An amazing story of coincidences appears in the _Westminster Gazette_.

During the Boer War four men met by chance for the first time on the

eve of some big action, and the meeting was so agreeable that one of

the men who had a bad two-shilling piece in his pocket divided it, and

gave each of the others a quarter as a memento of the evening.

Immediately afterwards they separated, and never saw or heard of each

other again till a few evenings ago, when a dinner was given in honour

of somebody or other in Birmingham. The four men were friends of the

guest of the evening, and all of them turned up at the dinner, where

they recognised each other easily, we are told, because each of them

was wearing his quarter-florin on his watch-chain.

Life is, of course, a series of coincidences, but we never cease to be

surprised as each new one happens, and nothing can destroy their

recurring freshness. We may make mathematical calculations showing

that there is a chance in a million that such and such a thing will

happen, but, when it happens once in a million times, it seems to us

as marvellous as a comet. We cannot get accustomed to the pattern of

Nature, which repeats itself as daringly as the pattern in a

wall-paper. Our fathers recognised this pattern, and saw in it the

weird craftsmanship of destiny. We who believe in iron law, which

surely implies a rigid pattern, are by a curious want of logic

sceptics, and we treat each new emergence of the pattern as a strange

exception to scientific rule. We cannot believe that Nature arranged

howlings of dogs and disasters in the stars to accompany the death of

a Caesar or a Napoleon. Everything that we can call dramatic in Nature

we put down to chance and coincidence. Superstitious people confront

us with instance upon instance of the succession of omen and event,

but we label these exception No. 1, exception No. 2, and so forth, and

go cheerfully on our way.

Believers in omens tell us that, some time before Laud's trial and

execution, he found his portrait fallen on to the floor, and predicted

disaster; and they ask us to admit that this was more than a

coincidence, especially as there are a hundred similar stories. They

relate how the stumble of a horse proved as fatal an omen for Mungo

Park as did the fall of a picture for Laud. One day before he

departed on his last expedition to Africa his horse stumbled, and Sir

Walter Scott, who was with him, said: "I am afraid this is a bad

omen." "Omens follow those who look to them," replied the explorer,

and set forth on the expedition from which he never returned. Luckily

we have examples which suggest that Park and not Scott was right.

Everyone knows the story of William the Conqueror's fall as he landed

on the shores of England, and how, in order to calm the superstitious

alarm of his followers, he called on them to observe how he had taken

possession of the country with both hands. In the very fact of doing

so, of course, he merely substituted one interpretation of an omen for

another. But if omens are capable in this way of opposite

interpretations, we are on the direct road to scepticism about their

significance, and so to a view that most events that appear to have

been heralded by omens are simple coincidences.

One remarkable coincidence of this kind came to my ears the other day.

A man I know was suddenly dismissed from his post with three months'

salary in his pocket. I happened to be talking about superstitions

with him the same afternoon, when he said: "It's all very well, but

only last week, when I was in the country, some one was telling

fortunes by tea-leaves in the house where I was stopping; and he

turned to me and said: 'Old man, there's a big surprise in store for

you, and I see some money in the bottom of the cup.' I shan't let them

know this has happened," he added, "as it might encourage them to be

superstitious." Certainly, when such a coincidence happens in our own

lives, it is difficult to believe that it is not a deliberate act on

the part of Nature. Nature, we can see, does concern herself with the

minutest cell or atom of our being; why not with these premonitory

shadows of our deeds and sufferings? Many coincidences, on the other

hand, admit of a less fatalistic explanation. Everybody has noticed

how one no sooner meets a new name in a book that one comes on the

same name in real life also for the first time. I had not read Mr

Forrest Reid's novel, _The Bracknels_, a week, when, on walking down a

London avenue, the same name--"The Bracknels"--stared at me from a

gate. It is not easy, however, to conceive that destiny deliberately

leads one into a suburban avenue to enjoy the humour of one's surprise

at so trivial a coincidence. It is a more natural conclusion that

these names one begins to notice so livelily would still have remained

unobserved, were it not that they had acquired a new significance for

one's eyes owing to something one had read or heard. After all, one

can ride down the Strand on the top of a 'bus for a month without

consciously seeing a single name over a shop-window. But let any of

these names become real to us as the result of some accident, and it

leaps to one's eyes like a scene in a play. It is merely that one now

selects this particular name for observation, and ignores the others.

It is all due to the artistic craving for patterns. I am inclined at

times to explain the evidence in favour of the Baconian theory of

Shakespeare as pattern-mongering. Those cyphers, those coincidences of

phrase and suggestion at such-and-such a line from the beginning or

end of so many of the plays, those recurrences of hoggish pictures,

are enough to shake the balance of anyone who cannot himself go

forward with a study of the whole evidence. But, as we proceed with an

examination of the coincidences, we find that many of them are

coincidences only for the credulous. It seems a strange coincidence

that Shakespeare and Bacon should so often make use of the same

metaphors and words. But it seems strange only till we discover that

plenty of other pre-Shakespearean and Elizabethan writers made use of

them as well. Much of the Baconian theory, indeed, is built, not upon

coincidence, but upon pseudo-coincidence. The fact that Shakespeare

died on the same day of the month--or almost on the same day--as that

on which he was born is really a more interesting coincidence than any

that occurs within the field of Baconianism.

Much the same may be said of the coincidences discovered by those who

have, at one time or another, counted up the numerical values of the

letters in the names of Napoleon and Gladstone and other leaders of

men, and found that they were equal to 666, the fatal number of the

Antichrist. In nearly every case the name has been distorted in its

transliteration into Greek in such a way as to make the coincidence no

coincidence at all. On the other hand, there are some genuinely

interesting coincidences in figures, which have been recorded by

various writers on credulity and superstition. French history since

the middle of the eighteenth century can almost be written as a series

of figure-mongers' coincidences. It began with Louis XVI, who came to

the throne in 1774. By adding the sum of the ciphers in this figure to

the figure itself--1774 + 1 + 7 + 7 + 4--the arithmetical diviners

point out that you get 1793, the year of the King's death. Similarly,

the beginning of the French Revolution foretold the end of the

Revolutionary period with Napoleon's fall, for if you add up 1789 + 1

+ 7 + 8 + 9 you get 1814, the year of Elba. Louis Philippe's

accession-date, 1830, gives scarcely less remarkable results. If you

add to it the figures in 1773, the date of his birth--1830 + 1 + 7 + 7

+ 3--you get 1848, the date of his fall and flight. It is the same if

you add to his accession-date the figures in 1809, the date of his

marriage. Here again 1830 + 1 + 8 + 0 + 9 results in 1848. And, if you

turn to his Queen, you find that the figures in her birth-date, 1782,

lead up to the same fatal message: 1830 + 1 + 7 + 8 + 2 once more

mount to the ominous figure. The arithmeticians, whose ingenuities are

recorded in Mr Sharper Knowlson's _Origins of Popular Superstitions_,

have unearthed similar significances in the dates of Napoleon III.

They add the figure 1852--the date of his inauguration as Emperor--to

the ciphers of 1808, his birth-date--1852 + 1 + 8 + 0 + 8--and arrive

at the fatal date, 1869, when the Empire came to an end. The Empress

Eugenie was born in 1826 and married in 1853. Add the ciphers in these

dates to 1852--1852 + 1 + 8 + 5 + 3 or + 1 + 8 + 2 + 6--and 1869

appears once more. But there is no need to go on with these quaint

sums. I have quoted enough to suggest the intricate and subtle

patterns which the ingenious can discover everywhere in Nature.

Nature, assuredly, has provided us with coincidences so lavishly that

we may well go about in amazement. Even the fiction of Mr William Le

Queux is not quite so abundant in strange coincidences as the life of

the most ordinary man you could see reading a halfpenny newspaper. It

is only in literature, indeed, that coincidences seem unnatural.

Sophocles has been blamed for making a tragedy out of a man who

unwittingly slew his father and afterwards unwittingly married his

mother. It is incredible as fiction; but I imagine real life could

give us as startling a coincidence even as that. Each of us is, to use

Sir Thomas Browne's phrase, Africa and its prodigies. We tread a

miraculous earth which is all mirrors and echoes, hints and symbols

and correspondences. Each deed we do may, for all we know, be echoed

and mirrored in Nature in a thousand places, even before we do it, and

I can imagine it possible that the shape of a man's fate may be

scattered over the palm of his hand. I am a sceptic on the subject,

and I see what a door is opened to charlatanry if we admit the

presence of too many meanings in the world about us. But I am not

ready to deride the notion that there may be some undiscovered law

underlying many of the coincidences which puzzle us. True, if someone

contended that a mysterious sort of gravitation was working steadily

through the years to bring those four soldiers together again at the

Birmingham dinner, I should be anxious to hear his proofs. But I am

willing to listen patiently to almost any theory on the subject. No

theory could be more sensational than the facts.

XIV

ON INDIGNATION

There is nothing in which the newspapers deal more generously than

indignation. There is enough indignation going to waste in the columns

of the London Press to overturn the Pyramids in ruins and to alter the

course of the Danube. We have had a characteristic flow of popular

indignation over the execution of Mr Benton, a British citizen, in

Mexico. Probably not one Englishman in a million had ever heard of Mr

Benton before, but no sooner was he executed and in his grave than he

rose, as it were, the very impersonation of British citizenship

outraged by foreigners. On the whole, there is nothing healthier than

group-indignation of the kind that sees in an injury to one an injury

to all--that demands just dealing for even the poorest and least

distinguished member of the group. It is the sort of passion it would

be pleasant to see trained and developed. My only complaint against it

is that in the present state of the world it is too often reserved

for foreigners and for those semi-foreigners, the people who belong to

a different political party or social class from your own. One would

have thought, for instance, that the group-indignation which denounced

the execution of Mr Benton without a fair trial might also have

denounced the expulsion of the labour leaders from South Africa with

no trial at all. The fact that it did not and that several of the

London capitalist papers treated the whole South African episode as a

good joke at the expense of Labour is evidence that to a good many

Englishmen the maltreatment of British citizens is not in itself an

objectionable thing, provided it happens within the British Empire. It

seems to me that this is an entirely topsy-turvy kind of patriotism.

For every British citizen who is likely to be badly treated abroad,

there must be thousands who are in danger of being badly treated in

the British Empire itself. Is not the killing of an Englishman by an

English railway company, for instance, as outrageous a crime as the

killing of an Englishman by a foreign general? There is also this to

be remembered: your indignation against the criminal in your own

country is more likely to bear fruit than your indignation against the

criminal in a foreign country. You can catch your English

railway-director with a single policeman; you may not be able to

catch your foreigner without an international war. Thus, though I do

not question the occasional value of indignation against wicked

foreigners, I contend that a true economy of indignation would lead to

most of its being directed against wicked fellow-countrymen.

It may be retorted that Englishmen certainly do not limit their

indignation to foreigners, and that the Marconi campaign is a proof

that a good Englishman can always become righteously indignant against

a bad Englishman--at least when the latter happens to be a Welshman or

a Jew. But the Marconi campaign was only another example of

group-indignation against persons who were outside the group. It was

not, in this instance, a national or Imperial group: it was a party

group. What I am arguing for is the direction of group-indignation,

not against outsiders, but when necessary against the members of the

group. I should like to see Conservatives becoming really indignant

about Conservative scandals, Liberals becoming really indignant about

Liberal scandals, Socialists becoming really indignant about Socialist

scandals. As it is, indignation is usually merely a form of sectarian

excitement It is always easy to find something about which to become

indignant in your political opponent, if it is only his good temper.

His crime of crimes is that he is your political opponent--you use his

minor crimes merely as rods to punish him for that. Our indignation

against our opponents, to say truth, is usually ready long before the

happy excuse comes which looses it like a wild beast into the arena.

One sees a good example of this leashed indignation in the Ulster

Unionist attitude to Nationalist Ireland. There is a silly scuffle

about flags at Castledawson between a Sunday-school excursion party

and a Hibernian procession, both of which ought to have known better.

Not a woman or child is injured, according to the verdict of a judge

on the bench, but the Ulster Unionists, armed to the teeth with

indignation in advance, denounce the affair as though it were on the

same level of villainy with the September Massacres. Not long

afterwards real outrages break out in Belfast, and Catholics and

Socialists are kicked and beaten within an inch of their lives. Here

was a test of the reality of the indignation against outrages on human

beings. Did the Ulstermen then come forward in a righteous fury

against the wrongdoers on their own side? Not a bit of it. Sir Edward

Carson did disown them in the House of Commons. But the Ulster

Unionists, as a whole, raised not a breath of indignation. Being

average human beings, indeed, they invariably retort to any charges

made against them with an angry _tu quoque_ to the South. It is not

long, for instance, since a Special Commission sat to investigate the

facts about sweated women workers in Belfast, and issued a report in

which the prevalence of sweating was demonstrated beyond the doubt of

any but a blind man. Instead, however, of directing their indignation

against the evils of a system in their own midst, the Ulster

Unionists--at least, one of their organs in the Press--straightway

sent one of their representatives down into the South of Ireland to

prove how bad wages and conditions of life were there. What a waste of

indignation all this was! Munster was full of indignation against the

disease of sweating in Belfast, which it could not cure. Ulster, on

the other hand, was full of indignation against the disease of bad

housing in Dublin, which it could not cure. There is a flavour of

hypocrisy in much of this anger against sins that are outside the

circle of one's own responsibility. I do not mind how many sins a man

is angry with provided they include the sins he is addicted to himself

and that are at his own door. There is little credit in a rich

manufacturer's indignation against the evils of the land system if he

is indifferent to the evils of the factory system, and landlords who

denounce industrial evils but see nothing that needs redressing in the

lot of the agricultural labourer are in the same boat. Perhaps, in the

end, the world is served even by this outside virtue. The landlords,

in order to distract attention from their own case, have more than

once brought a useful indignation to bear on the case of the

manufacturers, and _vice versa_, and ultimately the bewildered,

ox-like public has begun to drink in a little of the truth. On the

other hand, this is an unhealthy atmosphere for public virtue. It

gives rise to cynical views such as are expressed in the proverb,

"When thieves fall out, honest men come by their own," and in the

lines concerning those who

Compound for sins they are inclined to

By damning those they have no mind to.

We all do it, unfortunately. The Presbyterian speaks with horror of

the way in which the Catholic breaks the Sabbath, and the Catholic

thinks it a terrible thing that the Presbyterian should go to a

theatre on Good Friday. Montaigne, who was by inclination a

sensualist, looked with disgust on the man who drank too much, and the

drunkard retorts that every vice except his own is selfish and

anti-social. Even when we admit our own sins we are half in love with

them. It seems a less intolerable crime in oneself to rob the poor-box

than in one's neighbour to have an unwashed neck. Englishmen never

began to sing the praises of cleanliness as the virtue that makes a

nation great until they had themselves taken to the bath. True, they

often wash, as they govern themselves, not directly but by proxy; but,

even so, cleanliness has been exalted into a national virtue till the

very people of the slums, where the bath is used only for the storage

of coal, have learned to shout "Dirty foreigner!" as the most

indignant thing that can be said at a crisis.

There is nothing that makes us feel so good as the idea that some one

else is an evildoer. Our scandal about our neighbours is nearly all a

muttered tribute to our own virtue. It fills us with a new pride in

ourselves that it was not we who gambled with trust money or made love

to our neighbour's wife or ran away in battle. By kicking our

neighbours down for their sins we secure for ourselves, it seems, a

better place on the ladder. The object of all religion is to destroy

this self-satisfied indignation with our neighbours--to make us feel

that we ourselves are no better than the prostitute or the foreigner.

Similarly philosophy bids us know ourselves instead of following the

line of least resistance and damning others. That is why one would

like to see Englishmen concerned about injuries done to Englishmen by

Englishmen, even more than about injuries done to Englishmen by

foreigners. Indignation against the latter, necessary though it may

be, is apt to become a mere melodramatic substitute for native virtue.

There are crimes enough at home for any Englishman to practise his

indignation upon without ever letting his eye wander further than

Dover--crimes of underpayment, crimes of overwork, crimes of rotten

houses, crimes that are murder in everything but swiftness and theft

in everything except illegality. It is fine, no doubt, that Englishmen

should become hot with anger at the news of a Benton murdered in

Mexico as it is fine that the democracies of Europe should be inflamed

with indignation at the murder of a Ferrer in Spain. These things are

evidence of large brotherhoods, of an extension of those family

charities which are at the back of all advance in civilisation. On the

other hand, can none of this passionate fraternity be spared for John

Smith, aged fourteen, done to death by the half-time system, or for

his father killed on the line as the result of the need of making

dividends for railway shareholders, or for his mother working for a

halfpenny an hour in a narrow room the filth of which is transmuted

into gold for some rich man? These, too, are your brothers and

sisters, and deserve the angry eloquence of an epitaph. Here is

subject enough for indignation--not a weak and ineffectual indignation

against foreigners, but indignation knocking terribly at your own

doors.

XV

THE HEART OF MR GALSWORTHY

Mr Galsworthy has been writing to the _Times_ on "the heartlessness of

Parliament." The _Times_, always noted for its passion for humane

causes, ranges itself behind him and asserts that Englishmen have now

learned to speak of the politician "with intellectual contempt, as of

one who is making a game of realities, who fiddles a dull tune while

Rome is burning." Both Mr Galsworthy and the _Times_ are apparently

agreed that the measures which Parliament has for some time past been

discussing are matters of trivial significance and, in so far as they

take up time which might be devoted to better things, are an outrage

upon the conscience of (to use the odd phrase of the newspaper) "those

who are most interested in the spectacle of life and the future of

mankind." Mr Galsworthy, wearing his heart in his ink-pot not only

denounces the indifference of politicians to vital things, but goes on

to lay down an alternative programme--a programme of the heart, as he

might call it, in contrast to the programme of the hustings. He begins

his list of things which ought to be legislated about with the

sweating of women workers and insufficient feeding of children, and he

ends it with live instances of--in an even odder phrase than that

quoted from the _Times_--"abhorrent things done daily, daily left

undone."

Export of horses worn-out in work for Englishmen--save the

mark! Export that for a few pieces of blood-money delivers up

old and faithful servants to wretchedness.

Mutilation of horses by docking, so that they suffer, offend

the eye, and are defenceless against the attacks of flies

that would drive men, so treated, crazy.

Caging of wild things, especially wild song-birds, by those

who themselves think liberty the breath of life, the jewel

above price.

Slaughter for food of millions of creatures every year by

obsolete methods that none but the interested defend.

Importation of the plumes of ruthlessly slain wild birds,

mothers with young in the nest, to decorate our gentlewomen.

Probably ninety-nine readers out of a hundred will sympathise with Mr

Galsworthy's bitter cry against a Parliament that has so long left

these and other wrongs unrighted. Let Mr Galsworthy take any one of

his cases of inhumanity by itself, and he is sure of the support of

nearly all decent people in demanding that an end shall be put to it.

The human conscience has developed considerably in recent years in

regard to the treatment both of human beings and of animals, and,

though conscience is frequently dumb in the impressive presence of

economic interests, it has still the power to get things done, as

witness, for example, the establishment of minimum-wage boards in

certain sweated trades. Mr Galsworthy, however, does not ask you to

consider each of his desired reforms on its merits. He asks you, in

effect, to put them in place of the reforms which politicians are at

present discussing. "Almost any one of them," he declares of his brood

of evils, "is productive of more suffering to innocent and helpless

creatures, human or not, and probably of more secret harm to our

spiritual life, more damage to human nature, than, for example, the

admission or rejection of Tariff Reform, the Disestablishment or

preservation of the Welsh Church, I would almost say than the granting

or non-granting of Home Rule."

The Book of This and That · 第 5 / 11 段