As in biology, so in human history, a new form may result fr

THE ROMANES LECTURE

1910

BIOLOGICAL ANALOGIES

IN HISTORY

BY

THEODORE ROOSEVELT

DELIVERED

BEFORE THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD

JUNE 7TH, 1910

OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

AMERICAN BRANCH

35 WEST 32D STREET, NEW YORK

LONDON: HENRY FROWDE

1910

Copyright, 1910, by

OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

AMERICAN BRANCH

Romanes Lecture

BIOLOGICAL ANALOGIES IN HISTORY

An American who, in response to such an invitation as I have received,

speaks in this university of ancient renown, cannot but feel with

peculiar vividness the interest and charm of his surroundings, fraught

as they are with a thousand associations. Your great universities, and

all the memories that make them great, are living realities in the

minds of scores of thousands of men who have never seen them and who

dwell across the seas in other lands. Moreover, these associations

are no stronger in the men of English stock than in those who are

not. My people have been for eight generations in America; but in one

thing I am like the Americans of to-morrow, rather than like many of

the Americans of to-day; for I have in my veins the blood of men who

came from many different European races. The ethnic make-up of our

people is slowly changing so that constantly the race tends to become

more and more akin to that of those Americans who like myself are

of the old stock but not mainly of English stock. Yet I think that,

as time goes by, mutual respect, understanding, and sympathy among

the English-speaking peoples grow greater and not less. Any of my

ancestors, Holland or Huguenot, Scotchman or Irishman, who had come to

Oxford in ‘the spacious days of great Elizabeth,’ would have felt far

more alien than I, their descendant, now feel. Common heirship in the

things of the spirit makes a closer bond than common heirship in the

things of the body.

More than ever before in the world’s history we of to-day seek to

penetrate the causes of the mysteries that surround not only mankind

but all life, both in the present and the past. We search, we peer, we

see things dimly; here and there we get a ray of clear vision, as we

look before and after. We study the tremendous procession of the ages,

from the immemorial past when in ‘cramp elf and saurian forms’ the

creative forces ‘swathed their too-much power,’ down to the yesterday,

a few score thousand years distant only, when the history of man

became the overwhelming fact in the history of life on this planet;

and studying, we see strange analogies in the phenomena of life and

death, of birth, growth, and change, between those physical groups of

animal life which we designate as species, forms, races, and the highly

complex and composite entities which rise before our minds when we

speak of nations and civilizations.

It is this study which has given science its present-day prominence.

In the world of intellect, doubtless, the most marked features in

the history of the past century have been the extraordinary advances

in scientific knowledge and investigation, and in the position held

by the men of science with reference to those engaged in other

pursuits. I am not now speaking of applied science; of the science,

for instance, which, having revolutionized transportation on the

earth and the water, is now on the brink of carrying it into the

air; of the science that finds its expression in such extraordinary

achievements as the telephone and the telegraph; of the sciences which

have so accelerated the velocity of movement in social and industrial

conditions—for the changes in the mechanical appliances of ordinary

life during the last three generations have been greater than in all

the preceding generations since history dawned. I speak of the science

which has no more direct bearing upon the affairs of our everyday life

than literature or music, painting or sculpture, poetry or history.

A hundred years ago the ordinary man of cultivation had to know

something of these last subjects; but the probabilities were rather

against his having any but the most superficial scientific knowledge.

At present all this has changed, thanks to the interest taken in

scientific discoveries, the large circulation of scientific books, and

the rapidity with which ideas originating among students of the most

advanced and abstruse sciences become, at least partially, domiciled in

the popular mind.

Another feature of the change, of the growth in the position of

science in the eyes of every one, and of the greatly increased respect

naturally resulting for scientific methods, has been a certain

tendency for scientific students to encroach on other fields. This

is particularly true of the field of historical study. Not only have

scientific men insisted upon the necessity of considering the history

of man, especially in its early stages, in connexion with what biology

shows to be the history of life, but furthermore there has arisen

a demand that history shall itself be treated as a science. Both

positions are in their essence right; but as regards each position the

more arrogant among the invaders of the new realm of knowledge take an

attitude to which it is not necessary to assent. As regards the latter

of the two positions, that which would treat history henceforth merely

as one branch of scientific study, we must of course cordially agree

that accuracy in recording facts and appreciation of their relative

worth and interrelationship are just as necessary in historical

study as in any other kind of study. The fact that a book, though

interesting, is untrue, of course removes it at once from the category

of history, however much it may still deserve to retain a place in the

always desirable group of volumes which deal with entertaining fiction.

But the converse also holds, at least to the extent of permitting us to

insist upon what would seem to be the elementary fact that a book which

is written to be read should be readable. This rather obvious truth

seems to have been forgotten by some of the more zealous scientific

historians, who apparently hold that the worth of a historical book

is directly in proportion to the impossibility of reading it, save as

a painful duty. Now I am willing that history shall be treated as a

branch of science, but only on condition that it also remains a branch

of literature; and, furthermore, I believe that as the field of science

encroaches on the field of literature there should be a corresponding

encroachment of literature upon science; and I hold that one of the

great needs, which can only be met by very able men whose culture is

broad enough to include literature as well as science, is the need of

books for scientific laymen. We need a literature of science which

shall be readable. So far from doing away with the school of great

historians, the school of Polybius and Tacitus, Gibbon and Macaulay,

we need merely that the future writers of history, without losing the

qualities which have made these men great, shall also utilize the

new facts and new methods which science has put at their disposal.

Dryness is not in itself a measure of value. No ‘scientific’ treatise

about St. Louis will displace Joinville, for the very reason that

Joinville’s place is in both history and literature; no minute study

of the Napoleonic wars will teach us more than Marbot—and Marbot is

as interesting as Walter Scott. Moreover, certain at least of the

branches of science should likewise be treated by masters in the art of

presentment, so that the layman interested in science, no less than the

layman interested in history, shall have on his shelves classics which

can be read. Whether this wish be or be not capable of realization,

it assuredly remains true that the great historian of the future must

essentially represent the ideal striven after by the great historians

of the past. The industrious collector of facts occupies an honourable,

but not an exalted, position, and the scientific historian who produces

books which are not literature must rest content with the honour,

substantial, but not of the highest type, that belongs to him who

gathers material which some time some great master shall arise to use.

Yet, while freely conceding all that can be said of the masters of

literature, we must insist upon the historian of mankind working in the

scientific spirit, and using the treasure-houses of science. He who

would fully treat of man must know at least something of biology, of

the science that treats of living, breathing things; and especially of

that science of evolution which is inseparably connected with the great

name of Darwin. Of course there is no exact parallelism between the

birth, growth, and death of species in the animal world, and the birth,

growth, and death of societies in the world of man. Yet there is a

certain parallelism. There are strange analogies; it may be that there

are homologies.

How far the resemblances between the two sets of phenomena are

more than accidental, how far biology can be used as an aid in the

interpretation of human history, we cannot at present say. The

historian should never forget, what the highest type of scientific man

is always teaching us to remember, that willingness to admit ignorance

is a prime factor in developing wisdom out of knowledge. Wisdom is

advanced by research which enables us to add to knowledge; and,

moreover, the way for wisdom is made ready when men who record facts of

vast but unknown import, if asked to explain their full significance,

are willing frankly to answer that they do not know. The research

which enables us to add to the sum of complete knowledge stands first;

but second only stands the research which, while enabling us clearly

to pose the problem, also requires us to say that with our present

knowledge we can offer no complete solution.

Let me illustrate what I mean by an instance or two taken from one of

the most fascinating branches of world-history, the history of the

higher forms of life, of mammalian life, on this globe.

Geologists and astronomers are not agreed as to the length of time

necessary for the changes that have taken place. At any rate, many

hundreds of thousands of years, some millions of years, have passed

by since in the eocene, at the beginning of the tertiary period, we

find the traces of an abundant, varied, and highly developed mammalian

life on the land masses out of which have grown the continents as

we see them to-day. The ages swept by, until, with the advent of

man substantially in the physical shape in which we now know him,

we also find a mammalian fauna not essentially different in kind,

though widely differing in distribution, from that of the present day.

Throughout this immense period form succeeds form, type succeeds type,

in obedience to laws of evolution, of progress and retrogression, of

development and death, which we as yet understand only in the most

imperfect manner. As knowledge increases our wisdom is often turned

into foolishness, and many of the phenomena of evolution, which seemed

clearly explicable to the learned master of science who founded these

lectures, to us nowadays seem far less satisfactorily explained. The

scientific men of most note now differ widely in their estimates of the

relative parts played in evolution by natural selection, by mutation,

by the inheritance of acquired characteristics; and we study their

writings with a growing impression that there are forces at work which

our blinded eyes wholly fail to apprehend; and where this is the case

the part of wisdom is to say that we believe we have such and such

partial explanations, but that we are not warranted in saying that we

have the whole explanation. In tracing the history of the development

of faunal life during this period, the age of mammals, there are some

facts which are clearly established, some great and sweeping changes

for which we can with certainty ascribe reasons. There are other facts

as to which we grope in the dark, and vast changes, vast catastrophes,

of which we can give no adequate explanation.

Before illustrating these types, let us settle one or two matters of

terminology. In the changes, the development and extinction, of species

we must remember that such expressions as ‘a new species,’ or as ‘a

species becoming extinct,’ are each commonly and indiscriminately

used to express totally different and opposite meanings. Of course

the ‘new’ species is not new in the sense that its ancestors appeared

later on the globe’s surface than those of any old species tottering to

extinction. Phylogenetically, each animal now living must necessarily

trace its ancestral descent back through countless generations,

through aeons of time, to the early stages of the appearance of life on

the globe. All that we mean by a ‘new’ species is that from some cause,

or set of causes, one of these ancestral stems slowly or suddenly

develops into a form unlike any that has preceded it; so that while

in one form of life the ancestral type is continuously repeated and

the old species continues to exist, in another form of life there is a

deviation from the ancestral type and a new species appears.

Similarly, ‘extinction of species’ is a term which has two entirely

different meanings. The type may become extinct by dying out and

leaving no descendants. Or it may die out because, as the generations

go by, there is change, slow or swift, until a new form is produced.

Thus in one case the line of life comes to an end. In the other case it

changes into something different. The huge titanothere, and the small

three-toed horse, both existed at what may roughly be called the same

period of the world’s history, back in the middle of the mammalian age.

Both are extinct in the sense that each has completely disappeared

and that nothing like either is to be found in the world to-day. But

whereas all the individual titanotheres finally died out, leaving no

descendants, a number of the three-toed horses did leave descendants,

and these descendants, constantly changing as the ages went by, finally

developed into the highly specialized one-toed horses, asses, and

zebras of to-day.

The analogy between the facts thus indicated and certain facts in

the development of human societies is striking. A further analogy

is supplied by a very curious tendency often visible in cases of

intense and extreme specialization. When an animal form becomes

highly specialized, the type at first, because of its specialization,

triumphs over its allied rivals and its enemies, and attains a great

development; until in many cases the specialization becomes so extreme

that from some cause unknown to us, or at which we merely guess, it

disappears. The new species which mark a new era commonly come from the

less specialized types, the less distinctive, dominant, and striking

types, of the preceding era.

When dealing with the changes, cataclysmic or gradual, which divide

one period of palaeontological history from another, we can sometimes

assign causes, and again we cannot even guess at them. In the case

of single species, or of faunas of very restricted localities, the

explanation is often self-evident. A comparatively slight change in

the amount of moisture in the climate, with the attendant change in

vegetation, might readily mean the destruction of a group of huge

herbivores with a bodily size such that they needed a vast quantity

of food, and with teeth so weak or so peculiar that but one or two

kinds of plants could furnish this food. Again, we now know that the

most deadly foes of the higher forms of life are various lower forms

of life, such as insects, or microscopic creatures conveyed into the

blood by insects. There are districts in South America where many

large animals, wild and domestic, cannot live because of the presence

either of certain ticks or of certain baleful flies. In Africa there

is a terrible genus of poison fly, each species acting as the host

of microscopic creatures which are deadly to certain of the higher

vertebrates. One of these species, though harmless to man, is fatal to

all domestic animals, and this although harmless to the closely-related

wild kinsfolk of these animals. Another is fatal to man himself, being

the cause of the ‘sleeping sickness,’ which in many large districts

has killed out the entire population. Of course the development or the

extension of the range of any such insects, and any one of many other

causes which we see actually at work around us, would readily account

for the destruction of some given species or even for the destruction

of several species in a limited area of country.

When whole faunal groups die out, over large areas, the question is

different, and may or may not be susceptible of explanation with the

knowledge we actually possess. In the old arctogaeal continent, for

instance, in what is now Europe, Asia, and North America, the glacial

period made a complete, but of course explicable, change in the faunal

life of the region. At one time the continent held a rich and varied

fauna. Then a period of great cold supervened, and a different fauna

succeeded the first. The explanation of the change is obvious.

But in many other cases we cannot so much as hazard a guess at why a

given change occurred. One of the most striking instances of these

inexplicable changes is that afforded by the history of South America

toward the close of the tertiary period. For ages South America had

been an island by itself, cut off from North America at the very

time that the latter was at least occasionally in land communication

with Asia. During this time a very peculiar fauna grew up in South

America, some of the types resembling nothing now existing, while

others are recognizable as ancestral forms of the ant-eaters, sloths,

and armadillos of to-day. It was a peculiar and diversified mammalian

fauna, of, on the whole, rather small species, and without any

representatives of the animals with which man has been most familiar

during his career on this earth.

Towards the end of the tertiary period there was an upheaval of land

between this old South American island and North America, near what

is now the Isthmus of Panama, thereby making a bridge across which

the teeming animal life of the northern continent had access to this

queer southern continent. There followed an inrush of huge, or swift,

or formidable creatures which had attained their development in the

fierce competition of the arctogaeal realm. Elephants, camels, horses,

tapirs, swine, sabre-toothed tigers, big cats, wolves, bears, deer,

crowded into South America, warring each against the other incomers

and against the old long-existing forms. A riot of life followed. Not

only was the character of the South American fauna totally changed by

the invasion of these creatures from the north, which soon swarmed

over the continent, but it was also changed through the development

wrought in the old inhabitants by the severe competition to which they

were exposed. Many of the smaller or less capable types died out.

Others developed enormous bulk or complete armour protection, and

thereby saved themselves from the new beasts. In consequence, South

America soon became populated with various new species of mastodons,

sabre-toothed tigers, camels, horses, deer, cats, wolves, hooved

creatures of strange shapes and some of them of giant size, all of

these being descended from the immigrant types; and side by side

with them there grew up large autochthonous ungulates, giant ground

sloths wellnigh as large as elephants, and armoured creatures as

bulky as an ox but structurally of the armadillo or ant-eater type;

and some of these latter not only held their own, but actually in

their turn wandered north over the isthmus and invaded North America.

A fauna as varied as that of Africa to-day, as abundant in species

and individuals, even more noteworthy, because of its huge size or

odd type, and because of the terrific prowess of the more formidable

flesh-eaters, was thus developed in South America, and flourished for

a period which human history would call very long indeed, but which

geologically was short.

Then, for no reason that we can assign, destruction fell on this fauna.

All the great and terrible creatures died out, the same fate befalling

the changed representatives of the old autochthonous fauna and the

descendants of the migrants that had come down from the north. Ground

sloth and glyptodon, sabre-tooth, horse and mastodon, and all the

associated animals of large size, vanished, and South America, though

still retaining its connexion with North America, once again became a

land with a mammalian life small and weak compared to that of North

America and the Old World. Its fauna is now marked, for instance, by

the presence of medium-sized deer and cats, fox-like wolves, and small

camel-like creatures, as well as by the presence of small armadillos,

sloths, and ant-eaters. In other words, it includes diminutive

representatives of the giants of the preceding era, both of the giants

among the older forms of mammalia, and of the giants among the new

and intrusive kinds. The change was widespread and extraordinary,

and with our present means of information it is wholly inexplicable.

There was no ice age, and it is hard to imagine any cause which would

account for the extinction of so many species of huge or moderate

size, while smaller representatives, and here and there medium-sized

representatives, of many of them were left.

Now as to all of these phenomena in the evolution of species, there

are, if not homologies, at least certain analogies, in the history

of human societies, in the history of the rise to prominence, of

the development and change, of the temporary dominance, and death or

transformation, of the groups of varying kind which form races or

nations. Here, as in biology, it is necessary to keep in mind that we

use each of the words ‘birth’ and ‘death,’ ‘youth’ and ‘age,’ often

very loosely, and sometimes as denoting either one of two totally

different conceptions. Of course, in one sense there is no such thing

as an ‘old’ or a ‘young’ nation, any more than there is an ‘old’ or

‘young’ family. Phylogenetically, the line of ancestral descent must be

of exactly the same length for every existing individual, and for every

group of individuals, whether forming a family or a nation. All that

can properly be meant by the terms ‘new’ and ‘young’ is that in a given

line of descent there has suddenly come a period of rapid change. This

change may arise either from a new development or transformation of the

old elements, or else from a new grouping of these elements with other

and varied elements; so that the words ‘new’ nation or ‘young’ nation

may have a real difference of significance in one case from what they

have in another.

As in biology, so in human history, a new form may result from the

specialization of a long-existing, and hitherto very slowly changing,

generalized or non-specialized form; as, for instance, occurs when

a barbaric race from a variety of causes suddenly develops a more

complex cultivation and civilization. This is what occurred, for

instance, in Western Europe during the centuries of the Teutonic

and, later, the Scandinavian ethnic overflows from the north. All

the modern countries of Western Europe are descended from the states

created by these northern invaders. When first created they would be

called ‘new’ or ‘young’ states in the sense that part or all of the

people composing them were descended from races that hitherto had not

been civilized, and that therefore, for the first time, entered on

the career of civilized communities. In the southern part of Western

Europe the new states thus formed consisted in bulk of the inhabitants

already in the land under the Roman Empire; and it was here that the

new kingdoms first took shape. Through a reflex action their influence

then extended back into the cold forests from which the invaders had

come, and Germany and Scandinavia witnessed the rise of communities

with essentially the same civilization as their southern neighbours;

though in those communities, unlike the southern communities, there

was no infusion of new blood, so that the new civilized nations which

gradually developed were composed entirely of members of the same races

which in the same regions had for ages lived the life of a slowly

changing barbarism. The same was true of the Slavs and the slavonized

Finns of Eastern Europe, when an infiltration of Scandinavian leaders

from the north, and an infiltration of Byzantine culture from the

south, joined to produce the changes which have gradually, out of the

little Slav communities of the forest and the steppe, formed the mighty

Russian Empire of to-day.

Again, the new form may represent merely a splitting off from a long

established, highly developed and specialized nation. In this case the

nation is usually spoken of as a ‘young,’ and is correctly spoken of

as a ‘new,’ nation; but the term should always be used with a clear

sense of the difference between what is described in such case, and

what is described by the same term in speaking of a civilized nation

just developed from barbarism. Carthage and Syracuse were new cities

compared to Tyre and Corinth; but the Greek or Phoenician race was in

every sense of the word as old in the new city as in the old city.

So, nowadays, Victoria or Manitoba is a new community compared with

England or Scotland; but the ancestral type of civilization and culture

is as old in one case as in the other. I of course do not mean for a

moment that great changes are not produced by the mere fact that the

old civilized race is suddenly placed in surroundings where it has

again to go through the work of taming the wilderness, a work finished

many centuries before in the original home of the race; I merely mean

that the ancestral history is the same in each case. We can rightly use

the phrase ‘a new people,’ in speaking of Canadians or Australians,

Americans or Afrikanders. But we use it in an entirely different sense

from that in which we use it when speaking of such communities as those

founded by the Northmen and their descendants during that period of

astonishing growth which saw the descendants of the Norse sea-thieves

conquer and transform Normandy, Sicily and the British Islands; we use

it in an entirely different sense from that in which we use it when

speaking of the new states that grew up around Warsaw, Kief, Novgorod,

and Moscow, as the wild savages of the steppes and the marshy forests

struggled haltingly and stumblingly upward to become builders of cities

and to form stable governments. The kingdoms of Charlemagne and Alfred

were ‘new,’ compared to the empire on the Bosphorus; they were also

in every way different; their lines of ancestral descent had nothing

in common with that of the polyglot realm which paid tribute to the

Caesars of Byzantium; their social problems and aftertime history were

totally different. This is not true of those ‘new’ nations which spring

direct from old nations. Brazil, the Argentine, the United States,

are all ‘new’ nations, compared with the nations of Europe; but, with

whatever changes in detail, their civilization is nevertheless of

the general European type, as shown in Portugal, Spain, and England.

The differences between these ‘new’ American and these ‘old’ European

nations are not as great as those which separate the ‘new’ nations one

from another, and the ‘old’ nations one from another. There are in

each case very real differences between the new and the old nation;

differences both for good and for evil; but in each case there is the

same ancestral history to reckon with, the same type of civilization,

with its attendant benefits and shortcomings; and, after the pioneer

stages are passed, the problems to be solved, in spite of superficial

differences, are in their essence the same; they are those that

confront all civilized peoples, not those that confront only peoples

struggling from barbarism into civilization.

So, when we speak of the ‘death’ of a tribe, a nation, or a

civilization, the term may be used for either one of two totally

different processes, the analogy with what occurs in biological

history being complete. Certain tribes of savages, the Tasmanians, for

instance, and various little clans of American Indians, have within

the last century or two completely died out; all of the individuals

have perished, leaving no descendants, and the blood has disappeared.

Certain other tribes of Indians have as tribes disappeared or are

now disappearing; but their blood remains, being absorbed into the

veins of the white intruders, or of the black men introduced by those

white intruders; so that in reality they are merely being transformed

into something absolutely different from what they were. In the

United States, in the new State of Oklahoma, the Creeks, Cherokees,

Chickasaws, Delawares, and other tribes, are in process of absorption

into the mass of the white population; when the state was admitted a

couple of years ago, one of the two senators, and three of the five

representatives in Congress, were partly of Indian blood. In but a

few years these Indian tribes will have disappeared as completely as

those that have actually died out; but the disappearance will be by

absorption and transformation into the mass of the American population.

A like wide diversity in fact may be covered in the statement that

a civilization has ‘died out.’ The nationality and culture of the

wonderful city-builders of the lower Mesopotamian Plain have completely

disappeared, and, though doubtless certain influences dating therefrom

are still at work, they are in such changed and hidden form as to be

unrecognizable. But the disappearance of the Roman Empire was of no

such character. There was complete change, far-reaching transformation,

and at one period a violent dislocation; but it would not be correct

to speak either of the blood or the culture of old Rome as extinct.

We are not yet in a position to dogmatize as to the permanence or

evanescence of the various strains of blood that go to make up

every civilized nationality; but it is reasonably certain that the

blood of the old Roman still flows through the veins of the modern

Italian; and though there has been much intermixture, from many

different foreign sources—from foreign conquerors and from foreign

slaves—yet it is probable that the Italian type of to-day finds its

dominant ancestral type in the ancient Latin. As for the culture,

the civilization of Rome, this is even more true. It has suffered a

complete transformation, partly by natural growth, partly by absorption

of totally alien elements, such as a Semitic religion, and certain

Teutonic governmental and social customs; but the process was not

one of extinction, but one of growth and transformation, both from

within and by the accretion of outside elements. In France and Spain

the inheritance of Latin blood is small; but the Roman culture which

was forced on those countries has been tenaciously retained by them,

throughout all their subsequent ethnical and political changes, as

the basis on which their civilizations have been built. Moreover, the

permanent spreading of Roman influence was not limited to Europe. It

has extended to and over half of that new world which was not even

dreamed of during the thousand years of brilliant life between the

birth and the death of Pagan Rome. This new world was discovered by

one Italian, and its mainland first reached and named by another; and

in it, over a territory many times the size of Trajan’s empire, the

Spanish, French and Portuguese adventurers founded, beside the St.

Lawrence and the Amazon, along the flanks of the Andes and in the

shadow of the snow-capped volcanoes of Mexico, from the Rio Grande

to the Straits of Magellan, communities, now flourishing and growing

apace, which in speech and culture, and even as regards one strain in

their blood, are the lineal heirs of the ancient Latin civilization.

When we speak of the disappearance, the passing away, of ancient

Babylon or Nineveh, and of ancient Rome, we are using the same terms to

describe totally different phenomena.

The anthropologist and historian of to-day realize much more clearly

than their predecessors of a couple of generations back how artificial

most great nationalities are, and how loose is the terminology usually

employed to describe them. There is an element of unconscious and

rather pathetic humour in the simplicity of half a century ago which

spoke of the Aryan and the Teuton with reverential admiration, as

if the words denoted, not merely something definite, but something

ethnologically sacred; the writers having much the same pride and

faith in their own and their fellow countryman’s purity of descent

from these imaginary Aryan or Teutonic ancestors that was felt a

few generations earlier by the various noble families who traced

their lineage direct to Odin, Aeneas, or Noah. Nowadays, of course,

all students recognize that there may not be, and often is not, the

slightest connexion between kinship in blood and kinship in tongue. In

America we find three races, white, red, and black, and three tongues,

English, French, and Spanish, mingled in such a way that the lines

of cleavage of race continually run at right angles to the lines of

cleavage of speech; there being communities practically of pure blood

of each race found speaking each language. Aryan and Teutonic are

terms having very distinct linguistic meanings; but whether they have

any such ethnical meanings as were formerly attributed to them, is so

doubtful that we cannot even be sure whether the ancestors of most of

those we call Teutons originally spoke an Aryan tongue at all. The

term Celtic, again, is perfectly clear when used linguistically; but

when used to describe a race it means almost nothing until we find out

which one of several totally different terminologies the writer or

speaker is adopting. If, for instance, the term is used to designate

the short-headed, medium-sized type common throughout middle Europe,

from east to west, it denotes something entirely different from what is

meant when the name is applied to the tall, yellow-haired opponents of

the Romans and the later Greeks; while if used to designate any modern

nationality, it becomes about as loose and meaningless as the term

Anglo-Saxon itself.

Most of the great societies which have developed a high civilization

and have played a dominant part in the world have been—and

are—artificial; not merely in social structure, but in the sense

of including totally different race types. A great nation rarely

belongs to any one race, though its citizens generally have one

essentially national speech. Yet the curious fact remains that these

great artificial societies acquire such unity that in each one all the

parts feel a subtle sympathy, and move or cease to move, go forward

or go back, all together, in response to some stir or throbbing, very

powerful, and yet not to be discerned by our senses. National unity is

far more apt than race unity to be a fact to reckon with; until indeed

we come to race differences as fundamental as those which divide from

one another the half-dozen great ethnic divisions of mankind, when they

become so important that differences of nationality, speech, and creed

sink into littleness.

An ethnological map of Europe in which the peoples were divided

according to their physical and racial characteristics, such as

stature, coloration, and shape of head, would bear no resemblance

whatever to a map giving the political divisions, the nationalities,

of Europe; while on the contrary a linguistic map would show a general

correspondence between speech and nationality. The northern Frenchman

is in blood and physical type more nearly allied to his German-speaking

neighbour than to the Frenchman of the Mediterranean seaboard; and

the latter, in his turn, is nearer to the Catalan than to the man who

dwells beside the Channel or along the tributaries of the Rhine. But in

essential characteristics, in the qualities that tell in the make-up of

a nationality, all these kinds of Frenchmen feel keenly that they are

one, and are different from all outsiders, their differences dwindling

into insignificance, compared with the extraordinary, artificially

produced, resemblances which bring them together and wall them off from

the outside world. The same is true when we compare the German who

dwells where the Alpine springs of the Danube and the Rhine interlace,

with the physically different German of the Baltic lands. The same is

true of Kentishman, Cornishman, and Yorkshireman in England.

In dealing, not with groups of human beings in simple and primitive

relations, but with highly complex, highly specialized, civilized, or

semi-civilized societies, there is need of great caution in drawing

analogies with what has occurred in the development of the animal

world. Yet even in these cases it is curious to see how some of the

phenomena in the growth and disappearance of these complex, artificial

groups of human beings resemble what has happened in myriads of

instances in the history of life on this planet.

Why do great artificial empires, whose citizens are knit by a bond of

speech and culture much more than by a bond of blood, show periods of

extraordinary growth, and again of sudden or lingering decay? In some

cases we can answer readily enough; in other cases we cannot as yet

even guess what the proper answer should be. If in any such case the

centrifugal forces overcome the centripetal, the nation will of course

fly to pieces, and the reason for its failure to become a dominant

force is patent to every one. The minute that the spirit which finds

its healthy development in local self-government, and is the antidote

to the dangers of an extreme centralization, develops into mere

particularism, into inability to combine effectively for achievement of

a common end, then it is hopeless to expect great results. Poland and

certain Republics of the western hemisphere are the standard examples

of failure of this kind; and the United States would have ranked with

them, and her name would have become a byword of derision, if the

forces of union had not triumphed in the Civil War. So, the growth of

soft luxury after it has reached a certain point becomes a national

danger patent to all. Again, it needs but little of the vision of a

seer to foretell what must happen in any community if the average woman

ceases to become the mother of a family of healthy children, if the

average man loses the will and the power to work up to old age and to

fight whenever the need arises. If the homely, commonplace virtues die

out, if strength of character vanishes in graceful self-indulgence, if

the virile qualities atrophy, then the nation has lost what no material

prosperity can offset.

But there are plenty of other phenomena wholly or partially

inexplicable. It is easy to see why Rome trended downward when great

slave-tilled farms spread over what had once been a country-side of

peasant proprietors, when greed and luxury and sensuality ate like

acids into the fibre of the upper classes, while the mass of the

citizens grew to depend not upon their own exertions, but upon the

state, for their pleasures and their very livelihood. But this does not

explain why the forward movement stopped at different times, so far as

different matters were concerned; at one time as regards literature,

at another time as regards architecture, at another time as regards

city-building. There is nothing mysterious about Rome’s dissolution

at the time of the barbarian invasions; apart from the impoverishment

and depopulation of the Empire, its fall would be quite sufficiently

explained by the mere fact that the average citizen had lost the

fighting edge, an essential even under a despotism, and therefore far

more essential in free, self-governing communities such as those of the

English-speaking peoples of to-day. The mystery is rather that out of

the chaos and corruption of Roman society during the last days of the

oligarchic republic, there should have sprung an Empire able to hold

things with reasonable steadiness for three or four centuries. But

why, for instance, should the higher kinds of literary productiveness

have ceased about the beginning of the second century, whereas the

following centuries witnessed a great outbreak of energy in the shape

of city-building in the provinces, not only in Western Europe, but in

Africa? We cannot even guess why the springs of one kind of energy

dried up, while there was yet no cessation of another kind.

Take another and smaller instance, that of Holland. For a period

covering a little more than the seventeenth century, Holland, like some

of the Italian city states at an earlier period, stood on the dangerous

heights of greatness, beside nations so vastly her superior in

territory and population as to make it inevitable that sooner or later

she must fall from the glorious and perilous eminence to which she

had been raised by her own indomitable soul. Her fall came; it could

not have been indefinitely postponed; but it came far quicker than it

needed to come, because of shortcomings on her part to which both Great

Britain and the United States would be wise to pay heed. Her government

was singularly ineffective, the decentralization being such as often to

permit the separatist, the particularist, spirit of the provinces to

rob the central authority of all efficiency. This was bad enough. But

the fatal weakness was that so common in rich, peace-loving societies,

where men hate to think of war as possible, and try to justify their

own reluctance to face it either by high-sounding moral platitudes,

or else by a philosophy of short-sighted materialism. The Dutch were

very wealthy. They grew to believe that they could hire others to do

their fighting for them on land; and on sea, where they did their own

fighting, and fought very well, they refused in time of peace to make

ready fleets so efficient, as either to insure them against the peace

being broken, or else to give them the victory when war came. To be

opulent and unarmed is to secure ease in the present at the almost

certain cost of disaster in the future.

It is therefore easy to see why Holland lost when she did her position

among the powers; but it is far more difficult to explain why at the

same time there should have come at least a partial loss of position in

the world of art and letters. Some spark of divine fire burned itself

out in the national soul. As the line of great statesmen, of great

warriors, by land and sea, came to an end, so the line of the great

Dutch painters ended. The loss of pre-eminence in the schools followed

the loss of pre-eminence in camp and in council chamber.

In the little republic of Holland, as in the great empire of Rome, it

was not death which came, but transformation. Both Holland and Italy

teach us that races that fall may rise again. In Holland, as in the

Scandinavian kingdoms of Norway and Sweden, there was in a sense no

decadence at all. There was nothing analogous to what has befallen so

many countries; no lowering of the general standard of well-being, no

general loss of vitality, no depopulation. What happened was, first

a flowering time, in which the country’s men of action and men of

thought gave it a commanding position among the nations of the day;

then this period of command passed, and the State revolved in an eddy,

aside from the sweep of the mighty current of world life; and yet the

people themselves in their internal relations remained substantially

unchanged, and in many fields of endeavour have now recovered

themselves, and play again a leading part.

In Italy, where history is recorded for a far longer time, the course

of affairs was different. When the Roman Empire that was really

Roman went down in ruin, there followed an interval of centuries

when the gloom was almost unrelieved. Every form of luxury and

frivolity, of contemptuous repugnance for serious work, of enervating

self-indulgence, every form of vice and weakness which we regard as

most ominous in the civilization of to-day, had been at work throughout

Italy for generations. The Nation had lost all patriotism. It had

ceased to bring forth fighters or workers, had ceased to bring forth

men of mark of any kind; and the remnant of the Italian people cowered

in helpless misery among the horse-hoofs of the barbarians, as the wild

northern bands rode in to take the land for a prey and the cities for

a spoil. It was one of the great cataclysms of history; but in the end

it was seen that what came had been in part change and growth. It was

not all mere destruction. Not only did Rome leave a vast heritage of

language, culture, law, ideas, to all the modern world; but the people

of Italy kept the old blood as the chief strain in their veins. In a

few centuries came a wonderful new birth for Italy. Then for four or

five hundred years there was a growth of many little city states which,

in their energy both in peace and war, in their fierce, fervent life,

in the high quality of their men of arts and letters, and in their

utter inability to combine so as to preserve order among themselves or

to repel outside invasion, can not unfairly be compared with classic

Greece. Again Italy fell, and the land was ruled by Spaniard or

Frenchman or Austrian; and again, in the nineteenth century, there came

for the third time a wonderful new birth.

Contrast this persistence of the old type in its old home, and in

certain lands which it had conquered, with its utter disappearance

in certain other lands where it was intrusive, but where it at one

time seemed as firmly established as in Italy—certainly as in Spain

or Gaul. No more curious example of the growth and disappearance of

a national type can be found than in the case of the Graeco-Roman

dominion in Western Asia and North Africa. All told it extended over

nearly a thousand years, from the days of Alexander till after the

time of Heraclius. Throughout these lands there yet remain the ruins

of innumerable cities which tell how firmly rooted that dominion must

once have been. The overshadowing and far-reaching importance of what

occurred is sufficiently shown by the familiar fact that the New

Testament was written in Greek; while to the early Christians, North

Africa seemed as much a Latin land as Sicily or the Valley of the Po.

The intrusive peoples and their culture flourished in the lands for a

period twice as long as that which has elapsed since, with the voyage

of Columbus, modern history may fairly be said to have begun; and then

they withered like dry grass before the flame of the Arab invasion,

and their place knew them no more. They overshadowed the ground; they

vanished; and the old types reappeared in their old homes, with beside

them a new type, the Arab.

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