thus be as a tactical weapon against armies in the field, while its
strategic use against civilian populations would be simple wanton
destruction from the point of view of both victor and vanquished, then
not only morality and Christian civilization but plain common sense
would dictate the wisdom of our solemnly declaring right now that we
will never be the first to use either the non-rigged H-bomb or even the
A-bomb against civilian populations, and that the only circumstance that
would compel us to use them so would be in retaliation for their use
against us or our allies. In fact, we could renounce strategic bombing
altogether. By doing so we would gain one of the greatest moral
victories, for then if Russia failed to make a similar declaration, as
she most likely would, she would stand before the world as a nation bent
on wholesale slaughter of civilian populations. We have nothing to lose
and everything to gain by such a declaration, and the sooner we make it
the better.
Should we make such a declaration, it would place Russia in an
embarrassing position indeed. For while as a tactical weapon the
non-rigged H-bomb offers us great advantages as a counterforce to
neutralize her huge army, she can use the H-bomb, both the rigged and
the non-rigged, as a constant threat against our densely populated
cities. As Senator Brien McMahon, of Connecticut, chairman of the Joint
Congressional Committee on Atomic Energy, has warned, an H-bomb attack
“might incinerate 50,000,000 Americans—not in the space of an evening
but in the space of a few minutes.” We have eleven cities of one million
or more inhabitants, whereas Russia has only three or four. We have
forty cities of 200,000 and over, inhabited by 40,000,000, or 27 per
cent of our population, whereas Russia has only twenty cities of 200,000
and over, inhabited by only 20,000,000, or 10 per cent of her
population. Furthermore, her industries are now largely dispersed,
whereas our industries are highly centralized. Russia would thus get
much the worse of the bargain if she were to accept our challenge to
renounce the use of strategic bombing, particularly that of the A- and
H-bombs, while we still retain the right to use them in tactical bombing
against her armies.
Suppose Russia in this dilemma, and recognizing the need to avoid the
moral opprobrium of the peoples of the world that her refusal to meet
our renunciation would entail, comes forth with a counterproposal to
renounce the use of both A- and H-bombs altogether, as strategic as well
as tactical weapons, thus exchanging the elimination of the threat of
the annihilation of our teeming cities and industries, for the removal
of the threat of destruction to her armies. Suppose that at the same
time she repeats her demand, frequently voiced by her in the United
Nations, that all stockpiles of A- and H-bombs be destroyed and a
convention signed to outlaw their uses. The world already knows the
answer, for we have already made it again and again.
Immediately after the close of the last war we declared our readiness to
give up the A-bomb. In 1946, at a time when we were the sole possessor
of the bomb, when we had every reason to believe that our monopoly would
last for a number of years, we submitted a far-reaching plan for the
international control of atomic energy, the most generous offer by far
ever made by any nation in history. In this historic plan we not only
declared our readiness to give up our stockpile of A-bombs and to agree
to refrain from further production; we even offered to give up our
sovereignty over our multibillion-dollar atomic plants to an
international agency. We further agreed to submit to unhindered, free
inspection by such an agency to assure the world, and Russia in
particular, that we were not manufacturing A-bombs, or A-bomb materials,
in secret. No nation in history had ever gone so far in its desire to
show its goodwill and its peaceful intentions as to make a voluntary
offer to surrender the world’s most powerful weapon of war, and an
important part of its sovereignty to boot. The offer still stands. It
has been enthusiastically endorsed by all the members of the United
Nations except Russia and her satellites. After three years of futile
negotiations and discussions Russia still insists that she would not
surrender any part of her sovereignty or submit to the only kind of
inspection that could assure the world against clandestine production of
atomic bombs and materials.
Hence, should Russia demand that we renounce the right to use the A- and
H-bombs not only as strategic but also as tactical weapons against her
armies in exchange for a similar offer on her part, it would on the face
of it be a mere repetition of her earlier efforts to trick us into
giving up our greatest weapons while she remained free to produce them
in secret, since she insists upon her right to retain ownership of the
atomic plants and materials and upon the inspection of only those plants
she acknowledges to exist, thus making it impossible to find plants
whose existence she does not admit. To accept such an offer would be
tantamount to surrender, since our giving up the right to use the H-bomb
as a tactical weapon against her armies would leave her free to march
into the countries of western Europe. It would then be too late to stop
her, for we could not drop the H-bomb on the cities of western Europe.
The only time to stop Russia’s armies is before they cross into the
territory of our allies, during the crucial period when they are
mobilized in large numbers and on the march.
The American people, and the other free peoples of the world, could not
agree to such a scheme to disarm them in advance and thus give the
masters of the Kremlin a free hand. To do so would not prevent war, it
would encourage it. It would not even delay it, it would hasten it.
Instead of being preventable, it would become inevitable. We wouldn’t
even save our cities from the fate of strategic bombing with A- and
H-bombs, since the Kremlin has never kept its promises when they did not
suit its purposes. When we had lost our greatest chance to wipe out her
armies in one mighty blow, Russia would be in a position to trade our
industries and cities for her dispersed and still primitive industrial
plants and cities. If at that stage she should offer us, as well as our
neighbors to the south and Britain and her Dominions, independence and
complete sovereignty, while she assumed hegemony over all of Europe and
Asia, could we then refuse, at the risk of the lives of our millions?
Supposing the nations of western Europe, overrun by the Red Army, become
“people’s democracies,” Russian style, would we risk our millions to
liberate nations whose governments would by then have joined the ranks
of our enemy?
These are the brutal facts that would confront us were we to renounce
the right to use A- and H-bombs as tactical weapons against armies in
the field. As long as we retain that right, the chances are good that we
could prevent global war, for no nation would be likely to risk such a
war in the face of the possibility that the main bulk of its armies
might be wiped out at the outset. If we give up that right, we would
also prevent war—by surrendering in advance. Russia, of course, might
figure that she could still make war, when she decides the time is ripe,
taking the calculated risk that we would not use the A- and H-bombs
against her armies for fear of her retaliation against our cities and
industries. But whether she would consider that calculated risk worth
taking would depend on how good our defenses were. Senator McMahon’s
warning that an H-bomb attack “might incinerate 50,000,000 Americans ...
in the space of a few minutes” would become a possibility only if we
allowed ourselves to be surprised for a second time by a “super Pearl
Harbor,” which, of course, is inconceivable. While it is generally
agreed that it is impossible to decentralize our cities and industries,
because of the tremendous cost (estimated at $300 billion) and the short
time at our disposal between now and the ultimate showdown, when Russia
is expected to be ready to make major moves at the risk of “accepting”
war, we have many advantages not possessed by Britain and Germany during
the last war as far as defenses against strategic bombing were
concerned. Britain, as well as Poland, Holland, and Belgium—little,
densely populated countries—were within very short range of Germany’s
airfields. So was Germany, in her turn, within easy range from Britain.
Radar, as compared with its modern types, was primitive in quality and
inadequate in quantity. Automatic antiaircraft guns, interceptor planes,
and night fighters were either nonexistent in the early days of the
blitz or in a crude stage of development compared with present
equivalents.
How vastly different is our situation today vis-à-vis Russia! Instead of
a short hop across the English Channel she would have to cross the
Atlantic or the Pacific to reach our continent, whereas we can reach her
heartland from bases all around her borders. It is unthinkable that any
of her bombers can cross either ocean without being detected hundreds of
miles before they reach our shores. With modern radar devices, which are
constantly being improved, and fleets of fast interceptors far in
advance of anything Russia could develop, we would destroy them long
before they would do us any harm. If she attempts to fly over the North
Pole, she will still have to cross all of Canada before she can reach
us, and if we and our Canadian friends are on the alert, as we must and
shall be, any hostile planes could be detected and destroyed over the
Arctic.
There is, of course, the possibility of exploding an H-bomb some
distance off shore from a submarine or from a tramp steamer, but here,
too, eternal vigilance will be the price of our liberties and our lives.
There can be no question that we shall succeed in finding the answer to
the detection of the Snorkel-type submarine and master it just as we
mastered the earlier types. American ingenuity and superior technology
have never failed yet in the face of an emergency, and it is unthinkable
that they should fail now.
We often hear it said that an enemy could smuggle an A-bomb in small
parts into this country and assemble it here. While such an operation is
possible, its successful execution against a nation fully on guard is
highly improbable. As for the H-bomb, it requires large quantities of
liquefied gas, which must be kept in a vacuum surrounded by large
vessels of liquid air. In addition it must have its A-bomb trigger and
other complicated devices. All this makes its surreptitious smuggling
into a country such as ours even more improbable.
We have had it dinned into our ears for so long that there is no defense
against the atomic bomb, and that the only choice confronting us is “one
world or none,” without anyone taking the trouble to challenge these two
pernicious catch-phrases, that we have accepted them as gospel truth,
particularly since they were uttered by some of our more articulate
atomic scientists. That scientists should at last step out from their
laboratories and classrooms to take an active interest in public affairs
is highly commendable and welcome. But that does not give them the right
to take advantage of the great respect and confidence the public has for
them with utterances that serve only to create fear and hysteria and a
sense of helplessness, while at the same time offering remedies they
know to be unattainable.
The truth of the matter is that there can be and there is a defense
against atomic weapons, as against any other weapon. Basically it is the
same as the defense against submarines or enemy bombers: detect them and
destroy them before they reach you. The difference is largely a matter
of degree. Since the atomic-bomb carrier can do greater damage, the
measures of defense against it must be correspondingly greater. With the
aid of the vast stretches of the Atlantic and the Pacific, augmented by
an effective radar and interceptor system, on the one hand; and with
effective counter-submarine measures on the other, the odds would be
against a single A- or H-bomb reaching our shores.
Faced with such an impregnable system of defense, and with a threat of
the swift annihilation of its armies as soon as they begin marching for
war, the Kremlin could no longer, unless its masters went completely
berserk, regard war, or even a challenge to war, a risk worth taking.
The cold war may get warmer, as it did in Korea, but as long as we keep
our heads and don’t give way to fear and hysteria, trusting in God and
keeping our H-bombs “wet,” it may never reach the boilingpoint.
And we have in addition a weapon even more powerful than the H-bomb or
any other physical weapon, which instead of bringing misery and death
would bring new life and new hope to hundreds of millions now enslaved.
We have not yet even begun to fight on the battlefield of ideas, in
which we can match freedom against tyranny, friendship against class
hatred, truth against lies, a society based on the respect and dignity
of the individual and the giving of full scope to human aspirations
against a society modeled after the beehive and the ant-heap.
“Real peace,” former Assistant Secretary of State Adolf A. Berle, Jr.,
said in the _New Leader_, “is deeper than absence of war. That will be
won in the realm of philosophy and ideas. Indeed, the great reason for
preventing war is to permit ideas to meet ideas on their own merits....
The statesman’s business is to keep the conflagration at bay and give
ideas their chance, relying on the moral strength of the ideals he
represents to bring to their support the masses throughout the world.”
In such a war of ideas, he adds, there could be no doubt about the
outcome, as the West can oppose all its positives against Moscow’s
negatives. We meet “a betrayed revolution, in a decadent, imperialist,
dictatorial phase, building an empire on the negatives of human
behavior. Such empires engage no permanent loyalties; they invariably
break up. War would defeat this empire in any case. First rate
statesmanship can avoid that war.”
In the words of General George C. Marshall, “the most important thing
for the world today is a spiritual regeneration.... We must present
democracy as a force holding within itself the seeds of unlimited
progress for the human race. We should make it clear that it is a means
to a better way of life within nations and to a better understanding
among nations. Tyranny inevitably must fall back before the tremendous
moral strength of the gospel of freedom and self-respect for the
individual.”
As an advance army in this war of ideas we already have a fifth column
of millions waiting for our signal to march, the millions of the
enslaved satellite countries—Poland, Czechoslovakia, the Baltic
countries, Hungary, Bulgaria, Rumania—as well as millions upon millions
behind the Iron Curtain in Russia itself. The greatest mistake made by
Hitler was his failure to utilize the readiness and eagerness of a large
percentage of the Russian masses to turn against their oppressors. When
the Nazi armies marched into the Ukraine, large numbers of Ukrainians,
who had been longing for independence for centuries, greeted them as
their liberators with the traditional bread and salt, symbol of welcome.
Russian soldiers surrendered by the thousands and they, along with the
men of the villages, volunteered in great numbers to fight against their
enslavers. In the hearts of millions of Russians behind the front, the
longing for liberty, never extinguished, was given its greatest stimulus
since the days when they overthrew the Czarist regime. They, too, were
waiting for the Germans to give them back the revolution the Communists
had stolen from them with lies and deceit.
With the stupidity characteristic of all criminals, Hitler and Himmler
proclaimed that the Russians were to be treated as an “inferior race.”
Everywhere their armies went they burned and pillaged and raped. Instead
of liberators they turned out to be most savage barbarians, who behaved
even worse than the commissars. It was this inconceivable folly of
Hitler, as well as our Lend-Lease, that played a major role in enabling
the Kremlin to win the war.
The Russian masses and those of the enslaved satellite countries are
still waiting for their liberators. The masters of the Kremlin know it,
but they hope that, like the Nazis, we will be too stupid to take
advantage of it. If a war ever breaks out, we shall have millions
joining our ranks provided we do not destroy these millions, those not
in uniform, with A- or H-bombs in the strategic bombing of their cities.
But we should not wait until a war breaks out. We must begin mobilizing
them right now for the war of ideas.
The so-called Iron Curtain is a fake, like the rest of the Communist
set-up. It is made of tinsel and is full of thousands of holes, through
which we can pass if we will. Those thousands of miles of border ringing
the vast Russian Empire could be utilized as great thoroughfares of
ideas, to be smuggled to the millions waiting for them. There isn’t a
guard on those borders who couldn’t, with the proper approach and
inducements, be enlisted in our army of ideas. In addition to flooding
the air over Russia with tiny balloons, each carrying a message of
freedom and hope, we could also smuggle into the country small radio
receiving sets by the millions to bring the Voice of America to millions
of Russian homes. We could attach to those balloons small loaves of
bread, packages of cigarettes, little trinkets for babies, nylon
stockings for women, on a scale that no police could cope with. Nor
could the Kremlin risk forbidding it, as that would place it in the
position of further depriving its starved and hungry people of things
they badly need and want.
With these weapons on the battlefront in the war of ideas, and with the
A- and H-bomb to give the Kremlin pause, we would be well on the way to
win any war, cold or hot. Our justification for building the hydrogen
bomb is thus not merely to prevent its use, but to prevent World War
III, and to win it if it comes. We are not building it to bring Russia
to her knees. We are building it to bring her to her senses. We must
make the Kremlin realize with General Marshall that “tyranny inevitably
must fall back before the tremendous moral strength of the gospel of
freedom and self-respect for the individual.”
IV
KOREA CLEARED THE AIR
As this is being written, the Korean war is just one month old. By the
time these lines appear in print we may know whether the naked Communist
aggression on the Republic of South Korea was an episode, a prelude, or
the first act of World War III. But whatever history records, the first
flash of the Communist guns, supplied by the Kremlin, has revealed to
the free world at last the face of the enemy in all its hideousness. It
brought the first phase of the so-called cold war to a definite end. It
aroused freedom-loving peoples everywhere and put them on the alert. It
served as a powerful headlight in the night, revealing many dangerous
curves on the road ahead. It has given the United Nations its first
great opportunity to display its vitality for all the world to see.
Among other things, the flash of the North Korean guns has illumined for
us more clearly than ever before the path we must follow in our policy
on atomic weapons, both the A-bomb and the H-bomb. It has revealed the
extreme danger lurking in any plan to outlaw production and use of
atomic weapons in a world constantly threatened by a savage
dictatorship, ready to pounce on it at the first sign of weakening in
its armor.
The flash of the Red guns, in the first place, made it clear to free men
everywhere that to renounce our right to the production of atomic
weapons as potentially the greatest deterrents against the further
spread of Communist aggression, and as the most powerful defenders of
the spiritual and moral values without which our way of life would
become meaningless, would allow the Red Army to overrun what remains of
the free world. Such a move on our part, for the present and the
foreseeable future, may herald the last appearance of free men on the
stage of history. It would be, as the Goncourt brothers feared, “closing
time, gentlemen!”
In addition to warning us what we must not do, the Red guns also gave
warning of a more positive nature. They warned us to make all haste in
the construction of the hydrogen bomb, to get it ready as soon as
possible, against the eventuality that Russia may decide it would be to
her advantage to precipitate World War III before our H-bomb is ready.
Instead of the estimated pre-Korea time-table of three years, it now
becomes a vital necessity for us to complete our H-bomb, and facilities
for its production at a speedy rate, within a year. And if the history
of our development of the A-bomb may serve as an example, it almost
becomes a certainty that we shall do so. While we may not announce it to
the world, we have good reason to expect that the first H-bomb will be
ready for testing sometime in 1951, possibly in early summer.
This forecast is not based on merely guesswork. When we decided to go
all out in developing the A-bomb—and we didn’t really go to work in
earnest until May 1943—nobody knew that it could be successfully made.
There were two enormous major problems to be solved, and solved in time
to be of use in winning the war. One was to produce unheard-of
quantities of fissionable materials (U-235 and plutonium), literally in
quantities billions of times greater than had ever been produced before.
Nobody knew whether it could be done or how it could be done. Three
gigantic plants were built, at a cost of $1,500,000,000, on the mere
chance, “calculated risk” we called it, that one of them would work. As
it turned out, they all worked, some more efficiently than others,
though all contributed to the shortening of the war. The second major
problem, among a host of smaller ones, all important to the successful
attainment of the goal, was how to assemble the materials produced in
the billion-dollar plants into a bomb that would live up to
expectations. Both major problems had to be solved simultaneously. The
designing of the bomb went on for more than two years with only trickles
of the active material.
Yet despite all these enormous difficulties the A-bomb was completed for
testing in about two years and three months after the beginning of the
large-scale effort. Compared with the enormousness of the problems that
had to be solved, and were solved successfully in this remarkably short
time, the problems still to be solved for building the hydrogen bomb
appear relatively simple, since all the materials required and the
plants to produce them are already built, paid for, and operating
successfully. As already pointed out, we have the A-bombs to serve as
triggers, large stockpiles of deuterium, and the refrigeration equipment
and techniques to liquefy it. We have an adequate supply of lithium for
the production of tritium, which, as explained earlier, would be used as
the extra kindling to the A-bomb match. And we have, of course, our
gigantic plutonium factories at Hanford, Washington, in which the
lithium could be converted into tritium in the desired amounts.
Thus, instead of having to start from scratch as we were forced to do
with the A-bomb, we have at hand all the necessary ingredients for the
H-bomb with the possible exception of sufficient tritium, and since we
have the plutonium plants, greatly expanded and improved since the end
of the war, it is reasonable to make a “guestimate,” to use a word
popular in wartime, that a few months should suffice for them, if they
are employed exclusively for that purpose, to produce tritium in proper
amounts.
That we have decided to complete the construction of the H-bomb in the
shortest possible time was made clear on July 7, two weeks following the
Communist attack on South Korea, when President Truman asked Congress to
furnish $260,000,000 in cash “to build additional and more efficient
plants and related facilities” for materials that can be used either for
weapons or for fuels potentially useful for power purposes. The
appropriation, he said, was required “in furtherance of my directive of
January 31, 1950,” in which he had ordered the Atomic Energy Commission
“to continue its work on the so-called hydrogen bomb”; and this was
further clarified in a letter to the President by the Budget Director,
Frederick J. Lawton, recommending the money request, to the effect that
the materials to be produced in the proposed plants could be used for
either atomic bombs or hydrogen bombs. Since the only type of plant that
could produce materials for both the A-bomb and the H-bomb is a nuclear
reactor for producing plutonium, and since tritium is the only H-bomb
element that could be produced in a plutonium plant, the request by the
President may be interpreted as the first, though indirect, official
confirmation that tritium is looked upon as one of the ingredients
necessary for a successful H-bomb. We were given a hint of a possible
time-table when it was revealed that the all-cash request would have to
be obligated in one year though its actual disbursal could be spread
over four years. This suggests the possibility that the nuclear reactors
for the large-scale production of tritium might be rushed to completion
within one year.
While these new reactors for the production of tritium are being built,
we can convert all our Hanford reactors for that purpose so that no time
need be lost. Whatever amounts of plutonium would have to be sacrificed
by diverting the Hanford plants from plutonium to tritium would be
offset by the new uranium concentration plants at Oak Ridge, and by the
fact that we already have a large stockpile of both U-235 and plutonium
accumulated over a period of five years.
The one and only major problem to be solved is how to assemble into an
efficient H-bomb the materials we already have at hand or will have in a
few months. Here, too, we are much farther advanced than we were at the
time we decided to build the A-bomb, as we are not called upon to start
from scratch. For whereas in the early days of the A-bomb development
scientists were doubtful whether it could be made at all and were
actually hoping that their investigations would prove that it was
impossible, for the Nazis as well as for us, no such doubts seem to
exist in the minds of those most intimately associated with the problem.
On this score we have had more than hints from a number of those in the
know, among them Senator McMahon. “The scientists,” he said in a
historic address to the United States Senate on February 2, 1950, “feel
more confident that this most horrible of armaments [the hydrogen bomb]
can be developed successfully than they felt in 1940 when the original
bomb was under consideration. The hydrogen development will be cheaper
than its uranium forerunner. Theoretically, it is without limit in
destructive capacity. A weapon made of such material would destroy any
military or other target, including the largest city on earth.”
What is this confidence based on? Scientists are a very conservative
lot, not given to jumping to conclusions without experimental evidence
on which to base them. I remember well the agonizing hours preceding the
test of the first A-bomb in New Mexico, when everyone present,
particularly the intellectual hierarchy that was most responsible, was
beset by grave doubts whether the A-bomb would go off at all, and if it
did, whether it would live up to expectations or turn out to be no more
than an improved blockbuster. Very few, if any, felt confident that it
would be as good as it finally turned out to be. For example, in a pool
in which everyone bet a dollar to guess the ultimate power of the bomb
in terms of TNT, Dr. Oppenheimer placed his bet on 300 tons. This makes
it evident that the scientists were not very confident even as late as
1945, up to the very last minute, when “the brain child of many minds
came forth in physical shape and performed as it was supposed to do.”
If the scientists are more confident today than they were in 1940, and
even, it would seem, in 1945, when the bomb stood on its steel tower
ready for its first test, it can only mean that their confidence is
based on innumerable experiments carried out during the five years that
have elapsed since Hiroshima. By the semiannual reports to Congress by
the Atomic Energy Commission, and reports presented before the American
Physical Society, or published in official publications, by members of
the Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory and other leading institutions, we
have been officially informed of many experiments that have been carried
out on nuclear reactions between deuterons and deuterons, tritons and
tritons, and deuterons and tritons—namely, the very reactions to be
expected in an H-bomb using deuterium, tritium, or a mixture of the two.
This makes it obvious that during the five years since Hiroshima we have
accumulated a vast body of knowledge about the reactions necessary for a
successful H-bomb. Furthermore, this gives us the assurance that we are
five years ahead of Russia on the H-bomb as well as the A-bomb, since we
have had plutonium plants in which to make tritium for at least five
years, whereas she has just placed her plutonium plants in operation
and, as we have seen, can ill afford to sacrifice the vital plutonium
she needs for building up her A-bomb stockpile to begin experiments we
had most likely carried out five years ago.
The best evidence so far that we have made much progress during the past
five years on the design of the H-bomb—evidence strongly indicating that
it had passed the blueprint stage and was ready for construction—was
supplied recently by Lewis L. Strauss, a member of the original Atomic
Energy Commission, when he revealed that “the greatest issue of
division” (between himself and other members of the AEC) “was whether or
not to proceed with the hydrogen bomb, as for some time I had strongly
urged to do.” Now, Strauss, who went into the Navy in World War II as a
lieutenant commander and rose to be a rear admiral, is a leading
financier of wide experience, so it may be taken for granted that if for
some time he had “strongly urged” proceeding with the hydrogen bomb, it
must have been because he had been assured by the scientific experts
that it was feasible. Men of his background and experience do not
“strongly urge” the diversion of resources to projects unless they are
strongly convinced that the project is both practical and feasible. His
words, when read in the light of statements by other members of the AEC,
suggest that the division of opinion on this score among the members of
the Commission was not over the feasibility of the H-bomb but over the
belief that the A-bomb was good enough as long as we were its sole
possessors and that we could maintain our advantage for a long time by
building more and better A-bombs.
On the other hand, the fact that the majority of the AEC did not agree
with Strauss on the necessity of proceeding with the hydrogen bomb must
certainly not be interpreted to mean that they halted all studies on the
subject, for that would be charging them with gross negligence. It is
much more reasonable to assume that the “greatest issue of division”
(mark the use of the word “greatest,” which indicates many a heated
debate) was whether or not to proceed at once with the actual building
of the bomb, after it had been fully designed and shown to be feasible
in a host of painstaking studies over a period of at least four years.
There can therefore be no question that as soon as the President issued
his directive to the AEC “to continue” its work on the hydrogen bomb,
the first item on the program was to proceed at once with the production
of tritium in sizable amounts, since all known facts point to the need
of tritium as extra kindling for the A-bomb trigger. We can also be sure
that the production of whatever other auxiliary paraphernalia may be
necessary was at once placed on the top-priority list. By the end of
1950, if not earlier, we should thus have all the necessary materials
ready in the desired amounts. Meantime, we can be sure that our top
scientists have been putting the finishing touches on designs for
assembling the materials—the _finishing_ touches, since there can be no
doubt that the blueprints for a successful H-bomb have been completed
for at least a year and possibly for three or four. It would be
unthinkable that we were so careless as to drop all work on such a vital
matter, which as far back as 1945 appeared to be a definite possibility.
For this we have no less an authority than Dr. Oppenheimer. In an
article in the book _One World or None_, published late in 1945,
discussing atomic weapons of the future, he described bombs “that would
reduce the cost of destruction per square mile probably by a factor of
10 or more,” which, as we now know, would be a bomb of a thousand times
the power that destroyed Hiroshima—namely, a hydrogen bomb. “Preliminary
investigations” of proposals for such a bomb, Dr. Oppenheimer wrote at
that early date, “appeared sound.” If the preliminary investigations
“appeared sound” to scientists such as Dr. Oppenheimer in 1945, and
bearing in mind President Truman’s orders to the AEC in 1950 “to
continue its work,” we can only conclude that the interim years produced
results far beyond the preliminary stage, when they merely “appeared” to
be sound. Judging by the reaction of some leading physicists to the
President’s order, the H-bomb appears to be an ominous reality, a
completed architectural plan requiring only a few polishing touches. In
a word, we are almost ready to go.
And while Dr. Bethe estimated that it would take three years to complete
the first H-bomb, we must remember that he spoke several months before
the guns of Korea gave the alarm. And we must not forget that had it not
been for the threat of the Nazis we might not have had the A-bomb in
less than twenty-five and possibly fifty years, according to the best
estimates, though the present Communist threat might have reduced the
time considerably.
Furthermore, we also have the word of Senator McMahon, who should know,
that “the hydrogen development will be cheaper than its uranium
forerunner.” This lends weight to the earlier deduction that only
relatively small amounts of tritium will be necessary, since, as we have
seen, large amounts would be prohibitively costly in terms of vast
quantities of plutonium. Small amounts of tritium, in turn, mean that it
would take a relatively short time to produce them. A reasonable
“guestimate,” assuming that 150 to 300 grams of tritium would be
required, is that such amounts could be produced within a few months,
particularly if we employ all our huge plutonium plants at Hanford on
the task of producing tritium.
It is therefore within the realm of possibility that when we carry out
the announced tests of the latest models of our A-bombs at Eniwetok,
sometime in the spring or summer of 1951, one of them will be the first
H-bomb. It may not be the best model, and it need not be the equal in
power to a thousand wartime model A-bombs. In fact, it would be highly
inadvisable to use such a bomb in a mere test. It will be an H-bomb,
nevertheless, and from it we shall learn how to make bigger and better
ones, which is all that a test is supposed to do. For unlike the A-bomb,
which cannot be made below or above a certain size, the H-bomb can be
made as small or as large as the designer wants it to be. As Professor
Bacher has pointed out, the H-bomb is “an open-ended weapon.”
One of the major outcomes of the Korean aggression instigated by the
Kremlin has thus been to bring the H-bomb into being much sooner than it
would otherwise have been. And that is only one branch of the chain
reaction that the Korean guns have set in motion.
In addition to unmasking completely the Kremlin’s ultimate intentions to
enslave mankind, and alerting the free nations of the world to the
danger facing them as they had not been alerted since Hitler’s attack on
Poland, the flash of the Korean guns has also shed new light on the
Politburo’s strategy of conquest. The best-informed opinion in the
summer of 1950 holds that the Kremlin has decided on a series of little
wars that would slowly drain our lifeblood and ruin our economy, and
thus bring about the collapse and ruin of the rest of the world’s free
nations, rather than force a global war, German style. Among other
reasons for such a strategy—and there are many logical reasons for it
from Russia’s point of view—is the fact, already become evident in
Korea, that in such little wars, fought with Russian equipment and other
people’s blood, we would not use atomic weapons of any kind, not only
because there are no suitable targets, but because dictates of humanity
make the use of such weapons on little peoples, caught in the net of
Communism, wholly inconceivable. By deciding on a series of little wars,
over a prolonged period, one following the other or coming
simultaneously, Russia may thus figure that she could gain her ultimate
objective in the cheapest possible way, while at the same time making
sure that our atomic-bomb stockpile is wholly neutralized.
If this turns out to be true, we would at least escape atomic warfare,
and since we, and the rest of the civilized world, fervently wish to
avoid being forced to use atomic weapons, this would be all to the good.
But we must also take into consideration the possibility that the very
decision on Russia’s part to wage little wars and avoid a global war may
have been greatly influenced by the fact that we have a large stockpile
of A-bombs while her stockpile is still negligible, forcing her to adopt
a strategy in which our superiority would be nullified. It is also
possible that after her first experience with the production of A-bombs
she may have realized that it would be much too costly to try to catch
up with us and have therefore decided on a strategy in which atomic
weapons could not possibly play any part. On the other hand, it may also
mean that she will not risk a global war until she has built up an
adequate stockpile of her own, meantime softening us up with a series of
little wars.
With all this in mind, it behooves us to take a closer look at our
program for the outlawing of atomic weapons and the placing of atomic
energy under international control. It was a noble ideal, one of the
noblest conceived by man: the most powerful nation in the world
voluntarily offered to give up the right to produce or use the greatest
weapon ever designed. Alas, it almost died at birth, and now, after four
years of nursing in an incubator, the Korean guns have given it a fatal
blow. We might as well face the facts squarely: the majority plan for
the international control of atomic energy, the only acceptable plan
possible, is dead, one of the first casualties of the Korean guns.
We still talk about trying to find ways for compromise between our plan,
accepted by all the nations outside the Iron Curtain, and that of
Russia. We are still talking, at least officially, as though somehow a
compromise can and will be found. The truth of the matter is that the
plan as it stands today is completely out of tune with the times. As we
look on it by the light of the North Korean guns, it becomes clear that
it is wholly visionary, without any relation to the realities.
We still talk as though our original offer still stands. The truth of
the matter is that even were the impossible to happen and Russia were to
say to the world: “We have been mistaken. We accept the American and the
majority plan _in toto_ without any reservations,” we should be forced
to say: “Sorry, it is too late, you have missed your chance. Your
actions have made the plan unworkable, since it cannot possibly work in
an atmosphere of mutual distrust and the constant threat of little
wars!”
And even if wise diplomacy prevented us from saying it in such blunt
language, and though we may still find it expedient to pay lip service
to the majority plan, so that Russia could not use it in her propaganda
war as evidence that we were insincere from the very beginning, we would
have to wriggle to get out of the very serious predicament in which
Russia’s acceptance would place us. And even if diplomacy dictated that
we sign a convention with Russia to outlaw production and use of all
atomic weapons, to destroy our stockpiles and hand over all our atomic
plants to an international atomic authority, as our present plan calls
for, there can be no question that such a convention could never muster
the approval of even a majority of the Senate, and certainly not the
required consent of two thirds of the Senate called for by the
Constitution. What is more, such a rejection would have the overwhelming
approval of American people, once the facts were made clear to them, and
any administration daring to enter such a pact would be overwhelmingly
defeated.
All this has been so evident for more than two years that it is
remarkable that the Russians have failed so far to take advantage of our
potential embarrassment and thus win one of their greatest victories on
the propaganda front. In fact, their failure to do so, with the sure
knowledge that they would risk nothing by accepting a plan that would
most certainly be rejected by our own people, not only reveals lack of
subtlety on their part, but appears on the surface as crass stupidity,
the same type of stupidity displayed by Hitler, which appears to be an
inevitable trait of all monolithic dictatorships that must lead to their
ultimate undoing.
The time has come for us to stop talking about giving away our greatest
weapons, the only ones, as President Truman and Winston Churchill have
told us, that have kept the Red Army hordes from overrunning the free
world. It is time for us to face reality and place the blame where it
belongs. The evil does not lie in weapons per se. It lies in war itself.
It is no evil to build and possess the most powerful weapons at our
command with which to defend ourselves against a ruthless aggressor. On
the contrary, it would be an evil thing to throw away the principal
weapon standing between us and possible defeat. It is no evil to use a
weapon to destroy your enemy just because your weapon happens to be the
most powerful in existence. It is no greater evil to destroy thousands
of your enemy in one great flash than to destroy them by goring them
with bayonets. The real evildoer is the nation that starts an aggressive
war. Those attacked have the right and duty to defend themselves by all
means at their command.
Our confusion has been the result of our first use of the A-bomb to
destroy a city with thousands of its civilian population. Let us admit
that the mass bombing of large populated cities (which, by the way, was
started by the Nazis) is wholly inexcusable with any kind of weapons,
and that we should never resort to such strategic bombing again. That
does not mean that we should renounce our right to use A-bombs to
destroy an enemy’s armies, navies, and airfields, his transportation
facilities and his oil wells—in a word, his capacity to make war against
us. And as long as we use the A-bomb and the H-bomb only as weapons of
tremendous power to destroy by blast and by fire, they are no different
from ordinary blockbusters or incendiaries except that they concentrate
their power in a small package. Is there any difference, morally
speaking, between the use of thousands of blockbusters and tens of
thousands of incendiaries and a weapon that concentrates all their power
in one?
Probably the main reason for the confused thinking that has singled out
atomic weapons as a greater evil than other weapons of mass destruction
has been their radioactivity. But even the A-bombs exploded over Japan
were purposely dropped from a height that carried most of the
radioactivity away into the upper atmosphere. Nor will the H-bomb, as
explained earlier, release great quantities of radioactivity unless it
is purposely rigged to do so. We should, therefore, lose nothing and
gain much if we renounced the use of A- and H-bombs as radioactive
weapons except in retaliation against the use of such weapons on us or
our allies. But to renounce their use altogether would be tantamount not
only to physical but to spiritual suicide as well, for it would mean
condoning the advance of the Red Army.
It has become customary to talk about Russia’s atom bomb as though she
already was, or soon will be, on a par with us. It is true that
eventually she will catch up with us in the development of a large
stockpile of her own and in designing more efficient models. But that is
only one side of the picture. As of 1950, and for at least until 1952,
years that may well be crucial, our superiority in A-bombs will remain
unchallenged, not only qualitatively but quantitatively. By that time we
shall have greatly increased our lead by the possession of an effective
stockpile of H-bombs. Since Russia cannot build H-bombs at the present
stage without sacrificing quantities of plutonium she needs to build up
her A-bomb stockpile, she will find herself compelled to build
additional plutonium plants, which not only will greatly strain her
resources but, more important from our point of view, will gain us
additional time.
How many A-bombs can Russia make? Former Secretary of War Henry L.
Stimson has told us that the A-bombs we dropped on Japan “were the only
ones we had ready.” Counting the test bomb at Alamogordo, we had thus
produced three bombs by mid-August 1945. This represented the total
output of a two-billion-dollar plant, employing three major methods of
production, after the plants had been in operation for an average of
about six months. In other words, it took our two-billion-dollar plant
about six months to produce three A-bombs—a rate of six A-bombs a year.
Now all the evidence at hand, as already pointed out, indicates that,
instead of building three different types of plants for producing A-bomb
materials, Russia is concentrating entirely on plutonium. Hence, if we
assume that she built a plutonium plant equal in output to the total
capacity of our wartime uranium and plutonium plants, and further
assuming that her methods for producing plutonium are as efficient as
ours, the best she could do at present would be at the rate of six
plutonium bombs a year. At this rate she would have about eighteen by
the middle of 1952. This would be a sizable stockpile for a nation in
sole possession of such a weapon. But would any nation with such a
stockpile dare challenge a nation with a stockpile many times bigger,
consisting of bombs many times more powerful, and possessing a few
hydrogen bombs to boot?
Russia will, no doubt, improve her production methods. But to improve
them to the extent of producing, let us say, two bombs per month, she
would have to step up her production by four hundred per cent. It is
doubtful if such a step-up could be achieved in less than three years.
Then there are other factors to be considered that greatly balance the
scales in our favor. To produce plutonium bombs requires tremendous
quantities of uranium, something that cannot be conjured up by just
dialectic materialism. It so happens that we have access to the only two
rich uranium deposits known in the world: the Belgian Congo, and the
Great Bear Lake area in Canada. There were no known rich uranium
deposits in Russia proper or in the territories of her satellites, with
the possible exception of Czechoslovakia. We know this from the fact
that she never competed for the world markets for radium, extracted
economically only from rich uranium ores, which sold before the war at
$25,000 per gram, or at the rate of nearly $12,000,000 a pound. The best
evidence, however, that she does not have at her command rich uranium
deposits either in Russia or elsewhere is her ruthless exploitation, at
the cost of thousands of human lives, of the depleted uranium mines in
the mountains of Saxony, which had long been abandoned by their German
owners. The only other known source of pitchblende (the mineral richest
in uranium) under Russian control is Joachimsthal (Jachymov) in Bohemia,
from which came the first radium sample isolated by Mme Curie about
fifty years ago. This mine, too, has been largely depleted, though much
of its uranium may possibly be recoverable from the dump-heaps, if they
have not in the meantime been disposed of.
Now, every ton of pure uranium metal contains just fourteen pounds of
the fissionable element uranium 235. The latter, when split, releases
the neutrons that create plutonium out of nonfissionable uranium 238. On
the basis of one hundred per cent efficiency, impossible in this
operation, the yield of plutonium would thus be fourteen pounds per ton.
Since the plutonium must be extracted long before all the U-235 atoms
have been split, however, the likelihood is that the yield would be no
more than two to four pounds per ton. Russia would thus need tens of
thousands of tons of uranium ore to build up a sizable stockpile of
A-bombs, and while she may be able to process low-grade ores, it would
take her much longer to produce a given quantity of plutonium than it
takes us to produce it from our much richer ores. For example, an ore
containing fifty per cent uranium would yield a given quantity of
plutonium ten times faster than an ore containing only five per cent,
unless a refining plant ten times the size is built at ten times the
cost of construction and of operation.
If we take Professor Oliphant’s published estimate that the critical
mass (that is, the minimum amount) needed for an A-bomb is between 10
and 30 kilograms (22 and 66 pounds), we get a clear picture of the
enormous difference there is between rich ores and poor ores for the
building up of an A-bomb stockpile, and a further concept of the
difficulties that Russia will face in trying to produce an H-bomb.
According to the best available prewar information, the pitchblende of
the Belgian Congo has a uranium content as high as 60 to 80 per cent;
the Canadian ore yields from 30 to 40 per cent. A conservative estimate
would thus place the average uranium content of Belgian and Canadian
ores at somewhere around 50 per cent. This contrasts sharply with a
prewar figure of around 3 per cent uranium for the pitchblende of
Czechoslovakia, and the ore in the mountains of Saxony is of even lower
grade.
Hence on the basis of two to four pounds of plutonium per ton of uranium
metal, it would require the mining and processing of only 2 tons of
Belgian and Canadian ore to obtain that amount as compared with 34 tons
for the ore from Czechoslovakia, and a larger amount for the Saxon ore.
To make a bomb containing 22 pounds of plutonium would thus require us
to mine and process from 11 to 22 tons of ore, whereas Russia would need
from 187 to 374 tons. For a bomb requiring 66 pounds, the amount, of
course, would be correspondingly tripled, reaching a possible figure of
1,122 tons of ore to produce one A-bomb, as compared with a maximum of
no more than 66 tons of the ores available to us. In a state employing
slave labor and heedless of the wastage of human lives, the production
cost does not count. But even Russia’s manpower is not unlimited, and
workers removed from other lines of production must inevitably hurt the
economy. This factor must put a definite limit to Russia’s capacity to
produce A-bombs and will make it very difficult, if not impossible, for
her to produce a large stockpile in a short time.
When it comes to producing an H-bomb, the disparity between ourselves
and Russia assumes astronomical proportions. It takes 80 pounds of
uranium 235 to produce one pound of tritium. Since, as we have seen,
there are only 14 pounds of U-235 in a ton of natural uranium metal,
this means that 5.7 tons of uranium metal would be required, assuming
one hundred per cent efficiency of utilization, which is out of the
question. On the basis of figures already given, it can be seen that we
would require the mining and processing of only 11.4 tons of ore whereas
Russia would have to use as much as 194 tons to produce that single
pound of the element which, as the facts cited earlier appear to
demonstrate, is vital for the construction of a successful H-bomb.
All these basic facts, never presented before, should convince us that,
despite the fact that Russia has exploded her first A-bomb, we still
have tremendous advantages over her that she will find extremely
difficult to overcome. And we must not forget other advantages on our
side that may prove decisive even after Russia succeeds in building up a
sizable stockpile. Bombs can be delivered against us at present only by
airplane or by submarine. A look at the map will show that whereas the
Atlantic and Pacific Oceans stand between us and Russia’s nearest bases,
we are in a much better position to deliver A-bombs to her vital
centers, such as the oil fields in the Caucasus, for example, from bases
close by. It is, furthermore, not unreasonable to assume that we, as the
most advanced industrial nation in the world, will manage to maintain
our lead not only in methods of delivery by superior and faster
airplanes, or by guided missiles, but also in the development of radar,
sonar, and other detection devices, as well as of superior interceptors
and other defensive measures, which would make delivery of A-bombs
against us much more difficult than it would be for us to deliver them
against Russia.
For the next three years, it can thus be seen, and possibly for a
considerably longer period, the initiative, as far as atomic weapons are
concerned, will remain with us. Let us therefore be done with all
visionary plans for destroying the shield that now protects civilization
as we know it, and proceed to build bigger and better shields, hoping
that by our very act of doing so we can prevent the ultimate cataclysm.
Right now the outlook is not bright, but our strength, physical and
spiritual, should give us faith that the forces of good will prevail in
the end over the forces of evil, as they have always done throughout
history; that the four freedoms will triumph over the Four Horsemen of
the Apocalypse.
V
A PRIMER OF ATOMIC ENERGY
The material universe, the earth and everything in it, all things living
and non-living, the sun and its planets, the stars and the
constellations, the galaxies and the supergalaxies, the infinitely large
and the infinitesimally small, manifests itself to our senses in two
forms, matter and energy. We do not know, and probably never can know,
how the material universe began, and whether, indeed, it ever had a
beginning, but we do know that it is constantly changing and that it did
not always exist in its present form. We also know that in whatever form
the universe may have existed, matter and energy have always been
inseparable, no energy being possible without matter, and no matter
without energy, each being a form of the other.
While we do not know how and when matter and energy came into being, or
whether they ever had a beginning in time as we perceive it, we do know
that while the relative amounts of matter and energy are constantly
changing, the total amount of both, in one form or the other, always
remains the same. When a plant grows, energy from the sun, in the form
of heat and light, is converted into matter, so that the total weight of
the plant is greater than that of the elementary material constituents,
water and carbon-dioxide gas, out of which its substance is built up.
When the substance of the plant is again broken up into its original
constituents by burning, the residual ashes and gases weigh less than
the total weight of the intact plant, the difference corresponding to
the amount of matter that had been converted into energy, liberated once
again in the form of heat and light.
All energy as we know it manifests itself through motion or change in
the physical or chemical state of matter, or both, though these changes
and motions may be so slow as to be imperceptible. As the ancient Greek
philosopher Heraclitus perceived more than two thousand years ago, all
things are in a constant state of flux, this flux being due to an
everlasting conversion of matter into energy and energy into matter,
everywhere over the vast stretches of the material universe, to its
outermost and innermost limits, if any limits there be.
Each manifestation of energy involves either matter in motion or a
change in its physical state, which we designate as physical energy; a
change in the chemical constitution of matter, which we know as chemical
energy; or a combination of the two. Physical energy can be converted
into chemical energy and vice versa. For example, heat and light are
forms of physical energy, each consisting of a definite band of waves of
definite wave lengths in violent, regular, rhythmic oscillations. A
mysterious mechanism in the plant, known as photosynthesis, uses the
heat and light energy from the sun to create complex substances, such as
sugars, starches, and cellulose, out of simpler substances, such as
carbon dioxide and water, converting physical energy, heat, and light
into the chemical energy required to hold together the complex
substances the plant produces. When we burn the cellulose in the form of
wood or coal (coal is petrified wood), the chemical energy is once again
converted into physical energy in the form of the original heat and
light. As we have seen, the chemical energy stored in the plant
manifested itself by an increase in the plant’s weight as compared with
that of its original constituents. Similarly, the release of the energy
manifests itself through a loss in the total weight of the plant’s
substance.
It can thus be seen that neither matter nor energy can be created. All
we can do is to manipulate certain types of matter in a way that
liberates whatever energy had been in existence, in one form or another,
since the beginning of time. All the energy that we had been using on
earth until the advent of the atomic age had originally come from the
sun. Coal, as already said, is a petrified plant that had stored up the
energy of the sun in the form of chemical energy millions of years ago,
before man made his appearance on the earth. Oil comes from organic
matter that also had stored up light and heat from the sun in the form
of chemical energy. Water power and wind power are also made possible by
the sun’s heat, since all water would freeze and no winds would blow
were it not for the sun’s heat energy keeping the waters flowing and the
air moving, the latter by creating differences in the temperature of air
masses.
There are two forms of energy that we take advantage of which are not
due directly to the sun’s radiations—gravitation and magnetism—but the
only way we can utilize these is by employing energy derived from the
sun’s heat. In harnessing Niagara, or in the building of great dams, we
utilize the fall of the water because of gravitation. But as I have
already pointed out, without the sun’s heat water could not flow. To
produce electricity we begin with the chemical energy in coal or oil,
which is first converted into heat energy, then to mechanical energy,
and finally, through the agency of magnetism, into electrical energy.
The radiations of the sun, of the giant stars millions of times larger
than the sun, come from an entirely different source, the greatest
source of energy in the universe, known as atomic or, more correctly,
nuclear energy. But even here the energy comes as the result of the
transformation of matter. The difference between nuclear energy and
chemical energy is twofold. In chemical energy, such as the burning of
coal, the matter lost in the process comes from the outer shell of the
atoms, and the amount of matter lost is so small that it cannot be
weighed directly by any human scale or other device. In nuclear energy,
on the other hand, the matter lost by being transformed into energy
comes from the nucleus, the heavy inner core, of the atom, and the
amount of matter lost is millions of times greater than in coal, great
enough to be weighed.
An atom is the smallest unit of any of the elements of which the
physical universe is constituted. Atoms are so small that if a drop of
water were magnified to the size of the earth the atoms in the drop
would be smaller than oranges.
The structure of atoms is like that of a minuscule solar system, with a
heavy nucleus in the center as the sun, and much smaller bodies
revolving around it as the planets. The nucleus is made up of two types
of particles: protons, carrying a positive charge of electricity, and
neutrons, electrically neutral. The planets revolving about the nucleus
are electrons, units of negative electricity, which have a mass about
one two-thousandth the mass of the proton or the neutron. The number of
protons in the nucleus determines the chemical nature of the element,
and also the number of planetary electrons, each proton being
electrically balanced by an electron in the atom’s outer shells. The
total number of protons and neutrons in the nucleus is known as the mass
number, which is very close to the atomic weight of the element but not
quite equal. Protons and neutrons are known under the common name
“nucleons.”
There are two important facts to keep constantly in mind about protons
and neutrons. The first is that the two are interchangeable. A proton,
under certain conditions, loses its positive charge by emitting a
positive electron (positron) and thus becomes a neutron. Similarly, a
neutron, when agitated, emits a negative electron and becomes a proton.
As we shall see, the latter process is taken advantage of in the
transmutation of nonfissionable uranium into plutonium, and of thorium
into fissionable uranium 233. The transmutation of all other elements,
age-old dream of the alchemists, is made possible by the
interchangeability of protons into neutrons, and vice versa.
The second all-important fact about protons and neutrons, basic to the
understanding of atomic energy, is that each proton and neutron in the
nuclei of the elements weighs less than it does in the free state, the
loss of weight being equal to the energy binding the nucleons. This loss
becomes progressively greater for the elements in the first half of the
periodic table, reaching its maximum in the nucleus of silver, element
47. After that the loss gets progressively smaller. Hence, if we were to
combine (fuse) two elements in the first half of the periodic table, the
protons and the neutrons would lose weight if the newly formed nucleus
is not heavier than that of silver, but would gain weight if the new
nucleus thus formed is heavier than silver. The opposite is true with
the elements in the second half of the periodic table, the protons and
neutrons losing weight when a heavy element is split into two lighter
ones, and gaining weight if two elements are fused into one.
Since each loss of mass manifests itself by the release of energy, it
can be seen that to obtain energy from the atom’s nucleus requires
either the fusion of two elements in the first half of the periodic
table or the fission of an element in the second half. From a practical
point of view, however, fusion is possible only with two isotopes
(twins) of hydrogen, at the beginning of the periodic table, while
fission is possible only with twins of uranium, U-233 and U-235, and
with plutonium, at the lower end of the table.
The diameter of the atom is 100,000 times greater than the diameter of
the nucleus. This means that the atom is mostly empty space, the volume
of the atom being 500,000 billion times the volume of the nucleus. It
can thus be seen that most of the matter in the universe is concentrated
in the nuclei of the atoms. The density of matter in the nucleus is such
that a dime would weigh 600 million tons if its atoms were as tightly
packed as are the protons and neutrons in the nucleus.
The atoms of the elements (of which there are ninety-two in nature, and
six more man-made elements) have twins, triplets, quadruplets, etc.,
known as isotopes. The nuclei of these twins all contain the same number
of protons and hence all have the same chemical properties. They differ,
however, in the number of neutrons in their nuclei and hence have
different atomic weights. For example, an ordinary hydrogen atom has a
nucleus of one proton. The isotope of hydrogen, deuterium, has one
proton plus one neutron in its nucleus. It is thus twice as heavy as
ordinary hydrogen. The second hydrogen isotope, tritium, has one proton
and two neutrons in its nucleus and hence an atomic mass of three. On
the other hand, a nucleus containing two protons and one neutron is no
longer hydrogen but helium, also of atomic mass three.
There are hundreds of isotopes, some occurring in nature, others
produced artificially by shooting atomic bullets, such as neutrons, into
the nuclei of the atoms of various elements. A natural isotope of
uranium, the ninety-second and last of the natural elements, contains 92
protons and 143 neutrons in its nucleus, hence its name U-235, one of
the two atomic-bomb elements. The most common isotope of uranium has 92
protons and 146 neutrons in its nucleus and hence is known as U-238. It
is 140 times more plentiful than U-235, but cannot be used for the
release of atomic energy.
Atomic, or rather nuclear, energy is the cosmic force that binds
together the protons and the neutrons in the nucleus. It is a force
millions of times greater than the electrical repulsion force existing
in the nucleus because of the fact that the protons all have like
charges. This force, known as the coulomb force, is tremendous, varying
inversely as the square of the distance separating the positively
charged particles. Professor Frederick Soddy, the noted English
physicist, has figured out that two grams (less than the weight of a
dime) of protons placed at the opposite poles of the earth would repel
each other with a force of twenty-six tons. Yet the nuclear force is
millions of times greater than the coulomb force. This force acts as the
cosmic cement that holds the material universe together and is
responsible for the great density of matter in the nucleus.
We as yet know very little about the basic nature of this force, but we
can measure its magnitude by a famous mathematical equation originally
presented by Dr. Einstein in his special theory of relativity in 1905.
This formula, one of the great intellectual achievements of man,
together with the discovery of the radioactive elements by Henri
Becquerel and Pierre and Marie Curie, provided the original clues as
well as the key to the discovery and the harnessing of nuclear energy.
Einstein’s formula, E = mc², revealed that matter and energy are two
different manifestations of one and the same cosmic entity, instead of
being two different entities, as had been generally believed. It led to
the revolutionary concept that matter, instead of being immutable, was
energy in a frozen state, while, conversely, energy was matter in a
fluid state. The equation revealed that any one gram of matter was the
equivalent in ergs (small units of energy) to the square of the velocity
of light in centimeters per second—namely, 900 billion billion ergs. In
more familiar terms, this means that one gram of matter represents
25,000,000 kilowatt-hours of energy in the frozen state. This equals the
energy liberated in the burning of three billion grams (three thousand
tons) of coal.
The liberation of energy in any form, chemical, electrical, or nuclear,
involves the loss of an equivalent amount of mass, in accordance with
the Einstein formula. When 3,000 metric tons of coal are burned to
ashes, the residual ashes and the gaseous products weigh one gram less
than 3,000 tons; that is, one three-billionth part of the original mass
will have been converted into energy. The same is true with the
liberation of nuclear energy by the splitting or fusing (as will be
explained later) of the nuclei of certain elements. The difference is
merely that of magnitude. In the liberation of chemical energy by the
burning of coal, the energy comes from a very small loss of mass
resulting from the rearrangement of electrons on the surface of the
atoms. The nucleus of the coal atoms is not involved in any way,
remaining exactly the same as before. The amount of mass lost by the
surface electrons is one thirtieth of one millionth of one per cent.
On the other hand, nuclear energy involves vital changes in the atomic
nucleus itself, with a consequent loss of as high as one tenth to nearly
eight tenths of one per cent in the original mass of the nuclei. This
means that from one to nearly eight grams per thousand grams are
liberated in the form of energy, as compared with only one gram in three
billion grams liberated in the burning of coal. In other words, the
amount of nuclear energy liberated in the transmutation of atomic nuclei
is from 3,000,000 to 24,000,000 times as great as the chemical energy
released by the burning of an equal amount of coal. In terms of TNT the
figure is seven times greater than for coal, as the energy from TNT,
while liberated at an explosive rate, is about one seventh the total
energy content for an equivalent amount of coal. This means that the
nuclear energy from one kilogram of uranium 235, or plutonium, when
released at an explosive rate, is equal to the explosion of twenty
thousand tons of TNT.
Nuclear energy can be utilized by two diametrically opposed methods. One
is fission—the splitting of the nuclei of the heaviest chemical elements
into two uneven fragments consisting of nuclei of two lighter elements.
The other is fusion—combining, or fusing, two nuclei of the lightest
elements into one nucleus of a heavier element. In both methods the
resulting elements are lighter than the original nuclei. The loss of
mass in each case manifests itself in the release of enormous amounts of
nuclear energy.
When two light atoms are combined to form a heavier atom, the weight of
the heavier is less than the total weight of the two light atoms. If the
heavier atom could again be split into the two lighter ones, the latter
would resume their original weight. As explained before, however, this
is true only with the light elements, such as hydrogen, deuterium, and
tritium, in the first half of the periodic table of the elements. The
opposite is true with the heavier elements of the second half of the
periodic table. For example, if krypton and barium, elements 36 and 56,
were to be combined to form uranium, element 92, the protons and the
neutrons in the uranium nucleus would each weigh about 0.1 per cent more
than they weighed in the krypton and barium nuclei. It can thus be seen
that energy could be gained either through the loss of mass resulting
from the fusion of two light elements, or from the similar loss of mass
resulting from the fission of one heavy atom into two lighter ones.
In the fusion of two lighter atoms, the addition of one and one yields
less than two, and yet half of two will be more than one. In the case of
the heavy elements the addition of one and one yields more than two, yet
half of two makes less than one. This is the seeming paradox of atomic
energy.
Three elements are known to be fissionable. Only one of these is found
in nature: the uranium isotope 235 (U-235). The other two are man-made.
One is plutonium, transmuted by means of neutrons from the
nonfissionable U-238, by the addition of one neutron to the 146 present
in the nucleus, which leads to the conversion of two of the 147 neutrons
into protons, thus creating an element with a nucleus of 94 protons and
145 neutrons. The second man-made element (not yet in wide use, as far
as is known) is uranium isotope 233 (92 protons and 141 neutrons),
created out of the element thorium (90 protons, 142 neutrons) by the
same method used in the production of plutonium.
When the nucleus of any one of these elements is fissioned, each proton
and neutron in the two resulting fragments weighs one tenth of one per
cent less than it weighed in the original nucleus. For example, if U-235
atoms totaling 1,000 grams in weight are split, the total weight of the
fragments will be 999 grams. The one missing gram is liberated in the
form of 25,000,000 kilowatt-hours of energy, equivalent in explosive
terms to 20,000 tons of TNT. But the original number of protons and
neutrons in the 1,000 grams does not change.
The fission process, the equivalent of the “burning” of nuclear fuels,
is maintained by what is known as a chain reaction. The bullets used for
splitting are neutrons, which, because they do not have an electric
charge, can penetrate the heavily fortified electrical wall surrounding
the positively charged nuclei. Just as a coal fire needs oxygen to keep
it going, a nuclear fire needs the neutrons to maintain it.
Neutrons do not exist free in nature, all being tightly locked up within
the nuclei of atoms. They are liberated, however, from the nuclei of the
three fissionable elements by a self-multiplication process in the chain
reaction. The process begins when a cosmic ray from outer space, or a
stray neutron, strikes one nucleus and splits it. The first atom thus
split releases an average of two neutrons, which split two more nuclei,
which in turn liberate four more neutrons, and so on. The reaction is so
fast that in a short time trillions of neutrons are thus liberated to
split trillions of nuclei. As each nucleus is split, it loses mass,
which is converted into great energy.
There are two types of chain reactions: controlled and uncontrolled.
The controlled reaction is analogous to the burning of gasoline in an
automobile engine. The atom-splitting bullets—the neutrons—are first
slowed down from speeds of more than ten thousand miles per second to
less than one mile per second by being made to pass through a
moderator before they reach the atoms at which they are aimed.
Neutron-“killers”—materials absorbing neutrons in great numbers—keep
the neutrons liberated at any given time under complete control in a
slow but steady nuclear fire.
The uncontrolled chain reaction is one in which there is no
moderator—and no neutron-absorbers. It is analogous to the dropping of a
match in a gasoline tank. In the uncontrolled chain reaction the fast
neutrons, with nothing to slow them down or to devour them, build up by
the trillion and quadrillion in a fraction of a millionth of a second.
This leads to the splitting of a corresponding number of atoms,
resulting in the release of unbelievable quantities of nuclear energy at
a tremendously explosive rate. One kilogram of atoms split releases
energy equivalent to that of 20,000,000 kilograms (20,000 metric tons)
of TNT.
It is the uncontrolled reaction that is employed in the explosion of the
atomic bomb. The controlled reaction is expected to be used in the
production of vast quantities of industrial power. It is now being
employed in the creation of radioactive isotopes, for use in medicine
and as the most powerful research tool since the invention of the
microscope for probing into the mysteries of nature, living and
non-living.
In the controlled reaction the material used is natural uranium, which
consists of a mixture of 99.3 per cent U-238 and 0.7 of the fissionable
U-235. The neutrons from the U-235 are made to enter the nuclei of U-238
and convert them to the fissionable element plutonium, for use in atomic
bombs. The large quantities of energy liberated by the split U-235
nuclei in the form of heat is at too low a temperature for efficient
utilization as power, and is at present wasted. To be used for power,
nuclear reactors capable of operating at high temperatures are now being
designed.
In the atomic bomb only pure U-235, or plutonium, is used.
In both the controlled and the uncontrolled reactions a minimum amount
of material, known as the “critical mass,” must be used, as otherwise
too many neutrons would escape and the nuclear fire would thus be
extinguished, as would an ordinary fire for lack of oxygen. In the
atomic bomb two masses, each less than a critical mass, which together
equal or exceed it, are brought in contact at a predetermined instant.
The uncontrolled reaction then comes automatically, since, in the
absence of any control, the neutrons, which cannot escape to the
outside, build up at an unbelievable rate.
Whereas the fission process for the release of nuclear energy entails
making little ones out of big ones, the fusion process involves making
big ones out of little ones. In both processes the products weigh less
than the original materials, the loss of mass coming out in the form of
energy. According to the generally accepted hypothesis, the fusion
process is the one operating in the sun and the stars of the same
family. The radiant energy given off by them, it is believed, is the
result of the fusion of four hydrogen atoms into one atom of helium, two
of the protons losing their positive charge, thus becoming neutrons.
Since a helium atom weighs nearly eight tenths of one per cent less than
the total weight of the four hydrogen atoms, the loss of mass is thus
nearly eight times that produced by fission, with a corresponding
eightfold increase in the amount of energy liberated. This process,
using light hydrogen, is not feasible on earth.
The nuclei of all atoms are thus vast storage depots of cosmic energy.
We must think of them as cosmic safe-deposit vaults, in which the
Creator of the universe, if you will, deposited at the time of creation
most of the energy in the universe for safekeeping. The sun and the
other giant stars that give light have, as it were, drawing accounts in
this “First National Bank and Trust Company of the Universe,” whereas we
on this little planet of ours in the cosmic hinterland are much too poor
to have such a bank account. So we have been forced all these years we
have been on earth to subsist on small handouts from our close neighbor
the sun, which squanders millions all over space, but can spare us only
nickels, dimes, and quarters (depending on the seasons of the year) for
a cup of coffee and a sandwich. We are thus in the true sense of the
word cosmic beggars, living off the bounty of a distant relative.
The discovery of fission in 1939 meant that after a million years of
exclusive dependence on the sun we had suddenly managed to open a modest
drawing account of our own in this bank of the cosmos. We were enabled
to do it by stumbling upon two special master keys to five of the cosmic
vaults. One of these keys we call fission; the other, which allows us
entry into a much richer chamber of the vault, we call fusion. We can
get a lot of the stored-up cosmic treasure by using the key to the
fission vaults alone, but, as with our terrestrial bank vaults, which
generally require two keys before they can be opened, it is not possible
to use the key to the fusion vault unless we first use the fission key.
Except for the payment of our heat and light bill, the sun gives us
nothing directly in cash. Instead it deposits a very small pittance in
the plants, which serve as its major terrestrial banks. The animals then
rob the plants and we rob them both. When we eat the food we live by we
thus actually eat sunshine.
The sun makes its deposits in the plant through an agent named
chlorophyll, the stuff that makes the grass green. Chlorophyll has the
uncanny ability to catch sunbeams and to hand them over to the plant. A
chemical supergenius inside the plant changes the sunlight energy into
chemical energy, just as a bank teller changes bills into silver. With
this chemical energy at their disposal, a great number of devilishly
clever chemists in the plants’ chemical factory go to work building up
many substances to serve as vaults in which to store up a large part of
the energy, using only part of it for their own subsistence.
The building materials used by these chemists inside the plants consist
mainly of carbon-dioxide gas from the atmosphere, and water from the
soil, plus small amounts of minerals either supplied by the good earth
or by fertilizers. Carbon dioxide, by the way, composed of one atom of
carbon and two atoms of oxygen, is the stuff you exhale. In solid form
it is what we know as dry ice, used in efforts to make rain. It is
present in the atmosphere in large amounts.
Out of the carbon dioxide and water the chemists in the plants build
cellulose, starch, sugar, fat, proteins, vitamins, and scores of other
substances, all of which serve as vaults for the sun’s rays caught by
the chlorophyll. The biggest vaults of all, storing most of the energy,
are the cellulose, sugars and starches, fats and proteins. There the
stored energy remains until it is released by processes we call burning
or digestion, both of which, as we shall see, are different terms for
the same chemical reaction. When we burn wood, or the petrified ancient
wood we know as coal, we burn largely the cellulose, the chief component
of the solid part of plants. When we eat the plants, or the animals in
whom the plant tissues are transformed into flesh by the solar energy
stored within them, it is the sugars, starches, fats, and proteins that
give us the energy we live by.
In the process of burning wood or coal the large cellulose vaults,
composed of carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen, are broken up, thus allowing
the original solar energy, stored up within them as chemical energy, to
escape in the form of heat and light. This is the same heat and light
deposited there by the sun many years before—in the case of coal, some
two hundred million years back. The process of burning thus transforms
the chemical energy in the plants back to its original form of light and
radiant heat energy. The complex carbon and hydrogen units in the
cellulose are broken up, each freed carbon atom uniting within two
oxygen atoms in the air to form carbon dioxide again, while two hydrogen
atoms unite with one of oxygen to form water. Thus we see that the
cellulose vaults are broken up once more into the original building
bricks out of which the chemists in the plants had fashioned them.
When we eat plant or animal food to get the energy to live by, exactly
the same process takes place except at a lower temperature. The sunlight
deposit vaults of sugar, starch, and fat, also composed, like cellulose,
of carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen, are broken up by the digestive system
into their component parts, thus allowing the original solar energy
stored within them to get free in the form of chemical energy, which our
body uses in its essential processes. Here, too, the end products are
carbon dioxide, which we exhale, and water. About half the energy we
thus obtain is used by us for the work we do. The other half is used by
the body for building up the tissues burned up as part of the regular
wear and tear of life.
We thus burn food for our internal energy as we burn cellulose for our
external energy. The interesting thing here is that, in both types of
burning, fission as well as fusion processes take place. The fission is
the splitting of the cellulose, sugar, fats, starches, and proteins into
carbon and hydrogen atoms. The fusion part is the union of the carbon
and the hydrogen with oxygen to form carbon dioxide and water. The
fusion part is just as necessary to release the stored-up solar energy
in the wood or coal as is the fission part, for, as everyone knows,
unless there is oxygen for the carbon to fuse with, no combustion
(burning) can take place and hence no release of energy. The plant
vaults would remain closed absolutely tight.
At this point two things become clear. We see, in the first place, that
whenever we get any kind of energy in any form we do not in any way
create any of it. All we do is merely draw on something that is already
stored up; in the case of coal and wood by the sun, in the case of
uranium and hydrogen by the same power that created the sun and all
energy. We draw water from the spring, but we do not make the water. On
the other hand, we cannot draw the water unless we first find the
spring, and even then we cannot draw it unless we have a pitcher.
And we also see, in the second place, that fission and fusion are common
everyday phenomena that occur any time you burn anything. Both are
essential whenever energy is released, whether it is the chemical energy
from coal or the atomic energy from the nuclei of uranium, deuterium, or
tritium. When you light a cigarette you employ both fission and fusion
or you don’t smoke. The first fission and fusion take place in the
lighting of the match, the cellulose in the match (whether it is wood or
paper) being fissioned (that is, split into its component atoms of
carbon and hydrogen). These atoms are then fusioned with the oxygen in
the air. The same thing happens when the tobacco catches fire. In each
case the fusion with the oxygen makes possible the fission of the
cellulose. When we burn U-235, or plutonium, we again get both fission
and fusion, except that, instead of oxygen, the nuclei of these elements
first fuse with a neutron before they are split apart. Thus we see that
the process of burning U-235, or plutonium, requires not only fission
but fusion as well, without which they could not burn. This is true also
in hydrogen fusion. When you burn deuterium by fusing two deuterons
(nuclei of deuterium) to form helium of atomic weight three, plus a
neutron, one of the two deuterons is split in half in the process.
Similarly, when you burn tritium by fusion two tritons (nuclei of
tritium), one of the tritons splits into two neutrons and a proton, the
one proton joining the other triton to form helium of atomic weight
four.
Thus we see that fission and fusion are the cosmic firebrands that are
always present whenever a fire is lighted, chemical or atomic, whether
the fuel is wood, coal, or oil, or uranium, plutonium, deuterium, or
tritium. Both, with some variations, are essential for opening the
cosmic safe where the energy of the universe is kept in storage. The
only reason you get much more energy in the fission and fusion of atomic
nuclei is that so much more had been stored in them than in the
cellulose vaults on this planet.
The same reason that limits our ability to obtain stored chemical energy
to a few fuels also limits our ability to obtain atomic energy. Coal,
oil, and wood are the only dividend-paying chemical-energy stocks.
Similarly only five elements, uranium 233 and 235, plutonium, deuterium,
and tritium are the only dividend-paying atomic-energy stocks, and of
these only two (U-235 and deuterium) exist in nature. The other three
are re-created from other elements by modern alchemical legerdemain.
What is more, we know for a certainty that it will never be possible to
obtain atomic energy from any other element, by either fission or
fusion.
This should put to rest once and for all the notion of many, including
some self-styled scientists, that the explosion of a hydrogen bomb would
set the hydrogen in the waters, and the oxygen and the nitrogen in the
air, on fire and thus blow up the earth. The energy in common hydrogen
is locked up in one of those cosmic vaults which only the sun and the
stars that shine can open and which no number of H-bombs could blow
apart. Oxygen and nitrogen are locked even for the sun. As for the
deuterium in the water, it cannot catch fire unless it is highly
concentrated, condensed to its liquid form, and heated to a temperature
of several hundred million degrees. Hence all this talk about blowing up
the earth is pure moonshine.
But while we know that we have reached the limit of what can be achieved
either by fission or by fusion, that by no means justifies the
conclusion that we have reached the ultimate in discovery and that
fission and fusion are the only possible methods for tapping the energy
locked up in matter. We must remember that fifty years ago we did not
even suspect that nuclear energy existed and that until 1939 no one,
including Dr. Einstein, believed that it would ever become possible to
use it on a practical scale. We simply stumbled upon the phenomenon of
fission, which in its turn opened the way to fusion.
If science tells us anything at all, it tells us that nature is infinite
and that the human mind, driven by insatiable curiosity and probing ever
deeper into nature’s mysteries, will inevitably find ever greater
treasures, treasures that are at present beyond the utmost stretches of
the imagination—as far beyond fission and fusion as these are beyond
man’s first discovery of how to make a fire by striking a spark with a
laboriously made flint. The day may yet come, and past history makes it
practically certain that it will come, when man will look upon the
discovery of fission and fusion as we look today upon the crudest tools
made by primitive man.
A great measure of man’s progress has been the result of serendipity,
the faculty of making discoveries, by chance or sagacity, of things not
sought for. Many an adventure has led man to stumble upon something much
better than he originally set out to find. Like Columbus, many an
explorer into the realms of the unknown has set his sights on a shorter
route to the spices of India only to stumble upon a new continent.
Unlike Columbus, however, the explorers in the field of science, instead
of being confined to this tiny little earth of ours, have the whole
infinite universe as the domain of their adventures, and many a virgin
continent, richer by far than any yet discovered, still awaits its
Columbus.
Roentgen and Becquerel were exploring what they thought was an untrodden
path in the forest and came upon a new road that led their successors to
the very citadel of the material universe. Young Enrico Fermi was
curious to find out what would happen if he fired a neutron into the
nucleus of uranium, hoping only to create a heavier isotope of uranium,
or at best a new element. His rather modest goal led five years later to
the fission of uranium, and in another six years to the atomic bomb.
Yet, as we have seen, in both fission and fusion only a very small
fraction of the mass of the protons and neutrons in the nuclei of the
elements used is liberated in the form of energy, while 99.3 to 99.9 per
cent of their substance remains in the form of matter. We know of no
process in nature which converts 100 per cent of the matter in protons
and neutrons into energy, but scientists are already talking about
finding means for bringing about such a conversion. They are seeking
clues for such a process in the mysterious cosmic rays that bombard the
earth from outer space with energies billions of times greater than
those released by fission or fusion, great enough to smash atoms of
oxygen or nitrogen, or whatever other atoms they happen to hit in the
upper atmosphere, into their component protons and neutrons. Luckily,
their number is small and most of their energy is spent long before they
reach sea level.
But we have already learned how to create secondary cosmic-ray particles
of relatively low energies (350,000,000 electron-volts) with our giant
cyclotrons. The creation of these particles, known as mesons, which are
believed to be the cosmic cement responsible for the nuclear forces,
represents the actual conversion of energy into matter. This is the
exact reverse of the process taking place in fission and fusion, in
which, as we have seen, matter is converted into energy. And we are now
about to complete multibillion-volt atom-smashers that will hurl atomic
bullets of energies of from three to ten billion volts at the nuclei of
atoms. With these gigantic machines, known as the cosmotron (at the
Brookhaven National Laboratory of the Atomic Energy Commission) and the
bevatron (at the University of California), we shall be able to smash
nuclei into their individual component protons and neutrons and thus get
a much more intimate glimpse of the forces that hold the nuclei
together. What is more, instead of creating only mesons, particles with
only 300 electron masses, we shall be able for the first time to convert
energy into protons and neutrons, duplicating, as far as is known, an
act of creation that has not taken place since the beginning of the
universe. Man at last will be creating the very building blocks out of
which the universe is made, as well as the cosmic cement that holds them
together.
What new continents will our first glimpse into the mechanism of the
very act of creation of matter out of energy reveal? What new secrets
will be uncovered before the dazzled eyes and mind of man when he takes
the nucleus of the atom completely apart at last? Not even Einstein
could tell us. But, as Omar Khayyám divined, “a single Alif” may provide
“the clue” that, could we but find it, leads “to the Treasure-House, and
peradventure to the Master too.” The fact is that we already have opened
the door to the anteroom of the treasure-house, and we are about to
unlock the door to one of its inner chambers. What shall we find there?
No one as yet knows. But we do know that every door man has opened so
far has led to riches beyond his wildest dreams, each new door bringing
greater rewards than the one before. On the other hand, we also know
that the treasure-house has many mansions, and that no matter how many
chambers he may enter, he will always find new doors to unlock. For we
have learned that the solution of any one secret always opens up a
thousand new mysteries.
We also have learned, to our sorrow, that any new insight gained into
nature’s laws and forces can be used for great good and for equally
great evil. The greater the insight, the greater the potentialities for
good or evil. The new knowledge he is about to gain by his deeper
insight into the heart of matter, and by his ability to create it out of
energy, may offer man the means to make himself complete master of the
world he lives in. It is equally true, alas, that he could use it to
destroy that world even more thoroughly than with the hydrogen bomb.
As already stated, scientists are even now discussing the possibility of
finding means for the complete annihilation of matter by the conversion
of the entire mass of protons and neutrons into energy, instead of only
0.1 to 0.7 per cent. And while the total annihilation of protons and
neutrons still seems highly speculative, we already know that such a
process actually does take place in the realm of the electron. This is
the phenomenon already achieved numerous times on a small scale in the
laboratory, in which a positive electron (positron) and an electron with
a negative charge completely destroy each other, their entire mass being
converted into energy. Luckily, this is at present only a laboratory
experiment, in which each positron must be individually produced, since
there are hardly any positive electrons in our part of the universe. But
suppose the new knowledge we are about to pry loose from the inner
citadel of matter reveals to us a new process, at present not even
suspected, that would release positrons in large numbers, just as the
fission and fusion processes made possible for the first time the
liberation of large quantities of neutrons. Such an eventuality, by no
means beyond the realm of the possible, would open potentialities of
horror alongside which those of the H-bomb, even the rigged one, would
be puny. For any process that would release large numbers of positrons
in the atmosphere, in a chain reaction similar to the one now liberating
neutrons, may envelop the earth in one deadly flash of radioactive
lightning that would instantly kill all sensate things. And although
this is admittedly purely speculative, no one dare say that such a
discovery will not be made, not when one remembers how remote and
unlikely a process such as fission seemed to be just before it was made.
Though many of the great discoveries came about as the result of chance,
they came because, as Pasteur said, “chance favors the prepared mind.”
Actually they came largely through the intellectual synthesis of what
had originally appeared as unrelated phenomena or concepts. When Faraday
discovered the principle of electromagnetic induction, he established
for the first time that electricity and magnetism, looked upon since
prehistoric times as two separate and distinct phenomena, were actually
only two aspects of one basic natural force, which we know today as
electromagnetism. This great intellectual synthesis led directly to the
age of electricity and all its wonders. About thirty years later the
great Scottish physicist James Clerk Maxwell demonstrated that
electromagnetic action traveled through space in the form of transverse
waves similar to those of light and having the same velocity. This
revealed the existence in nature of electromagnetic waves, better known
to us today as radio waves. About a quarter century later the great
German-Jewish physicist Heinrich Hertz not only produced these
electromagnetic waves but showed that they are propagated just as waves
of light are, possessing all other properties of light, such as
reflection, refraction, and polarization. This led directly to wireless
telegraphy and telephony, radio and television, radiophotography and
radar.
When Einstein, in his special theory of relativity of 1905, united
matter and energy in one basic cosmic entity, the road was opened to the
atomic age. Yet Einstein was never satisfied and has devoted more than
forty-five years of his life to the search for a greater, all-embracing
unity underlying the great diversity of natural phenomena. In his
general theory of relativity of 1915 he formulated a concept that
encompasses the universal law of gravitation in his earlier synthesis of
space and time, of which matter and energy were an integral part. This
synthesis, wrote Bertrand Russell in 1924, “is probably the greatest
synthetic achievement of the human intellect up to the present time. It
sums up the mathematical and physical labors of more than two thousand
years. Pure geometry from Pythagoras to Riemann, the dynamics and
astronomy of Galileo and Newton, the theory of electromagnetism as it
resulted from the researches of Faraday, Maxwell, and their successors,
all are absorbed, with the necessary modifications, in the theories of
Einstein, Weyl, and Eddington.
“So comprehensive a synthesis,” he continued, “might have represented a
dead end, leading to no further progress for a long time. Fortunately,
at this moment quantum theory [the theory applying to the forces within
the atom] has appeared, with a new set of facts outside the scope of
relativity physics [which applies to the forces governing the cosmos at
large]. This has saved us, in the nick of time, from the danger of
supposing that we know everything.”
Yet Einstein, working away in majestic solitude, has been trying all
these years to construct a vast intellectual edifice that would embrace
all the laws of the cosmos known so far, including the quantum, in one
fundamental concept, which he designates as a “unified field theory.”
Early in 1950 he published the results of his arduous labors since 1915.
This he regards as the crowning achievement of his life’s work, a
unified theory that bridges the vast gulf that had existed between
relativity and quantum, between the infinite universe of the stars and
galaxies and the equally infinite universe within the nucleus of the
atom. If he is right, and he has always been right before, his latest
contribution will prove to be a greater synthetic achievement of the
human intellect than ever before, embracing space and time, matter and
energy, gravitation and electromagnetism, as well as the nuclear forces
within the atom, in one all-encompassing concept. In due time this
concept should lead to new revelations of nature’s mysteries, and to
triumphs even greater than those which followed as a direct consequence
of all earlier intellectual syntheses.
If the synthesis of matter and energy led to the atomic age, what may we
expect of the latest, all-inclusive synthesis? When Einstein was asked
about it he replied: “Come back in twenty years!” which happens to
coincide with the end of the hundred-year period recorded by the
brothers Goncourt: God swinging a bunch of keys, and saying to humanity:
“Closing time, gentlemen!”
The search for new intellectual syntheses goes on, and no doubt new
relationships between the diverse phenomena of nature will be found,
regardless of whether Einstein’s latest theory stands or falls in the
light of further discovery. Physicists, for example, are speculating
about a fundamental relationship between time and the electronic charge,
one of the most basic units of nature, and there are those who believe
that this relationship will turn out to be much more fundamental than
that between matter and energy. Should this be found to be true, then
the discovery of the relationship between time and charge may lead to
finding a way for starting a self-multiplying positron-electron chain
reaction, just as the relationship between matter and energy led
inevitably to the self-multiplying chain reaction with neutrons. If this
comes about, then closing time will come much closer.
Yet the sound of the swinging keys need not necessarily mean closing
time for man at the twilight of his day on this planet. It could also
mean the opening of gates at a new dawn, to a new earth—and a new
heaven.