The eastern frontier of Poland is also still undefined, for reasons

already indicated. At any rate, the Polish armies are now occupying

a very wide area in the east. A year ago the Bolshevik forces had

advanced almost to the borders of Congress Poland: today, after a

certain amount of fighting, the Poles have thrust them back almost to

the Dnieper. The Poles are now in possession of most of the old Russian

provinces of Grodno, Wilno, Minsk, and Volhynia: i. e., of a very large

part of those eastern territories which belonged to the old Polish

republic and which have been the object of an age-long dispute between

Poland and Russia.

What the ultimate fate of these regions will be, it would be difficult

to forecast. The various nationalist movements which have sprung up in

this area are of such recent date and such uncertain strength, that it

would require much boldness to prophesy the outcome. Will Lithuania,

for instance, consolidate itself as an independent state, or renew its

old federal union with Poland, or return to Russia? Will the Ukrainians

unite once more with Russia or establish themselves as a new state

of 40,000,000 people? What will become of the White Russians, of all

the peoples in this region the most enigmatic? The western section of

them, being Catholic, may perhaps gravitate towards Poland; the eastern

section, being Orthodox, may perhaps cleave to the side of Russia.

Or will they develop a national movement of their own? When and in

what fashion will a reorganized Russia be able to reassert her voice

effectively in these questions? Such are some of the uncertainties in

the case.

At all events, for the time being the Poles are again in possession of

a larger part of their ancient heritage, of the Poland that existed

before the Partitions. They are in possession of territories which,

taken together, must contain a population of over thirty millions. And

whatever fluctuations may still take place in her frontiers, Poland is

likely to remain the largest and in many respects the most important of

the new states produced by the war, the sixth most populous state in

Europe.

While it would doubtless be premature to hail in this state, restored

only yesterday and still in process of construction, a new Great Power,

it is not impossible that Poland may in time become one. For, assuming

that Upper Silesia comes to her by plebiscite, her economic resources

are magnificent. The richest coal reserves on the Continent; zinc,

lead, iron, petroleum in abundance; highly developed industries in the

Congress Kingdom, which was the Lancashire of the Russian empire, and

in Upper Silesia, which was the Black Country of eastern Germany--such

are some of the assets with which Poland resumes her national life.

The greatest problem lies in the people themselves. Of them a writer by

no means prejudiced in their favor has recently declared:

“In all Europe there is no other people, with the possible exception

of the French, which is naturally so gifted. No one can study Eastern

Europe without feeling that they are infinitely the most attractive of

the peoples with which he has to do. They are the only ones in whose

composition there is included that subtle _differentia_ which marks

off the ‘big nation’ from the ‘small.’”[49]

On the other hand, it must be admitted that in the past the Poles have

shown themselves deficient in organizing and administrative ability, in

economic enterprise, in cohesion, solidarity, and discipline. A century

and more of servitude to foreigners has not been the best of schooling

for orderly and efficient self-government, nor has it permitted the

nation to keep altogether abreast of the West in intellectual and

economic progress. And Poland, wedged in between a vindictive Germany

and a presumably none too friendly Russia, occupies what may fairly be

called the most exposed and dangerous position in Europe.

Nevertheless, the brilliant and original genius of the Polish people;

their ardent and unsurpassed spirit of patriotism; the lessons which

they may be presumed to have learned from their misfortunes; the

reassuring evidence supplied by their conduct during these last two

critical years--all this affords ground for hope, not only that Poland

has permanently recovered her independence, but that she is capable

of becoming again what she was for so many centuries in the past: a

bulwark of liberty, republicanism, and Western civilization in the

troubled East of Europe.

BIBLIOGRAPHICAL NOTE

One of the most useful aids to the study of questions relating to

Poland is Professor E. Romer’s admirable _Geographic and Statistical

Atlas of Poland_, published in Polish, French, and German: Warsaw and

Cracow, 1916. An English edition is soon to be issued.

Almost all sides of Polish life today, political, economic,

intellectual, and artistic, are described in compendious and scholarly

fashion, and with an abundance of maps, statistics, and historical

information, in the works published during the War by the Committee

for Encyclopaedic Publications on Poland. This Committee has published

_La petite Encyclopédie polonaise_, Paris-Lausanne, 1916 (translated

into English under the title: Poland, her People, History, Industries,

Finance, Science, Literature, Art, and Social Development); and the

larger _Encyclopédie polonaise_, Fribourg-Lausanne, 1917-19, of

which vols. i (geography and ethnography), ii, pt. 3 (territorial

development of Polish nationality--in four volumes), iii (economic

life), and iv (political and administrative regime) have hitherto

appeared.

A very convenient handbook of statistical data about Poland is the

_Annuaire statistique polonais_ by E. Romer and I. Weinfeld, Cracow,

1917.

E. H. Lewinski-Corwin’s _Political History of Poland_, New York, 1917,

is perhaps the best account of the subject available in English,

although marred by a certain amount of patriotic exaggeration and

party prejudice.

Among works dealing with the several territories which have been in

dispute, the following are notable:

On Prussian Poland: Ludwig Bernhard, _Die Polenfrage_. Leipzig,

1910. (A moderate German view.) Joseph Partsch, _Schlesien_, pts.

1-2. Breslau, 1896-1911. “Liber” (C. Andrzejewski), _Das Deutschtum

in Westpolen (Preussisch-Polen), seine Zahl, seine Gliederung, sein

Stärkeverhältniss gegenüber den Polen_. Posen, 1919.

On the Galician question: W. Lutoslawski and E. Romer, _The Ruthenian

Question in Galicia_. Paris, 1919. H. Grappin, _Polonais et ruthènes.

La question de Galicie_. Paris, 1919. Both these works are partisan

statements from the Polish side. M. Lozynsky, _Les “Droits” de la

Pologne sur la Galicie_. Lausanne, 1917. E. Levitsky, _La Guerre

polono-ukrainienne en Galicie_. Berne, 1919. This and the preceding

represent the Ukrainian point of view.

On the question of Poland’s eastern frontier: L. Wasilewski, _Die

Ostprovinzen des alten Polenreichs_. Cracow, 1916. By all means the

most complete and illuminating survey of Poland’s past relations with

Lithuania, White Russia, and the Ukraine, and of the recent growth

of nationalist movements in those regions. K. Verbelis, _La Lituanie

russe_. Geneva, 1918. (Lithuanian views and claims.) T. Savtchenko,

_L’Ukraine et la question ukrainienne_. Paris, 1918. (Views of a

Ukrainian nationalist.)

[Illustration: POLAND]

FOOTNOTES:

[43] Here and in the ensuing chapters the word ‘race’ is used in its

popular sense, as virtually equivalent to ‘people’ or ‘nation,’ rather

than in the strict sense in which the word is employed by ethnologists.

R. H. L.

[44] The Peace Conference appears to have adopted last autumn some

sort of a provisional boundary for Poland on the east. As far as

I understand the matter, however, this boundary represents only

a minimum line. Whatever lies to the west of it is indisputably

Polish, and henceforth in the opinion of the Conference should belong

unconditionally to Poland. It is not implied, however, that Poland may

not have valid claims to additional territories farther east--claims

which can only be settled by negotiations between Poland and Russia.

[45] If the territory of the Free City of Danzig be included in this

reckoning, the number of Germans that may be separated from the Empire

would rise to 2,400,000 in round numbers.

[46] This figure refers to that part of East Prussia which will

unquestionably remain to Germany. If the Mazurian and Marienwerder

plebiscite areas vote to remain with Germany, the number of Germans

cut off from the _Reich_ by the Polish couloir will be a little over

2,000,000.

[47] The total population of the city and its district in 1910 was

324,000, of which number only 16,000 were entered in the census as

having Polish as their ‘mother tongue.’

[48] I owe the comparison to Mr. L. B. Namier’s excellent article on

“Poland’s Outlet to the Sea,” in _The Nineteenth Century_, Vol. 81 (1),

Feb. 1917.

[49] Ralph Butler, _The New Eastern Europe_, p. 4.

VI

AUSTRIA

The Prince de Ligne, dying in the midst of the carnival of revelry that

marked the Congress of Vienna, declared that he was preparing a new

amusement for the jaded appetite of that assembly: the obsequies of a

Field Marshal, a Knight of the Golden Fleece. A no less unique, but far

graver, spectacle was provided for the Peace Conference of Paris: the

obsequies of a great empire, the oldest and proudest in Europe.

Even without deploring that event, one cannot be altogether untouched

by the spectacle of the collapse of the Hapsburg monarchy, with its

stirring historic past and its illustrious traditions, the state which

in one sense could trace its genealogy back to Charlemagne and Augustus

Caesar, the realm of Charles V, the Ferdinands, Maria Theresia, Joseph

II; the old indomitable

“Oesterreich,

An Ehren und an Siegen reich,”

of Wallenstein and Prince Eugene.

Austria had a raison d’être, had she only known how to live up to it.

In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, she rendered a real service

to the peoples of Central Europe in uniting them into one realm capable

of checking and repelling the Turkish flood. And later on, when the

Turks had ceased to threaten, she might have acquired a new right to

existence by educating her various races to self-government, offering

them the advantages of membership in a large political and economic

union combined with local autonomy and due respect for the rights and

individuality of each race, anticipating in this realm, which, with its

medley of nationalities, was a kind of miniature Europe, the solutions

which the League of Nations will have to seek. After all, it was a

Czech patriot who declared that if the Austrian monarchy did not exist,

it would be necessary to invent it.

But Austria has seldom risen to her opportunities. According to

Napoleon’s well known saying, she was always just behindhand with an

army or an idea. There was always something strangely inefficient,

ill-adjusted, factitious, unhealthy, or fundamentally dishonest about

her. As has often been remarked, Austria was not a nation, it was

only a government--a dynasty, an aristocracy, a bureaucracy, and an

army. A dynasty, which had an extraordinary passion and talent for

acquiring land--“the most successful race of matrimonial and land

speculators known to history,” someone has called them[50]--but

which has shown very little constructive or executive ability in the

tasks of internal government, and whose policy has been defined as

simply one of “exalted opportunism in the pursuit of the unchanging

dynastic idea”;[51] a kind of permanent camarilla about the throne,

made up of sixty or seventy archdukes and archduchesses and a group

of great aristocratic houses, so influential and exclusive that

Mickiewicz described Austria as “an East India Company exploited by

two hundred families”; a bureaucracy, dull, pedantic, arbitrary, and

inefficient, whose ideal of government seldom rose above the typical

Austrian motto “fortwursteln”--muddle along someway--; an army whose

degree of internal cohesion is shown by the fact that its recruits

swore allegiance to the emperor in nine languages, and which had an

unequalled record for the number of its defeats; such were the chief

forces that held this “ramshackle empire” together.

The task of maintaining and consolidating so motley a realm was, after

the rise of the nationalist movements of the nineteenth century,

increasingly and desperately difficult; but perhaps it would not have

been an impossible undertaking, if the dynasty had only honestly

carried out the principle of the equality of all the Austrian races,

and if it had gone over, while still there was time, to a genuine

federal state organization. But the Hapsburgs did neither. Instead they

repudiated both ideas by adopting and for fifty years maintaining the

Dualist system of 1867, which meant the division of the monarchy into

two halves, each of which was to be ruled by a minority--the Germans in

the one case, the Magyars in the other--at the expense, and in defiance

of the wishes, of the Slavic and Latin majorities. That system has

been called “the ruin of modern Austria.”

Of the workings of the system in Hungary something will be said in

the next chapter. In the Austrian or Cisleithan part of the monarchy,

Dualism led to incessant struggles, immense embitterment, and finally

the virtual breakdown of constitutional government, and a return to a

but slightly disguised absolutism.

The one thing that saved the system from total shipwreck was the

antagonisms that existed, not only between the Germans and the majority

opposed to them, but also between the various races of which that

majority was composed. These antagonisms were sedulously fomented by

the government itself. It is one of the worst sins of the Hapsburgs

that, far from acting as peacemakers or even as impartial arbiters

between their discordant races, they deliberately and systematically

strove to aggravate national animosities and to fan the flames of

discord, hoping to be able to play off one race against another in the

authentic Turkish fashion, and seeming to imagine that Austria could

subsist through internal dissensions, just as Poland was once thought

to subsist through her anarchy. The Emperor Francis I congratulated

himself that his peoples were aliens to each other and detested one

another: each race could therefore be used as a jailer for some other

race. “From their antipathies springs order,” he declared, “and from

their mutual hatred the general peace.”[52] Francis Joseph might

adopt as an official slogan _Viribus unitis_, but his practice was

based much more upon the traditional maxim, _Divide et impera_. He

and his agents are very largely responsible for that violent series

of nationality conflicts which have raged in almost every province of

the monarchy--that _bellum omnium contra omnes_, which has disgraced

and poisoned the political life of Austria and paved the way for her

complete disruption.

Out of these discords grew the World War, as a result of Austria’s

effort to crush the most dangerous of the nationalist movements

threatening her from within by striking at its outside source. But

this War, which was to have saved her, turned out to be her ruin, not

only by involving her in military disasters, but even more, perhaps,

by accelerating her internal decomposition. Far from reinvigorating

the monarchy by drawing all its races together in a great outburst of

patriotism and a great common effort--as Teuton propagandists used

to tell us that it had done--the War had just the contrary effect.

The indignation of so many Hapsburg races at being forced to fight

for a cause of which they disapproved; the attempt of the authorities

to stifle this discontent by imprisoning, shooting, or hanging tens

of thousands of people; the many signs that the Austrian Germans,

intoxicated with enthusiasm for Prussia, were yearning to apply

Prussian methods to their old domestic enemies and to make _tabula

rasa_ of those inferior peoples who, as a German writer put it, were

“only a burden upon history,” and could “serve only as mortar for a

nobler race”; the consciousness that in case of a victory for the

Central Powers Austria would emerge bound hand and foot to the chariot

of Germany and the anti-German races were doomed; finally, and not

least, the psychological effects of war-weariness and economic misery,

which have more or less shattered empires better knit together than

this one--all these things combined to raise to a white heat the

discontent of the majority of the Hapsburg races and to make them

resolve that they would stand this Austrian nightmare no longer, if the

Allies would only hold out to them a helping hand.

The Allies had certainly had little serious intention of disrupting

Austria, at the beginning or throughout the greater part of the War.

The traditional belief that Austria was a “European necessity,” the

illusion that she could serve as a bulwark against the expansion of

Germany towards the southeast or of Russia towards the Adriatic, the

hope that she might be detached from Germany and persuaded to make a

separate peace, the fear that the disappearance of the monarchy would

lead only to the ‘Balkanization’ of Central Europe and to chaos worse

confounded--such ideas seem to have predominated at London, Paris, and

perhaps Washington, even down to the last year of the War. As late as

January 8, 1918, President Wilson, in formulating the Fourteen Points,

still disclaimed the thought of impairing the integrity of Austria, and

asked for her subject races nothing more than autonomy.

But in the spring and summer of 1918 a great change came over Allied

policy with respect to the Austrian question. It would be difficult

to say how far this change was due to a growing realization on the

part of the Allies of the essential justice of the claims of the

Austrian subject races; or to the failure of all hopes of inducing

Austria to make a separate peace; or to the very clever diplomacy

of the Czecho-Slovaks and the obligations under which the latter

had placed the Allies by their services in Siberia and Russia. I am

inclined to think, however, that the change was caused in very large

part by the gradually maturing conviction that, to use Mr. Henderson’s

phrase, ‘Germany, if she had not yet conquered her enemies, had

at least conquered her allies’;[53] that Austria’s independence,

gravely and progressively impaired ever since the formation of her

alliance with Berlin in 1879, had now become definitely a thing of

the past, so that if she continued to exist at all, it would be only

as a satellite and tool of Germany, a German bridge towards the Near

East, the gangway of Mitteleuropa. Certain declarations made from the

highest quarters in Austria in July, 1918, after a meeting of the

two Kaisers--declarations announcing the intention ‘to tighten the

bonds between the two empires in the sense of a durable fellowship

in time of peace,’ confirmed the fear of the formation of a Central

European _bloc_ with a population of 120,000,000 and an active army

of 12,000,000 men. If this scheme were realized, Germany would have

doubled her power and won the War, even though she restored all the

territory she had occupied. From all this the conclusion seemed plain

that the only way for the Allies to defeat the Pan-Germanist plan

and place a permanent check upon Prussian militarism was to disrupt

Austria-Hungary and to form a series of national states along the

eastern frontier of Germany. It was now the destruction of Austria that

was a European necessity. Hence, in the summer of 1918, the Allied

governments, one after the other, formally approved the claims of

the two chief malcontent Hapsburg races, the Czecho-Slovaks and the

Yugo-Slavs, to unity and independence, and the Czecho-Slovaks were even

recognized as an allied and belligerent nation. These declarations,

accompanied or soon followed as they were by the sudden change in the

military situation, the rapid and unbroken series of Allied victories

on every front, and the collapse of Bulgaria, sealed the fate of

Austria-Hungary.

The dynasty did, indeed, experience a deathbed repentance. In that

black month of October, when he was daily throwing himself on President

Wilson’s doorstep, pleading his zeal for peace and his love for the

Fourteen Points, Kaiser Karl was also promising mountains and marvels

to his own subjects--the complete transformation of the monarchy into

a federation of national states. Such a system adopted even a few

years earlier might have saved Austria; but, as some one has remarked,

at the point at which matters had arrived, ‘one might as well have

talked of federating the Kilkenny cats.’[54] As the Czecho-Slovak

National Council declared, the Austrian races were no longer to be

duped by promises from Vienna, as to the value of which they had had a

sufficiently long experience. “What we demand the government at Vienna

will never give us, and couldn’t, if it wanted to.”[55]

In the course of thirty days the monarchy spontaneously split into

fragments. Almost without opposition from the authorities, almost

without a hand being raised in defence of the secular throne of

the Hapsburgs, power passed to the National Councils improvised by

the Czecho-Slovaks, the Yugo-Slavs, the Poles, the Ukrainians, the

Roumanians, the Magyars, and even the German Austrians. November 12-13

the last of the Hapsburgs abdicated. It was a dissolution without a

parallel, with the elemental force of a tidal wave.

When the Peace Conference met at Paris, it did not have to concern

itself with the old question whether the maintenance of Austria was

a European necessity. The Austrian peoples themselves had settled

that question, with irrefragable logic and unmistakable finality.

The territories of the defunct empire had already been partitioned,

in rough, provisional fashion and not without a few miniature wars,

among eight states corresponding to the eight principal nationalities

of that Empire. Five of these states were reckoned at Paris as

Allies--Italy, Roumania, Yugo-Slavia, Czecho-Slovakia, and Poland; two

of them--Hungary and German Austria--ranked as enemies; while as to the

Galician Ukrainians, Paris could never quite make up its mind whether

to count them as friends, enemies, or neutrals. The main problem before

the Conference, therefore, was, while making peace with the two enemy

states mentioned, to effect a definitive division of the Hapsburg

inheritance that would be just, practical, and conducive to the peace

and security of Europe.

Some Problems of the Peace Conference · 第 12 / 19 段