Defense of the Dual Alliance--A Reply

By Dr. Edmund von Mach.

Instructor of Fine Arts, Harvard, 1899-1903; Instructor in

History of Art, Wellesley College, 1899-1902; Lecturer in

History of Art, Bradford Academy, Cambridge, Mass. Author of

many books on Greek and Roman sculpture and the history of

painting. Served in the German Army, 1889-91.

Hon. James M. Beck has eloquently argued the case of the Allies against

Germany and Austria-Hungary, and submitted his findings with confident

assurance of their acceptance by the Supreme Court of Civilization.

Carried away by his zeal he has at times used terms not warranted by the

evidence, such as "the irrepressible Kaiser," "stupid falsehood,"

"duplicity," and the like, but since the court can be trusted to

disregard such expressions no further attention will be paid to them.

To a certain extent this article is not a reply but a continuation of

Mr. Beck's argument, for, wherever our personal sympathies may lie, we

are all equally interested in discovering the truth. In the final

settlement of peace American public opinion may, nay, will, have a

prominent voice. If it is exerted on the strength of a true

understanding of European events, it will contribute to the

establishment of a lasting peace.

As to the evidence submitted Mr. Beck seems to err in believing that

Governments are accustomed to publish in their various white, gray, or

orange papers "the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth."

This is nowhere done, for there are many bits of information which come

to a Government through its diplomatic connections which it would be

indelicate, discourteous, or unwise to give to the public. The official

documents on American foreign relations and all white, gray, or orange

papers are "edited." They are understood to be so by Congress,

Parliament, the Reichstag, the Duma, &c., and no charge of dishonesty

can be maintained against the respective Governments on that score.

If the Chancellor says that Germany was using her good offices in

Vienna, this is as valuable a bit of evidence as the reprint of a

dispatch in the "White Paper," unless we wish to impugn his veracity,

and in that case the copy of a dispatch would be valueless, for he might

have forged it. The entire argument, therefore, against Germany and

Austria, based on what Mr. Beck calls the "suppression of vitally

important documents," is void, unless you will apply it equally to Great

Britain and the other countries.

In Sir Edward Grey's "White Paper" Mr. Beck has missed no important

documents because he looked at England's well-prepared case through

sympathetic eyes, and it did not occur to him to ask, "Where are all the

documents bearing on Italian neutrality?" Does he believe that England

was so little interested in the question whether she would have to fight

two or three foes, and whether her way to Egypt and India would be safe

or threatened? There are many dispatches to and from Rome included in

the "White Paper," but not a mention of Italy's position.

The first paper contains a letter to the British Ambassador in Berlin

concerning the Austro-Servian relations. Is it not probable that Sir

Edward Grey's attention was called to this question by his Ambassador in

Vienna? Where is his letter? Or, if Sir Edward thought of it himself,

why did he not mention his conversation also to Sir M. de Bunsen in

Vienna? Where is this note? Are we to assume that Sir M. de Bunsen made

his first report on July 23, although Sir Edward Goschen in Berlin had

an interesting report to make a day earlier?

We can thus go through the whole British "White Paper" and discover the

omission of many interesting documents.

No. 38 is a letter from Sir Rennell Rodd in Rome, dated on July 23 and

received on July 27. He had no doubt sent also a telegram. What did it

contain, and why was it not published under the date of its arrival

instead of the letter which had been delayed in transit?

Where Is No. 28?

In No. 29 Sir Edward Grey refers in a telegram to Sir R. Rodd to what "I

had said to the German Ambassador." Such a reference could have a

meaning for Sir R. Rodd only if he had been informed of this

conversation. There is no dispatch printed in the "White Paper"

containing this information. Possibly it was so entwined with other

instructions, which Sir Edward Grey did not care to have known, that it

could not be published. Was it perhaps sent to the printer first as No.

28, and removed at the last moment when it was too late to change the

subsequent numbers? Or, if this assumption is wrong, what was printed

originally as No. 28? Where is No. 28? There are other omissions, and

one especially noteworthy one between Nos. 80 and 106 which will be

discussed later.

Viewed in this light, the English "White Paper" loses much of the value

of a complete record, which it has had in the eyes of many. There is

absolutely no reason to doubt the accuracy of those dispatches which

have been printed, but it becomes incumbent upon the searcher after the

truth to inquire whether the existence of unprinted (in the case of the

German "White Paper" Mr. Beck uses the term "suppressed") papers may not

at times alter the interpretation which should be given to those that

are printed.

Since we have no published records anywhere concerning the advice given

to Italy by the Allies, and the gradual steps leading up to Italy's

decision to remain neutral; nor any hint as to the day when her decision

was communicated to England and the other powers, it would be futile to

speculate on this subject. Since, however, the Queen of Italy and the

wife of the Commander in Chief of the Russian forces are sisters, and

since it was in the interest of the Allies to keep Italy neutral, it is

not unreasonable to assume that an exchange of opinion took place

between Italy and the Allies concerning the conditions under which Italy

would remain neutral.

If the actual opening of hostilities could be so managed that Germany

could be called the aggressor, then Italy probably declared that she

would not enter the war. This is a very important phase of the case, and

the omission from Sir Edward Grey's "White Paper" of all dispatches

dealing with Italian neutrality is much to be regretted.

Since we are dealing with the Italian dispatches here, it may be

advisable to consider at once all the communications which are published

as having passed between Sir Edward Grey and the British Ambassador, Sir

Rennell Rodd, in Rome. They are numbered 19, (perhaps 28,) 29, 35, 36,

38, 49, 57, 63, 64, 80, 81, 86, 92, 100, and 106, of which the important

numbers are 38, 57, 64, 80, and 86.

On July 23 Sir Edward Grey was informed that "the gravity of the

situation lay in the conviction of the Austro-Hungarian Government that

it was absolutely necessary for their prestige, after the many

disillusions which the turn of events in the Balkans has occasioned, to

score a definite success." (No. 38.)

Austria, in other words, believed that to let the murder of her

heir-apparent pass unpunished would have meant a deathblow to her

prestige, and consequently, as any one familiar with her conditions will

agree, to her existence. Russia, on the other hand, on July 25 said (see

No. 17, report from Sir G. Buchanan) that she could not "allow (note the

word) Austria to crush Servia and become the predominant power in the

Balkans, and if she feels secure of the support of France, she will face

all the risks of war."

These two dispatches to Sir Edward Grey tell the whole story in a

nutshell. Austria believed, rightly or wrongly, that it was a question

of life or death for her, while Russia claimed the right of preventing

Austria from becoming the predominate power in the Balkans, and actually

threatened war. Russia did not claim to be concerned with the justice of

Austria's demands on Servia.

No such definite word of Russia's intention was sent to Germany, for on

July 26 Sir M. de Bunsen reported Germany's confident belief that

"Russia will keep quiet during the chastisement of Servia." (No. 32.)

On the next day Sir Rennell Rodd reports from Rome (No. 57) that the

Minister of Foreign Affairs believes that "if Servia will even now

accept it (the Austrian note) Austria will be satisfied" and refrain

from a punitive war. He, moreover, believes--and this is very

important--that Servia may be induced to accept the note in its entirety

on the advice of the four powers invited to the conference, and this

would enable her to say that she had yielded to Europe and not to

Austria-Hungary alone. Since Italy was to be one of the four powers, the

Minister's belief was doubtless based on accurate information. There is

then as late as July 27 no claim made by Servia that Austria's demands

are unreasonable. She only hates to yield to Austria alone. Austria, in

the meanwhile, (No. 57,) repeats her assurance that she demands no

territorial sacrifices from Servia.

On the next day, July 28, Sir Rennell Rodd reports (No. 64) that "Servia

might still accept the whole Austrian note, if some explanation were

given regarding mode in which Austrian agents would require to

intervene." Austria, on her part, had explained that "the co-operation

of the Austrian agents in Servia was to be only in investigation, not in

judicial or administrative measures. Servia was said to have willfully

misinterpreted this." (No. 64.)

From these reports it appears that the differences between Austria and

Servia were on the way to a solution. Austria claimed that her demands

were just, and Servia did not deny this. Austria further claimed that

her prestige, her very existence, demanded the prompt compliance with

her requests by Servia. She explained in a satisfactory way the one

point on which Servia had taken exceptions, and Servia was on the point

of complying, and would have complied, if the powers had been willing to

let her do so. Such a conclusion of the incident would have strengthened

Austria's prestige and assured the punishment of the murderers of

Serajevo.

Russia's Remark About Austria.

The reason why Servia was not allowed to submit was Russia's remark,

quoted above, that she would not "allow" Austria to become the

predominant power in the Balkans. It was, therefore, Russia's task to

prevent Servia from accepting Austria's note. Since war was her

alternative, baldly stated to England from the first, she had to do

three things--first, to secure as many allies as possible; secondly, to

weaken her enemies, preferably by detaching from them Italy, and,

thirdly, to get as much of a start in her mobilization as possible.

The treaties between Russia, France, and Great Britain, unlike those

between Germany, Austria, and Italy, have never been published. Whatever

their wording may be, Russia was at first apparently not absolutely sure

of the support of France, (No. 17,) and France, it would seem, was

unwilling to tempt fate without the help of England. That England should

be willing to join such a combination for such a cause seemed so

preposterous to Germany that she did not believe it. Without England no

France, without France no war, for alone Russia could not measure

herself against Austria. Austria would not have attacked her of her own

free will, but if Russia had attacked Austria, the whole world knew from

the published treaties that Germany was bound to come to the assistance

of her ally. It would have been two against one, and the two could have

waited until Russia had finished her cumbersome mobilization. For even

if she had her whole army of many million men on the frontier, Austria

and Germany together were strong enough to stem her advance.

Russia's only chance, therefore, when Servia was on the point of

yielding, and Austria had almost re-established her prestige, was to

secure the help of France, but this meant also the promise of England.

The demands made on England by Russia, some of which are quoted in the

"White Paper," are too well known to deserve repetition. This was the

chief thing that counted, to get England's promise. The next was to

detach Italy from her allies, (but of this there are no documents

available,) and the third to gain time for her mobilization. All the

other suggestions and counter-suggestions which fill the English "White

Paper" are insignificant, as soon as the fundamental positions of

Austria and Russia are understood.

Germany has claimed that England promised her support to Russia and

France on July 30, or in the night of July 29, and, to prove it, has

published the letter from the Belgian Minister in St. Petersburg to his

Minister of Foreign Affairs, printed in translation in THE NEW YORK

TIMES on Oct. 7. This letter, which has not been officially denied by

the Allies, states that the promise of England's support gave the

Russian war party the upper hand and resulted in the order of complete

mobilization.

English "White Paper's" Testimony.

Strangely enough, and doubtless by an oversight, the English "White

Paper" contains two dispatches (Nos. 80 and 106) which seem to confirm

the accuracy of M. de l'Escaille's statement, viz., that England

promised the Russian-French combination her support.

On July 29 Sir Rennell Rodd wrote to Sir Edward Grey (No. 80) that the

Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs had told him "there seemed to be a

difficulty in making Germany believe that Russia was in earnest. As

Germany, however, was really anxious for good relations with ourselves,

if she believed that Great Britain would act with Russia and France, he

thought it would have a great effect."

In a later dispatch of the same day (No. 86) he deprecates Russia's

partial mobilization, which he fears has spoiled the chances of

Germany's exerting any pressure on Austria.

But on the next day, July 30, these remarkable words occur: "He [the

Italian Minister] had reason to believe that Germany was now disposed to

give more conciliatory advice to Austria, as she seemed convinced that

we should act with France and Russia, and was most anxious to avoid

issue with us." (No. 106.)

Readers of the "White Paper" will look in vain for an explanation of

such a change of heart on Germany's part. What does "now" mean in the

last letter? And why does Germany seem "convinced" that England will act

with Russia--if not that she has heard of the promise mentioned by M. de

l'Escaille, as given early on July 30 or late the 29th? The dates agree,

and unless Sir Edward Grey publishes further papers to explain the

change that had taken place between July 29 and July 30 one seems forced

to accept this explanation.

What is Germany's attitude? Does she rush into war? Not at all, for she

is "most anxious to avoid issue" with England. (No. 106.) Germany knew

that Russia had begun to mobilize. Every day, every hour counted; for

against the masses of Russia she had only her greater speed to match.

She knew that England had gone over to Russia, although she was probably

hoping that the alliance between the Saxon and the Slav was not yet

irrefragable. Still, the prospects were dark. But in spite of this the

efforts were renewed to see what could be done in Vienna.

The famous exchange of telegrams between royalty began in the evening of

July 29; and here it is wise to halt for a moment. On July 30 the Czar

telegraphed to the Emperor in reply to the Emperor's expression of

regret that Russia should be mobilizing, as follows: "The military

measures in force now were decreed five days ago." That is, according to

the Czar, the Russian mobilization had begun on July 25. On July 27,

however, the Russian Minister of War, M. Suchomlinow, had declared to

the German Military Attaché "on his word of honor" that no mobilization

order had been issued. July 25, however, it will be remembered, was the

day on which Sir G. Buchanan had reported from St. Petersburg that

Russia will "face all risks of war" if she can feel sure of the support

of France.

On July 31 Russia mobilized her entire army, which led to Germany's

ultimatum that Russia demobilize within twelve hours. No reply was

received to the request, and orders for the mobilization of the German

Army were issued at 5:15 P.M., Aug. 1, after the German Ambassador in

St. Petersburg had been instructed to declare that, owing to the

continued mobilization of the Russian Army, a state of war existed

between the two countries.

Kaiser Tried to Keep Peace.

In order to understand this step one should read the book "La France

Victorieuse dans la Guerre de Demain," ("France Victorious in the Next

War,") by Col. Arthur Boucher, published in 1911. Col. Boucher has

stated the case baldly and so simply that every one can understand it.

In substance his argument is this: "Alone France has no chance, but

together with Russia she will win against Germany. Suppose the three

countries are beginning mobilization on the same day. Germany finishes

first, France second, and Russia last. Germany must leave some of her

troops on her eastern frontier, the rest she throws against France. All

France has to do is to hold them for a few days. [Col. Boucher mentions

the exact number of days. This book is not at hand, and the writer

prefers not to quote from memory.] Then Russia comes into play, more

German troops will be needed in the East, the French proceed to an

attack on their weakened enemy, and La France sera victorieuse."

Everything hinges on just a couple of days or so. A couple of days! And

how much of a start had Russia? She had begun on July 25; on July 27

definite news of the Russian mobilization was reported in Berlin,

although the Minister of War denied it "on his honor." On July 30

England was understood to have promised her support to Russia, and the

Czar acknowledged that Russia had been mobilizing for the past five

days. Five days! And Col. Boucher, expressing the opinion of military

experts, had counted on victory on a much smaller margin!

Do the Judges of the Supreme Court of Civilization realize the almost

super-human efforts in the interest of peace made by the German Emperor?

Russia has a start of five days, and on July 31 a start of six days. Can

we not hear all the military leaders imploring the Emperor not to

hesitate any longer? But in the interest of peace the Emperor delays. He

has kept the peace for Germany through the almost thirty years of his

reign. He prays to his God, in Whom he has placed his trust through all

his upright life, with a fervor which has often brought him ridicule.

Also, he still believes in England, and hopes through her efforts to be

able to keep the peace. He waits another day. A start of seven days for

Russia! The odds against Germany have grown tremendously. At last he

orders mobilization. For a longer delay he would not have been able to

answer to his country. As it is, there are many people who blame him

severely for having waited so long.

But William II. was right, for when the world will begin to realize the

agonies through which he must have passed during these days of waiting,

and the sacrifices he made in his effort to preserve peace, it will

judge Germany rightly, and call the Emperor the great prince of peace

that he is.

But, it has been said, why did he not avoid war, either by forcing

Austria to yield to Russia, or, if she refused, by withdrawing from her?

In common with the whole of Germany, he probably felt that Austria's

position was right. Servia herself, as has been seen above, did not

claim that she was unjustly treated, whatever outsiders thought of

Austria's demands; and Austria was fully justified by past events in

believing that it was with her a question of life and death. Should

Germany sacrifice her faithful friend under such circumstances, and for

what? For the arrogance of Russia, who would not "allow" her to

re-establish her prestige in a righteous cause? The word "righteous" is

used advisedly, because in the early stages of the controversy nobody,

not even Russia nor Servia herself, denied the justice of Austria's

demands. The writer is informed that even the liberal English press

found no fault with the course taken by Austria, although it commented

adversely on the language used in the note.

What would have been the result of peace bought by Germany at such a

cost? It would have alienated her only faithful friend without laying

the foundations for a lasting friendship with her opponents. This at

least was Germany's honest belief. She may have been wrong. History more

probably will call her right. To desert Austria might have postponed the

war, but when it would have come Germany would have stood alone, and,

worse, she would have lost her self-respect.

This claim may sound strange in the ears of those who have just

witnessed and will never forget the suffering of that beautiful little

country, Belgium. They hold that, since Germany invaded Belgium, it is

Germany who broke a treaty and who is to blame.

Mr. Beck considers this to be so self-evident that he deems it

unnecessary to advance any proof. He quotes the Chancellor's speech,

and, moving for a quick verdict, declares his motion of guilty carried.

The matter, however, is not quite so simple for the man who is seeking

for the whole truth. Let us look at the facts.

Belgium was a neutral country, just as any country has the right to

declare itself neutral, with this difference: that in 1839 she had

promised to five powers--Great Britain, France, Russia, Austria, and

Prussia--that she would remain perpetually neutral. These five powers in

their turn had promised to guarantee her neutrality. She was, however, a

sovereign State, and as such had the undoubted right to cease being

neutral whenever she chose by abrogating the Treaty of 1839. If the

other high contracting parties did not agree with her, it was their

right to try to coerce Belgium to keep to her pledges, although this

would undoubtedly have been an infringement of her sovereignty.

The Treaty of 1839 contains the word "perpetual," but so does the treaty

between France and Germany, in which Alsace and Lorraine are ceded by

France to be perpetually an integral part of the German Empire. Does

this mean that France, if the Allies should win, could not retake these

provinces? Nobody probably will believe this.

The Treaty of 1839 was a treaty just like the Treaty of 1871, with this

difference, that the latter treaty was concluded between two powers, and

the earlier one between five powers on one side and Belgium and Holland

on the other. This gave certain rights to all the signatory powers, any

one of whom had the right to feel itself sufficiently aggrieved to go to

war if any other power disregarded the treaty.

Rights of Neutrals.

There was once another neutral State, the city and district of Cracow,

also established by a treaty to which Great Britain was a signatory.

Three of the signers considered the conditions developing in Cracow to

be so threatening that they abolished Cracow as an independent State.

Great Britain sent a polite note of protest, and dropped the matter.

Since that time, however, two Hague Conferences have been held and

certain rules agreed upon concerning the rights and duties of neutrals.

The Belgian status of inviolability rests on these rules, called

conventions, rather than on the Treaty of 1839. During the

Franco-Prussian War of 1870 Mr. Gladstone very clearly stated that he

did not consider the Treaty of 1839 enforceable. Great Britain,

therefore, made two new treaties, one with France and one with Prussia

(quoted and discussed in Boston Evening Transcript, Oct. 14, 1914) in

which she promised to defend Belgian neutrality, by the side of either

France or Prussia, against that one of them who should infringe the

neutrality.

These treaties were to terminate one year after peace had been

concluded between the contestants. A treaty, like the one of 1839,

however, which was considered unenforceable in 1870, can hardly be

claimed to have gained new rights in 1914. In calm moments nobody will

claim that a greater sanctity attaches to it than to the treaty in which

Alsace and Lorraine are ceded forever to Germany.

No, it is The Hague Conventions to which we must look. The first

convention (1899) contained no rules forbidding belligerents from

entering neutral territory. In the second conference it was thought

desirable to formulate such rules, because it was felt that in war

belligerents are at liberty to do what is not expressly forbidden. At

the request of France, therefore, a new set of rules was suggested, to

which Great Britain and Belgium offered valuable amendments. The rules

were finally accepted, and are today parts of international law. They

read; "Article I. The territory of neutral powers is inviolable. Article

II. Belligerents are forbidden to move troops or convoys of either

munitions of war or supplies across the territory of a neutral power."

These articles, together with the whole convention called "Rights and

duties of neutral powers and persons in case of war on land," have been

ratified and therefore accepted as law by the United States of America,

Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Japan, and Russia and other minor

powers. Great Britain experienced a change of heart, and, although her

own delegates had moved these articles, she refused to ratify them, when

she ratified most of the other conventions on Nov. 27, 1909. (A table

showing the ratifications of conventions has been published by The World

Peace Foundation, Boston.)

The Case of Belgium.

Since Great Britain did not accept these articles as law, she was not

bound by them, for the principle of The Hague Conferences is that a

nation is bound only by those laws which it accepts. The remarkable

fact, therefore, appears that the only one of the big nations which had

refused to accept these articles, and which, therefore, might have moved

her troops across a neutral country and have claimed that she could do

so with a clear conscience because she broke no law which was binding on

her, was Great Britain. And the world now sees the spectacle of Great

Britain claiming to have gone to war because another power did what she

herself could have done, according to her own interpretation, with

impunity. Japan has broken the international law by infringing the

neutrality of China, but Great Britain can claim that she did not break

a law by doing exactly what Japan did.

It is not asserted here that the citizens of Great Britain are not

absolutely sincere in their belief of the causes which have allied them

with the Russians and the Japanese, and the Indians and the Zouaves, and

the negroes and the French and the Belgians against Germany. Their

Government, however, should have known that the presumption of

insincerity exists when one charges against others a crime which one

would have felt at liberty to commit one's self. Yet, more, the British

Government knew better than anybody else that Germany had not even

committed this crime; for, according to all laws of justice, no person

or nation can claim the inviolability of a neutral when he has committed

"hostile acts against a belligerent, or acts in favor of a belligerent."

(Article XVII. of The Hague Conference of 1907.)

The question, therefore, arises, "Did Belgium commit acts in favor of

one of Germany's opponents, if not actually hostile acts against

Germany?" In order to understand Germany's charge that Belgium had

committed such acts, attention must be directed to one of the most

unfortunate stipulations of the Treaty of 1839, which compelled Belgium

to maintain several fortresses. This meant that a small neutral people,

sandwiched in between two great powers, had to keep itself informed on

military affairs. Instead of being able to foster a peaceful state of

mind, which is the surest guarantee of neutrality, the Belgians were

forced to think military thoughts.

[Illustration: ANDREW CARNEGIE

_(Photo (c) by Underwood & Underwood.)_

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[Illustration: JACOB H. SCHIFF

_(Photo by American Press Assn.)_

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In the eighties and early nineties they suspected France of designs on

their integrity. Since then a change in the popular feeling has taken

place and in recent years the instruction of the Belgian artillery, for

instance, was intrusted to French officers in active service. These

officers were constantly at home and very properly concerned with

solving military problems such as a future war with Germany might

present. What was more natural than that these same officers, when they

were detached for a few months or years to Liège or Namur or Huy, taught

their Belgian charges to prepare against a German attack, and to look

upon the French as their friends and the Germans as their enemies? If

conditions had been different, and German officers had been in charge of

Belgian fortresses, the Belgian guns in practice would always have been

trained on imaginary French invaders.

French Officers in Belgian Forts.

If this is understood it will be seen that in the case of war the actual

neutrality of the Belgian garrisons would naturally be determined by the

position taken by that nation whose officers had been in charge of the

Belgian fortresses. And this might be entirely independent of the

professed wishes of the Belgian people or their Government. If French

officers in active service remained in the several fortresses, or even

only in one after the beginning of hostilities, and if the French

campaign plans contemplated an attack through Belgium, then Belgium had

committed an "act in favor of France" by not forcing the French officers

to leave, and had forfeited the rights and privileges granted by The

Hague Convention of 1907 to a neutral State.

Did French officers remain in Liège or in any other Belgian fortress

after hostilities had begun, and did France plan to go through Belgium?

Germany has officially made both claims. The first can easily be

substantiated by the Supreme Court of Civilization by an investigation

of the prisoners of war taken in Belgium. Until an impartial

investigation becomes possible no further proof than the claim made by

the German Government can be produced.

The second charge is contained in No. 157 of the English "White Paper"

in these words of instruction from the German Foreign Secretary to the

German Ambassador in London: "Please impress upon Sir Edward Grey that

German Army could not be exposed to French attack across Belgium, which

was planned according to absolutely unimpeachable information."

Sir Edward Grey has attacked Germany for invading Belgium, but has

nowhere denied that Germany had the unimpeachable evidence she said she

had, and which of course nullified any previous assurance from France.

It is not known whether Sir Edward Grey was shown this evidence or not,

but if the preservation of Belgian neutrality was Great Britain's chief

concern, why did she not offer to negotiate treaties with Germany and

France as she had done in 1870? It will be remembered that then she

bound herself to join with either of the contestants in defending

Belgian neutrality against the attacks of the other.

As the case stands today, on the evidence of Sir Edward Grey's own

"White Paper" and speeches, Great Britain is making war on Germany

because:

1. She broke the Treaty of 1839, although her own Gladstone had declared

this treaty to be without force, and although the status of neutral

States had been removed by The Hague Convention from the uncertainty of

treaties to the security of international law.

2. Great Britain makes war against Germany because Germany has broken

Articles I. and II. of Chapter 1 of The Hague Convention referring to

neutrals, although Great Britain herself has refused to recognize these

articles as binding upon her own conduct.

3. She makes war on Germany although she has never denied the

correctness of Germany's assertion that she had unimpeachable proof of

France's intentions of going through Belgium, which, together with the

sojourn of French officers in Belgium, constitutes the offense which,

according to The Hague Convention, deprives a so-called neutral State of

the privileges granted in Articles I. and II.

It is impossible to say here exactly what these proofs are which Germany

possesses, and which for military reasons she has not yet been able to

divulge. She has published some of them, namely, the proof of the

continued presence of French officers on Belgian soil, and has given the

names and numbers of the several army corps which France had planned to

push through Belgium.

The case then stands as follows:

1. Was the inviolability of Belgium guaranteed by Articles I. and II. of

The Hague Convention? Yes.

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