worked up. Then there

is the other extreme--the "die-hard" section--more influential since

it became less numerous, who think the treaty let Germany off much

too lightly. In fact they are in complete agreement with the French

Chauvinists as to the reprehensible moderation of its terms. In

Britain also there is a third party which regards its provisions as

constituting the best settlement, when you take into account the

conflicting aims, interests, and traditions of the parties who had to

negotiate and come to an agreement.

But take all these variegated schools together, or separately, and

you will find not one in a thousand of their pupils could give you

an intelligent and comprehensive summary of the main principles of

the treaty. I doubt whether I should be far wrong in saying there

would not be one in ten thousand. Controversialists generally are

satisfied to concentrate on the articles in the treaty which are

obnoxious or pleasing to them as the case may be, and ignore the rest

completely, however essential they may be to a true judgment of the

whole. Most of the disputants are content to take their views from

press comments and denunciatory speeches. Unhappily the explanatory

speeches have been few. Some there are who have in their possession

the full text--nominally for reference; but you will find parts of

the reparations clauses in their copies black with the thumb-marks

which note the perspiring dialectician searching for projectiles to

hurl at the object of his fury. The clauses which ease and modify the

full demand are treated with stern neglect, and the remainder of the

pages are pure as the untrodden snow. You can trace no footprints of

politicians, publicists, or journalists, in whole provinces of this

unexplored treaty. The covenant of the League of Nations is lifted

bodily out of the text, and is delivered to the public as a separate

testament for the faithful so that the saints may not defile their

hands with the polluted print which exacts justice. They have now come

to believe that it never was incorporated in the Treaty of Versailles,

and that it has nothing to do with that vile and sanguinary instrument.

And yet the first words of this treaty are the following:

"The High Contracting Parties,

"In order to promote international co-operation and to achieve

international peace and security,

"By the acceptance of obligations not to resort to war,

"By the prescription of open, just and honourable relations

between nations,

"By the firm establishment of the understandings of international

law as the actual rule of conduct among Governments, and

"By the maintenance of justice and a scrupulous respect for all

treaty obligations in the dealings of organised peoples with one

another,

"Agree to this Covenant of the League of Nations."

Then follow the articles of the debated covenant.

Where Are We Going? · 第 3 / 16 段