A Hopeful Road to Lasting Peace

_To the Editor of The New York Times:_

The great war has now been going on long enough to enable mankind to

form approximately correct views about its vast extent and scale of

operations, its sudden interference with commerce and all other helpful

international intercourse, its unprecedented wrecking of family

happiness and continuity, its wiping out, as it proceeds, of the

accumulated savings of many former generations in structures, objects of

art, and industrial capital, and the huge burdens it is likely to impose

on twentieth century Europe. From all these points of view, it is

evidently the most horrible calamity that has ever befallen the human

race and the most crucial trial to which civilization has been exposed.

It is, and is to be, the gigantic struggle of these times between the

forces which make for liberty and righteousness and those which make

for the subjection of the individual man, the exaltation of the State,

and the enthronement of physical force directed by a ruthless collective

will. It threatens a sweeping betrayal of the best hopes of mankind.

Each of the nations involved, horrified at the immensity of the

disaster, maintains that it is not responsible for the war; and each

Government has issued a statement to prove that some other Government is

responsible for the outbreak. This discussion, however, relates almost

entirely to actions by monarchs and Cabinets between July 23 and Aug.

4--a short period of hurried messages between the Chancelleries of

Europe--actions which only prove that the monarchs and Ministers for

Foreign Affairs could not, or at least did not, prevent the

long-prepared general war from breaking out. The assassination of the

Archduke and Duchess of Hohenberg on the 28th of June was in no proper

sense a cause of the war, except as it was one of the consequences of

the persistent aggressions of Austria-Hungary against her southeastern

neighbors. Neither was Russian mobilization in four military districts

on July 29 a cause of the war; for that was only an external

manifestation of the Russian state of mind toward the Balkan peoples, a

state of mind well known to all publicists ever since the Treaty of

Berlin in 1878. No more was the invasion of Belgium by the German Army

on Aug. 4 a true cause of the war, or even the cause, as distinguished

from the occasion, of Great Britain's becoming involved in it. By that

action Germany was only taking the first step in carrying out a

long-cherished purpose and in executing a judicious plan of campaign

prepared for many years in advance. The artificial panic in Germany

about its exposed position between two powerful enemies, France and

Russia, was not a genuine cause of the war; for the General Staff knew

they had crushed France once, and were confident they could do it again

in a month. As to Russia, it was, in their view, a huge nation, but

very clumsy and dull in war.

The real causes of the war are all of many years' standing; and all the

nations now involved in the fearful catastrophe have contributed to the

development of one or more of these effective causes. The fundamental

causes are: (1) The maintenance of monarchical Governments, each

sanctioned and supported by the national religion, and each furnished

with a Cabinet selected by the monarch--Governments which can make war

without any previous consultation of the peoples through their elected

representatives; (2) the constant maintenance of conscript armies,

through which the entire able-bodied male population is trained in youth

for service in the army or navy, and remains subject to the instant call

of the Government till late in life, the officering of these permanent

armies involving the creation of a large military class likely to become

powerful in political, industrial, and social administration; (3) the

creation of a strong, permanent bureaucracy within each nation for the

management of both foreign and domestic affairs, much of whose work is

kept secret from the public at large; and, finally, (4) the habitual use

of military and naval forces to acquire new territories, contiguous or

detached, without regard to the wishes of the people annexed or

controlled. This last cause of the war is the most potent of the four,

since it is strong in itself, and is apt to include one or more of the

other three. It is the gratification of the lust for world empire.

Of all the nations taking part in the present war, Great Britain is the

only one which does not maintain a conscript army; but, on the other

hand, Great Britain is the earliest modern claimant of world empire by

force, with the single exception of Spain, which long since abandoned

that quest. Every one of these nations except little Servia has yielded

to the lust for empire. Every one has permitted its monarch or its

Cabinet to carry on secret negotiations liable at any time to commit the

nation to war, or to fail in maintaining the peace of Europe or of the

Near East. In the crowded diplomatic events of last July, no phenomenon

is more striking than the exhibition of the power which the British

people confide to the hands of their Foreign Secretary. In the interests

of public liberty and public welfare no official should possess such

powers as Sir Edward Grey used admirably--though in vain--last July. In

all three of the empires engaged in the war there has long existed a

large military caste which exerts a strong influence on the Government

and its policies, and on the daily life of the people.

These being the real causes of the terrific convulsion now going on in

Europe, it cannot be questioned that the nation in which these complex

causes have taken strongest and most complete effect during the last

fifty years is Germany. Her form of government has been imperialistic

and autocratic in the highest degree. She has developed with great

intelligence and assiduity the most formidable conscript army in the

world, and the most influential and insolent military caste. Three times

since 1864 she has waged war in Europe, and each time she has added to

her territory without regard to the wishes of the annexed population.

For twenty-five years she has exhibited a keen desire to obtain colonial

possessions; and since 1896 she has been aggressive in this field. In

her schools and universities the children and youth have been taught for

generations that Germany is surrounded by hostile peoples, that her

expansion in Europe and in other continents is resisted by jealous

powers which started earlier in the race for foreign possessions, and

that the salvation of Germany has depended from the first, and will

depend till the last, on the efficiency of her army and navy and the

warlike spirit of her people. This instruction, given year after year by

teachers, publicists, and rulers, was first generally accepted in

Prussia, but now seems to be accepted by the entire empire as unified in

1871.

The attention of the civilized world was first called to this state of

the German mind and will by the triumphant policies of Bismarck; but

during the reign of the present Emperor the external aggressiveness of

Germany and her passion for world empire have grown to much more

formidable proportions. Although the German Emperor has sometimes played

the part of a peacemaker, he has habitually acted the war lord in both

speech and bearing, and has supported the military caste whenever it has

been assailed. He is by inheritance, conviction, and practice a

Divine-right sovereign whose throne rests on an "invincible" army, an

army conterminous with the nation. In the present tremendous struggle he

carries his subjects with him in a rushing torrent of self-sacrificing

patriotism. Mass fanaticism and infectious enthusiasm seem to have

deprived the leading class in Germany, for the moment, of all power to

see, reason, and judge correctly--no new phenomenon in the world, but

instructive in this case because it points to the grave defect in German

education--the lack of liberty and, therefore, practice in self-control.

The twentieth century educated German is, however, by no means given

over completely to material and physical aggrandizement and the worship

of might. He cherishes a partly new conception of the State as a

collective entity whose function is to develop and multiply, not the

free, healthy, and happy individual man and woman, but higher and more

effective types of humanity, made superior by a strenuous discipline

which takes much account of the strong and ambitious, and little of the

weak or meek. He rejects the ethics of the Beatitudes as unsound, but

accepts the religion of valor, which exalts strength, courage,

endurance, and the ready sacrifice by the individual of liberty,

happiness, and life itself for Germany's honor and greatness. A nation

of 60,000,000 holding these philosophical and religious views, and

proposing to act on them in winning by force the empire of the world,

threatens civilization with more formidable irruptions of a destroying

host than any that history has recorded. The rush of the German Army

into Belgium, France, and Russia and its consequences to those lands

have taught the rest of Europe to dread German domination, and--it is to

be hoped--to make it impossible.

The real cause of the present convulsion is, then, the state of mind or

temper of Germany, including her conception of national greatness, her

theory of the State, and her intelligent and skillful use of all the

forces of nineteenth century applied science for the destructive

purposes of war. It is, therefore, apparent that Europe can escape from

the domination of Germany only by defeating her in her present

undertakings; and that this defeat can be brought about only by using

against her the same effective agencies of destruction and the same

martial spirit on which Germany itself relies. Horrible as are the

murderous and devastating effects of this war, there can be no lasting

peace until Europe as a whole is ready to make some serious and

far-reaching decisions in regard to Governmental structures and powers.

In all probability the sufferings and losses of this widespread war must

go further and cut deeper before Europe can be brought to the decisions

which alone can give securities for lasting peace against Germany on the

one hand and Russia on the other, or to either of these nations, or can

give security for the future to any of the smaller nations of

Continental Europe. There can, indeed, be no security for future peace

in Europe until every European nation recognizes the fact that there is

to be no such thing in the world as one dominating nation--no such thing

as world empire for any single nation--Great Britain, Germany, Russia,

Japan, or China. There can be no sense of security against sudden

invasion in Europe so long as all the able-bodied men are trained to be

soldiers and the best possible armies are kept constantly ready for

instant use. There can be no secure peace in Europe until a federation

of the European States is established, capable of making public

contracts intended to be kept, and backed by an overwhelming

international force subject to the orders of an international tribunal.

The present convulsion demonstrates the impotence toward permanent

peace of secret negotiations, of unpublished agreements, of treaties and

covenants that can be broken on grounds of military necessity, of

international law if without sanctions, of pious wishes, of economic and

biological predictions, and of public opinion unless expressed through a

firm international agreement, behind which stands an international

force. When that international force has been firmly established it will

be time to consider what proportionate reductions in national armaments

can be prudently recommended. Until that glorious day dawns, no patriot

and no lover of his kind can wisely advocate either peace in Europe or

any reduction of armaments.

The hate-breeding and worse than brutal cruelties and devastations of

the war, with their inevitable moral and physical degradations, ought to

shock mankind into attempting a great step forward. Europe and America

should undertake to exterminate the real causes of the catastrophe. In

studying that problem the coming European conference can profit by the

experience of the three prosperous and valid countries in which public

liberty and the principle of federation have been most successfully

developed--Switzerland, Great Britain, and the United States.

Switzerland is a democratic federation which unites in a firm federal

bond three different racial stocks speaking three unlike languages, and

divided locally and irregularly between the Catholic Church and the

Protestant. The so-called British Empire tends strongly to become a

federation; and the methods of Government both in Great Britain itself

and in its affiliated Commonwealths are becoming more and more

democratic in substance. The war has brought this fact out in high

relief. As to the United States, it is a strong federation of

forty-eight heterogeneous States which has been proving for a hundred

years that freedom and democracy are safer and happier for mankind than

subjection to any sort of autocracy, and affords far the best training

for national character and national efficiency. Republican France has

not yet had time to give this demonstration, being incumbered with many

survivals of the Bourbon and Napoleonic régimes, and being forced to

maintain a conscript army.

It is an encouraging fact that every one of the political or

Governmental changes needed is already illustrated in the practice of

one or more of the civilized nations. To exaggerate the necessary

changes is to postpone or prevent a satisfactory outcome from the

present calculated destructions and wrongs and the accompanying moral

and religious chaos. Ardent proposals to remake the map of Europe,

reconstruct European society, substitute republics for empires, and

abolish armaments are in fact obstructing the road toward peace and

good-will among men. That road is hard at best.

The immediate duty of the United States is presumably to prepare, on the

basis of its present army and navy, to furnish an effective quota of the

international force, servant of an international tribunal, which will

make the ultimate issue of this most abominable of wars not a truce, but

a durable peace.

In the meantime the American peoples cry with one voice to the German

people, like Ezekiel to the House of Israel: "Turn ye, turn ye from your

evil ways; for why will ye die?"

The New York Times Current History of the European War, Vol. 1, January 9, 1915 What Americans Say to Europe · 第 64 / 146 题