Mr. Gibson Bowles had attacked the Finance Bill on somewhat the same

lines in _The Times_; and Mr. Asquith had promised the dissentients

that the Commons would not part with the Finance Bill (imposing taxes)

until the Revenue Bill (securing the allocation of the proceeds) should

have passed the Lords; but the completion of both Bills within the

four months' limit laid down by the Provisional Collection of Taxes

Act (A.R., 1913, p. 86) was seen to be impracticable. And, when the

Finance Bill came before the House on June 22, Mr. Cassel (U., _St.

Pancras, W._) asked whether it was in order, inasmuch as it went

beyond the money resolution on which it was based, which did not cover

either the proposed allocation of grants in relief of rates to local

authorities or the reduction of the charge on the National Debt; and

Sir F. Banbury (U., _City of London_) raised other points, one being

that the Bill increased the "transferred sum" under the Home Rule Bill,

and was thereby out of order as going beyond its title. The Speaker

dismissed this latter point; in regard to the others, matters could

be set right by introducing a new resolution in Committee of Ways and

Means, citing a precedent of May, 1894; but he deprecated the recent

practice of including in the Finance Bill matters not purely financial.

In moving the second reading, the President of the Local Government

Board said that two principles of the Bill were that new sources of

income should be provided for local authorities, and that personalty

should contribute to local taxation; but, as a local income tax was,

for reasons which he specified, impracticable, the Bill adopted an

alternative method. About 38,000,000_l._ annually, or one-third of the

total expenditure of local authorities in the United Kingdom, would

eventually be provided under the Bill from the Exchequer. Education,

public health, poor-law services, and main roads, were of national

concern as well as local, and the central authority should see that

they were well administered, and that the relief given should be given

to the part of the rating which fell on local improvements, not to

that on bare land values. The existing system of rating adopted "the

methods of the Eastern taxgatherer." The rates would be levied in two

parts--on land value, and on building and improvement value, and in

the current year the Revenue Bill would provide for the collection

of the information necessary to enable the division to take place in

1915. The case of the Liberal dissentients could be met by procedure.

An instruction would be moved to divide the Bill into two parts,

one containing the provisions relative to the new taxation and the

National Debt, the other those relating to the new grants to local

authorities. Both Bills and the Revenue Bill would be proceeded with.

This would unfortunately mean the abandonment for the current year

of the temporary grants on the new basis to local authorities. The

increased taxation to meet these would be unnecessary, and the income

tax would only be 1_s._ 3_d._ in the pound. This was a postponement,

not a release.

Mr. Holt (L.) abandoned an amendment in the sense of the dissentients'

protest, but objected both to the huge expenditure on armaments and

to the excess of the actual over the estimated cost of recent social

reforms. Members themselves, he thought, were in fault for pressing

for more expenditure. It was increasing more rapidly than income, and

a decline in trade was at hand. He and his friends did not object to

the character of the new taxation; direct taxation was preferable to

indirect; but it would be impossible to pass the Finance Bill as it

stood and the Revenue Bill by August 6, as required by the Provisional

Collection of Taxes Act. It invited obstruction, which would be met by

the guillotine closure. He and his friends, therefore, would cordially

support the revised programme of the Government.

Mr. Long (U., _Strand_) congratulated the dissentient Liberals on their

success. The great Budget was crumbling already. But was there any law

left in the House? Income tax was being collected at a rate for which

there was no Parliamentary authority; what would be done where it had

been already collected "at the source"? Would the Irish proposal (to

increase the "transferred sum") be abandoned as well as the English?

The Unionists had thought of moving to adjourn the debate, but had

preferred to state their case for further information at once. Every

one wanted social reform, but were they not really burdening the weak?

The Treasury had become a spending instead of a supervising department,

and the Chancellor of the Exchequer one of the most powerful causes of

public expenditure. In every department of public expenditure there

was an enormous increase, due either to hasty legislation or to want

of control by the Minister whose duty it was to exercise control.

Employment on estates was diminishing, and the increase in the death

duties imposed unequal burdens. He was unable to understand what the

rating proposals were. By thus changing their plan the Government had

insulted the House. Later the Chancellor of the Exchequer explained

that only some 50,000_l._ had been collected in regard to the 1_d._ of

income tax now dropped, and the banks would adjust the matter on the

next dividend payment. Some Budgets had been altered while before the

Commons, _e.g._ the wheel and van tax in 1890.

The House adjourned early in view of the King's Birthday dinners, and

next day (June 23) Mr. Hayes Fisher (U., _Fulham_) moved an amendment

expressing regret that the promised grants to local authorities were

not to be made in the current year, and condemning the new system of

valuation by which these grants were to be conditioned. He agreed with

the views of the dissentient Ministerialists about the Bill (p. 128)

and suggested that money might be found by taxing imports; the Port

of London Authority already charged dues on 2,200 articles. Would

the Chancellor repeat his Ipswich speech now? He strongly protested

against central control of valuation. Mr. Cassel (U.) seconded the

resolution. Among later speakers, the Secretary for Scotland said

that the only difference to the local authorities would be that they

would not receive the four months' grants during the current year. Mr.

Healy (I. N.) attacked the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the bases

on which the grants were allotted to Ireland. Mr. G. Roberts (Lab.,

_Norwich_) said his party profoundly regretted the capitulation of the

Chancellor of the Exchequer. The President of the Board of Education

said that there was no danger of the abolition of free education.

Next day (June 24) Mr. J. F. Hope (U., _Sheffield, Central_), in a

speech characterised by the Chancellor of the Exchequer as fresh and

interesting, suggested that 200,000_l._ a year might be saved on

payment of members, and the Development Commission and the Road Board

might be abolished. The Estimates should be sent to a special Committee

for scrutiny. He favoured higher import duties on foreign luxuries

and a graduated tax on amusements. He feared for local freedom and

knowledge in administration. After other speeches, the Chancellor of

the Exchequer replied. He said that nothing had been said about the

taxes; reduction of expenditure had been suggested on armaments, but it

had no support, at any rate from the Opposition, and on the Development

Commission and Road Board, but nearly all the expenditure on the former

had gone to agriculture, and the primacy of Great Britain in roads

was due to the tax on motor petrol. The Opposition had constantly

pressed the Government to spend millions to relieve the ratepayers;

when this was attempted, they tried to wreck the Bill. The industrial

districts were strangled with rates due to absolute necessities, such

as education; the projected readjustment of the grants would save some

of those hardest pressed between 1_s._ and 2_s._ in the pound. Housing,

which had been so often pressed, could not be undertaken unless the

rates were relieved, and yet members rummaged in the dustbins of

ancient precedents for obstacles to the Budget proposals. The truth

was, the Opposition wanted to obstruct, for they had rather do the job

themselves. Interference with local authorities had a precedent in the

case of education and the existing valuation by overseers was a farce.

The separation of improvement values from site values was regarded

as insane, but it worked well in British Columbia. When the Colonies

proposed to tax corn they were our kith and kin; when they taxed land

they were lunatics. The abolition of the sugar tax had been suggested,

but the penny was wanted, and abolition would mean an increase next

year on the income tax. Those who voted against the Bill would be

voting against means to increase the efficiency of the people and make

a stronger and more enduring State.

Mr. Austen Chamberlain (U.) said that the Chancellor's speech gave

no idea of the Bill, and he seemed not to have read the amendment.

The relief of rates being of the utmost urgency, it was dropped, with

trifling exceptions, for the current year, and made contingent for the

next year on the passage of other Bills and a system of valuation of

which the main features were still obscure. The proposals as to settled

estate duty broke a bargain. Social reform could not be conducted

regardless of its cost, and it was only on domestic expenditure that

economies were possible. After protesting against the attack on Mr.

Cassel for defending the rules and practice of the House, he said it

was the conditions imposed by the Chancellor which made it impossible

to give the strangled municipalities relief. Were the grants intended

to relieve rates or to extend municipal activity? He recalled the

Chancellor's speech at Ipswich, and described his electioneering as a

crude form of bribery of a kind, for a less serious instance of which

a Liberal Whip had been obliged to apologise.[1] He protested against

centralised control as tending to extravagance, and attacked the

valuation scheme. It was the Chancellor who by his attacks on property,

adopted "the methods of the Eastern taxgatherer." He was using his

conditions of relief to cover up the mess he had made.

After other speeches on that day and the next, the Prime Minister rose

(June 25). He began by remarking that the predictions of financial

disaster owing to increased expenditure and so-called confiscatory

taxation had been made when the Corn Laws were repealed, when

succession duties were begun in 1853, on Sir William Harcourt's Budget

in 1894, and on the Budget of 1909. But since 1894 there had been

the largest investment of capital recorded in British history; the

capital which had gone abroad had found itself subjected to far larger

exactions than in Great Britain; and the experts had been refuted

by experience. Between 1905-6 and 1914-15 national expenditure had

risen by 57,000,000_l._ Of this, the Navy had taken 18,000,000_l._,

the Civil Service, including social reform, 30,500,000_l._, of which

20,000,000_l._ were due to old-age pensions and insurance, and

2,500,000_l._ to Imperial expenditure on education. The revenue derived

from taxation had increased in the same time by 41,000,000_l._; the

non-tax revenue, mainly from the Post Office, by 11,000,000_l._, or

nearly 50 per cent. In 1905-6 direct taxation produced 50.3 per cent.

of the tax revenue, indirect 49.7 per cent.; the proportion now was

59.5 per cent. to 40.5 per cent., and of the latter only a little more

than 7 per cent. was derived from the non-sumptuary taxes. This Mr.

Asquith treated as an argument against using the 1_d._ taken off the

income tax to reduce the sugar duty.

Meantime Great Britain, almost alone among nations, had been reducing

her national debt. In principle he had always been a rigid economist,

but expenditure on the Navy certainly could not be reduced, and that

on social reform was likely to increase. Treasury control was in fact

being vigorously exercised; the mainspring of additional expenditure

was in the Commons, which had largely expanded the scheme of old-age

pensions and other social reforms. The increase in indirect taxation

had been wholly in sumptuary taxes. As to direct taxation, income-tax

law had become to the ordinary man a Chinese puzzle, and he repeated

that there ought to be a thorough revision of the system of collection.

As to the present problem, the injustice of the existing system of

local rating was unquestionable, and a local income-tax, which he

would have preferred, being impracticable, the fairest way to reach

personalty was through the income tax and supertax payers. That was

the first principle of the Chancellor's proposals, the second was

that the grants must be accompanied by security for efficiency, which

would involve no interference with local autonomy; the third was that

the increased subvention to local authorities should be accompanied

by a new system of valuation. Every one admitted that the existing

system was unfair and ineffective. They desired to assist the local

authorities with expert advice. The need for expenditure on these

objects was much more urgent than the relief of the sugar duty.

The Government meant to obtain in the current year three distinct

things: (1) the maintenance intact of the provisions for necessitous

school areas, feeding of school children, nursing, measures against

tuberculosis, and national insurance; (2) statutory authority for a

more generous system of payment of grants during the next financial

year; (3) statutory authority for a new system of valuation separating

site from improvement value. Anyone who voted for the amendment was

tending to put off social reform.

The subsequent speeches exhibited in various ways the dissent among a

section of Liberals from the proposals of the Government. Eventually

Mr. Bonar Law rose. After saying that the change in the Budget

was really due, not to the Speaker's ruling, but to the Liberal

dissentients, he remarked that the plan for relieving local rating

conflicted with the Report of the Committee, and asked why, if the

separate valuation of site value was so simple, it was not put into

the Bills? Because Ministers generally would only agree to an inquiry.

He then elaborately attacked Mr. Lloyd George's financial methods.

The Chancellor ignored regularity in procedure; he utterly failed to

control expenditure; he ignored the maxim that taxes should not be

imposed which involved an excessive cost of collection; and he and

other new Liberals promised, not retrenchment, but extravagance. With

the Chancellor of the Exchequer extravagance was a principle. He was

trying to use Budgets to correct the inequalities of wealth. That

could not be done by taxation. The Chancellor's theory of life was

based on the strictest system of predestination. It was mere luck

whether one was industrious and thrifty or an idler and wastrel, and so

the duty of the former was to support the latter. Mr. Bonar Law closed

by warnings against the excessive taxation of the rich and against

depleting the resources of the country in regard to tax revenue and

loans in time of war.

The Attorney-General, in the course of a brief reply, remarked that

nothing was now heard of Tariff Reform; and the amendment was then

rejected, but only by 303 votes to 265, and the second reading agreed

to. One Liberal voted with the Opposition, as did seven Independent

Nationalists; thirty-five Labour members abstained, and it was only

the Nationalist vote that saved the Government from defeat. It was

felt that they, and the Chancellor of the Exchequer in particular, had

received a severe check; and the confusion caused by the provisional

collection "at source" of the 1_d._ on the income tax now dropped was

only increased by the instructions sent out by the Treasury.

The aim of the framers of the Budget was eloquently set forth by the

Lord Chancellor at a National Liberal Club dinner on June 26. There

had been three great Budgets, he said, dealing respectively with the

past, the present, and the coming generation. Old Age Pensions in 1908,

national insurance, which was raising the level of the people, in 1911,

and the pending Budget of 1914. This latter was productive expenditure.

Since 1868 the total national income had risen from 860,000,000_l._

to 2,400,000,000_l._, while the cost of government had risen in about

the same proportion, from 70,000,000_l._ to 207,000,000_l._ Everywhere

democracy was demanding a larger share of the total wealth produced,

and the demand was partly met by the relative decline of indirect

taxation (p. 132). It was necessary to meet the decrease of the birth

rate--itself not wholly an evil--by reducing infant mortality, which

amounted to 128 per 1,000 in the first twelvemonth of life, and

still-births, which were 150 per 1,000, half of them due to syphilis,

which accounted also largely for deaf mutes and deformity, and many

due to phthisis. Mothers, therefore, must be looked after and trained;

at school the child must be cared for in body and mind, it must be

encouraged, and its parents assisted, to choose a definite career;

continuation schools must prepare their pupils for trades; and the

ablest pupils should have a chance of university education. The Budget

would have been impossible ten years earlier; the growth of science

had made it possible; and he hoped some day to see a Ministry of

Public Health. He laid stress on the curriculum of German continuation

schools and the need of equality of opportunity. The Chancellor of the

Exchequer, in a short speech, said that the Lord Chancellor had had

a large share not only in framing the Budget, but in its initiation

and inspiration. Had the taxes imposed been larger, the majority of

thirty-eight would have been doubled. The Unionists were determined to

defeat land reform, and absolute Ministerialist unity was necessary to

frustrate their design.

We must now turn to the House of Lords, where the Government of Ireland

Amending Bill was introduced on June 23 by the Marquess of Crewe. After

regretting that his statement as to communications with the Opposition

leaders had been misinterpreted (p. 122) he said that the Bill was

introduced to meet the religious forebodings of Ulster and its fears

regarding the business capacity of the men of the rest of Ireland. The

exclusion of Ulster was clearly not liked by the Opposition leaders

or the Nationalists, and Disraeli had repudiated the doctrine that

Ireland was two nations. The Government had had a preference for

giving autonomy to Ulster, but this the religious forebodings of the

Protestants precluded. To exclude the whole of Ulster was impossible;

it would be not a "clean cut," but a "ragged cut," owing to the great

Roman Catholic majorities in Donegal and Cavan. The Bill would,

therefore, embody the Prime Minister's offer of March 9--_viz._, that

within three months after its passing any Ulster county should be

entitled to take a poll, and if there was a majority for exclusion,

the Government of Ireland Act should not apply to it. The exclusion

would be for six years from the first meeting of the Irish Parliament.

At the end of that period there would be, not automatic inclusion, but

obligatory reconsideration. It would be unfair to leave the question of

exclusion to be then fought over again from the beginning or postponed

by other questions. The civil government of those areas would be

exercised by the Lord-Lieutenant through such officers of departments

as he might direct by Order in Council; a Minister of the Crown would

deal with Irish business in Great Britain; no members of Parliament

would go to the Irish House of Commons, but every constituency in the

excluded area could send a representative to the House of Commons;

the Joint Exchequer Board would take the cost of Irish services for

the whole of Ireland, would divide them in proportion to population,

and that portion which was due to be paid to the included area would

be deducted for the purposes of the excluded area, and in addition

to that it would be necessary to give the Board power to vary the

charges in those cases in which it was possible. With respect to

judicial arrangements, where any cause was tried, or where the party

to any cause was ordinarily resident in the excluded area, he could

claim to have his case tried either by one of the existing judges or

by some judge appointed by His Majesty in pursuance of this section.

Arrangements would be made for the allocation of civil servants to

carry out the necessary duties in the excluded area. He invited

amendments, and declared that, whatever modifications were made in the

existing state of things, the Government would not hold the Opposition

responsible. The Marquess of Lansdowne expressed his profound

disappointment with the Bill. The separate treatment of Ulster was

fore-doomed to failure, and the time limit was intended to avoid a

confession of failure by the Government. The Bill would not suffice

to avert civil war. If the Prime Minister's terms were insufficient

on March 9, they were doubly insufficient after the appearance of the

Irish National Volunteers. The Government seemed to expect that the

Opposition would make the Bill workable, but was not this undignified

on their part? Apparently the Bill itself was to be amended by Orders

in Council. Earl Grey regretted the refusal of the Prime Minister in

the autumn of 1913 to entertain the offer of the Opposition leaders to

consent to a Federal solution. In the Dominions the universal opinion

was that he was not a free statesman. Even now, the Government should

summon a Constitutional Convention to consider the questions of Ireland

and of the Second Chamber. Otherwise the sooner a general election came

the better, but he hoped that the Unionist leaders would undertake, if

returned, to summon a Convention and be guided by its recommendations.

The Bill was read a first time.

The Welsh Disestablishment Bill had been read a first time in the

House of Lords on June 23; but the second reading was deferred until

after the appointment of a select committee moved for by Viscount St.

Aldwyn on June 25, and agreed to by the Government. This Committee was

to inquire (1) whether the constitution of the Convocations of the

Church of England had ever been altered by Act of Parliament without

the assent and against the protest of Convocation, and (2) whether

the memorials attributed to Welsh Nonconformists against disendowment

represented a real and increasing objection to it among them. Viscount

St. Aldwyn referred to the recent protest of the Convocation of

Canterbury against the separation of the Welsh dioceses, pointing out

that this separation might set up a breach in the spiritual unity

of the Church in the case, for example, of the pending revision

of the Prayer Book, and suggested that, notwithstanding the Bill,

the Archbishop might still summon the Welsh Bishops and clergy to

Convocation, or they might come of themselves. As to disendowment,

the opponents of the Bill had become keener, and the support of it

was waning. The Committee could conclude its labours during the

session. The Marquess of Crewe agreed, rather doubtfully, to the

proposal; the Archbishop of Canterbury welcomed it, laying stress

on the great services rendered by Convocation, which the Bill now

proposed to mutilate. Other Peers were favourable, the Bishop of St.

Asaph denouncing the "dishonourable balance-sheet" which gave the sum

alienated from the Church at 51,000_l._ a year, whereas it was really

157,000_l._ The Bishop of Hereford, however, thought the purpose of the

motion would be regarded as dilatory. The Select Committee, nominated

July 2, consisted of the Marquess of Bath, the Earls of Halsbury and

Crawford, Viscount St. Aldwyn, and Lords Barnard, Stanley of Alderley,

and Courtney of Penwith; and the opposition to the Bill was further

emphasised meanwhile by a demonstration in Victoria Park, London (June

27).

During these Parliamentary conflicts the King and Queen had paid a

brief visit to the Midlands (June 24-26) as the guests of the Duke

and Duchess of Portland at Welbeck Abbey. An official reception at

Nottingham, a lunch with Lord and Lady Middleton at Wollaton Hall, and

a tour of various hosiery, lace, and cotton factories, filled the first

day; a visit to Mansfield and the surrounding coal-mining district

the second; on the third their Majesties opened the King George

Dock at Hull, and the chief magistrate of the town was permanently

dignified with the title of Lord Mayor. Everywhere their reception

was enthusiastic, and, as usual, they conversed with the workers and

visited some of them in their homes.

The following week saw the first step towards a great catastrophe.

The murder of the heir to the thrones of Austria and Hungary at

Sarajevo on Sunday, June 28, was destined to change the whole course

of European history; but, for the moment, it merely shocked and

horrified public opinion in Great Britain, and the apprehensions it

aroused were limited to the fortunes of the Dual Monarchy and the

peace of the Near East. It was only referred to parenthetically in

the rambling debate on the Foreign Office Vote (June 29), from which,

indeed, but one fact of importance seemed to emerge--that the British

Government was beginning to protest against the forward policy of

Russia in Persia. After various speeches, chiefly about Persia, whose

desperate position, financially and otherwise, was insisted on, but

also on other topics, the Foreign Secretary made a comprehensive reply.

He began by expressing his personal sympathy with the Dual Monarchy

and its Imperial family in view of the assassination of the heir to

its thrones, mentioning the goodwill of the late Archduke to Great

Britain and the pleasure he and his consort had derived from their

visit to the King in 1913. Every Foreign Minister in Europe knew the

support given by the life of the Emperor of Austria to the cause of

peace. The settlement of the Panama tolls question was due, not to

any British diplomatic pressure or _finesse_, but to the respect of

President Wilson for treaty rights. As to the Persian oil concession,

Great Britain had got no rights which did not exist before the

Anglo-Russian Convention. It was improbable that the oil wells would

require military protection, and new developments would naturally be

near the coast. No new obligation could be placed on Japan under the

alliance with Great Britain unless disturbances in the region were

the result of causes operating much more widely. The arrangement gave

no increase of imperative obligation; the oil could not be got within

the British dominions, and where, outside it, could it have been got

with fewer and less dangerous commitments? The Government desired

that the Anglo-Russian Convention should not be the means of further

diminishing the independence and integrity of Persia, and had begun to

discuss the existing situation under the Convention with the Russian

Government. The financial situation in Persia was very serious, the

control over expenditure being weak; but the Government, while not

proposing to lend money for general expenses, had decided to advance

50,000_l._--half from India--to prevent the gendarmerie officered by

Swedes from collapse. It would be secured on the Customs. The Baghdad

railway would stop at Basra, and so would not unsettle the position in

the Persian Gulf; the rights of Messrs. Lynch on the Euphrates were

assured, and there would be a Turkish company, half British, and with

a British casting vote. Turkey also recognised the _status quo_ in the

Persian Gulf, and Great Britain would agree to an increase of 4 per

cent. in the Turkish Customs duties, _i.e._ to 15 per cent. In Armenia

the Inspectors-General would have wide powers, enabling them to realise

the desired administrative reforms. The Powers were not prepared to

set up an International Commission for the protection of minorities

in the Near East. The root of the difficulty in Armenia was that the

thing was beyond control. He would not send British troops, but if

other Powers did, Great Britain could not well object. The working of

the condominium in the New Hebrides was being reviewed by a conference,

and the publication of papers might lead to friction. After touching on

the opium conference at the Hague, he said that greater Parliamentary

control of treaties could hardly be discussed on the Foreign Office

Vote. Their reference to a Committee of the House would be undesirable.

Incidentally, he ridiculed the statement that in 1911 Great Britain had

been within twenty-four hours of war.

Next day Addresses to the King were moved in both Houses, requesting

His Majesty to express to the Emperor of Austria their abhorrence of

the crime of Sarajevo, and their profound sympathy with the Imperial

and Royal Family and the Governments and peoples of the Dual Monarchy.

In moving the Address in the Commons, the Prime Minister described the

murder as "one of those incredible crimes which almost make us despair

of the progress of mankind." The victims, recently guests of the King,

had "left among all those who had the privilege of seeing and knowing

them a gracious and unfading memory." He spoke of the example set to

other rulers by the almost unparalleled assiduity of the aged Emperor

in the pursuit of duty, as the unperturbed, sagacious, and heroic head

of a mighty State, "rich in splendid traditions, and associated with

us in this country in some of the most moving and precious chapters of

our common history," and tendered, in the name of the Commons and the

nation, "our most heartfelt and most affectionate sympathy," Mr. Bonar

Law, in seconding, said that no living Sovereign enjoyed in fuller

measure than the aged Emperor the respect, confidence and love of his

people. In the Upper House the Marquess of Crewe described the Emperor

as "the most dignified and lonely figure in the waste places of the

world"; and the Marquess of Lansdowne laid stress on the impression of

"manliness, simplicity of character, ability, and interest in public

affairs" left by the murdered Archduke during his visit to India in

1893, and his appreciation of the stupendous difficulty of governing a

country so composite as the Austrian Empire.

In this connexion it may be added that on June 11, in reply to an

inquiry from Mr. King (L., _Somerset, N._) as to the existence of an

Anglo-Russian naval agreement, or negotiations to that end, the Foreign

Secretary had distinctly replied in the negative, saying that the Prime

Minister's answer of the year before (A. R., 1913, p. 70) still held

good, and that, if any agreement, were concluded modifying it, such an

agreement, in his opinion, should be laid before Parliament.

The dignified tributes to the murdered Archduke were followed in the

Commons, by a storm. In Committee of Supply on the Treasury Estimates,

Mr. J. F. Hope (U.) attempted to revive the Marconi scandal by moving

to reduce the Premier's salary as a protest against a recent refusal

by him to warn Civil servants against speculation in stocks. Despite

repeated calls to order, Mr. Hope managed to mention Lord Murray, the

Chancellor of the Exchequer, and Sir Rufus Isaacs; Major Archer-Shee

(U.) added fuel to the flame; the Chancellor of the Exchequer was

not allowed by the Chairman to reply by citing "more pertinent

illustrations"; the Prime Minister treated the suggestion that a

warning was needful as a reflection on the honour of the Civil Service,

and ultimately the reduction was negatived by 274 to 122.

The rising excitement of the Opposition was partly accounted for by

the increasing difficulties of the Government. The Finance Bill was

taken in Committee on July 1 and 2; but the Chancellor of the Exchequer

had already found that the course of his plans must be cleared and

their burden lightened by dropping its second part and putting the

additional grants to local authorities into the Revenue Bill. This

was announced in the House on June 29. On July 1 the President of the

Local Government Board moved an instruction empowering the Committee

to provide for amending the law relating to income tax (including

supertax), death duties, and the National Debt. This was intended

mainly to enable members to discuss grievances relating to the taxes

in question, but Mr. Cassel (U.) moved to extend it so as to empower

the Committee to deal with grievances affecting general taxation. The

Chancellor of the Exchequer, in a bitter speech, opposed this as an

obstructive manoeuvre; Mr. Austen Chamberlain, who described him as "a

bad loser," said that the amendment was designed to revert to the old

procedure of discussing grievances before imposing fresh taxation--a

procedure imperilled by the practice adopted in 1913 of dividing the

Finance Bill; for the second part of that Bill might be dropped, or

delayed too late for adequate discussion. Eventually, however, the

amendment was rejected by 271 to 185; another amendment moved by

Sir F. Banbury, excluding the National Debt from the purview of the

Committee--in order, he said, to prevent the reduction of the Sinking

Fund--was defeated also by 276 to 182. In Committee, amendments (1)

to graduate the tea duty _ad valorem_, and (2) to give a preference

of 1_d._ per lb. to tea grown in the British Empire, were rejected,

after discussion, by 241 to 130 and 258 to 165 respectively. On the

first, Mr. Snowden (Lab., _Blackburn_), speaking for the Labour party,

said that _ad valorem_ duties on tea were barred by insuperable

difficulties, and that, while his party disapproved of indirect

taxation, they would support the Bill as intended, broadly, to increase

direct taxation. On the second, the Attorney-General pointed out that

270,000,000 lb. of tea came from British India and Ceylon, 11,000,000

lb. from China and 31,000,000 lb. from other countries.

Next day (July 2) the Chancellor of the Exchequer moved an amendment

reducing the income tax from 1_s._ 4_d._ to 1_s._ 3_d._ (p. 130). He

explained that the alternative lay between taking off this additional

penny and reducing the older taxation. But the amount saved by

postponing the grants to local, authorities would not suffice to

relieve the death duties, or to take off the sugar duty, and the income

taxpayer, especially in the lower rates of income, deserved relief more

than the payer of supertax. The inconvenience of the change to bankers

had been greatly exaggerated, and, as soon as they had been officially

told to deduct 1_s._ 4_d._ on dividends till the House otherwise

ordered, the position became simple. The reduction was passed after a

long debate by 251 to 56. The Committee was resumed on July 13 after

the introduction of the guillotine (_post_, p. 146).

Meanwhile the debate on the second reading of the Amending Bill had

begun in the House of Lords on July 1. After a preliminary objection by

Lord Willoughby de Broke, that it proposed to amend a non-existent Act,

had been overruled by the Lord Chancellor, Lord Morley of Blackburn

moved the second reading. The Bill, he said, afforded a better solution

than Earl Grey's proposed Convention; had it not been introduced,

Home Rule would have been wrecked by the sectarian prejudice which

hampered the Union at its outset. The Government believed there could

be no better opportunity for discovering the common ground existing in

Parliament for attaining an effective peace in Ireland. The situation

in Ireland had a historic base for which neither party could escape

responsibility. As to exclusion, no part of Ulster was homogeneous. The

National Volunteers had dispelled the illusion that the masses in the

South and West of Ireland had lost their care for Home Rule. The danger

was that the constitutional agitation for self-government might give

place to the older methods of violence and disloyalty. He hoped the

House would have no hand in promoting the change.

The Marquess of Lansdowne described the Bill as a "freak Bill," fit

for a museum, and wholly inadequate to avert a calamity. Exclusion,

on its merits, had probably no friends at all; and the form of it

in the Bill was futile and vicious. It had been accepted by the

Nationalists only because they thought Ulster would refuse it; so

that the original proposal was insincere. The plan of voting by

counties was most unfortunate, for in some of the counties Roman

Catholics and Protestants were almost equal, and the voting would set

up a saturnalia of intimidation and corruption. The time limit was

vexatious and superfluous. After criticising in detail the system of

government for the excluded areas, he said that the Opposition would

not resist the second reading, but would move amendments in regard to

the area excluded, the duration of the exclusion, and the conditions of

government in the excluded area. But any revision of the Government of

Ireland Bill was hopeless, and they would not deal with minute points

of the Amending Bill, but leave the Government to make it "watertight."

They would be misrepresented and misunderstood, but failure of this

last effort might mean an irremediable misfortune to the country. When

Æneas descended to Hades, the final and most dread of all the spectres

he met was War. But they would support the second reading as that of

a makeshift emergency measure meant solely to gain time. The meshes

of the Parliament Act left them no other way, but, were a better way

offered, they would be ready to explore it. They fully recognised that

there was a great Irish problem, requiring to be handled with courage

and sympathy, and that they could not adopt a policy of mere negation

or destructive criticism.

Viscount Bryce, as an ex-Chief Secretary for Ireland, pointed out that

the Lord-Lieutenant would have to act on the advice of the British, not

the Irish Minister, and thought future Irish parties would be formed

on different lines. Personally he would have preferred to give certain

northern areas local autonomy, with an appeal to England against any

measure which they thought objectionable. He defended the provisions as

to exclusion, while admitting the great difficulty as to areas.

The Archbishop of York said that a general election would now give no

chance of a settlement; and he suggested a Statutory Commission in two

sections, to consider devolution from the point of view respectively

of Ireland and of the United Kingdom. They had suffered all along

from shortness of view; let Parliament stand aside and allow the

Irish people to come to an agreement. The chances, however, were not

propitious.

After other speeches, Lord Willoughby de Broke moved the rejection

of the Bill. The Home Rule Bill might never become an Act. The Irish

policy of the Government had broken down, and with it the Parliament

Act, and they were asking the despised House of Lords to help them

out. Nobody wanted the exclusion of Ulster, and to vote for it was to

support a Parliament in Dublin. He spoke strongly for the maintenance

of the Union. Lord Macdonnell urged that the problem might be solved by

proportional representation and Home Rule within Home Rule, rather than

by exclusion. Of later speakers, the Earl of Mayo, opposing the Bill,

did not believe in the danger of civil war.

The debate was resumed next day (July 2) by the Marquess of

Londonderry, who asked whether the Prime Minister would tell Mr.

Redmond that the Government would insist on the acceptance of the

far-reaching amendments invited by the Marquess of Crewe? If not, the

House had better reject the Bill. Lord Wimborne, in a vigorous speech,

charged the Unionist party with having exceeded their constitutional

rights in their opposition to Home Rule. The Government did not admit

any imperfection in their main Home Rule measure, nor their inability

to put it into operation. They were not asking for relief; they did

not believe that the provisional government that was contemplated was

practicable, or that the electors would tolerate it. They proposed

temporary exclusion only to enable passions to cool and apprehensions

to be allayed. The salvation of Ireland must be won in Ireland, and

he hoped all parties would work together for a solution. The Earl of

Dunraven said that the only solution was by conference. The essence

of the Amending Bill was apparently that Ireland must be governed by

Orders in Council. As the provisions of the Bill as to Customs and

Excise did not apply to the excluded areas, the confusion would be

inextricable and the administration impracticable. Still, he would vote

for the second reading in the hope that the Bill might be shaped into

something that would avert a catastrophe. Viscount Midleton condemned

the provocative character of Lord Wimborne's speech, and said that

they must hope that the Bill would avert civil war, but an election

must follow, and then both Bills must be revised. He asked that (1)

the minority should be assured impartial trials; (2) attention should

be given to the land question; (3) the graduation of taxes common to

Ireland and Great Britain should not be different in Ireland, and

provision should be made against the discriminating taxation of land.

Even so, the Opposition would not accept the Bill, but they would

pass it from patriotic motives. Lord Islington, a former Colonial

Governor, favoured a Commission of Inquiry to devise amendments along

with the passing of the two Bills. The Earl of Halsbury felt that

the Bill should be read a second time to avoid civil war, though he

would have naturally voted for its rejection. Lord Sydenham favoured

a Statutory Commission, or some other effort towards settlement by

Consent. Lord Courtney of Penwith said that unless the Nationalist

and Ulster leaders would consent to a Conference, a Royal Commission

would defer the solution under circumstances which gave no prospect of

eventual accomplishment. He pleaded for "Home Rule within Home Rule."

Among later speakers, the Duke of Abercorn (an Ulster Volunteer) said

the whole of Ulster would have to be excluded without a time limit,

and the Earl of Crawford, who described the Bill as "vague, nebulous,

and amorphous," said that the six years' limit was not a truce, but a

provocation, and the whole of Ulster must be excluded. The suggestion

of a statutory convention was too vague. The Earl of Denbigh, as a

Catholic Unionist, scouted the idea of religious persecution, but

opposed Home Rule as weakening Great Britain. He supported the Bill as

gaining time.

The debate was resumed and concluded on July 6. Viscount Milner

commented on the lukewarmness of the Ministerialists towards the

measure, and, while approving of a Conference as an entirely fresh

start towards solution, urged the Government to facilitate such a

fresh start by a general election or a referendum. The Amending Bill,

however, might be useful if it were so entirely remodelled as to

reassure the Ulstermen, and nothing would do that but a frank and

complete assurance at once that they would never be subjected to the

authority of an Irish Parliament and Executive without their own

consent. If Ulster remained free to decide, she might conceivably some

day join the rest of Ireland, but to conquer her would make a united

Ireland impossible, and, were the Army and Navy employed to do it, the

British Empire would not long survive the shock. The Amending Bill

was a temporary expedient which might tide over an interval of great

danger. He feared nothing could be done for the Unionist minority

in the South and West of Ireland, though he hoped for some relief

to them by proportional representation, and indirectly by inducing

the Nationalists to treat them well in order to attract Ulster. He

therefore supported the Bill. Earl Roberts said that to use the Army to

force the Home Rule Bill on Ulster would mean its utter destruction. He

denied absolutely that the Army had conspired with the Unionist party

to defeat the Home Rule Bill. The Army had no politics, but this was no

mere political crisis, but one which affected the roots of our national

existence. Following the example set by Viscount Wolseley in 1893, he

had warned the Government, and subsequently the Prime Minister, that

any attempt to use the military forces of the nation to coerce Ulster

would break and ruin the Army. Discipline, as in the British Army,

might override human nature under almost every imaginable circumstance,

but there was a stratum in every one which was impervious to it. The

solution must be taken in hand at once, and the consequences of delay

might be irreparable.

After several Irish Peers had either condemned or very reluctantly

accepted the Bill, Earl Curzon of Kedleston summed up against it. After

dwelling on the paradoxical character of the situation, he declared

that the debate had shown (1) that the Bill was forlorn and friendless,

and they were really discussing another and an undefined Bill; (2)

that exclusion was thoroughly unpopular, and was only considered as

a makeshift; but if it were to come, "better a clean cut than a cut

with ragged edges and festering lips." He looked forward to a reunited

Ireland, managing some portion of her local affairs, but subject to the

Crown; but that could only be accomplished by Irishmen themselves; (3)

the debate had shown that no ultimate settlement could be found but by

a Conference. An immediate Conference seemed impracticable and relief

had to be provided for the immediate emergency. The Amending Bill,

which he called a Peace Preservation Bill, and the Home Rule Bill,

would prove unworkable, and a Conference would have to come. Meanwhile,

did Ministers still propose to adhere to the impossible time-limit and

the even more impossible scheme of voting by counties?

The Marquess of Crewe, summing up for Ministers, replied to a number

of questions of detail raised in the debate. Bills not yet law had

been amended or repealed by other Bills in 1851 and 1907. As to

judicial proceedings, the parties to them in the excluded area were

safeguarded at all stages. For the excluded area an independent Land

Commission must be established. The question raised by Lord Midleton as

to income tax and supertax had no bearing on the exclusion of Ulster,

but the Government did not apprehend oppressive taxation by the Irish

Parliament. Customs and Excise were not mentioned because it was

felt that no splitting up of Ireland could be permanent. All serious

amendments would be considered, but what was called "looking facts in

the face" ignored the existence of Nationalist Ireland. Were Ulster

totally excluded, would the Opposition guarantee Ireland and Great

Britain against civil conflict? A Conference would be impossible if

it pre-supposed the scrapping of Liberal policy, but otherwise, if it

took place between leading Irishmen and were backed by strong public

opinion, it would be the best augury for some permanent arrangement.

The second reading was passed by 273 to 10.

The resumption of this debate had been preceded by tributes from the

leaders on both sides to the memory of the most conspicuous figure in

the Unionist party for the twenty years preceding 1906. Mr. Joseph

Chamberlain, disabled in that year by paralysis, had since then made

but few and brief public appearances, and on July 2 he had passed away

painlessly at his home at Highbury, near Birmingham. He was buried on

July 6 at the Key Hill Cemetery at Birmingham, after an impressive

funeral service at the Church of the Messiah (Unitarian), conducted,

at his own desire, by the Rev. Prof. Jacks of Manchester College,

Oxford. The church was filled with representatives of the City Council

and of local institutions and political associations; vast crowds

lined the streets, and messages of sympathy were sent from the King,

the King of Spain, the President of the French Chamber, the Dominions,

and all parts of the world. Meanwhile a memorial service, held at

St. Margaret's, Westminster, was attended by representatives of the

King, foreign Powers, and the Dominions, and by many members of the

Cabinet and the two Houses. In the House of Lords, three hours later,

the Marquess of Crewe spoke of Mr. Chamberlain's greatness alike

as a Colonial Secretary, as a debater, and as "the greatest civic

figure ever engaged in British politics," as well as of his "serene

family life "; the Marquess of Lansdowne bore witness to his merits

as a colleague and a leader, and Viscount Milner testified that Mr.

Chamberlain was "an incomparable chief." The House of Commons marked

the occasion by adjourning for the day, after the Prime Minister and

the actual and former leaders of the Opposition had paid their tributes

to the memory of a great Parliamentarian and promoter of the Empire.

The Prime Minister, analysing Mr. Chamberlain's Parliamentary career

and character, said that neutrality was impossible to a man of his

temperament and convictions. He was the pioneer of a new generation,

and a new type of personality in the House, introducing and perfecting

a new style of speaking, and giving the impression of complete and

serene command of his material and himself. The Prime Minister further

touched on Mr. Chamberlain's genuine sympathy for the victims of the

strain of social and industrial life, on the imaginative quality

that touched his ideals in the larger issues of national policy, on

his unsurpassed confidence and courage, and on his generosity as an

antagonist. It was fitting that within those walls, where the echoes

of his voice seemed still to linger, they should suspend for a few

hours the clash of controversy and join in acknowledging their common

debt to his life and example. Mr. Bonar Law expressed the gratitude of

the Opposition for Mr. Asquith's tribute. Mr. Chamberlain, he said,

was his hero when he entered Parliament, and had continued so, and he

described him as a great fighter and a great friend. Two principles

were at the basis of his political action--a desire to improve the

condition of the people, and an intense, perhaps almost aggressive,

national pride. He almost alone had changed the whole spirit of the

reciprocal relationship of different parts of the Empire, and had thus

laid strong the foundation on which others might build. Mr. Balfour

added his tribute, as one of the very few left who had served with Mr.

Chamberlain in Cabinets. The future historian, he thought, would think

of him mainly as an Imperial statesman. As Colonial Secretary he had

done the greatest work that had ever fallen to a statesman in Great

Britain. He had recognised that the Dominions must be treated with

absolute equality, and that there must be a bracing feeling of common

patriotism. He was a great idealist, a great friend, a great orator and

a great man.

This commemoration of a great Parliamentarian had secured a day's

intermission in party strife, but it broke out afresh on July 7, when

the Prime Minister moved that the remaining stages of the Finance

Bill should be limited to seven days. He pointed out that ten and a

half days had been spent already on various stages of the Budget,

and, under the Provisional Collection of Taxes Act, 1913, the Finance

Bill must become law on August 4, while standing orders required the

Estimates to be disposed of by August 5. Of the sixteen Parliamentary

days (omitting Fridays as not full days) available before August 5, six

and a half were needed to Supply, and seven given to the Finance Bill

would leave two and a half for contingencies. He reviewed the progress

made, promising a day and a half for the new clauses, and said that if

there were ever a Tariff Reform Budget, there would certainly have to

be an allocation of time for it. He would prefer that such allocations

should be the duty of an independent tribunal, and hinted that the

committee then sitting on procedure might make them so. Mr. Bonar Law

(U.) moved an amendment repudiating and condemning, as a dangerous

innovation, proposals for the curtailment of discussion on measures

tending to impose heavy burdens of new taxation. He pointed out that

the main business of the House was finance, and that a guillotine had

never before been imposed for the Finance Bill. The Government might

suspend the 11 o'clock rule, and use ordinary and kangaroo closure.

The Government had taken every precaution to ensure that they would be

short of time. The Chancellor of the Exchequer had despised the real

work of his office, and had used the Exchequer to help electioneering.

Several Liberals defended the proposal as necessary, though Mr.

Leif Jones (L., _Notts, Rushcliffe_) and, later, Mr. D. Mason (L.,

_Coventry_) spoke against it. The Chancellor of the Exchequer declared

that the experience of the Budget debates in 1909 showed that closure

was necessary. Other and more important Budgets, _e.g._, those of

1842 and 1860, had produced similar attacks on the Chancellor of the

Exchequer, and that of 1842 was only discussed for sixteen days. He

agreed, however, that better methods of examining the Budget might be

found. Mr. Balfour (U.) said that, while it was true that the art of

obstruction had been perfected, the difficulty arose mainly from the

fact that more members were able and eager to speak than formerly,

and that the constituencies watched them more. The Government should

have found a remedy long ago. With the guillotine, no Minister was

required to explain, or even to understand, his Bill. The amendment was

rejected, but only by 269 to 263, many Liberals abstaining, among them

the group who had followed Mr. Holt (L.) in objecting to the Budget

(p. 128). The majority of 269 contained but 181 Liberals, the rest

being Nationalist and Labour members. Various amendments involving an

extension of time were defeated that day and the next by majorities

varying from 79 to 124, and finally the motion was carried by 265 to

175 (July 9).

The rest of the week in the Commons was devoted to less contentious

business. On the Board of Trade Vote (July 9) the grievances alleged by

members concerned chiefly the mercantile marine, London traffic, and

the absence of official statistics in regard to agricultural wages,

which Mr. Peto (U., _Devizes_) demanded in order to facilitate a

correct judgment on the land controversy before the general election.

The President of the Board of Trade (Mr. Burns), in reply, promised

these statistics by January, which would be quite time enough for the

election. For the mercantile marine, he said, existing sight tests

must be maintained, for the safety of life at sea. As to health, he

had noticed that from 1891 to 1911 the death-rate in that calling fell

only from 4.9 to 4.7 per 1000, as compared with falls in the Navy

from 4.7 to 2 per 1000, in the Army from 9 to 3.6 per 1,000, and in

the civil population of ages corresponding to those in these callings

from 8 to 4.7 per 1000. This might be accounted for by the men coming

from a poorer class than formerly, or from an inferior class to those

represented by the Army, Navy, and industrial population. He had

appointed an expert Inquiry Committee. Much had been done, meanwhile,

to increase the number of cargo steamers having hospitals. He promised

closer inspection, preferring good administration to bad legislation.

The pending International Convention on timber deck loads would only

be frustrated if, as some members desired, questions as to other

deck loads were introduced. With London traffic the concern of the

Board of Trade was purely statistical and historical, but, with 600

people killed annually and 20,000 injured, something must be done. He

would report the views expressed to the Prime Minister. After further

discussion, the Vote was agreed to.

The debate on the Foreign Office Vote (p. 137) was continued next day

(July 10), according to promise. A number of questions were raised

by various members on both sides; and Mr. Bonar Law introduced a

party note by scornfully remarking that the Foreign Secretary had

been lectured on the duty of keeping peace throughout the world, when

his ability to do so at home was doubtful. Sir E. Grey ignored this

taunt, and after commenting on the vast amount expected from the

Foreign Office by members, replied specifically on the points raised.

He repelled the charge of inaction as to railway concessions in Asia

Minor and China; he had much rather that concessions should be given

willingly than obtained under pressure. He believed that under the new

agreement as to navigation on the Euphrates and Tigris the British

position would be better and more secure. He was not in favour of

securing the survey of the Muhamrah-Khoramabad railway by force, or of

pushing British trade or concessions at excessive cost. As to the oil

concession the British position was the same as in regard to trade in

Southern Persia. After dealing hopefully with a pending arrangement

regarding Chinese railway concessions, with the Portuguese West African

labour question, and other matters, and specially acknowledging the

release by the Portuguese Government of nearly all its political

prisoners after a popular agitation in Great Britain, he mentioned

that the Dutch Government had just invited Great Britain to send a

representative to an International Committee in June, 1915, to draw up

a programme for the Hague Conference. As to expenditure on armaments,

direct suggestion of reduction was resented on the Continent, and

neither it nor the improvement of the relations of the Great Powers

had produced much result. Great Britain was not responsible for the

increase, the most notable part of which had been military, not naval.

He saw no remedy except the interference of public opinion when things

became intolerable. The Government would do its best to encourage

reduction, but not by direct suggestion. He looked rather to the

promotion of good relations with other Powers. After a speech by Mr.

Dillon the Vote was agreed to.

In the intervals between dealing with the Amending Bill the House of

Lords disposed (on June 30 and July 7) of the Council of India Bill,

a measure attributed (though inaccurately) mainly to Mr. Montagu,

late Under-Secretary for India, and carrying out the developments of

Liberal policy indicated in 1913 (A.R., 1913, p. 187 _seq._). The

salient feature was that the Council of the Secretary of State for

India, which was now to contain from seven to ten members instead of

from ten to fourteen, must always include two natives of India, to

be chosen by the Secretary of State from a panel nominated by the

Indian elective members of the Viceroy's Council and the Provincial

Legislative Councils. Changes were also made in the working rules

of the Council, partly to expedite its business, and one, which was

severely criticised, provided that it should meet not, as heretofore,

weekly, but only when summoned by the Secretary of State. The actual

rules of procedure were extremely cumbrous, and it appeared from

Ministerial statements made in the debate that it took nearly a month

to get the most ordinary piece of business through the Council, and

that in fact the Secretary had often, for practical purposes, to come

very near evading the law. The Bill had been supported by a deputation

from the Indian National Congress, though some organs of native

opinion held that the elective provisions did not go far enough. It

was strongly opposed both in _The Times_ and by Peers with Indian

experience, including Lords Ampthill and Harris; and Earl Curzon of

Kedleston moved its rejection, as diminishing that element in the

Council that possessed administrative experience, rendering procedure

by Committees impossible, and making the Secretary of State into an

autocrat. The presence of Indian members he thought entirely desirable,

but the methods of selection would bring in platform speakers rather

than competent advisers on questions of administration. The opposition

to the Bill had gathered force by the second day's debate (July 7) when

it was strongly defended by Lord Morley of Blackburn, and Lord Reay,

and opposed no less strongly by Lords Ampthill, Harris, and Sydenham,

Earl Roberts, and Viscount Midleton, while Lord Faber commended its

proposals for simplifying financial business, and other Peers urged

the House at least to give it a second reading. Lord Courtney of

Penwith had desired to refer it to a Select Committee, but in spite of

these arguments, and an able defence by the Marquess of Crewe, it was

rejected on second reading by 96 to 38.

Next day (July 8) the Lords proceeded completely to transform the

Amending Bill. They struck out, by 158 to 35, the provision that any

county in Ulster might vote itself out of the Home Rule Scheme for six

years, the Earl of Selborne, who moved this deletion, laying stress on

various complications which the provision would set up, and explaining

that, as an advocate of the Referendum, he desired that it should not

be associated with an experiment that could only end in disaster; and

Lord Killanin said that if no time-limit were imposed, Ulster would be

free to come in voluntarily. Next, the House rejected, by 196 to 20,

Lord Macdonnell's scheme for establishing in Ulster "Home Rule within

Home Rule," in the form of local administrative control through an

Ulster Council elected by proportional representation. To this Council

would be transferred the Departments concerned with education, local

government, and agriculture and technical instruction, and possibly

portions of others. The expenses incurred by the Ulster Council would

be provided by the Irish Parliament, or, in default, deducted from the

transferred sum by the Joint Exchequer Board. The Marquess of Crewe

said that the proposal would be rejected by the various parties to

the controversy; Earl Loreburn, Lord Courtney of Penwith, and, later,

Viscount Bryce supported it; the Lord Chancellor, while admitting that

the exclusion of Ulster was a most unfortunate solution, said that

the Government only proposed it because the Opposition were deaf to

all appeals. The latter were forcing the country into proximity to a

great danger. They hoped soon to take office, but had no clear idea how

they would deal with the situation.' To this Earl Curzon of Kedleston

retorted that they at any rate had a consistent policy and would not

flinch from the issue. After this division the Marquess of Lansdowne

moved an amendment permanently excluding the whole of Ulster from

the operation of the Home Rule Bill, advocating this course as the

most likely way to avert a conflict, though the Opposition could not

guarantee that it would do so. The Archbishop of Canterbury thought

that a division based on religious differences was the worst possible,

and that only a geographical division was practicable. Lord Macdonnell

protested strongly against the exclusion of Cavan, Donegal, and

Monaghan from the control of the Irish Parliament, but the amendment

was passed by 138 to 39. Among other amendments passed one substituted

a Secretary of State for the Lord-Lieutenant as the executive authority

in the excluded area. Another reduced the representation of Ireland in

the Imperial House of Commons from 42 members to 27. A third, moved

by the Earl of Halsbury, continued the existing method of judicial

appointments and of appeal, to the House of Lords instead of to the

Judicial Committee of the Privy Council as provided in the Bill. This

was supported next day by several Unionist Peers, the Earl of Desart

urging that under Home Rule one party would be permanently in power,

that the Judges would therefore be under special pressure, and that

attacks on a Judge would probably have the sympathy of the Irish

Parliament. The Marquess of Crewe urged that the amendment would be a

slight on the Irish Government; the Marquess of Lansdowne supported

it, partly as tending to reassure the Unionists outside Ulster. It

was passed by 166 to 42. An amendment by Lord Macdonnell, making the

administration of the Land Purchase Acts a reserved service, was

next adopted. The Marquess of Lansdowne supported it, but explained

that the Opposition had limited themselves to framing amendments to

the provisions intended to avert civil strife, and had, therefore,

abstained from attempting to protect minorities outside Ulster. The

Marquess of Crewe intimated that, if the Bill were altered after

discussion between the Houses, the alteration need not be confined

to Ulster. Lord Macdonnell then proposed a scheme for proportional

representation in the Irish Parliament; but the question, after debate,

was deferred to the Report Stage. Some other amendments were negatived;

one, moved by the Earl of Kenmare, was passed, keeping the Royal Irish

Constabulary under the Imperial Government; and a new clause, moved

by the Earl of Selborne, provided that nothing in the Home Rule Bill

should prejudicially alter or affect the powers and rights of any

person in the excluded area.

Meanwhile the Labour and suffragist disturbances continued to promise

fresh complications. The London builders' dispute had resisted all

attempts at settlement; and a strike similar to those which had caused

the dispute arose at Woolwich Arsenal (July 3), where an engineer

in the Carriage Department refused to erect machinery on a concrete

base prepared by a non-unionist. At first only the men in certain

departments were called out, but by July 6 over 10,000 had ceased work.

On July 7, however, the Prime Minister stated in the House that the

contract under which the base had been laid ran from 1912 to 1915,

that no question as to non-union labour under it had been raised

previously, and that the men had left work without notice. A Court of

Inquiry, however, was appointed--two representative employers, two

trade unionists, and Sir George Askwith as Chairman, and on July 9 the

men returned to work.

Though this fresh extension of the Labour unrest was happily checked,

the Suffragist militancy which was gradually estranging public sympathy

did not abate. On July 3, Ballymenoch House, near Belfast, was burnt,

the damage done being estimated at 20,000_l._; an attempt was also

made to burn Carmichael Church, Lanark, and on July 9 to destroy

Robert Burns's birthplace at Alloway. A day earlier Mrs. Pankhurst

had recovered sufficiently to visit the militant headquarters, and

to submit to rearrest as the prelude of her ninth hunger-and-thirst

strike; and two women (whose behaviour in court was disorderly) had

been convicted of conspiracy to destroy windows, and sentenced to three

months' imprisonment, while a sentence of two months had been passed

on the printer of the _Suffragette_. The King's visit to Scotland had

occasioned futile and fatuous attempts to gain the Royal attention

by throwing leaflets into the carriage or shouting protests (during

his visit to the Clyde) through a megaphone; and on Mrs. Pankhurst's

arrest, a bomb was deposited in St. John the Evangelist Church,

Westminster (July 12); the depositor, however, was arrested, and no

harm was done. Nevertheless there was a strong feeling that the true

remedy for the agitation had not been found, and it was intensified by

the publication of a letter from the Bishop of London (_Times_, July

5), in which, however, he disclaimed support of militancy. But two

real successes were obtained by the promoters of the "emancipation"

of women. On July 9 the Representative Church Council of the Church

of England (consisting of the members of the Convocations and the

Houses of Laymen of the two Provinces) decided by a large majority of

clergy and a small one of laymen to give women votes in the elections

of Church Councils and enable them to sit on parochial councils; and

on June 17 deputations from societies connected with the protection

of women and children obtained from the Home Office a promise of

favourable consideration of the appointment, for special duties, of

women police.

While all these causes seemed tending to set up a great crisis, the

King and Queen, with Princess Mary, had been spending a busy week

in Scotland (July 6-13). Making Holyrood Palace their headquarters,

they paid a state visit to Glasgow (July 7) where the King laid the

foundation-stone of the new Municipal Buildings, opened a new block at

the Royal Infirmary, and were received at the University; next day they

visited the Fairfield shipbuilding yard at Govan, where His Majesty

walked underneath the hull of the super-Dreadnought _Valiant_, in

course of construction, and visited H.M.S, _Benbow_, completing; the

day following they witnessed the stages of manufacture of the 15-inch

gun at Parkhead Steel Works, visited Lord Newlands (who marked the

occasion by giving 25,000_l._ to the Western Infirmary) and the Duke of

Hamilton; next day they visited Dundee and Perth, and on the Saturday

Dunblane Cathedral, Stirling Castle, and the ruined ancient palace

of Linlithgow. On the Sunday they attended service at St. Giles's

Cathedral, Edinburgh, and on Monday returned to London. Everywhere

they were enthusiastically welcomed, and, save for the few futile

militant interruptions, the visit was an entire success. The King, as

the _Spectator_ remarked, was enabled by these visits to know his own

country better than the best informed of his subjects.

However, less pleasant matters were soon to engage His Majesty's

attention. The "historic Twelfth" was approaching, in Ulster; the

Ulster Unionist Council was to take the opportunity of meeting (July

10); and on the previous day Captain Craig, M.P., made a statement, in

the course of which he read the preamble to the Constitution of the

Ulster Provisional Government. This document declared that, trusting to

Divine aid, the signatories, "the people of the counties and places of

Ulster represented in the Ulster Unionist Council," undertook to resist

to the utmost the claims of an Irish Nationalist Government to exercise

powers over them hitherto exercised by the Crown and the Imperial

Parliament, and resolved to ignore the Irish Parliament, and to assume

and exercise within the Ulster area, pending the restoration of direct

Imperial Government, all powers rendered necessary by the withdrawal

of such Government for the maintenance of peace and order and the

protection of the rights and liberties of His Majesty's subjects; but

such powers were to be exercised in allegiance to the King and in

trust for the Constitution, to the intent that the Ulster area should

continue an integral portion thereof. The laws in force, other than the

Home Rule Act, would be maintained and all judges and others acting

under the direct authority of the King protected. After contrasting the

aims of the Nationalist and of the Ulster leaders, Captain Craig added

that the outlook was as dark as it could be. This view was emphasised

by the landing of machine guns for the Ulstermen, and of consignments

of arms for both sides, and by the announcement that "rest stations"

were being arranged in England for Ulster refugee women and children,

at Eaton Hall and elsewhere; while the National Volunteers were stated

to number 200,000. On July 10 Sir Edward Carson had an enthusiastic

welcome at Belfast, and he and Mr. Long, addressing a meeting of Ulster

delegates, left the impression that the moment of supreme crisis was

at hand. Possibly through the confidence of the rank and file in their

leaders, the celebrations of the Boyne anniversary on Monday, July

13, though more numerously attended than ever, passed off without

disturbance. Seventy thousand men marched from Belfast to Drumbeg,

where Sir Edward Carson again emphasised Ulster's determination to

resist; "Give us a clean cut," he said, "or come and fight us."

Liberal journals stated that Lord Northcliffe's newspapers, in

particular _The Times_ and the _Daily Mail_, were making the most of

these demonstrations by means of a host of special correspondents

and photographers, and an important Unionist paper, the _Birmingham

Daily Post_, also thought the alarm exaggerated. But the House of

Lords increased the impression already produced by its treatment of

the Amending Bill. The Report Stage was disposed of on July 13. An

amendment was negatived which was proposed by Lord Weardale, modifying

the provision for the exclusion of Ulster by enabling a poll to be

taken on the question upon a requisition from 10 per cent. of the

electors in any four counties; and then Lord Macdonnell renewed in a

simplified form his proposal for proportional representation, by moving

that each constituency in the Irish Parliament should return not less

than three members. He advocated this in the interest of the Unionists

outside Ulster. Viscount St. Aldwyn supported this scheme; Viscount

Bryce held that it was a corollary to the exclusion of Ulster; but the

Marquess of Crewe objected to making the Irish Parliament a _corpus

vile_ for experiment, and Viscount Morley of Blackburn doubted if Irish

peasants would understand the "single transferable vote." On a division

being challenged, the leaders on both sides abstained; and no "Not

Contents" appeared. The amendment, therefore, was declared carried.

On the third reading next day, the Marquess of Crewe pointed out

that the exclusion of Ulster raised, in a new form, the difficulty

of governing Irish Nationalists from Great Britain, which had been

somewhat masked by the concessions of certain Unionist Ministers in

the past to Irish ideas. He reminded the House that the Irish Councils

Bill of 1907 was accepted reluctantly by the Nationalist leaders, but

rejected by their followers, and hinted that legislation could not

depend solely on the legislators; politics were not a game of chess.

The Marquess of Lansdowne, reviewing the Bill as amended, declared

that the coercion of Ulster was dead. Lord Joicey, as a Liberal Peer,

protested against the refusal of the Government to assist in altering

the Bill. But the interest of the debate lay mainly in a new clause

moved by the Earl of Dunraven, after the Bill had been read a third

time without a division, providing that the Home Rule Act might be

suspended by Order in Council until a Commission had reported on the

relation of Ireland to other parts of the United Kingdom. He desired,

he said, to avoid "the horror of the dismemberment of Ireland,"

ensure a stable peace, and indicate the line of a future final and

satisfactory settlement. Viscount Morley opposed the amendment as

against the whole spirit of the Constitution, and treated, the action

of the Peers as only an elaborate way of rejecting the Home Rule Bill.

The Archbishop of York and Lord Ribblesdale supported the amendment;

Earl Beauchamp indicated that, while the Government could not accept

a Statutory Commission, they would, if there were any desire for it,

agree to a voluntary conference. The Marquess of Lansdowne held it

undesirable to put the Constitution in the melting-pot on the chance

of getting Ministers out of a purely domestic difficulty in Ireland,

and refused to accept the amendment as a substitute for the Unionist

demands; were they conceded, an inquiry might be of advantage. The

clause was then added to the Bill without a division.

Thus the main changes in the Home Rule scheme effected by the Bill

were as follows: Ulster was entirely and permanently excluded from

the Home Rule scheme, and was to be administered by a Secretary of

State through offices and departments different from those exercising

authority under the Home Rule Bill, and set up by Order in Council,

subject to the acquiescence of both Houses of the Imperial Parliament.

Ulster would continue to send members to the Imperial Parliament, in

which Irish representation would be reduced to twenty-seven. Judges

would be appointed as under the existing system, and the appeal from

Irish courts to the House of Lords would continue. Land purchase

would be reserved, so would the Royal Irish Constabulary, and the

Lord-Lieutenant would control the Dublin metropolitan police.

The House of Lords next day continued its protest against the

Parliament Act by rejecting (July 15) the Plural Voting Bill. The

debate was, however, languid. The Marquess of Crewe, in moving the

second reading, hoped that the inherent impropriety of plural voting

would have in any case led Ministers to introduce the measure; the

party advantage it gave was, in fact, only occasional, and unknown

before 1884. He repeated the promise (p. 84) of a Redistribution

Commission. Lord St. Audries said that such promises were idle; the

general election would come as a thief in the night, and would find

the Redistribution Bill in bed. In fact, most plural voters had but

two votes, one for their residence and one for their place of business

or their University, and agriculture, commerce, and industry should be

adequately represented. Lord Newton traced indirectly to the Bill the

militants' agitation, stimulated by the juggling over the Franchise

Bill in 1913, and the Irish crisis, as the general election was being

postponed till the plural voter was abolished. Earl Grey held that the

Bill aggravated the existing inequality of representation. The Marquess

of Lansdowne said that the debate was unreal. The authority of the

Government in the country was waning, and they hoped the Bill would

save something out of the wreck. The second reading was postponed by

119 to 49.

This division, of course, meant little; and it was clear that the

Government and the majority of the Commons would not accept the

Lords' transformation of the Amending Bill. But the division on the

guillotining of the Finance Act had left the Government weaker, and

they had been compelled to strain their supporters' patience by

announcing a new session "in the early winter" after a Prorogation

in August, to enable the essential provisions of the Revenue Bill

to be carried in time for the insertion of the grants to the local

authorities in the next Estimates. Before the Prorogation they would

take the Amending Bill, the Indian Budget, and the resolutions on the

Reform of the House of Lords.

For the moment, they proceeded with the Committee stage of the Finance

Bill (July 13, 14, 15, 16), but only a brief notice of a few features

of it is possible here. An amendment moved by Mr. Worthington Evans

(U., _Colchester_) to allow a payer of supertax to deduct the duties on

mineral rights and undeveloped land from his sources of income, on the

ground that he would otherwise be paying part of his tax twice over,

was defeated by 257 to 115, the Chancellor of the Exchequer rejecting

his arguments; and he was also unsuccessful in his opposition to the

provisions regarding income tax in respect of property abroad, which he

contended would be ineffective as well as unfair. He outlined, indeed,

an ingenious method of evasion, and contended that it was unjust to tax

income which never reached Great Britain, but was reinvested abroad,

as also income already taxed in the country of its origin. From both

sides of the House the unfairness of the provisions was insisted on;

and an amendment moved by the Chancellor of the Exchequer, intended to

afford some relief to insurance companies and others who had habitually

invested abroad the proceeds of their foreign investments, was carried

by 280 to 190. Next day (July 14) on the clause altering the estate

duties (p. 95) the usual complaints were made of the incidence of

the death duties on large estates, especially agricultural estates;

and Sir A. Henderson (U., _St. George's, Hanover Square_) declared

that the necessity of selling stock to meet them was one cause of the

fall in Stock Exchange securities, which he estimated as aggregating

over 1,000,000,000_l._ since 1909. The critics were reinforced by Mr.

Balfour (U.) who contended that the tax came out of capital, and might

thus decrease employment suddenly where the estate was that of a great

landlord or manufacturer; besides, it was diminishing the national

emergency reserve. The Chancellor of the Exchequer replied that the

money had to be found, and savings were diminished whether it was

raised by death duties or by income tax; if expenditure on defence,

education, or public health were inadequate, securities would then

depreciate also. The fall in them had been heavier abroad, and also at

home before 1905. Some of the burden must come out of capital; Germany

got it thus, but from the living. The clause was passed by 301 to 207.

On the clause abolishing settlement duty and relief in respect of

settled property (p. 95), an attempt was made by Mr. Cassel (U., _St.

Pancras_) to prevent its retrospective application where estate duty

had been paid before the passing of the Bill. The Chancellor of the

Exchequer, invoking the example of Pitt, contended that each generation

had a right to adjust its own taxation. Members on both sides strongly

condemned the clause, Mr. Bonar Law citing as a parallel Mr. Larkin's

"To hell with contracts" (A.R., 1913, p. 208). The Solicitor-General

said that the Government proposed, first, that the full settlement

estate duty that had been paid should be repaid; next, that during the

whole of the period over which that duty failed to frank the estate

interest should be allowed on the amount. He contended that it was a

fair equivalent. The amendment was rejected by 297 to 208, and the

clause passed by 295 to 204.

The following day (July 15) attempts were vainly made to extend the

relief in cases of quick succession to property where it consisted of

land or a business, first, by removing this limitation so as to take

in personalty, next, by extending the five years' interval allowed

between payments of the entire estate duty to fifteen. The former

the Chancellor of the Exchequer found too costly; the latter was

rejected on a division by 297 to 175. An attempt by Sir F. Banbury

(U.) to prevent the reduction of the annual charge for diminution of

the National Debt from 24,500,000_l._ to 23,500,000_l._ (p. 95) was

rejected, after a long discussion, by 281 to 176. The Chancellor of

the Exchequer said that, while the greatest previous reduction of the

Debt--Mr. Goschen's--had been 39,000,000_l._ in six years the Liberal

Government had effected a reduction of 103,000,000_l._ The retort was

made, of course, that it had also increased expenditure permanently by

40,000,000_l._ annually, and some of the money, it was contended, was

wasted--on the land valuation and payment of members, for instance.

Next, the relief to be given to married persons in respect of income

tax was challenged as inadequate by Mr. Cassel (U.) and other members.

A new clause in the Bill provided that income tax and supertax should

be assessed, charged, and recovered on the incomes of husband and wife

separately, as if they were not married. This met two grievances--that

the husband was called on to pay tax on his wife's income, but could

not recover it from her (A.R., 1913, p. 224), and that the wife could

not make a return or claim abatement; but it did not meet a third and

far more general grievance--that their two incomes were still added

together and treated as one, so that they paid more than two persons

with equal incomes living together unmarried. The Chancellor of the

Exchequer argued against any concession on this head, but agreed that

there should be special exemption for married people, and the clause

was adopted. Next day, however, attempts were made so to amend it as

to modify or relieve this grievance. An amendment providing that the

separate incomes of husband and wife should be treated as one for

purposes of exemption or abatement only when they together exceeded

500_l._ was rejected by 267 to 139, partly as involving too great a

sacrifice of revenue; another, preventing a husband's goods from being

liable for distraint for his wife's income, was also rejected by 271

to 166. A new clause providing that private firms, like companies,

should not be taxed on profits made abroad, was criticised as enabling

such firms to escape taxation by transferring their business abroad.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer admitted this was done already, but

not often enough to make it worth while to stop it, and the clause

was adopted by 225 to 95. Another amendment, providing for deductions

in respect of inherently wasting assets, was rejected by 208 to 113,

and, after the rejection of other amendments, the Committee stage was

completed under the guillotine.

Next day the usual "Massacre of the Innocents" took place, but

subsequent events so increased the numbers that the list need hardly

be given here. In the evening the Chancellor of the Exchequer dealt

with the situation at the annual Lord Mayor's dinner to bankers and

merchants at the Mansion House. A quieter period of trade, he said,

was opening; but in twenty years the international commerce of the

country had doubled, the clearances of the London banks had trebled;

in 1914, 160,000,000_l._ of new capital had been issued in London, as

against 125,000,000_l._ in 1913. Trade depressions were now shorter,

and there were healthy signs. He referred to the great progress set

up by British capital, comparing its effect to irrigation in the

Sudan; and he mentioned that in fifty years 3,700,000,000_l._ of

British capital had been advanced for development, though in war

and war preparations the world's expenditure during the past ten

years had been 4,500,000,000_l._ He looked to finance to arrest this

"creeping catastrophe." But peace was needed at home also; there was

the industrial crisis, as to which he was hopeful, and the Irish

crisis, and the two together would set up the gravest situation Great

Britain had had to face for centuries. It was, the duty, therefore, of

responsible men of all parties to work for peace.

But the Irish crisis was approaching a climax. The Amending Bill, as

transformed by the Lords, was to be taken in the Commons on Monday,

July 20; it was certain that it would be accepted neither by the

Nationalists nor by Ministers; but a minority in the Cabinet, said

to number four out of nineteen, were alleged to favour concessions

to Ulster beyond those originally embodied in the Bill. Conferences

between the different leaders were held informally, and on July 17 the

Cabinet met twice, A great naval display had been arranged at Spithead

on the occasion of the test mobilisation; the King was to leave London

to review the Fleet at 9.30 A.M. on Saturday, July 18; but he was

detained till the afternoon, and various communications passed in the

morning between him and the Prime Minister. The two, however, travelled

together to Portsmouth, where the most powerful Fleet ever assembled,

numbering some 200 vessels in all, was drawn up in eight lines,

extending over some twenty-two miles altogether, and manned by some

70,000 officers and men. The forces afloat were supplemented by five

squadrons of four seaplanes each, with a squadron of eight aeroplanes,

and four airships. The King was able to witness the illumination of

the Fleet on Saturday evening; on Sunday he visited some of the ships

informally; on Monday the ships moved to sea past the Royal yacht, as

did a procession of aircraft, and, after witnessing tactical exercises,

the King returned to London late on Monday evening. The display and

assemblage proved to have an unforeseen value.

The curtailment of the King's visit was explained by the momentous

revelation made by _The Times_ on Monday morning, July 20, that His

Majesty had issued invitations for the following day to a Conference

on the Ulster question at Buckingham Palace, consisting of two

members each from the Government, the Opposition, the Nationalists

and the Ulster Covenanters. This step was believed to have been

initiated by the King, but taken with the knowledge and consent of

the Ministry, though without previous consultation with the leaders

of the Nationalists or of either the British or Ulster section of the

Opposition. The Prime Minister and the Chancellor of the Exchequer

would represent the Ministry; the Marquess of Lansdowne and Mr. Bonar

Law the Unionists of Great Britain; Mr. John Redmond and Mr. Dillon

the Nationalists; Sir Edward Carson and Captain Craig the Ulstermen.

It was rumoured that the Government, though not prepared to accept the

transformed Amending Bill, had virtually abandoned the time-limit, and

were ready to exclude from the operation of the Home Rule Act not only

Armagh, Down, Derry, and Monaghan, but parts of Fermanagh and Tyrone.

The dispute now centred, therefore, on the question whether parts of

these latter counties should be excluded or the whole.

The Amending Bill was postponed pending the Conferences; and the

Prime Minister in announcing the postponement (July 20) repeated the

statement of _The Times_, adding that the Speaker would preside. Mr.

Bonar Law announced that the Opposition leaders had "loyally accepted"

the King's command; Mr. Redmond, while disclaiming responsibility for

the calling of the Conference, said that he had "of course accepted"

likewise. Mr. Ginnell (I.N., _Westmeath, N._) asked, as an independent

Irish Nationalist, what authority the Prime Minister had to advise

the King to place himself at the head of a conspiracy to defeat the

decision of the House; but Mr. Asquith and the Speaker ignored the

question. In the House of Lords, Lord Courtney of Penwith asked

for assurances that the Government took the responsibility for the

Conference, and that the final decision would rest with Parliament; and

the Marquess of Crewe made a satisfactory reply.

The action of _The Times_ was severely criticised, as tending to

jeopardise the success of the Conference; but its information, as

the Prime Minister assured the House, was not derived from official

quarters, and seemed to have been obtained by inference from the

movements of Ministers and of the King. The Conference itself was

received with misgiving by the Nationalists, the Labour party, and a

section of the Liberals, the first named feeling that they could not

go much further in concession, the two others suspecting that the

King had initiated it, and in so doing had exceeded the limits set by

constitutional usage to the powers of the Crown. It had been rumoured

that the King had intimated that he would not sign the Home Rule Bill

except in conjunction with an Amending Bill; so that the Unionists

need only make the Amending Bill impossible to ensure a crisis,

ending probably in the dismissal of Ministers and a general election.

The _Daily News_ called the Conference "a Royal _coup d'état_"; the

Labour party's views were expressed by Mr. J. H. Thomas (_Derby_)

in his constituency on July 21. He objected to it as a deliberate

attempt to defeat the Parliament Act, and also because two rebels had

been invited to take part; Labour leaders who had used such language

would have been arraigned at the Old Bailey. Liberal feeling was

manifested at a meeting of members on that day, summoned in order to

express anxiety for the supremacy of Parliament; but a more moderate

resolution was passed, declaring that the party was determined to stand

by the Nationalists, and that the Government should not appeal to the

constituencies before completing the whole of its programme under the

Parliament Act.

The misgivings of the Liberals were heightened by the speech with which

the King opened the Conference at Buckingham Palace at 11.30 A.M. on

Tuesday, July 21. It was as follows:--

GENTLEMEN,--It is with feelings of satisfaction and hopefulness

that I receive you here to-day, and I thank you for the manner in

which you have responded to my summons. It is also a matter of

congratulation that the Speaker has consented to preside over your

meetings.

My intervention at this moment may be regarded as a new departure.

But the exceptional circumstances under which you are brought

together justify my action. For months we have watched with

deep misgivings the course of events in Ireland. The trend has

been surely and steadily towards an appeal to force, and to-day

the cry of civil war is on the lips of the most responsible and

sober-minded of my people.

We have in the past endeavoured to act as a civilising example to

the world, and to me it is unthinkable, as it must be to you, that

we should be brought to the brink of fratricidal strife upon issues

apparently so capable of adjustment as those you are now asked

to consider, if handled in a spirit of generous compromise. My

apprehension in contemplating such a dire calamity is intensified

by my feelings of attachment to Ireland, and of sympathy with her

people, who have always welcomed me with warm-hearted affection.

Gentlemen, you represent in one form or another the vast majority

of my subjects at home. You also have a deep interest in my

Dominions oversea, who are scarcely less concerned in a prompt and

friendly settlement of this question. I regard you, then, in this

matter as trustees for the honour and peace of all.

Your responsibilities are, indeed, great. The time is short.

You will, I know, employ it to the fullest advantage, and be

patient, earnest, and conciliatory, in view of the magnitude of

the interests at stake. I pray that God in His infinite wisdom may

guide your deliberations so that they may result in the joy of

peace and honourable settlement.

Unfortunately, the "responsible and sober-minded persons" referred to

were taken by the _Westminster Gazette_ (and many readers) to be the

Ulstermen and their aiders and abetters; and the _Manchester Guardian_

feared that the King had been "unduly alarmed by the reports of

certain of his unofficial counsellors," with consequences that might

be serious (for the Constitution) unless he henceforth listened to his

official advisers only. Unionist papers pointed out that a host of

prominent people, independent of party politics, had talked of civil

war, and the Prime Minister, in reply to questions, expressly took the

responsibility for the speech, and interpreted His Majesty's words

as meaning merely that apprehension of civil strife had been widely

entertained and expressed by responsible and sober-minded persons,

"among whom I may, perhaps, include myself." The House laughed, but the

Liberal objectors were not wholly satisfied. There was some resentment

felt, too, at the selection of Buckingham Palace for the Conference.

But this, at least, protected the members from journalistic enterprise.

While the Conference was sitting the House of Commons took, among

other business, the Report stage of the Finance Bill; but the minds of

members were mainly elsewhere. Among the unsuccessful attempts made

to obtain alleviations of the income-tax law we may mention proposals

(_a_) to exempt lands and property occupied by any charity, which was

asked for especially in the interest of residential hostels at the

newer Universities; (_b_) treating income arising from capital earned

by the recipient as unearned income; (_c_) providing that income from

British Colonial investments should be assessed to income-tax and

supertax after deduction of any Colonial income-tax; (_d_) providing

for deduction from the taxed income of sums spent in the education of

children; making provision for the case of insurance against death

duties; (_e_) exempting income neither taxed nor received in the United

Kingdom. Some slight concessions, however, were made by the Government;

but a fresh attempt to avert the abolition of the settled estate duty

was also unsuccessful. On the first day, complaints were made of the

absence of the Chancellor of the Exchequer; but, on his arrival, he

explained that he was detained by a duty not of his own seeking, but

which he had no option but to accept.

The debates were cut short by the guillotine, and the third reading

followed on July 23. Mr. Austen Chamberlain remarked on the change in

the character of the Bill, and regretted the increase of the death

duties, the treatment of settled estates, and the raiding of the

Sinking Fund. As to the effect, welcomed by the Chancellor of the

Exchequer, in breaking up landed estates, he desired to see many more

small estates, especially occupying ownerships, but he thought the

effect would be felt rather by those of moderate size than by the

great ones; estates would be starved, and the taxpayers would feel

themselves unjustly treated, and attempt evasion. The Chancellor of the

Exchequer was eminently fair when doing business, but, when convinced

that he could not afford to give way, he mis-stated his opponent's

case, and showed himself a master in irrelevancy. The new arrangements

affecting the Finance Bill deprived the House of its control of

finance, and took away its opportunity of reviewing the whole field of

taxation. He laid stress on the growth of expenditure, and predicted

that the Chancellor of the Exchequer would himself convert the country

to fiscal reform. The President of the Local Government Board replied

that the Bill had set up a better graduation of the income-tax system,

including supertax; out of 1,215,000 income-tax payers 214,000 still

paid virtually less than 1_d._ in the pound, and 750,000 less than

6_d._ As to the provision for reduction of debt, he doubted whether

the taxpayer was not being asked for too much. The Liberal Budgets

marked a new departure in finance--a march against preventable

poverty. After other speeches, the Chancellor of the Exchequer said

that the new proposals had been fully discussed, and the Opposition

had had difficulty in finding speakers. The changes in the Bill were

a proof that the Commons still controlled finance. He defended the

death duties, and thought that the financial interests of the world

were feeling alarm at the total expenditure of 350,000,000_l._ a year

on armaments; he saw signs of reaction, but the movement must be

cosmopolitan. It was a duty to raise money for social reform. After

further debate, the Bill was passed without a division.

The Conference meanwhile had failed. It met on four successive days

(July 21-24), beginning at 11.30 A.M., and closing at 12.30 or 1

P.M.; and there were latterly frequent consultations between various

political leaders. A large and attentive crowd, mainly, however, of

idlers, and kept by the police at a convenient distance from the

Palace, watched the arrival and departure of its members, and cheered

them all impartially; and Mr. Redmond and Mr. Dillon, who walked back

on the second day through Birdcage Walk, were enthusiastically cheered

at the Barracks by the Irish Guards, whose honorary Colonel, it was

noticed, was Earl Roberts, a decided Unionist. Two suffragists, Lady

Barclay and the Hon. Edith Fitzgerald, attempted in vain to enter the

Palace during the Conference, in order to submit the claims of women

to the King. As was expected from the first, no solution was reached.

After the final meeting on July 24 there was a Cabinet Council, and

the Prime Minister announced the failure at the close of the sitting

of the House of Commons. He read the official report, signed by the

Speaker, stating that the possibility was considered of finding an area

to be excluded from the operation of the Home Rule Bill, and that the

Conference, "being unable to agree, either in principle or in detail,

on such an area, brought its sittings to a conclusion." Mr. Asquith

added that the Amending Bill would be taken on July 28.

It was stated that the deadlock arose over the exclusion of Fermanagh

and Tyrone, and especially as to whether Tyrone, in which the

Nationalist voters were slightly the more numerous, should be allowed

to vote itself out by "a bare majority." The personal relations of

all the members it was stated, had been excellent, and each set had

genuinely attempted to appreciate the difficulties of the others. It

was thought that the Ministerialists, and even the Cabinet, might

split. The First Lord of the Admiralty and four other Ministers were

said to favour further concessions to Ulster, and the situation was

described as almost desperate.

It was made even worse, however, two days later by a daring act of

gun-running, leading to an affray in Dublin between the populace and

British troops. On Sunday morning, July 26, about a thousand National

Volunteers, some unarmed, others armed with long staves, assembled

at Fairview, two miles from Dublin on the Howth road, and started,

apparently on a route march, to Howth. Arriving there at midday, they

marched to the pier, where a white yacht, steered (it was said) by a

lady, had just arrived. Those with staves guarded the entrance to the

pier; the rest, assisted by Boy Scouts, unloaded 2,500 Lee-Enfield

rifles and 125,000 rounds of ammunition. Each Volunteer shouldered

a rifle; the balance was loaded into motor cars and distributed to

hiding-places throughout the county. A policeman and some coastguardmen

were prevented from interfering, and the latter telephoned to Dublin.

Mr. Harrel, the Assistant Commissioner of the Dublin Metropolitan

Police, after sending out a large force of constables, telephoned the

facts to the Under-Secretary at 2 P.M., and was directed to meet him at

the Castle at 2.45; but he did not do so, having gone to the barracks,

where he requisitioned, on his own responsibility, two companies of the

King's Own Scottish Borderers, who were sent to Fairview by tram. The

Volunteers on their return were met at Clontarf by a body of police

and 160 soldiers; the police were ordered to disarm the Volunteers;

some refused, and were arrested by the soldiers; others succeeded

in disarming the Volunteers in front, after a scuffle in which two

soldiers were wounded by pistol-shots, as well as three Volunteers and

a policeman; hereupon the Volunteer leaders ordered a parley, during

which the rear ranks of their own body dispersed, taking their rifles

with them. Meanwhile the Under-Secretary, not finding Mr. Harrel, had

left a Minute directing him that forcible disarmament of the Volunteers

should not be attempted, but that their names should be taken and the

destination of the arms traced. Later the troops, on their way back

to Dublin, were stoned in Bachelors' Walk by a mob; their commanding

officer expostulated, and some of the rear-rank men, losing patience,

fired without orders; three of the crowd were killed (including one

woman) and thirty-two wounded, and a number of the soldiers were

severely injured with stones. At 10.30 P.M. a crowd attacked the gate

of the barracks, but were driven off by the police.

Statements on these events were made in both Houses on Monday, July 27.

In the Commons the Chief Secretary, replying to a question from Mr.

Redmond, read the Minute left by the Under-Secretary for Mr. Harrel,

and stated that the latter had been suspended, and that an inquiry into

the conduct of the military would be held at once; and, in answer to

Mr. Devlin, he stated that on the previous Saturday 5,000 men, with

five machine guns, had marched through Belfast, that General Macready,

the military magistrate, was then in the city, and that the police had

not been ordered to interfere. The subject was debated as a matter of

urgent public importance that night, after a statement by the Foreign

Secretary on the European situation (_post_, p. 167) which was rapidly

becoming graver, and an announcement by the Prime Minister of the

further postponement of the Amending Bill, since the Nationalist party,

which had arranged a conference for that day to consider it, had had

its attention taken up by the events in Dublin. A brief and non-party

discussion on minor naval votes also preceded the debate.

In moving the adjournment, Mr. John Redmond condemned the Arms

Proclamation, and stated that on June 30 he had written to the Chief

Secretary, declaring it a failure and likely to lead to collision

between the Nationalists and police. He went on to refer to the march

of the previous Saturday through Belfast, and asked who was responsible

for this monstrous attempt to discriminate in the administration of

the law. Where was Mr. Harrell's chief, Sir John Ross of Bladensburg,

who had proved himself thoroughly incompetent during the strikes of

1913? After referring, in impartial terms, to the shooting, he demanded

from the Government--the suspension and trial of Sir John Ross, an

immediate inquiry into all the facts, a judicial and military inquiry

into the action of the troops, with (if they were found guilty) proper

punishment; removal of the regiment from Ireland; revocation of the

Arms Proclamation; and finally, and very emphatically, an impartial

administration of the law.

The Chief Secretary agreed that no distinction could be made in the

treatment of the Ulster and Nationalist Volunteers, and spoke of Mr.

Harrel's "act of extraordinary indiscretion." Mr. Harrel had taken

the whole responsibility, but if Sir John Ross were associated with

the act, he ought to be suspended also. He dissociated the Volunteers

wholly from the shooting and from the attack by the mob, and referred

the question of the removal of the regiment to the Prime Minister as

Secretary for War.

Mr. Bonar Law declared that the question put to Sir John Ross was most

improper; he could not now say it was wrong to suspend Mr. Harrel,

but why did not the Under-Secretary send after him? The Government in

Ireland had hunted out a scapegoat to save their own skin. The incident

was only possible because the Government had abrogated authority in

Ireland and had ceased to govern. He did not blame the Nationalist

Volunteers, but the Government, for the first time in history, refused

to carry out the law and yet continued to hold office. They did

not vindicate the law because Mr. Redmond would not let them. The

Government had never been able to make up their minds as to their

proper policy and risk their fate on the consequences.

The Prime Minister replied. He was not going to follow the example of

the Opposition leader, who was "a past master of vituperation," but, as

Secretary for War, he put in a plea for the troops. They were exposed

to great provocation, and what happened, much as it was to be lamented,

was not a fitting subject for condemnation. After promising a full

inquiry, he refused to see that it was unfair to ask Sir John Ross

whether he associated himself with his subordinate. "It is a question

put to me once a week." When Mr. Harrel acted, the proclamation against

the importation of arms had already exhausted itself. He denounced the

attacks on the Under-Secretary, and said that the importation of arms

was relatively of minor importance. If the proclamation was maintained,

it should be impartially applied. The real crux of the question was in

the attitude of the Government and the Opposition to the maintenance

of the authority of the law. The Opposition had greatly increased the

inherent difficulty of governing Ireland by proclaiming that violation

of the law was a cardinal virtue. Till an agreement was reached as

to respect for law, the Unionists, when they came in, would find the

government of Ireland an impossible task.

Mr. Balfour shared Mr. Bonar Law's suspicions as to the Minute, and

thought the whole story had not been told. The Government had been

persistently blind to the feelings of Ulster, and now were up against

facts. They had taken and kept power, and had allowed the whole

system of law, order, and government to crumble. Every one knew that

Ireland had been brought into a condition from which it seemed almost

impossible for any courage, statesmanship, or heroism to extricate it.

After other speeches, Lord R. Cecil (U.) moved the closure, which was

defeated by 249 to 217. The motion was thus talked out, and a division

averted on the main question. It might have imperilled the Government.

It was elicited next day that, as Mr. Balfour apparently had divined,

Sir James Dougherty's Minute had in fact been written at 5 P.M., after

the affray was over, but that it contained the instructions which Mr.

Harrel, had he waited, would have received three hours before. But

the occurrence was already obscured by events of greater moment. The

Commission, appointed a week later, consisted of Lord Shaw, Mr. Justice

Molony, and the Rt. Hon. W. D. Andrews, a retired Irish judge; and the

story may be ended here by stating that its Report (published Oct. 1)

declared that the employment of the police and military was illegal,

that General Cuthbert, who allowed the military to be used, was wrong

in doing so, that they were not justified in firing, and that the

twenty-one soldiers who fired did so without orders, but believing that

they had them.

At the time, however, it seemed possible that this affray, coupled with

the dispute over the Amending Bill, might bring about complications

delaying the establishment of Home Rule; and an enthusiastic

demonstration of Liberals, Labour men, and Nationalists, held at the

London Opera House on July 29, demanded that the Government should

complete their legislative programme and thus secure the effective

operation of the Parliament Act. Sir James H. Dalziel (_Kirkcaldy_)

presided; Mr. Neil Primrose (_Cambs, Wisbech_), Mr. Rowlands

(_Dartford_), and Mr. Devlin (_Belfast, W._) were among the speakers,

and there were 50,000 applications for admission. Incidentally the

Chairman mentioned--what soon became obvious--the very grave effect

produced on the international situation by the reports that civil war

was impending in Ireland.

In the interval before the resumption of the debate on the Amending

Bill, the House dealt, more briefly than usual, with the Colonial

Office Vote and the Education Vote (July 28) as well as with other

non-contentious subjects needing no special notice here. On the

Colonial Office Vote the points raised were dealt with by the Colonial

Secretary in his reply as follows: He must decline to give information

as to future policy in Somaliland which would be useful to the Mullah;

but they were getting 450 camel constabulary and 400 of the Indian

contingent, of whom 150 would be mounted and would strengthen the

camel corps. Burao would be occupied by the new commandant early in

September, and they would then enable the friendlies to reoccupy their

grazing at the mouth of the Ain Valley. He would not decrease the

existing native reserve lands in East Africa. As to Tasmania, he had

only laid down the rules generally regarded as binding on a Governor,

and Sir W. Ellison-Macartney's appointment was based on his work as a

Civil Servant and irrespective of politics. The incident, he thought,

was closed. The South African Native Lands Act was the outcome of a

commission appointed by Viscount Milner, and was temporary; Parliament

ought not to intervene except on proof of gross injustice to natives,

and there had been none. The _Malaya_ Dreadnought was not a tribute,

but a voluntary gift from allies; the taxation of the Malay people was

practically _nil_. He gave encouraging figures as to the decreasing

consumption of opium in the British possessions in the Far East, but

it was ominous that large quantities of cocaine and morphia had been

seized. As to the Ceylon excise, the Government proposed to put up an

experimental distillery in each district to get rid of the existing

distilleries, but they might be directed by private enterprise, though

not at the cost of creating vested interests. The supposed increase in

the consumption of arrack was due to the gradual cessation of illicit

drinking. He suspended his decision as to the Chartered Company's

Charter pending consultation with Lord Gladstone.--The Vote was agreed

to.

On the Education Vote, after criticisms and comments had been passed

on various points in the Board's policy by several members, the

President of the Board of Education paid a tribute to the memory of Sir

William Anson, and bore testimony to the efficiency of the staff of

the Department. Among other matters of interest, he touched on school

hygiene, mentioning that 317 education authorities had established

medical inspection, in which 1097 medical men, eighty-four women,

and 300 specialists were engaged. Half the children needed dental

treatment, and the expenditure on the medical service had increased

from 47,000_l._ in 1912-13 to 175,000_l._ in 1914-15. For mental

and physical defectives there were 365 schools, and the grants were

increased. They had 945 places in open-air schools for ailing children,

but 500,000 children needed them. Provision was made for feeding

358,000 children, but they hoped to be able to contribute half the cost

to local authorities by a supplementary grant of 77,000_l._ Physical

training was invariably part of the course, and England was behind no

nation in providing for it. He mentioned also schools for mothers,

play-grounds, and a projected grant in 1915-16 of 50,000_l._ to aid

local authorities to deal with epidemics. There was no evidence that

the teaching of the three R's had generally deteriorated; the children

were more alert and responsive, and happier at school than ever.

The wastage of teachers could only be met by making the career more

attractive. Lodgings for women teachers were a difficulty, and hostels

for teachers were the only solution. The State would find two-fifths of

the cost. Children left school just when a good teacher could do most

for them, but he thought the prosperity of the country from the point

of view of education was assured.

Amid all the prevalent excitement, little attention could be paid to

the Report of the Welsh Land Inquiry Committee (July 27). This body,

of which Sir A. Mond (L., _Swansea_) was chairman, had been appointed

at the request of the Chancellor of the Exchequer to inquire into and

report on the special circumstances of Wales in respect to land tenure

and agricultural conditions, and the Report, which claimed, fairly

enough, to be judicial and dispassionate, contained some 350 pages of

documents and comment, leading up to the following main conclusions.

Legislation was urgently needed in the interests of agriculture;

the crops, except in roots, were much poorer than in England, partly

from the inferior productiveness of the soil, but largely through

insecurity of tenure, and also because of high rents, fear that rent

would be charged on tenants' improvements, inadequate compensation, and

onerous conditions of tenants' agreements. The Committee recommended

absolute fixity of tenure, and the establishment of a Land Court with

power to fix fair rents and settle reasonable conditions of tenancy.

The rural housing conditions were deplorable; there were often not

enough cottages, and in no district was there an ample supply of

suitable cottages large enough for an average family. The effect was

bad for health and morals. The administration of the Small Holdings

and Allotments Acts was unsatisfactory and varied greatly in different

counties, and the machinery was too cumbersome. At the end of 1912,

1,100 approved applicants were still waiting for land.

The Amending Bill was to be taken on July 30; and its prospects had

been perhaps improved by the remarkable pamphlet published a week

earlier by Sir Horace Plunkett, announcing his conversion to Home Rule

(_post_, Chap. VI.). But all domestic difficulties were rapidly being

obscured and effaced by the rapid gathering of war-clouds in Central

Europe. The news of the Dublin shooting was published the same day as

that of the rejection by Austria-Hungary of the Serbian reply to her

ultimatum; and between question time in the House of Commons and the

excited debate on the affray later on that day (July 27) party strife

was visibly suspended in both Houses, while substantially identical

statements on the European situation were made respectively by Sir

Edward Grey and the Marquess of Crewe. The former, replying to a

question by the leader of the Opposition, stated that, after hearing of

the Austro-Serbian rupture, he had asked the French, German and Italian

Governments, through the respective British Ambassadors in their

capitals, if their Ambassadors might meet in Conference in London; he

had also asked the Austro-Hungarian and Serbian Governments to suspend

operations meanwhile. It appeared next day that Italy and France

accepted at once; but Germany refused the British invitation, alleging

that negotiations between the several Governments would be preferable;

Austria-Hungary declared war on Serbia and seized Serb vessels at

Orsova; and Russia prepared (July 28) to mobilise fourteen Army Corps.

Under these circumstances _The Times_ (July 29) urged British parties

to "close ranks" and suspend their strife, that the Government might

devote all its energies to limiting the area of the war. Sir Edward

Grey, it declared, was indispensable as Foreign Minister; and the

Ulster question might be provisionally settled by the exclusion of

Fermanagh and Tyrone from the Home Rule area. That day, however, the

situation became graver; seven Stock Exchange firms failed; and the

Prime Minister could only tell the Commons that the Government were

doing their best to "circumscribe the area of possible conflict." But

on the day following (July 31) he announced that the Amending Bill

must be postponed. In an impressive speech to a profoundly attentive

House, he stated that the issues of peace and war were hanging in

the balance, and with them the risk of a catastrophe of which it

was impossible to measure either the dimensions or the effects. It

was, therefore, of vital importance in the interest of the whole

world, that Great Britain, who had no interests directly at stake,

should present a united front and be able to speak and act with the

authority of an undivided nation. Hence they would deal with necessary

non-controversial business. Mr. Bonar Law agreed, saying that it should

be made clear that British domestic differences did not prevent members

from presenting a united front in the councils of the world; and that

he spoke not only for the Unionists, but for the Ulstermen.

Next day, however (Aug. 1), the situation became worse. German troops

were preparing to invade France; Russia had proclaimed a general

mobilisation; martial law was consequently proclaimed in Germany; in

Great Britain steps were taken to guard magazines, railway bridges

and tunnels, and dockyards; the booms defending British naval ports

were placed in position; and telegrams from the Dominions exhibited

their eagerness to aid the mother country by sending troops. In

London, the Stock Exchange, an hour after its opening, was closed

_sine die_; business was active at Lloyd's in insurances against war

risks; the Cabinet met in the morning, and the Prime Minister in the

afternoon was received by the King. Ministers cancelled their week-end

engagements, and, just before the House rose, the Prime Minister stated

that the news from Germany indicated that she would follow Russia in

mobilisation. Next day the bank rate was advanced to 10 per cent.--its

highest point since the Overend-Gurney crisis in May, 1866; the Cabinet

met twice, and a conference was held between some of its members,

including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, on the financial situation;

and the King, as a last effort to preserve peace, sent a direct

personal telegram to the Tsar, offering mediation, which arrived,

however, after Germany had declared war on Russia.

Unwonted and varied excitement characterised Sunday, August 2.

Throughout the country prayers for the preservation of peace were

offered in the churches, in accordance with a suggestion made some

days earlier by the Archbishops, and also in Nonconformist places of

worship. In Trafalgar Square a "war protest meeting" organised by Mr.

Hyndman, Mr. Ben Tillett, Mr. Keir Hardie, Mr. Barnes, M.P., and other

prominent representatives of Socialism or Labour, passed a resolution

calling on the Government to take every step to secure peace, and on

the workers of the world to use their industrial and political power

to avert war; but it was interrupted by a large dissentient element,

which, however, ultimately seceded peacefully and held a "patriotic"

meeting at the Admiralty Arch. During the day the Cabinet met twice,

and frequent informal conferences were held between Ministers; and it

was stated that the divisions of opinion previously existing among

them disappeared in the course of the day almost entirely. The King

held a Council at 4.30 P.M., and it was announced, first, that the

Government had taken control of all wireless telegraphy, next that a

"moratorium" of a month was established for certain bills of exchange;

and the Admiralty called out the Naval Reserves, including naval and

marine pensioners under the age of fifty-five, and the Royal Volunteer

Reserve. On the announcement of this last step, through the medium of

special late Sunday editions of various newspapers, a crowd of some

6,000 people marched up the Mall to Buckingham Palace, where it sang

the national anthems of Great Britain and France. The King and Queen

were called for, and came out to acknowledge the greetings of their

enthusiastic subjects.

Next morning London awoke to a new kind of Bank Holiday. The morning

papers announced the Germans' violation of the neutrality of Luxemburg

and their invasion of France and their ultimatum to Belgium; many of

the railway excursion arrangements had perforce been cancelled; and

the streets were thronged by disappointed excursionists, reinforced by

others who had come in from the country for further news. Miniature

British and French flags found a ready sale in the streets; special

editions were issued of the evening papers; crowds gathered outside

Buckingham Palace and Whitehall, impartially cheering Ministers and

Unionist leaders. In the City a conference of bankers and merchants

invited the Government to extend the Bank Holiday for three days

by proclamation; the House of Lords had been hastily summoned; but

interest centred in the Commons.

Here, indeed, as in the country, the attitude of a large section of

the Liberals was still uncertain. Many of them condemned all wars,

or almost all, as criminal; many more held that the Foreign Office

was prejudiced against Germany, and abhorred the notion of fighting

to preserve the balance of power in Europe, or to strengthen Russia,

reputed a far less civilised Power than Germany, and the historic foe

of the British Empire in India. Protests against any departure by Great

Britain from neutrality were specially noticeable in the _Manchester

Guardian_ and the _Daily News_; and manifestoes in a similar sense

were issued by various groups of important personages; the Bishops of

Lincoln and Hereford, the British Neutrality Committee, and others.

A group of learned men, chiefly belonging to Cambridge University,

declared that war against Germany in the interest of Russia and Servia

would be "a sin against civilisation"; and the _Labour Leader_ appealed

to "the organised workers" to demonstrate everywhere that the war must

be stopped. But these views were greatly modified, not only by the news

of German action in Luxemburg and Belgium, but by a statement published

on the Monday afternoon with the authority of the German Embassy,

intimating that, if Great Britain remained neutral, Germany would

undertake not to attack France in the north by sea, nor to make warlike

use of the Dutch or Belgian coasts. Thus, it was contended, Great

Britain, as a neutral, could aid France as well as by going to war.

This offer was felt to be ridiculous; and the conversion of the vast

majority of those Liberals who were still adverse to war was completed

by the speech delivered in the House of Commons by Sir Edward Grey. It

was described by Lord Lansdowne as "of rare courage," and _The Times_

declared that it would remain memorable in the history of the world.

The centre of interest lay in the Commons, and Sir Edward Grey's speech

practically served for both Houses. All questions to Ministers were

postponed, and the Chancellor of the Exchequer introduced, without

notice, a Postponement of Payments Bill, supplementing the Moratorium

proclamation (p. 169) by empowering the Government to declare a general

moratorium on occasion. By agreement, it was passed through all its

stages at once; indeed, but for a protest from Mr. McCallum Scott

(L., _Glasgow, Bridgeton_) it would not even have been read. The Bank

holiday was prolonged for three days; but the stoppage was not to

involve a general suspension of work and wages.

Then Sir Edward Grey spoke. He said that Ministers, then as always,

had worked for peace, but in vain. As to British obligations he had

told the Russian Foreign Minister in 1908 that he could promise no

more than diplomatic support, and in the existing crisis, till the

day before, he had promised nothing more. During the general election

of 1906, at the crisis which led to the Algeciras Conference, he had

been asked if, should a Franco-German war break out, Great Britain

would give armed support; he had replied that he could promise nothing

which would not be fully supported by public opinion, but, if war

were forced on France through the Anglo-French _entente_ regarding

Morocco, British public opinion would rally to her support. The French

Government had then suggested conversations on this support between

military and naval experts; and he had agreed, after consulting Sir

Henry Campbell-Bannerman, Lord Haldane, and Mr. Asquith--since he

could not, owing to the general election, consult the Cabinet--on

the understanding that such conversations should in no way bind

the Government. In the Agadir crisis he took the same line, and on

November 22, 1912, he exchanged letters with the French Ambassador

to this effect, but agreeing that if either Great Britain or France

had grave reason to expect an attack by a third Power or a menace

to the general peace, both Governments should consult whether they

should co-operate and what measures they should take in common. But

the British Government remained perfectly free to decide whether it

should intervene. In the Morocco question, however, it was pledged

to diplomatic support; in the existing crisis France was involved

because of its obligation of honour to Russia, which did not apply

to Great Britain, a Power which did not even know the terms of the

Franco-Russian alliance. But in view of the Anglo-French friendship,

let every man look into his own heart and construe the extent of the

British obligation for himself. In view of that friendship, the French

Fleet was concentrated in the Mediterranean, and if, in a war which

France had not sought, her unprotected coasts were bombarded, he felt

that Great Britain could not stand aside. And, from the point of view

of British interests, suppose the French Fleet withdrawn from the

Mediterranean and Italy involved in the war, Great Britain, if she now

stood aside, might be exposed to appalling risks. He had, therefore,

on the previous afternoon given the French Ambassador an authorised

assurance that, if a hostile German Fleet came into the Channel or

North Sea the British Government would give France all the assistance

in its power. He had just heard that the German Government would be

prepared, were Great Britain pledged to neutrality, to agree that

the German Fleet should not attack the northern coast of France (p.

170); but that was far too narrow an engagement. There was also the

question, hourly becoming more serious, of the neutrality of Belgium.

In 1870 Prince Bismarck had acknowledged the sanctity of the Treaty

of 1839, and the Government could not take a narrower view of its

obligations than Mr. Gladstone's Government took in 1870. He had asked

in the previous week the French and German Governments whether they

were prepared to respect that neutrality; and he quoted the replies:

France had promised to do so, Germany had delayed replying. Belgium

had promised neutrality. But Germany had sent Belgium an ultimatum;

and the British Government had been asked in the past week whether an

assurance would satisfy it that Belgian integrity would be preserved

after the war. It had replied refusing to barter away its interests or

obligations in Belgian neutrality. The King of the Belgians had that

day telegraphed to King George, appealing to the British Government to

safeguard the integrity of Belgium. Great Britain had great and vital

interests in the independence of Belgium, and integrity was the least

part of that independence. Compliance with the ultimatum would be fatal

to that independence, and that of Holland would then perish also. If

Great Britain stood aside, ran away from her obligations, and merely

intervened at the end of the war, her material force would be of little

value, in view of the respect she would have lost. She would suffer

terribly in the war in any case, but if she stood aside, she would be

in no position after it to prevent Europe falling under the domination

of one Power, and her moral position would be such as to have lost

her all respect. The Fleet was mobilised, the Army was mobilising,

but no engagement had yet been taken to send abroad an Expeditionary

Force. The one bright spot was Ireland. The feeling there made the

Irish question a consideration that need not be taken into account.

Unconditional neutrality was precluded by the commitment to France and

the consideration of Belgium. To stand aside would be to sacrifice the

good name of Great Britain without escaping the most serious economic

consequences. The forces of the Crown were never more ready or more

efficient; the Government had worked for peace to the last moment, and

beyond it; when the country realised the situation, they would have its

united support.

Mr. Bonar Law promised emphatically the full and unhesitating support

of the Opposition, mentioning also, as another bright spot, the

certainty of that of the Dominions. Mr. John Redmond, in a speech that

made a profound sensation, declared that the events of recent years

had completely altered the Nationalist feeling towards Great Britain.

He recalled the support given by Catholics to the Irish Volunteers in

the eighteenth century, and said that the Government might withdraw

all its troops from Ireland: her coasts would be defended by her armed

sons, and the Nationalist Volunteers would gladly join in doing so with

their brethren of the north. Mr. Ramsay Macdonald (Lab.) contended that

the Foreign Minister had not shown that the country was in danger,

the Crimean and South African Wars were fought on the plea of British

honour; and the conflict could not be confined to the neutrality of

Belgium. The Labour party wanted to know what would happen to Russia,

and the annihilation of France was impossible. He admitted that the

feeling of the House was against his followers, but they held that

Great Britain should have remained neutral.

The sitting was suspended till 7 P.M., when the Royal Assent was given

to the Postponement of Payments Bill, and the debate was continued

discursively, several Liberal and Labour members condemning, and others

supporting, the course taken by the Government. Eventually Mr. Balfour

pointed out that all this was "the mere dregs and lees of the debate,"

and would be misunderstood abroad as representing the opinion of the

House. He urged that it should be ended, and after a few words of

protest from Colonel Seely (L.) the advice was taken.

Next day the proceedings in the Commons commenced with a momentous

statement by the Prime Minister, embodying the earlier telegrams in

the series, of which the substance is given below; the outstanding

Votes in Supply were then passed, and a Message was read from the King

announcing the Proclamation calling out the Army Reserve and embodying

the Territorial Force; and the Chancellor of the Exchequer outlined

the scheme of the Government for insurance against war risks, so as

to secure the continuance of overseas trade. It had been devised by an

expert sub-committee of the Imperial Defence Committee, and conditions

in the shipping trade had changed since such insurance had been

discountenanced by an expert Committee in 1908. Details cannot here be

given; but, substantially, the State took 80 per cent. of the risks on

vessels trading oversea (which were mainly insured through three great

mutual societies) and received 80 per cent. of the premiums, charging

no premium on vessels on a voyage on the outbreak of war, and allowing

the cancellation of a policy if a voyage were delayed by the Admiralty.

For cargoes a State Bureau was opened, to insure cargoes despatched

after the outbreak of war. A flat rate was to be charged, subject to

certain variations from time to time, and a strong Advisory Board

established. Mr. Austen Chamberlain (U.) and Mr. A. Henderson (Lab.)

approved the scheme, the latter urging the Government to consider the

organisation of distribution; but here, as it proved, there was no need

for alarm.

Meanwhile the Government prepared actively for war in other ways.

It assumed the control of the railways, vesting it in a Committee

of General Managers under the Board of Trade; it took over the two

_Dreadnoughts_ completed and nearly completed in Great Britain for

Turkey, and the two destroyer leaders building for Chile; Field-Marshal

Sir John French was appointed Inspector-General of the Forces, and it

was understood that he was to command the Expeditionary Force; and

Admiral Sir John Jellicoe was appointed to the supreme command of the

Home Fleets, with Rear-Admiral C. E. Madden as his Chief of Staff. The

King, too, issued a Message to the Overseas Dominions expressing the

"appreciation and pride" with which he had received the Messages from

their respective Governments. "These spontaneous assurances of their

fullest-support," the Message continued, "recall to me the generous,

self-sacrificing help given by them in the past to the Mother Country.

I shall be strengthened in the discharge of the great responsibility

which rests upon me by the confident belief that, in this time of

trial, my Empire will stand united, calm, resolute, trusting in God."

In the country generally the action of Germany and Sir Edward Grey's

statement had driven the great mass of the Liberal and Labour parties

to agree that war was inevitable and just. In the Ministry some

members were still unconvinced. On Monday, August 3, four members of

the Cabinet, it was said, still advocated peace; by next day there

were but two, Lord Morley of Blackburn, Lord President of the Council,

and Mr. John Burns, President of the Board of Trade. They, however,

resigned office; but it was stated that they had decided to do so

independently and at different stages of the controversy, and largely

to avoid hampering the freedom of the Cabinet in a great emergency.

Their example was followed by Mr. Charles Trevelyan (_Yorks_, _W.R._,

_Elland_), the Secretary of the Board of Education. These three were

replaced respectively by Earl Beauchamp, Mr. Runciman, and Dr. Addison.

The Annual Register 1914 A Review of Public Events at Home and Abroad for the Year 1914 · 第 12 / 25 章