CHAPTER I.

GERMANY BEFORE THE WAR

BY

BARON BEYENS

LATE BELGIAN MINISTER AT THE COURT OF BERLIN

TRANSLATED BY PAUL V. COHN, B.A.

THOMAS NELSON AND SONS, LTD.

_London, Edinburgh, and New York_

_First published March 1916._

CONTENTS.

INTRODUCTION 7

I. THE EMPEROR WILLIAM 13

II. THE IMPERIAL FAMILY, COURT, AND GOVERNMENT 55

III. THE ARMY AND NAVY—THE WAR PARTY 106

IV. THE REICHSTAG AND POLITICAL PARTIES 138

V. PUBLIC OPINION—ECONOMIC CAUSES OF THE WAR 177

VI. THE MOROCCAN QUESTION 215

VII. THE EASTERN QUESTION 240

VIII. THE WEEK OF TRAGEDY 270

IX. BELGIAN NEUTRALITY AND THE INVASION OF BELGIUM 312

CONCLUSION 355

APPENDIX 365

INTRODUCTION.

At the close of the nineteenth century and the opening of the

twentieth, several efforts were made, both in Europe and America,

towards the prevention of future wars, by substituting legal methods

for brute force in the settlement of international disputes. It is

worth while to recall the preliminary steps that some high-minded

rulers took in this direction. Tsar Nicholas invited foreign

governments to the first of those peace conferences which met at the

Hague. Successive presidents of the United States, for their part,

strove to obtain an immediate practical result by means of treaties

concluded with various nations. The object of these treaties was to

submit to a court of arbitration any disputes that might arise among

the signatories. The two Hague Conferences failed, indeed, to realize

the ideal aims which their promoters had in view. They were unable to

establish compulsory arbitration. On the other hand, they organized

procedure, and set up machinery, such as the permanent court of

arbitration, to facilitate the peaceful settlement of disputes. They

succeeded, to some extent, in regulating the employment and checking

the abuse of certain weapons and methods of warfare, and in drawing

up a sort of legal code for belligerents. The international Hague

Conventions have justly been called a charter of rights for the nations

in war time. Unfortunately, the observance of these rules cannot be

enforced by any court of justice, and depends entirely upon the honesty

or good will of the Powers that have accepted them.

Apart from all this State action, several valiant efforts were made

by private individuals, inspired with the noblest ideals. Politicians

who had grown gray in the public service, such as M. Beernaert, a

Belgian Minister of State, devoted all their remaining vigour of body

and mind to the task of spreading the influence of peace conferences

and leagues, by making them more numerous. In meetings at which many

eloquent speeches were delivered they tried to discover means of

superseding the _ultima ratio_ of a resort to arms by the permanent

use of arbitral tribunals. Baron D’Estournelles de Constant and

Lord Weardale—to mention only the most energetic apostles of their

creed—preached with unflagging zeal the gospel of pacifism, which, by

smoothing over international differences, was to lead mankind towards

the Golden Age of universal peace.

In all countries except Germany, the Socialists, Collectivists, Labour

Party, or whatever they might style themselves, could not stand aloof

from a movement which aimed at the abolition of war. The pacifist

movement, though indeed striving towards a different goal, was quite in

harmony with the teachings of Socialists, and would have helped them

to secure one of the main planks in their platform—that is, to remove

national barriers and frontiers by creating an international solidarity

among the workers, in place of the old particularist notions of country

and fatherland behind which the capitalists and the middle classes

remain entrenched. Inspired by pacifist ideas, some of the leaders of

French Socialism, notably Jaurès, even made overtures to the Social

Democrats of Germany, with a view to bringing about an understanding

between the two countries. Two congresses, held at Berne in 1912

and 1913 respectively, were attended by a large number of French

parliamentary deputies; but the group of delegates from the Reichstag,

Socialists for the most part, was insignificant. Their good intentions

were frustrated by the problem of Alsace-Lorraine, which barred all

further progress. Neither side could find a means of removing this

obstacle without wounding the sensitive patriotism of the two nations.

The thunder of the guns in the Balkan War, while revealing to pacifists

the grim realities of the battlefield, did not awake them from their

dreams. On the contrary, the pacifists persisted all the more in

their illusions. After all, they urged, this war was not a European

conflict, but an episode in the eternal Eastern question. Throughout

the crisis, the Great Powers, by the conferences of their ambassadors

and the utterances of their statesmen, had shown their earnest desire

for peace. The Triple Alliance and the Triple Entente, those two

good-natured giants, both showed the same conciliatory disposition.

The balance of power between these two groups compelled them, even had

they wished otherwise, to maintain a pacific attitude, while the Balkan

conflagration, being thus localized, was dying out at their feet. After

so searching a test, the prospect for the future seemed bright indeed.

Life in the clouds of pacifism was not conducive to the realization of

the ever-growing danger. It was enough to live in Berlin, amid such

circles as were in touch with the Imperial Government and the foreign

embassies. The heart of the German capital was indeed the meeting-place

for the principal wires of world-politics. During the last few years,

the air that one breathed there was strangely oppressive; the ground

quaked beneath one’s feet, as in the neighbourhood of a volcanic

eruption. One never ceased gazing anxiously at the horizon, now towards

the Vosges, now towards the Balkans, wherever the storm-clouds, charged

with electricity, were gathering at the moment. A gust of fresh wind

would scatter these clouds, but they would gather again after the

briefest interval. As one felt only too clearly, the peace was so

fragile that the slightest incident might serve to break it. Should

Greece and Turkey wrangle over the possession of a few barren rocks in

the Ægean, should a Zeppelin once more come to earth in some town of

Lorraine, or should a party of Teuton tourists be again molested by

some discourteous French students, the artificial security that reigned

in Central Europe would be at an end.

These recurring attacks of fever were bound to result in a fatal

crisis. War has at last broken out, sooner than the most gloomy

pessimists anticipated, and in a more terrible form than they dared

to imagine—a war that has set three-fourths of Europe ablaze, and has

spread like wildfire to other continents and other seas. What was

the immediate cause of this general outbreak? “A political murder of

unexampled brutality, and the need for severely punishing a little

nation of conspirators,” say the two Germanic empires with one voice.

“Mere pretexts,” is the convincing reply of the Entente Powers. The

origins of the war, of course, go much further back, and the causes lie

deeper and are less obvious to the eye. The German intellectuals, now

that they have cast aside their official servility and are discoursing

freely on the lot that awaits their nation, have the honesty to admit

as much themselves.

In the present work I have endeavoured, as others have done before

me, to trace these causes and to assign the responsibility for the

disastrous events that we are witnessing. My conclusions are based

mainly on the personal observations that I made during a stay of two

years in Berlin immediately before the war. At the same time, I have

attempted to sketch the psychology of the principal German actors in

the tragedy of 1914. I can sincerely say that I have taken every care

to remain strictly impartial, to render to Cæsar the things that are

Cæsar’s, and to make due allowance for the policy imposed upon Germany

during the last fifteen years, and for external events that have had

their influence since the beginning of the century.

Moreover, these pages, which have been written during the melancholy

leisure forced upon me by the calamities of Belgium, have a further

object in view. I have desired to do a service to my beloved country,

the first victim—and an innocent victim—of a ruthless design. I have

desired to contribute something towards requiting her for those

monstrous charges with which her torturers have sought to belittle her

stainless loyalty and to tarnish her unparalleled heroism.

May my labours bring some small light to those who search for truth!

May they furnish a document of some service to future writers, to those

who, with an authority that the passage of time alone can give, will

describe a period of the world’s history which Christian civilization

will some day shudder to recall!

GERMANY BEFORE THE WAR.

CHAPTER I.

THE EMPEROR WILLIAM.

I.

No one who has not had the opportunity in recent years of approaching

the Emperor William and of conversing with him can realize the

favourable impression that he at first creates. To have a conversation

with him means to play the part of a listener, to allow him to unfold

his ideas in lively fashion, while from time to time one ventures upon

a remark on which his quick mind, flitting readily from one subject

to another, seizes with avidity. While he is talking, he looks one

squarely in the face, his left hand resting on his sword-hilt in an

attitude that has become a habit with him. His voice, very guttural

in tone, and almost hoarse, is disagreeable; but he has a mobile,

expressive face, with magnificent eyes that keep it always bright and

animated. At a first meeting, it is these eyes that impress one more

than his words: eyes of light blue, now merry and smiling, now hard

and stern, with sudden gleams that flash like steel. Yet when we come

away from an interview of this kind, we begin to feel doubts as to the

sincerity of this dangerous talker. We ask ourselves, with a touch of

anxiety, whether the man whom we have just seen is really convinced

of what he says, or whether he is the most striking actor that has

appeared on the political stage of our day.

In his mother-tongue, William II. has a natural eloquence, with a

pompous style, full of metaphors and similes. Hardly had he been

seated on the throne before his love of speaking had revealed itself

in oratorical displays of all kinds—after-dinner speeches, answers to

addresses, and soldierly harangues to military and naval recruits.

All these have been delivered during the continual journeys in which

he delights, whether rushing to and fro about his own empire, or

navigating all the seas of Europe in his yacht, or paying visits to

his fellow-monarchs. Some of his orations are models of the Imperial

style, but his self-assurance has led him more than once to utter, in

the heat of improvisation, some tactless or inopportune phrase which

has aroused a feeling of uneasiness or disgust in Germany no less than

in foreign countries: bold ideas, presented in an original form, but

the unripe products of an over-impulsive temperament, and entirely at

variance with public feeling. With advancing years, he has become

slightly more discreet in his language. Moreover, the text of his

speeches is nowadays revised and expurgated by his civil Cabinet before

being issued to the public. Together with this impulse to trumpet forth

his ideas, he has a decided propensity for striking a theatrical pose,

whenever he knows that he is the cynosure of every eye—that is to say,

whenever he appears in public; whereas, in the privacy of his home, he

is by no means lacking in geniality or even in simplicity.

Undoubtedly the Emperor is a man of many gifts, intelligent and

well-informed. For all that, one gets an impression, when talking to

him, that he has but a superficial acquaintance with certain subjects

on which he loves to dilate.

This is not surprising. In spite of his uncommon capacity for

assimilating knowledge, William II. is not a man of universal mind,

able to discourse with equal aptness upon politics, industry, commerce,

agriculture, music, painting, architecture—one may as well say, upon

every branch of human knowledge, for he does not even shrink from

venturing on the steep path of the exact sciences. Perhaps he would

have acted more wisely if, instead of spreading his mental activities

over so many different fields, he had centred them in the study of

foreign politics, and had endeavoured to find out for himself, at first

hand, the real state of public opinion in the countries surrounding

Germany. Had he adopted this course, those who conversed with him

would not have had to record the disquieting fact that he accepted, as

articles of faith, many prejudiced and utterly wrong-headed notions

that were current in the German Press and among the German public.

His confidence in himself has always made it impossible for him to

endure, in the governance of the Empire, the co-operation of a superior

mind or an independent will. When he had been on the throne two years,

he impatiently shook himself free from the leading-strings—irksome, no

doubt, but still necessary—held by the man to whom he owed his Imperial

crown. In order to enjoy a long spell of service, his ministers must

either adopt his ideas or possess the art of presenting theirs as if

he had inspired them. After the dismissal of Bismarck, his chancellors

were nothing but executors, more or less skilful, of his divine will,

and heads of an army of bureaucrats. For an Imperial chancellor, to

govern means not to foresee, but to obey a headstrong and unstable

master.

In other aspects of his character the Emperor is a very modern ruler.

He has always had a fondness for the society of noted scholars and

scientific men. Having some artistic pretensions himself, he likes to

surround himself with artists who follow his advice and carry out his

suggestions. In Prussia, building has always been a noble pastime for

princes, a pastime that Frederick the Great pursued, with admirable

results, in the intervals between his wars. William II. is a great

builder: in the course of twenty-five years his architects have erected

more monuments and palaces in Berlin than their fellow-craftsmen in

other capitals have produced throughout a whole century. Too often,

however, these constructions bear the imprint of his taste for the

massive, the colossal, and the overloaded. Under his inspiration,

German artists are making laborious efforts to create a style that

may deserve to be called the “William II. Style.” In spite of this,

the most pleasing monuments of the Imperial residence are still those

which were raised under the earlier kings, and to which Herr von Ihne,

an artist who is an ardent admirer of eighteenth-century French art,

has made some fine additions. One observes with some surprise, by the

way, that the old palace of the first King of Prussia is still large

enough to contain the first German Emperors. May we imagine that the

haughty son of the Great Elector, with the limitless ambition of the

Hohenzollerns, foresaw the remote future destiny of his house?

From the sculptors, William II., faithful to the same æsthetic

principles, has ordered statues, gigantic in size or cast into stiff,

formal attitudes, representing the heroes of his line and the great men

who served his ancestors. Surely they do not deserve such barbarous

treatment! His infatuation for official painting has prevented him

from appreciating artists of original talent, such leaders of schools

as Max Liebermann, whom he looks upon as revolutionaries. The same

remark applies to men of letters. The most noted living novelists and

playwrights of Germany, a Hauptmann or a Sudermann, are nowhere less

understood than at the Court of Berlin.

For a long time past the Emperor has delighted in the society of

agreeable dilettante, poets, and musicians—for he adores music and

poetry—the companions of the famous “Round Table.” The scandalous

Eulenburg case brought these intimacies to an abrupt close. Evil has

been whispered, quite without justification, of his friendship with

that attractive but unhappy figure, Prince Philip von Eulenburg.

It would be more to the point to note his weakness for rich men,

for the founders of vast fortunes. In this respect he has shown,

like some other crowned heads, that he has a sense for present-day

realities—that he appreciates the services rendered to modern society

by wealth. Americans visiting Berlin are assured of a warm welcome at

the Imperial Court, provided they bear names to conjure with in the

money-market of the United States. It is only fair to add that, in

paying these flattering attentions to opulent Yankees, William II. is

partly actuated by what has been called his “American policy”—that is

to say, his desire for a close understanding with the Great Republic.

His admiration for the power conferred by money has been similarly

displayed in his method of bestowing honours on his loyal nobility. In

creating an exalted aristocracy of princes and dukes, who before his

time were very few and far between in Prussia, he has sometimes shown

less regard for ancient lineage and services claiming the gratitude

of the State than for the territorial possessions of those concerned.

Nobles who have remained poor have not been much favoured, even when

they inherit the most honoured names in the military history of the

kingdom.

Brought up by a father whose “liberal” ideas have been overpraised

(such is the view of those who knew him best), the Emperor, at the

outset of his reign, felt an impatient eagerness to improve the lot

of the labouring classes and—as he announced at the opening of the

Reichstag in 1888—to continue, in accordance with the principles

of Christian morality, the legislative work of social protection

inaugurated by his grandfather. In 1890 an international conference

held by his orders in Berlin, for the purpose of studying industrial

legislation. On the other hand, he came to the throne with a youthful

hatred of Socialists and freethinkers—a hatred that grew in intensity

as the years went by, and as the advance of Social Democracy became

more menacing at each election to the Reichstag. Nothing has occupied

his mind more than the fear of Socialism, the struggle with this

elusive Proteus. In a speech delivered at Königsberg in 1894, he

denounced the enemy in no measured terms: “Let us arise, and fight for

religion, morality, and order, against the partisans of anarchy!” In

1907 he even entered the lists against the foe, to such good purpose

that on the balcony of his palace in Berlin he was hailed with cheers

from the _bien pensants_ after the electoral verdict which for the time

being thinned the ranks of the Social-Democratic delegates. As ruler

of a great empire containing some millions of Socialists, would he not

have acted more wisely by holding aloof from the feuds of classes and

of parties, and by dwelling serenely above the turmoil?

William II., without sharing all the reactionary ideas of the Prussian

Conservatives, has anything but a liberal turn of mind. He is a monarch

by divine right—one who considers himself, like his predecessors,

entrusted with the mission of governing his States and of moulding

the happiness of his subjects, even though it be against their own

immediate wishes, in accordance with the principles of religion and the

monarchical tradition; an unbending champion of the sacred privileges

of kingship, limited solely by the barriers of modern constitutionalism.

It is not within the scope of the present study to enter into a more

detailed analysis of so complex a character, one that has already

furnished material for numerous portraits, and, with all its twists

and turns, will severely test the powers of future biographers. I

will merely endeavour, at the end of this chapter, to summarize the

most striking features of the Imperial temperament, and to indicate

the aspect under which he must appear to us hereafter in the light of

an appalling war. After all, in the man who sways the destinies of

Germany, it is the statesman who claims our chief interest, because of

his attempt to give a new direction to the destinies of Europe. From

this standpoint, it is impossible to overlook the part that religion

plays in his life. He has always been an ardent Protestant. For him,

as for Treitschke, the historian of modern Prussia, Protestantism is

not only the true faith, but the corner-stone of German unity, the

strong rampart behind which the language and customs of the German race

have been kept intact from the shores of the Baltic to the borders

of Transylvania. William II.’s creed, however, though sincere, is

decidedly too garrulous and too nationalistic. It is paraded before

the world with an intolerable lack of reticence. It is revealed in

his speeches by startling invocations to the Deity, a Deity who is

exclusively German, who confines his love to the Germans and rejoices

in their exploits. At the threshold of the twentieth century, this

defender of the faith, modelling himself upon the Biblical heroes and

the champions of the Reformation had come to regard himself as the

right hand and sword of the Almighty, as the predestined being on

whom the Spirit from on high had descended. How can we be astonished

if, under the sway of such a creed, he has embarked upon a war that

recalls the merciless struggles of the sixteenth and seventeenth

centuries, a sort of crusade against the enemies of God’s chosen

people, embodied to-day in the Germanic race? This theory and practice

of religion will explain why the head of the pious German nation, after

solemnly invoking upon his arms the blessing of the Christian God—a God

of peace and good will!—has ordered, without any qualms of conscience,

the bombardment of defenceless cities and the destruction of the

architectural triumphs of Catholic art, the old historic cathedrals.

II.

During the decade preceding the war, too much confidence was placed

abroad in the pacifism and sincerity of William II. It was forgotten

that, after all, he is a descendant of Frederick the Great, and that,

where politics are concerned, he must have studied the lessons taught

by his unscrupulous ancestor. He claims for himself, not altogether

without justice—for in his early years he might well have fallen

a victim to the glamour of military laurels—the merit of having

maintained the peace of Europe, in spite of unwearied efforts to

perfect the organization of the German army, or rather by virtue of

those accessions of strength which made an attack upon it almost

impossible. This claim was accepted in all good faith by a world which

failed to realize that the competition in armaments must inevitably

lead to war, just as every fever that becomes acute results in a

violent crisis. Apart from the peaceful intentions of the Emperor, it

was felt that the Triple Alliance, formed by Bismarck and renewed from

time to time after his day, might well calm the fears of the smaller

nationalities. The old Chancellor and his successors always represented

the Triplice as an insurance policy against the danger of a widespread

conflagration. Safely ensconced in this impregnable fortress, the

forces of the three allies could defy any coalition; hence other Powers

were careful not to challenge them, not to do anything that might

disturb the ordered state of Europe. But from the day that the Cabinet

of Berlin, in order to support the claims of the Cabinet of Vienna,

forced the Slav nations and the other Powers, taken off their guard,

to recognize the annexation of Bosnia-Herzegovina, the Triple Alliance

wore a new aspect. The policeman of Europe, impelled by a restless

greed, was beginning to fail in his duties as guardian. The confidence

hitherto placed in the honesty of his intentions grew sensibly weaker.

It is true that for twenty-five years—_longum aevi spatium_—William

II. kept the promise he had made to the German people, at Bismarck’s

advice, in his first speech from the throne—the promise that he would

have a peaceful reign. Throughout that period his one idea was to

make Germany the first country in the world through the development of

her commerce and industry, to enrich every class in the community, to

dethrone Paris and London in favour of Berlin. “Our future lies on the

water!” he said to his subjects, with a clear view of the goal towards

which he was to direct their energies—the creation of a powerful navy,

which would ensure in all the markets of the world a predominant place

for the products of German labour. During this quarter of a century

Germany indeed made remarkable strides, and her progress filled

other nations with amazement. William II. consorted chiefly with the

great bankers, manufacturers, and armament-makers of the Empire, and

constantly took their advice. He was on intimate terms with Herr Krupp,

whose private life scarcely entitled him to this honour. He did all he

could to encourage Herr Ballin, the clever and enterprising director

of the Hamburg-Amerika line. He presided in person at the launching

of the transatlantic giants of this powerful company. In the speech

delivered by him when the last of these leviathans left the dock—a

vessel of fifty thousand tons, christened by him “Bismarck,” as a tardy

act of homage to the genius of the Iron Chancellor—he gave vent to an

extraordinary outburst of patriotic pride. It was a pæan of triumph in

honour of the German shipyards, which had built the largest liner in

the world, far surpassing anything that the maritime art of England

had so far attempted.

The long spell of peace imposed by this ruler of a military nation had

no doubt other causes than the desire to ensure the economic prosperity

of Germany. Although William II. from his early youth has taken a keen

interest in his army, he does not possess the martial spirit inherent

in several princes of his house. Like Frederick William I., he is fond

of the barracks, without having a taste for the battlefield. Since

the age of twenty-nine, when he became the supreme commander of the

army, the “War Lord,” he has performed with scrupulous care all the

military ritual prescribed for a King of Prussia; he has regularly

been seen taking part in his officers’ mess, appearing from daybreak

in the midst of his cavalry regiments on the drill-ground at Döberitz,

inspecting every army corps in turn, and presiding at the “Imperial”

autumn manœuvres, where his criticism of the operations raised a smile

among professional soldiers. All along the streets of Berlin the shop

windows are filled with photographs of the Emperor in every naval and

military uniform of his forces, in every character of his repertory;

his moustaches fiercely turned up, his glance firm and threatening, his

field-marshal’s baton in his hand. These portraits do their utmost to

give us an impression of an exceedingly warlike sovereign. But is he

really a soldier?

At the opening of hostilities, the German newspapers announced that

His Imperial Majesty, in visiting the theatres of war, would be

followed by a special train, carrying a collapsible wooden house,

including materials for a floor, in order that the Emperor should not

be exposed to the damp. We know, indeed, that this need of ease and

comfort is partly due to a fear of colds and throat maladies, for

William II. can take no liberties with his health. Still, precautions

of this kind are hardly what we expect from a true soldier.

The true royal soldier of this war is not to be found among the crowned

Germans who only follow it at a safe distance; he stands at the head

of the little Belgian army that is making a desperate struggle to

defend its homes. The true soldier is he who has faced danger in the

firing-line and the trenches, in order to inspire his youthful troops

with his own coolness and heroism, the heroism of a soul that no terror

can daunt. The true soldier is he who has shown his mettle on the

battlefields of Louvain, Antwerp, and the Yser as a great general and a

great king—His Majesty King Albert.

Perhaps, too, William II. remained pacific for so long because he

lacked confidence as to the result of a fresh struggle, although in his

speeches he extolled the prowess of his forbears, and often recommended

his soldiers to keep their powder dry. Perhaps he dreaded the uncertain

fortune of battle, remembering the words of Bismarck on the subject

of preventive wars, of wars inspired solely by the aim of crushing an

opponent before he is ready: “We cannot get a glimpse of the cards

that Providence holds.” Perhaps, again, he feared the unknown factors

that may wreck the best-laid political schemes, those _imponderabilia_

or incalculable elements which the same statesman regarded as so

important. That a young sovereign, such as the Emperor in the first

few years of his reign, should not wish to imperil the heritage of

glory and conquest bequeathed by his grandfather is perfectly natural

and intelligible. He liked to rattle his sabre, always at the wrong

moment, but not to draw it from its sheath, for he had no inborn love

of war. Yet these peaceful sentiments—or shall we rather say this

unwillingness to face the hazards of fortune?—disappeared in course of

time, and gave place in that restless mind to feelings of quite another

order. The transformation, however, was not a sudden one; it was a

gradual conversion, keeping pace with the changes that supervened in

Germany herself, with the increase in her population, her needs and her

appetites. The influence of Bismarck, a satisfied, sobered, and prudent

Bismarck, not to be confused with the bold gambler of the war period,

had long outlasted his retirement. For ten years more, ten years of

internal conflict, during which the German people seemed to be angry

with the Emperor for having broken its idol, the Bismarckian policy of

consolidation and defence had been kept up by the mediocre successors

of the irascible recluse of Varzin. After this, other ambitions came

into play, and the counsels of the ex-Chancellor were gradually

forgotten by the new generation of politicians, diplomats, professors,

writers, and soldiers who aspired to lead Germany towards loftier

goals. Their successful influence upon the mind of the Sovereign became

perfectly apparent at the moment when he reached the zenith of his

career.

This moment coincides with the end of the first twenty-five years of

his reign, which had dowered the German people with an unexampled

prosperity. The Imperial Jubilee of 1913 was an epoch-making date.

Germany, in fact, was not content with celebrating that year the

peaceful conquests achieved since the accession of her third Emperor;

she commemorated, at the same time, the centenary of the wars of

liberation, while the members of the Reichstag patriotically voted for

a military law more burdensome and more crushing than any previous

measure of the kind. Thus Germany associated the superb results of

her national energy for the past quarter of a century, which no real

menace of war had ever threatened to wreck, with the glowing memories

of her emancipation from the Napoleonic yoke, and with feverish

preparation for a fresh struggle, which the condition of Europe by no

means appeared to warrant. This triple coincidence aroused serious

misgivings in the minds of foreign observers. The patriotic memories

of 1813 seemed like low rumblings of thunder, the harbingers of an

approaching storm. As if the passions of his subjects were not heated

enough already, the Emperor in his public speeches did not cease from

fanning their flame. He must have said to himself then that the first

part of his task was over, and that the second was about to begin. He

had launched his people upon a career of prosperity and progress in

which it could no longer cry halt, and a new war, far from checking

this marvellous economic advance, would only act as a fresh stimulus.

Germany, having trebled her commerce and almost doubled her population,

with millions of workers who no longer left their country to seek a

living elsewhere, needed new fields for expansion, and thirsted for

an unquestioned supremacy in every sphere. It would be the glory of

William, while still in the full vigour of his years, to realize these

splendid ambitions.

With implicit faith in the historians of his house, he had already

come under the spell of dreams that took their rise in a remote past.

Although heir to a modern empire, entirely different from the Germanic

empire of Otto and Barbarossa, he had sedulously set himself to link up

the creation of Bismarck and Moltke with that of the Middle Ages, to

re-forge the chain of historic tradition, to proclaim himself the heir

of the old elected Cæsars. It is obviously with this intention that

the Siegesallee was laid out through the Thiergarten in Berlin, with

its double row of marble statues, symmetrical and funereal, more suited

to a royal family vault than to a public park. There, almost shoulder

to shoulder, stand Emperors of Germany, ancient and modern, Electors of

Brandenburg and Kings of Prussia—a significant Pantheon! At Vienna, the

princes of the Hapsburg house avenged the defeats of 1866 by treating

the Hohenzollerns as upstarts. At Berlin, however, the descendant

of these upstarts aimed at nothing less than reviving the monarchy

of Charlemagne. He set up in his capital a monument to the mythical

Roland, as a symbol of the bond between past and present, and dreamed

of re-establishing a Carlovingian hegemony over the Continent of Europe.

III.

I will deal later with those European events and those features of the

internal situation in Germany which reacted upon the mind of William

II. and helped to bring about his moral transformation. The point that

must be emphasized here is that he fancied at first that he would only

have to fight France, the old, implacable enemy. The coming war seemed

to him nothing but a mere duel between the Empire and the Republic.

For a long time he hoped to sow dissensions between his opponents,

and to secure the inaction of Russia. At the Court of Berlin the

Franco-Russian alliance was not regarded as a rock that nothing

could shatter. The Potsdam agreement, concluded by M. Kokovtzow, and

restricted in its scope (so far as we can tell) to Western Asia, seemed

to open up a promising vista. Repeated advances were made to Tsar

Nicholas; interviews took place, such as the one at Baltic Port, where

William II. exercised all the seductive wiles at his command to cajole

the Russian sovereign and win the confidence of his ministers. The

Emperor himself remarked to me, only a few months before the war, that

false ideas were current in France regarding the stability of the Dual

Alliance; he was well informed as to the true feeling of the Tsar’s

Court, for some exalted Russian personages, in passing through Berlin,

had not scrupled to indicate the side on which their sympathies lay.

One of the main axioms of Bismarck’s policy was that Germany must

always strive to maintain friendly relations with her great northern

neighbour. This sound advice, which the Chancellor himself had not

acted upon at the Congress of Berlin, was neglected by his successors.

In March 1909, William II., in full accord with the views of Prince

von Bülow, did not hesitate to inform St. Petersburg that he would

give unswerving support to Austria, if the diplomatic debate on the

annexation of Bosnia-Herzegovina should culminate in a war. The

threatening front that Count de Portalès was ordered to show rankled

in the hearts of Russian patriots, who were compelled to retreat before

this menace. But at the Court of Berlin the memory of it soon faded,

for it is characteristic of the Emperor to forget any ill-feeling of

which he is the cause. He is always ready to pardon those whom he has

insulted.

Even the Balkan War did not entirely dispel his illusions, although

it showed clearly that France and Russia were firmly united, and

determined to face the same risks hand in hand. The expert fingers of

M. Delcassé, who was sent as ambassador to St. Petersburg during the

events of 1912, tied the knot of the alliance more tightly than ever.

After this, it is true, the Emperor paid great attention to Russian

military activity on his eastern frontier; but it must have cost him

much to abandon his dream of a neutral or inactive Russia in the event

of a war with France. On March 2, 1914, the semi-official _Kölnische

Zeitung_,[1] under the guise of a letter from its St. Petersburg

correspondent, issued a final warning to the Tsar! This document

denounced the increase of armaments and the ingratitude with which

Russia was repaying the services that Germany had rendered to her at

the time of the Macedonian war. The Russian newspapers replied in

an acrimonious tone, hinting that the commercial treaty with Germany

would not be renewed. Herr von Jagow, in a statement on foreign affairs

read to the Reichstag some weeks later, confined himself to a general

censure of these Press campaigns, the responsibility for which he

assigned to the Pan-Slavic journals.

IV.

In William II.’s eyes France has always been the chief enemy. In

spite of this, the idea of a reconciliation with her has repeatedly

flitted across his romantic brain. Not for one moment, however, has he

thought of restoring Alsace-Lorraine to her or of making it neutral

territory. He regarded these questions as settled for good and all by

the victories of 1870 and the Treaty of Frankfort, and would not even

humour France to the extent of granting a more liberal constitution to

the conquered provinces. Some Frenchmen, anxious to promote a better

understanding between France and Germany, wished to see Alsace-Lorraine

enjoy a complete autonomy, after the pattern of a federal State

like Bavaria or Saxony. This suggestion, impressed Berlin as an

unwarrantable interference in the internal affairs of the Empire.

Nevertheless, the Emperor has often believed in all sincerity that

he might improve the relations between the two countries, ease

the tension between Paris and Berlin, and even pave the way for an

eventual friendship, by paying flattering attentions to Frenchmen and

Frenchwomen, celebrities in politics, art, and society, who visited

Germany. He considered that in paying these attentions to individuals

and in supplementing them by smiles and compliments addressed to the

Republican Government and to prominent people he was making real

advances. His conversations with Coquelin and Mlle. Granier amused

the Parisians, who thanked him with neatly turned paragraphs in the

newspapers, and held themselves free of all further obligations. Those

who thought that these displays of Imperial graciousness might be

followed by a more favourable trend in Germany’s policy towards France

were doomed to disappointment. Offers of association in commercial

enterprises between subjects of the two countries in Morocco were made

(without any success, by the way) after the agreement of 1909, but

they must not be taken as instances of William II.’s good will towards

a neighbour whom in reality he detested. He fancied that he could

conquer the French by his winning ways, and in this his vanity deceived

him, although at certain times, partly owing to his reputation as a

pacifist, he was a not unpopular figure in Paris.

For some time previous to the war he had been cured of these fits of

benevolence, after discovering that they were practically useless. In

fact, during the last few months before the cataclysm he went to the

other extreme, and when any French visitor was presented to him, his

manner was unusually brusque and haughty. At a Court ball one evening

in February 1914, while conversing with my friend and fellow-countryman

Baron Lambert, he gave vent in my presence to the following epigram,

more picturesque than true (it was one that he loved to repeat, for

he had already uttered it to other diplomats): “I have often held out

my hand to France; she has only answered me with kicks!” He followed

this up with a diatribe against the Parisian Press, which, he said,

attacked Germany day after day with unreasoning violence. He ended in

a grave tone, exclaiming with those expressive gestures that added

so much weight to his words: “They had better take care in Paris—_I_

shall not live for ever!” While he was holding forth in this style, his

mind, as will be seen later on, was already made up for war. Was he

playing a part? Or should we rather see in all this a desire to heap up

grievances, in order to justify his later acts?

Since he procured a regular supply of cuttings from the French

nationalist organs, in which his Government was pilloried, why did he

not read their German counterpart—the daily attacks of the Pan-Germanic

Press upon France in general and President Poincaré in particular?

Undoubtedly this warfare of pens was not merely regrettable, but

dangerous in the interests of peace; still, it was carried on by each

side in the tone and style characteristic of the two races. In order

to form a conception of the haughtiness, insolence, and bad faith of

certain German publicists, it would be enough to wade through some

of the articles with which Dr. Schiemann, who had his little hour of

favour and popularity at the Court of Berlin, regaled the Gallophobe

and Russophobe readers of the _Kreuzzeitung_ in his political notes of

the week every Wednesday morning.

After Agadir, William II. came to regard a war with France as

inexorably decreed by Fate. On the 5th and 6th of November 1913, the

King of the Belgians was his guest at Potsdam, after returning from

Lüneburg, where he had paid his usual courtesy visit to the regiment of

dragoons of which he was honorary colonel. On this occasion the Emperor

told King Albert that he looked upon war with France as “inevitable and

close at hand.” What reason did he give for this pessimistic statement,

which impressed his royal visitor all the more strongly since the

belief in the peaceful sentiments of the Emperor had not yet been

shaken in Belgium? He pointed out that France herself wanted war, and

that she was arming rapidly with that end in view, as was proved by the

vote on the law enacting a three years’ term of military service. At

the same time he declared that he felt certain of victory. The Belgian

monarch, who was better informed as to the real inclinations of the

French Government and people, tried in vain to enlighten him, and to

dispel from his mind the false picture that he drew from the language

of a handful of fanatical patriots, the picture of a France thirsting

for war.

On the 6th of November General von Moltke, Chief of the General Staff,

after a dinner to which the Emperor, in honour of his guest, had

invited the leading officials present in Berlin, had a conversation

with King Albert. He expressed himself in the same terms as his

Sovereign on the subject of war with France, asserted that it was bound

to come soon, and insisted still more emphatically on the certain

prospect of success, in view of the enthusiasm with which the whole

German nation would gird up its loins to beat back the traditional

foe. General von Moltke used the same blustering language that evening

to the Belgian military attaché, who sat next to him at table. I have

been told that later in the evening he showed a similar lack of reserve

towards other military attachés in whom he was pleased to confide, or

whom he wished to impress.

The real object of these confidential outbursts is not hard to

discover. They were an invitation to our country, face to face with the

danger that threatened Western Europe, to throw herself into the arms

of the stronger, arms ready to open, to clasp Belgium—yes, and to crush

her. When we think of the ultimatum issued to Belgium on the following

2nd of August, we realize to what an act of servility and cowardice

William II., through this Potsdam interview, would fain have driven

King Albert.

The conversation between the two sovereigns was reported to the French

ambassador, as is shown by a dispatch from M. Cambon, inserted in the

French Yellow Book of 1914. This was done solely from a hope that

the disaster of a Franco-German war might still be averted. In the

higher interests of humanity, it was essential for France to learn

that the Emperor had ceased to be an advocate of peace, and was calmly

facing the prospect of a new war as something inevitable. The French

Government, who, whatever William II. might think, were still anxious

for peace, had now to guard carefully against the occurrence of

incidents that might prove difficult to smooth over, because they would

be regarded as provocations at Berlin.

May we suppose that the mental condition of the Emperor, who had

become very nervous and irritable, had made him blind to evidence and

deaf to persuasion? William II. would not admit the truth that is as

clear as daylight to all impartial observers: that France, with a

neighbour whose overwhelming military strength was a perpetual menace

to her security, had armed with the main purpose of not being left at

the mercy of unexpected events or ruthless designs. He had no doubt

whatever that the desire for a war of revenge haunted the brain of

every Frenchman. The recovery of Alsace-Lorraine, an achievement which

most sons of France had banished to the limbo of their patriotic

dreams, and only saw now and then as a distant mirage, seemed to him,

in his obstinate self-deception, the secret aim towards which most

French statesmen were striving. The sanguine and gullible pacifism of

the French Radicals and Socialists, which had come so plainly to the

fore in their opposition to the three years’ term of military service,

was entirely left out of his calculations.

When a man persists in a view that is so palpably opposed to the truth,

one is inclined to doubt his sincerity. Was the Kaiser misinformed

as to the real intentions of France, or, in crediting her with these

hostile schemes, was he only looking for a pretext that might seem to

justify an attack on his part? This is a question that we have a right

to ask to-day.

V.

Up to the last moment the Emperor counted on the neutrality of England,

whatever might be the cause of the struggle between the Triple and the

Dual Alliance. He had too readily forgotten all the grievances that the

United Kingdom had against him, although they had not vanished from the

memories or the hearts of Britons: the famous telegram to President

Kruger in 1896, in connection with the Jameson Raid, an ill-timed

manifesto, which completely deceived the old patriot of Johannesburg as

to the likelihood of support from the Kaiser; the campaign of slander

against England carried on in Germany from the outset of the Boer War,

three years later; and, last but not least, the tremendous expansion of

the German navy, heralded by Prince von Bülow and Admiral von Tirpitz

immediately after the first British reverses at the hands of the Boers.

Had William II. also forgotten the resolutely hostile front shown

by the British Cabinet during the Algeciras Conference, and, more

recently, during the Franco-German negotiations after the Agadir

affair? No doubt he fancied, like many Germans, that the support given

by England to France would not go beyond certain moral and geographical

limits. He felt that it would be enough to pave the way for a solution

of the Moroccan problem (since it had been decided in London to help

in setting up a French protectorate in Morocco), and of certain

Mediterranean questions in which the two countries held similar views.

It was generally believed in Germany that the Cabinet of St. James’s,

realizing the frankly pacific outlook of its Liberal majority in

Parliament, would remain a patient spectator in a Continental war that

did not involve any vital British interests. How often did the Berlin

Press dwell on this theme, and, during the brief Austro-Serbian crisis

preceding the war, embroider it with fulsome flatteries of Great

Britain! There was high financial authority to support this conviction

among the German public. These potentates of the purse carried on

their intrigues in London up to the very end, not only in the business

world but even in political circles. In the parliamentary lobbies at

Westminster, financiers of German origin took steps with a view to

preventing any participation by England in a Continental struggle.

Shortly before the outbreak of hostilities, Herr Ballin, the Kaiser’s

confidential servant, came to London with orders from his master to

make all his arrangements for war and to hoodwink his English friends

into the belief that Germany’s intentions were peaceful, when in point

of fact all was ready for hurling the thunderbolt.

William II.’s political blunders have often proceeded from his trusting

too much to his own adroitness and powers of judgment. After 1911, he

was exceedingly anxious to promote a better understanding between the

Anglo-Saxon and the Germanic nations, linked together as they were

by ties of blood and by common historical memories. In the following

year the tension was somewhat relaxed, but William II. overrated this

increase of warmth in the relations between the two Governments and

peoples. Confident that he held the winning cards, he showed his hand

too soon, with the result that the British Cabinet decided to abandon

the game.

At a meeting held in Cardiff on the 2nd of October 1914, the Prime

Minister made a most interesting disclosure regarding the 1912 attempt

to arrive at an understanding.[2] “We said, and we communicated this

to the Berlin Government: ‘Britain declares that she will neither make

nor join in any unprovoked attack upon Germany. Aggression upon Germany

is not the subject and forms no part of any treaty, understanding or

combination to which Britain is now a party, nor will she become a

party to anything that has such an object.’” But that, Mr. Asquith went

on to say, was not enough for German statesmanship. “They wanted us to

go further. They asked us to pledge ourselves absolutely to neutrality

in the event of Germany’s being engaged in war, and this, mind you, at

a time when Germany was enormously increasing both her aggressive and

defensive resources, and especially upon the sea. They asked us, to put

it quite plainly, for a free hand, so far as we were concerned, when

they selected the opportunity to overbear and dominate the European

world. To such a demand but one answer was possible, and we gave that

answer.”

Thus the arrogant demands of William II.’s diplomacy lost him an

excellent opportunity of banishing the suspicions of the British

Cabinet, and of re-establishing cordial relations with the Island

Kingdom. In spite of this set-back, he did not abandon hope, and when

the situation arising out of the Balkan War brought the two nations

together, he again imagined that he could rely implicitly upon British

neutrality.

Once more appearances deceived him. He ascribed too much value to the

dexterity of his new ambassador. Prince Lichnowsky, who was a _persona

grata_ in London society, and to the influence of the friends whom

Germany had even in the Asquith Cabinet, men like Haldane, Burns,

and Harcourt. The language of the Germanophile organs of the English

Press also did something to mislead him as to the true feelings of the

English people towards its chief maritime and commercial rival; but

these journals were not, as the Emperor thought, the real voice of

England.

In his conversations with foreigners he was fond of ridiculing the

French for their belief in the reality of the Triple Entente, and for

their fruitless efforts to turn it into an effective alliance. The

visit of King George and Queen Mary to Paris can have caused him no

anxiety on this score. But his most serious blunder, it would seem, was

to imagine, on the strength of reports which can only have come from

his Ambassador, that in the early summer of 1914 England was hopelessly

distracted by the Irish quarrel, trembling on the verge of civil war,

and therefore totally incapable of armed intervention on the Continent.

It appeared to him the moment for the great throw of the dice. Had the

Emperor not felt so certain on this point, would he have exposed the

thriving trade of Germany and her unfinished fleet, the very apple of

his eye, to the terrible ordeal of a naval war with England? Would he

have been ready to endanger the economic prosperity of his Empire, a

prosperity in which the mercantile marine was an indispensable factor?

Cruel was his awakening, and savagely did he resent the blow. We have

a proof of this in the message conveyed by one of his aides-de-camp to

Sir Edward Goschen, after the scandalous demonstration of the Berlin

mob against the British Embassy, on the arrival of the news that

England had declared war.[3]

“The Emperor,” said the aide-de-camp, “has charged me to express to

your Excellency his regret for the occurrences of last night, but to

tell you at the same time that you will gather from these occurrences

an idea of the feelings of his people respecting the action of Great

Britain in joining with other nations against her old allies of

Waterloo.”

William II. added that he was divesting himself of his titles of

British Field-Marshal and British Admiral, of which he had formerly

been so proud. To any one who knows the value and importance attached

in Germany to these honorary distinctions—which we should be inclined

to regard as mere trivialities—this act of the Emperor’s will convey

more than any words of anger and indignation.

VI.

Astonishment has been expressed at his having gone so far astray in

his judgment of public opinion and of the real intentions of the

Governments of the countries of the Triple Entente. He was no better

acquainted with the outlook of Italian statesmen, for the Quirinal’s

decision to hold aloof from the conflict, instead of taking part as

a member of the Triplice, undoubtedly caused him no little surprise

and irritation. This ignorance proceeds from his bad selection of men

to represent him abroad, and from his claim to be his own Foreign

Minister, just as he is his own Chancellor. The ambassadors are

appointed by the Emperor himself, often on the strength of a mere

fancy that he has taken to some particular person. Positions of the

highest importance have accordingly been given to men of very little

experience. His ambassadors, since their tenure depends on his will

and pleasure, make it their chief object to find favour in his sight,

to chime in with all his theories, and to send him reports that are

in harmony with his own opinions. With such scanty information from

diplomatic sources, the Imperial Government could not form a precise

idea as to what Russia, France, England, Japan, and Italy would do in

the event of a war between Austria and Servia, a war which was fated

not to remain localized. The same uncertainty, the same illusions

prevailed as regards the loyalty of the British dominions, the devotion

of the Indian princes, the acquiescence of Egypt, and the fidelity

of the Moslems in the French colonies. We cannot suppose, moreover,

that the German military attachés, official spies accredited at the

headquarters of foreign Governments, were any more clear-sighted

than their chiefs. The inferiority of the German diplomatic staff

was nowhere more glaringly shown up than by their own countrymen in

Berlin, whether in the debates on the Foreign Office estimates, or in

the columns of the Liberal Press, to say nothing of Socialist organs.

Liberal journalists were fond of contrasting the failures of German

diplomats with the successes of their French and English colleagues;

but these writers were wrong in ascribing the shortcomings of their

compatriots to their status as nobles of ancient lineage or men of the

middle classes who had recently been ennobled. The fault lay in the

Emperor’s capricious methods of selection.

William II. directed the foreign policy of Germany in person. From the

first, he liked to chat with ambassadors and Foreign Secretaries, and

to utter his thoughts freely upon the most delicate questions, knowing

well that none of his words would be wasted. His formidable jokes,

like his unexpected fits of frankness—whether they have been thought

out beforehand, or come as sudden flashes of his impatient temper—have

more than once disconcerted his hearers. Nor did he rest content with

talking; he took up the pen as well, to express his ideas to foreign

correspondents, such as Lord Tweedmouth—inspirations that were nearly

always unlucky! A notorious affair was that of the interview with the

Emperor published by the _Daily Telegraph_ in November 1908, after

being submitted to Prince von Bülow, who did not take the trouble to

inspect it personally. It brought about a crisis that must have had the

salutary effect of teaching the Sovereign to tread more warily and with

less self-confidence upon the shifting sands of foreign politics. The

German public simmered with indignation, and the Reichstag refused to

keep quiet. In the end the Chancellor had to intervene, and a promise

was exacted from the Emperor that he would be more discreet in future.

“The profound sensation and the painful impression created by these

disclosures,” said the Chancellor in the Reichstag, “will lead His

Majesty to maintain henceforth, in his private conversations, that

reserve which is no less essential for a continuous policy than for the

authority of the Crown.”

William II. accordingly promised to be more reticent, and for several

years he kept his word, but he never forgave Prince von Bülow for

not having defended him at the bar of the Reichstag and of public

opinion. Until the death of Herr von Kiderlen-Wächter, at the end of

1912, he refrained from any open interference in foreign affairs. No

more sensational speeches were made, no more long conversations on

questions of the day were held with ambassadors. It is true that Herr

von Kiderlen-Wächter, the strongest personality that has appeared

at the Wilhelmstrasse since the departure of Prince von Bülow—less

clever than the latter in the art of concealing his thoughts, but

more inclined to stand on his dignity, so much so that he could not

tolerate any interference by the Emperor in his domain—would rather

have resigned his post than be led about on a leash by his master, like

some submissive bulldog. Rightly or wrongly he was regarded as the

only man who could put into practice the treaty that he had concluded

with France. That treaty had been made with pacific intentions; for,

brutal as he was, this statesman was no lover of war. Had he lived, his

peculiar knowledge of the Near East would probably have ensured his

being kept in office throughout the period of the Balkan conflict, if

not longer. When Kiderlen-Wächter vanished from the scene, the Emperor

began once more to direct foreign policy, and resumed his freedom of

language with the diplomats of other countries. The Turkish ambassador,

Osman Nizami Pasha, who had previously been in high favour, was marked

out as a special victim; he was told some cruel home-truths by the

great friend of Turkey, after the first disasters of the Thracian

campaign.

VII.

It often happens that a monarch or a statesman is made up of several

distinct personalities, which come to the fore in turn at the various

stages of his career. Few are those who remain unchanged from early

youth to the grave, as if hewn from a block of granite. In rulers

who are conscious of their responsibilities, the years as they roll

by assuage or curb the passions of their springtime. Maturity and

experience lead them to take a less confident view of enterprises to

which they would like to apply their energies and their resources. In

William II., a contrary process has taken place. Such relative wisdom

as he can boast has been shown in his middle age, not in his youth.

I have heard it suggested that the state of his health may have had

something to do with his moral deterioration. In spite of his taking

constant exercise in the open air, or perhaps because of his excessive

travelling and of the exhaustion that it involved, his overstrained

nerves became considerably weaker as time went on. In the end, the

daily rest that he forced himself to take, lying down on his bed for

at least an hour every afternoon, was not enough to restore his

physical balance. His drawn face and ashen complexion were tell-tale

signs of wear and tear. His subjects, who did not often get a chance

of seeing him, were shocked to discover how their Sovereign was

growing old before his time. Who knows, it has been asked, whether the

decline in his powers of resistance has not reacted upon his mental

condition? Physiologists and doctors, accustomed to trace connections

between physical and moral states, would be inclined to confirm this

theory. Personally, I do not believe that fatigue and exhaustion have

played their part in determining William II.’s actions. That his

nervousness has increased of late, that his growing irritability has

made him more trying to his personal attendants, more liable to insist

upon unquestioning obedience—these facts are supported by so many

independent witnesses, that we cannot question their truth. But his

schemes have been drawn up with perfect mental calm, and not in that

state of morbid over-excitement which the world has been too ready to

regard as his normal mood.

What manner of a man, then, is William II.? An ambitious ruler of

the stamp of Charles V., Louis XIV., or Napoleon—that Napoleon who

is popular to-day in Berlin, where his portrait is exhibited in the

shop windows more often than those of the Prussian kings, with the

exception of “Old Fritz”? A great prince who has studied the lessons

of his professors in history, and has striven to realize the ancient

aspirations of his people? “The Hohenzollerns,” his teachers tell him,

“after centuries of waiting, are destined to build up that great Empire

of the West for which the heirs of Otto laid out the plans and the

Hohenstaufen reared the scaffolding. Germany, united at last under the

Hohenzollern sway, in vigour, in population, in intelligence, in power

of production and expansion, superior to the decadent nations that

surround her, must go forth resolutely to conquer Europe, and after

that to dominate the world.” Such, I think, will be the flattering

verdict that future German historians will pass on William II. In the

world outside Germany, the Belgians, at any rate, will hold a different

view. They will not subscribe to the accuracy of this idealized

portrait, which omits those hitherto unsuspected features that the war

has brought to their notice. In one who had motives for watching him

during the last years before the catastrophe, the Emperor aroused a

sense of perplexity and fear, like some momentous riddle that no man

may read. To-day we cannot study his character without reference to

the actions that have displayed it in a ghastly light. His dramatic

figure is lit up for his victims by the flames of Louvain and other

ill-starred cities, and in that same lurid glare they behold their

country writhing beneath the blows that his insensate rage has dealt it.

We must picture to ourselves, the Belgians will say, a monarch mighty

in rank and power, effusively cordial to strangers whom he wished to

charm and dazzle, but liable to disappoint those who were rash enough

to trust in his kindness of heart; always able to give the impression

of complete frankness, and using this as a means of seduction; really

admiring nothing but strength, and ready to abuse his own; looking

with utter contempt on small States and petty princes, yet never loath

to flatter them when occasion demanded; a wooer of public opinion,

especially that of other countries, but resolved to defy it in order

to attain his ambitions; a ruler who enjoyed a false reputation

for chivalry, while he has shown himself relentless in his malice;

of a faith that was sincere, if superficial, yet did not prevent

him from setting his interests above his most solemn engagements,

and ruthlessly tearing up any treaty that had become inconvenient;

always careful to play his part, and clever in staging his effects;

accustomed, unfortunately, to seeing everything bow to his will; such a

spoilt child of fortune that he came to the point of thinking himself

infallible; one whom Nietzsche might have called a superman, and the

Romans a demigod.

It has been asserted that this “demigod” was merely an exalted type

of the ill-balanced or decadent man. What a mistake! He was in full

possession of all his faculties when he ordered that hasty mobilization

which made the cataclysm inevitable. Some have maintained that he

was, beyond all question, the tool of a caste and a party for whom

war was the sole means of consolidating their power. He did indeed

listen to their advice, but only because their views were in harmony

with his own. Without any hesitation, the verdict of history will

make him answerable for the disasters that have overwhelmed Europe.

If we carefully read and compare the documents relating to the brief

negotiations carried on during the Austro-Serbian crisis, we find ample

proof that it was within William II.’s power, up to the last moment,

to say the word that would have prevented war. So far from doing this,

he sent his ultimatum to Russia, and thus let loose the deluge at the

moment which he had chosen.

One would like to believe that he hesitated a long time before

venturing upon a path beset with so many terrors. One would fain

imagine that his conscience revolted at the thought of the streams

of blood and the heartrending misery which the coming struggle would

involve, but that he was swept along, in spite of himself, by an

irresistible fate. Idle speculations! The blow had been planned

several months in advance, the scheme had been prepared down to its

minutest details, and the Emperor deliberately hastened on the signal

for attack, cutting short in his impatience the discussions which the

Entente Powers were desperately anxious to continue. The projects that

he was carrying out had matured at leisure. Posterity will regard

this point as settled, and will brush aside the charge of provocation

trumped up against his opponents by himself, by his Chancellor, and by

his Press, in order to gain the suffrages of public opinion at home and

abroad.

When all is said and done, history will not forgive William of

Hohenzollern for having initiated an appalling war, carried on in his

name. Why these frightful devastations, this systematic destruction of

towns, villages, and country-houses, this methodical vandalism directed

against secular and religious monuments, these wholesale executions

of innocent civilians, these unpardonable murders of priests, women,

and children, this raping and looting, all this useless cruelty that

recalls the native barbarism of the primitive Germanic tribes? For such

methods of warfare posterity, like the present generation, will find

no excuse. It will say that the campaign of 1914 in Belgium and in

Northern France, where these harrowing scenes occurred over and over

again, brought dishonour both to the German army and to its Emperor.

Germany before the war · 第 1 / 9 章