Substitute Great Britain for Russia and Germany for Japan in

BRITAIN AT BAY

BY

SPENSER WILKINSON

New York

1909

TO MY CHILDREN

CONTENTS

CHAPTER

I. THE NATION AND THE PARTIES

II. DEFEAT

III. FORCE AND RIGHT

IV. ARBITRATION AND DISARMAMENT

V. THE NATIONALISATION OF WAR

VI. THE BALANCE OF POWER

VII. THE RISE OF GERMANY

VIII. NATIONHOOD NEGLECTED

IX. NEW CONDITIONS

X. DYNAMICS--THE QUESTION OF MIGHT

XI. POLICY--THE QUESTION OF RIGHT

XII. THE NATION

XIII. THE EFFECT OF THE NATIONALISATION OF WAR UPON LEADERSHIP

XIV. THE NEEDS OF THE NAVY

XV. ENGLAND'S MILITARY PROBLEM

XVI. TWO SYSTEMS CONTRASTED

XVII. A NATIONAL ARMY

XVIII. THE COST

XIX. ONE ARMY NOT TWO

XX. THE TRANSITION

XXI. THE PRINCIPLES ON WHICH ARMIES ARE RAISED

XXII. THE CHAIN OF DUTY

Chapters XIV. to XX. have appeared as articles in the _Morning Post_

and are by kind permission reproduced without substantial change.

I.

THE NATION AND THE PARTIES

"I do not believe in the perfection of the British constitution as an

instrument of war ... it is evident that there is something in your

machinery that is wrong." These were the words of the late Marquis of

Salisbury, speaking as Prime Minister in his place in the House of Lords

on the 30th of January 1900. They amounted to a declaration by the

British Government that it could not govern, for the first business of a

Government is to be able to defend the State of which it has charge,

that is, to carry on war. Strange to say, the people of England were

undisturbed by so striking an admission of national failure.

On the 16th of March 1909 came a new declaration from another Prime

Minister. Mr. Asquith, on the introduction of the Navy Estimates,

explained to the House of Commons that the Government had been surprised

at the rate at which the new German navy was being constructed, and at

the rapid growth of Germany's power to build battleships. But it is the

first duty of a Government to provide for national security and to

provide means to foresee. A Government that is surprised in a matter

relating to war is already half defeated.

The creation of the German navy is the creation of means that could be

used to challenge Great Britain's sea power and all that depends upon

it. There has been no such challenge these hundred years, no challenge

so formidable as that represented by the new German fleet these three

hundred years. It brings with it a crisis in the national life of

England as great as has ever been known; yet this crisis finds the

British nation divided, unready and uncertain what leadership it is to

expect.

The dominant fact, the fact that controls all others, is that from now

onwards Great Britain has to face the stern reality of war, immediately

by way of preparation and possibly at any moment by way of actual

collision. England is drifting into a quarrel with Germany which, if it

cannot be settled, involves a struggle for the mastery with the

strongest nation that the world has yet seen--a nation that, under the

pressure of necessity, has learnt to organise itself for war as for

peace; that sets its best minds to direct its preparations for war;

that has an army of four million citizens, and that is of one mind in

the determination to make a navy that shall fear no antagonist. A

conflict of this kind is the test of nations, not only of their strength

but also of their righteousness or right to be. It has two aspects. It

is first of all a quarrel and then a fight, and if we are to enter into

it without fear of destruction we must fulfil two conditions: in the

quarrel we must be in the right, in the fight we must win. The two

conditions are inseparable. If there is a doubt about the justice of our

cause we shall be divided among ourselves, and it will be impossible for

us to put forth the strength of a united nation.

Have we really a quarrel with Germany? Is she doing us any wrong? Some

of our people seem to think so, though I find it hard to say in what the

wrong consists. Are we doing her any wrong? Some Germans seem to think

so, and it behoves us, if we can, to find out what the German grievance

is.

Suppose that there is a cause for quarrel, hidden at present but sooner

or later to be revealed. What likelihood is there that we shall be able

to make good our case in arms, and to satisfy the world and posterity

that we deserved to win?

Germany can build fleets as fast as we can, and although we have a start

the race will not be easy for us; she has the finest school of war that

ever existed, against which we have to set an Admiralty so much

mistrusted that at this moment a committee of the Cabinet is inquiring

into its efficiency.

Is it not time for us to find the answer to the question raised by Lord

Salisbury nine years ago, to ascertain what it is that interferes with

the perfection of the British constitution as an instrument of war, and

to set right what is wrong with our machinery?

The truth is that we have ceased to be a nation; we have forgotten

nationhood, and have become a conglomerate of classes, parties,

factions, and sects. That is the disease. The remedy consists in

reconstituting ourselves as a nation.

What is a nation? The inhabitants of a country constituted as one body

to secure their corporate being and well-being. The nation is all of us,

and its government is trusteeship for us all in order to give us peace

and security, and in order that in peace and security we may make each

other's lives worth living by doing each the best work he can. The

nature of a nation may be seen by distinguishing it from the other

nations outside and from the parties within. The mark of a nation is

sovereignty, which means, as regards other nations, the right and the

power to make peace with them or to carry on war against them, and

which means, as regards those within, the right and the power to command

them.

A nation is a people constituted as a State, maintaining and supporting

a Government which is at once the embodiment of right and the wielder of

force. If the right represented by the Government is challenged, either

without or within, the Government asserts it by force, and in either

case disposes, to any extent that may be required, of the property, the

persons, and the lives of its subjects.

A party, according to the classical theory of the British constitution,

is a body of men within the State who are agreed in regarding some

measure or some principle as so vital to the State that, in order to

secure the adoption of the measure or the acceptance of the principle,

they are willing to sink all differences of opinion on other matters,

and to work together for the one purpose which they are agreed in

regarding as fundamental.

The theory of party government is based on the assumption that there

must always be some measure or some principle in regard to which the

citizens of the same country will differ so strongly as to subordinate

their private convictions on other matters to their profound convictions

in regard to the one great question. It is a theory of permanent civil

war carried on through the forms of parliamentary debate and popular

election, and, indeed, the two traditional parties are the political

descendants of the two sides which in the seventeenth century were

actually engaged in civil war. For the ordinary purposes of the domestic

life of the country the system has its advantages, but they are coupled

with grave drawbacks. The party system destroys the sincerity of our

political life, and introduces a dangerous dilettantism into the

administration of public business.

A deliberative assembly like the House of Commons can reach a decision

only by there being put from the chair a question to which the answer

must be either Yes or No. It is evidently necessary to the sincerity of

such decisions that the answer given by each member shall in every case

be the expression of his conviction regarding the right answer to the

question put. If every member in every division were to vote according

to his own judgment and conscience upon the question put, there would be

a perpetual circulation of members between the Ayes to the right and the

Noes to the left. The party system prevents this. It obliges each member

on every important occasion to vote with his leaders and to follow the

instruction of the whips. In this way the division of opinion produced

by some particular question or measure is, as far as possible, made

permanent and dominant, and the freedom of thought and of deliberation

is confined within narrow limits.

Thus there creeps into the system an element of insincerity which has

been enormously increased since the extension of the franchise and the

consequent organisation of parties in the country. Thirty or forty years

ago the caucus was established in all the constituencies, in each of

which was formed a party club, association, or committee, for the

purpose of securing at parliamentary elections the success of the party

candidate. The association, club, or committee consists, as regards its

active or working portion, of a very small percentage of the voters even

of its own party, but it is affiliated to the central organisation and

in practice it controls the choice of candidates.

What is the result? That the affairs of the nation are entirely given

over to be disputed between the two organised parties, whose leaders are

compelled, in shaping their policy and in thinking about public affairs,

to consider first and foremost the probable effect of what they will do

and of what they will say upon the active members of the caucus of their

own party in the constituencies. The frame of mind of the members of the

caucus is that of men who regard the opposite caucus as the adversary.

But the adversary of a nation can only be another nation.

In this way the leaders of both parties, the men who fill the places

which, in a well-organised nation, would be assigned to statesmen, are

placed in it position in which statesmanship is almost impossible. A

statesman would be devoted solely to the nation. He would think first,

second, and third of the nation. Security would be his prime object, and

upon that basis he would aim at the elevation of the characters and of

the lives of the whole population. But our leaders cannot possibly think

first, second, and third of the nation. They have to think at least as

much of the next election and of the opinions of their supporters. In

this way their attention is diverted from that observation of other

nations which is essential for the maintenance of security. Moreover,

they are obliged to dwell on subjects directly intelligible to and

appreciable by the voters in the constituencies, and are thereby

hindered from giving either the time or the attention which they would

like to any of those problems of statesmanship which require close and

arduous study for their solution. The wonder is in these conditions that

they do their work so well, and maintain undiminished the reputation of

English public men for integrity and ability.

Yet what at the present moment is the principle about which parties are

divided? Is there any measure or any principle at issue which is really

vital to Great Britain? Is there anything in dispute between the parties

which would not be abandoned and forgotten at the first shot fired in a

war between England and a great continental nation? I am convinced that

that first shot must cause the scales to fall from men's eyes; that it

must make every one realise that our divisions are comparative trifles

and that for years we have been wasting time over them. But if we wait

for the shock of war to arouse us to a sense of reality and to estimate

our party differences at their true value, it will be too late. We shall

wring our hands in vain over our past blindness and the insight we shall

then have obtained will avail us nothing.

The party system has another consequence which will not stand scrutiny

in the light of reality; it is dilettantism in the conduct of the

nation's principal business. Some of the chief branches of the executive

work of government are the provinces of special arts and sciences, each

of which to master requires the work of a lifetime. Of such a kind are

the art of carrying on war, whether by sea or land, the art of

conducting foreign relations, which involves a knowledge of all the

other great States and their policies, and the direction of the

educational system, which cannot possibly be properly conducted except

by an experienced educator. But the system gives the direction of each

of these branches to one of the political leaders forming the Cabinet or

governing committee, and the practice is to consider as disqualified

from membership of that committee any man who has given his life either

to war, to foreign policy, or to education. Yet by its efficiency in

these matters the nation must stand or fall. By all means let us be

chary of lightly making changes in the constitution or in the

arrangements of government. But, if the security and continued existence

of the nation are in question, must we not scrutinise our methods of

government with a view to make sure that they accord with the necessary

conditions of success in a national struggle for existence?

I am well aware that the train of thought to which I have tried to give

expression is unpopular, and that most people think that any

modification of the traditional party system is impracticable. But the

question is not whether the system is popular; it is whether it will

enable the country to stand in the hour of trial. If the system is

inefficient and fails to enable the nation to carry on with success the

functions necessary for its preservation and if at the same time it is

impracticable to change it, then nothing can avert ruin from this

country. Yet I believe that a very large number of my countrymen are in

fact thinking each for himself the thoughts which I am trying to

express. They are perhaps not the active members of the caucus of either

party, but they are men who, if they see the need, will not shrink from

exertions or from sacrifices which they believe to be useful or

necessary to the country. It is to them that the following pages are an

appeal. I appeal with some confidence because what I shall try to show

to be necessary is not so much a change of institutions as a change of

spirit; not a new constitution but a return to a true way of looking at

public and private life. My contention is that the future of England

depends entirely upon the restoration of duty, of which the nation is

the symbol, to its proper place in our lives.

II.

DEFEAT

Great Britain is drifting unintentionally and half unconsciously into a

war with the German Empire, a State which has a population of sixty

millions and is better organised for war than any State has ever been in

modern times. For such a conflict, which may come about to-morrow, and

unless a great change takes place must come about in the near future,

Great Britain is not prepared.

The food of our people and the raw material of their industries come to

this country by sea, and the articles here produced go by sea to their

purchasers abroad. Every transaction carries with it a certain profit

which makes it possible. If the exporter and the manufacturer who

supplies him can make no profit they cannot continue their operations,

and the men who work for them must lose their employment.

Suppose Great Britain to be to-morrow at war with one or more of the

Great Powers of Europe. All the sailing vessels and slow steamers will

stop running lest they should be taken by hostile cruisers. The fast

steamers will have to pay war rates of insurance and to charge extra

freights. Steamers ready to leave foreign ports for this country will

wait for instructions and for news. On the outbreak of war, therefore,

this over-sea traffic must be greatly diminished in volume and carried

on with enormously increased difficulties. The supply of food would be

considerably reduced and the certainty of the arrival of any particular

cargo would have disappeared. The price of food must therefore rapidly

and greatly rise, and that alone would immediately impose very great

hardships on the whole of the working class, of which a considerable

part would be driven across the line which separates modern comfort from

the starvation margin. The diminution in the supply of the raw materials

of manufacture would be much greater and more immediate. Something like

half the manufacturers of Great Britain must close their works for want

of materials. But will the other half be able to carry on? Foreign

orders they cannot possibly execute, because there can be no certainty

of the delivery of the goods; and even if they could, the price at which

they could deliver them with a profit would be much higher than it is in

peace. For with a diminished supply the price of raw material must go

up, the cost of marine insurance must be added, together with the extra

wages necessary to enable the workmen to live with food at an enhanced

price.

Thus the effect of the greater difficulty of sea communication must be

to destroy the margin of profit which enables the British capitalist to

carry on his works, while the effect of all these causes taken together

on the credit system upon which our whole domestic economy reposes will

perhaps be understood by business men. Even if this state of things

should last only a few months, it certainly involves the transfer to

neutrals of all trade that is by possibility transferable. Foreign

countries will give their orders for cotton, woollen, and iron goods to

the United States, France, Switzerland, and Austro-Hungary, and at the

conclusion of peace the British firms that before supplied them, if they

have not in the meantime become bankrupt, will find that their customers

have formed new connections.

The shrinkage of credit would bring a multitude of commercial failures;

the diminution of trade and the cessation of manufactures a great many

more. The unemployed would be counted by the million, and would have to

be kept at the public expense or starve.

If in the midst of these misfortunes, caused by the mere fact of war,

should come the news of defeat at sea, still more serious consequences

must follow. After defeat at sea all regular and secure communication

between Great Britain, her Colonies, and India comes to an end. With the

terrible blow to Britain's reputation which defeat at sea must bring,

what will be the position of the 100,000 British in India who for a

century have governed a population of nearly 300,000,000? What can the

Colonies do to help Great Britain under such conditions? For the command

of the sea nothing, and even if each of them had a first-rate army, what

would be the use of those armies to this country in her hour of need?

They cannot be brought to Europe unless the British navy commands the

sea.

These are some of the material consequences of defeat. But what of its

spiritual consequences? We have brought up our children in the pride of

a great nation, and taught them of an Empire on which the sun never

sets. What shall we say to them in the hour of defeat and after the

treaty of peace imposed by the victor? They will say: "Find us work and

we will earn our bread and in due time win back the greatness that has

been lost." But how are they to earn their bread? In this country half

the employers will have been ruined by the war. The other half will have

lost heavily, and much of the wealth even of the very rich will have

gone to keep alive the innumerable multitude of starving unemployed.

These will be advised after the war to emigrate. To what country?

Englishmen, after defeat, will everywhere be at a discount. Words will

not describe, and the imagination cannot realise, the suffering of a

defeated nation living on an island which for fifty years has not

produced food enough for its population.

The material and spiritual results of defeat can easily be recognised by

any one who takes the trouble to think about the question, though only

experience either at first hand or supplied by history can enable a man

fully to grasp its terrible nature. But a word must be said on the

social and political consequences inseparable from the wreck of a State

whose Government has been unable to fulfil its prime function, that of

providing security for the national life. All experience shows that in

such cases men do not take their troubles calmly. They are filled with

passion. Their feelings find vent in the actions to which their previous

currents of thought tended. The working class, long accustomed by its

leaders to regard the capitalists as a class with interests and aims

opposed to its own, will hardly be able in the stress of unemployment

and of famine to change its way of thinking. The mass of the workmen,

following leaders whose judgment may not perhaps be of the soundest but

who will undoubtedly sincerely believe that the doctrines with which

they have grown up are true, may assail the existing social order and

lay the blame of their misfortunes upon the class which has hitherto had

the government of the country in its hands and has supplied the leaders

of both political parties. The indignation which would inspire this

movement would not be altogether without justification, for it cannot be

denied that both political parties have for many years regarded

preparation for war and all that belongs to it as a minor matter,

subordinate to the really far less important questions relying upon

which each side has sought to win sufficient votes to secure a party

majority.

Why do I discuss the hypothesis of British defeat rather than that of

British victory? Because it is the invariable practice of the masters of

war to consider first the disagreeable possibilities and to make

provision for them. But also because, according to every one of the

tests which can be applied, the probability of defeat for Great Britain

in the present state of Europe is exceedingly great. Rarely has a State

unready for conflict been able to stand against a nation organised for

war. The last of a long series of examples was the war between Russia

and Japan, in which the vast resources of a great Empire were exhausted

in the struggle with a State so small as to seem a pigmy in comparison

with her giant adversary. On the 10th of February 1904, the day when the

news reached England that the Russo-Japanese war had begun, I gave as

follows my reasons for thinking that Japan would win:--

"The hypothesis of a considerable Japanese success, at any rate at

first, is considered rather than its opposite, because Japan has at

present all the marks of a nation likely to do great things in war. It

is not merely that she has transformed her government and her education,

has introduced military institutions on the German model, especially

compulsory training and that vivifying institution, a general staff. The

present quarrel arises from the deliberate policy of Russia, pursuing

aims that are incompatible with every Japanese tradition and every

Japanese hope. The whole Japanese nation has for years been burning with

the sense of wrongs inflicted by Russia, and into this war, as into the

preparation for it, the whole people throws itself, mind, soul, and

body. This is the condition which produces great strategical plans and

extreme energy in their execution. The Japanese forces are well

organised, armed, and equipped. They are intelligently led and follow

with intelligence.

"Of Russia there is hardly evidence to show that the cause for which she

is fighting has touched the imaginations or the feelings of more than a

small fraction of the population. It is the war of a bureaucracy, and

Russia may easily fail to develop either great leading, though her

officers are instructed, or intelligent following of the leaders by the

rank and file. But the Russian troops are brave and have always needed a

good deal of beating."

Substitute Great Britain for Russia and Germany for Japan in this

forecast, which has been proved true, and every word holds good except

two. We now know that Russia's policy was not deliberate; that her

Government bungled into the war without knowing what it was doing. In

just the same way British Governments have drifted blindly into the

present difficult relations with Germany. Those in England who would

push the country into a war with Germany are indeed not a bureaucracy,

they are merely a fraction of one of the parties, and do not represent

the mass of our people, who have no desire for such a war, and are so

little aware of its possibility that they have never even taken the

trouble to find out why it may come. A larger section of the other party

is steeped in the belief that force, violence, and war are wicked in

themselves, and ought therefore not to be thought about. It is a

prejudice which, unless removed, may ruin this country, and there is no

way of dissipating it except that of patient argument based upon

observation of the world we live in. That way I shall attempt to follow

in the next chapter.

III.

FORCE AND RIGHT

"Ye have heard that it hath been said, An eye for an eye, and

a tooth for a tooth: but I say unto you, That ye resist not evil: but

whosoever shall smite thee on thy right cheek, turn to him the other

also. And if any man will sue thee at the law, and take away thy

coat, let him have thy cloke also. And whosoever shall compel thee

to go a mile, go with him twain. Give to him that asketh thee, and

from him that would borrow of thee turn not thou away. Ye have

heard that it hath been said, Thou shalt love thy neighbour, and

hate thine enemy: but I say unto you, Love your enemies."

(Matt. v. 38-44).

If there are any among us who adopt these words as the governing rule of

their lives they will certainly cause no difficulty to the State in its

military policy whatever that may be, and will find their natural places

even in time of war to the public good. If the whole population were of

their way of thinking and acting there would be no need to discuss war.

An invader would not be resisted. His troops would be hospitably

entertained and treated with affection. No opposition would be made to

the change of Government which he would introduce, and the taxes which

he imposed would be cheerfully paid. But there would be no State, except

that created by the invader; and the problem of conduct for those

living the life described would arise when the State so set up issued

its ordinances requiring every able-bodied man to become a competent

soldier.

There are those who believe, or fancy they believe, that the words I

have quoted involve the principle that the use of force or of violence

between man and man, or between nation and nation, is wicked. To the man

who thinks it right to submit to any violence or to be killed rather

than to use violence in resistance, I have no reply to make. The world

cannot conquer him and fear has no hold upon him. But even he can carry

out his doctrine only to the extent of allowing himself to be

ill-treated, as I will now convince him. Many years ago the people of

South Lancashire were horrified by the facts reported in a trial for

murder. In a village on the outskirts of Bolton lived a young woman,

much liked and respected as a teacher in one of the Board schools. On

her way home from school she was accustomed to follow a footpath through

a lonely wood, and here one evening her body was found. She had been

strangled by a ruffian who had thought in this lonely place to have his

wicked will of her. She had resisted successfully and he had killed her

in the struggle. Fortunately the murderer was caught and the facts

ascertained from circumstantial evidence were confirmed by his

confession. Now, the question I have to ask of the man who takes his

stand on the passage I have quoted from the Gospel is: "What would have

been your duty if you had been walking through that wood and come upon

the girl struggling with the man who killed her?" This is a crucial

instance which, I submit, utterly destroys the doctrine that the use of

violence is in itself wrong. The right or wrong is not in the employment

of force but simply in the purpose for which it is used. What the case

establishes, I think, is that to use violence in resistance to violent

wrong is not only right but necessary.

The employment of force for the maintenance of right is the foundation

of all civilised human life, for it is the fundamental function of the

State, and apart from the State there is no civilisation, no life worth

living. The first business of the State is to protect the community

against violent interference from outside. This it does by requiring

from its subjects whatever personal service and whatever sacrifice of

property and of time may be necessary; and resistance to these demands,

as well as to any injunctions whatever laid by the State upon its

subjects, is unconditionally suppressed by force. The mark of the State

is sovereignty, or the identification of force and right, and the

measure of the perfection of the State is furnished by the completeness

of this identification. In the present condition of English political

thought it may be worth while to dwell for a few moments upon the

beneficent nature of this dual action of the State.

Within its jurisdiction the State maintains order and law and in this

way makes life worth living for its subjects. Order and law are the

necessary conditions of men's normal activities, of their industry, of

their ownership of whatever the State allows them to possess--for

outside of the State there is no ownership--of their leisure and of

their freedom to enjoy it. The State is even the basis of men's

characters, for it sets up and establishes a minimum standard of

conduct. Certain acts are defined as unlawful and punished as crimes.

Other acts, though not criminal, are yet so far subject to the

disapproval of the courts that the man who does them may have to

compensate those who suffer injury or damage in consequence of them.

These standards have a dual origin, in legislation and precedent.

Legislation is a formal expression of the agreement of the community

upon the definition of crimes, and common law has been produced by the

decisions of the courts in actions between man and man. Every case tried

in a civil court is a conflict between two parties, a struggle for

justice, the judgment being justice applied to the particular case. The

growth of English law has been through an endless series of conflicts,

and the law of to-day may be described as a line passing through a

series of points representing an infinite number of judgments, each the

decision of a conflict in court. For seven hundred years, with hardly an

interruption, every judgment of a court has been sustained by the force

of the State. The law thus produced, expressed in legislation and

interpreted by the courts, is the foundation of all English conduct and

character. Upon the basis thus laid there takes place a perpetual

evolution of higher standards. In the intercourse of a settled and

undisturbed community and of the many societies which it contains, arise

a number of standards of behaviour which each man catches as it were by

infection from the persons with whom he habitually associates and to

which he is obliged to conform, because if his conduct falls below them

his companions will have nothing to do with him. Every class of society

has its notions of what constitutes proper conduct and constrains its

members to carry on their lives, so far as they are open to inspection,

according to these notions. The standards tend constantly to improve.

Men form an ideal of behaviour by observing the conduct of the best of

their class, and in proportion as this ideal gains acceptance, find

themselves driven to adopt it for fear of the social ostracism which is

the modern equivalent of excommunication. Little by little what was at

first a rarely attained ideal becomes a part of good manners. It

established itself as custom and finally becomes part of the law.

Thus the State, in co-operation with the whole community, becomes the

educator of its people. Standards of conduct are formed slowly in the

best minds and exist at first merely in what Plato would have called

"the intellectual sphere," or in what would have been called at a later

date in Palestine the "kingdom of heaven." But the strongest impulse of

mankind is to realise its ideals. Its fervent prayer, which once uttered

can never cease, is "on earth as it is in heaven," and the ideals

developed in man's spiritual life gradually take shape in laws and

become prohibitions and injunctions backed by the forces of the State.

The State, however, is not an abstraction. For English people it means

the United Kingdom; and if an Englishman wants to realise what he owes

to his country let him look back through its history and see how all

that he values in the character of the men he most admires and all that

is best in himself has gradually been created and realised through the

ceaseless effort of his forefathers, carried on continuously from the

time when the first Englishman crossed the North Sea until the present

day. Other nations have their types of conduct, perhaps as good as our

own, but Englishmen value, and rightly value, the ideals particularly

associated with the life of their own country. Perhaps two of the

commonest expressions convey peculiarly English views of character. We

talk of "fair play" as the essence of just dealing between man and man.

It is a conception we have developed from the national games. We

describe ideal conduct as that of a gentleman. It is a condensation of

the best part of English history, and a search for a definition of the

function of Great Britain in the moral economy of the world will hardly

find a better answer than that it is to stamp upon every subject of the

King the character implied in these two expressions. Suppose the British

State to be overthrown or to drop from its place among the great Powers

of the world, these ideals of character would be discredited and their

place would be taken by others.

The justification of the constraint exercised by the State upon its own

citizens is the necessity for security, the obligation of self-defence,

which arises from the fact that outside the State there are other

States, each endowed like itself with sovereignty, each of them

maintaining by force its conception of right. The power of the State

over its own subjects is thus in the last resort a consequence of the

existence of other States. Upon the competition between them rests the

order of the world. It is a competition extending to every sphere of

life and in its acute form takes the shape of war, a struggle for

existence, for the mastery or for right.

IV.

ARBITRATION AND DISARMAMENT

To some people the place of war in the economy of nations appears to be

unsatisfactory. They think war wicked and a world where it exists out of

joint. Accordingly they devote themselves to suggestions for the

abolition of war and for the discovery of some substitute for it. Two

theories are common; the first, that arbitration can in every case be a

substitute for war, the second that the hopes of peace would be

increased by some general agreement for disarmament.

The idea of those who regard arbitration as a universal substitute for

war appears to be that the relations between States can be put upon a

basis resembling that of the relations between citizens in a settled and

civilised country like our own. In Great Britain we are accustomed to a

variety of means for settling disagreements between persons. There are

the law courts, there are the cases in which recourse is had, with the

sanction of the law courts, to the inquiry and decision of an

arbitrator, and in all our sports we are accustomed to the presence of

an umpire whose duty it is impartially to see that the rules of the

game are observed and immediately to decide all points that might

otherwise be doubtful.

The work of an umpire who sees that the rules of the game are observed

is based upon the consent of the players of both sides. Without that

consent there could be no game, and the consent will be found to be

based upon the fact that all the players are brought up with similar

traditions and with like views of the nature of the game. Where this

unity does not exist, difficulties constantly arise, as is notoriously

the case in international sports. The attempt has been made, with

constantly increasing success, to mitigate the evils of war by the

creation of institutions in some way analogous to that of the umpire in

a game. The Declaration of London, recently published, is an agreement

between the principal Powers to accept a series of rules concerning

maritime war, to be administered by an International Prize Court.

The function of an arbitrator, usually to decide questions of fact and

to assess compensation for inconvenience, most commonly the

inconvenience occasioned to a private person by some necessary act of

the State, also rests upon the consent of the parties, though in this

case the consent is usually imposed upon them by the State through some

legislative enactment or through the decision of a court. The action of

a court of law, on the other hand, does not rest upon the consent of the

parties. In a civil action the defendant may be and very often is

unwilling to take any part in the proceedings. But he has no choice,

and, whether he likes it or not, is bound by the decision of the court.

For the court is the State acting in its judicial capacity with a view

to insure that justice shall be done. The plaintiff alleges that the

defendant has done him some wrong either by breach of contract or

otherwise, and the verdict or judgment determines whether or not this is

the case, and, if it is, what compensation is due. The judgment once

given, the whole power of the State will be used to secure its

execution.

The business of a criminal court is the punishment of offenders whom it

is the function of the State to discover, to bring to trial, and, when

convicted, to punish. The prisoner's consent is not asked, and the

judgment of the court is supported by the whole power of the State.

In the international sphere there is no parallel to the action either of

a civil or of a criminal court. Civil and criminal jurisdiction are

attributes of sovereignty, and over two independent States there is no

sovereign power. If, therefore, it is desired to institute between two

States a situation analogous to that by which the subjects of a single

Government are amenable to judicial tribunals, the proper way is to

bring the two States under one sovereignty. This can be effected, and is

constantly effected, by one of two methods. Either the two States

federate and form a united State, or one of them conquers and annexes

the other. The former process has been seen in modern times in the

formation of the United States of America: the latter formed the

substance of the history of civilisation during the first three

centuries before Christ, when the Roman State successively conquered,

annexed, and absorbed all the other then existing States surrounding the

basin of the Mediterranean.

The history of no State justifies the belief that order and justice can

successfully be maintained merely by the action of umpires and of

arbitrators. Every State worth the name has had to rely upon civil and

criminal courts and upon law enforced by its authority, that is, upon a

series of principles of right expressed in legislation and upon an

organisation of force for the purpose of carrying those principles into

practical effect.

It appears, then, that so far from the experience of States justifying

the view that it is wrong to employ force, the truth is that right or

law, unless supported by force, is ineffective, that the objection in

principle to any use of force involves anarchy, or the cessation of the

State, and that the wish to substitute judicial tribunals for war as a

means of settling disputes between State and State is a wish to

amalgamate under a single Government all those States which are to

benefit by the substitution.

The reasonable attitude with regard to arbitration is to accept it

whenever the other side will accept it. But if the adversary refuses

arbitration and insists upon using force, what course is open to any

State but that of resisting force by force?

Arbitration has from the earliest times been preferred in most of those

cases to which it was applicable, that is, in cases in which there was a

basis of common view or common tradition sufficient to make agreement

practicable. But wherever there has been a marked divergence of ideals

or a different standard of right, there has been a tendency for each

side to feel that to submit its conscience or its convictions of right,

its sense of what is most sacred in life, to an outside judgment would

involve a kind of moral suicide. In such cases every nation repudiates

arbitration and prefers to be a martyr, in case of need, to its sense of

justice. It is at least an open question whether the disappearance of

this feeling would be a mark of progress or of degeneration. At any rate

it is practically certain that the period when it will have disappeared

cannot at present be foreseen.

The abolition of war, therefore, involves the abolition of independent

States and their amalgamation into one. There are many who have hoped

for this ideal, expressed by Tennyson when he dreamed of

"The Parliament of man, the Federation of the world."

That it is the ultimate destiny of mankind to be united under a single

Government seems probable enough, but it is rash to assume that that

result will be reached either by a process of peaceful negotiation, or

by the spread of the imperfect methods of modern democratic government.

The German Empire, with its population of sixty millions, educated by

the State, disciplined by the State, relying on the State, and commanded

by the State, is as potent in comparison with the less disciplined and

less organised communities which surround it as was, in the third

century before Christ, the Roman State in comparison with the disunited

multitude of Greek cities, the commercial oligarchy of Carthage, and the

half-civilised tribes of Gaul and Spain. Unless the other States of

Europe can rouse themselves to a discipline as sound and to an

organisation as subtle as those of Prussia and to the perception of a

common purpose in the maintenance of their independence, the union of

Europe under a single Government is more likely to be brought about by

the conquering hand of Germany than by the extension of democratic

institutions and of sentimental good understandings.

Proposals for disarmament stand on an entirely different footing from

proposals to agree to arbitration. The State that disarms renounces to

the extent of its disarmament the power to protect itself. Upon what

other power is it suggested that it should rely? In the last analysis

the suggestion amounts to a proposal for the abolition of the State, or

its abandonment of its claim to represent the right. Those who propose

agreements for disarmament imagine that the suggestion if adopted would

lead to the establishment of peace. Have they considered the natural

history of peace as one of the phenomena of the globe which we inhabit?

The only peace of any value is that between civilised nations. It rests

either upon the absence of dispute between them or upon an equilibrium

of forces. During the last few centuries there has usually been at the

end of a great European war a great European congress which has

regulated for the time being the matters which were in dispute, and the

treaty thus negotiated has remained for a long time the basis of the

relations between the Powers. It is always a compromise, but a

compromise more or less acceptable to all parties, in which they

acquiesce until some change either by growth or decay makes the

conditions irksome. Then comes a moment when one or more of the States

is dissatisfied and wishes for a change. When that has happened the

dissatisfied State attempts to bring about the change which it desires,

but if the forces with which its wish is likely to be opposed are very

great it may long acquiesce in a state of things most distasteful to it.

Let there be a change in the balance of forces and the discontented

State will seize the opportunity, will assert itself, and if resisted

will use its forces to overcome opposition. A proposal for disarmament

must necessarily be based upon the assumption that there is to be no

change in the system, that the _status quo_ is everywhere to be

preserved. This amounts to a guarantee of the decaying and inefficient

States against those which are growing and are more efficient. Such an

arrangement would not tend to promote the welfare of mankind and will

not be accepted by those nations that have confidence in their own

future. That such a proposal should have been announced by a British

Government is evidence not of the strength of Great Britain, not of a

healthy condition of national life, but of inability to appreciate the

changes which have been produced during the last century in the

conditions of Europe and the consequent alteration in Great Britain's

relative position among the great Powers. It was long ago remarked by

the German historian Bernhardi that Great Britain was the first country

in Europe to revive in the modern world the conception of the State. The

feudal conception identified the State with the monarch. The English

revolution of 1688 was an identification of the State with the Nation.

But the nationalisation of the State, of which the example was set in

1688 by Great Britain, was carried out much more thoroughly by France in

the period that followed the revolution of 1789; and in the great

conflict which ensued between France and the European States the

principal continental opponents of France were compelled to follow her

example, and, in a far greater degree than has ever happened in England,

to nationalise the State. It is to that struggle that we must turn if we

are to understand the present condition of Europe and the relations of

Great Britain to the European Powers.

V.

THE NATIONALISATION OF WAR

The transformation of society of which the French Revolution was the

most striking symptom produced a corresponding change in the character

of war.

By the Revolution the French people constituted itself the State, and

the process was accompanied by so much passion and so much violence that

it shortly involved the reconstituted nation in a quarrel with its

neighbours the Germanic Empire and Prussia, which rapidly developed into

a war between France and almost all the rest of Europe. The Revolution

weakened and demoralised the French army and disorganised the navy,

which it deprived of almost all its experienced officers. When the war

began the regular army was supplemented by a great levy of volunteers.

The mixed force thus formed, in spite of early successes, was unable to

stand against the well-disciplined armies of Austria and Prussia, and as

the war continued, while the French troops gained solidity and

experience, their numbers had to be increased by a levy _en masse_ or a

compulsory drafting of all the men of a certain age into the army. In

this way the army and the nation were identified as they had never been

in modern Europe before, and in the fifth year of the war a leader was

found in the person of General Bonaparte, who had imbued himself with

the principles of the art of war, as they had been expounded by the best

strategists of the old French army, and who had thus thought out with

unprecedented lucidity the method of conducting campaigns. His mastery

of the art of generalship was revealed by his success in 1796, and as

the conflict with Europe continued, he became the leader and eventually

the master of France. Under his impulse and guidance the French army,

superior to them in numbers, organisation, and tactical skill, crushed

one after another the more old-fashioned and smaller armies of the great

continental Powers, with the result that the defeated armies, under the

influence of national resentment after disaster, attempted to reorganise

themselves upon the French model. The new Austrian army undertook its

revenge too soon and was defeated in 1809; but the Prussian endeavour

continued and bore fruit, after the French disasters in Russia of 1812,

in the national rising in which Prussia, supported by Russia and Austria

and assisted by the British operations in the Peninsula, overthrew the

French Empire in 1814.

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