Reproduced, by permission, from MOODY’S MAGAZINE of August, 1906.]

To digress for a moment, it may be interesting to note that efforts

to carry prices beyond reasonable limits almost invariably result in

disaster to the promoters, no matter how far they may be successful

in establishing black-board quotations. With the exception of “Old

Hutch” wheat corner in 1888, all the numerous attempts to speculate

successfully on wholly artificial prices in commodities, have failed.

The Sully cotton campaign, the Leiter wheat deal, the Phillips corn

deal, the Coster-Martin corn deal, all ended in ruin for their sponsors.

From 1899 to 1901 inclusive, the average price of wheat was a little

above 70 cents, in 1902 and 1903 it rose to 80 cents, and in 1904 and

1905 to $1.00.

In the latter years, allowance must again be made for unusual

influences, the Russo-Japanese war naturally helping wheat prices;

making due allowance for this, it may be fairly considered that wheat

has in the last ten years increased its average selling price from

about 70 cents to 90 cents, or approximately 30%.

_Why Corn Has Risen More Than Wheat._

Corn prices in the same period have advanced 100%; the comparatively

large number of uses to which corn is put may partly account for the

disproportionate enhancement of its price, but the discrepancy is too

great to be entirely explained away on this account. It is necessary to

seek some additional and more powerful reason.

[Illustration: FLUCTUATIONS OF CORN PRICES FOR TEN YEARS.

(The rims of the circles touch the high and low prices of corn each

year for 10 years.)

The cycles of speculation · 第 26 / 34 题