CHAPTER III.

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NEW TRUTH, AND ITS GENERAL RELATION TO HUMAN PROGRESS.

The great source of the success of applying science to trade, and of the

beneficent effect of science upon human welfare in general, is simply the

influence of demonstrable truth. We know that if we have once discovered

all the principles, laws, and conditions of some scientific phenomenon, or

of some improved process or result in a manufacture, the reproduction of

exactly the same conditions will hereafter enable us to invariably produce

the same result. In this respect science differs from dogma, the truth or

falsity of which cannot be demonstrated; it also differs from empiricism,

because when empirically working a process we are ignorant of the

principles or laws which are operating, whilst with a scientific knowledge

we understand those laws, and can direct them to our particular purposes.

In the process of electro-plating for example, we understand the laws of

the phenomena, and can direct them so as to obtain silver of a hard or soft

quality, brittle or tough, crystalline silver, &c., according to our wish;

but if we had only an empirical knowledge of the subject we could not thus

vary the process. {158}

The highest test of truth is verified prediction; if we calculate

beforehand that an eclipse of the Sun will occur at a certain hour and

minute, and that eclipse occurs accurately at the predicted moment, we may

rest assured that our knowledge upon that point is true and complete. If we

say that a piece of clean iron, immersed in a solution of blue vitriol,

will become covered with a layer of metallic copper, and we find upon trial

that this result invariably occurs when we fulfil those conditions, we may

be certain that our knowledge of this phenomenon and its conditions is also

of a definite and certain character. Similarly, when we become able to

predict with certainty the conditions of the Sun's surface, we shall

probably also be able to predict severe winters, famines, &c., and

therefore be prepared to suggest precautions to be taken against them. Even

now the new truth necessary for this purpose is beginning to be evolved by

means of scientific research.[20]

Amongst the great axioms and principles of science, possessing great

certainty, and which enable us to predict, are, _1st._ the general truth

known as the Principle of Causation, that every effect has a cause; that

the same cause, acting under the same conditions, always produces the same

effect; and that causation acts through all time and all space:--_2nd._ the

great truth, that every phenomenon requires time; and every substance

occupies space:--_3rd._ the Principles of Conservation and Persistency of

Matter {159} and Energy; that out of nothing, nothing comes; and out of

everything, everything proceeds; that all the future states of the Universe

are implicitly contained in and will be evolved out of the present state of

the Universe; that we have no experience and possess no verified knowledge

either of creation or annihilation of Matter or Energy; that we cannot

absolutely create or destroy even an idea;[21] and that Matter and Energy

appear to be eternal:--_4th._ the Principle of Convertibility and

Equivalency of the different forms of Energy, according to which the

various forces known as mechanical power, heat, light, electricity,

magnetism, chemical action, &c., being modes of motion, are convertible

into each other in equivalent quantities and without addition or loss.

These and other great principles constitute the basis of physical and

chemical science, by obeying which, we have been enabled to evolve all the

wonderful practical realities of science of the present day.[22] To these

great principles may be added the more concrete truth called the "Law of

Progress," the essential idea of which is time, a time-rate; which

regulates the speed of increase of civilization, and is evidently connected

with the great truth that every phenomenon occupies time.

The Principle of Gravitation, demonstrated by Newton, explains a vast

number of facts relating to the motions of the Heavenly bodies:--the {160}

Undulatory Theory of Light, largely developed by the labours of Fresnel,

renders equally clear and systematic an almost endless number and variety

of optical phenomena; Oersted's law of Electro-magnetism similarly explains

and renders consistent a multitude of facts respecting the movements of

magnets and electric conductors, which would otherwise be confusing to

remember and impossible to satisfactorily explain. And the great mental

value of these comprehensive ideas to mankind, consists largely in

relieving the memory and diminishing mental confusion, by co-ordinating a

large number of different facts and apparently inconsistent phenomena by

means of a general conception which embraces the whole of them. Thus a

knowledge of the Principle of Gravitation informs us that both the ascent

of a balloon in the air, and the descent of a stone in water, are alike due

to the same force of gravity; and that of Chemical Affinity proves to us

that the apparently unlike phenomena of slow rusting of iron and vivid

combustion of phosphorus are essentially alike and due to the same cause.

All bodies, whether living or dead, and all forms of energy, appear to be

absolutely subject to the great laws of Causation, Progress, Conservation,

&c., no one can escape them; the man who transgresses the Law of Progress

by being too much in advance of his epoch, is punished as certainly as he

who lags behind it; all must advance together, and at approximately the

prescribed rates. {161}

The real source of all that is good in new scientific knowledge arises from

its verified and verifiable character, its high degree of certainty, and

its capacity of withstanding all the tests which can be applied to it. By

the term "scientific knowledge" in this case I mean that only that which

has been verified, and I purposely exclude all matters of hypothesis, mere

opinion or belief. Scientific research is the chief basis of national

progress, not only because it is continually disclosing new truths to us,

but also because the truths it reveals are frequently of the most definite

kind.

As the term "verified truth" may appear vague, the questions may well be

asked, what is truth? And how may we best detect it? And especially what is

new truth? and how may it best be recognised? Truth may be conveniently

defined as universal consistency; or that which perfectly conforms to

facts, and agrees with the widest experience, when tested by means of all

our intellectual powers, the reasoning faculty in particular. The usual

modern criterion of it, is consistency with the fundamental axioms of

logic, and with all the great principles of nature as established by means

of scientific research, such as the universality of causation, the

continuity of phenomena, the indestructibility of matter and energy, the

convertibility and equivalency of forces, &c. All truth whatever is one in

character by possessing the inseparable attribute of complete consistency.

The truthfulness of scientific knowledge is proved by its agreement with

universal experience and with the {162} fundamental logical axioms:--a

thing either is or is not:--a thing cannot both be and not be:--a thing

must either be or not be:--things equal to the same are equal to each

other; &c. It is chiefly by means of knowledge of these axioms and of the

above principles of science, and of their varied and numerous modes of

operation and application, that the man of science "explains" the

multitudinous phenomena of nature, predicts future events, and is enabled

to discover new truths and develope new inventions in the arts. Unlike

other persons; when he sees a new effect, or hears of a new phenomenon, he

at once refers it to these principles, in order to test its correctness or

to explain it.

With regard to the detection of truth, that is often a difficult and

complex process. There exists no royal or easy method; usually it can only

be recognised by means of laborious and critical examination of the whole

of the evidence obtainable in the case; and even then we are often obliged

to be satisfied with only an approximation, or it may be with even a mere

probability. Frequently also the truthfulness or otherwise of a statement

cannot be decided in any degree in consequence of the absence of suitable

or sufficient evidence, and for that we may have to wait for ages. We are

now waiting for evidence necessary to decide many questions respecting the

human mind.

With regard to the question, what is new truth?; that also is a difficult

one to solve. The forms in which different truths appear are so various,

and those {163} also in which even the same truth may shew itself are so

diverse, that it is often impossible to discriminate new truth from old

ideas clothed in a new form of words. The newness of an idea is entirely a

question of evidence, and to determine it, usually requires a complete

knowledge of all the circumstances affecting the particular case.

New truth appears to be usually derived from new physical or mental

experiences of phenomena external to our perceiving faculty; either by

observing matter or its forces under new conditions or from a new aspect;

and the knowledge comes to us either through the avenues of our feelings

and senses, or by means of direct observations, by comparison of such

impressions, or by inferences drawn from them. From the results of such

mental operations, additional new truths are evolved by the more complex

process of analysis, combination and permutation of ideas. New truths are

also evolved from old ones by each of these latter methods; but sooner or

later the implicit contents of our stock of old knowledge becomes exhausted

when used for such a purpose, and we are then obliged to seek new

experience.

As new truths may be acquired in the more direct manner, by acquisition of

new experience; and less directly, by mental operations upon old ideas,

other subjects of less fundamental and more concrete nature than the simple

sciences, such as sociology, &c., are also sources of progress, when

treated in these ways. {164}

Of all subjects, the simple sciences of physics and chemistry, are at the

present time, apparently making the most rapid advance, and the chief

reasons for this probably are, _1st._ they treat of facts and principles

which can be verified, and _2nd._ because the more complex sciences,

together with the arts and manufactures based upon them, can only improve

in proportion as they are developed. All the essentially human subjects,

such as sociology, politics, morality, religious worship, &c., are in this

position, and are probably results partly of the operation of the great

principles of nature acting through the body and mind of man.

The chief method of discovering new truth is that of observation,

experiment, and study, and further mental treatment of the results. The

most systematic methods also of evolving new truths are those employed by

scientific men in making discoveries, and when any person arrives at a new

idea, he usually (either consciously or unconsciously) employs them.

The acquisition of new knowledge must of necessity precede its diffusion.

Immediately a new truth, especially an important one, is discovered, its

influence begins to permeate the existing mass of knowledge in various

directions, causing us to view many of our old ideas in a new aspect;

giving rise also by comparison and inference, and by processes of

combination, permutation and analysis of ideas, to a multitude of other new

truths, usually less important ones, which themselves also affect previous

knowledge in similar ways, {165} and by analogous treatment give rise to

additional new conceptions.

But although we evolve truthful new conceptions from previous ones by these

purely mental methods, there is a limit to the number capable of being

evolved from a limited stock of ideas, because the number of combinations

and permutations of such a stock, though usually large, are themselves

limited. The number however is large in proportion to the degree of

essential importance of the ideas, and is greatest when we employ those of

the fundamental principles of nature, already referred to; for instance a

greater number of new ideas have been evolved by means of appropriate

mental processes from the law of gravitation and from that of

electro-magnetism than from any minor truth in science. Persons therefore

who are the least familiar with great demonstrable principles are usually

the least able to conceive new truthful ideas of intrinsic importance, or

to draw new verifiable inferences of much theoretical value.

Every inventor and student knows that he continually requires new materials

of thought, and if he does not obtain them, an obstacle, like a wall of

adamant, rises before his mind in all directions, and prevents his forming

new ideas. That also which is true of each individual is true of the

collection of individuals, mankind; if new truths are not obtained, the

thoughts of men flow in circles, and mental progress ceases. The mental

characteristics of sequestered communities in remote isolated districts,

are examples of this {166} fact. The influence of printing, railways,

telegraphs, postal communication and other scientific developments, in

aiding mental progress, afford other illustrations. A multitude of facts of

this kind, and many others, leads us to the conclusion that each new idea

requires a cause to produce it, and that human knowledge is subject to the

great law of causation; also that the creation of an idea out of nothing

would be a miracle, a phenomenon without a cause. Our present knowledge was

not created by us, but was originated by previous knowledge and experience,

including of course inherited impressions. Even in what is termed the

"noblest effort of the mind," an act of reasoning or inference, we do not

create an idea, but only render explicit in a new form of words, ideas

already implicitly contained in the words of the propositions employed, as

may easily be rendered manifest by mechanical means in Jevons's "Logical

Machine;" a proper inference never contains more than its data. In the

so-called "creation" of ideas by the imagination also, the new ideas are

evolved from old ones, and rendered explicit by mental processes of

analysis, combination, permutation, &c. Our scientific inventions also,

being mental conceptions, an unlimited number of them cannot be made by

means of a limited stock of old knowledge. It was in consequence of this

limit, viz., the impossibility of actually creating ideas out of nothing,

that human knowledge was not more advanced by metaphysical speculations

until science with its experiments and {167} observations came to its

assistance. These various facts prove the statement made in the Preface of

this book, that present knowledge only enables mankind to maintain its

present state.

Not only the mental, but also the physical advance of mankind is

essentially dependent upon the discovery of new truths. Men's physical

actions are determined not alone by their inherited and acquired tendencies

and the influence of external nature upon them, but also by their ideas; as

a man thinks, so also to a large extent does he act. Nations who do not

adopt new ideas do not either mentally or physically advance, but change

only so far as their immediate surroundings change; the Chinese are a

remarkable example of this; even the tendencies which men inherit, were

largely produced in their ancestors by the influence of ideas. The great

fact of the essential dependence of human progress upon new knowledge, is a

truth, the importance of which to man cannot be over-estimated, and is one

which statesmen, ministers of religion, and philanthropists should

seriously study.

Much of the apparent advance of this nation however is not real. The great

bulk of our newly published knowledge, even that which is scientific, and

considered by the public to be new, consists, not of new truths, but of old

ones dressed in new forms of expression:--

"The tale repeated o'er and o'er,

With change of place and change of name.

Disguised, transformed, and yet the same

We've heard a hundred times before."--_Longfellow._

{168}

It falls to the lot of but comparatively few men to discover or evolve

important new truths. The great majority of learned men also, have through

all historic time been occupied, and are still, not in evolving new ideas,

but in re-expressing old ones in different forms of words; the literary

spirit, is in civilised nations, almost universal. In ordinary writings it

is a rare circumstance to meet with an important and really new idea; it is

usually in books written by men who are acquainted or imbued with the great

principles and truths of science, that the newest demonstrable ideas are

most frequently found. The difference between evolving new ideas, and

re-expressing and permutating old ones; largely characterises the

dissimilarity of the scientific and the literary and theological minds. All

however are necessary to the welfare of mankind, the former to advance and

the other to maintain the condition of man. If all were not necessary they

would probably not exist.

There are two great artificial divisions of scientific knowledge also, upon

the development of which national progress largely depends, viz., knowledge

of inanimate matter and knowledge of man; the latter we have largely

cultivated but the former we have greatly neglected:--and even our study of

man has been largely one-sided and literary. It is far less important to

know what is man, than to know what are the great principles which underlie

the actions of all living creatures, and in obedience to which man is

compelled to work out his destiny in the Universe and the infinite future.

{169}

It is evident from this, that much of the mental activity around us is not

progress, but rather a process of maintaining present state, a prevention

of decline, a continually going round and round in conventional varied

step, a kind of intellectual mill. Under these circumstances it is not the

original discoverer, but he who in this occupation, can best express old

ideas, in the most varied forms and choicest language, who is most

generally considered to be the greatest intellectual chief.

Although originality even in literature and art is very imperfectly

encouraged in this country, both art and literature are much more readily

understood and appreciated than scientific research, and treated as if they

were more important. Whilst most persons can understand and appreciate the

gift of a work of art to a public art collection, few can understand or

properly value the discovery and gift of a new scientific truth of far

greater intrinsic value to the public stock of knowledge; the treatment

received by Priestley and other discoverers in comparison with that of

local donors, sufficiently illustrates this. Even publishers of lucrative

newspapers prefer to give prizes and pay liberally for sensational tales,

than to pay for articles on the public advantages of new scientific

knowledge.

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The Scientific Basis of National Progress, Including that of Morality · 第 4 / 5 章