THE FUTURE OF AFRICA.

It is impossible to prophesy the future of any country, much less that

of Africa, where the physical features have left so marked an

impression upon its inhabitants, and where the animal life is so

different from that of the other continents. It is rather by

differentiating Africa from other countries that we obtain any data

from which to form an opinion of its future.

Africa, as we have seen, is surrounded by a fringe of European

settlements. What effect will these settlements have upon Africa? Will

the European population penetrate the interior, and colonize Africa?

Will it subjugate or expel the Africans, or will they fade away like

the Indians of our country? If colonization by Europeans fail, will the

African remain the sole inhabitant of the country as barbarian or

civilized?

Egypt is now controlled by the English, but its climate is too

unhealthy, and its surrounding too unfavorable, for Englishmen; and we

may safely assume that their occupation will be temporary, or, if

permanent, not as colonists. They will remain, as in India, foreigners

and rulers, until the subjugated people rise in their power and expel

them, and return to their old life. The English rule, though possibly

beneficial to Egypt, is hated by the natives, who demand Egypt for the

Egyptians.

Leaving Egypt, we pass an uninhabitable coast, until we come to the

French colonies of Algiers. It is nearly sixty years since the French

took possession of Algiers. There has been a large emigration from

France; but the climate, while excellent as a winter climate for

invalids and others, is unfavorable for a permanent habitation,

especially for infants. The births in one year have never equalled the

deaths. When Algeria was first conquered by the French, it was a

wilderness, but is now a garden. The cultivation of the grape has been

most successful, and extensive iron-mines have been opened. The French

are gradually pushing their way from Algiers across the desert to

Timbuctu, and also from Senegambia to Timbuctu. The expense of

maintaining Algeria has greatly exceeded any revenue derived from it.

Though many doubt the political wisdom of retaining it, yet the French

have too much pride to acknowledge that the enterprise has been in any

way a failure; and they will undoubtedly hold it, and perhaps found an

empire. Senegambia and the coast of Guinea, claimed by the French and

English, are low and moist, filled with swamps and lagoons, which will

prevent any European colonization.

South of the Kongo, the Portuguese claim a wide section of country

running across Africa. They have occupied this country over two hundred

years. They have done little towards colonizing, and only hold a few

trading-posts on the coast and in the interior, dealing principally in

slaves, ivory, and gold; and it may well be doubted whether they have

the stamina or ability to colonize this country, or to produce any

permanent impression upon it.

The south portion of Africa, from the 18th parallel on the Atlantic to

the 26th parallel on the Indian Ocean, is generally fertile; and the

climate is favorable to Europeans, and is capable of sustaining a large

population. The growth of Cape Colony has been very slow, but a more

rapid growth is anticipated. We believe it will be permanently occupied

by the English, who will dispossess the aborigines, and form a great

and permanent English State. The coast of Zanzibar, occupied by the

Germans and English, is rich and fertile, the climate unhealthy; but

when the mountain-ranges are crossed, and the elevated plateaus and

lake regions are reached, the interior resembles the Kongo region.

Massaua and Suakin, on the Red Sea, are unhealthy and worthless, unless

connected by railroad with the upper Nile.

There remains equatorial Africa, including the French settlements on

the Ogowe, the region about Lake Chad, the Kongo and its tributaries,

and the lake region. The more we learn of equatorial Africa, the

greater its natural advantages appear to be. The rivers open up the

country in a favorable manner for trade and settlement. Its elevation

from 2,000 to 3,000 feet will render it healthy, though this elevation

is only equal to from ten degrees to fourteen degrees of north

latitude. Here all the fruits of the torrid zone, the fruits and most

of the grains of the temperate zone, cotton, India-rubber, and

sugar-cane, are found.

The country has been unhealthy, a great many Europeans have died, and

few have been able to remain more than two or three years without

returning to Europe to recuperate. These facts seem to show that the

climate is not healthy for Europeans. But the mortality has been much

greater than it will be when the country is settled and the unhealthy

stations have been exchanged for healthier localities. Every new

country has its peculiar dangers, which must be discovered. When these

obstacles are understood and overcome, Europeans will probably occupy

all this region, and it will become a European colony.

If European colonization is successful, European civilization will come

into contact with African barbarism. Where such a contest is carried on

in a country where the climate is equally favorable to the two races,

it can only result in the subjugation or destruction of the inferior

race. If the climate is unfavorable to the white population, then,

unless the inferior is subjected to the superior, the white population

will fail in colonizing the country, and the Negro will either slowly

emerge from barbarism, or return to his original condition.

The Negro has never developed any high degree of civilization; and even

if, when brought into contact with civilization, he has made

considerable progress, when that contact ceased he has deteriorated

into barbarism. But, on the other hand, he has never faded away and

disappeared, like the Indian of America and the natives of the Southern

Archipelago.

Nature has spread a bountiful and never-ending harvest before the

Negro, and given to him a climate where neither labor of body or mind,

neither clothing nor a house, is essential to his comfort. All nature

invites to an idle life; and it is only through compulsion, and contact

with a life from without, that his condition can be improved.

In Africa a contest is going on between civilization and barbarism,

Christianity and Mohammedanism, freedom and slavery, such as the world

has never seen. Who can fail to be interested in the results of this

conflict? We know that Africa is capable of the very highest

civilization, for it was the birthplace of all civilization. To it we

are indebted for the origin of all our arts and sciences, and it

possesses to-day the most wonderful works of man. Let us hope that

Africa, whose morning was so bright, and whose night has been so dark,

will yet live to see the light of another and higher civilization.

[Illustration: APPROPRIATION OF AFRICA BY EUROPEANS. 1. British. 2.

French. 3. German. 4. Spanish. 5. Italian. 6. Portuguese. 7. Kongo Free

State. 8. Liberia. 9. South African and Orange Free States.]

The National Geographic Magazine, Vol. I., No. 2, April, 1889 · 第 24 / 46 题