AN INCIDENTAL SPECULATION

Just when the Interurban Traction Company thought the successful

culmination of its plans in sight it woke up to the fact that there had

been a miscalculation or an oversight somewhere. It had the absolute or

prospective control of all the principal lines embraced in its elaborate

scheme of connecting various towns and cities by trolley, which means

that it had bought a good deal of the necessary stock and had options on

most of the rest; but there was one insignificant little road that it

had left to the last. This road had been a losing venture from its

inception, and its stock was quoted far below par, with no buyers. As a

matter of business policy, the more successful roads should be secured

first, for the moment the secret was out their stocks would soar. They

represented the larger investments, and their stock-holders could hold

on, if they saw the advisability of it, without making any financial

sacrifice; they were in a position to "hold up" the new company in the

most approved modern style. But the Bington road was weak and

unprofitable, valuable only as a connecting link in the chain.

"Of course," said Colonel Babington, who was at the head of the new

venture, "we're sure to be held up somewhere on the line, and these

people can hold us up for less than any of the others. They haven't much

as a basis for a hold-up, and they can't afford to go on losing money.

We can buy their road cheap the first thing, but the discovery of the

purchase will give our plans away and add a million dollars to the cost

of carrying them out. Any fool would know that we were not buying that

road for itself alone. Why, the mere rumor that negotiations were opened

would add fifty or a hundred per cent. to the value of the other stocks

we want. We can't afford even to wink at that road until we get control

of the others."

So they went about their work very secretly, hoping so to conceal their

design that they would be able to get the last link at the bed-rock

price; but, when the time came, entirely unexpected difficulties were

encountered. The stock-holders might have been tractable enough, but the

stock-holders themselves had been fooled.

"Why, there was a young fellow here last week," they explained, "and he

got a sixty-day option on enough stock to control the road."

"Who was he?" asked the startled Colonel Babington.

"His name is Horace Lake," they told him.

"I'll have to look Horace up," remarked the colonel thoughtfully.

Meanwhile, Horace was congratulating himself on having done a good

stroke of business, and further amusing himself by figuring his possible

profit.

"I've been looking for just such a chance as this," he told Dave Murray,

the insurance man.

"Have you got the money to carry it through?" asked the practical

Murray.

"I had enough to put up a small forfeit to bind the option and convince

them that I mean business, and I don't need any more," returned Lake.

"Once in a great while," said Murray, "a man makes a good lot of money

on a bluff, but even then he usually has some backing. It takes money to

make money, as a general rule. You will find that most successful men,

even those who are noted for their nervy financiering, got the basis of

their fortunes by hard work and rigid economy. Wind may be helpful, but

it makes a poor foundation."

"This is one of the times when it is about all that is necessary,"

laughed Lake. "I got a little inside information about the Interurban

Traction Company's plans in time to secure an option on one link in its

chain of roads, and it has simply got to do business with me before it

can make its line complete. For twenty thousand dollars, paid any time

within sixty days, I can control the blooming little line, and the

option to buy at that price is going to cost the traction company just

twenty-five thousand dollars, which will be clear profit for me."

"It sounds nice," admitted Murray, "but, if I were in your place, I'd

feel a good deal better if I had the money to make good. If they don't

buy, you lose your forfeit, which represents every cent you could scrape

up."

"They will buy," asserted Lake confidently.

"They may think it cheaper to parallel your line," suggested Murray.

"I'm not worrying," returned Lake confidently. "I'm just waiting for

them to come and see me, and they'll come."

Lake's prophecy proved correct. They came--at least Colonel Babington

came, he being the active manager of the company's affairs. But Colonel

Babington first took the precaution to learn all he could of Horace

Lake's financial standing and resources. This convinced him that it was

what he termed a "hold-up," but, even so, it was better to pay a

reasonable bonus than to have a fight.

"We will give you," said Colonel Babington, "a thousand dollars for your

option on the majority stock of the Bington road."

"The price," replied Lake, "is twenty-five thousand dollars."

"My dear young man," exclaimed the colonel, when he had recovered his

breath, "you ought to see a specialist in mental disorders. You are

clearly not right in your mind."

"The price," repeated Lake, "is twenty-five thousand dollars now, and,

if I am put to any trouble or annoyance in the matter, the price will go

up."

"A bluff," said the colonel, "is of use only when the opposing party

does not know it is a bluff. We happen to know it. You haven't the money

to buy that road, and you can't get it."

"You speak with extraordinary certainty," returned Lake with dignified

sarcasm.

"The road," asserted the colonel, "is valuable only to us, and we can

parallel it, if necessary. No conservative capitalist is going to

advance you the money to buy it in the face of such a risk as that, so

we have only to wait until your option expires to get it from the men

who now own it, and I may add that we have taken a second option at a

slightly higher price. Therefore, your only chance to get out of the

deal with a profit is to let us acquire the road under the first option

at something less than the second option price. To avoid any unnecessary

delay, we might be willing to pay you a bonus of two thousand dollars."

"The price," said Lake, "is now twenty-six thousand."

"Sixty days--less than fifty now, as a matter of fact--is not such a long

time," remarked the colonel. "We will wait."

Lake told Murray later that he "had them in a corner," but Murray was

inclined to be doubtful; fighting real money with wind, he said, was

always a risky undertaking, and the Interurban Traction Company had

plenty of real money. Lake, however, being in the "bluffing" line

himself, was inclined to think all others were doing business on the

same basis, and he confidently expected the colonel to return in a few

days. But the colonel came not.

Then Lake made another trip to Bington, to look the ground over, and he

was disturbed to find that the colonel had been sounding the people on a

proposition to put a line through the town on another street. This was

only a tentative plan, to be adopted in case of failure to get the

existing line, but it showed that the company was not disposed to be

held up without a fight. Fortunately, the people did not take kindly to

the idea. The principal shops were on the line of the trolley now, and

the proprietors did not wish to have travel diverted to another street.

Lake devoted several days to missionary work in Bington, pointing out

the great depreciation of property that would follow such a move, and he

finally left with a feeling that the company would have an extremely

difficult time getting the necessary legislation from the town

officials. Still, he was not entirely at ease, for officials are

sometimes "induced" to act contrary to the wishes of the people they are

supposed to represent. But he believed he had made the situation such

that Babington would come back to him. Surely, it would be cheaper to

deal with him than to buy an entire town board.

Thirty of the sixty days slipped away, and Lake grew really anxious. The

Interurban Traction Company could not be a success without a connecting

link between the two main stretches of its line, and Lake had not

believed that it would dare to proceed with its plans until this was

assured. Consequently, he had expected all work to stop, pending

negotiations with him. But work did not stop. There were two or three

trifling gaps at other places, and the company was laying the rails to

bridge them, in addition to improving the road-beds of the lines it had

bought. It even began to build a half-mile of track to reach one

terminus of his little road. Clearly, there was no anticipation of

trouble in ultimately beating him.

"It's my lack of money," he soliloquized. "I've got the basis of a good

thing, if I only had the money to make it good, but I haven't, and they

know it. Murray was right."

His thoughts being thus turned to Murray, he went to see him, in the

faint hope that he might interest him in the plan. Murray had money to

invest. But Murray deemed the risk too great in this instance.

"They can beat you," said Murray. "They have unlimited resources, and

they'll certainly get through Bington on another street, if you persist

in making your terms too stiff. Very likely, they would have given you

three thousand or possibly even five thousand for your option when they

first came to you, and they may do it now."

"I tell you, it's a good thing," insisted Lake.

"If it's really as good a thing as you think it is," said Murray, "you

will have no difficulty in getting somebody with money to take it off

your hands at a good margin of profit to you, but I can't see it."

In this emergency, Lake recalled a man of considerable wealth who had

known him as a boy and had taken an interest in him. It was humiliating

not to be able to put the scheme through himself, after all his planning

and confident talk, but it was better to turn it over to some one else

than to fail entirely. So he went to see Andrew Belden.

"There is a remote chance of success," declared Belden, "but I would not

care to risk twenty thousand on it."

"The company can't get through Bington, except on that franchise,"

insisted Lake.

"That may be so," admitted Belden, "but I have learned not to be too

confident in forecasting the action of public officials and

corporations. The company could make a strong point by threatening to

cut out Bington entirely and carry its line to one side of it."

"That would make a loop in their road that would be costly in building

and in the delays it would occasion," argued Lake. "They can't make any

circuits, if they are to do the business."

"Nevertheless," returned Belden, "their actions show that they are very

sure of their ground."

"Simply because I haven't the ready cash," said Lake bitterly. "Will you

loan it to me, Mr. Belden? If you won't go into the deal yourself, will

you loan me the money to put it through? I'll give you the stock as

security, and I think you know me well enough to know that I'll repay

every cent of it as rapidly as possible."

"My dear Horace," exclaimed Belden with frank friendliness, "I haven't

the least doubt of your integrity, but I have very serious doubts of

your ability to repay any such sum, and it is more than I care to lose.

You never have had a thousand dollars at one time in your life, and I

may say, without intending to be unkind, that it isn't likely you ever

will. As for the security, its value depends entirely on the success of

your plans: if you fail, it won't be worth ten cents. Now, if you had

any real security, upon which I could realize in case anything happened

to you, I would cheerfully let you have the money for as long a time as

you wish. Although your plan does not appeal to me, I am sincerely

anxious to be of assistance to you as far as possible, but I can't make

you a gift of twenty thousand dollars. Convince me that it will be

repaid ultimately--no matter in how long a time--and I will let you have

it."

Lake departed, discouraged. He had no security of any sort to offer, and

had only asked for the loan as a desperate last resort, without the

slightest expectation that he would get it. The company, he decided, had

beaten him, just because no one else was clear-headed enough to see the

opportunity, and he might as well get what little profit he could while

there was still time. With this object in view, he went to see the

colonel.

"I have decided," he said, "to let you have the road for a bonus of five

thousand dollars."

"That is very kind of you," returned the colonel, "but we can get it

cheaper. You see," he explained, with the disagreeable frankness of one

who thinks he holds the winning hand, "the minority stock-holders were a

little disgruntled when they learned of your deal--thought they had been

left out in the cold--and they were ready to make very favorable terms

with us. As we have a second option on the majority stock, at a somewhat

higher figure, we have only to wait until your option expires and then

take the little we need to give us control."

"I'll let you have my option for the two thousand you offered a month

ago," said Lake in desperation.

"It's not worth that to us now."

"One thousand dollars."

"Why, frankly, Mr. Lake," said the colonel still pleasantly, "we men of

some experience and standing in the business world don't like to have

half-baked financiers interfering with our plans, and we aim to

discourage them as effectually as possible whenever possible." Then,

with a sudden change of tone: "We won't give you a damn cent for your

option. You were too greedy."

"Of course, you men of money and high finance are not greedy at all,"

retorted Lake sarcastically.

Lake was too depressed to see it at the moment, but later it began to

dawn on him that the colonel, usually astute, had made a grievous

mistake. In his anxiety to impress upon the young man the futility of

his avaricious schemes, in the face of such wise and resourceful

opposition, he had mentioned the fact that the minority stock had been

brought within their reach. Had they already bought it, or had they only

secured options on it? If already purchased, the purchase price would

prove a dead loss, unless they were able to get enough more to secure

control. To parallel the road would be to kill a company in which they

were financially interested, in addition to incurring the considerable

expense necessary for a new connecting link.

Lake went to Bington that afternoon, and returned the following morning.

The game was his, if he could raise the money; they had bought most of

the minority stock outright, being unable to get options on it. He was

sure of victory now, if he could raise the money. He no longer wished to

turn the deal over to any one else on any terms: he wished to carry it

to the conclusion himself. But the money, the money!

He tried Belden again, but Belden still considered the security utterly

inadequate for a loan of twenty thousand dollars. In truth, although

Belden considered the outlook a little more promising now, he doubted

the young man's ability to handle such a deal, and it would take very

little to upset all calculations. The company's investment was not

sufficient to prevent the abandonment of the road in some very possible

circumstances, although it was ample evidence of a present plan to use

it. Murray took the same view of the situation.

"It begins to look like a good speculation," said Murray, "but I haven't

the money to invest in it, and I never was much of a speculator, anyway.

I have discovered that, as a general thing, when the possible profit

begins to climb very much over the legal rate of interest, the

probability of loss increases with it. However, if you want to take the

risk, that's your affair, provided you have the money."

"But I haven't," complained Lake; "that's the trouble."

"Too bad you're not carrying enough insurance to be of some use,"

remarked Murray.

"What good would that do?" asked Lake.

"Why, then you'd only have to convince your wife that you have a safe

investment, and it's always easier to convince your wife than it is to

convince some coldblooded capitalist. Insurance ranks high as security,

but of course the beneficiary has to consent to its use."

"I never had thought of insurance as a factor in financiering," said

Lake. "I had regarded it more as a family matter."

"It plays an important part in the business world," explained Murray,

"and it might even play a part in speculation. There is partnership

insurance, you know."

"I may have heard of it, but I never gave it any consideration."

"It's not a speculation, but a business precaution," said Murray. "The

partners are insured in favor of the firm. If one of them dies, it gives

the firm the ready cash to buy his interest from the widow, without

infringing on the business capital. Partnership insurance may sometimes

prevent a failure; it may prevent several. Many interests may depend

temporarily upon the operation of one man, and his sudden death might

spell ruin for a number of people, unless they were protected by

insurance. The policy is playing a more important part in the business

world every day. There are lots of strange things that can be done when

you fully understand it."

"But that doesn't help me," asserted Lake impatiently.

"No," returned Murray, "I don't see how insurance could help you just

now, unless you were to die. A policy won't be accepted as security for

a sum in excess of the premiums paid, for you might default."

"I'm not the kind of man who dies to win," said Lake rather sharply.

"Of course not," replied Murray. "I was merely considering the financial

possibilities of policies." All insurance questions being of absorbing

interest to Murray, he straightway forgot all about Lake's predicament,

and busied his mind with his own speculations. "There is so much that

can be done with insurance," he went on, "but I guess it's just as well

the public doesn't know it all. Do you remember the case of Rankin, the

banker who committed suicide?"

"Yes."

"Well, Rankin couldn't have done anything with our company, because the

element of premeditation is assumed if death by suicide occurs within

two years from the time the policy is issued. After that the manner of

death cuts no figure, for the courts have held that an insurance company

takes a risk on the mind as well as the body of a policy-holder, and,

anyway, competition has cut out the old suicide restrictions. But there

are companies that issue policies incontestable after the date of issue.

Suppose Rankin, when he found his affairs in such shape that he no

longer dared to face the world, had gone to one or more of these

companies. A hundred thousand dollars--very likely less--would have

protected his bank and provided for his family. He had already decided

to kill himself, for his operations had been such that he could not hope

to escape the penitentiary when discovery came, but he was ostensibly

still a prosperous man. Many men of his standing insure themselves for

extraordinarily large sums, to protect legitimately their business

interests as well as their families.

"Not so very long ago we issued a paid-up policy for fifty thousand

dollars on the life of one man, who died within three years, and we

thought nothing of it. He was taking a risk on his own life then, for he

thought he was going to live long enough to make a paid-up policy

cheaper than the aggregate of annual payments, whereas there would have

been a saving to his estate of a good many thousands of dollars if he

had followed the other plan. However, that has nothing to do with this

case; I mention it only to show that a man of Rankin's apparent standing

could have got insurance to any amount without creating comment. And,

with an incontestable-after-date-of-issue policy, he could have

protected his business associates and his family by the very culmination

of his overwhelming disgrace. Why, a defaulter could use part of his

stolen money in this way to provide for his family when the moment of

discovery and death shall come, or a dishonest business man, facing

ruin, could use his creditors' money to make such provision, for

insurance money is something sacred, that can not be reached like the

rest of an estate. Oh, there are great dramatic possibilities in this

business, Lake--tragedies and comedies and dramas of which the public

knows nothing."

"How does that help me?" demanded Lake gloomily, and the question

brought Murray back to the realities of the moment.

"It doesn't help you," Murray replied, "but it's an intensely

interesting subject to one who gives it a little time and thought."

Yet it did help Lake, although not at that moment. It was a new field,

and Lake liked to explore new fields. A novelty that taxed his ingenuity

appealed to him especially. True, he had enough to occupy his mind

without entering upon idle speculation, but, when every other avenue to

success seemed closed, his thoughts would revert to insurance.

"If it holds out such opportunities for others, why not for me?" he

asked. "If others have entirely overlooked the possibilities, why may

not I be doing the same thing?"

He met the colonel on the street occasionally, and the way the colonel

smiled at him was maddening. There could be no doubt that the colonel

considered the game won, but he was not a man to take chances: he had

Lake watched, and the latter's every move was reported to him. Even when

Lake made another trip to Bington and endeavored to arrange a shrewd

deal with some of the majority stock-holders, the colonel promptly heard

of it.

"Accept my notes in payment for the stock," Lake urged on that occasion,

"and I'll let you in on the profits of the deal. The traction company

has got to get this road, but you can't hold it up for a big price,

because you were foolish enough to give it a second option. I can do it,

however. Let me have the stock, and you can divide up among yourselves

half of all I get in excess of the option price. My notes will be paid,

and you will have a bonus of twelve or fifteen thousand dollars."

But the stock-holders were conservative and cautious men, and the very

fact that Lake could not command the money that he needed made them

suspicious. As matters stood, they were sure of getting out of a losing

venture with a small profit--at least, so it seemed to them--and they

preferred that to the risk of losing everything in an effort to secure a

larger profit. Furthermore, they were now on the side of the colonel,

for his option was at a larger price. And the colonel was very

confident--so confident that work was being rushed on details that would

prove valueless without the Bington road. This was what made Lake

desperately angry; it was humiliating to be treated as a helpless

weakling.

As valuable time passed, his mind reverted again to the insurance field.

His opportunity--the opportunity of a lifetime--was almost lost. The

colonel, wishing to lose no time, had arranged for a meeting with

certain of the majority stock-holders the day the first option expired.

The option expired at noon, and the colonel would be ready to take over

what stock he needed at one minute after the noon hour. This would not

be very much, in view of the minority stock he already held, but the

sanguine stock-holders did not know this: they expected him to take all

of it.

"Some of them are going to find they're tricked, just as I am," Lake

grumbled. "If I could only convince Belden of the ultimate absolute

security of a loan! He wants to help me; he's ready to be convinced;

but--"

People passing saw this moody, depressed young man stop short in the

street and his eye light with sudden hope.

"By thunder!" he exclaimed. "Of course, I can protect him against

unforeseen disaster, if he has confidence in my integrity!"

He was almost jubilant when he entered Belden's office.

"Got the money?" asked Belden.

"No; but I know how to get it," replied Lake. "You believe in my

honesty, don't you?"

"Implicitly."

"You merely doubt my ability?"

"Your financial ability," explained Belden. "You will do what you agree

to do--if you can. I have no earthly doubt of your willingness, even

anxiety, to repay every obligation you may incur, but, added to other

risks, there is the possibility of accident."

"If I eliminate that?"

"You may have the money."

"On long time?"

"The time and the terms are immaterial."

"I'll come for it later," announced Lake, and he departed, leaving

Belden puzzled and curious.

Once outside, Lake stopped to do a little mental figuring before taking

up the other details of his plan.

"I advanced five hundred to bind the option," he reflected. "That leaves

nineteen thousand five hundred necessary to put the deal through. Twenty

thousand from Belden will give me just the margin I need."

Murray was as much puzzled and surprised by the change in the man as

Belden had been, and Murray, like Belden, was anxious to help him in any

reasonably safe way.

"Am I good for five hundred for thirty days, if I give you my positive

assurance that I know exactly how I am going to pay it in that time?"

asked Lake.

"Why, yes," replied Murray. "On short-time figuring you're a pretty safe

man."

"Draw me a check for it, and I'll give you my thirty-day note," said

Lake, "and my verbal assurance that it's a cinch."

Murray noted the confidence of Lake's tone and manner, and drew the

check.

"What are you going to do with it?" he asked.

"Pay a life insurance premium," laughed Lake. "Give me an application

blank and round up a medical examiner. I want a twenty-year endowment

policy for twenty thousand dollars, and I want it put through like a

limited express that's trying to make up time."

"I suppose you know what you're doing," said Murray doubtfully.

"You bet I do!" Lake spoke confidently.

"Oh, very well," remarked Murray. "I don't see how I can refuse business

for the company, even if I stand to lose."

"You won't lose," declared Lake with joyous enthusiasm. "I'm going to

show you a new trick in the line of insurance financiering."

After that, Lake haunted Murray's office, and grew daily more anxious.

He was a good risk, but certain formalities were necessary, and these

took time, although Murray did his utmost to shorten the routine. Lake's

nervousness increased; he had Murray telegraph the home office; he grew

haggard, for he had not counted on this delay; but finally, in the

moment of almost utter despair, the policy was delivered to him. An hour

later he was in Belden's office.

"I want twenty thousand at four per cent., payable at the rate of one

thousand a year, with interest!" he cried. "I'll pay it, to a certainty,

within sixty days, but I'm trying to make it look more reasonable, to

satisfy you. You believe I can pay one thousand a year, don't you?"

"If you live."

"If I don't," exclaimed Lake, "there is insurance for twenty thousand in

my wife's favor, and duly assigned to you," and he banged the policy

down on the desk in front of the astonished Belden. "You can trust me to

take care of the premiums, can't you?"

"Your integrity I never doubted," replied Belden, "and that obligation

should be within your means."

"My rule of life shall be: the premiums first, the payments on the note

next," declared Lake. "If I fall behind in the latter, the security will

still be good. I only ask that anything in excess of what may be due

you, in case of my death, shall go to my wife, and she, of course,

becomes the sole beneficiary the moment you are paid. But, for the love

of heaven, hurry!"

Instead of hurrying, Belden leaned back in his chair and looked at the

young man with bewildered admiration.

"Such ingenuity," he said at last, "ought not to go unrewarded. As a

strict business proposition, your plan would hardly find favor with a

conservative banker, but, as a matter of friendship and confidence--" He

reached for his check-book. "Such a head as yours is worth a risk," he

added a moment later.

Lake reached the office of the Bington road at 11:30 on the day his

option expired. The colonel was already there, waiting. So were some of

the majority stock-holders. The colonel was confident and unusually

loquacious.

"Now that the matter is practically settled," he remarked with the

cheerful frankness of a man who has won, "I may admit that the young man

had us up a tree. He succeeded in putting the other route through

Bington practically beyond our reach, and forced us to take the risk of

doing business with the minority stock-holders at a possible dead loss.

But we knew he didn't have the money, so we went ahead with our plans

and our work without delay. A little ready cash--"

It was then that Lake entered and deposited a small satchel on the long

table.

"I will take the stock under my option," he announced briefly to such of

the majority stock-holders as were present. "I think I have got all I

need, with the exception of what is represented by you gentlemen. It has

been a pretty busy morning for me." He emptied the stock certificates

already acquired and some bundles of bank-notes on the table. "Colonel,"

he said with a joyous and triumphant laugh, "you'd better sit up and

begin to take notice."

The colonel's attitude and air of easy confidence already had changed,

and his look of amazement and dismay was almost laughable.

"Quick, gentlemen," cautioned Lake, with a glance at the clock. "I've

tendered the money in time, but I'll feel a little more comfortable when

I have the rest of the needed stock."

Like one in a dream the colonel leaned over the table and watched the

transaction.

"Do--do you want to sell some of that stock?" he asked at last.

"No," replied Lake; "I don't want to sell some of it; I want to sell all

of it."

"We don't need all of it," said the colonel.

"Well, I'll tell you what I'll do," returned Lake magnanimously. "I'll

sell you all or any part of it for fifty thousand dollars."

"On the basis of fifty thousand for your entire holdings?" asked the

colonel.

"No; at the set price of fifty thousand for whatever you take."

"Too much," said the colonel.

"As you please," said Lake carelessly. "The price of the control of the

Bington road goes up one thousand dollars a day. It's dirt cheap at

fifty thousand now, but, of course, if you don't need it, Colonel, the

bargain price doesn't interest you."

The colonel did need it; in fact, the company, in its sublime

confidence, had put itself in a position where failure to get it meant a

considerable loss.

"On second thought," remarked Lake, "I'll have to add a thousand to

compensate me for the indignity of being called a half-baked financier.

Do you remember that, Colonel?"

"We'll take it," said the colonel resignedly. Then he added

reflectively: "You've made a pretty good thing out of this, Lake."

"Fair, fair," replied Lake. "After I've repaid the twenty thousand five

hundred that I borrowed, I'll have thirty thousand five hundred left,

not to mention an insurance policy for twenty thousand in favor of my

wife, with the first premium paid. You ought to study the insurance

question, Colonel. There are wonderful financial possibilities in it,

and some day, perhaps, you will wake up to the fact that insurance beat

you in this deal."

The Best Policy · 第 9 / 18 题