His Highness has usually been accompanied on these visits by

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THE GREAT WAR OF 189—

[Illustration:

THE BOMBARDMENT OF VARNA.

‘A black mass of some kind was seen to drop from the Russian balloon;

as it reached the level of tallest buildings it suddenly exploded,

its course being marked by crashing buildings and falling ruins.’

_Frontispiece._

]

THE

GREAT WAR OF 189—

_A FORECAST_

BY

REAR-ADMIRAL P. COLOMB COLONEL J. F. MAURICE, R.A., CAPTAIN F. N. MAUDE,

ARCHIBALD FORBES, CHARLES LOWE, D. CHRISTIE MURRAY AND F. SCUDAMORE

_WITH NUMEROUS ILLUSTRATIONS FROM SKETCHES SPECIALLY MADE FOR ‘BLACK AND

WHITE’ BY F. VILLIERS_

[Illustration]

LONDON

WILLIAM HEINEMANN

1895

_SECOND EDITION_

_First Edition, December, 1892_

------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE.

The following narrative appeared originally in the pages of _Black and

White_, the work being the outcome of consultations between some of the

most eminent authorities upon modern warfare and international politics.

The story has been carefully revised, and is now reprinted in response

to a general wish that it should be available in a convenient form.

CONTENTS

PAGE

Attempted Assassination of Prince Ferdinand of Bulgaria, 1

Russian Movement upon the Austrian Frontier, 26

Interview between General Caprivi and the French Ambassador, 30

Departure of Troops to the East, 32

Banquet in the Schloss, 33

Ill-treatment of a War-correspondent by the German Hussars, 37

The Austrian Plan of Campaign, 40

First Collision of Russian and German Troops, 43

Warlike Excitement in Paris, 44

Declaration of War by France, 52

The German Plan of Campaign, 61

The French Plan of Campaign, 65

Public Feeling of England, 66

Battle at Alexandrovo, 71

Occupation of Alexandrovo by the Germans, 74

Capture of Czenstochau by Prince George of Saxony, 76

Night Attack by the Russians, 78

Repulse of the German Army, 85

Excitement in Brussels, 86

The Meeting of the Four Fleets, 92

Retreat of French Cruisers, 96

On Board the Flagship, 99

Preparations for the Landing of British Troops at Trebizonde, 102

Repulse of the Russians, 106

The Russo-German Campaign—Great Battle at Skierniwiçe, 110

Italy mobilises her Army, and takes the Field against France, 121

The Council of War, 124

Italian Route—Through the Riviera, 126

Battle of Costebelle, 129

The Landing at Trebizonde, 132

Mobilisation of the First Army Corps, 138

Russia declares War against England, 147

Declaration of War in London, 148

The Position of Affairs, 158

Preparations in the Mediterranean Fleet, 160

The Battle of Sardinia, 165

The Franco-German Campaign—Cavalry Engagement near Ligny, 171

Engagement at Vaux Champagne, 178

The Battle of Machault, 184

The War in the far East—The Capture of Vladivostock, 193

Events in the East of Europe, 199

Arrival of British Troops in the Sea of Marmora, 201

Feeling in Australia, 206

Instructions from the Admiralty, 211

The Franco-German Campaign—The German Advance, 213

Advance of the Second and Third Armies on Paris, 221

The March upon the French Capital, 223

British Campaign in Bulgaria, 225

The Bombardment of Varna, 228

Rout of the Russian Army, 234

The Battle of Kosluji, 236

Enthusiasm in Cairo, 241

French Intrigues in Egypt, 248

Fierce Battle near Wady Halfa, 252

The Franco-German Campaign—Rescue of Paris, 258

Advance of General de Galliffet, 262

Brisk Cavalry Engagement, 265

Great Victory of the French, 267

The General Situation, 274

Capture of Sierra Leone by the French, 279

Siege of Herat, 281

Dispatch of Troops by the Canadian Pacific Railway to India, 282

Cessation of Hostilities—France and Germany, 287

England and Russia, 289

The Services of England, 293

General Effects of the War, 295

APPENDIX.

Sir Charles Tupper on Imperial Defence, 299

An Interview with the Right Hon. Sir Charles Dilke, 303

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

PAGE

The Bombardment of Varna, _Frontispiece_

The Attempted Assassination of Prince Ferdinand of 11

Bulgaria,

M. Stambuloff, Prime Minister of Bulgaria, appointed 13

Regent after the attempted Assassination of Prince

Ferdinand,

The Bulgarian Mobilisation—Troops marching through the 15

streets of Philippopolis,

The Servo-Bulgarian Campaign—Through Pirot to the Front, 17

An Affair of Outpost—The First Shot in the 19

Servo-Bulgarian Campaign,

The Occupation of Belgrade—‘Here at Last!’ 21

With the Turks: Admiral Woods Pacha’s Fleet of Torpedo 24

Boats steaming through the Bosphorus,

Russian Infantry Landing at Varna, 25

The Knights of Malta at Ambulance Work, 41

Extraordinary Scene in the Place de la Concorde: The Mob 47

tearing the Mourning Emblems from the Statue of

Strasburg,

The Naval Battle off Dantzig—The Sinking of a Russian 58

Torpedo Boat and Rescue of the Crew by an English

Yacht,

The Naval Battle off Dantzig—Wounded Russians on Board 60

the English Yacht,

A Scene in the House of Commons—Sir William Harcourt 68

questions the Government,

British Troops in the Place Verte, Antwerp, 88

Sinking of the Yacht ’Elaine, 97

British Troops landing at Trebizonde, 103

The Storming of Skierniwiçe, 119

Italian Artillery crossing the Mont Cenis, 128

Lord Salisbury addressing the House of Lords on the 134

Question of Peace and War,

The Mobilisation of the English Army—Troops marching 139

through the Dock Gates, Portsmouth,

Reserve Men served with the New Magazine-Rifle, and off 143

to the front to-morrow,

Reading the Mobilisation Order, 145

Declaration of War against Russia from the Steps of the 149

Royal Exchange,

Calling Out the Volunteers—Parade of the Signallers of 155

the St. Martin’s Le Grand Corps,

Our Correspondent at the Battle of Vaux Champagne, 180

The Battle of Machault: The German Cavalry charging the 186

Rallying Squares of the French,

The Taking of Vladivostock: Goorkas Protecting the Guns, 197

British Transports passing the Dardanelles: Fort Chanak 202

saluting the English Ships,

The Sultan, Lord Wolseley, and Sir Clare Ford watching 205

the Passage of the British Fleet through the Bosphorus

from the Steps of the Dolma Baghtche Palace,

German Cavalry Attack by Night on the French Bivouacs, 220

Scene in the Streets of Rheims: German Troops clearing 222

the Streets of French Rioters,

The Battle of Kosluji: Sir Evelyn Wood’s Attack on the 238

Russian Forces,

Map of the Fight near Varna, 239

Scene outside Shepheard’s Hotel, Cairo: Tommy Atkins 243

about to quit Egypt,

Soudanese Attack upon a Reconnoitring Party, 254

French Cavalry charging the Prussian Infantry, 270

Our New Route to India: A Sleeping-Car on the Canadian 283

Pacific Railway,

Tommy Atkins bargaining with the Indians on the Canadian 285

Pacific Railway,

Our New Route to India: Rations on the Canadian and 286

Pacific Railway,

Sir Charles Tupper in his Private Office in Victoria 300

Street, Westminster,

The Right Hon. Sir Charles Dilke, 304

THE GREAT WAR OF 189—

A FORECAST.

In the following narrative an attempt is made to forecast the course

of events preliminary and incidental to the Great War which, in the

opinion of military and political experts, will probably occur in

the immediate future. The writers, who are well-known authorities on

international politics and strategy, have striven to derive material

for their description of the conflict from the best sources, to

conceive the most probable campaigns and acts of policy, and

generally to give to their work the verisimilitude and actuality of

real warfare.

ATTEMPTED ASSASSINATION OF PRINCE FERDINAND OF BULGARIA.

FULL ACCOUNT OF THE MURDEROUS ASSAULT; CRITICAL CONDITION OF THE WOUNDED

PRINCE.

(_By Telegraph from our Own Correspondent, Mr. Francis Scudamore._)

CONSTANTINOPLE, _Sunday, April 3_ (_viâ_ VARNA).

_Noon._

A report has been current here since a late hour last evening, to the

effect that an attempt has been made to assassinate Prince Ferdinand of

Bulgaria, at a mining town named Samakoff, about forty miles south of

Sofia. It is said that the Prince, who had been shooting in the

Balabancha Balkans, was driving into Samakoff towards evening yesterday,

when his carriage was stopped, and he was attacked by a number of men

armed with knives and pistols. The Prince’s attendants succeeded in

saving their master’s life and in beating off some and capturing others

of his assailants, but not before His Highness had been severely

wounded.

Prince Ferdinand was carried into the house of an American missionary

resident in Samakoff, where he now lies. His Highness’s condition is

serious, and is rendered the more critical from the fact that there is

no very adequate surgical aid obtainable in Samakoff, and it was

necessary to telegraph for doctors to Sofia and Philippopolis.

The greatest excitement reigns in Constantinople since the receipt of

this intelligence, and very grave anxiety is expressed in diplomatic

circles as to the possible consequences of this terrible misfortune.

EDITORIAL COMMENTS.

It is impossible to overrate the grave significance of this attempted

assassination at Samakoff, which in the light of our Correspondent’s

telegrams would seem to be the prelude to very serious complications in

the East. It is, of course, too early to estimate its influence upon

general European politics, but we are quite within reason in saying that

the dramatic incident may prove to have endangered the peace of Europe.

We have long familiarised ourselves with the thought that the Great War

of which the world has been in constant dread for some years back, and

which is to re-adjust the balance of the Continent, is much more likely

to break out in the region of the Danube than on the banks of the Rhine,

and the incident at Samakoff may well precipitate the catastrophe. The

situation is most perilous, and it is to be hoped that strenuous

endeavours will be made by the Powers to chain up the ‘dogs of war,’ and

spare this dying century, at least, the spectacle of their release.

Since the Treaty of Berlin patched up the last serious disturbance in

Europe, there has been peace; peace, it is true; but a peace subject to

perpetual menace, and weighty matter for the consideration of statesmen.

Europe has lived, as it were, in armed camps, neutral and watchful; and

all the time the nations have prepared against war as though war were at

their doors. The dastardly outrage at Samakoff comes at a sorry time.

For we repeat our firm conviction, based on long and close attention to

the political motives at work among the nations, that it is on the

Danube and not on the Rhine that the torch of war will first be kindled.

To a pessimist, indeed, if not to an unbiassed observer, we may well

seem of late to have been drawing nearer and nearer to a general war.

The world has never been afflicted with more persistent rumours of war.

No single day has passed without bringing us its perturbing crop of

tremors and apprehensions about the stability of the European peace.

From week to week the Jewish speculators on all the Bourses of

Christendom have been robbed of their sleep, and, worse still, of their

dividends, by telegrams as to the secret massing of troops on this or

that frontier, and of ruinous uprisings in various subject and

down-trodden countries. Now it is the Black Sea Treaty that is going to

be forcibly robbed of its entire Dardanelles clauses, and again the

Bargain of Berlin is about to be perforated, for the sixth time, by the

sword-point of the Czar. Then the Roumanians wake up to find the

Russians beginning to hem them in on three sides; while, again,

newspaper readers are horrified by a revelation of the rapacious

passions which some dignify by the title of ‘principle of nationality,’

and others denounce as criminal ‘lust of land,’ that are on the verge of

outbreak at Athens and Sofia, at St. Petersburg, at Belgrade, at Vienna,

at Paris, and even at Rome.

Where is the wisdom of highly-placed men like the German Emperor and his

new Chancellor assuring the world, in addresses from the throne and

after-dinner speeches, that the peace of Europe was never more assured

than at present, and that the political horizon is without a cloud even

of the size of Elijah’s ominous and initial speck of vapour? What is the

truth or the wisdom of such assurances, when the thorn of

Alsace-Lorraine is still sticking in the flesh of the unforgiving and

revengeful French; when Italy still has some territory ‘unredeemed;’

when Denmark still harbours a deep grudge against her truculent

despoiler; when even the peaceful Swedes, who are still animated by the

spirit of the Great Gustavus, long to free their former subjects, the

Finns, from the tyrannical mastery of the Russians; when the Spaniards

would gladly profit by a European complication—even if they shrank from

the thought of an audacious _coup de main_—to repossess themselves of

Gibraltar; when the Portuguese, following suit, would never hesitate to

kick their British rival in Africa, if they deemed him to be down; when

the Cretans, egged on by the Greeks, are firmly resolved to throw off

the galling yoke of the Turks; when ex-ministers like M. Tricoupis stump

about the Balkan Peninsula, openly preaching Pan-hellenism and Balkan

Federation against the advocates of disunited nationalities; when the

Servians secretly vow to settle up old scores with their Bulgarian

vanquishers, and when these Bulgarian victors themselves, with their

Prime Minister more than their Prince at their head, are sternly

determined to be free and independent alike of Sultan and of Czar; when

Austria continues to cast longing eyes in the direction of Salonika; and

when, above all things, the Colossus of the North, with his head

pillowed on snow, and his feet swathed in flowers of the sunny South,

has sworn by the soul of his assassinated and sainted father that he

will ever remain true to the intention of his sire in exacting a solid

equivalent of power, prestige, and territorial foothold on the Balkan

Peninsula for all the blood and treasure spent by Russia in the task of

‘liberating’ the Bulgarians; when all these things, all these slumbering

passions and meditated schemes of aggression and revenge are duly

considered, how is it possible for any one, be he sovereign or subject,

to lull the world asleep by false assurances of peace which is sooner or

later doomed to be broken?

The Triple Alliance will no more succeed in terrorising the souls of all

these secret plotters and designers, and in giving them pause, than

three inter-locked mountain oaks or firs could stay the downward course

of an extended series of separate avalanches, which rend away with them

pines, and oaks, and all, in their resistless rush. But has the

avalanche, which we thus dread, really and truly at last begun to move?

We sincerely trust not, but for the present at least, the omens in the

East have an exceedingly ugly and alarming look, and we shall await the

arrival of further telegrams with the greatest anxiety. The Triple

Alliance is not an embankment that can bar the advancing flood of war,

but rather a detached fortress which must itself soon incur the danger

of being surrounded and even submerged by the rushing, whirling waters

of European strife. Though the parties to this three-cornered pact have

agreed to place their fire-engines, so to speak, at each other’s

disposal in the event of external danger from fire to their respective

domiciles, it is beyond the reach of these Powers to prevent the

outbreak of a conflagration, from accident or arson, among the rickety,

wind-swept, and thatch-roofed mansions of their neighbours; nor is there

any fact better established in connection with fires than that they are

used by thieves and anarchists for the purpose of sudden plunder and

disorder, at once upon the persons and property of the victims and

beholders of such catastrophes.

Let us suppose, for example, that as a consequence of this most alarming

incident at Samakoff, hostilities should ensue between Russia and

Austria, the former being the aggressor. In that case Germany—in virtue

of her published Treaty with the Hapsburg Monarchy—would almost

immediately have to take the field. Now, in such a contingency, is there

not a grave danger that France, seizing the golden opportunity for which

she has so long been waiting, would at once mobilise her army, and march

the greater part of it towards the Rhine? And is it not certain that the

immediate result of such a revengeful step on her part would be that

Italy, true likewise to her Treaty engagement with Germany, would make

haste to spring upon the flank of the Republic?

It is not well to forecast evils, but at the same time it is well to

look clearly ahead. We know surely enough the real nature of the

feelings with which the Bulgarians are regarded by their ‘Liberators,’

just as we are equally cognisant of the true character of those who

profess to be the Sultan’s ‘friends,’ and who, with the privilege of

most intimate amity, have repeatedly helped themselves to disintegrating

slices of his dominions. We need not remind our readers of that

bitterness which still rankles in the breasts of the Roumanians at the

memory of the manner in which they were ‘rewarded’ for services rendered

at the Gravitza Redoubt and elsewhere during the war against the Turks;

a bitterness which was only equalled by the rage of the Russians when

they recognised the supreme folly of their conduct in forcing Roumania

to accept the Dobrudja in exchange for Bessarabia, and thus depriving

themselves of a _pied à terre_ and strategical base of operations south

of the Danube, in the direction of the grand goal of their ultimate

ambition—the Golden Horn. It is as much the desire of Russia to undo

this unfortunate bargain as it is to shake herself free from the

intolerable shackles that restrain her liberty of action in the Black

Sea, and seal up the outlets thereof against her ships of war. Russia is

only awaiting a proper opportunity for accomplishing these two other

stages in what she deems to be her destiny (and does not everything come

to him who can wait?) just as she continues to pursue her anti-English

policy in Central Asia with steady, disdainful, unresisted strides, ever

lessening the distance between her own frontiers and those of India, and

thus paving the way for the execution of her policy of preventing the

forces of England from being thrown into the balance should any

complication arise in the East of Europe. ‘And ever,’ as Tennyson sang,

‘upon the topmost roof the banner of England blew;’ but that proud

banner has now, at last, been blown away by Cossack colonels from the

topmost roof of all—the ‘Roof of the World’ itself, thus enabling Russia

to overpeer our very Indian plains, and thence despatch her Calebs and

her Joshuas to spy out this other land of promise.

It may be quite true—and, indeed, from all we know of the character of

the Czar, we think it is quite true—that Alexander III. has a holy

horror of war, into which he is determined not to plunge his people; and

we have been assured by the greatest master of modern war, the late

Count Moltke, that the period of dynastic conflicts, or struggles

resulting from the personal passions and petulance of rulers, has come

to an end, and been succeeded by wars between peoples and nations. This

is also quite true; but it is precisely herein that the greatest danger

lurks. For a ruler—as witness the case of the present Czar’s own

father—may prove too weak to restrain or deflect the set of the popular

tide, and he plunged into a war against his own will. It is also

conceivable that the French Government might find it impossible to

resist the clamours of the Chamber to embrace the first opportunity—and

what could be a better one than a general European conflagration? for

ousting the English from Egypt—an object which all good Frenchmen deeply

have at heart. But it is on the Balkan Peninsula, where there are no

rulers or restraining influences to speak of, that popular passions and

aspirations must enjoy most unbridled sway; and therefore it is that we

look with anxiety for the further development of this tragic event at

Samakoff, which has already thrown the Balkan countries into a state of

wild excitement, and all Europe into a fit of ever-increasing alarm.

(_By Telegraph from our Special Correspondent, Mr. Francis Scudamore._)

PHILIPPOPOLIS, _April 4_.

(_Sunday Night._) I date this message from Philippopolis, whence indeed

it will be despatched on our arrival there to-morrow; but, as a matter

of fact, it is written in the sleeping car of a special train by which I

am travelling to Ichtiman _en route_ for Samakoff, in company with Drs.

Patterson, Stekoulis, and Lelongt, who have been invited by telegraph to

meet their Bulgarian colleagues in consultation at the bedside of the

wounded Prince. It is to these gentlemen’s courtesy that I owe the

privilege of my passage.

I am enabled, by the kindness of my friends at the United States

Legation, which, as is natural in the circumstances, has received minute

information as to the occurrence, to give you a fuller and more

authentic account of the Samakoff tragedy of yesterday by which Prince

Ferdinand of Bulgaria so nearly lost his life, than is likely to have

been transmitted as yet, and of which no doubt garbled first reports

have already thrown consternation into every European capital. I have

already stated that it is in the house of an American missionary that

Prince Ferdinand is at present lying. I must now explain that Samakoff,

which is nestled in the heart of a picturesque valley formed by the

rough triangle of the Kilo Dagh, the Kadir Tèré, and the De mir Kapou

Dagh at the head of the Balabancha range of Balkans, is not only one of

the wealthiest towns in the principality,—thanks to the iron mines by

which it is surrounded,—but is also famous and dear to Bulgarians by

reason of the presence there of the American Mission School, whose

principals rendered such devoted and signal service to the oppressed

Christians throughout the terrible time of the massacres of 1876 and the

war of 1877. At that time, when, as will be remembered, to be a

Bulgarian was all-sufficient reason for being summarily hanged (if a

man), or foully outraged (if a woman), the principal of the school and

his courageous wife snatched many victims from the gallows, and rescued

from a terrible fate, by harbouring in the mission-house, numerous young

girls and children, fugitives from the devastated villages of the Balkan

slopes. And when brighter days dawned for Bulgaria, and it became a

principality, the services of the American Mission at Samakoff were not

forgotten. It became a custom, inaugurated by Prince Alexander and

studiously maintained by his successor, for the Ruler of Bulgaria to

visit Samakoff in an informal manner once or twice a year, for the

purpose of inspecting the mission school and complimenting its

directors.

The snows which have held Samakoff isolated from the rest of the world

throughout the past four months, are now just melted, and thus it

chanced that Prince Ferdinand, who for a week past had been shooting in

the hills around Philippopolis, decided to pay his first visit of the

year to the missionaries of Samakoff, and had, unfortunately as it turns

out, announced his intention of so doing.

The Prince, with this purpose in view, left Philippopolis on Friday

evening, passing the night in his sleeping-car, and yesterday morning

started in a _calèche_ from Ichtiman-i-Vakarel, formerly the boundary

between Bulgaria and the province of Eastern Roumelia, to drive to the

little township in the mountains.

His Highness has usually been accompanied on these visits by one or

other of the ministers, but on this occasion, owing partly, no doubt, to

his hurriedly-formed plans, he had with him only one of the

aides-de-camp who had been of the shooting-party. The Prince’s carriage

was preceded by half-a-dozen mounted guards, and followed by a like

number, as an escort. This is a precaution which Prince Ferdinand’s

advisers have prevailed with him, much against his will, to adopt of

late, in view of the renewed activity of Russian agents and

sedition-mongers throughout the Principality and the neighbouring

States, where, indeed, a great anti-Bulgarian and anti-Turkish

propaganda has been actively carried on for the past year; and in view

also of the growing apprehension of his advisers that the recent success

in this city of assassins in Russian pay, coupled with the immunity from

punishment which the Czar’s representatives have shown their ability and

readiness to secure for them, would prompt the conspirators, soon or

late, to fly at higher game than either M. Stambuloff or the late Dr.

Vulkovitch. That his Highness’s advisers were in the right has been

proved by the attempt of yesterday. The event, however, may be said to

offer encouragement at once to would-be regicides and to their intended

victims, inasmuch as it has been shown yet once again to the former, how

useless as a protection against assassins is the presence of an armed

escort, and to the latter, how apt is a well-matured plot to be

frustrated by a commonplace accident.

The Prince’s carriage was expected to reach Samakoff about noon, and

shortly before that hour a considerable number of persons had collected

in the main street, while small crowds had gathered round the gates of

the Prefecture and about the door of the American Mission-house, which

is situated in a side street leading off the high road, and where the

usual modest preparations had been made for the princely visit.

His Highness, on arrival, after halting for a moment or two at the gate

of the Prefecture where he did not alight, drove on through the town

towards the Mission-house. At the moment when the carriage turned the

corner into the narrower street, a man wearing the long black gown and

brimless stovepipe hat of a priest of the orthodox church stood forward

from the crowd, in which were several other persons dressed as he was,

and, raising a revolver, took deliberate aim at his Highness. And then

occurred the accident to which, in all probability, Prince Ferdinand

owes his life. The cartridge did not explode. The sham priest lowered

his weapon slightly, raised it once more, and again pulled the trigger;

but as he did so the pistol barrel was struck up—the ball burying itself

in the wall of a house across the street—and the assassin was seized and

firmly held by many willing hands.

The whole occurrence had taken but a moment. The Prince, when he saw the

pistol levelled at him, had leapt to his feet, with the evident

intention of throwing himself upon his murderer. As it was, his

Highness’s intervention seemed very necessary on behalf of the baffled

assassin, who stood in no small danger of being lynched incontinently by

his furious captors.

The carriage had stopped; the escort was hastily dismounting, and the

Prince, shouting orders to the people to spare their prisoner’s life,

had alighted, and turning, was in the act of throwing his heavy pelisse

to his companion, when sudden as thought a second ruffian sprang from

amid the vociferating mob, hurled himself upon the Prince, and thrusting

a great, broad-bladed Circassian _khanga_ into his bosom, was away and

out of sight almost before any of the bystanders had recovered from this

second shock of horror and surprise.

His Highness, who had sunk to the ground under the blow, though he did

not lose consciousness, was at once carried into the Mission-house,

distant a few yards only, and very speedily all the best medical advice

obtainable in Samakoff was at hand, while telegrams for further

assistance were at once despatched to Sofia and to Philippopolis, the

latter place being perhaps more rapidly accessible than the capital. The

first examination of the wound showed that the broad knife had turned on

the point of a rib—very fortunately—and had therefore missed, by a

hair’s-breadth the envelope of the heart. It was not till to-day that a

persistent recurrence of internal hæmorrhage aroused the gravest fears

of the Prince’s surgeons, and prompted them to appeal to Constantinople

for further advice.

[Illustration:

THE ATTEMPTED ASSASSINATION OF PRINCE FERDINAND OF BULGARIA.

]

The pretended priest, when searched, was found to be costumed beneath

his robes in the ordinary dress of the petty trader of the towns here.

His long flowing locks proved a wig, and his thick unkempt beard was

also false. Upon him, among other papers said to be of great importance,

but as to which I know nothing, was found a passport issued by the

Russian Consulate at Odessa no less recently than last month, and

bearing the _visé_ of the Russian Chancellor at Sofia. The passport is

made out in the name of Ivan Bendukdjieff, and belongs, the fellow

avows, to a man, a stranger to him, who left it with him by mistake a

week ago. But the authorities entertain few doubts as to the scoundrel’s

identity with one of the men implicated with Shishmanoff in the recent

murder of Dr. Vulkovitch.

I have said that the news of this dastardly attempt on Prince

Ferdinand’s life caused the greatest excitement in Constantinople. There

is indeed no doubt that both the Palace and the Porte are very seriously

alarmed, as, in view of the Sultan’s disgraceful action in the

Vulkovitch affair, it is only just they should be. It is significant of

his Majesty’s state of mind that, when early this (Sunday) morning,

first the French and then the Russian Ambassador drove to the residence

of the Grand Vizier, they were unable to see him, orders having been

sent from Yildiz ordering the Pasha not to receive them. Sir Clare Ford,

on the other hand, had a long interview with the Sultan this morning.

PHILIPPOPOLIS, _April 4_.

When the train steamed into the station here, I learned in the

restaurant, where every one was eagerly discussing the events of the

past two days, that the second assassin was captured yesterday afternoon

at Banja, as the result of an order widely circulated by both telegraph

and horse messengers throughout the country, calling upon all

Tchorbadjis, or headmen of villages, to detain any stranger found within

their jurisdiction, and at once communicate with the nearest central

authority. The man has been identified as one Nicholi Nāoum, a very

well-known character who, besides being suspected of participation in

the murder, last spring, of M. Beltcheff, is known to have been acting

for the past six months as a revolutionary agent on the Macedonian

frontier. Nāoum, who, as leader of a gang of border brigands, has gained

a bloody notoriety in connection with various dastardly outrages against

society, is believed to have been recently engaged in distributing arms

and ammunition among Macedonian villages, and in inciting the

Macedonians to molest the Bulgarians dwelling among them. Nāoum, when

arrested, was found to be provided, like his accomplice, with a Russian

passport executed in regular form. He was immediately carried back to

Samakoff and confronted with Bendukdjieff, against whom he at once began

to rail as a bungler, making no attempt to exonerate himself, or to deny

his share in the tragedy. In this course, perhaps, he was guided by the

knowledge that his life was already forfeited for many atrocious crimes

before he set his hand against Prince Ferdinand. As a consequence of his

last admission of guilt, a very brief trial was necessary, and the two

wretches were hanged this morning outside the house in which they had

lodged on Friday night in Samakoff.

[Illustration:

M. STAMBULOFF

Prime Minister of Bulgaria, appointed Regent after the attempted

assassination of Prince Ferdinand.

]

The Prince is apparently doing well. M. Stambuloff, who, on receipt of

news of the disaster, hurried to his master’s bedside, remained but one

hour in Samakoff, during which time, despite the doctors, the Prince

insisted on seeing him, and returned direct to Sofia. Late on Saturday

night, at a meeting attended by most of the Ministers, hurriedly

convened, he was declared Regent during the serious illness of the

Prince, and for such time as might be necessary, and the formal

proclamation in accordance with this decision was issued yesterday

morning.

SOFIA, _April 6_.

Instead of accompanying Dr. Patterson and his colleagues on a, to me,

fruitless expedition to Samakoff, I bid them good-bye at Ichtiman, where

they left the train, and came on here. As might be expected, I have

found this city boiling with tumultuous emotions, and not only—though

that were sufficient cause—on account of the outrageous attempt on

Prince Ferdinand’s life.

It appears that the Cabinet has received news of the greatest importance

from the Macedonian frontier. The assiduous efforts of Russian agents,

who have been actively engaged for the past six months or more not only

in the provinces itself, but also in the Greek and Montenegrin borders,

in fomenting an anti-Bulgarian rising, are now on the eve of being

crowned with success. Already reports have reached the capital of

disturbances, caused apparently by raids made across the border at

Petrovich and Melnik. That there is a great shifting of troops at

present in progress as a result of this intelligence, is not denied. It

is said, indeed, though I cannot as yet tell with what truth, that a

half division has been ordered to Petrovich, and another like force to

Strumnitza. The latest rumour here is to the effect that the movement in

Macedonia is as much anti-Turkish as anti-Bulgarian, and that Turkey is

also despatching a large military force to Salonika. If this report be

true, it is surely an instance of the irony of fate. In this country it

is a matter of common talk that any anti-Bulgarian movement in Macedonia

is mainly due to the attitude of Zuknir Pasha, the Vali of Salonika,

towards the large Bulgarian element of the population of the province

under his control. This functionary’s persistent ill-treatment of

Bulgarians has been very frequently represented to the Porte in notes

from this capital as being contrary at once to the interests of Turkey

and of Bulgaria. The Principality, it has been said, has consistently

refused to take side with those who seek the dismemberment of Turkey,

and has claimed a right to expect that the development of the Bulgarian

element in Macedonia would not be crushed by Pashas who, by their

arbitrary actions, paralyse the intentions of the central government,

and prepare the way for events which had better, in the common interest,

be avoided. It is needless to say these sensible warnings have been

altogether disregarded by the Porte, with the present inevitable result.

[Illustration:

THE BULGARIAN MOBILISATION—TROOPS MARCHING THROUGH THE STREETS OF

PHILIPPOPOLIS.

]

It is further rumoured here—for the place is full of suspicion—that in

view of certain movements of Servian troops, a large Bulgarian force has

been hurriedly thrown forward to strengthen the troops at Radomir, Trn,

and Zaribrod.

SOFIA, _April 8_.

The latest reports as to Prince Ferdinand are more favourable than could

have been hoped for. The dangerous symptoms have subsided. Internal

hæmorrhage has been checked. The Prince sleeps and takes nourishment,

and his pulse and temperature are satisfactory. Hopes are held out that

in a week’s time His Highness may be moved from Samakoff. Meanwhile,

during the past few days, events have marched so rapidly that people

here are prepared for almost any eventuality. There is no longer any

attempt to conceal the movements of Servian troops. Great numbers of men

are already massed at Nisch and Vranja, and at points on the line of

railway between Nisch and Pirot. The main body of the Servian army has

its headquarters at Knuzevatz. From Belgrade, we learn of the steady

despatch of war material and siege-train to Negotin on the frontier

against Widdin, and a telegram from the same source announces the

arrival at Nisch of a train of the Red Cross Society, consisting of

eighteen carriages furnished with all the necessary equipment for active

service.

News from Constantinople is to the effect that the Porte, alarmed at the

aspect of affairs in Macedonia, has, in addition to the calling out of

the last class of rediffs, decided on the formation of five new Army

Corps. Fresh levies are to be made in order to form a strong reserve.

The transport of rediffs, mainly from Smyrna, Skanderoun, and the

Tripolitaine, is being carried on on a large scale. Over 27,000

reservists have already passed through Smyrna. Many of the Austrian

Lloyd vessels being engaged in the transport of troops to Salonika to

guard the frontier line and to reinforce the Bitolia garrison, the

Seraskierate is negotiating with some English shipping companies for

additional transport. More than fifty thousand troops are to be employed

on the Macedonian border in a line stretching from Mitrovitza on the

north, all round to Raslok on the south-east. Their chief stations will

be Palanka, with Uskub as base, and Djuma and Neurokoy with Strumdja as

base. No further disturbances are reported from the frontier.

[Illustration:

THE SERVO-BULGARIAN CAMPAIGN—THROUGH PIROT TO THE FRONT.

]

M. Stambuloff left here last night to inspect the troops on the

frontier. I am, of course, unable to give any information as to their

numbers or disposition, but it may be said that Bulgaria is well

prepared to resist any attack. It is infringing no rule to say that the

Prince’s army possesses no fewer than 400 pieces of ordnance of all

calibres. The report that his appointment as Regent has met with

disapprobation among a large section of the community here is absolutely

without foundation.

A trusted agent of the Government has also left here for Berlin, for the

purpose, it is understood, of raising a loan in that capital.

SOFIA, _April 10_.

We are now at war, and fighting is going forward even as I write. This

morning rifle-shots were exchanged between Servian and Bulgarian

patrolling parties on the frontier, near Trn, without result on either

side. A body of some 300 Servians then crossed the frontier and advanced

about a mile, seeking to cut off a party of fifty Bulgarians, who,

however, retreated and escaped. Later on heavy fighting was reported in

the neighbourhood of Vlassina. How it originated is immaterial. The

Bulgarians lost 17 men killed and 54 wounded. This set fire to the torch

all along the frontier line. Some time before the official declaration

of war, which, though it announced that hostilities would begin at noon

to-day, did not reach the Minister for Foreign Affairs here until nine

o’clock this evening, reports had been posted up in the cafés announcing

fighting in the vicinity of Planinitza, Beuskedol, Miloslawtzi, Zelene,

and Gard, in the Trn district. The Servian Minister, who had twice

telegraphed to his Government for instructions during the afternoon,

demanded a special train as soon as he had presented the declaration of

war, and left half an hour later, under escort, for the frontier.

A solemn _Te Deum_ was sung this evening in the Cathedral, M. Stambuloff

and the Ministers being present. The streets are crowded—no one shows

any intention of going to bed; the popular enthusiasm and confidence are

immense, and there is apparently a general sensation of relief at the

relaxation of the strain of the past few days, and a feeling of

satisfaction that the dastardly attack on the Prince will be promptly

avenged. I am, by the way, authorised to state that, by order of Prince

Ferdinand’s physicians, all news of these exciting events is rigidly

withheld from his Highness.

Fresh troops are hourly leaving Sofia and Philippopolis for the front.

[Illustration:

AN AFFAIR OF OUTPOSTS—THE FIRST SHOT IN THE SERVO-BULGARIAN CAMPAIGN.

]

At the moment of closing this despatch, news comes of an important

action near Dragoman, with reported defeat of the Servians with heavy

losses.

SOFIA, _April 11_.

There is to be no more fighting. The brilliant and most sanguinary

engagement at Dragoman, which I reported in progress last night, in the

course of which the Bulgarians, who were completely successful, drove

the enemy back from all their positions on the heights above the pass:

an incessant artillery duel, maintained ever since the commencement of

hostilities between the heavy Servian batteries before Negotin and the

Bulgarian forces garrisoning Widelin, and a very successful unopposed

advance along the Vranja road as far as the Morava river by a Bulgarian

force, composed of three brigades from Sofia, from Trn, and from

Radomir, make up all there is to report of the campaign. For when

hostilities were about to be opened this morning near Kumareno, which

was evidently held by a large Servian force, an officer bearing a white

towel, with a pink fringe, tied to a hedge stake, as a flag of truce,

rode out from the Servian lines and demanded a _pourparler_. It then

transpired that the Servians found themselves in a terrible quandary,

and were at their wits’ end what to do.

Late last night a large Austrian force had, without warning, crossed the

Save into Belgrade, which city they had taken so completely by surprise

that it was not until the morning that the populace was made aware of

the presence of the strangers in their midst by the sight of the troops

bivouacking in the squares, and the officers quietly breakfasting

outside the principal cafés. An Austrian force, said the parlementaire,

had also crossed the Danube to Semendria, and there were rumours that

another force had crossed the same river at Orsova. In these

circumstances, with their capital cut off from them, and their young

king and government in a manner locked up, the Servian generals

considered they had no alternative but to demand a suspension of

hostilities, at least for forty-eight hours. An armistice was therefore

granted, much to the Bulgarian leaders’ annoyance and disgust.

We learn that Austria has notified the Powers that she has occupied

Semendria and Belgrade as a precautionary measure, in view of the wanton

aggression of Servia.

It is here considered unlikely that Bulgaria will have any more trouble

from this quarter. On the other hand, however, grave rumours reach us

from Constantinople, where apparently there is very great anxiety as to

certain mysterious and as yet undefined threats by Russia. The Turkish

capital is, as matters stand at present, likely to be the chief centre

of interest for some time to come, and I shall therefore return there

to-morrow morning.

[Illustration:

THE OCCUPATION OF BELGRADE—‘HERE AT LAST!’

]

All through the day long trains of Bulgarian and Servian wounded have

crept one after another into Sofia. It is noteworthy that a considerable

percentage of the sufferers are bright and lively and make light of

their injuries. These are men who have been struck by the small nickel

bullets of the new rifle, which has been used in pretty equal

proportions on both sides.

CONSTANTINOPLE, _April 15_.

There is no doubt good cause for the grave fears at present agitating

Porte and Palace. By his foolishly near-sighted policy of pandering to

the wishes of whatsoever Power bullies him with most brutal persistency,

at the risk though it be of injuring a friendly State, the Sultan has,

as he is beginning to realise, succeeded in alienating, for the moment

at least, the sympathies of all his legitimate friends. By his

attitude—wilfully perverse and undignified—throughout the varying phases

of the Vulkovitch episode, his Majesty has aroused throughout Bulgaria

deep distrust of himself, and fierce indignation against his ministers

and his methods. The inane and futile strivings of the Porte to throw

difficulties in the path of the young Khedive, and to cheat him, if

possible, of rights clearly accorded and amply paid for, have produced

similar sentiments in Egypt and in England. And having, at the cost of

much labour and intrigue, achieved this wholly unsatisfactory position

of being an object of contempt, suspicion, and obloquy, the Sultan finds

himself suddenly but decidedly thrown over by the very Powers with whom

he had sought to curry favour. The Russian Ambassador is now too

thoroughly pre-occupied with the immediate policy of his own Government

to have any further care to wear gloves in his dealings with the Porte,

and his mood has so affected M. Cambon, the French Ambassador, that that

astute personage, unable to find those sweet professions and gracious

persuasion—half unmeaning promise, half veiled threat with which he has

been wont to _dorloter_ the Ministers at Bab Aali—come readily to his

tongue, has ceased for a fortnight past to hold any other than mere

chancellerie communication with the Turkish Government.

Let it be said at once that, despite very natural indignation, Bulgaria

shows every disposition to behave well towards the Suzerain Power.

Officially, indeed, her attitude has been in every way admirable. When

the Servians opened hostilities, when they declared war, when they asked

for an armistice—in every phase, in short, of the quarrel, M. Stambuloff

apprised, and asked counsel and aid of, the Sultan. To be sure he got

nothing for his pains, but it must have been a satisfaction to the

Sultan to receive proof that, in one quarter at any rate, he is not

regarded as a European Power of merely sentimental importance.

CONSTANTINOPLE, _April 16_.

Fresh alarm was caused here this morning by the discovery that our

telegraphic communication has been interrupted at once with Odessa and

with Batoum. All inquiries as to the cause of the rupture made by other

routes failed to elicit any explanation. Later in the day a vessel of

the Cunard line arrived in the Bosphorus, and her captain has stated

that the Russian harbour-master at Odessa is detaining all ships, of

whatever nationality, in that port. His own vessel, he says, was the

last to leave Odessa, and only got away by a chance, the order having

reached him when he had already got under way. He states that there were

several Russian ironclads, and quite a fleet of torpedo boats at Odessa,

all with steam up, and says that when he was on shore there the day

before yesterday the town was full of soldiers, and the approaches to

the dockyards crowded with a constantly-increasing mass of guns, horses,

ammunition, and other war material.

CONSTANTINOPLE, _April 18_.

I have received a telegram from my correspondent in Sofia, who tells me

that the Bulgarian Government understands that the Russians are

preparing an expedition for sea at Odessa, and intend to occupy some

portion of Bulgarian territory. The Princely Government has reason to

expect the attack will be directed against Varna, and has called upon

the Sultan to aid Bulgarian arms by sending his fleet to guard the Varna

roads. The Sultan has as yet made no reply to this request, says my

correspondent, but it is not difficult to guess what His Majesty’s

action will be, inasmuch as Turkey has no single ship of war in

condition to be got to sea under a month at the least, and it is more

than questionable whether even then any of the ironclads could be

completely manned or provided with serviceable ammunition. There are,

indeed, some torpedo boats—unprovided, I understand, with torpedoes—and

a couple of the monitors that did some service in the Danube in the last

war. If the Admiralty should elect to place these vessels at the service

of the Bulgarian Government, they might be of some use as scouts. But

that is about all that Turkey can hope to do for her vassal.

[Illustration:

WITH THE TURKS: ADMIRAL WOODS PACHA’S FLEET OF TORPEDO BOATS STEAMING

THROUGH THE BOSPHORUS.

]

Here there is terrible anxiety lest the Russian expedition be directed,

not against Varna or Bourgas, but against the Kavaks, and the

Seraskierate is busily taking precautions to meet such a contingency

with all the forces available.

The Great War of 189-: A Forecast · 第 1 / 23 段