APPENDIX: THE LIMITS OF EXACT SCIENCE AS APPLIED TO HISTORY.

It is with a feeling of awe, I had almost said of fear, that I find

myself in this place, upon this errand. The responsibility of a teacher

of History in Cambridge is in itself very heavy: but doubly heavy in the

case of one who sees among his audience many men as fit, it may be some

more fit, to fill this Chair: and again, more heavy still, when one

succeeds to a man whose learning, like his virtues, one can never hope to

equal.

But a Professor, I trust, is like other men, capable of improvement; and

the great law, 'docendo disces,' may be fulfilled in him, as in other

men. Meanwhile, I can only promise that such small powers as I possess

will be honestly devoted to this Professorate; and that I shall endeavour

to teach Modern History after a method which shall give satisfaction to

the Rulers of this University.

I shall do that best, I believe, by keeping in mind the lessons which I,

in common with thousands more, have learnt from my wise and good

predecessor. I do not mean merely patience in research, and accuracy in

fact. They are required of all men: and they may be learnt from many

men. But what Sir James Stephen's life and writings should especially

teach us, is the beauty and the value of charity; of that large-hearted

humanity, which sympathizes with all noble, generous, earnest thought and

endeavour, in whatsoever shape they may have appeared; a charity which,

without weakly or lazily confounding the eternal laws of right and wrong,

can make allowances for human frailty; can separate the good from the

evil in men and in theories; can understand, and can forgive, because it

loves. Who can read Sir James Stephen's works without feeling more

kindly toward many a man, and many a form of thought, against which he

has been more or less prejudiced; without a more genial view of human

nature, a more hopeful view of human destiny, a more full belief in the

great saying, that 'Wisdom is justified of all her children'? Who, too,

can read those works without seeing how charity enlightens the intellect,

just as bigotry darkens it; how events, which to the theorist and the

pedant are merely monstrous and unmeaning, may explain themselves easily

enough to the man who will put himself in his fellow-creatures' place;

who will give them credit for being men of like passions with himself;

who will see with their eyes, feel with their hearts, and take for his

motto, 'Homo sum, nil humani a me alienum puto'?

I entreat gentlemen who may hereafter attend my lectures to bear in mind

this last saying. If they wish to understand History, they must first

try to understand men and women. For History is the history of men and

women, and of nothing else; and he who knows men and women thoroughly

will best understand the past work of the world, and be best able to

carry on its work now. The men who, in the long run, have governed the

world, have been those who understood the human heart; and therefore it

is to this day the statesman who keeps the reins in his hand, and not the

mere student. He is a man of the world; he knows how to manage his

fellow-men; and therefore he can get work done which the mere student (it

may be) has taught him ought to be done; but which the mere student, much

less the mere trader or economist, could not get done; simply because his

fellow-men would probably not listen to him, and certainly outwit him. Of

course, in proportion to the depth, width, soundness, of his conception

of human nature, will be the greatness and wholesomeness of his power. He

may appeal to the meanest, or to the loftiest motives. He may be a fox

or an eagle; a Borgia, or a Hildebrand; a Talleyrand, or a Napoleon; a

Mary Stuart, or an Elizabeth: but however base, however noble, the power

which he exercises is the same in essence. He makes History, because he

understands men. And you, if you would understand History, must

understand men.

If, therefore, any of you should ask me how to study history, I should

answer--Take by all means biographies: wheresoever possible,

autobiographies; and study them. Fill your minds with live human

figures; men of like passions with yourselves; see how each lived and

worked in the time and place in which God put him. Believe me, that when

you have thus made a friend of the dead, and brought him to life again,

and let him teach you to see with his eyes, and feel with his heart, you

will begin to understand more of his generation and his circumstances,

than all the mere history-books of the period would teach you. In

proportion as you understand the man, and only so, will you begin to

understand the elements in which he worked. And not only to understand,

but to remember. Names, dates, genealogies, geographical details,

costumes, fashions, manners, crabbed scraps of old law, which you used,

perhaps, to read up and forget again, because they were not rooted, but

stuck into your brain, as pins are into a pincushion, to fall out at the

first shake--all these you will remember; because they will arrange and

organize themselves around the central human figure: just as, if you have

studied a portrait by some great artist, you cannot think of the face in

it, without recollecting also the light and shadow, the tone of

colouring, the dress, the very details of the background, and all the

accessories which the painter's art has grouped around; each with a

purpose, and therefore each fixing itself duly in your mind. Who, for

instance, has not found that he can learn more French history from French

memoirs, than even from all the truly learned and admirable histories of

France which have been written of late years? There are those, too, who

will say of good old Plutarch's lives (now-a-days, I think, too much

neglected), what some great man used to say of Shakspeare and English

history--that all the ancient history which they really knew, they had

got from Plutarch. I am free to confess that I have learnt what little I

know of the middle-ages, what they were like, how they came to be what

they were, and how they issued in the Reformation, not so much from the

study of the books about them (many and wise though they are), as from

the thumbing over, for years, the semi-mythical saints' lives of Surius

and the Bollandists.

Without doubt History obeys, and always has obeyed, in the long run,

certain laws. But those laws assert themselves, and are to be

discovered, not in things, but in persons; in the actions of human

beings; and just in proportion as we understand human beings, shall we

understand the laws which they have obeyed, or which have avenged

themselves on their disobedience. This may seem a truism: if it be such,

it is one which we cannot too often repeat to ourselves just now, when

the rapid progress of science is tempting us to look at human beings

rather as things than as persons, and at abstractions (under the name of

laws) rather as persons than as things. Discovering, to our just

delight, order and law all around us, in a thousand events which seemed

to our fathers fortuitous and arbitrary, we are dazzled just now by the

magnificent prospect opening before us, and fall, too often, into more

than one serious mistake.

First; students try to explain too often all the facts which they meet by

the very few laws which they know; and especially moral phaenomena by

physical, or at least economic laws. There is an excuse for this last

error. Much which was thought, a few centuries since, to belong to the

spiritual world, is now found to belong to the material; and the

physician is consulted, where the exorcist used to be called in. But it

is a somewhat hasty corollary therefrom, and one not likely to find

favour in this University, that moral laws and spiritual agencies have

nothing at all to do with the history of the human race. We shall not be

inclined here, I trust, to explain (as some one tried to do lately) the

Crusades by a hypothesis of over-stocked labour-markets on the Continent.

Neither, again, shall we be inclined to class those same Crusades among

'popular delusions,' and mere outbursts of folly and madness. This is a

very easy, and I am sorry to say, a very common method of disposing of

facts which will not fit into the theory, too common of late, that need

and greed have been always, and always ought to be, the chief motives of

mankind. Need and greed, heaven knows, are powerful enough: but I think

that he who has something nobler in himself than need and greed, will

have eyes to discern something nobler than them, in the most fantastic

superstitions, in the most ferocious outbursts, of the most untutored

masses. Thank God, that those who preach the opposite doctrine belie it

so often by a happy inconsistency; that he who declares self-interest to

be the mainspring of the world, can live a life of virtuous

self-sacrifice; that he who denies, with Spinoza, the existence of free-

will, can disprove his own theory, by willing, like Spinoza, amid all the

temptations of the world, to live a life worthy of a Roman Stoic; and

that he who represents men as the puppets of material circumstance, and

who therefore has no logical right either to praise virtue, or to blame

vice, can shew, by a healthy admiration of the former, a healthy scorn of

the latter, how little his heart has been corrupted by the eidola specus,

the phantoms of the study, which have oppressed his brain. But though

men are often, thank heaven, better than their doctrines, yet the

goodness of the man does not make his doctrine good; and it is immoral as

well as unphilosophical to call a thing hard names simply because it

cannot be fitted into our theory of the universe. Immoral, because all

harsh and hasty wholesale judgments are immoral; unphilosophical, because

the only philosophical method of looking at the strangest of phaenomena

is to believe that it too is the result of law, perhaps a healthy result;

that it is not to be condemned as a product of disease before it is

proven to be such; and that if it be a product of disease, disease has

its laws, as much as health; and is a subject, not for cursing, but for

induction; so that (to return to my example) if every man who ever took

part in the Crusades were proved to have been simply mad, our sole

business would be to discover why he went mad upon that special matter,

and at that special time. And to do that, we must begin by recollecting

that in every man who went forth to the Crusades, or to any other strange

adventure of humanity, was a whole human heart and brain, of like

strength and weakness, like hopes, like temptations, with our own; and

find out what may have driven him mad, by considering what would have

driven us mad in his place.

May I be permitted to enlarge somewhat on this topic? There is, as you

are aware, a demand just now for philosophies of History. The general

spread of Inductive Science has awakened this appetite; the admirable

contemporary French historians have quickened it by feeding it; till, the

more order and sequence we find in the facts of the past, the more we

wish to find. So it should be (or why was man created a rational being?)

and so it is; and the requirements of the more educated are becoming so

peremptory, that many thinking men would be ready to say (I should be

sorry to endorse their opinion), that if History is not studied according

to exact scientific method, it need not be studied at all.

A very able anonymous writer has lately expressed this general tendency

of modern thought in language so clear and forcible that I must beg leave

to quote it:--

'Step by step,' he says, 'the notion of evolution by law is transforming

the whole field of our knowledge and opinion. It is not one order of

conception which comes under its influence: but it is the whole sphere of

our ideas, and with them the whole system of our action and conduct. Not

the physical world alone is now the domain of inductive science, but the

moral, the intellectual, and the spiritual are being added to its empire.

Two co-ordinate ideas pervade the vision of every thinker, physicist or

moralist, philosopher or priest. In the physical and the moral world, in

the natural and the human, are ever seen two forces--invariable rule, and

continual advance; law and action; order and progress; these two powers

working harmoniously together, and the result, inevitable sequence,

orderly movement, irresistible growth. In the physical world indeed,

order is most prominent to our eyes; in the moral world it is progress,

but both exist as truly in the one as in the other. In the scale of

nature, as we rise from the inorganic to the organic, the idea of change

becomes even more distinct; just as when we rise through the gradations

of the moral world, the idea of order becomes more difficult to grasp. It

was the last task of the astronomer to show eternal change even in the

grand order of our Solar System. It is the crown of philosophy to see

immutable law even in the complex action of human life. In the latter,

indeed, it is but the first germs which are clear. No rational thinker

hopes to discover more than some few primary actions of law, and some

approximative theory of growth. Much is dark and contradictory. Numerous

theories differing in method and degree are offered; nor do we decide

between them. We insist now only upon this, that the principle of

development in the moral, as in the physical, has been definitely

admitted; and something like a conception of one grand analogy through

the whole sphere of knowledge, has almost become a part of popular

opinion. Most men shrink from any broad statement of the principle,

though all in some special instances adopt it. It surrounds every idea

of our life, and is diffused in every branch of study. The press, the

platform, the lecture-room, and the pulpit ring with it in every variety

of form. Unconscious pedants are proving it. It flashes on the

statistician through his registers; it guides the hand of simple

philanthropy; it is obeyed by the instinct of the statesman. There is

not an act of our public life which does not acknowledge it. No man

denies that there are certain, and even practical laws of political

economy. They are nothing but laws of society. The conferences of

social reformers, the congresses for international statistics and for

social science bear witness of its force. Everywhere we hear of the

development of the constitution, of public law, of public opinion, of

institutions, of forms of society, of theories of history. In a word,

whatever views of history may be inculcated on the Universities by

novelists or epigrammatists, it is certain that the best intellects and

spirits of our day are labouring to see more of that invariable order,

and of that principle of growth in the life of human societies and of the

great society of mankind which nearly all men, more or less, acknowledge,

and partially and unconsciously confirm.'

This passage expresses admirably, I think, the tendencies of modern

thought for good and evil.

For good. For surely it is good, and a thing to thank God for, that men

should be more and more expecting order, searching for order, welcoming

order. But for evil also. For young sciences, like young men, have

their time of wonder, hope, imagination, and of passion too, and haste,

and bigotry. Dazzled, and that pardonably, by the beauty of the few laws

they may have discovered, they are too apt to erect them into gods, and

to explain by them all matters in heaven and earth; and apt, too, as I

think this author does, to patch them where they are weakest, by that

most dangerous succedaneum of vague and grand epithets, which very often

contain, each of them, an assumption far more important than the law to

which they are tacked.

Such surely are the words which so often occur in this

passage--'Invariable, continual, immutable, inevitable, irresistible.'

There is an ambiguity in these words, which may lead--which I believe

does lead--to most unphilosophical conclusions. They are used very much

as synonyms; not merely in this passage, but in the mouths of men. Are

you aware that those who carelessly do so, blink the whole of the world-

old arguments between necessity and free-will? Whatever may be the

rights of that quarrel, they are certainly not to be assumed in a passing

epithet. But what else does the writer do, who tells us that an

inevitable sequence, an irresistible growth, exists in the moral as well

as in the physical world; and then says, as a seemingly identical

statement, that it is the crown of philosophy to see immutable law, even

in the complex action of human life?

The crown of philosophy? Doubtless it is so. But not a crown, I should

have thought, which has been reserved as the special glory of these

latter days. Very early, at least in the known history of mankind, did

Philosophy (under the humble names of Religion and Common Sense) see most

immutable, and even eternal, laws, in the complex action of human life,

even the laws of right and wrong; and called them The Everlasting

Judgments of God, to which a confused and hard-worked man was to look;

and take comfort, for all would be well at last. By fair induction (as I

believe) did man discover, more or less clearly, those eternal laws: by

repeated verifications of them in every age, man has been rising, and

will yet rise, to clearer insight into their essence, their limits, their

practical results. And if it be these, the old laws of right and wrong,

which this author and his school call invariable and immutable, we shall,

I trust, most heartily agree with them; only wondering why a moral

government of the world seems to them so very recent a discovery.

But we shall not agree with them, I trust, when they represent these

invariable and immutable laws as resulting in any inevitable sequence, or

irresistible growth. We shall not deny a sequence--Reason forbids that;

or again, a growth--Experience forbids that: but we shall be puzzled to

see why a law, because it is immutable itself, should produce inevitable

results; and if they quote the facts of material nature against us, we

shall be ready to meet them on that very ground, and ask:--You say that

as the laws of matter are inevitable, so probably are the laws of human

life? Be it so: but in what sense are the laws of matter inevitable?

Potentially, or actually? Even in the seemingly most uniform and

universal law, where do we find the inevitable or the irresistible? Is

there not in nature a perpetual competition of law against law, force

against force, producing the most endless and unexpected variety of

results? Cannot each law be interfered with at any moment by some other

law, so that the first law, though it may struggle for the mastery, shall

be for an indefinite time utterly defeated? The law of gravity is

immutable enough: but do all stones inevitably fall to the ground?

Certainly not, if I choose to catch one, and keep it in my hand. It

remains there by laws; and the law of gravity is there too, making it

feel heavy in my hand: but it has not fallen to the ground, and will not,

till I let it. So much for the inevitable action of the laws of gravity,

as of others. Potentially, it is immutable; but actually it can be

conquered by other laws.

I really beg your pardon for occupying you here with such truisms: but I

must put the students of this University in mind of them, as long as too

many modern thinkers shall choose to ignore them.

Even if then, as it seems to me, the history of mankind depended merely

on physical laws, analogous to those which govern the rest of nature, it

would be a hopeless task for us to discover an inevitable sequence in

History, even though we might suppose that such existed. But as long as

man has the mysterious power of breaking the laws of his own being, such

a sequence not only cannot be discovered, but it cannot exist. For man

can break the laws of his own being, whether physical, intellectual, or

moral. He breaks them every day, and has always been breaking them.

The greater number of them he cannot obey till he knows them. And too

many of them he cannot know, alas, till he has broken them; and paid the

penalty of his ignorance. He does not, like the brute or the vegetable,

thrive by laws of which he is not conscious: but by laws of which he

becomes gradually conscious; and which he can disobey after all. And

therefore it seems to me very like a juggle of words to draw analogies

from the physical and irrational world, and apply them to the moral and

rational world; and most unwise to bridge over the gulf between the two

by such adjectives as 'irresistible' or 'inevitable,' such nouns as

'order, sequence, law'--which must bear an utterly different meaning,

according as they are applied to physical beings or to moral ones.

Indeed, so patent is the ambiguity, that I cannot fancy that it has

escaped the author and his school; and am driven, by mere respect for

their logical powers, to suppose that they mean no ambiguity at all; that

they do not conceive of irrational beings as differing from rational

beings, or the physical from the moral, or the body of man from his

spirit, in kind and property; and that the immutable laws which they

represent as governing human life and history have nothing at all to do

with those laws of right and wrong, which I intend to set forth to you,

as the 'everlasting judgments of God.'

In which case, I fear, they must go their way; while we go ours;

confessing that there is an order, and there is a law, for man; and that

if he disturb that order, or break that law in anywise, they will prove

themselves too strong for him, and reassert themselves, and go forward,

grinding him to powder if he stubbornly try to stop their way. But we

must assert too, that his disobedience to them, even for a moment, has

disturbed the natural course of events, and broken that inevitable

sequence, which we may find indeed, in our own imaginations, as long as

we sit with a book in our studies: but which vanishes the moment that we

step outside into practical contact with life; and, instead of talking

cheerfully of a necessary and orderly progress, find ourselves more

inclined to cry with the cynical man of the world:

'All the windy ways of men,

Are but dust that rises up;

And is lightly laid again.'

The usual rejoinder to this argument is to fall back upon man's weakness

and ignorance, and to take refuge in the infinite unknown. Man, it is

said, may of course interfere a little with some of the less important

laws of his being: but who is he, to grapple with the more vast and

remote ones? Because he can prevent a pebble from falling, is he to

suppose that he can alter the destiny of nations, and grapple forsooth

with 'the eternities and the immensities,' and so forth? The argument is

very powerful: but addrest rather to the imagination than the reason. It

is, after all, another form of the old omne ignotum pro magnifico; and we

may answer, I think fairly--About the eternities and immensities we know

nothing, not having been there as yet; but it is a mere assumption to

suppose, without proof, that the more remote and impalpable laws are more

vast, in the sense of being more powerful (the only sense which really

bears upon the argument), than the laws which are palpably at work around

us all day long; and if we are capable of interfering with almost every

law of human life which we know of already, it is more philosophical to

believe (till disproved by actual failure) that we can interfere with

those laws of our life which we may know hereafter. Whether it will pay

us to interfere with them, is a different question. It is not prudent to

interfere with the laws of health, and it may not be with other laws,

hereafter to be discovered. I am only pleading that man can disobey the

laws of his being; that such power has always been a disturbing force in

the progress of the human race, which modern theories too hastily

overlook; and that the science of history (unless the existence of the

human will be denied) must belong rather to the moral sciences, than to

that 'positive science' which seems to me inclined to reduce all human

phaenomena under physical laws, hastily assumed, by the old fallacy of

[Greek text], to apply where there is no proof whatsoever that they do or

even can apply.

As for the question of the existence of the human will--I am not here, I

hope, to argue that. I shall only beg leave to assume its existence, for

practical purposes. I may be told (though I trust not in this

University), that it is, like the undulatory theory of light, an

unphilosophical 'hypothesis.' Be that as it may, it is very convenient

(and may be for a few centuries to come) to retain the said 'hypothesis,'

as one retains the undulatory theory; and for the simple reason, that

with it one can explain the phaenomena tolerably; and without it cannot

explain them at all.

A dread (half-unconscious, it may be) of this last practical result,

seems to have crossed the mind of the author on whom I have been

commenting; for he confesses, honestly enough (and he writes throughout

like an honest man) that in human life 'no rational thinker hopes to

discover more than some few primary actions of law, and some

approximative theory of growth.' I have higher hopes of a possible

science of history; because I fall back on those old moral laws, which I

think he wishes to ignore: but I can conceive that he will not; because

he cannot, on his own definitions of law and growth. They are (if I

understand him aright) to be irresistible and inevitable. I say that

they are not so, even in the case of trees and stones; much more in the

world of man. Facts, when he goes on to verify his theories, will leave

him with a very few primary actions of law, a very faint approximative

theory; because his theories, in plain English, will not work. At the

first step, at every step, they are stopped short by those disturbing

forces, or at least disturbed phaenomena, which have been as yet, and

probably will be hereafter, attributed (as the only explanation of them)

to the existence, for good and evil, of a human will.

Let us look in detail at a few of these disturbances of anything like

inevitable or irresistible movement. Shall we not, at the very first

glance, confess--I am afraid only too soon--that there always have been

fools therein; fools of whom no man could guess, or can yet, what they

were going to do next or why they were going to do it? And how, pray,

can we talk of the inevitable, in the face of that one miserable fact of

human folly, whether of ignorance or of passion, folly still? There may

be laws of folly, as there are laws of disease; and whether there are or

not, we may learn much wisdom from folly; we may see what the true laws

of humanity are, by seeing the penalties which come from breaking them:

but as for laws which work of themselves, by an irresistible

movement,--how can we discover such in a past in which every law which we

know has been outraged again and again? Take one of the highest

instances--the progress of the human intellect--I do not mean just now

the spread of conscious science, but of that unconscious science which we

call common sense. What hope have we of laying down exact laws for its

growth, in a world wherein it has been ignored, insulted, crushed, a

thousand times, sometimes in whole nations and for whole generations, by

the stupidity, tyranny, greed, caprice of a single ruler; or if not so,

yet by the mere superstition, laziness, sensuality, anarchy of the mob?

How, again, are we to arrive at any exact laws of the increase of

population, in a race which has had, from the beginning, the abnormal and

truly monstrous habit of slaughtering each other, not for food--for in a

race of normal cannibals, the ratio of increase or decrease might easily

be calculated--but uselessly, from rage, hate, fanaticism, or even mere

wantonness? No man is less inclined than I to undervalue vital

statistics, and their already admirable results: but how can they help

us, and how can we help them, in looking at such a past as that of three-

fourths of the nations of the world? Look--as a single instance among

too many--at that most noble nation of Germany, swept and stunned, by

peasant wars, thirty years' wars, French wars, and after each hurricane,

blossoming up again into brave industry and brave thought, to be in its

turn cut off by a fresh storm ere it could bear full fruit: doing

nevertheless such work, against such fearful disadvantages, as nation

never did before; and proving thereby what she might have done for

humanity, had not she, the mother of all European life, been devoured,

generation after generation, by her own unnatural children. Nevertheless,

she is their mother still; and her history, as I believe, the

root-history of Europe: but it is hard to read--the sibylline leaves are

so fantastically torn, the characters so blotted out by tears and blood.

And if such be the history of not one nation only, but of the average,

how, I ask, are we to make calculations about such a species as man? Many

modern men of science wish to draw the normal laws of human life from the

average of humanity: I question whether they can do so; because I do not

believe the average man to be the normal man, exhibiting the normal laws:

but a very abnormal man, diseased and crippled, but even if their method

were correct, it could work in practice, only if the destinies of men

were always decided by majorities: and granting that the majority of men

have common sense, are the minority of fools to count for nothing? Are

they powerless? Have they had no influence on History? Have they even

been always a minority, and not at times a terrible majority, doing each

that which was right in the sight of his own eyes? You can surely answer

that question for yourselves. As far as my small knowledge of History

goes, I think it may be proved from facts, that any given people, down to

the lowest savages, has, at any period of its life, known far more than

it has done; known quite enough to have enabled it to have got on

comfortably, thriven, and developed; if it had only done, what no man

does, all that it knew it ought to do, and could do. St. Paul's

experience of himself is true of all mankind--'The good which I would, I

do not; and the evil which I would not, that I do.' The discrepancy

between the amount of knowledge and the amount of work, is one of the

most patent and most painful facts which strikes us in the history of

man; and one not certainly to be explained on any theory of man's

progress being the effect of inevitable laws, or one which gives us much

hope of ascertaining fixed laws for that progress.

And bear in mind, that fools are not always merely imbecile and

obstructive; they are at times ferocious, dangerous, mad. There is in

human nature what Goethe used to call a demoniac element, defying all

law, and all induction; and we can, I fear, from that one cause, as

easily calculate the progress of the human race, as we can calculate that

of the vines upon the slopes of AEtna, with the lava ready to boil up and

overwhelm them at any and every moment. Let us learn, in God's name, all

we can, from the short intervals of average peace and common sense: let

us, or rather our grandchildren, get precious lessons from them for the

next period of sanity. But let us not be surprised, much less

disheartened, if after learning a very little, some unexpected and truly

demoniac factor, Anabaptist war, French revolution, or other, should toss

all our calculations to the winds, and set us to begin afresh, sadder and

wiser men. We may learn, doubtless, even more of the real facts of human

nature, the real laws of human history, from these critical periods, when

the root-fibres of the human heart are laid bare, for good and evil, than

from any smooth and respectable periods of peace and plenty: nevertheless

their lessons are not statistical, but moral.

But if human folly has been a disturbing force for evil, surely human

reason has been a disturbing force for good. Man can not only disobey

the laws of his being, he can also choose between them, to an extent

which science widens every day, and so become, what he was meant to be,

an artificial being; artificial in his manufactures, habits, society,

polity--what not? All day long he has a free choice between even

physical laws, which mere things have not, and which make the laws of

mere things inapplicable to him. Take the simplest case. If he falls

into the water, he has his choice whether he will obey the laws of

gravity and sink, or by other laws perform the (to him) artificial

process of swimming, and get ashore. True, both would happen by law: but

he has his choice which law shall conquer, sink or swim. We have yet to

learn why whole nations, why all mankind may not use the same prudential

power as to which law they shall obey,--which, without breaking it, they

shall conquer and repress, as long as seems good to them.

It is true, nature must be obeyed in order that she may he conquered: but

then she is to be CONQUERED. It has been too much the fashion of late to

travestie that great dictum of Bacon's into a very different one, and

say, Nature must be obeyed because she cannot be conquered; thus

proclaiming the impotence of science to discover anything save her own

impotence--a result as contrary to fact, as to Bacon's own hopes of what

science would do for the welfare of the human race. For what is all

human invention, but the transcending and conquering one natural law by

another? What is the practical answer which all mankind has been making

to nature and her pretensions, whenever it has progressed one step since

the foundation of the world: by which all discoverers have discovered,

all teachers taught: by which all polities, kingdoms, civilizations,

arts, manufactures, have established themselves; all who have raised

themselves above the mob have faced the mob, and conquered the mob,

crucified by them first and worshipped by them afterwards: by which the

first savage conquered the natural law which put wild beasts in the

forest, by killing them; conquered the natural law which makes raw meat

wholesome, by cooking it; conquered the natural law which made weeds grow

at his hut door, by rooting them up, and planting corn instead; and won

his first spurs in the great battle of man against nature, proving

thereby that he was a man, and not an ape? What but this?--'Nature is

strong, but I am stronger. I know her worth, but I know my own. I trust

her and her laws, but my trusty servant she shall be, and not my tyrant;

and if she interfere with my ideal, even with my personal comfort, then

Nature and I will fight it out to the last gasp, and Heaven defend the

right!'

In forgetting this, in my humble opinion, lay the error of the early, or

laissez faire School of Political Economy. It was too much inclined to

say to men: 'You are the puppets of certain natural laws. Your own

freewill and choice, if they really exist, exist merely as a dangerous

disease. All you can do is to submit to the laws, and drift

whithersoever they may carry you, for good or evil.' But not less

certainly was the same blame to be attached to the French Socialist

School. It, though based on a revolt from the Philosophie du neant,

philosophie de la misere, as it used to term the laissez faire School,

yet retained the worst fallacy of its foe, namely, that man was the

creature of circumstances; and denied him just as much as its antagonist

the possession of freewill, or at least the right to use freewill on any

large scale.

The laissez faire School was certainly the more logical of the two. With

them, if man was the creature of circumstances, those circumstances were

at least defined for him by external laws which he had not created: while

the Socialists, with Fourier at their head (as it has always seemed to

me), fell into the extraordinary paradox of supposing that though man was

the creature of circumstances, he was to become happy by creating the

very circumstances which were afterwards to create him. But both of them

erred, surely, in ignoring that self-arbitrating power of man, by which

he can, for good or for evil, rebel against and conquer circumstance.

I am not, surely, overstepping my province as Professor of History, in

alluding to this subject. Just notions of Political Economy are

absolutely necessary to just notions of History; and I should wish those

young gentlemen who may attend my Lectures, to go first, were it

possible, to my more learned brother, the Professor of Political Economy,

and get from him not merely exact habits of thought, but a knowledge

which I cannot give, and yet which they ought to possess. For to take

the very lowest ground, the first fact of history is, Bouche va toujours;

whatever men have or have not done, they have always eaten, or tried to

eat; and the laws which regulate the supply of the first necessaries of

life are, after all, the first which should be learnt, and the last which

should be ignored.

The more modern school, however, of Political Economy while giving due

weight to circumstance, has refused to acknowledge it as the force which

ought to determine all human life; and our greatest living political

economist has, in his Essay on Liberty, put in a plea unequalled since

the Areopagitica of Milton, for the self-determining power of the

individual, and for his right to use that power.

But my business is not with rights, so much as with facts; and as a fact,

surely, one may say, that this inventive reason of man has been, in all

ages, interfering with any thing like an inevitable sequence or orderly

progress of humanity. Some of those writers, indeed, who are most

anxious to discover an exact order, are most loud in their complaints

that it has been interfered with by over-legislation; and rejoice that

mankind is returning to a healthier frame of mind, and leaving nature

alone to her own work in her own way. I do not altogether agree with

their complaints; but of that I hope to speak in subsequent lectures.

Meanwhile, I must ask, if (as is said) most good legislation now-a-days

consists in repealing old laws which ought never to have been passed; if

(as is said) the great fault of our forefathers was that they were

continually setting things wrong, by intermeddling in matters political,

economic, religious, which should have been let alone, to develop

themselves in their own way, what becomes of the inevitable laws, and the

continuous progress, of the human mind?

Look again at the disturbing power, not merely of the general reason of

the many, but of the genius of the few. I am not sure, but that the one

fact, that genius is occasionally present in the world, is not enough to

prevent our ever discovering any regular sequence in human progress, past

or future.

Let me explain myself. In addition to the infinite variety of individual

characters continually born (in itself a cause of perpetual disturbance),

man alone of all species has the faculty of producing, from time to time,

individuals immeasurably superior to the average in some point or other,

whom we call men of genius. Like Mr. Babbage's calculating machine,

human nature gives millions of orderly respectable common-place results,

which any statistician can classify, and enables hasty philosophers to

say--It always has gone on thus; it must go on thus always; when behold,

after many millions of orderly results, there turns up a seemingly

disorderly, a certainly unexpected, result, and the law seems broken

(being really superseded by some deeper law) for that once, and perhaps

never again for centuries. Even so it is with man, and the physiological

laws which determine the earthly appearance of men. Laws there are,

doubt it not; but they are beyond us: and let our induction be as wide as

it may, they will baffle it; and great nature, just as we fancy we have

found out her secret, will smile in our faces as she brings into the

world a man, the like of whom we have never seen, and cannot explain,

define, classify--in one word, a genius. Such do, as a fact, become

leaders of men into quite new and unexpected paths, and, for good or

evil, leave their stamp upon whole generations and races. Notorious as

this may be, it is just, I think, what most modern theories of human

progress ignore. They take the actions and the tendencies of the average

many, and from them construct their scheme: a method not perhaps quite

safe were they dealing with plants or animals; but what if it be the very

peculiarity of this fantastic and altogether unique creature called man,

not only that he develops, from time to time, these exceptional

individuals, but that they are the most important individuals of all?

that his course is decided for him not by the average many, but by the

extraordinary few; that one Mahommed, one Luther, one Bacon, one

Napoleon, shall change the thoughts and habits of millions?--So that

instead of saying that the history of mankind is the history of the

masses, it would be much more true to say, that the history of mankind is

the history of its great men; and that a true philosophy of history ought

to declare the laws--call them physical, spiritual, biological, or what

we choose--by which great minds have been produced into the world, as

necessary results, each in his place and time.

That would be a science indeed; how far we are as yet from any such, you

know as well as I. As yet, the appearance of great minds is as

inexplicable to us as if they had dropped among us from another planet.

Who will tell us why they have arisen when they did, and why they did

what they did, and nothing else? I do not deny that such a science is

conceivable; because each mind, however great or strange, may be the

result of fixed and unerring laws of life: and it is conceivable, too,

that such a science may so perfectly explain the past, as to be able to

predict the future; and tell men when a fresh genius is likely to arise

and of what form his intellect will be. Conceivable: but I fear only

conceivable; if for no other reason, at least for this one. We may grant

safely that the mind of Luther was the necessary result of a combination

of natural laws. We may go further, and grant, but by no means safely,

that Luther, was the creature of circumstances, that there was no self-

moving originality in him, but that his age made him what he was. To

some modern minds these concessions remove all difficulty and mystery:

but not, I trust, to our minds. For does not the very puzzle de quo

agitur remain equally real; namely, why the average of Augustine monks,

the average of German men, did not, by being exposed to the same average

circumstances as Luther, become what Luther was? But whether we allow

Luther to have been a person with an originally different character from

all others, or whether we hold him to have been the mere puppet of

outside influences, the first step towards discovering how he became what

he was, will be to find out what he was. It will be more easy, and, I am

sorry to say, more common to settle beforehand our theory, and explain by

it such parts of Luther as will fit it; and call those which will not fit

it hard names. History is often so taught, and the method is popular and

lucrative. But we here shall be of opinion, I am sure, that we only can

learn causes through their effects; we can only learn the laws which

produced Luther, by learning Luther himself; by analyzing his whole

character; by gauging all his powers; and that--unless the less can

comprehend the greater--we cannot do till we are more than Luther

himself. I repeat it. None can comprehend a man, unless he be greater

than that man. He must be not merely equal to him, because none can see

in another elements of character which he has not already seen in

himself: he must be greater; because to comprehend him thoroughly, he

must be able to judge the man's failings as well as his excellencies; to

see not only why he did what he did, but why he did not do more: in a

word, he must be nearer than his object is to the ideal man.

And if it be assumed that I am quibbling on the words 'comprehend' and

'greater,' that the observer need be greater only potentially, and not in

act; that all the comprehension required of him, is to have in himself

the germs of other men's faculties, without having developed those germs

in life; I must still stand to my assertion. For such a rejoinder

ignores the most mysterious element of all character, which we call

strength: by virtue of which, of two seemingly similar characters, while

one does nothing, the other shall do great things; while in one the germs

of intellect and virtue remain comparatively embryonic, passive, and

weak, in the other these same germs shall develop into manhood, action,

success. And in what that same strength consists, not even the dramatic

imagination of a Shakespeare could discover. What are those

heart-rending sonnets of his, but the confession that over and above all

his powers he lacked one thing, and knew not what it was, or where to

find it--and that was--to be strong?

And yet he who will give us a science of great men, must begin by having

a larger heart, a keener insight, a more varying human experience, than

Shakespeare's own; while those who offer us a science of little men, and

attempt to explain history and progress by laws drawn from the average of

mankind, are utterly at sea the moment they come in contact with the very

men whose actions make the history, to whose thought the progress is due.

And why? Because (so at least I think) the new science of little men can

be no science at all: because the average man is not the normal man, and

never yet has been; because the great man is rather the normal man, as

approaching more nearly than his fellows to the true 'norma' and standard

of a complete human character; and therefore to pass him by as a mere

irregular sport of nature, an accidental giant with six fingers and six

toes, and to turn to the mob for your theory of humanity, is (I think)

about as wise as to ignore the Apollo and the Theseus, and to determine

the proportions of the human figure from a crowd of dwarfs and cripples.

No, let us not weary ourselves with narrow theories, with hasty

inductions, which will, a century hence, furnish mere matter for a smile.

Let us confine ourselves, at least in the present infantile state of the

anthropologic sciences, to facts; to ascertaining honestly and patiently

the thing which has been done; trusting that if we make ourselves masters

of them, some rays of inductive light will be vouchsafed to us from Him

who truly comprehends mankind, and knows what is in man, because He is

the Son of Man; who has His own true theory of human progress, His own

sound method of educating the human race, perfectly good, and perfectly

wise, and at last, perfectly victorious; which nevertheless, were it

revealed to us to-morrow, we could not understand; for if he who would

comprehend Luther must be more than Luther, what must he be, who would

comprehend God?

Look again, as a result of the disturbing force of genius, at the effects

of great inventions--how unexpected, complex, subtle, all but

miraculous--throwing out alike the path of human history, and the

calculations of the student. If physical discoveries produced only

physical or economic results--if the invention of printing had only

produced more books, and more knowledge--if the invention of gunpowder

had only caused more or less men to be killed--if the invention of the

spinning-jenny had only produced more cotton-stuffs, more employment, and

therefore more human beings,--then their effects would have been, however

complex, more or less subjects of exact computation.

But so strangely interwoven is the physical and spiritual history of man,

that material inventions produce continually the most unexpected

spiritual results. Printing becomes a religious agent, causes not merely

more books, but a Protestant Reformation; then again, through the Jesuit

literature, helps to a Romanist counter-reformation; and by the clashing

of the two, is one of the great causes of the Thirty Years' War, one of

the most disastrous checks which European progress ever suffered.

Gunpowder, again, not content with killing men, becomes unexpectedly a

political agent; 'the villanous saltpetre,' as Ariosto and Shakespeare's

fop complain, 'does to death many a goodly gentleman,' and enables the

masses to cope, for the first time, with knights in armour; thus forming

a most important agent in the rise of the middle classes; while the

spinning-jenny, not content with furnishing facts for the political

economist, and employment for millions, helps to extend slavery in the

United States, and gives rise to moral and political questions, which may

have, ere they be solved, the most painful consequences to one of the

greatest nations on earth.

So far removed is the sequence of human history from any thing which we

can call irresistible or inevitable. Did one dare to deal in epithets,

crooked, wayward, mysterious, incalculable, would be those which would

rather suggest themselves to a man looking steadily not at a few facts

here and there, and not again at some hasty bird's-eye sketch, which he

chooses to call a whole, but at the actual whole, fact by fact, step by

step, and alas! failure by failure, and crime by crime.

Understand me, I beg. I do not wish (Heaven forbid!) to discourage

inductive thought; I do not wish to undervalue exact science. I only ask

that the moral world, which is just as much the domain of inductive

science as the physical one, be not ignored; that the tremendous

difficulties of analyzing its phenomena be fairly faced; and the hope

given up, at least for the present, of forming any exact science of

history; and I wish to warn you off from the too common mistake of trying

to explain the mysteries of the spiritual world by a few roughly defined

physical laws (for too much of our modern thought does little more than

that); and of ignoring as old fashioned, or even superstitious, those

great moral laws of history, which are sanctioned by the experience of

ages.

Foremost among them stands a law which I must insist on, boldly and

perpetually, if I wish (as I do wish) to follow in the footsteps of Sir

James Stephen: a law which man has been trying in all ages, as now, to

deny, or at least to ignore; though he might have seen it if he had

willed, working steadily in all times and nations. And that is--that as

the fruit of righteousness is wealth and peace, strength and honour; the

fruit of unrighteousness is poverty and anarchy, weakness and shame. It

is an ancient doctrine, and yet one ever young. The Hebrew prophets

preached it long ago, in words which are fulfilling themselves around us

every day, and which no new discoveries of science will abrogate, because

they express the great root-law, which disobeyed, science itself cannot

get a hearing.

For not upon mind, gentlemen, not upon mind, but upon morals, is human

welfare founded. The true subjective history of man is the history not

of his thought, but of his conscience; the true objective history of man

is not that of his inventions, but of his vices and his virtues. So far

from morals depending upon thought, thought, I believe, depends on

morals. In proportion as a nation is righteous,--in proportion as common

justice is done between man and man, will thought grow rapidly, securely,

triumphantly; will its discoveries be cheerfully accepted, and faithfully

obeyed, to the welfare of the whole commonweal. But where a nation is

corrupt, that is, where the majority of individuals in it are bad, and

justice is not done between man and man, there thought will wither, and

science will be either crushed by frivolity and sensuality, or abused to

the ends of tyranny, ambition, profligacy, till she herself perishes,

amid the general ruin of all good things; as she had done in Greece, in

Rome, in Spain, in China, and many other lands. Laws of economy, of

polity, of health, of all which makes human life endurable, may be

ignored and trampled under foot, and are too often, every day, for the

sake of present greed, of present passion; self-interest may become, and

will become, more and more blinded, just in proportion as it is not

enlightened by virtue; till a nation may arrive, though, thank God, but

seldom, at that state of frantic recklessness which Salvian describes

among his Roman countrymen in Gaul, when, while the Franks were

thundering at their gates, and starved and half-burnt corpses lay about

the unguarded streets, the remnant, like that in doomed Jerusalem of old,

were drinking, dicing, ravishing, robbing the orphan and the widow,

swindling the poor man out of his plot of ground, and sending meanwhile

to the tottering Caesar at Rome, to ask, not for armies, but for

Circensian games.

We cannot see how science could have bettered those poor Gauls. And we

can conceive, surely, a nation falling into the same madness, and crying

'Let us eat and drink, for to-morrow we die,' in the midst of railroads,

spinning-jennies, electric telegraphs, and crystal palaces, with infinite

blue-books and scientific treatises ready to prove to them, what they

knew perfectly well already, that they were making a very unprofitable

investment, both of money and of time.

For science indeed is great: but she is not the greatest. She is an

instrument, and not a power; beneficent or deadly, according as she is

wielded by the hand of virtue or of vice. But her lawful mistress, the

only one which can use her aright, the only one under whom she can truly

grow, and prosper, and prove her divine descent, is Virtue, the likeness

of Almighty God. This, indeed, the Hebrew Prophets, who knew no science

in one sense of the word, do not expressly say: but it is a corollary

from their doctrine, which we may discover for ourselves, if we will look

at the nations round us now, if we will look at all the nations which

have been. Even Voltaire himself acknowledged that; and when he pointed

to the Chinese as the most prosperous nation upon earth, ascribed their

prosperity uniformly to their virtue. We now know that he was wrong in

fact: for we have discovered that Chinese civilization is one not of

peace and plenty, but of anarchy and wretchedness. But that fact only

goes to corroborate the belief, which (strange juxtaposition!) was common

to Voltaire and the old Hebrew Prophets at whom he scoffed, namely, that

virtue is wealth, and vice is ruin. For we have found that these

Chinese, the ruling classes of them at least, are an especially

unrighteous people; rotting upon the rotting remnants of the wisdom and

virtue of their forefathers, which now live only on their lips in flowery

maxims about justice and mercy and truth, as a cloak for practical

hypocrisy and villany; and we have discovered also, as a patent fact,

just what the Hebrew Prophets would have foretold us--that the miseries

and horrors which are now destroying the Chinese Empire, are the direct

and organic results of the moral profligacy of its inhabitants.

I know no modern nation, moreover, which illustrates so forcibly as China

the great historic law which the Hebrew Prophets proclaim; and that is

this:--That as the prosperity of a nation is the correlative of their

morals, so are their morals the correlative of their theology. As a

people behaves, so it thrives; as it believes, so it behaves. Such as

his Gods are, such will the man be; down to that lowest point which too

many of the Chinese seem to have reached, where, having no Gods, he

himself becomes no man; but (as I hear you see him at the Australian

diggings) abhorred for his foul crimes even by the scum of Europe.

I do not say that the theology always produces the morals, any more than

that the morals always produce the theology. Each is, I think,

alternately cause and effect. Men make the Gods in their own likeness;

then they copy the likeness they have set up. But whichever be cause,

and whichever effect, the law, I believe, stands true, that on the two

together depends the physical welfare of a people. History gives us many

examples, in which superstition, many again in which profligacy, have

been the patent cause of a nation's deoradation. It does not, as far as

I am aware, give us a single case of a nation's thriving and developing

when deeply infected with either of those two vices.

These, the broad and simple laws of moral retribution, we may see in

history; and (I hope) something more than them; something of a general

method, something of an upward progress, though any thing but an

irresistible or inevitable one. For I have not argued that there is no

order, no progress--God forbid. Were there no order to be found, what

could the student with a man's reason in him do, but in due time go

mad?--Were there no progress, what could the student with a man's heart

within him do, but in due time break his heart, over the sight of a chaos

of folly and misery irredeemable?--I only argue that the order and the

progress of human history cannot be similar to those which govern

irrational beings, and cannot (without extreme danger) be described by

metaphors (for they are nothing stronger) drawn from physical science. If

there be an order, a progress, they must be moral; fit for the guidance

of moral beings; limited by the obedience which those moral beings pay to

what they know.

And such an order, such a progress as that, I have good hope that we

shall find in history.

We shall find, as I believe, in all the ages, God educating man;

protecting him till he can go alone, furnishing him with the primary

necessaries, teaching him, guiding him, inspiring him, as we should do to

our children; bearing with him, and forgiving him too, again and again,

as we should do: but teaching him withal (as we shall do if we be wise)

in great part by his own experience, making him test for himself, even by

failure and pain, the truth of the laws which have been given him;

discover for himself, as much as possible, fresh laws, or fresh

applications of laws; and exercising his will and faculties, by trusting

him to himself wherever he can be trusted without his final destruction.

This is my conception of history, especially of Modern History--of

history since the Revelation of our Lord Jesus Christ. I express myself

feebly enough, I know. And even could I express what I mean perfectly,

it would still be but a partial analogy, not to be pushed into details.

As I said just now, were the true law of human progress revealed to us to-

morrow, we could not understand it.

For suppose that the theory were true, which Dr. Temple of Rugby has

lately put into such noble words: suppose that, as he says, 'The power

whereby the present ever gathers into itself the results of the past,

transforms the human race into a colossal man, whose life reaches from

the creation to the day of judgment. The successive generations of men,

are days in this man's life. The discoveries and inventions which

characterize the different epochs of the world, are this man's works. The

creeds and doctrines, the opinions and principles of the successive ages,

are his thoughts. The state of society at different times, are his

manners. He grows in knowledge, in self-control, in visible size, just

as we do.' Suppose all this; and suppose too, that God is educating this

his colossal child, as we educate our own children; it will hardly follow

from thence that his education would be, as Dr. Temple says it is,

precisely similar to ours.

Analogous it may be, but not precisely similar; and for this reason: That

the collective man, in the theory, must be infinitely more complex in his

organization than the individuals of which he is composed. While between

the educator of the one and of the other, there is simply the difference

between a man and God. How much more complex then must his education be!

how all-inscrutable to human minds much in it!--often as inscrutable as

would our training of our children seem to the bird brooding over her

young ones in the nest. The parental relations in all three cases may

be--the Scriptures say that they are--expansions of the same great law;

the key to all history may be contained in those great words--'How often

would I have gathered thy children as a hen gathereth her chickens under

her wings.' Yet even there the analogy stops short--'but thou wouldest

not' expresses a new element, which has no place in the training of the

nestling by the dam, though it has place in our training of our children;

even that self-will, that power of disobedience, which is the dark side

of man's prerogative as a rational and self-cultivating being. Here that

analogy fails, as we should have expected it to do; and in a hundred

other points it fails, or rather transcends so utterly its original type,

that mankind seems, at moments, the mere puppet of those laws of natural

selection, and competition of species, of which we have heard so much of

late; and, to give a single instance, the seeming waste, of human

thought, of human agony, of human power, seems but another instance of

that inscrutable prodigality of nature, by which, of a thousand acorns

dropping to the ground, but one shall become the thing it can become, and

grow into a builder oak, the rest be craunched up by the nearest swine.

Yet these dark passages of human life may be only necessary elements of

the complex education of our race; and as much mercy under a fearful

shape, as ours when we put the child we love under the surgeon's knife.

At least we may believe so; believe that they have a moral end, though

that end be unseen by us; and without any rash or narrow prying into

final causes (a trick as fatal to historic research as Bacon said it was

to science), we may justify God by faith, where we cannot justify Him by

experience.

Surely this will be the philosophic method. If we seem to ourselves to

have discovered a law, we do not throw it away the moment we find

phaenomena which will not be explained by it. We use those phaenomena to

correct and to expand our law. And this belief that History is 'God

educating man,' is no mere hypothesis; it results from the observation of

thousands of minds, throughout thousands of years. It has long seemed--I

trust it will seem still--the best explanation of the strange deeds of

that strange being, man: and where we find in history facts which seem to

contradict it, we shall not cast away rashly or angrily either it or

them: but if we be Bacon's true disciples, we shall use them patiently

and reverently to correct and expand our notions of the law itself, and

rise thereby to more deep and just conceptions of education, of man,

and--it may be--of God Himself.

In proportion as we look at history thus; searching for effective, rather

than final causes, and content to see God working everywhere, without

impertinently demanding of Him a reason for His deeds, we shall study in

a frame of mind equally removed from superstition on the one hand, and

necessitarianism on the other. We shall not be afraid to confess natural

agencies: but neither shall we be afraid to confess those supernatural

causes which underlie all existence, save God's alone.

We shall talk of more than of an over-ruling Providence. That such

exists, will seem to us a patent fact. But it will seem to us somewhat

Manichaean to believe that the world is ill made, mankind a failure, and

that all God has to do with them, is to set them right here and there,

when they go intolerably wrong. We shall believe not merely in an over-

ruling Providence, but (if I may dare to coin a word) in an under-ruling

one, which has fixed for mankind eternal laws of life, health, growth,

both physical and spiritual; in an around-ruling Providence, likewise, by

which circumstances, that which stands around a man, are perpetually

arranged, it may be, are fore-ordained, so that each law shall have at

least an opportunity of taking effect on the right person, in the right

time and place; and in an in-ruling Providence. too, from whose

inspiration comes all true thought, all right feeling; from whom, we must

believe, man alone of all living things known to us inherits that

mysterious faculty of perceiving the law beneath the phaenomena, by

virtue of which he is a _man_.

But we can hold all this, surely, and equally hold all which natural

science may teach us. Hold what natural science teaches? We shall not

dare not to hold it. It will be sacred in our eyes. All light which

science, political, economic, physiological, or other, can throw upon the

past, will be welcomed by us, as coming from the Author of all light. To

ignore it, even to receive it suspiciously and grudgingly, we shall feel

to be a sin against Him. We shall dread no 'inroads of materialism;'

because we shall be standing upon that spiritual ground which

underlies--ay, causes--the material. All discoveries of science, whether

political or economic, whether laws of health or laws of climate, will be

accepted trustfully and cheerfully. And when we meet with such startling

speculations as those on the influence of climate, soil, scenery on

national character, which have lately excited so much controversy, we

shall welcome them at first sight, just because they give us hope of

order where we had seen only disorder, law where we fancied chance: we

shall verify them patiently; correct them if they need correction; and if

proven, believe that they have worked, and still work, [Greek text], as

factors in the great method of Him who has appointed to all nations their

times, and the bounds of their habitation, if haply they might feel after

Him, and find Him: though He be not far from any one of them; for in Him

we live, and move, and have our being, and are the offspring of God

Himself.

I thus end what it seemed to me proper to say in this, my Inaugural

Lecture; thanking you much for the patience with which you have heard me:

and if I have in it too often spoken of myself, and my own opinions, I

can only answer that it is a fault which has been forced on me by my

position, and which will not occur again. It seemed to me that some sort

of statement of my belief was necessary, if only from respect to a

University from which I have been long separated, and to return to which

is to me a high honour and a deep pleasure; and I cannot but be aware (it

is best to be honest) that there exists a prejudice against me in the

minds of better men than I am, on account of certain early writings of

mine. That prejudice, I trust, with God's help, I shall be able to

dissipate. At least whatever I shall fail in doing, this University will

find that I shall do one thing; and that is, obey the Apostolic precept,

'Study to be quiet, and to do your own business.'

Footnotes:

{1} Grimm, Grammatik, ii. p. 516.

{2} See Grimm, Grammatik, (2nd edit.) vol. i. p. 108; vol. ii. p. 581.

{3} Lectures on the Science of Language, vol. ii. p. 232.

{4} Forstemann mentions a Latin inscription of the third century found

near Wiesbaden with the Dative Toutiorigi.

{5} German classics, by M. M. p. 12.

{6} Anonym. Valesian. ad calcem Ann. Marcellin. p. 722. Gibbon, cap.

xxxix; now known, through Mommsen, as the Annals of Ravenna.

{7} Grimm thinks that Charle-maigne and Charlemagne were originally

corruptions of Karlo-man, and were interpreted later as Carolus magnus.

Grimm, Grammatik, ii. 462; iii. 320.

{8} Weber, Lehrbuch der Weltgeschichte, section 245: 'Bei Verona von

Theoderich (daher Dietrich von Bern) besiegt, barg sich Odoaker hinter

die Mauern von Ravenna.' It is much more objectionable when Simrock in

his translation of the Edda renders Thjodrekr by Dietrich, though he

retains Theodolf and similar names. But it shows at the same time the

wide popularity of that name.

{9} Grimm, Heldensage, p. 344.

{10} Gibbon, chap. xxxix. sub fin.

{11} Otto von Freising, in the first half of the twelfth century

(Chronicon 5, 3), takes the opposite view, and thinks the fable derived

from history: 'Ob ea non multis post diebus, xxx imperii sui anno,

subitanea morte rapitur ac juxta beati Gregorii dialogum (4, 36) a Joanne

et Symmacho in Aetnam praecipitatus, a quodam homine Dei cernitur. Hinc

puto fabulam illam traductam, qua vulgo dicitur: _Theodoricus vivus equo

sedens ad inferos descendit_.

{12} Grimm, Deutsche Heldensage, p. 36. Chronicon Urspergense, 85a:

Haec Jordanis quidam grammaticus, ex eorundem stirpe Gothorum progenitus,

de Getarum origine et Amalorum nobilitate non omnia, quae de eis

scribuntur et referuntur, ut ipse dicit, complexus exaravit, sed brevius

pro rerum notitia huic opusculo inseruimus. His perlectis diligenterque

perspectis perpendat, qui discernere noverit, quomodo illud ratum

teneatur, quod non solum _vulgarifabulatione_ et _cantilenarum

modulatione_ usitatur, verum etiam in _quibusdam chronicis_ annotatur;

scilicet quod _Hermenricus_ tempore Martiani principis super omnes Gothos

regnaverit, et _Theodoricum Dietmari filium_, _patruelem_ suum, ut

dicunt, _instimulante Odoacre_, item, ut ajunt, _patruele suo de Verona

pulsum_, apud _Attilam Hunorum regem exulare coegerit_, cum

historiographus narret, Ermenricum regem Gothorum multis regibus

dominantem tempore Valentiniani et Valentis fratrum regnasse et a _duobus

fratribus Saro_ et _Ammio_, quos conjicimus eos fuisse, qui _vulgariter

Sarelo et Hamidiecus_ dicuntur, vulneratum in primordio egressionis

Hunorum per Maeotidem paludem, quibus rex fuit Valamber, tam vulneris

quam Hunorum irruptionis dolore defunctum fuisse, Attilam vero postea

ultra LXX annos sub Martiano et Valentiniano cum Romanis et Wisigothis

Aetioque duce Romanorum pugnasse et sub eisdem principibus regno vitaque

decessisse. . . . Hinc rerum diligens inspector perpendat, quomodo

_Ermenricus Theodoricum Dietmari filium apud Attilam exulare coegerit_,

cum juxta hunc historiographum contemporalis ejus non fuit. Igitur aut

hic falsa conscripsit, aut _vulgaris opinio fallitur_ et _fallit_, aut

alius Ermenricus et alms Theodoricus dandi sunt Attilae contemporanei, in

quibus hujus modi rerum convenientia rata possit haberi. Hic enim

Ermenricus longe ante Attilam legitur defunctus.

{13} Chronicon, 5, 3: Quod autem rursum narrant, eum Hermanarico

Attilaeque contemporaneum fuisse, omnino stare non potest, dum Attilam

longe post Hermanaricum constat exercuisse tyrannidem istumque post

mortem Attilae octennem a patre obsidem Leoni Augusto traditum.

{14} Chronicon, 16, 481: Quod autem quidam dicunt, ipsum Theodoricum

fuisse Hermenrico Veronensi et Attilae contemporaneum, non est verum.

Constat enim Attilam longe post Hermenricum fuisse Theodoricum etiam

longe post mortem Attilae, quum esset puer octennis, Leoni imperatori in

obsidem datum fuisse.

{19} The early romancers, and especially Achilles Tatius, give pictures

of Roman praedial slavery too painful to quote. Roman domestic slavery

is not to be described by the pen of an Englishman. And I must express

my sorrow, that in the face of such notorious facts, some have of late

tried to prove American slavery to be as bad as, or even worse than, that

of Rome. God forbid! Whatsoever may have been the sins of the Southern

gentleman, he is at least a Teuton, and not a Roman; a whole moral heaven

above the effeminate wretch, who in the 4th and 5th centuries called

himself a senator and a clarissimus.

{101} Dr. Sheppard, p. 297.

{109} Had he actually taken the name of Theodoric, Theuderic, Dietrich,

which signifies much the same thing as 'King of nations'?

{158} With west-countrymen, to 'scrattle' still means to scramble, or

shuffle about.

{162} English Language, vol. i. p. 200.

{214} Cf. Montalembert. 'Moines d'Occident.'

{279} Sismondi _Hist. de la Chute de l'Empire Romain_, p. 187.

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