47. =Suppositions or Hypotheses; their Uses and their Value.=

When our means of observation of any natural fact fail to carry us

beyond a certain point, it is perfectly legitimate, and often extremely

useful, to make a supposition as to what we should see, if we could

carry direct observation a step further. A supposition of this kind is

what is called a =hypothesis=, and the value of any hypothesis depends

upon the extent to which reasoning upon the assumption that it is true,

enables us to explain or account for the phenomena with which it is

concerned.

Thus, if a person is standing close behind you, and you suddenly feel a

blow on your back, you have no direct evidence of the cause of the blow;

and if you two were alone, you could not possibly obtain any; but you

immediately suppose that this person has struck you. Now that is a

hypothesis, and it is a legitimate hypothesis, first, because it

explains the fact; and, secondly, because no other explanation is

probable; probable meaning in accordance with the ordinary course of

nature. If your companion declared that you fancied you felt a blow, or

that some invisible spirit struck you, you would probably decline to

accept his explanation of the fact. You would say that both the

hypotheses by which he professed to explain the phenomenon were

extremely improbable; or in other words, that in the ordinary course of

nature fancies of this kind do not occur, nor spirits strike blows. In

fact, his hypotheses would be illegitimate, and yours would be

legitimate; and, in all probability, you would act upon your own. In

daily life, nine-tenths of our actions are based upon suppositions or

hypotheses, and our success or failure in practical affairs depends upon

the legitimacy of these hypotheses. You believe a man on the hypothesis

that he is always truthful; you give him pecuniary credit on the

hypothesis that he is solvent.

Thus, everybody invents, and, indeed, is compelled to invent, hypotheses

in order to account for phenomena of the cause of which he has no direct

evidence; and they are just as legitimate and necessary in science as in

common life. Only the scientific reasoner must be careful to remember

that which is sometimes forgotten in daily life, that a hypothesis must

be regarded as a means and not as an end; that we may cherish it so long

as it helps us to explain the order of nature; but that we are bound to

throw it away without hesitation as soon as it is shown to be

inconsistent with any part of that order.

48. =The Hypothesis that Water is composed of Separate Particles

(Molecules).=

It has been pointed out that we cannot see, and indeed that there is not

much hope of our ever being able to see, the separate particles of

water, even if water is composed of such particles. But it is perfectly

legitimate to suppose that water is made up of such particles, if that

hypothesis will enable us to explain the properties of water.

Let us suppose then that any portion of fluid water is really composed

of a prodigious number of particles less (and probably much less) than a

millionth of an inch in diameter. We may call these particles

=molecules=.[4]

Footnote 4:

Diminutive of _moles_, a mass.

We are justified, in accordance with the general properties of matter (§

18), in supposing that these molecules tend to approach one another. But

the fact that water is slightly compressible justifies the supposition

that its molecules are not in actual contact, but that they are

separated by interspaces, just as the motes in the air of a dusty room

are so separated.

What is it that keeps the molecules apart? We have seen that great

mechanical pressure brings them but slightly nearer to one another;

hence there is an equivalent resistance of some kind which keeps them

apart. This resistance must have the same origin as the sensation which

we know as heat, for it has been seen that diminution of heat diminishes

the bulk of water; that is, allows the molecules to come closer

together; that is, diminishes their tendency to keep asunder. Increase

of heat, on the other hand, increases the volume of water; that is to

say, drives the molecules further apart, or increases their tendency to

keep asunder.

Suppose we call the cause of the tendency of the molecules of water to

come together an =attractive force=; and the cause of their keeping

apart, which manifests itself to us as the sensation of heat and is, as

we have seen, in all probability, a rapid vibratory or whirling motion

of the molecules, a =repulsive force=; then, in the liquid state, these

forces are so adjusted that the molecules are quite free to move, and

yet hold together.

By adding heat the repulsive force is increased, until the molecules are

about twelve times as far apart as they were in each direction; while

the attractive force is overcome, and the molecules fly off in all

directions as soon as they are unconfined. On the other hand, by taking

heat away, the repulsive force is diminished, until the molecules become

inseparable and the water assumes the solid form.

It is probable that the expansion of fluid water, at a temperature below

39°, depends upon the molecules taking up a peculiar arrangement as they

approach one another. If sixteen men are formed into a column, four

deep, and each man a foot from the other, the same men may stand closer

together and yet form a hollow square, which occupies a larger space.

That the molecules of water do take up a particular order in assuming

the solid condition, is shown by the crystalline form of ice. Each

crystal of hoar-frost owes its shape to the arrangement of its

molecules, according to a definite geometrical pattern.

Thus the hypothesis that water is composed of separate molecules, is

useful, for it helps us to some extent to explain the properties of

water. And, when you study physics and learn the laws of motion, you

will find that there is no end to the number of the truths established

by observation and experiment, which can be explained by this

hypothesis. Hence it may fairly be adopted and employed as a means of

picturing to ourselves the order of nature, so long as no facts are

discovered which are inconsistent with it.

Science Primers, Introductory · 第 71 / 86 题