Mr. Sadler describes Mr. Malthus’s principle in the following words:--

“_It pronounces that there exists an evil in the principle of

population; an evil, not accidental, but inherent; not of occasional

occurrence, but in perpetual operation; not light, transient, or

mitigated, but productive of miseries, compared with which all those

inflicted by human institutions, that is to say, by the weakness

{218}and wickedness of man, however instigated, are ‘light: an evil,

finally, for which there is no remedy save one, which had been long

overlooked, and which is now enunciated in terms which evince anything

rather than confidence. It is a principle, moreover, pre-eminently bold,

as well as ‘clear.’ With a presumption, to call it by no fitter name,

of which it may be doubted whether literature, heathen or Christian,

furnishes a parallel, it professes to trace this supposed evil to its

source, ‘the laws of nature, which are those of God;’ thereby implying,

and indeed asserting, that the law by which the Deity multiplies his

offspring, and that by which he makes provision for their sustentation,

are different, and, indeed, irreconcilable_.”

“This theory,” he adds, “in the plain apprehension of the many, lowers

the character of the Deity in that attribute, which, as Rousseau has

well observed, is the most essential to him, his goodness; or otherwise,

impugns his wisdom.”

Now nothing is more certain than that there is physical and moral

evil in the world. Whoever, therefore, believes, as we do most

firmly believe, in the goodness of God must believe that there is

no incompatibility between the goodness of God and the existence

of physical and moral evil. If, then, the goodness of God be not

incompatible with the existence of physical and moral evil, on

what grounds does Mr. Sadler maintain that the goodness of God is

incompatible with the law of population laid down by Mr. Malthus?

Is there any difference between the particular form of evil which would

be produced by over-population, and other forms of evil which we know

to exist in the world? It is, says Mr. Sadler, not a light or transient

evil, but a great and permanent evil. What then? The question of the

origin of evil is a question of ay or no,--not a question of more

or less. If any explanation can be found by which the slightest

inconvenience {219}ever sustained by any sentient being can be

reconciled with the divine attribute of benevolence, that explanation

will equally apply to the most dreadful and extensive calamities that

can ever afflict the human race. The difficulty arises from an apparent

contradiction in terms; and that difficulty is as complete in the case

of a headache which lasts for an hour as in the case of a pestilence

which unpeoples an empire,--in the case, of the gust which makes us

shiver for a moment as in the case of the hurricane in which an Armada

is cast away.

It is, according to Mr. Sadler, an instance of presumption unparalleled

in literature, heathen or Christian, to trace an evil to “the laws of

nature, which are those of God,” as its source. Is not hydrophobia

an evil? And is it not a law of nature that hydrophobia should be

communicated by the bite of a mad dog? Is not malaria an evil? And is it

not a law of nature that in particular situations the human frame should

be liable to malaria? We know that there is evil in the world. If it is

not to be traced to the laws of nature, how did it come into the world?

Is it supernatural? And, if we suppose it to be supernatural, is not the

difficulty of reconciling it with the divine attributes as great as if

we suppose it to be natural? Or, rather, what do the words natural and

supernatural mean when applied to the operations of the Supreme Mind?

Mr. Sadler has attempted, in another part of his work, to meet these

obvious arguments, by a distinction without a difference.

“_The scourges of human existence, as necessary regulators of the

numbers of mankind, it is also agreed by some, are not inconsistent with

the wisdom or benevolence of the Governor of the {220}universe; though

such think that it is a mere after-concern to ‘reconcile the undeniable

state of the fact to the attributes we assign to the Deity.’ ‘The

purpose of the earthquake,’ say they, ‘the hurricane, the drought, or

the famine, by which thousands, and sometimes almost millions, of the

human race, are at once overwhelmed, or left the victims of lingering

want, is certainly inscrutable.’ How singular is it that a sophism like

this, so false, as a mere illustration, should pass for an argument,

as it has long done! The principle of population is declared to be

naturally productive of evils to mankind, and as having that constant

and manifest tendency to increase their numbers beyond the means

of their subsistence, which has produced the unhappy and disgusting

consequences so often enumerated. This is, then, its universal tendency

or rule. But is there in Nature the same constant tendency to these

earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts, and famines, by which so many

myriads, if not millions, are overwhelmed or reduced at once to ruin?

No; these awful events are strange exceptions to the ordinary course

of things; their visitations are partial, and they occur at distant

intervals of time. While Religion has assigned to them a very solemn

office, Philosophy readily refers them to those great and benevolent

principles of Nature by which the universe is regulated. But were there

a constantly operating tendency to these calamitous occurrences; did we

feel the earth beneath us tremulous, and giving ceaseless and certain

tokens of the coming catastrophe of nature; were the hurricane heard

mustering its devastating powers, and perpetually muttering around us;

were the skies ‘like brass,’ without a cloud to produce one genial drop

to refresh the thirsty earth, and famine, consequently, visibly on the

approach; I say, would such a state of things, as resulting from the

constant laws of Nature, be ‘reconcilable with the attributes we assign

to the Deity,’ or with any attributes which in these inventive days

could be assigned to him, so as to represent him as anything but the

tormentor, rather than the kind benefactor, of his creatures? Life, in

such a condition, would be like the unceasingly threatened and miserable

existence of Damocles at the table of Dionysius, and the tyrant himself

the worthy image of the Deity of the anti-populationists_.”

Surely this is wretched trifling. Is it on the number of bad harvests,

or of volcanic eruptions, that this {221}great question depends? Mr.

Sadler’s piety, it seems, would be proof against one rainy summer, but

would be overcome by three or four in succession. On the coasts of the

Mediterranean, where earthquakes are rare, he would be an optimist.

South America would make him a sceptic, and Java a decided Manichean,

To say that religion assigns a solemn office to these visitations is

nothing to the purpose. Why was man so constituted as to need such

warnings? It is equally unmeaning to say that philosophy refers these

events to benevolent general laws of nature. In so far as the laws of

nature produce evil, they are clearly not benevolent. They may produce

much good. But why is this good mixed with evil? The most subtle and

powerful intellects have been labouring for centuries to solve these

difficulties. The true solution, we are inclined to think, is that which

has been rather suggested, than developed, by Paley and Butler. But

there is not one solution which will not apply quite as well to the

evils of over population as to any other evil. Many excellent people

think that it is presumptuous to meddle with such high questions at all,

and that, though there doubtless is an explanation, our faculties are

not sufficiently enlarged to comprehend that explanation. This mode of

getting rid of the difficulty, again, will apply quite as well to the

evils of over-population as to any other evils. We are sure that those

who humbly confess their inability to expound the great enigma act more

rationally and more decorously than Mr. Sadler, who tells us, with the

utmost confidence, which are the means and which the ends,--which the

exceptions and which the rules, in the government of the universe;--who

consents to bear a little evil without denying the divine benevolence,

{222}but distinctly announces that a certain quantity of dry weather or

stormy weather would force him to regard the Deity as the tyrant of his

creatures.

The great discovery by which Mr. Sadler has, as he conceives, vindicated

the ways of Providence is enounced with all the pomp of capital letters.

We must particularly beg that our readers will peruse it with attention.

“_No one fact relative to the human species is more clearly ascertained,

whether by general observation or actual proof, than that their

fecundity varies in different communities and countries. The principle

which effects this variation, without the necessity of those cruel

and unnatural expedients so frequently adverted to, constitutes what I

presume to call The Law of Population; and that law may be thus briefly

enunciated:--

“The Prolificness of human beings, otherwise similarly CIRCUMSTANCED,

VARIES INVERSELY AS THEIR NUMBERS.

“The preceding definition may be thus amplified and explained.

Premising, as a mere truism, that marriages under precisely similar

circumstances will, on the average, be equally fruitful everywhere,

I proceed to state, first, that the prolificness of a given number

of marriages will, all other circumstances being the same, vary

in proportion to the condensation of the population, so that that

prolificness shall be greatest where the numbers on an equal space are

the fewest, and, on the contrary, the smallest where those numbers are

the largest_.”

Mr. Sadler, at setting out, abuses Mr. Malthus for enouncing his theory

in terms taken from the exact sciences. “Applied to the mensuration of

human fecundity,” he tells us, “the most fallacious of all things is

geometrical demonstration;” and he again informs us that those “act an

irrational and irreverent part who affect to measure the mighty depth

of God’s mercies by their arithmetic, and to demonstrate, by their

geometrical ratios, that it is inadequate to receive and {223}contain

the efflux of that fountain of life which is in Him.”

It appears, however, that it is not to the use of mathematical words,

but only to the use of those words in their right senses that Mr. Sadler

objects. The law of inverse variation, or inverse proportion, is as much

a part of mathematical science as the law of geometric progression. The

only difference in this respect between Mr. Malthus and Mr. Sadler is,

that Mr. Malthus knows what is meant by geometric progression, and

that Mr. Sadler has not the faintest notion of what is meant by inverse

variation. Had he understood the proposition which he has enounced with

so much pomp, its ludicrous absurdity must at once have flashed on his

mind.

Let it be supposed that there is a tract in the back settlements of

America, or in New South Wales, equal in size to London, with only a

single couple, a man and his wife, living upon it. The population of

London, with its immediate suburbs, is now probably about a million and

a half. The average fecundity of a marriage in London is, as Mr. Sadler

tells us, 2.35. How many children will the woman in the back settlements

bear according to Mr. Sadler’s theory? The solution of the problem is

easy. As the population in this tract in the back settlements is to

the population of London, so will be the number of children born from a

marriage in London to the number of children born from the marriage

of this couple in the back settlements. That is to say-- 2:1,500,000::

2.35:1,762,500.

The lady will have 1,762,500 children: a large “efflux of the fountain

of life,” to borrow Mr. Sadler’s sonorous rhetoric, as the most

philoprogenitive parent could possibly desire. {224}But let us, instead

of putting cases of our own, look at some of those which Mr. Sadler has

brought forward in support of his theory. The following table, he tells

us, exhibits a striking proof of the truth of his main position. It

seems to us to prove only that Mr. Sadler does not know what inverse

proportion means.

[Illustration: 0230]

Is 1 to 160 as 3.66 to 5.48? If Mr. Sadler’s principle were just, the

number of children produced by a marriage at the Cape would be, not

5.48, but very near 600. Or take America and France. Is 4 to 140 as

4.22 to 5.22? The number of births to a marriage in North America ought,

according to this proportion, to be about 150.

Critical, Historical, and Miscellaneous Essays; Vol. 2 With a Memoir and Index · 第 51 / 84 题