this in the end. For a time they will go on merrily enough, and send
things booming, but in the end most of them get the worst of it. At the
risk of repeating myself, I will say here:
Mr. A. B. Stockwell is a good illustration of the truth of this. At one
time he was worth many millions of dollars. His start in life was as a
purser on a Lake Erie steamboat; his father, it is said, kept a livery
stable in Cleveland. On one of his trips Stockwell was in a position to
show considerable attention to Elias Howe, the inventor of the eye at
the top end of the sewing-machine needle. Mr. Howe was accompanied by
his daughter. Stockwell made himself agreeable to Miss Howe also, and
with such good effect that he managed to win her affections, and soon
thereafter married her.
When Mr. Howe died, Mrs. Stockwell came into possession of her father’s
millions. With this nest egg Stockwell started in Wall Street, and
before anyone realized what had happened he was the most talked-of man
in the district. He put all his wife’s millions in Pacific Mail stock,
secured entire control of the company and elected himself its president.
He came into the Street as plain Stockwell. Then, as the news of his
liberality and good-fellowship spread, he became Mr. Stockwell. After he
got hold of the Pacific Mail he was Commodore Stockwell by common
consent. Everybody bowed and scraped to him, and no man was so high and
mighty that he was not proud to shake his hand.
Stockwell took hold of Pacific Mail at about 40 and sent it up to 107.
It was at this period that he was worth on paper over $15,000,000. But
he found, unfortunately, when it was too late to retreat, that though
Pacific Mail was up to 107 it was not worth that figure when the
unloading commenced.
He was landed high and dry with it all, and the Street told him he was
welcome to it. He tried to sell, and found that there was no market.
Then came violent demands on him to pay up his numerous call loans, and
in order to respond he had to sell regardless of price, and thus a
whirlpool was created which finally sent the stock down to the price at
which he had begun his original purchases. In this one upset he lost all
his paper profits and his wife’s millions besides. That was the most
famous boom in the history of Pacific Mail, notwithstanding Leonard
Jerome’s previous brilliant ups and downs in that property.
Leonard Jerome and his brother Addison had a good time with Pacific Mail
for a while. They ran it up to high figures several times, but finally
met with the same experience that Stockwell did. The two Jeromes, from
being among the wealthiest and most dazzling operators in the Street,
were in the end practically wiped out. Leonard Jerome, who was the
father of Lady Randolph Churchill, had nothing left to bequeath his
daughter except an equity in the house now occupied by the Manhattan
Club on Madison Avenue, which yields an income of about $15,000 a year,
of which Lady Churchill gets $10,000.
These are a few of the booms that have stirred up things in Wall Street
at one time or another, as did the Keene, the Gould, and the Vanderbilt
booms, and the rest I have mentioned.
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CHAPTER LXVIII.
WALL STREET’S WILD SPECULATION, 1900-1904.
MCKINLEY’S REËLECTION AND THE DEFEAT OF BRYANISM SET THE BIG BALL OF
SPECULATION ROLLING ON THE STOCK EXCHANGE.—THE TREMENDOUS VOLUME OF
SPECULATION BY BOTH LARGE AND SMALL CAPITALISTS.—THE RUSH TO
INCORPORATE NEW COMPANIES AND CREATE INDUSTRIAL TRUSTS AND RAILWAY
COMBINATIONS.—THE ENORMOUS CAPITALIZATION OF THE UNITED STATES STEEL
CORPORATION AND OTHER COMPANIES IN EXCESS OF REAL VALUES.—THE RAPID
GROWTH AND POPULARITY OF NEW AND OLD TRUST COMPANIES AND THE EFFECT
OF THEIR COMPETITION IN FORCING BANK CONSOLIDATIONS.—THE BOLD AND
RECKLESS SPECULATIONS IN RAILWAY STOCKS OF THE NEWLY ENRICHED
WESTERN CAPITALISTS.—THE GREAT NORTHERN PACIFIC PANIC OF MAY 9,
1901.—THE CAPTURE OF CONTROL OF THE LOUISVILLE & NASHVILLE RAILWAY
BY JOHN W. GATES, AND ITS REDEMPTION BY J. P. MORGAN & CO., ACTING
IN THE INTEREST OF THE LOUISVILLE & NASHVILLE AND SOUTHERN
RAILWAY.—THE SLOWING DOWN OF WILD AND RECKLESS SPECULATION IN STOCKS
AFTER SEPTEMBER, 1902, THROUGH THE INFLUENCE OF THE BANKS AND
CONSERVATIVE BANKERS, THUS AVERTING FURTHER INFLATION AND A GREAT
CONVULSION.—THE LIQUIDATION AND DEPRESSION OF 1903 A NATURAL
REACTION FROM THE INTOXICATION OF THE PRECEDING PROLONGED BOOM.—THE
GREAT RISE IN COTTON AND THE COLLAPSE OF THE TREMENDOUS BULL
SPECULATION LED BY DANIEL J. SULLY WHEN HE FAILED.—THE SUDDEN FALL
IN THE IRON BAROMETER IN 1903, AND THE GENERAL SITUATION IN 1904.
Wall Street changed with almost magical suddenness from depression and
apprehension to confidence and buoyancy with the defeat of Bryan and his
silver heresy, and the reëlection of McKinley in November, 1900. Large
capitalists all over the country began to buy stocks and bonds on so
heavy a scale that prices shot up rapidly, like the celebrated
Gilderoy’s kite, and very soon orders poured into the Stock Exchange
from people of smaller means everywhere, and a tremendous bull market
for stocks resulted, with too many men staking, or ready to stake, their
bottom dollar on the rise.
The speculative capitalists and large operators of Wall Street, not of
course excepting many of the active Standard Oil magnates and James R.
Keene, naturally availed themselves of this state of affairs to
manipulate stocks on a grand scale. Having loaded up with them early at
low prices, they boomed them with vigor; and we witnessed the beginning
of a carnival of speculation, and an unexampled rush to form
combinations of industrial and railroad interests, or trusts, and
generally to capitalize the concerns taken in for many times the amount
of their previous capital or real value. The stock thus created, after
being admitted to dealings in Wall Street, was made active and bid up by
the promoters to high figures to catch buyers, while the public, which
had become crazy to buy, took it in enormous amounts. It bought in haste
to repent at leisure, for, I regret to say, most of the buyers have it
still; and the aggregate loss its shrinkage in price represents is to be
counted by very many hundreds of millions of dollars.
But it was fortunate for both Wall Street and the nation that the
inflation which ran riot till September, 1902, was then checked by the
conservative action and warnings of the banks and men like myself, for
if it had been allowed to continue for another half year it would have
ended in a disastrous convulsion, a bursting of the bubble, which would
have been felt all over the United States, and in every department of
business, as in and after the panics of 1857 and 1873. I was one of the
first to sound the alarm and call a halt in this dangerously wild
speculation in my weekly letter dated September 13, 1902, in the
following words:
“A man becomes an inebriate by getting himself into a condition
where he ceases to recognize effect as following cause. Under
the influence, at times, of the intoxicating beverage he will
defy both law and order. This is due to the callous condition he
has allowed himself to get into. The stock market of late has
been productive of a similar condition of mind with a majority
of people. They have been engaged now for such a prolonged
period in buying, buying, buying, making profits on all their
ventures, as to make them like the inebriate, callous to all
adverse factors whenever they come up. High prices don’t
frighten them; scarcity and high rates for money don’t frighten
them; cautionary signals don’t frighten them; strikes don’t
frighten them. Buying and holding on have simply become chronic
with them. This may not unlikely continue to be the condition of
the stock market until compulsory liquidation sets in, which the
strain in the money situation will sooner or later produce. I
recommend great caution on the buying side, and, better still,
not buying at all at the prevailing high prices. I see no
possibility of relief to the money market excepting through the
importation of gold. The activity of business all over the
country, together with the moving of the crops, is going to keep
money thoroughly employed at high rates from now onward and all
the way through the new year; therefore, those who buy stocks to
carry hereafter, excepting on big concessions from present
prices, may meanwhile be overtaken with discomfort from
depreciation in values as well as from the difficulty of
obtaining money at reasonable rates.
“HENRY CLEWS.”
The intoxication of the time having gradually given place to sobriety,
and a slow but heavy downward reaction in prices, we escaped the violent
and widespread panic that threatened us, and that would have been
inevitable had we not “slowed down” in time. As it was, the decline was
long-continued and severe, and impoverished or ruined hundreds of
thousands of people, including a vast number of formerly very rich men.
Both big and little speculators became the victims of the downward
plunge of prices: but the country as a whole was saved from serious
disturbance and depression—that is, from the effects of such a
tremendous collapse and crash as menaced Wall Street during nearly the
entire year 1903. This was very fortunate for all our material
interests; and the conservative element in Wall Street is to be
congratulated on having so successfully put on the brakes in time to
prevent a collapse that would have involved and disturbed the nation
from the Atlantic to the Pacific.
The year 1901 was the most remarkable in the financial history of the
United States, and Wall Street was a theater of action whose
performances astonished not only the entire country, but the world.
Their like had never been seen before, not even during the great war
between North and South. It would take volumes to fully describe and
give retrospective clearness to the leading events of that extraordinary
period which made the Stock Exchange continually the scene of wild
excitement, daring manipulation, and unexampled inflation.
To say that Wall Street astonished the natives and made conservative
business men stand aghast is no exaggeration. There were six influential
factors actively at work in that year, namely, the consolidation of
railroad and industrial companies at enormously inflated prices,
including the disastrous Northern Pacific skyrocket “corner,” the
restless sea of reckless stock speculation that swept the American
people into its vortex, with all its razzle-dazzle extravagance, the
transformation of this country from a heavy lender in Europe to a heavy
and urgent borrower, the partial failure of the corn crop, the decline
in prices for nearly all the staples except grain and iron, and the
collapse in earnings and dividends of many new industrial combinations.
These included The Amalgamated Copper Company, and the panicky decline
in its stock, which impoverished or ruined many thousands of investors,
it being first run up to 130 and then rapidly down to 60 by the
manipulators, who sold out and then sold “short,” and who are said to
have made more than fifty millions by the up and down movement.
Subsequently even this low price was cut nearly in two, as the decline
did not stop until 32½ was reached.
A mere recital of events as they occurred would be an eloquent serial
story to those familiar with the alphabet of Wall Street; and there is
no more interesting or exciting serial story than the stock ticker
tells, from day to day, to those interested in the stock market, or one
that often excites more joy or sorrow, or carries with it more weal or
woe, prosperity or ruin. But the ticker, like Tennyson’s brook, will go
on forever during business hours, for we shall never be without a stock
market and speculation.
The transactions of the New York Stock Exchange in 1901 were so
tremendous in volume as to excite wonder. But they only represented the
speculative spirit, the intoxication of the time. The sales in the first
half of the year aggregated 175,800,600 shares of stocks and
$637,100,800 of bonds at par value, an increase of 109,906,300 shares
and $346,900,700 in bonds over the same six months in 1900.
As prices soared the volume of speculation increased, and on January 7th
the day’s total sales amounted to 2,116,500 shares, and then went on
increasing till they reached 3,271,000 on April 30th. Then came the
Northern Pacific bombshell, the panic of May 9th, when stocks came down
even faster than Captain Scott’s coon, and the actual sales were still
larger, but owing to the intense excitement, demoralization, and
confusion that prevailed, it was impossible to keep track of them all,
and the ticker registered only 3,073,300 shares.
This sudden catastrophe convulsed the stock market in a way that alarmed
money lenders, destroyed confidence, and caused a general rush to sell
stocks which brought them down with a crash, involving many thousands in
ruinous losses. The revulsion of feeling, the change in the sentiment of
the Street was as startling as a violent earthquake, and the
consequences were fraught with grave disaster. Up to the very eve of
this great convulsion in the stock market the dance of speculation had
been fast and furious, among both “the big men” and the little, and its
unlooked-for occurrence reminded one of Byron’s lines on the Brussels
ball, given on the eve of the battle of Waterloo, when the sound of
cannon unexpectedly boomed above the music:
“On with the dance! Let joy be unconfined;
No sleep till morn when Youth and Pleasure meet
To chase the glowing hours with flying feet.
The lamps shone o’er fair women and brave men;
A thousand hearts beat happily; and when
Music arose with its voluptuous swell,
Soft eyes looked love to eyes that spake again,
And all went merry as a marriage bell;
But hush! hark! a deep sound strikes like a rising knell,
Arm! arm! it is—it is—the cannon’s opening roar!”
Fortunately, in the midst of the Northern Pacific panic, the financial
belligerents combined to stop it. Their competitive buying for control
of the stock had caused the “corner.” But the extraordinarily high
prices to which it was bid up by those short of it were reached after
the competitive buying had ceased for the want of sellers. The
contestants saw the wisdom of coming to terms to restore confidence and
check the havoc that was being wrought on the Stock Exchange, where
prices had fallen from fifteen to fifty per cent. that day, while
Northern Pacific common stock had sold up to $1,000 a share. So J. P.
Morgan & Co., the bankers of the Hill-Burlington-Great Northern party,
and Kuhn, Loeb & Co., the bankers of the Harriman-Union Pacific party,
met in haste, and came to an agreement as to the Northern Pacific stock
they had bought, the formal announcement of which caused a violent
recovery of prices the next day, but not before the sweep of the besom
of destruction had caused several Stock Exchange failures to be
announced. The recovery was followed by a relapse of equal violence
under a fresh rush to sell, which carried stocks nearly as low as in the
panic, and then by a fresh recovery, a usual feature in a crisis where
credit has been severely shaken and many have been crippled.
The outcome of this agreement between the two sides was the formation of
the Northern Securities Company, practically as arranged for by J. P.
Morgan & Co. and Kuhn, Loeb & Co., Mr. Morgan naming the directors by
mutual consent. Into this repository, or holding company, the Hill and
Harriman companies—that is, both sides to the controversy—put their
Northern Pacific stock, as well as Great Northern stock, and the
Northern Securities Company later issued its own stock to them in
exchange for it.
But when, in 1904, the Northern Securities Company was held by the
United States Supreme Court to be a violation of the anti-trust law, and
it became necessary to distribute its assets, a new controversy arose.
Its directors proposed to make an equal, or _pro rata_, distribution of
the Northern Pacific and Great Northern stocks deposited with it,
whereas President E. H. Harriman, for the Union Pacific, which deposited
the lion’s share of the Northern Pacific, namely, $78,000,000, wanted
all its stock back again; in other words, to eat his cake and have it,
too. As this, if assented to, would have given the Union Pacific control
of the Northern Pacific, President Hill, for the Great Northern
Burlington system, naturally objected, and we all know of the litigation
that followed, and in view of the glorious uncertainty of the law, it
would have been rash to have predicted its final outcome.
On the Stock Exchange, April was the most active month of 1901, the
sales aggregating 41,689,200, a daily average of 1,812,600. On April
24th no less than 652,900 shares of Union Pacific were sold. These
specimen bricks furnish a practical commentary on the rampant
speculation then in progress.
The new incorporations of the year represented an amazing amount of
capital, the total being far in excess of any previous year, even that
of 1899, when many of the large trust combinations were formed. The
largest and probably the most heavily watered combination launched was
the United States Steel Corporation, with its $508,478,000 of common
stock, $510,277,300 of preferred stock, and $304,000,000 of bonds. The
mania for organizing new companies and making combinations of old ones
on largely inflated capital spread to every State in the Union, and the
promoters of industrial enterprises, in particular, seemed to be trying
to surpass each other in piling Pelion on Ossa in excessive
capitalization. Their obvious purpose in most instances was to sell the
stock to the public, and the poor public took the bait and suffered
accordingly, for much of the stock in a great many of the new schemes
became almost entirely worthless, both as collateral and in the stock
market, and the rest experienced very heavy depreciation, and,
figuratively speaking, like the shaky corporations it represented, went
limping along with an uncertain gait and a ragged and down-at-the-heel
appearance suggestive of reduced circumstances and hard times.
In every State there was a flood, if not a deluge, of new companies. In
New Jersey, 2,346 were formed in 1901, with a capitalization of
$4,773,702,000, against 2,181 in 1900, with a capitalization of
$1,350,208,400; and in New York, Ohio, and Texas the incorporation mills
were proportionately active in grinding out new companies with
fictitiously large capital stocks.
Commercial and manufacturing corporations were practically unknown, that
is, in any substantial form, in the United States till about 1850, and
then they followed the development of the railways. In 1848 the first
general corporation act, known as the Manufacturing Act, had been passed
in this State, and companies began to be organized under it; but the law
limited their capital and imposed other restrictions, whereas companies
may now be incorporated for a thousand years with an unlimited amount of
capital. The contrast between 1850 and this era of trusts marks the
great and rapid progress of the country in the interval in population,
commerce, manufacturing industry, banking, railway building, and general
material prosperity.
The growth of trust companies has been the natural outcome of our
industrial and economic development, and the freedom allowed by our laws
in monetary affairs. In England, France, and other European countries
the laws restrict corporation rights and privileges so rigidly that such
companies would find it impossible to do business there as they do here.
Hence trust companies have practically no existence except in this
country. How immensely they have prospered of recent years the banks
know to their cost. In 1882 the gross deposits of all such companies in
the United States were $144,841,000. In 1892 they were $411,659,000; but
after the new industrial combination era began, in 1897, they shot up
with amazing celerity, and new companies sprang up like mushrooms in all
our large cities, and here and there in small towns.
Being competitors of the banks they shared their business, and so
prevented or limited their natural growth, and forced many of the bank
consolidations that have since taken place. At the end of June, 1902,
their deposits had mounted up to $1,525,887,000. Here was an increase of
$1,114,228 in ten years to about half of the total individual national
bank deposits of the country, for these on July 16, 1902, were
$3,098,875,772. Moreover, in the city of New York the trust company
deposits exceed, or did exceed, the individual deposits of the national
banks, those of the latter on September 15, 1902, aggregating
$603,565,374, while on June 30, 1902, the deposits of the trust
companies, as shown by their semi-annual reports to the State
Superintendent of Banking, were $760,776,124. This comparison is a very
suggestive revelation of where the money goes and how the trust
companies prosper at the expense of the banks.
In 1902, again, a few leading factors, or influences, controlled
American finance, and shaped the real financial history of the year.
These were the good corn crop, following the bad one, and other
satisfactory harvests; the overstraining of American bank resources to
supply the vast requirements of the new trust and flotation enterprises
when the capital and currency of the country were required for its
regular trade and ordinary business; the enormous increase in our
foreign importations contemporaneously with a very heavy decrease in our
exports; the great rise in the price of the raw materials used in our
manufactures, as well as in the cost of labor; the strenuous efforts of
large speculative capitalists to extend and hold permanent control of
their respective railway and industrial enterprises and undertakings;
the reckless and unprecedented Vesuvius-like eruption of speculation in
railroad and other stocks by wealthy and newly enriched Western stock
operators known as “the Chicago Crowd” and “the Pittsburg Crowd,”
respectively, aided by heavy bank loans at high rates; and finally the
refusal of the public to follow them any longer as buyers. This accords
with what I have said about the influence of the conservative banks and
bankers in calling a halt on the wild speculation for a rise which raged
up to the latter part of September in that year.
The exploit, in 1902, of John W. Gates, backed by his speculative
associates, in buying a majority of the Louisville & Nashville Railway
stock, was his last successful venture to make a big haul of millions on
the Stock Exchange. After that he and they met with very heavy losses in
their continued efforts to boom stocks. But Mr. Gates was paid a profit
of ten millions of dollars on his Louisville & Nashville purchases by J.
P. Morgan & Co., a partner in that firm having made the bargain with him
at the Waldorf-Astoria Hotel, at three o’clock in the morning, after it
had been discovered that Mr. Gates had really bought control of the
stock.
It transpired, in evidence, that Mr. Perkins had gone there at that hour
for this purpose, and found Mr. Gates in bed. The object in giving him
so large an amount above what he had paid for the stock he had just
bought was to get him out of the way as a mischief-maker, for with him
in control of the Louisville & Nashville, there was no telling what he
would do to demoralize the Southern Railway system. He was looked upon
as a bull in a china shop, to be coaxed and tempted out, regardless of
expense, before he began to toss the crockery with his horns.
So when he said to Mr. Perkins, “As you want the stock so badly, to keep
the Belmont board in control and protect the Southern Railway, I will
let you have it if you will pay me ten millions more than it cost,” the
proposition was promptly accepted; and the deal was closed on this
basis. The Louisville & Nashville and the Southern Railway companies
were supposed to have been jointly interested in the purchase, but the
Gates stock was finally turned over to the Atlantic Seaboard Air Line.
Buying control of the Louisville & Nashville by Mr. Gates was a far
bolder operation than President Hill’s purchase of the stock of the
Burlington & Quincy for the Great Northern, or than the Moore Brothers’
purchase of control of the Rock Island and their subsequent great
inflation of its stock and bonded debt, because Gates bought it merely
as a speculation, without any desire to manage the road. He was
fortunate in being able to sell it so easily to those he had frightened
by his daring coup.
It is interesting to compare the leading influences, or principal
factors, in Wall Street in 1903 with those of 1901 and 1902. Stock
Exchange transactions in that year were very much smaller than in 1902,
but not nearly as much so as the total in 1902 had fallen below those of
1901, the year of the greatest activity and excitement in this memorable
speculative period. The sales in 1903 aggregated 161,099,800 shares,
against 188,497,600 in 1902 and 265,945,700 in 1901. The largest total
on any one day in 1903 was 1,539,000, against 1,996,000 in 1902 and
3,202,200 in 1901. The largest in any month in 1903 was that of January,
16,002,300, against 26,568,000 in April, 1902, and the smallest in 1903
was 10,731,000 in November, against 7,884,900 in June, 1902.
The barometer of the iron trade was still rising at the opening of 1903.
Good crops had been gathered and were being sold at good prices; railway
earnings were large, and railway companies were making heavy
expenditures for new equipment and improvements, and every department of
business and manufacturing industry seemed prosperous, with the iron
trade enjoying its full share of that prosperity. So heavy, indeed, was
the demand for iron and steel that the capacity of our works was unequal
to it, and we were importing iron and steel largely, as we had been in
1902.
But in June the iron industry experienced one of its time-honored
lightning changes. That barometer suddenly fell. The demand subsided
with surprising celerity in all lines, and by November prices in some of
these were fifty per cent. lower than in January. The boom in the iron
trade which commenced in 1899 was at an end after lasting for four
years. At the end of the year, however, the trade began to revive, and
1904 witnessed a slow but steady improvement in it, as the reports of
the United States Steel Corporation’s earnings have shown. Consequently
that highly inflated company, after being forced in 1903 to suspend
dividends on its common stock, was encouraged to continue them at seven
per cent. on its preferred stock. But this carried cold comfort to the
hundreds of thousands who had been impoverished by buying these stocks
at the high prices at which they were floated here and in Europe.
Before the end of 1903 liquidation on a large scale in stocks had run
its course and exhausted itself, and the market quieted into comparative
steadiness; and in 1904 we had, on the whole, nothing more than a dull
trading market, with the outside public very largely absent. But there
has been a general tendency toward slow improvement, although the net
earnings of both railways and industrial companies have, on the average,
shown a heavy shrinkage, a reflection of the reduced volume of trade and
more or less industrial depression following the overstimulated boom of
previous years. Just as 1901 was the year of the most unbridled and
unrestrained inflation, 1902 witnessed a constant battle against the
tendency to a downward reaction, and 1903 saw and felt the reaction,
which was all the more severe because it had been so long delayed.
In the cotton market, however, as wild and extraordinary a bull
speculation raged in 1903 and the early part of 1904, under the lead of
Daniel J. Sully in New York, and William P. Brown and a Southern clique
in New Orleans, as ever excited the Stock Exchange. Through their
manipulation, helped by the statistical position of cotton and the
prospect of reduced production, cotton rose, under an enormous and
unprecedented volume of transactions, from about eight cents a pound
here to seventeen cents, with frequent violent fluctuations, and Mr.
Sully was avowedly planning to carry it up to twenty cents, when he
found his resources insufficient to carry, on a falling market, the
amount of cotton sold to him. So after going up like a rocket, he came
down like the rocket stick, although his previous profits by the rapid
rise had run into several millions. It was well that a halt was thus
practically called to this excited speculation and excessive advance in
cotton, for it had inflicted heavy losses upon spinners and caused the
closing of many mills. Sully’s failure was the logical result of a too
daring speculative campaign, and reminds us of that vaulting ambition
which overleaps itself and falls on the other side.
Glancing at other countries, I find that Canada made more material
progress in 1903 than in any previous year in her history, business
increasing substantially in nearly every branch of trade and finance,
stimulated by bountiful crops and 150,000 immigrants. But in England the
continued decline of British Consols to the lowest prices in a
generation reflected a low financial barometer, the legacy of the costly
South African war. France, however, made the best showing of the year in
Europe in finance and general prosperity, while in Germany a vigorous
industrial revival lifted that country out of its previous depression
consequent on over-speculation and bank failures.
One question of great interest in relation to our new industrial
combinations is whether a proper readjustment of their hugely inflated
capital and excessive charges will place them permanently in a condition
of efficiency, productiveness, solvency, and prosperity, or whether they
will ultimately drift, one by one, into the hands of receivers through
their inability to make both ends meet, or become hopeless wrecks, like
the Shipbuilding Trust. The same fate is liable to overtake many other
large flotations into which there was a too copious flow of water,
supplemented by chicanery and misrepresentation. Many of these have been
organized in disregard and defiance of legitimate finance, and have
exposed the stock market and all the monetary interests depending upon
them to risks and disastrous disturbances inseparable from organizations
whose foundations rest largely on wind and water and on prospectuses and
book-keeping that often failed to tell the truth, the whole truth, and
nothing but the truth.
It was well that a stop was practically put to the creation of such
inflated industrial combinations, as well as to needless combinations
and highly inflated stock issues among the railroads for power and
profit and stock-jobbing purposes, by the course of the Wall Street
banking interest, to which I have referred, in coming to the conclusion
that the over-watering of new companies, the marketing of new stocks,
and the rise of prices on the Stock Exchange had been carried beyond the
point of safety, and that the outside public had bought more speculative
industrial and railway stocks than they would be able to carry on a
falling market.
They argued, therefore, that their buying power and their inclination to
buy were nearly exhausted, and that the stock market had become largely
a field of action for certain heavy and reckless speculators, each of
whom had suddenly made many millions by the formation of new trusts and
railway combinations. Some of these had become multi-millionaires
through the early sale of the heavy amounts of United States Steel stock
they received in exchange for their plants when that huge corporation
was launched in its sea of water. In this they were like some others who
enriched themselves by their industrial combinations in the West before
they branched out in Wall Street.
Very large bank loans to the brokers of these big operators were
gradually called in and fresh accommodations refused them. Without loans
it was impossible for them to buy and run up stocks to inordinately high
prices, as they had been doing. Therefore they found that, to a large
extent, their occupation was, like Othello’s, gone. They were eagles
with clipped wings.
The heavy liquidation by large and small operators in 1903 caused a
heavy and almost continuous decline in prices on the Stock Exchange.
Many rich men were compelled by this shrinkage and the calling in of
their loans by the banks to sell out heavy lines of both railway and
industrial stocks. Not a few of these lost practically all their
capital, while nearly all the rest sold a large part of their best
holdings to protect the remainder, which became unmarketable.
This period of liquidation and depression left Wall Street and the
country at large in 1904 thickly sprinkled with poor rich men,
capitalists with a good deal of property, real and personal, including
stocks, but all unsalable in the market except at an almost ruinous
loss. Their policy is naturally to hold on to what they have left till
the tide turns, and if they are strong enough to be able to do this they
will doubtless meet with their reward. History repeats itself in Wall
Street as well as elsewhere, and with this prospect in view they can
cheerfully say, as the old song says, “There’s a good time coming, boys;
only wait a little longer.”
Meanwhile, those who were active in Wall Street during this eventful
period of inflation and speculation must note, more than others, the
vast change that has come over sentiment and opinion in Wall Street and
everywhere else.
Both Wall Street and the outside public have lost the faith that they
had in many of the stock-market leaders, the men who were once followed
blindly in their schemes of inflation and regarded as omnipotent in
their execution. The power and prestige of these leaders, for the
present at least, have passed entirely away, and none are so poor as to
do them reverence. The devotees of the Street no longer worship the old
idols.
Wall Street and the public also lost faith in all new ventures and new
railway and industrial bond and stock issues, as well as in the good
judgment and good faith of the promoters and corporations concerned. The
revelations of fraud, chicanery, and excessive capitalization that have
been made in the courts and elsewhere, have undeceived even the dullest
and most credulous believers in the schemes and schemers that took the
country by storm in the days of Wall Street’s wild and pyrotechnical
speculation.
Out of evil there cometh good, and this great change from blind
credulity and inordinate inflation to discriminating distrust and severe
contraction has exerted a wholesome effect in paving the way to a
sounder, safer, and generally better state of things both in and out of
Wall Street. But meanwhile one bad sign is noteworthy. The large
corporations, being unable to market new bond issues, are borrowing
heavily from banking syndicates at five to six per cent. on notes
running from one to three years. There is danger in this, and the way of
the borrower on these terms may, like that of the transgressor, be hard.
But the end may justify the means; and the nation is still growing as
rapidly and as grandly as ever in our history from ocean to ocean.
There is nothing to provoke pessimism in the magnificent strides we are
making in the march of progress; Wall Street is always sure to reflect
this progress and our growth in material prosperity, as well as any
periods of depression we may encounter, for it is the great barometer
not only of the country and the times, but very largely of the world.
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CHAPTER LXIX.
REVIEW OF THE PANIC YEAR, 1903.
The year 1903 passed into history with few pleasant memories. To a great
number of individuals it was a year of disappointment and loss. To the
very few it was a year of golden experience, demonstrating anew that
real success only comes from rigid adherence to sound business
principles and abstention from illegitimate speculation. Those who
remained steadfast to well-established methods of finance and business
weathered the storms of the year with little injury; while those who
defied economic laws and ventured on the untried highways to success
were, later, chiefly engaged in repairing battered fortunes and
gathering together their scattered senses.
Nineteen hundred and three was chiefly conspicuous as marking the
culmination and collapse of the great trust movement which began five or
six years ago. The country had fairly gone combination mad, both capital
and labor emulating each other in the furious race toward combination
and monopoly. All consequences were blindly disregarded, only the
advantages of combination receiving any serious attention, and no regard
whatever was paid to the workings of these huge combinations. Whoever
pointed out their inherent defects, their defiance of natural economic
laws, their ineradicable opposition to human nature, their socialistic
tendencies, their opposition to individuality, their inability to
suppress competition—whoever was bold enough to oppose these tendencies
on such grounds was swept aside with contempt and indifference. This
phase of the movement, however, was by no means the end of the trust
mania. It received an enormous stimulus from Wall Street, where the
clever promoter quickly discovered in the increased profits and power of
these combines something new to capitalize. These forced profits,
together with the premiums paid to original owners for control of good
will and for promoters’ commissions, were the basis of an enormous
overcapitalization, the new concerns frequently being capitalized at
several times their real value. Not less than $6,000,000,000 of these
new creations was made within a few short years, forming the basis of a
colossal speculation, backed by unequaled financial power and launched
upon an unprecedented industrial boom. It is not the purpose of this
brief review to cite instances of failure. Fortunately, the losses
resulting from inability to unload on the public fell chiefly upon those
best able to bear them, the panic being strictly financial and,
fortunately, not commercial or industrial. For the original shareholders
in these combinations who failed to sell, the losses were chiefly on
paper; but they were sufficiently heavy to seriously cripple many rich
men whose fortunes had been locked up in these enormously inflated new
creations. Syndicate after syndicate was formed to finance these
organizations; some made fabulous profits, but others were closed out
with heavy losses, bringing the country to the verge of the greatest
panic in history. Fortunately, the country’s general prosperity was only
slightly impaired by the tremendous strain thus imposed on Wall Street.
The storm was finally safely weathered because of the prudence of our
bankers and the strength of our national resources, as well as the
continued prosperity of the farmer, who once more proved himself the
backbone of the nation. These experiences have effectually killed the
trust mania, and its revival is exceedingly improbable. Big
corporations, it is true, will remain, for the reason that they are the
best known means of doing the world’s work; but the era of excessive
capitalization of good will, promoters’ fees, monopoly profits, and the
delusions of visionary economists is happily at an end. Whether the
final days of reckoning for the trusts have been seen or not is a
question that must be left until the ultimate test of business adversity
is applied, which we sincerely hope is still far distant. At best, the
future of the industrials is dubious. Along with, and as a natural
sequence of, the trust movement came the labor movement. The power of
combination once discovered was as badly misused by labor as by capital;
even worse, for the demands of labor were pushed to such extremes of
extortion and injustice as to throttle business and arouse popular
indignation among those who still preserved some ideas of individual
freedom.
Next to the trust movement the most potent influence in the business
world was the simply phenomenal boom in the iron and steel trade. The
world had never seen such rapid development before. This was based
principally upon the enormous demands of American railroads, which have
been practically reconstructed in order to meet the tremendous rush of
traffic which the nation’s growth has imposed upon them. The big car and
the big locomotive necessitated heavier rails, new bridges, and new
terminal facilities; so that hundreds and hundreds of millions were thus
expended, very largely out of current earnings, but in many cases, also,
by the creation of new capital issues. It is probable that the heaviest
portion of this work has been done, yet much remains to be completed,
and railroads will be heavy buyers of steel to continue projected
improvements. Another powerful stimulus to the iron trade was the use of
the steel frame building for office purposes. This meant a revolution in
office buildings, and the business centers of all our large cities are
undergoing a process of reconstruction which is far from complete, and
was brought to an abrupt halt by the extortionate demands of labor. In
addition to these two great sources of demand the uses of iron and steel
are steadily extending with the progress of invention, the cheapening of
their cost, and the high price of lumber. The iron trade’s pace was too
rapid to last, and the reaction came with unexpected severity in the
latter half of 1903, precipitated, of course, by the financial reaction,
which, along with the labor agitation, discouraged all new enterprise.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAPTER LXX.
LEADING WALL STREET EVENTS UP TO THE FALL OF
1907.
The natural result of the panic of 1903, and the long period of
depression in Wall Street, was that an unprecedentedly large surplus
reserve was accumulated by the New York banks in 1904, reaching its
maximum in August. This was still further swelled in 1905, when
speculation for a rise again assumed formidable proportions, and new
high records were made in the stock market. Both bank loans and deposits
reached a magnitude never before known, and the activity on the Stock
Exchange, combined with that in trade, and land, mining, and other
speculations outside of Wall Street, caused the clearing house exchanges
to greatly exceed those of any previous year.
Our foreign imports also increased till they made new high records,
although our exports failed to keep pace with them. This large import
trade reflected both the rising fortunes of the rich, who had suffered
severely during the depression of 1903, and the general prosperity. Our
imports are the barometer of the times. When these are good, they are
large; but in bad times they shrink enormously, for a large percentage
of them represent luxuries, and we are a luxury-loving people, and, in
comparison with Europeans, our manner of living is expensive, not to say
extravagant.
Before the end of 1905 the banks of the rest of the country followed
those of New York in reporting deposits and loans larger than ever
before, whereas in the early part of it their only high record was in
the amount of their cash reserves. This showed the great demand for
loans and discounts to meet the requirements of the rapidly increasing
volume of trade and speculation.
The amount of money available for loans was largely reduced in the early
part of 1905 by our heavy exports of gold. But it was subsequently
increased by the issue, up to December 1st, of sixty millions in
National Bank note circulation, which was so much fuel added to the fire
of speculation, not, however, in Wall Street, as much as in the
interior, where there was a rage for new enterprises of all kinds,
mostly speculative. Everyone with money enough to make a venture seemed
to be seeking a short cut to wealth.
This inland speculation and business activity, particularly in the West
and South, caused the exchanges or clearings of the banks all over the
country, except in New York, which was comparatively dull, to reach
larger totals than ever before. Our iron production and foreign imports,
at the same time, made new high records.
The gold in the United States Treasury, owned by the Government,
increased under the tariff on imports from $193,072,614, early in 1905,
to $291,258,135, near the end, and the total amount held by it,
including that held against outstanding gold certificates, increased to
$816,354,352, the largest in the Government’s history, and also the
largest held by any government or institution in the world. The next
largest sum ever held elsewhere was $591,600,000, by the Bank of Russia,
in 1898. Yet on January 31, 1895, the total amount of gold held by Uncle
Sam—that is, by the Treasury—was only $97,353,776, and on February 12th
this had dwindled to $41,340,181, owing to the run on the Treasury
through fear that the Government might be forced to suspend gold
payments. But President Cleveland’s prompt action in selling bonds for
gold—to the Morgan-Belmont syndicate—averted this possibility.
Before glancing at more recent events, it is well to refresh our
memories by looking back at the most conspicuous features of the
stirring period in Wall Street’s history, extending from the beginning
of 1901 to 1906. In 1901 we had a year of extraordinary developments,
including new company organizations and old company amalgamations, wild
and reckless speculation by the outside public, heavy borrowing of
European money to carry on this speculation, the failure of the corn
crop, and, except for corn, a heavy fall in the prices of our products.
In 1902 Wall Street was flooded with new bond and stock flotation
schemes, all clamoring for bank loans, although the activity of trade
called for all the loanable capital available. Coincidently, there was
wild and reckless speculation in stocks by newly made industrial
millionaires with large bank resources and enormous loans at their
command. The outside public, however, were not tempted by the bait they
offered. Hence, the banks had an excessive burden of loans, all the
greater because of the determination, at any risk, of the speculative
capitalists to carry out their flotation schemes so as to control great
industrial, railway, and other corporations. Meanwhile, there was an
immense increase in our foreign imports and a decrease in our
agricultural exports, and a great rise in raw materials and the cost of
labor. But, fortunately, the year gave us a good corn crop and other
satisfactory harvests.
Then came 1903 with its train of disasters. Investors took alarm at the
masses of new securities thrown upon the market, and withdrew from it.
The securities consequently became unsalable, and prices declined
rapidly. This forced liquidation in bonds and stocks of all kinds,
particularly the better kinds, to save the poorer from sacrifice by the
syndicates, corporations, firms, and persons who were over-extended and
unable to respond to the calling in of loans by the banks and other
money lenders. Wall Street was full of “undigested securities,” on which
it was impossible to borrow any longer. So multitudes of holders had to
sell them for what they would bring. Then came a heavy decline in iron
and steel, among other things, an equally heavy reduction of the profits
of industrial corporations, with many corresponding reductions in
dividends, and a very sharp contraction in our before greatly expanded
foreign imports owing to the hard times. We had a rich man’s panic, and
plenty of poor rich men. But, again, we had abundant grain crops,
although the cotton crop was very short, which resulted in our shipping
more cotton to Europe in the autumn than ever before, while its price
was abnormally high.
In 1904 we saw one effect of the depression of 1903 in the abnormally
large surplus reserves of the New York banks, when money on call for
about eight months loaned largely as low as one per cent. Only four
times before had these reserves been exceeded. Then came the largest
gold exports ever made by us. In June the stock market began to recover
under spirited speculation for a rise, together with much buying by
investors. But reckless professional speculators carried prices so high
that the market collapsed in December. During the year there had been a
slow yet general revival of trade, in the face of extremely high prices
for cotton, resulting from a short crop and a bull movement, which
paralyzed the cotton manufacture, and caused many mills to close both
here and in England. But happily this was followed by the most bountiful
cotton crop we ever had, owing to the high price of the staple having
stimulated cotton planting all over the South. A heavy fall in the price
of cotton resulted, in which the bull leader failed. But the grain crops
met with disaster, and were the smallest since 1900, which resulted in
the highest prices since 1898, and the smallest exports to Europe since
1872. The presidential campaign in the meantime passed without creating
a ripple in the tide of Wall Street.
In 1895, simultaneously with much discussion of the world’s increasing
gold product, we saw both here and in the Old World, especially in the
latter part of the year, unexampled monetary stringency with very high
rates for money. The surplus reserve of the New York banks was wiped out
twice, that is, they twice fell below the dead line of the required
twenty-five per cent. reserve on their deposits, while the Bank of
England’s condition was the lowest since 1890, and the Bank of Germany’s
the lowest since 1897. Yet we had a very active and excited bull
speculation in stocks, just as Germany had, despite the high rates for
money, and its abnormal scarcity consequent on its vast employment in
trade and speculative enterprises outside of Wall Street.
That the world’s increased gold product largely stimulated speculation
for a rise, both by adding to the amount of gold in circulation and the
amount of paper money issued by the banks against it, is certain. Its
effect has not been seen in lowering rates of interest, but in lowering
its own value, or purchasing power, by reason of its increased supply
or, in other words, by raising the prices of stocks, commodities, labor,
and whatever else money buys. So the increased supply of gold has only
quickened the uses for it by fostering speculation, and the demand for
speculation has outrun the increased supply of gold—that is, money—and
correspondingly raised interest rates, as well as prices. In 1905 our
national prosperity was crowned with abundant harvests, the corn crop
having been the largest on record, and that of wheat the second largest.
This gave a fresh impetus to trade and speculative enterprise, with
increased railway and industrial earnings, and production, especially in
iron and steel products, at a higher pitch than ever before. Dividends
and reserves also increased in proportion. Russia’s disastrous war was
waged without causing any national disturbance in Wall Street, and her
largely reduced crop of wheat helped us to secure better prices for our
own surplus wheat in Europe. So it is an ill wind that blows no one any
good.
In 1905, too, we witnessed the stormy upheaval in the Equitable Life
Assurance Society, begun by the acrimonious duel between President
Alexander and Vice President Hyde, which led to the general exposure of
the waste, extravagance, graft, and corruption in life-insurance
management, through the investigation of the New York Legislative
Committee. The loss of new insurance business, caused by the popular
distrust of the companies exposed, had its principal effect in Wall
Street in their reduced power to buy bonds; and the prolonged stagnation
in the bond market after they ceased to be large buyers was largely
attributable to this cause. But the exposure was much needed and did
great good in correcting abuses of power and turning the rascals out.
Our exports of domestic merchandise kept pace with our tremendous
industrial prosperity, and these more than doubled in the ten years
ending with June, 1906. Raw cotton, provisions, and iron and steel
manufactures were exported in the fiscal year 1906 to a value exceeding
$300,000,000, iron and steel showing the largest increase, and seventeen
articles, or classes of articles, had an export value of from ten to
forty-two millions. While iron and steel have taken third place, raw
cotton still holds the first, and provisions the second, and copper
manufactures have advanced from the eleventh to the fourth place. But
refined mineral oil, that was third, is now the eleventh, and flour has
dropped from fourth to seventh, although showing an increase of seven
millions, and wheat from seventh to thirteenth.
On the other hand, our exports of agricultural implements were five
times as great in 1906 as in 1896, which advanced them from the
twenty-third to the fourteenth place in the list. Our cotton
manufactures, too, advanced in value from twelfth to eighth, that is,
from $16,750,000 to $53,000,000. There is, however, still room for a
great increase in these, and the outlook favors a large and growing
demand for them in China, the Philippines, and South America. We have
become a great manufacturing and mining, as well as agricultural,
nation, and a lower tariff on raw materials would swell our exports
enormously. That will come in time; but at present politics stand in the
way.
In 1906 we saw a continuation of the same big bull speculation in stocks
that, with varying fortunes, had been progressing since June, 1904, with
Edward H. Harriman, president of the Union Pacific Railway system, and
James J. Hill, president of the Great Northern Railway system, the most
conspicuously dominant figures in the railway world, and, incidentally,
in the world of Wall Street. Prices on the Stock Exchange, and the rates
for money, both on call and time, were abnormally high, and still
tending upward, till both frequently exceeded six per cent. in August,
and, in some instances, jumped as high as thirty per cent. early in
September, the excess above six, in the case of time loans, being
represented by a commission. This, on the eve of the usual drain of
money westward and southward, to move the crop, caused much anxiety for
the future, as it was entirely without precedent in that month. But the
Secretary of the Treasury, through bank deposits and gold imports, was
relied upon to relieve the stringency when it became more acute later
on, under the actual drain of money West and South. He did so by
renewing his offer, made in April, to deposit gold with national banks
when secured by bonds, to the amount of any gold they wanted to import,
the deposits to be returned when the gold arrived. Thus they were saved
loss of interest in transit, and gold was imported largely.
The money market seemed to have no terrors for the great speculative
capitalists in control of the stock market. Prices were still bid up
boldly, and the Harriman and Hill stocks, in particular, were marked up
to figures never before quoted, just as Reading and the other anthracite
coal stocks had been long before and have been since.
The chief sensation of the year 1906 in the stock market was produced by
the Harriman announcement on Friday, August 17th, that the semi-annual
dividend on Union Pacific had been raised to five per cent., or from a
six-per-cent. per annum basis to ten per cent.; and that an initial
dividend of two and a half per cent., or at the rate of five per cent.
per annum, had been declared on Southern Pacific. These unexpectedly
large dividends and the delay in making them known, after they had been
acted upon by the directors on Wednesday, and finally on Thursday,
greatly excited and disturbed Wall Street. They were dividends that
staggered the bears and astonished the bulls, and caused an advance of
sixteen per cent. in Union Pacific and five per cent. in Southern
Pacific stock that day. They also made the whole market run into a wild
bull speculation, stimulated by a rush of “shorts” to cover their
contracts, and a sudden influx of fresh buyers from the outside public.
Reckless buying by these made it easy for the bull leaders to run prices
up sharply, especially as it was expected or feared by many that the
example set by Union Pacific in dividend raising would, or at least
might, be followed by certain other large companies, both railway and
industrial, whether the increase was justified by actual net earnings,
or only intended for stock-jobbing purposes.
The criticisms of President Harriman and his associates to which these
sensationally large and peculiarly announced dividends gave rise, were
too trenchant to bear quotation or description. But Mr. Harriman was
said to have added ten millions to his personal fortune by the rise in
Union Pacific and Southern Pacific stock, which preceded and followed
these very generous distributions to the stockholders.
The fact that Mr. Harriman, the son of a quiet country clergyman, should
have been able to come into Wall Street and climb the ladder to wealth
and power as he has done, and with such amazing celerity, shows the
unlimited possibilities of the Street as a gold mine, for the Union
Pacific Railway system, like the other great railway systems whose
stocks and bonds have always been dealt in here, was practically born
and financed in Wall Street. His rise to a position of such prominence
and vast power is far more wonderful even than the career of Russell
Sage as a Wall Street money maker; for Russell Sage never had any power
but his money, whereas Edward Henry Harriman represents and controls
thousands of millions’ worth of other people’s property, employing tens
of thousands of persons. He is a moving spirit in dozens of banks and
other corporations, including the Wells Fargo Express Company, outside
of the Union Pacific and Southern Pacific system of railways and
steamships. The great stock market struggle between Harriman and Hill
for the control of Northern Pacific in 1901 was a battle royal on a
grand yet disastrous scale, that will always be memorable in the history
of Wall Street.
When Russell Sage died in July, 1906, within a few days of his reaching
ninety years, leaving not far from a hundred millions of money, he left
a will which reflected his sagacity as a money saver, for he left all he
had, except a few unimportant bequests, to his wife. He did so, I infer,
instead of distributing his great wealth himself, because he knew that
the State inheritance tax would only be one per cent. on what he gave
her, while it would be five per cent. on what he left to such relatives
as he had surviving, as well as to all others.
It was, to a certain extent, “the ruling passion strong in death,” for,
of course, he knew that his wife had no use or desire for so much money.
Although his bequeathing it to her was a tribute to her goodness and a
symbol of their happy married life, she would probably have preferred to
shoulder a much lighter load of wealth. Its distribution will be no
ordinary task, although it will doubtless be a labor of love with Mrs.
Sage.
Russell Sage, in his manner of life, all now agree, set a good example
of frugality and industry in an extravagant and pleasure-loving age, and
hence he is held by many to have been a public benefactor. His unusually
economical and plain habits, together with his great wealth and great
age, naturally made him conspicuous and also a target for the wits, and
in this way he became better known through caricature than
matter-of-fact description. But that was one of the penalties of
publicity. He passed from poverty to great wealth entirely of his own
creation without being spoiled by it, and remained one of the plain,
unpretentious people till the end.
He owed all he had to Wall Street, and his career illustrated, more than
any other has ever done, how fertile a field for fortune making Wall
Street may prove to a sagacious man, of untiring industry, who knows how
to cultivate it, and can see and avail himself of its splendid
opportunities. His rise from extreme poverty to immense wealth, through
his own unaided exertions, shows how one man, single-handed, may do
wonders and turn all he touches to gold, and that, too, in Wall Street.
We are living in a stirring and rapidly progressive time, and the great
and growing importance of the New York Stock Exchange was reflected by
the rise in the price of a membership in it in 1906 to not very far from
a hundred thousand dollars.
The year 1906 was one of immense activity and prosperity in trade.
Prices were high and still advancing, and profits large, particularly
those of industrial corporations. At the same time a mammoth bull
movement was running its course on the Stock Exchange, and the grain
crop turned out larger than ever before in our history, while enormous
issues of new securities were announced by both railway and industrial
corporations. These new issues severely taxed the resources of the money
market, already being too heavily drawn upon by the “big men” of the
Street to promote their wild bull campaign in stocks, and spasms of
stringency were frequent. Indeed, the year 1906 from beginning to end
witnessed a continuation of those inordinately heavy demands for money
from Wall Street and corporations, and these led to the disturbed
monetary conditions which were first felt in September, 1905. It was an
eventful year, a year of immense activity on the Stock Exchange, in
which much that was unprecedented occurred. It was a year in which the
stock market, after touching high record prices and violent ups and
downs, went gradually, in an excited speculation, from bad to worse, in
a limited sense, or from one critical stage to another, till it reached
the year’s end. Then it averaged only nine per cent. below the highest
prices. But it became, in spite of the boldest bull manipulation,
gradually weaker and more demoralized. The bull movement at length met
its Waterloo in the spring of 1907, because the plunging millionaires
who had been bidding them up found no buyers for their stocks. So they
had to liquidate heavily, like the rest. It was another rich man’s
panic.
From a slow and irregular decline stocks good, bad, and indifferent
passed into the rapids of a bear market, with the bears, emboldened by
success, recklessly aggressive, and on March 14th prices broke from ten
to twenty-five per cent. under their fierce attacks, and relentless
hammering, supplemented by an avalanche of long stock forced for sale
under stop orders that had been reached, or through weakened and
exhausted margins, or by holders unwilling to take any further loss.
Yet enormous as was this paniclike fall in prices on that disastrous
day, many stocks went still lower in the breaks that followed the sharp
rally that succeeded it. So March, 1907, ended as it began, in gloom and
depression, which was followed by comparative dullness but little
recovery in April and May. In June, however, it became evident that
liquidation had exhausted itself, and all unfavorable factors had been
discounted by the decline. Hence, although the market was almost
entirely professional, with the outside public as apathetic as ever, it
began to develop an upward tendency, notwithstanding the sharp rise in
grain and cotton due to the extensive damage done by an unusually cold
spring, and the fact that we shipped $15,000,000 in gold to France in
June.
This vast and thorough liquidation had been mainly by the bull pools and
richest speculative capitalists in Wall Street, and involved tremendous
losses. These leaders of the bull movement had been caught overloaded
with stocks, carried over from the previous boom that they had
recklessly engineered. They were forced to sell because the banks were
either calling in their loans, which they were unable to replace, or
calling from time to time for more margin to offset the decline in
prices. Thus their cash resources were being constantly impaired.
Meanwhile, money loaned at abnormally high rates, and five times in the
spring, autumn, and winter of 1906 the New York banks showed a deficit
in their reserve. Money, therefore, was very hard to borrow, because
these giants of speculation had overtaxed the banks’ resources by
borrowing too much. Coincidently the outside public held aloof from the
stock market, owing to the great activity of trade and the wild
speculation in land, mines, building, and other new enterprises all over
the country.
This speculation from Maine to California absorbed an immense amount of
money, of which Wall Street saw nothing, and it left the large
speculative holders of stocks without any market for them, except among
the professional traders. No wonder they staggered, and finally, in the
spring of 1907, succumbed under the heavy loads they were carrying,
which they had mistakenly bid up to excessively high prices in a vain
attempt to bring in the public as buyers. Wall Street was then the only
blue spot on the map of the United States.
To relieve the pressure for money there, and so help to bull stocks, the
large interests in Wall Street, excepting J. P. Morgan & Co., imported
from Europe $40,000,000 of gold in the spring of 1906 and $45,000,000 in
the autumn.
This last great importation caused the Bank of England to raise its
minimum rate of discount from three to four, then to five, and then
again to six per cent., the highest since the Boer War. The rate, it was
intimated, would have been advanced to seven per cent. had we taken any
more of the yellow metal. The purchase of so much gold in England was
made possible only through the Secretary of the Treasury, Mr. Leslie M.
Shaw, practically advancing the means for importing it by lending gold
to the banks, secured by collaterals, the loaned gold to be returned
when the imported gold arrived.
The spring gold importations followed the great San Francisco earthquake
and fire, on April 18th, involving an estimated loss of $250,000,000.
Most of this, however, fell upon British, German, and other foreign
fire-insurance companies, which relieved this country financially to a
corresponding extent, although New York shipped more than $50,000,000 of
gold to San Francisco to fortify the banks in that city.
After the stock market had been sold to a standstill and its weak
timbers eliminated, by May, 1907, it was only natural, in view of its
previous drastic liquidation and heavy decline, that with good crop
weather following the backward spring, stocks should advance. The keel
of a future bull market of large dimensions had been laid by the
disastrous liquidation that had occurred, and we subsequently witnessed
its development on a rapidly ascending scale. It is a law of nature that
action follows reaction.
This reminds us that Wall Street easily passes from one extreme to
another, and that very often the dawn is nearest when the night is
darkest, in finance as well as nature. Moreover, Wall Street is always
with us, just as the poor are, and the stock market is a serial story
that never ends.
In July, the improvement in the stock market, and especially the
Harriman stocks, was very decided, with the indications favoring a wider
and more active speculation, for as yet it was almost entirely
professional. In this movement the Standard Oil and Harriman party were
the bull leaders, with Union Pacific the leading stock. Notwithstanding
their vigorous efforts, however, the outside public remained entirely
apathetic, and there was growing anxiety as to the future of the money
market. This was increased by our having, unexpectedly, to ship gold to
Europe, nearly all of it to the Bank of France, as well as by depressed
monetary conditions there, with much disturbance, under heavy
liquidations, in London and Berlin. Even British Consols declined from
week to week, till they touched 81, the lowest price recorded since
1848, the year of the Smith O’Brien rebellion in Ireland, when they sold
down to 80.
Then came an angry and threatening contest, and stormy litigation,
between the States of North Carolina and Alabama and the Southern
Railway Company, involving also other Southern States and railways. The
main conflict was between the States named and the United States Courts
on the 2¼ and 2½ cents a mile rate law. This went so far as to cause a
revocation of the license of the Southern Railway to operate its lines
in Alabama. The situation for a time was extremely critical, but a truce
was at length arrived at, the Southern Railway agreeing to obey the
State law, and leave the ultimate decision to the United States Supreme
Court.
While this disturbing controversy was at a white heat, the $29,240,000
fine inflicted by Judge Landis, of the United States District Court, at
Chicago, on the Standard Oil Company of Indiana, fell like a thunderbolt
upon not only Wall Street, but investors all over the country. This was
on Saturday, the 3d of August, and it looked so like confiscation, and
so alarmed the large speculative capitalists, who had been supporting
the stock market, that they at once withdrew their supporting orders
and, for self-protection, became heavy sellers themselves of the stocks
they held. They foresaw the effect of this disturbing decision, and the
course of the Southern States towards the railways, upon investors, in
causing liquidation. Simultaneously, a threatening report from the
Bureau of Corporations added fuel to the fire of distrust.
Day after day, for twelve business days, following the opening of the
stock market on Monday, the 5th, there was an almost uninterrupted and
very heavy decline in prices for both railway and industrial stocks, the
best and highest priced being the heaviest sufferers, and falling from
ten to twenty-five per cent. The scare among holders of stocks increased
as prices declined, and demoralization in the market carried these
generally below the lowest in the panic of March. It was very largely
another rich man’s panic, due to fears as to what might come next to
disturb confidence in the value and future dividends of both railway and
industrial stocks. The worst of it was, the innocent were, as usual,
made to suffer with the guilty. But after a storm there cometh a calm,
and so it was in this case, and perhaps all’s well that ends well. But
the ordeal was a very severe one, particularly for the large holders of
stocks, and made the year 1907 still more memorable than before.
Rumors of impending Wall Street and industrial corporation failures, as
usual in times of disturbance, filled the air, but only one important
industrial failure and one unimportant Wall Street suspension occurred
in August, and the gradual return of confidence caused a gradual
improvement on the Stock Exchange, although the semi-annual dividend on
Southern Railway preferred stock was reduced from 2½ to 1½ per cent.,
and the dividends on Erie’s first and second preferred stocks were
declared payable in four per cent. scrip warrants instead of cash.
Toward the end of the month the Secretary of the Treasury announced that
weekly deposits would be made in the national banks till October 15th,
and this at once began to ease the money market and further strengthen
confidence.
Early in September, however, there came a relapse in the stock market,
and another Stock Exchange failure. This recurrence of disturbance and
depression was partly due to stagnation, followed by demoralization in
the copper trade, both here and in Europe, which caused a reduction in
the price of copper by the selling agency of the Amalgamated Co. from 25
cents a pound to 18 cents, and not long afterwards to 15 cents.
Meanwhile the Calumet and Hecla, the Quincy, and other copper companies
had reduced their dividends, owing to the small demand for copper, and
Amalgamated copper stock declined rapidly to 57½, against 121 in
January. In Boston, also, the copper stocks broke in the same
demoralized way under heavy liquidation.
Railway shares sympathized with this extreme weakness of copper and the
copper stocks, but not as much as American Smelting, the U. S. Steels,
and other industrial stocks, and gradually the copper crisis ceased to
dominate them. At the same time the general market for both railroad
stocks and bonds was strengthened by the great success of the
$40,000,000 issue of 4½ per cent. bonds by the City of New York, the
loan being five times over-subscribed. This showed there was a large
amount of money in the country awaiting investment in good securities.
Yet, later, new low records were made for sundry railway and industrial
stocks, including Southern Railway common and preferred, and the stock
market, in its nervous and irregular fluctuations, told of the timidity
of the bulls and the boldness of the bears, consequent on shrinkage in
the iron trade, and uncertainty as to the business future.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAPTER LXXI.
THE GREAT CRISIS OF 1907.
The worst forebodings of September were far more than realized in
October, when the monetary disturbance, and distrust of credits, spread
from the Stock Exchange and Wall Street to the banking interests, and
involved the whole country in a panic that will always make the year
1907 memorable in our history.
Until the collapse in the “Curb” market of the stock of the United
Copper Co., followed, on the 17th of October, by the failure of the two
Stock Exchange firms that had been manipulating this Heinze specialty
for Heinze interests, the panicky conditions of the year had been
practically confined to the stock market and the interests directly
affected by it. But that collapse, involving those Heinze failures, fell
like a bombshell not only on the stock market, but on the banks of which
F. A. Heinze, the president of the United Copper Co., had, not long
before, purchased control. The fact that two of his brothers were
members of one of the failed firms—Otto Heinze & Co.—caused heavy
withdrawals of deposits from these banks, and particularly the
Mercantile National Bank, of which he had become the president.
The New York Clearing House Committee took alarm the same day and
examined the Mercantile. The result was that it demanded the resignation
of all its officers and directors that night, as a condition preparatory
to giving it any assistance. They complied, President Heinze among them,
and the bank was assisted to pay its clearing-house balances for several
days. But these were so large that further assistance was then refused.
Thereupon one of its old directors succeeded in bringing in new capital
and new directors on the day following, Sunday, so that the bank was
enabled to continue business without a break.
But meanwhile the contagion of distrust was spreading, and there was a
run on the deposits of not only the Heinze but the Thomas and the Morse
banks, the Thomases and the Heinzes having been equally prominent with
Morse in buying control of banks for speculative purposes. The Clearing
House Committee took them all in hand, and demanded the resignations of
their officers and directors. In this way they stamped these bank
promoters out of the banks they had managed to get control of. Then the
banks were assisted.
Suspicion soon fell upon certain trust companies with speculative
affiliations, more or less connected with the same promoters. Suddenly a
heavy and spectacular run upon the Knickerbocker Trust Company, the
second largest in New York, with more than sixty millions of deposits,
caused it to close its doors on the first day of the run. This was on
Tuesday, the 22d of October. The immediate cause of the run was the
resignation, on the previous day, of Charles T. Barney, its president,
coupled with the notification to the banks of the National Bank of
Commerce, on the same day, that it would not clear for the Knickerbocker
Trust Co. after the following day. So, this being published in the
newspapers, the depositors rushed to withdraw their deposits.
The Clearing House and Mr. J. P. Morgan, when appealed to, refused to
assist the Knickerbocker on the ground that they found it was not
solvent. The collapse of the Knickerbocker was immediately followed by
extensive runs on small banks and trust companies in New York and
Brooklyn, as well as on the savings banks, and about a dozen of the
former, including seven in Brooklyn, closed their doors. But the savings
banks took advantage of the sixty and ninety days’ time allowed them by
law for the payment of deposits after notice.
Following these minor banking suspensions there were long-continued runs
on the Trust Company of America and its Colonial Branch, and the Lincoln
Trust Company, with all-night lines of waiting depositors. But, finally,
after a hard struggle, these were examined by Morgan committee experts
and found solvent, whereupon, in the banking conferences held for a
number of days and nights at the residence of Mr. J. P. Morgan, it was
agreed to provide them with all the money necessary to meet the run. To
Mr. Morgan great credit is due for the arduous work he undertook to
better the banking situation in this critical period of storm and
stress.
New low records for stocks were made meanwhile under very heavy
liquidation, Union Pacific touching 100, and Amalgamated Copper 41¾, on
the 24th of October, and all others sinking to lower depths in about the
same proportion, while the abnormal scarcity and high rates for money
caused trading on margins to be generally suspended by brokers.
Transactions were, of course, largely curtailed by being placed on a
cash basis, but the buying of odd lots for investment was very heavy all
through the crisis. The decline in Amalgamated was accelerated by copper
selling down to 12 cents a pound. But much of the liquidation in the
stock market was caused by the banks and trust companies calling in
their loans on stock collaterals, and thus forcing the borrowers to
sell.
The hoarding of money, and the withdrawal of deposits from the banks and
trust companies, became so extensive that these institutions had little
or none to lend, and for several days call loans were made on the New
York Stock Exchange at rates ranging from 50 to 100 per cent per annum,
and in exceptional instances as high as 125.
[Illustration:
_E. H. Harriman._
_1906_
]
The United States Treasury came to the relief of the money market by
making—under the personal direction of Secretary Cortelyou—unusually
heavy deposits in the National banks of the City of New York, as well as
in other cities which were drawing heavily on their New York balances.
But still the banks and trust companies continued to lose their ordinary
deposits rapidly, and the money thus withdrawn by the timid and
distrustful was taken out of circulation by being placed in safe-deposit
boxes, tin boxes, wallets, and other receptacles. This hoarding was
foolish, as well as harmful and un-American.
New York had to deal with a banking crisis. So, on Saturday, the 26th of
October, the members of the New York Clearing House met, and resolved to
issue, on and after that date, Clearing House certificates—bearing six
per cent interest—to be used by the banks of the Association in paying
their daily balances at the Clearing House, instead of currency. These
the Clearing House at once began to issue, when called for by any bank,
to the amount of 75 per cent of the value of any acceptable assets it
might deposit with the Clearing House. This gave immediate relief to the
banks, and especially those whose reserves of currency were most largely
depleted, for they immediately availed themselves of their issue.
At the same time they saw that, in addition to the government deposits,
large importations of gold were necessary to replace, at least in part,
the hoarded money, and aid in restoring confidence. The Clearing House
certificates, by releasing much of their gold and legal tender notes,
enabled them, through “cable transfers,” to purchase gold in England for
shipment to New York, and by the end of the first week in November
$50,000,000 had been purchased by banks and bankers for shipment to the
United States, and nearly half that amount had already reached New York.
But some of the importing banks were in other cities, including Chicago,
Philadelphia, Boston, Pittsburg, and San Francisco.
These heavy importations, however, disturbed the London money market,
and on Thursday, the 31st of October, the Bank of England raised its
minimum rate of discount from 4½ to 5½ per cent, to check the outflow of
gold. This not proving sufficient, it raised it to 6 per cent on the
Monday following, and to 7 per cent on Thursday, the 7th of November, a
higher rate than had been reached since 1873, the year of the great
panic in this country and in Germany, when the Bank of England rate was
advanced to 9 per cent. But once, in 1866, it went up to 10 per cent.
The Bank of France also, on the 7th of November, 1907, raised its rate
from 3½ to 4 per cent, owing to the drain of gold to this country; and
such an advance is very rare in France. For seven years, up to the
spring of 1907, it had stood at 3 per cent. The Bank of Germany also
advanced its rate to 7½, and the Bank of Belgium to 6 per cent. These
rates showed how severely the loss of this gold was felt in Europe. By
November 16 our gold purchases aggregated $70,000,000.
In the interval the clearing houses in all the large cities of the
United States had, in self defence, followed the example of New York in
issuing clearing house certificates. Currency, too, had been selling at
a premium ranging from 2½ to 5 per cent for certified checks, owing to
its great scarcity. At Pittsburg the Stock Exchange was closed
immediately after the announcement of the failure of the three
Westinghouse companies there. Other failures were very numerous.
In Pittsburg, Chicago, New Orleans, and many other cities, the local
clearing houses printed clearing house checks of small denominations,
from 25 cents or one dollar up, to be taken out and paid out by the
banks instead of currency, when found necessary. Several of the Western
Boards of Trade closed, owing to the demoralization in the grain market,
caused by the heavy decline in prices under the rush to sell in order to
raise money, while many banks all over the country issued their own
cashiers’ checks for both small and large amounts, instead of currency
or clearing house certificates, in payment of depositors’ checks. The
banks were in a partial state of suspension from Maine to California.
The extent of the drain on bank reserves may be inferred from the fact
that the statement of totals for all the New York associated banks for
the week ending on Saturday, November 2, showed that they were
collectively $38,838,825 below the dead-line of 25 per cent reserve on
their deposits, without counting Government deposits, which had been
very large. The detailed statement of each bank’s condition was not
published on that date, and continued to be withheld till after the
crisis had passed into history.
This large deficit of the New York banks caused much uneasiness and a
further sharp decline in the stock market, but the frequent day and
night conferences of leading bank officers with Secretary Cortelyou and
Mr. J. P. Morgan, to devise ways and means of relieving the extreme
stringency and distrust of the monetary situation, were productive of
much good. This was especially the case in bringing the trust companies
together to act as a unit through a committee, of which Edward King,
President of the Union Trust Co., was made chairman. This committee was
organized in the office of J. P. Morgan & Co., which, indeed, was the
headquarters for all banking relief outside of the Clearing House.
Unfortunately for Europe, our purchases there of so many millions of
dollars’ worth of gold, within three weeks, seriously unsettled the
London, Paris, and Berlin stock exchanges, and a continuous decline in
stock and bond prices attended its export to this country. But,
notwithstanding the relief we obtained from this great source, the banks
here still continued under a heavy strain. An indication of this was
found in the statement of the New York Clearing House, giving the totals
for the week ending on Saturday, the 9th of November, the third week of
the acute stage of the crisis.
It showed that the deficit of the associated New York City banks, in
their legal reserve, had increased $13,085,800 over that of the week
before, making their total deficit $51,921,625. But as the Clearing
House statements are made up on averages for each week, and not on the
actual condition of the banks at the end of the week, the gold imported
was only credited from the dates on which it was received by the banks.
Moreover, this statement was made on rising averages, that of the week
before on falling averages.
A conspicuously important feature of the arrangements made at the Morgan
conferences for supplying the needs and taking care of the Trust Company
of America was the sale, at par—$100 a share—of the majority of the
stock of the Tennessee Coal, Iron and R.R. Co.—which had been largely
hypothecated with it—to the United States Steel Corporation, payment for
the stock to be made in its 5 per cent sinking fund bonds at 84. This
exchange of Tennessee stock for the Steel bonds was promptly made
through J. P. Morgan & Co., on and after November 7, thus adding another
large property to the many other subsidiary properties of the U. S.
Steel Corporation.
This transfer was one of the most notable events of the memorable panic
year—1907—the wreckage of which it will take a long time to clear away.
But meanwhile the country will have started on a new career of
prosperity, and with eighty-four millions of people to develop its
boundless resources, we need have no fear but that its recovery will be
rapid, and its future as great and grand as we could desire. Moreover,
it will be all the better and stronger, and all the higher in its
business standards, for the severe yet purifying ordeal through which it
has passed.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAPTER LXXII.
THE CAUSES OF THE CRISIS OF 1907.[2]
Footnote 2:
An address by Henry Clews, LL.D., delivered at Cooper Institute, New
York City, February, 1908.
The wiseacres in Wall Street and elsewhere had to take many sledgehammer
blows in this panic year. They had become like Tom Toddy—too big-headed
for their bodies. When a man knows it all, then his danger commences. My
advice is, never follow such a leader, but wait patiently and the time
will come when you can safely copper him.
In September, 1906, when stock and bond prices were advanced abnormally
to a 3½ to 4 per cent basis, while six months’ money was loaning at 6
per cent, it was evident that one or the other was too high; and
considering the growing demand for the use of money it was quite
apparent it was not money that was too dear, but securities. At that
time I persistently advised everyone to get out of stocks and out of
debt, and keep out for a prolonged period, only making quick turns
meanwhile.
Since then security values have gone down prodigiously—$3,500,000,000
will scarcely cover the depreciation of those dealt in on the New York
Stock Exchange alone; so those who took my advice and got out at top
prices can well afford now to buy back their stocks, if dividends are
not reduced. No one can foresee changes in these. But everything that is
good is fairly cheap and below intrinsic value, based upon present
returns. Our financial situation is vastly different to any previous one
after great panics, of which there have been many, since the one of 1857
brought on by the failure of the Ohio Life & Trust Co., at the time of
my advent in Wall Street: so I have been in all these panics.
The conditions now differ from those of all the other great financial
storms because the wealth of the nation has become so vast as to make it
the richest in actual wealth and productiveness, per capita, of all
nations. As a matter of fact, our wealth-making developments have been
so excessive as to have forged ahead of our banking facilities. This has
had much to do with our recent setback. Wise and sagacious capitalists
saw the handwriting on the wall in Wall Street and elsewhere, and those
who did unloaded their securities last year, dumping their stocks at
top-notch prices, amounting to at least $800,000,000, upon weaker-backed
people.
This unloading, together with the San Francisco earthquake disaster,
wiped out, in prices, $350,000,000 of property, and struck the
staggering blows which did more than anything else to pave the way to
the recent panic conditions. The selling out by big holders was followed
by all the large railroad systems in the country selling bonds, stocks
and notes. These, being offered to stockholders of record at apparently
tempting prices, were floated. This great mass of new securities coming
on the market was an indigestible one and absorbed the capital of a very
large number of the rich men of the country and put it in a fixed form:
and most of these heretofore very rich men have ever since been in the
position of a man who, having had a “Sherry dinner,” is urged to accept
the hospitality of a friend to take a “Delmonico dinner.”
What produced the panic was a number of adverse factors happening one
after another in rapid succession. The first was the unloading by
sagacious holders of securities at high prices; the second was the
immense creation and selling of new securities by the railroads for
improvements; the third, the revelation of scandals started by Mr.
Hughes, the investigator of the life insurance companies. We all know
what happened in that connection. Then came the Interstate Commerce
examination of Mr. Harriman as a witness and his revelations under oath;
then the $29,400,000 fine by Judge Landis on the Standard Oil Co. of
Indiana, and finally, the insistence by Governor Hughes, against
overwhelming opposition, of the passage of the Utilities Bill, under
which the investigation of the Metropolitan Surface Railroad was started
and which unearthed what really caused the shares of that great company
to fall from their high price of $127 per share to $20 a share—about the
present price. This was the straw that broke the camel’s back and caused
an entire breakdown of confidence; which is usually the major part of
the foundation of credit. The undermining of this caused the closing of
the doors of the Knickerbocker Trust Co. Then a state of chaos ensued
and bedlam broke loose, and almost everybody in Wall Street stood aghast
wondering what would happen next.
As I have faithfully presented my side of the case to you, in a crude
way, I ask you, as though you were impaneled on a jury, the question:
Why should all the blame of producing the recent panic be laid to
President Roosevelt? The real causes of all the trouble can be summed up
as follows: (1) The high finance manipulation in advancing stocks to a
3½ to 4 per cent basis, while money was loaning at 6 per cent and above,
on six and twelve months’ time on the best of collaterals; (2) capital
all over the nation having gone largely into real estate and other fixed
forms, thereby losing its liquid quality; (3) the making of injudicious
loans by the Knickerbocker Trust Co., hence suspension; (4) the
unloading by certain big operators of $800,000,000 of securities,
following which were the immense sales of new securities by the
railroads; (5) the California earthquake, with losses amounting to
$350,000,000; (6) the investigation of the life insurance companies; (7)
the Metropolitan Street Railroad investigation; (8) the absurd fine by
Judge Landis of $29,400,000 against a corporation with a capital of
$1,000,000; (9) the Interstate Commerce Commission’s examination into
the Chicago & Alton deal and the results thereof.
These were substantially the causes which led up to and really brought
about our present disastrous condition. Did President Roosevelt do any
of these things? Not one of them. But Governor Hughes was the brilliant
investigator of the life insurance companies, and also unearthed the
Metropolitan Railroad scandal through being the author of the Public
Utilities law. Yet Mr. Roosevelt is condemned by many, while Mr. Hughes
is praised by the people all over the country. I ask on this showing if
there is any justice in putting the entire blame for the present
disturbed state of financial affairs upon President Roosevelt’s
shoulders, without including Governor Hughes, as both have been equally
engaged in the same reform movement.
I am not willing to affirm that either is to blame, for both have simply
done their duly in enforcing the laws, and exposing wrongdoing. How in
my opinion the market will turn permanently when the big men of Wall
Street commence to take back what they sold, which they can already do
at a difference in prices of from 30 to 50 per cent. With the
$70,000,000 of imported gold here and on the way from Europe, together
with an increase in bank notes, there will soon be no lack of money in
this country. What is now wanted is more confidence to increase credits.
To import more gold will embarrass London and other foreign money
centers. This should be avoided by stopping further gold imports. Cheap
money alone will not of course put up stocks. The governing factors will
be the state of trade, and net earnings, and the “big men” will be
governed by these.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAPTER LXXIII.
RECENT MEN OF MARK.
CHARLES M. SCHWAB.
Born in Pennsylvania, May 30, 1851; rose, from the bottom, to be
President of the Carnegie Steel Company, then, on its incorporation,
became President of the United States Steel Corporation, but resigned,
and later became President of the Bethlehem Steel Company; has large
mining interests, especially in Nevada; he travels much, but resides on
Riverside Drive, New York, in one of the largest houses in the city,
built as an exact copy of a historical French château near Paris.
DANIEL GRAY REID.
Born in Richmond, Ind., August 1, 1858; became Vice-President of Second
National Bank there; then went into the tin plate industry, and in 1895
became one of the organizers of the American Tin Plate Company,
afterwards merged in the United States Steel Corporation; removed to
Chicago in 1897, and to New York in 1899, and was one of the Executive
Committee of the United States Steel Corporation when organized in 1901;
also became a director and leading spirit in the Rock Island Railway
Company in association with the two Moore brothers, William H. and James
Hobart, the Chicago reorganization lawyers. All three are now residents
of New York.
THOMAS FORTUNE RYAN.
Born in Virginia, October 17, 1851; came to Wall Street in 1870 from
Baltimore and the drygoods trade; became prominent in the consolidation
and extension of metropolitan street railroads, and also gas and
electric light systems here and in Chicago, and in the American Tobacco
Company, and later bought control of the stock of the Equitable and the
Washington Life Insurance companies; has been director of many other
corporations, and is also Vice-President of the Morton Trust Company.
JOHN WARNE GATES.
Born at West Chicago, Ill., 1855; kept a hardware store there; then
became salesman in Texas for barbed wire; later established the Southern
Wire Company in St. Louis and Braddock Wire Company near Pittsburg;
after absorbing two other companies, sold out to Federal Steel Company,
which was then absorbed by United States Steel Corporation. He thus
acquired great wealth, and became a large operator in Wall Street, and
organized the firm of C. G. Gates & Co., now dissolved. After buying
control in the open market of the Louisville & Nashville Railway, he
sold it to J. P. Morgan & Co.
AUGUST BELMONT.
Born February 18, 1853; son of the late August Belmont, and head of
August Belmont & Co., bankers, and New York representatives of the
Rothschilds; is President of the Interborough Rapid Transit Company and
other corporations; also of the Coney Island Jockey Club and other turf
organizations, and keeps up a large racing stable, is also a director in
a number of banks and railways and other companies, and politically,
like his father, a leading Democrat; is a member of many clubs and
associations; graduated at Harvard in 1875, and has a New York residence
at 44 East 34th Street, but lives much of the year at his country home
at Hempstead, Long Island. He is well known, too, as the financial
director of the Belmont Tunnel, across the East River, between New York
and Long Island City.
WILLIAM H. MOORE.
Born in Utica, N. Y., October 25, 1848; located in Chicago with his
younger brother, James Hobart Moore, in 1873, and both were admitted to
the Illinois bar, and practiced as W. H. & J. H. Moore, making a
specialty of reorganizing corporations; reorganized the Carnegie Steel
Company, and formed the four corporations in “the Moore group” that were
absorbed by the United States Steel Corporation; later controlled the
Rock Island and other railway and industrial corporations, partly in
conjunction with Daniel Gray Reid.
ANTHONY NICHOLAS BRADY.
Born at Lille, France, August 22, 1843; came to the United States with
his parents when a child; opened a tea store in Albany in 1864, and
afterwards other tea stores there and in Troy; became a promoter and
director of gas and electric light corporations in Albany, Troy,
Chicago, New York, and other cities, and, later, of street railway
companies in Brooklyn and elsewhere; acquired a controlling interest in
the People’s Gas Company of Chicago and a very large one in the Brooklyn
Rapid Transit Company, into which he merged his Brooklyn companies; is
also a large stockholder in the American Tobacco Company and many other
industrial companies; resides at 411 State Street, Albany, but his
office is at 54 Wall Street.
STUYVESANT FISH.
Son of the late Hon. Hamilton Fish, Governor of the State of New York
and Secretary of State in General Grant’s Cabinet. Born June 24, 1851,
at New York, N. Y. Educated at Columbia College, New York, graduated
1871. Entered railway service October 1, 1871, after which he, up to
June 20, 1872, became clerk in the Illinois Central Railroad, New York
office; June 20 to October, 1872, secretary to president of same
company; November 1, 1872 to December 31, 1874, clerk with Morton, Bliss
& Co. at New York, and Morton, Rose & Co. at London; January 1, 1875 to
March 15, 1877, managing clerk Morton, Bliss & Co., holding their power
of attorney; December 14, 1876 to March 6, 1879, member New York Stock
Exchange; March 16, 1876, elected Director Illinois Central Railroad,
and appointed treasurer and agent for purchasing committee New Orleans,
Jackson & Great Northern Railroad; November 8, 1877, elected secretary
Chicago, St. Louis & New. Orleans Railroad; and March, 1882,
vice-president Chicago, St. Louis & New Orleans Railroad; January 7,
1883 to April 2, 1884, second vice-president Illinois Central Railroad;
April 2, 1884 to May 14, 1887, vice-president; May 18, 1887 to November
7, 1906, president same road; President American Railway Association
April 27, 1904 to April 25, 1906; Chairman Seventh Session International
Railway Congress, Washington, D. C., May, 1905. Elected Director of the
National Park Bank, March, 1883, and so remains; elected a Trustee of
the Mutual Life Insurance Company of New York in the year 1888 and
continued as such until February 23, 1906, when he resigned. What Mr.
Fish did for the Illinois Central Railroad Company while its President,
is shown in the following extract from the London _Statist_, and also in
the Annual Reports of the Directors of the Company, which make a
marvellous exhibit of Mr. Fish’s able and sagacious management during
his long régime:
The Illinois Central is the most important of the systems running north
and south between Chicago and the Gulf of Mexico. At one time its
prosperity chiefly depended upon the cotton crop; but although this crop
still gives it a large traffic, its prosperity has been built up by the
acquisition of a large share of the grain and maize traffic. In the old
days corn, or maize, was sent through the Western States for shipment
_via_ Boston, New York, and Baltimore, but the Illinois Central has now
succeeded in diverting a vast portion of it to New Orleans. It now
derives its revenue from carrying a large traffic at low rates in
competition both with the Eastern lines and with the water transit of
the Mississippi; In recent years the Company has built extensions which
now enable it to participate in the coal and iron ore traffic required
by or originating in the Birmingham iron district. The Illinois Central
has always enjoyed good management. In its early days, when the accepted
principle of railway working was to charge high rates and to carry very
little traffic, its policy conformed to that of other well-managed
undertakings. For the past twenty years its policy has changed; it has
sought to render to the public the maximum of service for the lowest
possible rate. The success of this policy has exceeded all expectations.
In the twelve months to June 30th last the Company carried traffic at a
lower rate than ever before, and yet obtained a record profit, both
actually and relatively to its capital expenditure. This success has
resulted from good management, economy of operation, and economy of
capital expenditure.
GOVERNOR HUGHES AND WALL STREET.
In respect to the present agitation at Albany, as recommended by
Governor Hughes, to investigate Wall Street methods, I do not hesitate
to say that as the head of the firm of Henry Clews & Co. I am perfectly
willing at any time to allow a representative, appointed by either the
Federal or State authorities, to examine the books of my firm, as the
result of such an examination can reflect nothing but credit on our
business methods. I should, however, object and refuse to show, in any
instance, the names of our customers, as our relations with them are
confidential and will not be betrayed. Ever since our firm was
established we have made a practice of issuing notices of purchases or
sales to clients, giving in each case the name of the broker from whom
bought, or to whom sold. This is now, I believe, the custom in other
offices, and is a guarantee that brokers execute the orders on the floor
of the New York Stock Exchange.
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CHAPTER LXXIV.
NEEDED PUBLICITY AND REFORM IN CORPORATIONS.
Years ago I saw the inevitable end of the methods of some of the
unscrupulous managers and manipulators of corporations, and began to
agitate the employment of certified public accountants to examine into,
and report to the stockholders, the true condition of the companies
involved. Had my suggestions been adopted there would have been little
cause for the recent investigation by the government officials, as the
reform now sought would have been accomplished long before the present
stringency of money became a disturbing element all over the world, and
would not have led to the semi-panicky conditions which prevailed so
disastrously in 1907. An address on “Publicity and Reform,” which I
delivered before the Wharton School of Finance, University of
Pennsylvania, in April, 1906, includes my urgent adoption of the policy
I have referred to, and reads as follows:
We live in a progressive age, and we are at present passing through a
period of salutary business reform. This reform means improvement, and
business men of all kinds should help and not retard it. The banking,
railway, and insurance communities should, in particular, do all they
can to promote it and invite the fullest publicity as to their
transactions and methods of doing business. In this connection the
opposition developed in the New York Legislature to the investigation of
the banks was a mistake of judgment, because it was calculated to excite
distrust, whereas willingness to submit to thorough investigation would
allay it.
This opposition drew more public attention to the agitation for a
general bank department examination than would otherwise have been
attracted to it, and the unwillingness to submit to it suggested that
there was a screw loose, or something to conceal in connection with some
of the State banks; and that they were therefore vulnerable to attack,
or at least open to criticism. This suspicion those concerned should
have avoided by not only boldly facing the legislative music, but
inviting it and leaving everything open and above board. Corporations
and banking and mercantile firms that become at all objects of suspicion
should, in their own interests, speedily clear themselves, by inviting
the fullest examination and publicity. Unsoundness and irregularity, if
such existed, would thus be exposed and weeded out, instead of being
nursed in secret, and so doing harm and impairing confidence in
corporations and firms perfectly sound and regular in their methods and
practices. The sound concerns would stand better than ever after passing
through this ordeal of publicity. The New York Legislature, as well as
the Legislatures of the other States, should respond to the popular
agitation for publicity by passing laws requiring all corporations,
including banks and trust companies, to make at least semi-annual
reports of their condition, certified to by registered public
accountants, with power invested in the State Superintendents to order
special examinations by such accountants, at any time, when deemed
necessary; that is, whenever they were suspected of being unsound or
irregular in their business methods. This should be done for the
protection of others as well as to clear them of suspicion and restore
their credit, if found to be sound and straight. Only the insolvent and
the crooked would have anything to fear from this wholesome publicity.
In this way disaster might be averted and impaired confidence promptly
restored. I lay stress upon the employment of skilled accountants
because the certified results of their examinations would be accepted as
conclusive of the actual conditions being as they stated or described.
They would speak with authority. It should be made a felony for an
accountant to make a false or misleading report, and he should ever
after be disqualified from practising.
To meet the growing demand for them, every college and university should
have a department for the special training of accountants, who on
graduating should receive a diploma or degree, as in the medical or
legal profession. Already the position held by certified accountants is
high, but it should be raised still more by the action of the
universities and colleges. Some of these have established departments
for accountants, where the students undergo thorough training by men who
have had practical experience in the profession, but all institutions of
learning ought to have them and maintain them in a high state of
efficiency in view of their importance to the business community. The
opposition to publicity shown by the New York State banking interest, as
represented in the Legislature, where it has choked off probing, has
thereby aroused fresh suspicions and much adverse criticism. It is not
surprising that many are led to suspect that there is much concealed
that ought to be revealed.
The strong desire for secrecy in the management of corporations,
especially with life insurance companies, is obviously in defiance of
public sentiment, and the Legislature should now make the house-cleaning
thorough while it is about it. If it does less it will fail in its duty.
It is indeed very surprising, under the circumstances, that the officers
and trustees of the great life insurance companies should have supposed
that anything short of complete cleansing and purification would satisfy
their policyholders and the public.
The bankers of the country are, more or less, intimately concerned in
seeing this Augean insurance stable thoroughly cleaned out, for, unless
it is, distrust will linger, and the life insurance taint will, more or
less, continue to extend to the banks, bankers, bond dealers, and trust
companies, with which the life insurance companies necessarily have to
do business.
For the banking interests to virtually ignore the past, and say to the
life insurance companies, “Go, and sin no more,” would be
pusillanimously evading the requirements of the situation. The cloud
that drifted over Wall Street from the insurance investigation must be
entirely dispersed by the fullest investigation and publicity and the
establishment of a new regime in insurance management and its banking
methods and affiliations.
It is the duty of life insurance trustees to co-operate to this end, and
for them to refuse to do so is to imply consciousness of their own
inability to stand the searching ordeal. If such there be, owing to
their purchases or sales of securities, in connection with their
respective companies, or any other doings that cannot bear the light or
are open to criticism, they should be ventilated and exposed without
fear or favor.
The efforts to smother further life insurance investigation, which had
their counterpart in the opposition to the proposed banking department
investigation, should be frowned down by public opinion, both in the
interests of morality and good business practices. The banks and the
banker should, like Caesar’s wife, be above suspicion, and not less so
the life insurance manager and trustee.
Turning to the railways, we find the need of stricter laws in matters
that favor a few at the expense of the many, as, for instance, in the
giving of rebates. To prevent these, not a mere fine, which can be
easily paid, should be imposed, but the offence should be made a
misdemeanor, punishable with imprisonment. Railway officials would then,
with the danger of an indictment and a term in prison before them,
hesitate to violate the law. For their own reputation, as well as for
the sake of their families, they would be likely to avoid that secret
and unlawful rate-cutting, disguised by the payment of rebates, which
has done so much in the past to foster unholy monopolies and crush
competition to the ruin of thousands.
In the lime-light of publicity the irregular rebate practices of the
railways, for the benefit of large and favored shippers, would be
impossible; and equally so would have been the go-as-you-please and
extravagant management of the life insurance companies as revealed by
the insurance investigation. Under the new order of things, regulated by
stricter laws, it should be made impossible for these irregularities
ever to occur. The death-knell should also be sounded by these stricter
laws and reforms of much of the “graft” that has been epidemic in
political and business life. Publicity of accounts would be a protection
to all solvent concerns and expose and eliminate the unsound and the
fraudulent that would otherwise be a menace to them, and it should be
welcomed by all who have nothing to fear from such publicity.
We are passing through a reform—yea, a revolutionary period in business
affairs. But good will come out of it, for with our improved business
methods will come a higher sense of responsibility and a keener
perception of duty, which cannot fail to inspire correspondingly greater
confidence and produce more certain results. We shall thus have more
conservatism in business and fewer speculative hazards and crookedness
than before.
Therefore, let the march of reform be unimpeded, for it will lead us to
a higher financial and commercial eminence than even that on which we
already stand, and hasten the time when this country will be the world’s
greatest financial and commercial centre.
It would seem that many need more conservatism and prudence in their
business ventures, and they would be the better for having the
lime-light of publicity thrown on them. When the sky-rockets of the
business world fall they are not the only sufferers, for they injure
others who are perfectly sound and conservative by creating distrust of
all.
The accounting and publicity I advocate would expose, check, and prevent
the irregularities and the one-man power abuses that have ended in so
many collapses. The one-man control of large corporations must come to
an end. An ounce of prevention is better than a pound of cure.
Corporations, too, should show that they have souls by not neglecting
the welfare of their employes. They should promote their health by
giving them healthy surroundings where they work, and also by making
graduated provision for old age service, or pensions in case of
disability, after long service. This, or giving them a share in the
profits of the business, would do much to narrow the gulf between labor
and capital.
The one-man power in large corporations, with a lot of dummy directors
subservient to it, should also come to an end. Dummy directors are no
better than so many decoy ducks that mislead the public. They are
directors who do not direct, and are not expected to direct by those in
control who selected them for election. They are consequently a false
pretence. No man ought to accept a place as director or trustee of an
institution, or corporation, particularly in a banking, railway,
industrial or life insurance company, who does not fully appreciate the
responsibility of the position and the care and vigilance it demands,
and intend to faithfully and conscientiously perform its duties. To
intentionally become a dummy director is reprehensible, and directors in
dealing with the officers of their corporations should have opinions of
their own and not be afraid to express them. They are not alone
responsible for their own errors or wrongful acts, but for failure to
expose and put a stop to the wrongdoing of the officers or employees
under their control, and they should not assume such duties when they
cannot properly attend to them.
I once knew a man of very great business renown, who during the last
thirty years of his life was much sought after because he possessed the
qualifications necessary to make him a most satisfactory dummy or dumb
director. Hence he was connected with a very large number of companies.
He was a man of wealth, retired from business, and had great capacity,
but it was of the avoirdupois kind. His chief qualification consisted in
his always attending punctually all the meetings. He came early and
stayed till the end. He watched closely to determine which way the
majority vote was going and always went with it. He was never known to
open his mouth, except when the luncheon was served after the directors’
meeting had adjourned. He was much lamented by corporation managers when
he died. He was their favorite director, on the ground, as claimed, he
gave no trouble and was perfectly satisfied with the result of every
meeting. When he was handed his five-dollar gold piece for attendance it
caused him to go home rejoicing. I cite him as a specimen brick among
dumb and dummy directors.
Directors should make it their business to learn all that is going on in
the corporations and institutions that they direct, so that they may
qualify themselves to act intelligently, instead of in a blindfolded
way, as is too commonly the case. They should assert their rights, and
direct in fact as well as in name, but of course necessarily leaving all
the details to the officers. They, too, should avoid grinding axes of
their own at the expense of their companies, and co-operate with both
State and Federal officials in the strict observance and enforcement of
the laws, and never connive or wink at their evasion.
All these influences for the better would promote public confidence in
our ways of doing business, and indirectly also contribute to the
stability of our monetary position. What we greatly need is a more
stable money market in Wall Street. Such erratic changes in the rates
for Stock Exchange loans that we sometimes see would create a convulsion
in Europe if they were possible there. But as they are not possible
there, why should they be here? We are destined to ultimately become the
monetary centre of the world, but that cannot be till we acquire the
stability of the Old World in interest rates.
A freak money market, jumping up to absurdly high rates and then down
again, is as dangerous as it is intolerable. It is inimical to the
proper transaction of legitimate business, and a disturbing factor that
should be made as impossible in New York as it is in London, Paris, or
Berlin. What we need, among other things, to prevent it is more care and
conservatism in banking circles. In the European money centres the rates
for money rise and fall in response to supply and demand, just as they
do here, but within narrow limits beyond which they never pass. There is
no good reason why it should not be so with us.
It is to be hoped that the eminently well qualified members of the
committee appointed by the New York Chamber of Commerce—consisting of
Messrs. Vanderlip, Conant, Straus, Claflin, and Clarke—will reach a
solution of the problem of the money market and define how far its
vagaries and irregularities are owing to a want of sufficient currency,
capital, or credit, or sudden and excessive demands for loans,
consequent on excessive activity in speculation, or unwillingness to
lend in times of distrust and panic.
In European countries monetary stability can always be relied upon; and
that element of stability, which our money market now lacks, must exist
here before we can command the confidence of the world as the world’s
financial centre. But we are now rapidly taking steps in the right
direction, and the reform movement in business and legislation can come
none too soon for our national welfare. Let the good work of reform go
on and prosper, for from it we shall reap an abundant harvest in the
future.
There was no good and sufficiently sound reason why money, on call,
should have loaned in Wall Street at rates ranging from 100 to 125 per
cent. per annum—as it did in December last, when in other cities all
over the country it loaned no higher than six per cent. These money
spasms, while local in their actual effect, exert a disturbing and
demoralizing moral influence which is far-reaching. Such pernicious
activity in the money market is not natural. It is due to artificial
causes and ill-regulated methods affecting our local supply and demand.
For the rates of interest to be leaping wildly up and down, in the loan
crowd of the Stock Exchange, and changing violently every few moments,
according to the shifting bids and offers of the excited borrowers and
lenders, would seem to be absurd and laughable enough for opera bouffe.
But in the banking and Stock Exchange business it is a serious evil,
involving large results.
Such an abnormal money market is, of course, not very often seen, but it
occurs often enough to make it important for us to study its causes and
seek a remedy for such monetary excesses. It is indeed a topic so
serious as to call for the gravest consideration. Yet neither the
stringency nor these minute to minute, or hour to hour, fluctuations
were caused by any fluctuation going on in the volume of the currency or
any except local influences.
What we have to guard against and prevent is these occasional spasms.
Against the slow general rise and fall of interest rates for money of
from, say, 2 to 6 per cent per annum and vice versa, there is nothing to
be said, for the movement is a legitimate one, a natural result of the
varying supply and demand. We see it in the Old World, as well as the
New World, but such rocket-like soarings, and such eccentric ups and
downs as Wall Street has experienced from time to time, are peculiar to
itself. It must, however, outgrow them, and the sooner it does so the
better. It is not my purpose in this address to show how the end in view
may be best accomplished, but that it can and will be accomplished
within no long time is certain. The fault is not so much due to the want
of elasticity in our currency system as to our local methods of doing
business in stocks and lending and borrowing money to carry them.
The causes of general monetary stringency are always apparent, but the
cause of the local scarcity of cash that sends the money rate up 5, 10,
20 or even 50 per cent in an hour or so among a small group of borrowers
and lenders in the Stock Exchange, could evidently be avoided, as it is
in Europe, and it is the business and duty of both borrowers and lenders
here to avoid it.
One thing tending to produce occasional local stringency is that our
money market has to contend with the evil effects of the New York
Sub-Treasury, or rather the Sub-Treasury system, that locks money up
that ought to be kept in circulation. Every Sub-Treasury acts
practically as a Government bank, just as the old United States National
Bank in Philadelphia did, and takes in all the money it can get, but
pays out none, except on Government vouchers. So it does not perform all
the functions of a bank, and we should have a more elastic currency if
the Sub-Treasury system were abolished, which it doubtless will be in
time. Theoretically, we have no United States National Bank, yet
practically we have one in every Sub-Treasury. Until Congress amends the
Sub-Treasury and National Currency laws, the banks and trust companies
could by a united understanding prevent extreme money rates, by agreeing
not to charge in excess of 10 per cent interest; or, what would be
better still, 7 per cent, on call loans during periodical money strains.
While they would lose some immediate profits, they would be abundantly
compensated later on by making New York a greater, safer, and stronger
financial centre, which would materially increase their business.
In Germany, emergency currency may be issued by the banks in times of
stringency. This, in effect, releases them from the limit on reserves,
just as, in panics, a Government order in council releases the Bank of
England from the limit placed on its note issues, and allows it to issue
its notes to an unlimited extent. The consequent inflation of the
currency under both the German and English systems, and the revival of
confidence produced by it, brings relief in the money market.
But our only way of obtaining similar relief is for the Secretary of the
Treasury to order Treasury deposits to be made in National banks on the
security of United States bonds, or if he is willing to accept them,
first class State or city bonds. Assuming the banks to have the bonds,
the Treasury may not always have the money to spare for this purpose
beyond its proper working balance, and at the best it is a make-shift
expedient.
That we need a more elastic currency is indisputable, and also such
changes in our custom of borrowing and lending money on collaterals on
the Stock Exchange as will secure stability in rates of interest there,
even in times of stringency. The time will come when the circulation of
the National banks will be based on gold, instead of United States
bonds, and in that way our monetary system will more closely approach
that of the principal European nations. But we need not prepare to cross
the bridge until we come to it.
With regard to the other matters referred to, it is always well to
strike while the iron is hot, and at present the reform movement in
legislation affecting life insurance and banking concerns is at white
heat, not only in the State of New York, but elsewhere, and it should be
pressed forward until all the results aimed at are secured.
In the first place, to accomplish this the life insurance and bank
investigations already in progress, or proposed, should be carried out
to the fullest extent, and, through the employment of expert and
independent book-keepers and accountants, made so thorough as to leave
nothing hidden or in doubt. The results in detail should then be
promptly published, and in a form that all could understand, so that the
public would know the plain, unvarnished truth. In this way rumors and
suspicions of underhand doings, bribery and corruption, graft, fraud,
deficiencies in accounts, misappropriation of funds, and concealed
insolvency, would, if not confirmed, be contradicted and swept away,
thus leaving the concerns before under suspicion in all the better
credit and standing.
Not only should all this be done now, but the State Legislature should
be equally prompt in passing the laws necessary to maintain this high
standard of publicity in the future, and making it mandatory upon the
banking and insurance departments to order frequent examinations into
the condition of all State banks and banking and insurance concerns by
expert accountants, and publish their findings. All opposition to such
investigation and publicity is of itself calculated to excite suspicion,
whether it comes from banks, trust companies, life insurance officers,
and trustees, or other concerns, or parties in interest. Industrial and
other corporations of all kinds, including railways, ought also to be
made, by mandatory laws, subject to stricter supervision and periodical
examination as to their financial condition. Hence the Attorney-General
of this and other States should be invested with new powers to this end,
and the provisions of the laws should be made mandatory upon them. They
should call for verified statements of earnings, profits, expenses,
capitalization, indebtedness, dividends, property valuations,
liabilities and assets, so that large corporations would cease to be
blind pools, and fraud and misrepresentation would be checked by being
exposed; and it is exposure and publicity which is most dreaded by those
who prefer crooked ways to open and above board business methods and
integrity of purpose. But those who have nothing to hide have much to
gain from it, and should welcome the lime-light of this new era of
publicity. Secrecy is only the defence of the weak.
The recent decision of the Supreme Court of the United States in the
Tobacco and Paper Trust cases, that corporations cannot take refuge in
secrecy, but must give testimony as to all their transactions, when
required, even where it is self-incriminating, is a great victory of the
people. It marks the beginning of a new departure in corporate
management by enforcing existing laws, and requiring that publicity of
accounts, which large industrial, railway, and other corporations, and
most notably the large industrial trusts, have hitherto so strictly
guarded against and avoided, after the blind pool fashion.
The decision is that the law as it stands, giving a witness the
constitutional privilege of refusing to give testimony tending to
incriminate himself, does not extend to or cover his refusal to produce
books and papers that would incriminate his, or any other corporation,
the immunity being wholly personal. He cannot, therefore, assert it
either in behalf of a third person or a corporation, yet strange to say
this clear and convincing reasoning has never been put forward by
lawyers opposing the trusts. But it will make the way of the corporation
transgressor harder in the future.