China

China's economy since the late 1970s has changed from a

closed, centrally planned system to a more market-oriented one that

plays a major role in the global economy - in 2010 China became the

world's largest exporter. Reforms began with the phasing out of

collectivized agriculture, and expanded to include the gradual

liberalization of prices, fiscal decentralization, increased

autonomy for state enterprises, creation of a diversified banking

system, development of stock markets, rapid growth of the private

sector, and opening to foreign trade and investment. China generally

has implemented reforms in a gradualist fashion. In recent years,

China has renewed its support for state-owned enterprises in sectors

it considers important to "economic security," explicitly looking to

foster globally competitive national champions. After keeping its

currency tightly linked to the US dollar for years, in July 2005

China revalued its currency by 2.1% against the US dollar and moved

to an exchange rate system that references a basket of currencies.

From mid 2005 to late 2008 cumulative appreciation of the renminbi

against the US dollar was more than 20%, but the exchange rate

remained virtually pegged to the dollar from the onset of the global

financial crisis until June 2010, when Beijing allowed resumption of

a gradual appreciation. The restructuring of the economy and

resulting efficiency gains have contributed to a more than tenfold

increase in GDP since 1978. Measured on a purchasing power parity

(PPP) basis that adjusts for price differences, China in 2010 stood

as the second-largest economy in the world after the US, having

surpassed Japan in 2001. The dollar values of China's agricultural

and industrial output each exceeded those of the US, although China

was second to the US in the value of services it produced. Still,

per capita income is below the world average. The Chinese government

faces numerous economic development challenges, including: (a)

reducing its high domestic savings rate and correspondingly low

domestic demand; (b) sustaining adequate job growth for tens of

millions of migrants and new entrants to the work force; (c)

reducing corruption and other economic crimes; and (d) containing

environmental damage and social strife related to the economy's

rapid transformation. Economic development has progressed further in

coastal provinces than in the interior, and approximately 200

million rural laborers and their dependents have relocated to urban

areas to find work. One demographic consequence of the "one child"

policy is that China is now one of the most rapidly aging countries

in the world. Deterioration in the environment - notably air

pollution, soil erosion, and the steady fall of the water table,

especially in the north - is another long-term problem. China

continues to lose arable land because of erosion and economic

development. The Chinese government is seeking to add energy

production capacity from sources other than coal and oil, focusing

on nuclear and alternative energy development. In 2009, the global

economic downturn reduced foreign demand for Chinese exports for the

first time in many years, but China rebounded quickly, outperforming

all other major economies in 2010 with GDP growth around 10%. The

economy appears set to remain on a strong growth trajectory in 2011,

lending credibility to the stimulus policies the regime rolled out

during the global financial crisis. The government vows to continue

reforming the economy and emphasizes the need to increase domestic

consumption in order to make the economy less dependent on exports

for GDP growth in the future, but China likely will make only

marginal progress toward these rebalancing goals in 2011. Two

economic problems China currently faces are inflation - which, late

in 2010, surpassed the government's target of 3% - and local

government debt, which swelled as a result of stimulus policies, and

is largely off-the-books and potentially low-quality.

Christmas Island

Phosphate mining had been the only significant

economic activity, but in December 1987 the Australian government

closed the mine. In 1991, the mine was reopened. With the support of

the government, a $34 million casino opened in 1993, but closed in

1998.

Clipperton Island

Although 115 species of fish have been identified

in the territorial waters of Clipperton Island, the only economic

activity is tuna fishing.

Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Coconuts, grown throughout the islands, are

the sole cash crop. Small local gardens and fishing contribute to

the food supply, but additional food and most other necessities must

be imported from Australia. There is a small tourist industry.

Colombia

Colombia experienced accelerating growth between 2002 and

2007, chiefly due to improvements in domestic security, rising

commodity prices, and to President URIBE's promarket economic

policies. Foreign direct investment reached a record $10 billion in

2008, and continues to flow in, especially in the oil sector. A

series of policies enhanced Colombia's investment climate:

pro-business reforms in the oil and gas sectors and export-led

growth fueled mainly by the Andean Trade Promotion and Drug

Eradication Act. Inequality, underemployment, and narcotrafficking

remain significant challenges, and Colombia's infrastructure

requires major improvements to sustain economic expansion. Because

of the global financial crisis and weakening demand for Colombia's

exports, Colombia's economy grew only 2.7% in 2008, and 0.8% in 2009

but rebounded to around 4.5% in 2010. The government has encouraged

exporters to diversify their customer base beyond the United States

and Venezuela, traditionally Colombia's largest trading partners;

the SANTOS administration continues to pursue free trade agreements

with Asian and South American partners and awaits the approval of a

Canadian trade accord by Canada's and EU's parliaments. The business

sector remains concerned about Venezuela's trade restrictions on

Colombian exports, an appreciating domestic currency, and the

pending US Congressional approval of the US-Colombia Trade Promotion

Agreement.

Comoros

One of the world's poorest countries, Comoros is made up of

three islands that have inadequate transportation links, a young and

rapidly increasing population, and few natural resources. The low

educational level of the labor force contributes to a subsistence

level of economic activity, high unemployment, and a heavy

dependence on foreign grants and technical assistance. Agriculture,

including fishing, hunting, and forestry, contributes 40% to GDP,

employs 80% of the labor force, and provides most of the exports.

Export income is heavily reliant on the three main crops of vanilla,

cloves, and ylang-ylang and Comoros' export earnings are easily

disrupted by disasters such as fires. The country is not

self-sufficient in food production; rice, the main staple, accounts

for the bulk of imports. The government - which is hampered by

internal political disputes - lacks a comprehensive strategy to

attract foreign investment and is struggling to upgrade education

and technical training, privatize commercial and industrial

enterprises, improve health services, diversify exports, promote

tourism, and reduce the high population growth rate. Political

problems have inhibited growth, which has averaged only about 1% in

2006-09. Remittances from 150,000 Comorans abroad help supplement

GDP. In September 2009 the IMF approved Comoros for a three-year $21

million loan. The IMF gave generally positive reports of the

country's program performance as of October 2010. The African

Development Bank approved a $34.6 million debt-relief package loan

for Comoros in September 2010, and Comoros will attempt to qualifry

for debt relief in 2012 under the IMF and World Bank's Heavily

Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative.

Congo, Democratic Republic of the

The economy of the Democratic

Republic of the Congo - a nation endowed with vast potential wealth

- is slowly recovering from decades of decline. Systemic corruption

since independence in 1960 and conflict that began in May 1997 has

dramatically reduced national output and government revenue,

increased external debt, and resulted in the deaths of more than 5

million people from violence, famine, and disease. Foreign

businesses curtailed operations due to uncertainty about the outcome

of the conflict, lack of infrastructure, and the difficult operating

environment. Conditions began to improve in late 2002 with the

withdrawal of a large portion of the invading foreign troops. The

transitional government reopened relations with international

financial institutions and international donors, and President

KABILA began implementing reforms. Progress has been slow and the

International Monetary Fund curtailed their program for the DRC at

the end of March 2006 because of fiscal overruns. Much economic

activity still occurs in the informal sector, and is not reflected

in GDP data. Renewed activity in the mining sector, the source of

most export income, boosted Kinshasa's fiscal position and GDP

growth from 2006-2008, however, the government's review of mining

contracts that began in 2006, combined with a fall in world market

prices for the DRC's key mineral exports temporarily weakened output

in 2009, leading to a balance of payments crisis. The recovery in

mineral prices beginning in mid 2009 boosted mineral exports, and

emergency funds from the IMF boosted foreign reserves. An uncertain

legal framework, corruption, a lack of transparency in government

policy are long-term problems for the mining sector and the economy

as a whole. The global recession cut economic growth in 2009 to less

than half its 2008 level, but growth returned to 3% in 2010. The DRC

signed a Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility with the IMF in 2009

and received $12 billion in multilateral and bilateral debt relief

in 2010.

Congo, Republic of the

The economy is a mixture of subsistence

agriculture, an industrial sector based largely on oil and support

services, and government spending. Oil has supplanted forestry as

the mainstay of the economy, providing a major share of government

revenues and exports. In the early 1980s, rapidly rising oil

revenues enabled the government to finance large-scale development

projects with GDP growth averaging 5% annually, one of the highest

rates in Africa. Characterized by budget problems and overstaffing,

the government has mortgaged a substantial portion of its oil

earnings through oil-backed loans that have contributed to a growing

debt burden and chronic revenue shortfalls. Economic reform efforts

have been undertaken with the support of international

organizations, notably the World Bank and the IMF. However, the

reform program came to a halt in June 1997 when civil war erupted.

Denis SASSOU-NGUESSO, who returned to power when the war ended in

October 1997, publicly expressed interest in moving forward on

economic reforms and privatization and in renewing cooperation with

international financial institutions. Economic progress was badly

hurt by slumping oil prices and the resumption of armed conflict in

December 1998, which worsened the republic's budget deficit. The

current administration presides over an uneasy internal peace and

faces difficult economic challenges of stimulating recovery and

reducing poverty. The drop in oil prices during the global crisis

reduced oil revenue by about 30%, but the subsequent recovery of oil

prices has boosted the economy's GDP and near-term prospects. In

March 2006, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

approved Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) treatment for Congo,

receiving $1.9 billion in debt relief under the program in 2010.

Cook Islands

Like many other South Pacific island nations, the Cook

Islands' economic development is hindered by the isolation of the

country from foreign markets, the limited size of domestic markets,

lack of natural resources, periodic devastation from natural

disasters, and inadequate infrastructure. Agriculture, employing

more than one-quarter of the working population, provides the

economic base with major exports made up of copra and citrus fruit.

Black pearls are the Cook Islands' leading export. Manufacturing

activities are limited to fruit processing, clothing, and

handicrafts. Trade deficits are offset by remittances from emigrants

and by foreign aid overwhelmingly from New Zealand. In the 1980s and

1990s, the country lived beyond its means, maintaining a bloated

public service and accumulating a large foreign debt. Subsequent

reforms, including the sale of state assets, the strengthening of

economic management, the encouragement of tourism, and a debt

restructuring agreement, have rekindled investment and growth.

Coral Sea Islands

no economic activity

Costa Rica

Prior to the global economic crisis, Costa Rica enjoyed

stable economic growth. The economy contracted 0.7% in 2009, but

resumed growth at more than 3% in 2010. While the traditional

agricultural exports of bananas, coffee, sugar, and beef are still

the backbone of commodity export trade, a variety of industrial and

specialized agricultural products have broadened export trade in

recent years. High value added goods and services, including

microchips, have further bolstered exports. Tourism continues to

bring in foreign exchange, as Costa Rica's impressive biodiversity

makes it a key destination for ecotourism. Foreign investors remain

attracted by the country's political stability and relatively high

education levels, as well as the fiscal incentives offered in the

free-trade zones; and Costa Rica has attracted one of the highest

levels of foreign direct investment per capita in Latin America.

However, many business impediments, such as high levels of

bureaucracy, difficulty of enforcing contracts, and weak investor

protection, remain. Poverty has remained around 15-20% for nearly 20

years, and the strong social safety net that had been put into place

by the government has eroded due to increased financial constraints

on government expenditures. Unlike the rest of Central America,

Costa Rica is not highly dependent on remittances as they only

represent about 2% of GDP. Immigration from Nicaragua has

increasingly become a concern for the government. The estimated

300,000-500,000 Nicaraguans in Costa Rica legally and illegally are

an important source of - mostly unskilled - labor, but also place

heavy demands on the social welfare system. The US-Central

American-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) entered

into force on 1 January 2009, after significant delays within the

Costa Rican legislature. CAFTA-DR will likely lead to increased

foreign direct investment in key sectors of the economy, including

the insurance and telecommunications sectors recently opened to

private investors. President CHINCHILLA is likely to push for fiscal

reform in the coming year, seeking to boost revenue, possibly

through revised tax legislation, to fund an increase in security

services and education.

Cote d'Ivoire

Cote d'Ivoire is heavily dependent on agriculture and

related activities, which engage roughly 68% of the population. Cote

d'Ivoire is the world's largest producer and exporter of cocoa beans

and a significant producer and exporter of coffee and palm oil.

Consequently, the economy is highly sensitive to fluctuations in

international prices for these products, and, to a lesser extent, in

climatic conditions. Cocoa, oil, and coffee are the country's top

export revenue earners, but the country is also producing gold.

Since the end of the civil war in 2003, political turmoil has

continued to damage the economy, resulting in the loss of foreign

investment and slow economic growth. GDP grew by more than 2% in

2008 and around 4% per year in 2009-10. Per capita income has

declined by 15% since 1999, but registered a slight improvement in

2009-10. Power cuts caused by a turbine failure in early 2010 slowed

economic activity. Cote d'Ivoire in 2010 signed agreements to

restructure its Paris Club bilateral, other bilateral, and London

Club debt. Cote d'Ivoire's long term challenges include political

instability and degrading infrastructure.

Croatia

Once one of the wealthiest of the Yugoslav republics,

Croatia's economy suffered badly during the 1991-95 war as output

collapsed and the country missed the early waves of investment in

Central and Eastern Europe that followed the fall of the Berlin

Wall. Between 2000 and 2007, however, Croatia's economic fortunes

began to improve slowly, with moderate but steady GDP growth between

4% and 6% led by a rebound in tourism and credit-driven consumer

spending. Inflation over the same period has remained tame and the

currency, the kuna, stable. Nevertheless, difficult problems still

remain, including a stubbornly high unemployment rate, a growing

trade deficit and uneven regional development. The state retains a

large role in the economy, as privatization efforts often meet stiff

public and political resistance. While macroeconomic stabilization

has largely been achieved, structural reforms lag because of deep

resistance on the part of the public and lack of strong support from

politicians. The EU accession process should accelerate fiscal and

structural reform. While long term growth prospects for the economy

remain strong, Croatia will face significant pressure as a result of

the global financial crisis. Croatia's high foreign debt, anemic

export sector, strained state budget, and over-reliance on tourism

revenue will result in higher risk to economic stability over the

medium term.

Cuba

The government continues to balance the need for economic

loosening against a desire for firm political control. The

government announced it would eliminate 500,000 state jobs by March

2011 and has expanded opportunities for self-employment. President

CASTRO said such changes were needed to update the economic model to

ensure the survival of socialism. It has rolled back limited reforms

undertaken in the 1990s to increase enterprise efficiency and

alleviate serious shortages of food, consumer goods, and services.

The average Cuban's standard of living remains at a lower level than

before the downturn of the 1990s, which was caused by the loss of

Soviet aid and domestic inefficiencies. Since late 2000, Venezuela

has been providing oil on preferential terms, and it currently

supplies about 100,000 barrels per day of petroleum products. Cuba

has been paying for the oil, in part, with the services of Cuban

personnel in Venezuela including some 30,000 medical professionals.

Curacao

Tourism, petroleum refining, and offshore finance are the

mainstays of this small economy, which is closely tied to the

outside world. Although GDP grew slightly during the past decade,

the island enjoys a high per capita income and a well-developed

infrastructure compared with other countries in the region. Curacao

has an excellent natural harbor that can accommodate large oil

tankers. The Venezuelan state oil company leases the single refinery

on the island from the government; most of the oil for the refinery

is imported from Venezuela; most of the refined products are

exported to the US. Almost all consumer and capital goods are

imported, with the US, Brazil, Italy, and Mexico being the major

suppliers. The government is attempting to diversify its industry

and trade and has signed an Association Agreement with the EU to

expand business there. Poor soils and inadequate water supplies

hamper the development of agriculture. Budgetary problems complicate

reform of the health and pension systems for an aging population.

Cyprus

The area of the Republic of Cyprus under government control

has a market economy dominated by the service sector, which accounts

for nearly four-fifths of GDP. Tourism, financial services, and real

estate are the most important sectors. Erratic growth rates over the

past decade reflect the economy's reliance on tourism, which often

fluctuates with political instability in the region and economic

conditions in Western Europe. Nevertheless, the economy in the area

under government control has grown at a rate well above the EU

average since 2000. Cyprus joined the European Exchange Rate

Mechanism (ERM2) in May 2005 and adopted the euro as its national

currency on 1 January 2008. An aggressive austerity program in the

preceding years, aimed at paving the way for the euro, helped turn a

soaring fiscal deficit (6.3% in 2003) into a surplus of 1.2% in

2008, and reduced inflation to 4.7%. This prosperity came under

pressure in 2009, as construction and tourism slowed in the face of

reduced foreign demand triggered by the ongoing global financial

crisis. Although Cyprus lagged its EU peers in showing signs of

stress from the global crisis, the economy tipped into recession in

mid 2009 and contracted 1.8% for the year. In addition, the budget

deficit is on the rise and reached 5.7% of GDP in 2010, a violation

of the EU's budget deficit criteria of no more than 3% of GDP. In

response to the country's deteriorating finances, Nicosia is

promising to implement measures to cut the cost of the state

payroll, curb tax evasion, and revamp social benefits. However, it

has been slow to act, lacking a consensus in parliament and among

the social partners for its proposed measures.

Czech Republic

The Czech Republic is one of the most stable and

prosperous of the post-Communist states of Central and Eastern

Europe. Maintaining an open investment climate has been a key

element of the Czech Republic's transition from a communist,

centrally planned economy to a functioning market economy. As a

member of the European Union, with an advantageous location in the

center of Europe, a relatively low cost structure, and a

well-qualified labor force, the Czech Republic is an attractive

destination for foreign investment. Prior to its EU accession in

2004, the Czech government harmonized its laws and regulations with

those of the European Union. The small, open, export-driven Czech

economy grew by over 6% annually from 2005-2007 and by 2.5% in 2008.

The conservative Czech financial system has remained relatively

healthy throughout 2009. Nevertheless, the real economy contracted

by 4.1% in 2009, mainly due to a significant drop in external demand

as the Czech Republic's main export markets fell into recession. GDP

is expected to grow by 2.4% in 2010, driven largely by a rebound in

external demand, particularly from Gremany.

Denmark

This thoroughly modern market economy features a high-tech

agricultural sector, state-of-the-art industry with world-leading

firms in pharmaceuticals, maritime shipping and renewable energy,

and a high dependence on foreign trade. The Danish economy is also

characterized by extensive government welfare measures, an equitable

distribution of income, and comfortable living standards. Denmark is

a net exporter of food and energy and enjoys a comfortable balance

of payments surplus. After a long consumption-driven upswing,

Denmark's economy began slowing in 2007 with the end of a housing

boom. Housing prices dropped markedly in 2008-09. The global

financial crisis has exacerbated this cyclical slowdown through

increased borrowing costs and lower export demand, consumer

confidence, and investment. The global financial crises cut Danish

GDP by 0.9% in 2008 and 4.7% in 2009. Historically low levels of

unemployment rose sharply with the recession but remain below 5%,

about half the level of the EU. Denmark made a modest recovery in

2010 in part because of increased government spending. An impending

decline in the ratio of workers to retirees will be a major

long-term issue. Denmark maintained a healthy budget surplus for

many years up to 2008, but the budget balance swung into deficit

during 2009-10. Nonetheless, Denmark's fiscal position remains among

the strongest in the EU. Despite previously meeting the criteria to

join the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), so far Denmark

has decided not to join, although the Danish krone remains pegged to

the euro.

Dhekelia

Economic activity is limited to providing services to the

military and their families located in Dhekelia. All food and

manufactured goods must be imported.

The 2010 CIA World Factbook · 第 337 / 461 段