VERIFIABLE PROGRESS POLITICALLY CONSIDERED.

The original publication of these essays was interrupted by serious

illness and by long consequent ill--health, I and now that I am putting

them together I wish to add another which shall shortly explain the

main thread of the argument which they contain. In doing so there is a

risk of tedious repetition, but on a subject both obscure and

important, any defect is better than an appearance of vagueness.

In a former essay I attempted to show that slighter causes than is

commonly thought may change a nation from the stationary to the

progressive state of civilisation, and from the stationary to the

degrading. Commonly the effect of the agent is looked on in the wrong

way. It is considered as operating on every individual in the nation,

and it is assumed, or half assumed, that it is only the effect which

the agent directly produces on everyone that need be considered. But

besides this diffused effect of the first impact of the cause, there is

a second effect, always considerable, and commonly more potent--a new

model in character is created for the nation; those characters which

resemble it are encouraged and multiplied; those contrasted with it are

persecuted and made fewer. In a generation or two, the look of the

nation, becomes quite different; the characteristic men who stand out

are different, the men imitated are different; the result of the

imitation is different. A lazy nation may be changed into an

industrious, a rich into a poor, a religious into a profane, as if by

magic, if any single cause, though slight, or any combination of

causes, however subtle, is strong enough to change the favourite and

detested types of character.

This principle will, I think, help us in trying to solve the question

why so few nations have progressed, though to us progress seems so

natural-what is the cause or set of causes which have prevented that

progress in the vast majority of cases, and produced it in the feeble

minority. But there is a preliminary difficulty: What is progress, and

what is decline? Even in the animal world there is no applicable rule

accepted by physiologists, which settles what animals are higher or

lower than others; there are controversies about it. Still more then in

the more complex combinations and politics of human beings it is likely

to be hard to find an agreed criterion for saying which nation is

before another, or what age of a nation was marching forward and which

was falling back. Archbishop Manning would have one rule of progress

and decline; Professor Huxley, in most important points, quite an

opposite rule; what one would set down as an advance, the other would

set down as a retreat. Each has a distinct end which he wishes and a

distinct calamity which he fears, but the desire of the one is pretty

near the fear of the other; books would not hold the controversy

between them. Again, in art, who is to settle what is advance and what

decline? Would Mr. Buskin agree with anyone else on this subject, would

he even agree with himself or could any common enquirer venture to say

whether he was right or wrong?

I am afraid that I must, as Sir Wm. Hamilton used to say, 'truncate a

problem which I cannot solve.' I must decline to sit in judgment on

disputed points of art, morals, or religion. But without so doing I

think there is such a thing as 'verifiable progress,' if we may say so;

that is, progress which ninety-nine hundredths or more of mankind will

admit to be such, against which there is no established or organised

opposition creed, and the objectors to which, essentially varying in

opinion themselves, and believing one thing and another the reverse,

may be safely and altogether rejected.

Let us consider in what a village of English colonists is superior to a

tribe of Australian natives who roam about them. Indisputably in one,

and that a main sense, they are superior. They can beat the Australians

in war when they like; they can take from them anything they like, and

kill any of them they choose. As a rule, in all the outlying and

uncontested districts of the world, the aboriginal native lies at the

mercy of the intruding European. 'Nor is this all. Indisputably in the

English village there are more means of happiness, a greater

accumulation of the instruments of enjoyment, than in the Australian

tribe. "The English have all manner of books, utensils, and machines

which the others do not use, value, or understand. And in addition, and

beyond particular inventions, there is a general strength which is

capable of being used in conquering a thousand difficulties, and is an

abiding source of happiness, because those who possess it always feel

that they can use it."

If we omit the higher but disputed topics of morals and religion, we

shall find, I think, that the plainer and agreed--on superiorities of

the Englishmen are these: first, that they have a greater command over

the powers of nature upon the whole. Though they may fall short of

individual Australians in certain feats of petty skill, though they may

not throw the boomerang as well, or light a fire with earthsticks as

well, yet on the whole twenty Englishmen with their implements and

skill can change the material world immeasurably more than twenty

Australians and their machines. Secondly, that this power is not

external only; it is also internal. The English not only possess better

machines for moving nature, but are themselves better machines. Mr.

Babbage taught us years ago that one great use of machinery was not to

augment the force of man, but to register and regulate the power of

man; and this in a thousand ways civilised man can do, and is ready to

do, better and more precisely than the barbarian. Thirdly, | civilised

man not only has greater powers over nature, but knows better how to

use them, and by better I here mean better for the health and comfort

of his present body and mind. He can lay up for old age, which a savage

having no durable means of sustenance cannot; he is ready to lay up

because he can distinctly foresee the future, which the vague--minded

savage cannot; he is mainly desirous of gentle, continuous pleasure, I

whereas the barbarian likes wild excitement, and longs for stupefying

repletion. Much, if not all, of these three ways may be summed up in

Mr. Spencer's phrase, that progress is an increase of adaptation of man

to his environment, that is, of his internal powers and wishes to his

external lot and life. Something of it too is expressed in the old

pagan idea 'mens sana in corpore sano.' And I think this sort of

progress may be fairly investigated quite separately, as it is progress

in a sort of good everyone worth reckoning with admits and I agrees in.

No doubt there will remain people like the aged savage, who in his old

age went back to his savage tribe and said that he had 'tried

civilisation for forty years, and it was not worth the trouble.' But we

need not take account of the mistaken ideas of unfit men and beaten

races. On the whole the plainer sort of civilisation, the simpler moral

training, and the more elementary education are plain benefits. And

though there may be doubt as to the edges of the conception yet there

certainly is a broad road of 'verifiable progress' which not only

discoverers and admirers will like, but which all those who come upon

it will use and value.

Unless some kind of abstraction like this is made in the subject the

great problem 'What causes progress?' will, I am confident, long remain

unsolved. Unless we are content to solve simple problems first, the

whole history of philosophy teaches that we shall never solve hard

problems. This is the maxim of scientific humility so often insisted on

by the highest enquirers that, in investigations, as in life, those

'who exalt themselves shall be abased, and those who humble themselves

shall be exalted;' and though we may seem mean only to look for the

laws of plain comfort and simple present happiness, yet we must work

out that simple case first, before we encounter the incredibly harder

additional difficulties of the higher art, morals and religion.

The difficulty of solving the problem even thus limited is exceedingly

great. The most palpable facts, are exactly the contrary to what we

should expect. Lord Macaulay tells us that 'In every experimental

science there is a tendency towards perfection. In every human being

there is a tendency to ameliorate his condition;' and these two

principles operating everywhere and always, might well have been

expected to 'carry mankind rapidly forward.' Indeed, taking verifiable

progress in the sense which has just been given to it, we may say that

nature gives a prize to every single step in it. Everyone that makes an

invention that benefits himself or those around him, is likely to be

more comfortable himself and to be more respected by those around him.

To produce new things 'serviceable to man's life and conducive to man's

estate,' is, we should say, likely to bring increased happiness to the

producer. It often brings immense reward certainly now; a new form of

good steel pen, a way of making some kind of clothes a little better or

a little cheaper, have brought men great fortunes. And there is the

same kind of prize for industrial improvement in the earliest times as

in the latest; though the benefits so obtainable in early society are

poor indeed in comparison with those of advanced society. Nature is

like a schoolmaster, at least in this, she gives her finest prizes to

her high and most instructed classes; Still, even in the earliest

society, nature helps those who can help themselves, and helps them

very much.

All this should have made the progress of mankind--progress at least in

this limited sense-exceedingly common; but, in fact, any progress is

extremely rare. As a rule (and as has been insisted on before) a

stationary state is by far the most frequent condition of man, as far

as history describes that condition; the progressive state is only a

rare and an occasional exception. Before history began there must have

been in the nation which writes it much progress; else there could have

been no history. It is a great advance in civilisation to be able to

describe the common facts of life, and perhaps, if we were to examine

it, we should find that it was at least an equal advance to wish to

describe them. But very few races have made this step of progress; very

few have been capable even of the meanest sort of history; and as for

writing such a history as that of Thucydides, most nations could as

soon have constructed a planet. When history begins to record, she

finds most of the races incapable of history, arrested, unprogressive,

and pretty much where they are now.

Why, then, have not the obvious and natural causes of progress (as we

should call them) produced those obvious and natural effects? Why have

the real fortunes of mankind been so different from the fortunes which

we should expect? This is the problem which in various forms I have

taken up in these papers, and this is the outline of the solution which

I have attempted to propose.

The progress of MAN requires the co--operation of MEN for its

development. That which any one man or any one family could invent for

themselves is obviously exceedingly limited. And even if this were not

true, isolated progress could never be traced. The rudest sort of

cooperative society, the lowest tribe and the feeblest government, is

so much stronger than isolated man, that isolated man (if he ever

existed in any shape which could be called man), might very easily have

ceased to exist. The first principle of the subject is that man can

only progress in 'co-operative groups;' I might say tribes and nations,

but I use the less common word because few people would at once see

that tribes and nations ARE co-operative groups, and that it is their

being so which makes their value; that unless you can make a strong

co-operative bond, your society will be conquered and killed out by

some other society which has such a bond; and the second principle is

that the members of such a group should be similar enough to one

another to co-operate easily and readily together. The co-operation in

all such cases depends on a FELT UNION of heart and spirit; and this is

only felt when there is a great degree of real likeness in mind and

feeling, however that likeness may have been attained.

This needful co-operation and this requisite likeness I believe to have

been produced by one of the strongest yokes (as we should think if it

were to be reimposed now) and the most terrible tyrannies ever known

among men--the authority of 'customary law.', In its earlier stage this

is no pleasant power--no 'rosewater' authority, as Carlyle would have

called it--but a stern, incessant, implacable rule. And the rule is

often of most childish origin, beginning in a casual superstition or

local accident. 'These people,' says Captain Palmer of the Fiji,' are

very conservative. A chief was one day going over a mountain-path

followed by a long string of his people, when he happened to stumble

and fall; all the rest of the people immediately did the same except

one man, who was set upon by the rest to know whether he considered

himself better than the chief.' What can be worse than a life regulated

by that sort of obedience, and that sort of imitation? This is, of

course, a bad specimen, but the nature of customary law as we

everywhere find it in its earliest stages is that of coarse casual

comprehensive usage, beginning, we cannot tell how, deciding, we cannot

tell why, but ruling everyone in almost every action with an inflexible

grasp.

The necessity of thus forming co-operative groups by fixed customs

explains the necessity of isolation in early society. As a matter of

fact all great nations have been prepared in privacy and in secret.

They have been composed far away from all distraction. Greece, Borne,

Judaea, were framed each by itself, and the antipathy of each to men of

different race and different speech is one of their most marked

peculiarities, and quite their strongest common property. And the

instinct of early ages is a right guide for the needs of early ages.

Intercourse with foreigners then broke down in states the fixed rules

which were forming their characters, so as to be a cause of weak fibre

of mind, of desultory and unsettled action; the living spectacle of an

admitted unbelief destroys the binding authority of religious custom

and snaps the social cord.

Thus we see the use of a sort of 'preliminary' age in societies, when

trade is bad because it prevents the separation of nations, because it

infuses distracting ideas among occupied communities, because it

'brings alien minds to alien shores. And as the trade which we now

think of as an incalculable good, is in that age a formidable evil and

destructive calamity; so war and conquest, which we commonly and justly

see to be now evils, are in that age often singular benefits and great

advantages. It is only by the competition of customs that bad customs

can be eliminated and good customs multiplied. Conquest is the premium

given by nature to those national characters which their national

customs have made most fit to win in war, and in many most material

respects those winning characters are really the best characters. The

characters which do win in war are the characters which we should wish

to win in war.

Similarly, the best institutions have a natural military advantage over

bad institutions. The first great victory of civilisation was the

conquest of nations with ill-defined families having legal descent

through the mother only, by nations of definite families tracing

descent through the father as well as the mother, or through the father

only. Such compact families are a much better basis for military

discipline than the ill-bound families which indeed seem hardly to be

families at all, where 'paternity' is, for tribal purposes, an

unrecognised idea, and where only the physical fact of 'maternity' is

thought to be certain enough to be the foundation of law or custom. The

nations with a thoroughly compacted family system have 'possessed the

earth,' that is, they have taken all the finest districts in the most

competed-for parts; and the nations with loose systems have been merely

left to mountain ranges and lonely islands. The family system and that

in its highest form has been so exclusively the system of civilisation,

that literature hardly recognises any other, and that, if it were not

for the living testimony of a great multitude of scattered communities

which are 'fashioned after the structure of the elder world,' we should

hardly admit the possibility of something so contrary to all which we

have lived amongst, and which we have been used to think of. After such

an example of the fragmentary nature of the evidence it is in

comparison easy to believe that hundreds of strange institutions may

have passed away and have left behind them not only no memorial, but

not even a trace or a vestige to help the imagination to figure what

they were.

I cannot expand the subject, but in the same way the better religions

have had a great physical advantage, if I may say so, over the worse.

They have given what I may call a CONFIDENCE IN THE UNIVERSE. The

savage subjected to a mean superstition, is afraid to walk simply about

the world--he cannot do THIS because it is ominous, or he must do THAT

because it is lucky, or he cannot do anything at all till the gods have

spoken and given him leave to begin. But under the higher religions

there is no similar slavery and no similar terror.

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