THE LIMITS OF GOVERNMENTAL SPENDING 105
Can the State earn revenue by trade enterprise?--Fabian
scheme--Imperial Committee’s proposal--Adverse
experiences--Limits to taxation--Willingness
of taxpayers essential.
OUR MONEY AND THE STATE
CHAPTER I
THE OBJECTS OF GOVERNMENTAL SPENDING
[Sidenote: THE STATE’S CLAIM]
Why does the Government take our money? Because government costs money,
and cannot be had without it. Taxation is the price that we pay for
government and protection. Most of us do not want, or need, to be
governed ourselves. Respect for law, or for the duties and customs that
law embodies, is so engrained in us by centuries of tradition, that the
presence of the policeman on his beat is a fact that never influences
our conduct. But if we do not need to be governed ourselves, we very
much need other people to be governed and prevented from attacking
us or our belongings. Protection of our persons and property, from
home and foreign foes, is the first and most important business of
government; and the chief reason that it can give if we ask it “Why
should we pay taxes?” is this: “Because, if you don’t, you will be in
danger of losing everything that you have got.”
Government does so much in these days besides its first elementary task
of protecting us from one another and from outward foes, that we are
apt to forget that this is its original business. But as the point is
very important, as we shall see later, it is well to get it fixed into
our heads by reading the plain words in which it is set forth by John
Locke. In Chapter I of his _Essay concerning the True Original Extent
and End of Civil Government_ he says:
“Political Power then I take to be a Right of making Laws with
Penalties of Death, and consequently all less Penalties, for the
regulating and preserving of Property, and of employing the Force
of the Community in the Execution of such Laws, and in the Defence
of the Commonwealth from Foreign Injury, and all this only for the
Publick Good.”
In Chapter VIII of the same Essay we find:
“The only Way whereby any one divests himself of his natural Liberty
and puts on the Bonds of civil Society, is by agreeing with other men
to join and unite into a Community, for their comfortable, safe, and
peaceable living amongst one another, in a secure Enjoyment of their
Properties, and a greater Security against any that are not of it.”
And in Chapter IX the matter is summed up thus:
“The great and _chief End_ therefore, of Mens uniting into
Commonwealths and putting themselves under Government, _is the
Preservation of their Property_.”
Locke did not leave the object of government on this merely
businesslike foundation. He did not really mean that we only submit to
being governed in order that we may grow rich and fat and enjoy our
riches without fear of burglars or marauding foes. He says in another
passage that the End of Government is the Good of Mankind. This is a
more inspiring ideal, but we shall all acknowledge that it cannot be
secured unless man’s material wants are satisfied, and that as society
is at present constituted, this cannot be done unless property is
protected. Some day mankind will perhaps grow into a race of beings
who will work for the pleasure of working, and not mind who takes and
uses the stuff that they make and grow. There are already many more of
such people than old-fashioned economists admit. But in considering
present-day problems, we have to take human nature as it is, and
nations cannot at present increase their wealth, and so their power to
secure the Good of Mankind, unless those who increase it are secured in
the enjoyment of it.
Protection of the property of the citizens being thus the original,
and still a very important, duty of the State, it follows that the
State, in order to carry it out, can make any claims that it pleases
on the services and property of the citizens. The State, as Professor
Bastable tells us, “is entitled to claim all the services and property
of its subjects for the accomplishment of whatever aims it prescribes
to itself. When stated in so rigid a form,” he adds, “the proposition
is likely to awaken dissent, and yet, from the strictly legal and
administrative point of view, it is a commonplace since the time of
Austin.”[1] (Austin was a great authority on law, who lived and wrote
in the first half of the nineteenth century.) It is true enough, as
Professor Bastable suggests, that the average British paterfamilias may
be startled into an indignant denial of the great law that the State
has a right to take all his work and all his goods. But a few moments’
thought would convince him that the proposition is quite sound in
logic, since the State cannot do its business if all the citizens are
to be able to decide how much, or how little, they are to give, in work
or in goods, to its support; and he would also comfort himself with the
reflection that, however logical be this power of the State, it cannot
be exercised beyond a certain point. On paper, the State may be able
to set us all to work for it, but it cannot make us work hard or well
unless we are willing to do so. On paper, the State may be able to take
all our property, but if it did, then it would not be worth any one’s
while to get property. The citizens would cease to accumulate property,
that is, to leave the world richer than they found it. Either the State
would have to accumulate on its own account, which it could only do if
the citizens were willing to work for it, or it would find that it had
come to a standstill.
[Sidenote: TAXPAYERS’ STRIKE]
Professor Bastable’s proposition, though absolutely true as a
principle, is thus modified by the very real power of the citizen
to refuse to produce either the work or the property that the State
has the power to take. This power of the overtaxed citizen to strike
effectively against taxation is no fanciful suggestion of what might
possibly happen. It has happened. Under the Roman Empire taxation was
enormously heavy, for the support of the Army, the Imperial Court, and
“the great number of clerks made necessary by the bureaucratic form of
government.” It was also extremely oppressive, since the senatorial
class, the Army, Professors of Rhetoric, and the Clergy, were largely
freed from it, and so the whole burden fell on the curials, that is,
owners of twenty-five acres of land, or its equivalent.
“When the curials were bankrupt and could no longer pay the taxes,
they attempted in every way to escape from their class. Some of them
succeeded in rising into the senatorial ranks; many of them deserted
their lands and became slaves, or entered the Army or the Church. The
Emperors, trying to prevent this, often seized the curial who had run
away and compelled him to take up his old burden again.”[2]
[Sidenote: GOOD TAXATION PAYS]
This fact, of the taxpayers’ power to strike, is very relevant to
modern problems of finance, because it may come into play long before
there is any question of the State’s taking the whole of our goods. As
soon as the pressure of taxation begins to be heavy, the danger has
to be ever present in the mind of the statesman who is responsible,
that he may, by his present exactions, be preventing the future growth
of the country’s wealth, and so making the task of his successors
difficult, if not impossible. Taxation that is resented, beyond a
certain point, will be evaded or avoided. The tax-gatherer can only
work to his own satisfaction if he carries the sense of the taxpayers
with him. Hence it is of the utmost importance, not only that our
rulers should tax well, but that the citizens should understand about
taxation, recognize it as good when it is good, and pay it cheerfully
when it is equitable and well distributed.
“All taxes are confiscation,” said Mr. Joseph Hume in the House of
Commons in 1833.[3] In the original sense of the word confiscation,
which meant “putting into the Treasury,” this is clearly a platitude.
But as it now is generally taken to mean an arbitrary appropriation,
these words sum up a fallacy about taxation which has to be exorcised
and expelled before the fiscal arrangements of any nation can be
comfortable either for the taxer or the taxed. In fact, taxation is,
or ought to be, the process by which the State takes money from us,
in proportion to our ability to pay, to spend on the defense of our
property from home or foreign enemies, on the defense of the national
honor, if need be, on the increase of the material and other resources
of the country, and on the public health.
If this be a true description of taxation, taxation is a process to
which we must all submit gladly. All the objects for which the money
so taken from us, with one exception, will literally pay us, if they
are carried out. That exception is the defense of the national honor,
and he would be a craven skinflint who would grudge money well spent on
that. Defense of our property clearly pays us. So does the increase of
the country’s resources, because it will make the burden of taxation
lighter. If our particular income does not increase, but that of others
does, and if taxation is taken in proportion to our ability to pay, we
shall have to pay less in proportion. Public health pays us because
it lessens infectious and contagious disease, and so keeps down our
doctors’ bills.
But if this description of taxation be untrue, it is our business to
make it true, and this can only be done if everybody gives careful
thought to the matter, so that if our rulers make mistakes, there shall
be a strong body of well-informed opinion to criticize and correct
them; and also so that we may learn that it is not the object of every
citizen to pay as little in taxes as possible, because if that spirit
is abroad, the fiscal machinery of the country will never run smoothly
and well; we have to learn to judge whether taxes are fair from the
point of view of the nation as a whole, and when we recognize them as
fair, to pay them gladly and readily. In time of war this readiness to
pay is produced, sometimes, by patriotic enthusiasm. In the early days
of the present war, taxpayers wrote to the British Chancellor of the
Exchequer expressing the pleasure with which they paid income tax. If
we could be sure that money taken in taxes was taken fairly, and used
well for the national benefit, that pleasure ought at all times to be
present when we pay it.
It has been said that a nation gets the Government that it deserves,
and Public Finance is certainly a department in which the pressure
of enlightened public opinion can do much. But we shall never learn
to get our Public Finance on a sound and businesslike basis until we
understand our own domestic expenditure better. When we recognize the
responsibility that is attached to the use of our own money, we shall
be able to begin to see that our rulers make good use of the money of
the nation. As long as there is a common tendency among the citizens
to waste their incomes on fripperies and vulgarities in obedience
to fashion and convention, and to invest their savings in wild-cat
speculations in the hope of getting wealth without trouble, we need
not expect the national finances to be as well husbanded as they might
be. The sum of the national wisdom, in finance as in other things, may
be a little greater than the aggregate wisdom of all the citizens, but
cannot lead it by much.
Going back to our description of what taxation is, or ought to be, we
see at once that even if every one were to agree to it as stated, there
are several expressions in it about which agreement is not likely
to be reached as long as the present framework of society stands. In
the first place, the question of ability to pay is full of pitfalls
and difficulties which will be discussed in a later chapter. First of
all, we have to try to get something like a clear conclusion about the
objects on which the State is entitled to spend our money, when it has
taken it, and on this there has been, is, and always will be, a good
deal of divergence of opinion. As stated above, and with reservations
and restrictions to be noted later, I venture to think that, in these
days, most taxpayers would give at least a hesitating and guarded
consent to the scope of State expenditure. But there was a time when
it would have been thought to be much too wide, and many people now
will think it much too narrow. The _via media_ is a dull and unromantic
path, but it has a certain safety.
[Sidenote: HERBERT SPENCER’S VIEW]
Herbert Spencer may be taken as an extreme example of those who would
limit the spending of the State. To him it seemed that the State
should spend nothing except on public justice and defense. He was the
uncompromising apostle of personal freedom, and he believed that only
through it could progress and development, of the individual and of
the nation, best be achieved. He had an unconquerable objection to
anything like discipline or government, so strong that, when a lad of
thirteen, he walked home from Bath to Derby rather than stay at school.
He walked forty-eight miles in one day, forty-seven on the second, and
twenty-five on the third, without sleep, and with very little food.[4]
In his youth he did not even admit that the Government should spend
money on external defense. Either he believed that a mercenary army and
navy, hired by private subscription, would suffice to keep out enemies,
or else he took the extreme pacifist view that an unarmed nation need
not fear attack. But, in his later years, he abandoned this view, and
admitted national defense as a proper object of government expenditure.
He still, however, thought that the Postal Service would have been
much more cheaply and efficiently managed if it had been left to
private enterprise, which is quite possibly true, though it is hardly
likely that postal facilities would have been so well distributed.
He “advanced the doctrine that, as we trust the grocer to furnish us
with pounds of tea, and the baker to send us loaves of bread, so we
might trust Heaton & Sons or some of the other enterprising firms of
Birmingham to supply us with sovereigns and shillings at their own risk
and profit.”[5] He even contended that sanitation was not a proper
object of collective activity, and records with obvious pleasure how
the early efforts at drainage, being defective, sometimes produced
disease. It need not be said that education was a matter which every
citizen should, and could best, provide for himself or his children. He
is never tired of laughing at our belief in the power of the State to
do anything.
“Conceiving [he says], the State-agency, as though it were something
more than a cluster of men (a few clever, many ordinary, and some
decidedly stupid), we ascribe to it marvellous powers of doing
multitudinous things which men otherwise clustered are unable to do.
We petition it to procure for us in some way which we do not doubt
it can find, benefits of all orders; and pray it with unfaltering
faith to secure us from every fresh evil. Time after time our hopes
are balked. The good is not obtained, or something bad comes along
with it; the evil is not cured, or some other evil as great or
greater is produced.... This emotion which is excited by the forms
of governmental power, and makes governmental power possible, is the
root of a faith that springs up afresh however often cut down. To see
how little the perennial confidence it generates is diminished by
perennial disappointment, we need but remind ourselves of a few State
performances in the chief State Departments.”[6]
He then proceeds to give several examples of administrative ineptitude,
the most tragical and absurd, perhaps, of which was the fact that it
took two centuries (1593 to 1795) for the British Admiralty to adopt
the use of lemon-juice as a protection for the crews of its warships
against scurvy.
“And what [he asks] has been the effect of this amazing perversity
of officialism? The mortality from scurvy during this long period
had exceeded the mortality by battles, wrecks, and all casualties of
sea-life put together!”
Such an example of a waste of gallant lives by the imperviousness
of the official mind to new ideas goes a long way towards proving
Spencer’s contention that Governments, or some Governments, are not as
capable as private individuals or companies of doing anything which
can, on other grounds, be left to the latter. And we need not turn back
over the pages of ancient history to find such examples of departmental
fatuity. During this very war there have been plenty of them in England,
though we may hope that loss of the lives of her fighters has not been
thus criminally involved.
[Sidenote: THE OTHER SIDE]
But when all this is admitted, there are still several things to be
said on the other side of the question. A nation in which governmental
action has long been restricted and resented must not complain too
loudly if the Government, when it is suddenly told to do things, does
them badly. In countries where a trained bureaucracy has long been
encouraged to do much, its efforts are likely to compare better with
those of private enterprise. The efficiency of the German governmental
machine is probably much exaggerated; but any one who travelled on
the German State-owned railways had no reason to complain of their
comfort or of their punctuality. In those respects they seemed to
me, from a certainly very limited experience, to compare well with
England’s much-vaunted railway system, which, in some respects,
was unquestionably a disgrace to private enterprise. Any one who
travelled much on Sundays on the suburban lines of England’s leading
railways cannot have failed to marvel at the utter contempt for
public convenience with which they conducted their service. They
stimulated the public desire to travel by cheap tickets--I am speaking,
of course, of days before the war--but made no attempt to provide
accommodation for it; a few slow trains, disgracefully unpunctual
and more disgracefully overcrowded, were the only means afforded to
jaded Londoners who sought for a few hours of fresh air on the day of
rest. Why the public submitted to it was a mystery. If the railways
had then been in the hands of the Government there would have been a
clamorous outcry against mismanagement by jacks-in-office. As it was
companies--“with nobody to be kicked, or soul to be damned”--that
were at fault, there was never a murmur. In America, that other home
of individual enterprise, the unpunctuality of the railroads is often
astonishing. I once travelled--it is some years ago--from Pittsburg
to New York on Christmas Eve. The locomotive was attacked by a malady
called “hot box” and the train was four hours late. It was full of
unfortunate holiday-makers who had connections to make in New York, so
as to get home in time for the Christmas gathering, but they all seemed
to accept it as something in the nature of things, and not a matter
that called for protest or complaint.
We had better admit that in this half-baked world of ours, in which
progress is only at the beginning of its journey, and man is only just
beginning to learn the use of his powers over Nature, not many things
are yet very well done either by Governments or by private enterprise,
and the only way for them to get done better is by every one of us
trying to do his own little job just as well as ever he can. In some
countries Governments do things better than anybody else. In others, it
is otherwise. In England it is safe to say that Government has not yet
distinguished itself as a practical worker. It has done great things in
the war, but chiefly with the help of men who came in from outside; and
whether the public’s experience of governmental activity during the war
will, or will not, encourage it to give Government more to do when the
war is over, is a very open question.
[Sidenote: HUXLEY ON SPENCER]
Moreover, even if Herbert Spencer’s view of the ineptitude of
governmental action were as completely proved as he believed, there are
still some things which have to be done by a public authority, as even
he would probably have admitted if he had lived to this day. His notion
of private companies competing for the business of draining towns,
and only cleansing those neighborhoods in which they could get enough
customers to make it worth their while, is now commonly recognized as
a fantastic example of overdriving a principle. Huxley, in his great
_Essay on Administrative Nihilism_, attacks the Spencerian position in
the following well known passage:
“Suppose, however, for the sake of argument, that we accept the
proposition that the functions of the State may be properly summed
up in the one great negative commandment, ‘Thou shalt not allow any
man to interfere with the liberty of any other man’--I am unable
to see that the logical consequence is any such restriction of the
power of Government as its supporters imply. If my next-door-neighbor
chooses to have his drains in such a state as to create a poisonous
atmosphere, which I breathe at the risk of typhus and diphtheria, he
restricts my just freedom to live just as much as if he went about
with a pistol, threatening my life; if he is to be allowed to let
his children go unvaccinated, he might as well be allowed to leave
strychnine lozenges about in the way of mine; and if he brings them
up untaught and untrained to earn their living, he is doing his best
to restrict my freedom, by increasing the burden of taxation for the
support of gaols and workhouses, which I have to pay.”[7]
Since the days when these two giants threw mountains of arguments at
one another, it need not be said that Huxley’s view has prevailed, and
more than prevailed. It has wiped out the Spencerian doctrine, and it
has been carried to lengths which Huxley himself might well consider
absurd if he were still alive. The popular cry in England is now for
the Government to do everything. An extraordinary example, as it
happens, is chronicled in the paper of this day on which I am writing,
Sunday, February 18th, 1917. To-day’s _Observer_ records how--
“at a meeting of the Southend Townsmen’s Association it was
suggested that the Minister of Labor should be asked to encourage the
production of food by the closing of the churches on Sunday morning,
and so enabling a greater amount of labor to be available. The
suggestion had reference to the large number of Southend business men
and clerks who are away from home all the week, and have only Sunday
mornings on which to look after their gardens.”
[Sidenote: THE PREVALENT TENDENCY]
This astonishing paragraph was headed “Church-goers’ Neglected
Gardens,” and seems to indicate an extraordinary state of mind
prevalent in a suburb inhabited by people who may be taken as average
specimens of the dwellers in Greater London. Because people work all
through the week, and can only dig in their gardens on Sundays, it is
proposed, in order to enable them to do so, to get the Minister of
Labor to close the churches. In a land that calls itself free and is
engaged in a great battle for freedom, it is really astounding that
a body of Southend citizens should have seriously thought (1) that
as long as the churches were open, their frequenters had no freedom
of choice about staying in their gardens and growing food, and (2)
that it was the business of the Government to help them to do so by
depriving all the other members of the various congregations, who have
all the week to dig in, of their freedom to seek ghostly consolation by
attending divine worship.
It is easy to make too much of a wild example of this kind. Southend is
not England, and probably the Townsmen’s Association is not Southend.
In war-time the babbling busybody gets a chance, in associations and
on committees, such as he never enjoyed before. But it will hardly
be denied that this is only an extreme example of a tendency that is
rife. It is high time that the British public considered this tendency
seriously and reckoned its possible effects, if it goes unchecked, on
the Government’s spending in the future. It need hardly be pointed out
that the spread of governmental activity is bound to increase the cost
of government, since everything that the Government does costs money,
usually more than it would if it were done by private individuals or
bodies managed thereby. It is very evident that the present tendency
to leave everything to Government is due partly to the war, because
war on its present scale demands something like dictatorship, and when
it is necessary for victory that the whole resources of a nation shall
be made available for purposes of defense, individual freedom takes a
very different place in the scale of importance. So far, there is good
reason for this tendency. But it was also very rife before the war, and
was even then showing signs of running to extremes. This was natural
and inevitable, because it was only a reaction against the extreme
_laisser-faire_ or “leave-people-alone” policy, of which Herbert
Spencer was perhaps the doughtiest champion.
This policy had been dominant in England in the early part of the
nineteenth century. It was well summed up in the report of a Commission
appointed by the House of Commons in 1810, quoted in Mr. and Mrs.
Webb’s _History of Trade Unionism_, as follows:
“No interference of the legislature with the freedom of trade, or
with the perfect liberty of every individual to dispose of his time
and of his labor in the way and on the terms which he may judge most
conducive to his own interest, can take place without violating
general principles of the first importance to the prosperity and
happiness of the community.”
[Sidenote: THE THONG AS PRODUCER]
Such was the view that was maintained by the economists who followed
Adam Smith and carried much further than he did the revolt that he had
led against the excessive interference by Government with trade and
with the freedom of individual contract, which had marked the history
of the earlier centuries when, for example, justices of the peace fixed
wages, or tried to. Supporters of the extreme _laisser-faire_ school
based their doctrine on the assumption--so true in an ideal world
composed of ideally educated people, so pathetically untrue as things
are--that everybody is the best judge of his own interest, and that if
every one is left to pursue his own interest, the best interest of the
community as a whole will somehow be secured. The practical result of
the application of this doctrine, in a community in which employers
had been taught that they served the common good by pursuing their own
immediate interests, and the employed had often been taught nothing,
was that children of five years were sent to work in factories, and
in France, according to a report published in 1840 by Dr. Villermé,
“the thong used for the punishment of children in the spinners’ trade
appears as an instrument of production.”[8] The fact is, that very few
of us ever know what is best to do for our interest. Most people go
through life mechanically, and without thinking about it, choosing a
profession for some quite illogical reason, or being pitchforked into
a position without attempting to weigh it against other possibilities.
Moreover, we are obliged to make up our minds about the matter, in
most cases long before we have got a mind to make up. As for the
doctrine that each man by pursuing his own interest helps to secure
the common good, its truth is pleasantly illustrated by the millions
nowadays earned by sellers of worthless medicines and printed trash,
which rot the public stomach, bodily and mental. If the economists of
the nineteenth century had foreseen the activities and success of the
advertisers of the twentieth, they might have modified their optimism.
But there is no need to linger over the absurdities thought and written
by the extremists of the _laisser-faire_ school. Peace with their
ashes, for they did a great work in clearing away a mass of rubbish.
It was not their fault that thongs were laid in the name of liberty on
the backs of bairns who ought to have been playing hopscotch. Liberty
is a goddess with many shapes, looking quite different to different
observers. Abraham Lincoln observed that--
“with some, the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he
pleases with himself and the product of his labor; while with others,
the same word may mean for some men to do as they please with other
men, and the product of other men’s labor.... The shepherd drives the
wolf from the sheep’s throat, for which the sheep thanks the shepherd
as his liberator, while the wolf denounces him for the same act, as
the destroyer of liberty, especially as the sheep was a black one.”[9]
[Sidenote: ADAM SMITH ON SPENDING]
It has already been noted that the extreme limits imposed on
Government activity and consequently on governmental expenditure, by
Herbert Spencer and the economists who followed Adam Smith, were an
exaggeration of the doctrine laid down by Adam Smith. He took a much
more level-headed view of the matter. In his examination (in Chapter I,
Book V, of the _Wealth of Nations_) of the expenses of the Sovereign or
Commonwealth, he lays stress on his or its duty--
“of erecting and maintaining those public institutions, and those
public works which, though they may be in the highest degree
advantageous to a great society, are, however, of such a nature, that
the profit could never repay the expense to any individual, or small
number of individuals, and which it therefore cannot be expected
that any individual, or small number of individuals, should erect or
maintain.”
Thus, in effect, he gives a free hand to the State to spend money on
anything that will be advantageous to society, but will not yield a
profit.
With regard to education, Adam Smith arrives at conclusions which were
diametrically opposed to those of Herbert Spencer. He points out that
in cases in which the state of the society does not place--
“the greater part of individuals in such situations as naturally
form in them, without any attention of Government, almost all the
abilities and virtues which that state requires, or perhaps can admit
of,”
then--
“some attention of Government is necessary in order to prevent the
almost entire corruption and degeneracy of the great body of the
people.”
He goes on to show that, owing to the division of labor--
“the man whose whole life is spent in performing a few simple
operations ... has no occasion to exert his understanding.... His
dexterity at his own particular trade seems, in this manner, to be
acquired at the expense of his intellectual, social, and martial
virtues. But in every improved and civilized society, this is the
state into which the laboring poor, that is, the great body of the
people, must necessarily fall, unless Government takes some pains to
prevent it.”
A little later he shows that--
“the common people ... have little time to spare for education. The
parents can scarce afford to maintain them even in infancy. As soon
as they are able to work, they must apply themselves to some trade by
which they can earn their subsistence. That trade too is generally so
simple and uniform as to give little exercise to the understanding;
while, at the same time, their labor is both so constant and so
severe that it leaves them little leisure and less inclination to
apply to, or even think of, anything else.... For a very small
expense the public can facilitate, can encourage, and can even impose
upon almost the whole body of the people, the necessity of acquiring
those most essential parts of education.”
Here we have the Father of Economics, so often appealed to, by those
who do not read him, as an out-and-out champion of _laisser-faire_,
advocating compulsory education, at the public expense, nearly one
hundred years before it was introduced in England.
It is perhaps even more interesting in these war-like days to note that
Adam Smith thought that--
“even though the martial spirit of the people were of no use towards
the defense of the society, yet to prevent that sort of mental
mutilation, deformity and wretchedness, which cowardice necessarily
involves in it, from spreading themselves through the great body
of the people, would still deserve the most serious attention of
Government; in the same manner as it would deserve its most serious
attention to prevent a leprosy or any other loathsome and offensive
disease, though neither mortal nor dangerous, from spreading itself
among them.... The same thing may be said of the gross ignorance
and stupidity which, in a civilized society, seems so frequently to
benumb the understandings of all the inferior ranks of people. [Only
the “inferior” ranks, Doctor?] The more they are instructed, the
less liable they are to the delusions of enthusiasm and superstition
which, among ignorant nations, frequently occasion the most dreadful
disorders.... In free countries where the safety of government
depends very much upon the favorable judgment which the people may
form of its conduct, it must surely be of the highest importance
that they should not be disposed to judge rashly or capriciously
concerning it.”
I have dwelt at some length on ancient controversies concerning the
limits of State action and consequently of State expenditure, because
the question is a very burning one to-day, and if we see what our
forbears thought about it, we may be helped to a right decision in our
present difficulties. We have seen the extreme view that the State
should do nothing but police and defense give way to a tendency--even
among those who do not profess to be Socialists and to want the State
to take over the whole business of production and distribution--to
call on the State to interfere constantly in the private affairs of
citizens; and looking back to the doctrine of Adam Smith, we find
that he was in favor of State expenditure on education for those who
could not afford it, on the cultivation of the martial spirit, on
checking disease, and on the enlightenment of those classes which, in
his opinion, especially needed it. I think it may fairly be claimed
that the formula adopted earlier in this chapter may be taken as
representing a safe compromise between the extreme views: that is, that
the State should spend our money on the defense of our property from
home and foreign enemies, on the defense of the national honor, on
the increase of the material resources of the country, and on public
health. At first sight, this formula would not appear to include
education, old-age pensions, or unemployment insurance. But it would be
very easy to show that all these objects of expenditure, in countries
in which they are necessary, help the increase of the material
resources of the country, to which nothing can be more important than a
well-taught community, and a working class with a feeling of security
and a knowledge that the State cares for its interests, and is prepared
to spend money on its welfare. In fact, all really effective measures
of social reform are directly beneficial to the whole community, on the
coldest business considerations. Every man and woman who is not fit in
mind and body to be self-supporting has to be supported, to a greater
or less extent, by his or her neighbors; and so government spending
that lessens the number of the unfit, by better care for the minds and
bodies of those who are born into conditions which do not give them a
fair chance, is a sound investment.
CHAPTER II
MONEY TAKEN BY BORROWING[10]
Whatever be the duties that a Government is asked to fulfil, it can
only perform them by taking to its own use such goods and services as
are needed for them. To keep order at home it must have the services
of policemen and the goods needed to feed, clothe, and equip them.
To build a railway it must have steel rails, rolling stock, and land
and the services of all the people who lay the railway out and get
it ready for working. To carry on war it must have all the goods
needed for the feeding and equipment of an army and the services of
the fighters and of those who organize and manage the campaign, the
transport service, and all the other items in the problem. These goods
and services have to be supplied out of current production at home and
abroad, and so current production has to be diverted, to the extent of
the Government’s demand, to supplying those needs, unless (which is
unlikely in time of war) it can be increased sufficiently to produce
them without this diversion. In order to bring about this diversion,
Government has to check the demand of individuals for goods and
services so that labor and energy may be set free to work for it; and
this it does by taking money from individuals in taxes, which it can
only impose on its own citizens, or in loans, or by reducing the buying
power of individuals through the process known as inflation, which
consists of increasing the volume of the currency and thereby debasing
its value and raising prices.
[Sidenote: LOANS WITHOUT INTEREST]
We will begin with the borrowing process. When a Government borrows, it
invites people to lend it money, and, as a rule, promises to pay them a
certain rate of interest for it, and sometimes promises to pay back the
money to them or their heirs and assigns at some more or less distant
date. Even when no such promise of repayment is given to the lenders,
the fact that the holder of the security, or promise to pay interest,
can always sell it at a price on the Stock Exchange, enables him to
rely on getting back at least part of the money that he has lent, if he
wishes to do so.
It was stated that when a Government borrows it promises, as a rule,
to pay interest. This is now so usual that a loan without interest
seems to a modern mind to be almost a contradiction in terms. But such
things have happened. In the good old days impecunious sovereigns who
could not get as much as they wanted out of their subjects by taxation,
used to write to people of property and demand a sum from them on
loan; the latest example, in England, of this form of finance occurred
in the early years of the reign of James I. A large number of these
letters--which were called Letters of Privy Seal--dated July 31st,
1604, were sent to the principal noblemen and gentlemen in all the
counties of England, and excited great and general dissatisfaction.
Their form was as follows:
“BY THE KING:
“Trustie and well beloved we greete you well. Although there be
nothing more against our minde than to be drawne into any course
that may breed in our subjects the least doubt of our unwillingness
to throw any burthen upon them, having already published both by
our speeches and writings, our great desire to avoid it in the
whole course of our Government: Yet such is our estate at this
time in regarde of great and urgent occasions falne and growing
daily upon us, (in no sort to be eschewed) as wee shall be forced
presently to disburse greater summes of money than it is possible
for us to provide by any ordinary means, or to want without great
prejudice, in which consideration ... we think it needless to use any
more arguments from such a King to such subjects: But that as our
necessitie is the only cause of our request, so your love and duety
must be the chiefe motive of your ready performance of the same....
That which we require, therefore, is that within twelve dayes after
the receipt hereof, you will cause the summe of -------- to be
delivered to -------- whom we have appointed to be our collector in
our countie of --------
“The loan whereof we do desire to be untill the Foure and Twenty
day of March which shall be in the yeere of our Lord God 1605, for
assurance whereof we have directed these our letters of Privie Seale
unto you, which, with the hand of our sayd collector testyfying the
receipt of the same summe of -------- shall bind us, our heirs, and successors
for the repaiment thereof ... upon the deliverie of this our Privie
Seale unto our sayd receipt.”[11]
Through all the rambling verbiage of this Letter of Privy Seal, a large
part of which has been left out, there is no whisper or hint of any
interest payment. The loan was for nearly eight months, and from its
terms was evidently a requisition, leaving the receiver of the letter
little or no choice about producing the sum required of him.
In modern times, however, these things do not happen. A rate of
interest is universal, and a definite promise of repayment is very
usual. It is notably absent, however, in the case of the British
Government Consols. The holder of Consols has no right to repayment
from the Government, only the right to a perpetual annuity of so much a
year, originally 3%, converted in 1888 to 2-3/4% and in 1903 to 2-1/2%.
A very large part of the French 3% Rentes are also what is called a
perpetual debt, with no obligation on the part of the debtor to repay.
[Sidenote: ADVANTAGES OF BORROWING]
When a Government raises money by borrowing it thus hires certain of
its citizens, or those of any other country who may like to subscribe
to the loan, to find money for it, and it does so by promising them a
rate of interest, varying according to the state of the money market,
its own credit, and the circumstances under which the loan is made.
Borrowing thus has this very tempting but always dangerous advantage
over taxation, that it enables a Government to get money from the
citizens of other countries. Let us leave this consideration on one
side for the time and see what are the advantages and disadvantages of
borrowing at home over taking money in taxes.
From the point of view of the practical and adroit politician, who
wants money for the State and does not want to make himself or his
policy unpopular by increasing the burden of taxation, the advantages
of borrowing are obvious and overwhelming. To the public the advantages
are equally clear and weighty, because the public thinks that by means
of the borrowing system it is able to avoid being taxed, and to hand
on to posterity the task of finding the money that is required for its
present needs.
[Sidenote: GILDING A PILL]
This view has been dinned into the public ear by economists, financial
writers (among whom I must plead guilty to having done my small share),
and business men.[12] But it is largely a delusion. Let us take the
example of the present war. We cannot hand its burden on to posterity.
It has to be paid for now by somebody, and all wars have always been
paid for during the time in which they were fought and finished up.
War cannot be carried on with goods produced or work done either by
our ancestors or by our posterity. The goods consumed in war--shot,
shells, rifles, food, clothes, horses, motor-lorries, wagons, ships,
and everything else--have to be new and up to date, and, apart from the
store of them with which the contending nations began, are made and
produced as the war goes on. As they clearly have to be in existence
before they can be used, it is obvious that they cannot be produced
by posterity. The British army cannot eat the bread that is going
to be sown in 1930, or wear boots made out of hides whose original
owners are yet unborn. Whatever posterity produces will belong to
posterity for its own use, and nothing that we do now can deprive
posterity of a single ear of wheat that it sows and grows. It is true
that when England sells part of her accumulated wealth, in the form
of securities, to Americans, in order to pay for goods wanted for the
war, or when she borrows in America and contracts to pay Americans
interest in the meantime and their money back some day, she thereby
arranges that a larger share of posterity’s wealth will go to America
and a lesser share to her; but the sum of posterity’s wealth will not
thereby be affected, and this only happens when a country borrows
from, or sells securities to, other countries, and this side of war
finance we are not at present considering. Confining ourselves to that
portion--by far the greater--of our war borrowings that are raised
at home, we see if we look at the matter steadily that the borrowing
policy is only a gilding that makes us swallow a pill and believe that
we are eating something good and nourishing. The British Government
wants money and offers its citizens a beautiful security, with 5%
interest, at 95, repayable in thirty years at par, and they calculate
that these terms give them a net return of 5-1/4% for their money.
With the help of a tremendous advertising campaign, and a very real
and patriotic effort on the part of a large number of good citizens,
the nation hands over 1,000 million pounds to the Government, and the
achievement is very justly hailed as the biggest financial success
ever won. It is a perfectly magnificent success. But it does not mean
that the citizens have thereby handed to posterity the business of
paying for 1,000 million pounds’ worth of the war. They have paid now
by handing over those 1,000 millions. In return for them they receive
from the Government securities, that is, promises to pay interest and
repay capital, and the Government can only meet these promises out of
their pockets. These securities are assets that they hold, in return
for their money, but they are also liabilities that they as taxpayers
have to meet; they will only get interest on their money as we pay it
ourselves, and they will only get their money back as debt-holders if
they pay it as taxpayers.
But what of the man who did not subscribe to the loan, having an income
large enough to let him do so? He, as far as this loan is concerned,
appears to have paid nothing towards the war. If this were really so
it would not be a good argument in favor of the borrowing system, for
it would make patriotic people pay and leave the others free to spend
money on themselves. But, in fact, those who do not subscribe to loans
probably pay more in the long run, because they have henceforward to
pay their share of taxation to meet the interest on the loan, and as
they do not hold any of it they get no share of interest payment back
into their own pockets. The borrowing system gives the citizen the
choice of (1) paying up his share of the war cost now by subscribing
to a loan, and afterwards being taxed to pay himself interest and to
pay himself back, or (2) paying nothing at the time when the loan
is issued, and being made to pay regularly hereafter interest and
redemption money to those who subscribed. When a Government loan is
issued, all the taxpayers on whom the loan charge will fall are,
forthwith and at once, jointly poorer by the amount of the loan. Those
who have found the money, and paid for the object needed by making a
sacrifice now, have an asset to set against the future increase in
taxation.
[Sidenote: THREE TIMES OVER]
But, it will be objected, a man who has subscribed for £1,000 of
the loan will be able to sell it, very likely at a profit, in a few
years’ time. Then he will have got his money back, and somebody else
will have paid it back to him. Quite true, but the result of his
selling will be that he will have got rid of his asset but not of his
liability. He will no longer receive interest on the stock that he has
sold, but he will continue to pay interest on it, and perhaps money
for its redemption, all of which will go into the pocket of the man to
whom he sold, instead of into his own. He and his estate after him,
in whosoever’s hands it be, will have to complete the repayment to
somebody else of the money which he thought he had got back again when
he sold his stock. By borrowing for war purposes a Government sets up
a roundabout process by which the war, in so far as it is paid for by
this means, is paid for three times over. First, it is paid for as it
goes on by the citizens who subscribe to the loans; then it is paid
for by the citizens as a whole, who provide the money needed for this
purpose, _plus_ interest, by taxation; and the Government finally hands
the money back to the original subscribers, or their estates.
The unwieldiness of the whole arrangement is seen best if we imagine
a nation composed of citizens all with the same income and taxed to
the same extent. Let us suppose that there are ten million heads of
families each with an income of $1,500 a year. The Government offers a
5% loan and they each, being equally patriotic, subscribe $500; this
produces 5,000 millions, and each family has $500 less to spend that
year, because its $500 has gone into the hands of the Government. They
will have the interest to spend? By no means. In order to pay them
their 5% the Government will have to raise 250 millions in taxes (or in
another loan), that is, take $25 each out of their pockets and pay it
back to them. And as soon as the war is over the Government will set a
Sinking Fund to work to pay the loan off. A Sinking Fund is money used
for paying off debt, and has to be provided by a balance of revenue
over expenditure. If the Government fixes this Sinking Fund at 1%, it
will have to take another $5 from the pocket of each citizen, and so
they will pay themselves back their capital. If, in the meantime, any
one of them sells his $500 bonds to a neighbor, he will have got his
money back, but he will still as a taxpayer have to pay his $30 a year
till the loan is extinguished, so that the effect of getting his money
back will be that he will be paying his neighbor interest and capital
instead of himself. When we clear the problem by this imaginary example
we see at once that the nation paid for the war when it happened, but
merely because it preferred to lend instead of being taxed it went
through an elaborate process of paying itself all over again, so that
it might feel happier about it. It is fairly safe to say that, under
such circumstances, an intelligent people would soon awake to the fact
that it would save itself and its rulers a good deal of trouble and
some bookkeeping expense, by submitting to taxation at the time when
the war is in progress and writing off the cost of the war at once.
[Sidenote: ELUSIVE POSTERITY]
But of course nations do not consist of citizens with equal incomes,
equally taxed, and they do not subscribe equal amounts to the loans
that are raised by their Governments. This inequality complicates
the problem, but does not alter the fact that the war has to be paid
for as it goes on, and in so far as it is paid for by raising loans
at home, is paid for out of the nation’s current income. If we try
to pay for it by selling our old investments to one another, those
who buy the old investments must have a balance available to pay for
them. The generation which lends the money either pays itself back
out of subsequent taxation, or is not paid back at all; it cannot
be paid back by posterity, because whatever posterity pays it pays
to itself. The whole notion that we can leave posterity the task of
paying for any part of the war, by borrowing at home, is a delusion.
Perhaps it is lucky that we cannot do so, for posterity is likely to
have plenty of problems of its own to face. But whatever it produces
it consumes. What we can do, and are doing, in England is to lessen
the power of posterity to produce, because we shall hand on to it a
less well-equipped industrial and agricultural organization, owing
to the fact that during the war we are not saving and putting into
capital improvements as much as we did in peace. Before the war England
was estimated to be saving and investing at home and abroad some
400 millions sterling a year, so increasing either her own power to
make and grow things, or the debt of other countries to her on which
they paid her interest in the form of goods and services. During
the war nearly all her savings go into furnishing victory for the
cause of liberty and progress and protecting her property against
external attack. On the other hand, she may fairly hope to hand on to
posterity a better organization and a better spirit than she would have
bequeathed to it, if she had not learnt many useful lessons from that
stern schoolmaster the God of Battles, who has birched her soundly for
her good.
But as incomes are unequal and taxation likewise, and as people
subscribe unequal amounts to loans levied by Governments, let us see
what is actually the effect of the borrowing policy. If we compare
first the case of two Englishmen with the same income lending unequal
amounts, we find two people with £1,000 a year, of whom Jones puts £50
into the loan and Smith £500. They will both have their taxes increased
to the same extent to pay interest on the loan and provide a Sinking
Fund to redeem it; but one will get £2 10s. a year (less income tax)
in interest, and the other £25. If the circumstances of both are the
same, this is quite just, because Smith is rewarded after the war for
the effort that he made during it by putting half his income at the
disposal of the Government when it called on the citizens to subscribe;
probably the interest that he gets will more than offset the higher
taxation that the existence of the war debt will necessitate. In the
case of Jones, who continued to spend most of his income on himself,
and only put in a small amount to be spent on powder and shot for the
army, he will only get a small sum in interest, which will almost
certainly be less than the extra taxes that he will pay. So that in
cases in which conditions are equal, the interest payment, by rewarding
patriotic effort in war-time, gives a just and well-earned guerdon to
those who saw their country’s need and made the right effort to meet it.
[Sidenote: AN EVIL AFTERMATH]
But if we find that Jones was educating five children, whereas Smith
was a bachelor, it becomes evident at once that Jones’s £50 that he
subscribed to the loan was a greater effort--cost him more in health
and comfort for himself and his youngsters--than Smith’s £500, so
that the after-effect of the borrowing system in penalizing Jones and
benefiting Smith is highly inequitable. And this is a very serious evil
in the aftermath of borrowing by Governments, that by its inability
to discriminate between the effort made by the various subscribers it
emphasizes the inequities of the system of taxation.
[Sidenote: ESCAPE BY DEATH]
If, then, borrowing has this merely stupid effect that the payment
for the object which is secured is carried out twice, first when the
lenders hand their money over to the Government to spend on the desired
purpose, and later and more gradually when they hand their money over
to the Government to be paid back again to themselves, what are the
advantages about it which make it so popular with practical politicians
and the public whom they have to keep in a good temper? It is simply
this, that the borrowing system makes us feel happier and keeps us in
a good temper because we see the security that we have received and
the interest that we get on it, and forget that the interest comes out
of our own pockets and that if the loan is paid back to us it will
be paid back out of our own pockets. When we subscribe to the loan
we either do so out of money that we borrow--a process that will be
considered in the next chapter when we come to deal with the question
of inflation--or out of money that we save, or by drawing down our
bank balances, in which case, unless we have been stupid enough to
keep unnecessarily big ones, we shall save to replenish them. If we
save we have so much less to spend on our own comforts and amusements,
or so much less to invest in other directions, from which we should
have received interest and repayment that would not have come out of
our pockets. So by subscribing we hand over our money to be spent on
the war and so pay for the war as it goes on. If we do not subscribe
but continue to spend as usual, then the taxation involved in order to
pay interest and redemption of the loan comes out of our pockets and
does not come back again. So that the borrowing system gives us this
choice, of postponing paying our full share of the war’s cost during
its course, and only meeting it over a period of years by paying taxes
needed for the debt charge and getting none of it back in interest or
repayment. If we exercise this choice and die immediately after the
loan has been brought out, we apparently escape paying for our share
of the war altogether, because we are never taxed to pay interest to
anybody. But, in fact, we die so much poorer because the estate that
we leave does not contain the amount of war loan to which, if we had
done our duty, we should have subscribed, and it does carry with it the
liability which will fall on our heirs and assigns to pay their share
of the debt charge in taxation. In other words, we have left the job of
paying for the war to our heirs, and is not this the same as leaving
it to posterity? Yes; but we can only perform this feat if we die at
once. If the Government offers a loan for war or any other purpose, all
the taxpayers immediately become liable to pay interest on it, and any
one who does not subscribe for such proportion of it as his income and
conditions indicate, will consequently be so much the poorer, as long
as he is alive, until the loan is redeemed, and will be so much the
poorer at his death, because his estate will be encumbered by the debt
charge and will hold no asset against it. If he subscribes his fair
share he has so much the less to spend when he does so, but afterwards,
if taxation is fairly apportioned, has his interest and his share of
the loan, as repaid, to set against the extra taxation.
It is commonly said that England is still, as a nation, paying for the
cost of the war that her ancestors waged against Napoleon more than a
hundred years ago. But this is not so. As taxpayers Englishmen pay
interest on the debt then raised. But they pay that interest to those
Englishmen who hold the debt by inheritance or otherwise. As a nation
England enjoys now all that she produces, and the vagaries of her
ancestors only affect the manner in which her production is distributed.
But what happens in the case of loans that are never repaid? Never is a
long word, but if we can really conceive that as long as mankind lasts
the existing national debts will be outstanding, then the interest
charge will continue to be a burden to the citizens as a whole, and an
income to the heirs of those who originally subscribed.
[Sidenote: DEBT AND WEALTH]
Borrowing at home, then, for war purposes or any other, does not, as
is usually supposed, shift the burden of payment on to the shoulders
of posterity. Whatever it is that the Government is buying, whether
it be the services and equipment of an army in the field, or a system
of sanitation, or a railway, has to be paid for by somebody at the
time when it is provided. By raising the money by a loan instead of by
taxation the Government escapes the unpopularity which a great increase
in taxation might produce, and hires some of the citizens to pay now,
and then taxes them all to pay interest and redeem the debt. Those who
have subscribed receive a security which they can sell, and as long as
they hold it receive interest which they, in common with the rest of
the community, have to find by paying taxes.
[Sidenote: BORROWING FOR WAR]
The system thus has this advantage in a community in which wealth
is unequally distributed, that it enables those who have a margin of
income above the necessaries of life to pay for whatever be the object
that the Government wants without at the time feeling any poorer,
because they get a security that makes them think they are actually
richer. If taxation is equitably imposed they will afterwards be taxed
to pay themselves interest in proportion to the amount that they
ought to have put into the loan when appealed to by the Government.
But here comes in a great difficulty, as we shall see when we come
to the question of taxation. If those with a margin, who can save
without serious discomfort, take up all or the greater part of the
loan, and then taxes are imposed on all, whether they have a margin or
no, then the system of financing Government spending by loan tends to
accumulate more and more wealth in the hands of those who are well off.
The existence of a national debt, held by the citizens of the nation,
does not affect the wealth of the nation as a whole. The wealth of a
nation consists of its material assets in the way of industrial plant,
agricultural estates and stock, houses, roads, railways, canals, and
so on, and its holding, if any, of foreign investments, and its income
consists of the annual produce of these material assets as organized
and worked as a going concern by the nation’s brains and sinews. These
assets and this working power are no less productive because, owing
to existence of a national debt, certain people have to be paid out
of the taxes levied on this national produce. But the distribution of
the national produce is seriously affected, because it means that the
debt-holders, without making any further effort, get for all time, as
long as the loan is outstanding, a large slice of the nation’s revenue,
which has to be found out of its annual produce: and if this debt
charge is heavy and any large part of the nation thinks itself to be
overtaxed, there is only too likely to be discontent and resentment
on the part of those who pay interest to the holders of war debt and
forget that these holders are the people who found the money to pay for
the war, or their representatives. If this grievance were acutely felt,
it might endanger the stability of property. A system based on property
is not, of course, the only conceivable system under which mankind need
work for its living. But so far it is the only one that has been found
to work, and it would be dangerous to imperil it before we are ready
with a substitute. So that, though we cannot by any ingenuity make
posterity pay for war or anything else on which we or our Government
spend money now, we may by the adoption of the borrowing system leave
some very awkward problems to it. Whatever posterity produces it will
consume; but the fact that certain members of posterity, descendants
of those who paid on our account, will thereby have a prior lien on
posterity’s produce might have awkward results.
Since, then, the view that borrowing at home puts the burden on to
posterity is a delusion, since the goods and services needed for war or
for anything else on which a Government is spending have to be found
and paid for, by somebody, at the time when the thing is done, and
since the system of hiring certain of the citizens to do the paying
at that time, and giving them a claim on part of the nation’s income
in return, may have dangerous consequences when carried far, does it
follow that borrowing at home is a policy that is never justified on
economic grounds, though it may be necessitated by the exigencies of
politics and the need for keeping the public in a good temper at a
time of crisis? I think it does, from the purely theoretical point
of view, except when the object on which the money is to be spent is
an enterprise like a railway, from which a profit may be expected at
least sufficient to cover the interest on, and redemption of, the debt
put into it. But perhaps a case might be made out for borrowing for
purposes, such as education and health, which, if the money is well
spent on them, may be expected to improve the country’s productive
power.
War is certainly the worst purpose for which the borrowing system can
be used, because in war-time, especially when war is on a stupendous
scale as now, taxation (1) is easily raised, (2) is little if any
hindrance to industry, and (3) produces a beneficial effect on the
consumption of the community. Moreover war, especially when on a
stupendous scale, is certain to be followed by a period of dislocation
and uncertainty in which industry should be as free as possible to
contend with the difficulties that face it, and should therefore
be as little as possible burdened by taxes that have to be paid to
debt-holders. Let us consider these assertions.
[Sidenote: TAXATION’S ADVANTAGES]
(1) Taxation is more easily raised in war than in peace, for the
obvious reason that, the nation being patriotically stirred by some
cause affecting its honor or its existence, or both, its citizens are
readier to hand over their money to Government. In an ideally educated
nation with an ideal system of taxation and an ideal Government that
could be trusted not to waste its money, this difference would perhaps
not appear, because under these circumstances the citizens would always
be ready and willing to pay by taxation for objects that the nation had
decided to be desirable. But as things are, many people in ordinary
times grudge the money that they have to pay in taxes, partly because
they have not been taught to see that the common good is their good and
that they ought to contribute to it gladly, partly because they often
have a suspicion that they are being taxed too much and their neighbors
too little, and partly because, in England, there is a general
suspicion, not to say conviction, that a large part of any money which
the Government spends is wasted, owing to the excessive cost of its
cumbrous machinery. In war-time these considerations have much less
weight, and Englishmen when they pay an extra price for their tobacco
or tea, or draw a bigger cheque for the King’s taxes, feel that they
are putting something into the Treasury for a great cause, or for the
national honor, or to “keep the old flag flying,” or to “help the boys
at the front” who are fighting for them, or just that “it’s war-time,”
and there’s an end of it. At such a time a Government confident in
its cause, and in the readiness of the citizens to back it, could, I
believe, take a much greater part of the nation’s income in taxes than
has been attempted yet.
(2) Taxation is less hindrance to industry in time of war, because
war in many ways simplifies the task of industry. Industry knows more
exactly what it has to produce, and has a better and more certain
market. Its difficulty is to get enough men to do the work, and
stuff to put into it. At home there is the Government wanting more
war material than can be turned out. Abroad there are neutrals full
of money that they are making out of selling things to the warring
Governments, wanting to buy stuff that they used to get from us and our
trade competitors--now busy on war work--and unable to supply their
wants. The manufacturer has more certainty that he will be able to
sell at a good profit whatever he can turn out, and he is consequently
less likely to have his enterprise checked by the existence of high
taxation. He is so certain to be able to take his taxes out of his
customers that taxation, under such conditions, hardly weighs with him.
(3) Taxation in war-time is twice blessed. It gives the Government
revenue and it checks the consumption of the individual, and this
is, at such a time, an equally important economic advantage. Because
owing to the enormous demands of the Government on the available
supply of goods and services there are not enough to go round, and
if the citizens try to enjoy their usual allowance of comforts and
amusements--none of which can be provided without using up a certain
amount of labor and of stuff, and probably of coal in transport--the
result is that the Government and the individual citizens compete
against one another in a limited market and force up the price of
everything to their mutual disadvantage, and, what is worse, to the
great disadvantage of all whose wages or incomes have not risen as fast
as the rise in prices has moved. It may be objected that borrowing
checks consumption just as efficiently as taxation, since people cannot
spend what they lend. This is true if all the money lent is saved, and
is not produced by borrowing or inflation, a subject to be dealt with
in the next chapter. But even so, when money is taken in taxes and not
in loans, people are likely to be thereby stimulated to save something
besides. As we have seen, if a man puts $5,000 into a Government loan,
he thinks he has got an asset and forgets that it also involves a
liability. If $5,000 is taken from him in taxes, he is likely, if at
all thriftily inclined, to try to put something away besides.
[Sidenote: PENALIZING PATRIOTISM]
Further, borrowing in war-time has this great disadvantage, that it
penalizes those who go to the front. Doctors who give up fine practices
and take a pittance as military surgeons, business men, mechanics and
miners who forsake big profits and high wages for the pay of officers
and privates, come back when the war is over and find that the comrades
and competitors whom they left behind have made big investments in
war loans, and that they, whose pay has enabled them to do little or
nothing in this direction, will be subject to higher taxation to pay
them interest. The system thus directly fines those who do the most
important war work.
For all these reasons taxation in time of war is greatly preferable
to borrowing, and this is still more so when we consider war’s
aftermath. Every million that we pay in taxes in war-time means that
there is a million less of debt to be dealt with when peace comes,
and consequently so much more taxation to be taken off, just at the
very time when taxation will be the greatest nuisance. Because when
peace brings the tremendous problem of putting our industry back on
to peace work, with uncertain markets and all kinds of queer problems
that are certain to arise, it is above all necessary that our producers
and merchants shall feel bold and confident and ready to set the
whole machine going in the good hope of bigger production and readier
consumption than ever have been seen before in peace time. High taxes,
due to a big debt charge produced by home borrowing, will only go out
of one pocket into another, but the taxpayers will not all recognize
this, and if they are not also debt-holders it will not console them if
they do. So that if taxes have to be kept on at the war level, or even
raised, in peace time, the great recovery in trade with which I hope
that England may astonish the world even more than by anything that she
has done during the war, may be seriously impeded, especially if there
is discontent and bad feeling in the country about the manner in which
the burden of taxation is imposed. The Germans, who have raised, so
far, a quite contemptible part of the war cost by taxation, are likely
to find themselves seriously hampered when peace comes by the problem
that they are thus creating for themselves.
For these reasons borrowing at home in war-time is not a policy
that commends itself on economic grounds. The extent to which it is
practised may be taken as a measure of the want of confidence of
the Government in itself or in the readiness of the people to make
sacrifices for the war, or of its mere thoughtless following of a bad
habit handed down by its predecessors.
[Sidenote: THE BENEVOLENT DESPOT]
A well-informed and benevolent despot, with a perfectly docile people,
would see that if there is money in the country that he can get by
borrowing he can also get it by taxing if he sets about it in the right
way, and that by doing so he not only cheapens the war by reducing
his subjects’ demand for goods which competes with that of his War
Minister, but also makes industrial recovery in peace more rapid and
hearty, by the absence of after-war taxation. All the money that he
wanted for war he would just take from his people in taxes as the war
went on, without going through the cumbrous process of borrowing it
from them and afterwards taxing them to pay themselves back. But in
order to do so he would have to be able to rely on a truly equitable
system of taxation, which would curtail the power even of the richest
to waste money on things that are not really needed at a time of
national crisis, without taking food out of the mouths and clothes off
the backs of those who are hungry and ill-clad.
Borrowing at home in time of peace for some purpose that is, as Adam
Smith said, of great national advantage, but not likely to pay, is
less objectionable than war borrowing, since the special advantages,
set out above, of taxation over borrowing that prevail in war-time are
then absent. But it is always dangerous, because it encourages the
delusion that a nation can have things now and pay for them some day,
whereas whatever it has now it pays for now if it raises the money at
home, and the simplest, cleanest, and most honest way of paying for it
is by taxation. In the case of revenue-earning enterprises there is
very little objection to borrowing for their cost if the revenue is
likely to cover the debt charge; but since it is generally admitted
that such enterprises are more costly, in most countries, when managed
by Government, the economic argument against their being so managed is
strong.
[Sidenote: BORROWING ABROAD]
Borrowing abroad, except for reproductive purposes such as railway
building, is so evidently “bad business” that it is only done by
Governments of economically backward countries, or by Governments which
are impelled into this course, against their will, by the force of
circumstances, as happened to England’s in the present war. The volume
of munitions and war goods required for her and for her Allies was so
great that she had not the plant ready to provide them fast enough,
so she had to buy them from neutrals. As her industry was depleted
of its best men and had more work to do than it could manage, it was
not possible to pay for these war imports by increasing the volume
of goods and services that she exported. So she was obliged to make
these payments by drawing on her accumulated capital and by pledging
her future production. Some of her accumulated capital was in the form
of the bonds and shares of American railroads and of Government and
municipal bonds of many neutral countries, which had been acquired by
her through the process of investment abroad, that is by providing
goods and services in the past and taking securities in exchange for
them. These foreign investments stood her in good stead since she was
able to ship them back to the country of origin, or to others that
would take them, in exchange for war imports. By this means she, as a
nation, paid for part of the war’s cost out of work done in former
years, by using it to induce foreigners who bought the securities to
pay, during the war, other foreigners who were supplying her with goods
and services needed for it. By so doing she deprived herself for the
future of the stream of goods and services that she used to receive
from foreign countries to meet the interest on and redemption of these
securities that she had acquired in former years. This process has
very much the same effect as borrowing abroad, which was another means
employed by the British Government for financing the war. For example,
when it raised a loan of 250 millions in America it, in effect, hired
certain American investors to pay now for the munitions, etc., that
it was importing, promising to pay them in future so much a year in
interest. This interest England will have to provide out of her annual
production of goods and services. So that both these processes of
financing, by selling securities and by borrowing abroad, mean that she
will have to work harder in future to provide for her own wants, for
one reduces the payments that folk abroad have to make to her and the
other increases the payments that she has to make to them. But it may
be noted that the extent to which she has made use of these methods of
paying for war is, so far,[13] roughly balanced by the loans that she
has made to her Allies and Dominions.
CHAPTER III
MONEY WATERED BY INFLATION
In the good old medieval days rulers who wanted more money than they
could squeeze out of their subjects by taxing used often to solve the
problem by debasing the coinage. This was most easily and effectively
done by putting less precious metal and more alloy into coins and then
issuing them in payment with all the appearance of having the same
value as before. By this process the monarch was able to make a given
amount of gold or silver go so much further in turning it into pieces
that their unsuspecting subjects would take in exchange for goods,
until the fraud was discovered and prices adjusted themselves, more or
less.
[Sidenote: MULTIPLYING PAPER]
Nowadays most commercial transactions, except the retail purchases on
which we spend our pocket-money, are carried out by means of various
forms of paper money, the most important of which, in England, is the
cheque currency with which our banking system provides us. Before the
war, we used to carry gold and silver coins for retail purposes, but
even then all big payments were made by cheque. Since the war, gold
has practically vanished from circulation, and its place has been
taken by Treasury notes, issued under the Currency and Bank Notes Act
of 1914, and convertible on demand into gold at the Bank of England.
This power, that a modern community has gained, of multiplying its
currency by means of the printing press and of banking machinery, makes
it easy for Governments when they want money and are shy of taking
it directly and openly out of the pockets of the citizens, to debase
the currency, not by fraudulently tampering with it in the medieval
manner, but by merely multiplying the amount of the paper instruments
that will be taken by the public in exchange for goods. The buying
power of the public is thus watered down by inflation, if this mixture
of metaphors may be permitted. This is a very tempting and attractive
method of financing any expensive enterprise, especially a war, because
it does not, at first sight, call upon any one for any such sacrifice
as is involved when taxes are raised or when the citizens are called
upon to limit their spending, save their money and lend it to the
State. By increasing the currency a Government does not take money out
of anybody’s pocket, but puts new money into the pockets of those to
whom it has to make payments. It seems to be a delightfully easy and
simple way of paying for things, just to manufacture new money for the
purpose, and this device is in fact the basis for all kinds of schemes
by which well-meaning currency reformers often believe that they can
make mankind rich, by increasing the volume of the medium by which
payments are effected; whereas the only way by which we can be made
really better off is by increasing the supply of things that we need
and improving the system by which they are distributed among us. In
fact the effect of an increase of currency, unless it is accompanied
by an increase in the output of goods, is just the same as that of the
medieval debasement. It tends to produce a rise in the prices of all
commodities in general use, and so throws the burden of paying for war,
or providing whatever be the object that the Government is trying to
secure, on the shoulders of the people least able to bear it--namely,
ill-paid workers and salary earners and people with small fixed
incomes. It is a devious, unscientific, and round-the-corner dodge,
and can only be excused on the ground that Governments make use of it
without realizing what they are doing, and then continue it because,
when once it is started, it is very difficult to stop it, or even to
check its growth.
[Sidenote: DR. JOHNSON ON CURRENCY]
It is simply finance by inflation. The subject is difficult and
technical, and to enter into all its intricacies would involve us all
in much confusion and weariness of mind, and would also fill out a
portly volume. But if we keep to the broad outlines of the matter, it
seems to me that the case against it is plain to the understanding
and convincing to common sense. Professor Foxwell, in the course of a
lecture on Inflation, lately gave an excellent illustration of the
effect of the quantity of currency on prices from a remark of Dr.
Johnson’s. When told that in Skye twenty eggs might be bought for a
penny, Johnson observed: “Sir, I do not gather from this that eggs
are plenty in your miserable island, but that pence are few.” There
it is in a nutshell. If currency is scarce, prices are low. If it is
plentiful, prices are high. By inflation I mean an increase in the
currency more rapid than in the volume of commodities and services
that the community is producing. When this takes place, if at the same
time what is called the velocity of the circulation--that is, the pace
at which money is turned over--remains the same, it is impossible to
avoid the conclusion that a rise in prices must happen. Let us see the
process at work in an imaginary example.
If we all woke up one morning to find that some well-meaning fairy had
doubled the amount of money in our pockets and in our banking accounts,
and if at the same time no more stuff and services were being produced,
we should all, probably, feel nice and rich until we found out that
everybody else’s money had also been doubled; then if at the same time
there were no increase in the things that money is used to buy, the
stress of competition would make the price of everything shoot up like
a rocket. If the price of everything, including labor, services and
capital, were exactly doubled, then we should all be exactly as we had
been before, with regard to our power to buy; but in fact there would
be a painful process of adjustment in which those who were strongest
in bargaining power would do best out of the scramble and the weakest
would fare worst. Moreover, those who had made investments in house
property, mortgages or securities, entitling them to so many dollars a
year for a term of years or for all time, would find that the buying
power of their so many dollars had been greatly lessened, but that
they had no right to make their tenants or their debtors pay them more
than was stipulated in the original contract. The result, then, of
such an increase in the currency as we have imagined would be a great
upsetting of the community’s economic relations, with a rise in prices
followed by a rise in wages for those who were strong enough to secure
it, probably much friction and many strikes before this adjustment was
secured, a good deal of injustice to unorganized workers and people
like clerks and typists who are too respectable to strike, and a very
unfair advantage to debtors, who would be able to pay interest and
repay capital to creditors in currency that had been debased to the
extent of about half its value.
[Sidenote: THE GUERNSEY MARKET]
If inflation took place on this wholesale scale, we should all see at
once what was happening, but of course it does not. It is usually done,
even in times of acute crisis, so gradually that its effect is not
observed until it is too late to remedy the evil by drastic measures,
without raising a fresh crop of awkward problems. In normal times
inflation is, as a rule, only practiced on a very modest scale, though
it is said that there have been examples of economically backward
States that worked the printing press so hard that at last their paper
became so worthless that it did not even pay to print it. If inflation
really has the excuse, like the unauthorized baby, of being “only a
very little one,” its effect is hardly noticeable, and it appears to
work a very comfortable miracle. There is the famous example, referred
to in Jevons’s book on _Money_, Chapter XVI, of the Guernsey market,
which was “built without apparent cost.” The Governor of the island
wanted to build a market, and, not having the wherewithal, “issued
under the seal of the island four thousand market notes for one pound
each, with which he paid the artificers. When the market was finished
and the rents came in, the notes were thereby canceled.” The whole
transaction was completed, and the market had seemingly been built out
of nothing. In fact it had been built by means of temporary inflation,
the effect of which would tend to raise the prices of all the goods
that the community was consuming. Jevons indeed considers that the
infusion of those notes into the currency drove out so much gold. If
that really happened, then there would be no inflation, because paper
would have taken the place of gold in circulation and there would have
been no increase in the total currency in the hands of the Guernsey
folk. But Jevons does not state that gold was, in fact, actually driven
out; and with all deference to his authority, the explanation of the
miracle given above seems to me more probable.
In order to avoid misunderstanding, I think it is better to make it
clear that by inflation I mean any increase in any form of currency,
whether metallic, legal tender, or other--coins, bank notes, postal
orders, or cheques--that is accepted in payment by the community. It
is quite possible to have inflation by too great an inrush of gold,
as several neutral countries have found in the course of the present
war. But when it is a matter of too much gold, then equilibrium can
be restored in ordinary times by the export of the gold, because it
will be taken in payment elsewhere; but a country’s paper money is not
available as an article of export.
In normal times, such inflation as we are liable to is usually
corrected by gold exports and the operation of other economic
processes. If a country’s currency system is sound, the inflation
process should thus carry its own remedy with it. In England’s case, if
we get in too much gold, or our banks create too much cheque currency,
the consequent rise in prices tends to check our exports and increase
our imports of goods. Thereby in the first place the volume of goods
offered in our home markets increases and so the relation between
goods and currency is helped to return to the former level, and in the
second, as we are importing more goods and exporting less, there is a
tendency for gold to be shipped to pay for some of the extra imports.
So that if we are suffering from too much gold, the cure begins to
work; or if it is a case of too much banking credit, the export of gold
calls attention to the diminished basis of this credit and so helps to
cure it.
[Sidenote: UNCHECKED IN WAR-TIME]
In war-time, if the war is big and obtrusive enough, these nice and
pretty checks and balances do not work to keep inflation down. Shipping
gold is made expensive by high rates of freight and insurance, and
the people who usually handle the business of shipping gold, and do
so, in peace time, whenever they can see a profit in it and sometimes
merely to get the advertisement that gold shipments usually bring
with them, are checked by patriotic motives and the desire to avoid
exporting a financial weapon which has to be kept for special uses. And
so inflation can proceed merrily without setting to work the automatic
mechanism that usually produces the antidote for the disease.
How merrily inflation can work, when it is thus given its head, the
experience of the present war has well shown. All the warring countries
in Europe have been calling in gold from circulation and replacing it
with a much larger quantity of paper. Much of the gold that they have
called in they have shipped to neutral countries to pay for goods, and
so all over the world there is this common experience of an increase
in currency over and above the supply of goods, and a more or less
universal rise in prices. The thing has gone to such a pitch that the
Scandinavian countries have in effect closed their ports against the
entry of gold, and in America the danger of the inflation produced
by the great mass of gold imported has long been a commonplace among
economic writers.
The method of inflation differs in each country according to the
arrangements of its currency system. During the present war England is
doing it in three or perhaps four ways. The Government has done it by
printing paper currency, much greater in extent than the gold which it
has replaced in circulation, and by minting a great quantity of silver.
The Bank of England has done it by lending money to the Government, to
Allies, to Colonial Governments, and to private individuals; and the
other banks have done it by increasing their investments in Government
securities and by making advances to customers in order to enable them
to take up Government securities. In other words, most of the inflation
has been due chiefly to the action of the Government in either directly
increasing the currency itself by printing or coining it, or in
borrowing money from the Bank of England and the other banks instead of
getting it out of the pockets of the public by taxing it or borrowing
its savings. It is entirely natural that the British Government should
have done this, because in peace time it does so habitually and as part
of its regular scheme of finance. It borrows from the Bank of England
on Deficiency or Ways and Means advances to tide it over a time when
taxes are coming in sluggishly, and on the other hand big payments
have to be made, and for like reasons it sells Treasury bills, or
temporary promises to pay, to the Bank of England, or to other banks.
These devices are, usually, on so small a scale, as compared with the
vast sum of our monetary turnover, that the consequent addition to our
currency has no noticeable effect. But the huge scale on which they
have been used in this war has had bad results for all parties.
[Sidenote: CURRENCY MADE BY BANKS]
As many people may be puzzled by the assertion that the Government
increases the currency by borrowing from banks, it is better to explain
the process briefly here, though in another book I have already shown
how loans made by banks produce manufactured money by adding to the
banks’ deposits, which embody the right of their customers to draw the
cheques which are the chief form of currency that we now use.[14]
When the Bank of England makes a loan to the Government or subscribes
to any issue of Government security, it increases its holding of
Government securities as shown in its weekly return. When it makes
advances to any less august borrower, it increases its holding of what
it calls Other Securities. In either case it increases, on the other
side of its return, the amount of its deposits, which, as the appended
specimen shows, are divided into Public and Other, the former being the
balances of the various departments of the British Government, and the
latter those of all other depositors, including the other banks: