THE FALLACY OF PROTECTION.

All laws made for the purpose of protecting the interests of individuals

or classes must mean, if they mean anything, to render the articles

which such classes deal in or produce dearer than they would otherwise

be if the public was left at liberty to supply itself with such

commodities in the manner which their own interests and choice would

dictate. In order to make them dearer it is absolutely necessary to make

them scarcer; for quantity being large or small in proportion to demand,

alone can regulate the price;--protection, therefore, to any commodity

simply means that the quantity supplied to the community shall be less

than circumstances would naturally provide, but that for the smaller

quantity supplied under the restriction of law the same sum shall be

paid as the larger quantity would command without such restriction.

Time was when the Sovereigns of England relied chiefly on the granting

of patents to individuals for the exclusive exercise of certain trades

or occupations in particular places, as the means of rewarding the

services of some, and as a provision for others of their adherents,

followers, and favourites, who either held the exclusive supply in their

own hands on their own terms, or who again granted to others under them

that privilege, receiving from them a portion of the gains. In the

course of time, however, the public began to discover that these

monopolies acted upon them directly as a tax of a most odious

description; that the privileged person found it needful always to keep

the supply short to obtain his high price (for as soon as he admitted

plenty he had no command of price)--that, in short, the sovereign, in

conferring a mark of regard on a favourite, gave not that which he

himself possessed, but only invested him with the power of imposing a

contribution on the public.

The public once awake to the true operation of such privileges, and

severely suffering under the injuries which they inflicted,

perseveringly struggled against these odious monopolies, until the

system was entirely abandoned, and the crown was deprived of the power

of granting patents of this class. But though the public saw clearly

enough that these privileges granted by the sovereign to individuals

operated thus prejudicially on the community, they did not see with

equal clearness that the same power transferred to, and exercised by,

Parliament, to confer similar privileges on classes; to do for a number

of men what the sovereign had before done for single men, would, to the

remaining portion of the community, be just as prejudicial as the abuses

against which they had struggled. That like the sovereign, the

Parliament, in protecting or giving privileges to a class, gave nothing

which they possessed themselves, but granted only the power to such

classes of raising a contribution from the remaining portion of the

community, by levying a higher price for their commodity than it would

otherwise command. As with individuals, it was equally necessary to make

scarcity to secure price, and that could only be done by restricting the

sources of supply by prohibiting, or by imposing high duties on, foreign

importations. Many circumstances, however, combined to render the use of

this power by Parliament less obvious than it had been when exercised by

the sovereign, but chiefly the fact that protection was usually granted

by imposing high duties, often in their effect quite prohibitory, under

the plea of providing revenue for the state. Many other more modern

excuses have been urged, such as those of encouraging native industry,

and countervailing peculiar burthens, in order to reconcile public

opinion to the exactions arising out of the system, all of which we

shall, on future occasions, carefully consider separately. But, above

all, the great reason why these evils have been so long endured has

been, that the public have believed that all classes and interests,

though perhaps not exactly to the same extent, have shared in

protection. We propose at present to confine our consideration to the

effects of protection,--first, on the community generally; and secondly,

on the individual classes protected.

As it is admitted that protection ought, if granted at all, to be given

to all alike, it would follow that the whole produce of the country

would be raised to an artificial price; and if this were the case, as

far as regarded the exchange or transactions among members of the same

community, the effect would be merely nominal, of no advantage to any

one, and of little disadvantage beyond the enormous public expense

needed to prevent people cheating each other by smuggling and bringing

in the cheaper foreign article;--but such a community must forego all

notion or idea of a foreign trade;--they must have no desires to be

gratified beyond themselves, and they must have within themselves the

independent means of supplying every want. For even if the law be strong

enough to maintain an artificial high price at home, it has no power of

making other countries pay that price; and if everything we possessed

commanded a higher price at home than other countries could supply the

same for, we should have nothing which we could exchange for the produce

of other countries, and thus no more foreign trade could exist, than in

a poor country which had no surplus produce. It is therefore essential

that every country should bear in mind, in adopting a system of

protection to manufactures or other produce, that they thereby

effectually debar themselves from all foreign trade to neutral countries

in such articles; for if they require high duties at home to protect

them from the produce of other countries, which could only come at

considerable expense to compete with them at home, how can they

withstand that competition when they meet on the same terms in every

respect in a neutral market? How effectually has France stayed her

export linen trade by raising the duties and the price of linen yarn,

and by that act, intended as a blow to English trade, given the linen

manufacturers of this country a greater advantage over France in the

markets of the world than ever. How idle are the efforts of the Belgian

government to establish depôts and factories for the sale of their

manufactures in St Thomas add other places, while the manufacturers in

Ghent are only able to maintain their home trade, by high protective

duties, against English, French, and German goods, and still cry out for

greater protection!

It is, however, abundantly plain, that the state of a country above

described could not long exist, when industry and intelligence were in

the course of producing wealth; for if there be one law in nature more

distinct than another, it is, that while the productions of every

country are less or more limited to particular things, the wants of man

extend to every possible variety of products over the whole world, as

soon as his means can command them. As a country advances in wealth, it

will have more and more surplus produce, which under wise laws would

always consist of such things as it could produce with greatest facility

and profit, whether from the loom or the soil. This surplus produce

would be exchanged for the productions of other climates, but it must be

quite clear, as soon as we arrive at this stage, that the power of the

law to protect price altogether ceases. The surplus exported must sell

in the markets of the world, in competition with the same article

produced under the cheapest circumstances, and that article in the home

market can command only the same price.

Thus the whole attempt to protect all interests equally would

immediately fail; every article produced in excess, and exported, would

command only the lowest prices of open markets, and the fancied

protection of the law would be void; while everything produced in

deficiency, and of which we required to import a portion to make up the

needful supply, would continue to be protected above the natural price

of the world to any extent of import duty that the law imposed upon the

quantity required to make up the deficiency.

Thus, for example, we export a large portion of the woollen, and the

largest portion of the cotton goods which we manufacture, to all parts

of the world, which we must sell at least as cheap as they can be bought

in any other country. The same articles can only command the same price

in the home market, and though the law imposed an import duty, by way of

pretended protection, to any extent, upon similar foreign goods, it

would not have the effect of raising the price one fraction. On the

other hand, we do not produce as much wool or food as we consume, and

have every year to import large quantities of each to make up the

deficiency. Whatever duty, therefore, is put on the import of the

quantity thus required, will enable the producers at home to maintain

their price so much above the natural level of the world. By this state

of things the country at large is injured in two distinct and prominent

ways:--first,--those articles which we can make in excess, and export,

must ever be the chief means of absorbing the increasing capital and

labour of the country; and the impediment thrown in our way, of

importing those things which we have in deficiency, must necessarily

check our power of extending the demand for the produce of such

increasing labour and capital; and, secondly,--the price of such

articles as we produce in deficiency, will always be maintained much

above the level of the world, to the great disadvantage of the other

great class of producers, the price of whose labour, and whose profits,

will be regulated by competition with those who have food, &c., at the

lowest price.

So much as to the effect on the community at large. We will now shortly

consider the effect on individual interests, which are thought to enjoy

protection, and we believe we can show that there never was a condition

so fraught with mischief and disappointment, with such unmitigated

delusion, deception, and exposure to ruin, than is to be found in every

case where protection operates. We think it can be clearly shown _that

such occupations can never be more profitable; that they must usually be

less profitable; and that they are always more exposed to vicissitudes

than any other class_.

They never can be more profitable, because capital and enterprise will

always be attracted to any occupation which offers a larger profit than

the usual rate, till it is reduced to a level with others; they will

usually be less profitable, indeed always in a community of increasing

numbers, because the price being maintained by restriction above the

price of the world, prevents an extension of such trades in the same

proportion as those who naturally belong to them, and look to them for

occupation, increase in numbers: they will be exposed to greater

vicissitudes, because, being confined to the supply of only one market,

any accidental circumstance, which either increases the usual supply, or

diminishes the usual demand, will cause an infinitely greater depression

than if they were in a condition to avail themselves of the markets of

the whole world, over which they could spread an accidental and unusual

surplus.

Thus, previous to 1824, the silk manufacturers of this country were

protected to a greater extent than any other trade, and the price of

silk goods was maintained much above the rate of other countries; our

silk trade was therefore necessarily confined almost exclusively to the

home market and our colonies, and though they had a monopoly of those

markets, it was at the cost of exclusion (on account of higher price)

from all other markets.

Notwithstanding this monopoly, the silk manufacturers could never

command at any time larger _profits_ than other trades; for had they

done so, competition would have increased until the rate was reduced to

the common level of the country: on the contrary, the tendency was for

profits and rates of wages to be smaller than in other great

manufacturing branches, requiring equal capital and skill; because, with

the increasing numbers who belonged to the silk trade,--the sons of

manufacturers and of weavers, who naturally, in the first instance, look

to the trade of their parents for their occupation,--the trade did not

proportionably increase, from the fact of our being unable to extend our

exports; and, lastly, it was exposed to much greater vicissitudes than

other trades; for when, either from a temporary change of fashion or

taste, or from a temporary stagnation of trade in this country, the

accustomed demand was lessened, the silk manufacturers were unable to

obtain any relief by extending their trade in the great neutral markets

of the world, being excluded by price, and the whole surplus quantity

remained a dead weight on this market only; whereas other branches of

manufactures, practically enjoying no protection, in the case of

depressed trade at home, had an opportunity of immediate relief, by

spreading the surplus thereby created, at a very trifling sacrifice,

over the wide markets which they supplied.

In this way the extent and duration of the vicissitudes and depressions

in the silk trade were without parallel in any other; but since 1824,

since this trade has been placed in a natural position by the removal of

monopoly, the whole aspect of it has changed, and these peculiar evils

have all disappeared.

Then again with regard to the products of land, which the law attempts

to protect more highly than any other. Here again, though the price to

the community is maintained much above the prices of other countries, no

one person connected with raising the produce can command a higher rate

of profit, or higher wages for labour, than other trades having no

protection whatever; for if they did, competition would soon reduce them

to the same level; but, on the contrary, the wages, of agricultural

labourers, and the profits of farmers, are always rather below than

above the common rate, and simply from this fact, that the children of

farm labourers, and of farmers, who first naturally look to the pursuits

of their parents for a trade or occupation, increase in numbers without

any corresponding extension of the means of employment, and the

competition among them is therefore always greater than in other trades

which have the power of extension; and the vicissitudes to which the

farmer is exposed are notoriously greater than any other trade. His rent

and expenses throughout are fixed by an artificial price of produce,

which price can only be maintained as long as a certain scarcity exists;

but the moment the markets are plentifully supplied, either from a want

of demand owing to a depression of trade, or from the result of a good

harvest, he finds that plenty takes out of his hand all control of

price, which quickly sinks to the natural rate.

With a free trade the farmer would never be exposed to such reverses. In

that state, if the demand and price increased, it would be checked by an

increase of imports from other countries; if the demand and price

diminished, that would also be checked by a reduction or cessation of

the usual imports, and, if necessary, by an export of any surplus which

pressed upon the market;--and, if our space allowed, it would not be

difficult to show that, with prices at the natural rate, all parties

connected with land would not only be in a safer but a much better

condition.

No cautious man who well understands the subject will ever hazard his

capital in any trade exposed to so many evils and to so much uncertainty

as restriction and protection infallibly introduce into it:--but the

great error which misleads all men in cherishing such trades is, that

they mistake _high prices_ for _high profits_, which usually, instead of

being synonymous terms, are quite the reverse.

The Economist, Volume 1, No. 3 · 第 35 / 123 题