Civilization at the Breaking Point

By H.G. Wells.

[Copyright, 1915, by THE NEW YORK TIMES Company.]

The submarine and aircraft have put a new proposition before the

world. It is a proposition that will be stated here as plainly and

simply as possible. These two inventions present mankind with a choice

of two alternatives, or, to vary the phrase, they mark quite

definitely that we are at the parting of two ways; either mankind must

succeed within quite a brief period of years now in establishing a

world State, a world Government of some sort able to prevent war, or

civilization as we know it must break up into a system of warring

communities, perpetually on the warpath, perpetually insecure and

engaged in undying national vendettas. These consequences have been

latent in all the development of scientific warfare that has been

going on during the last century; they are inherent in the

characteristics of the aircraft and of the submarine for any one to

see.

They are so manifestly inherent that even before this war speculative

minds had pointed out the direction to which these inventions pointed,

but now, after more than three-quarters of a year of war, it is

possible to approach this question, no longer as something as yet

fantastically outside the experience of mankind, but as something

supported by countless witnesses, something which the dullest, least

imaginative minds can receive and ponder.

What the submarine and aircraft make manifest and convincing is this

point, which argument alone has never been able to hammer into the

mass of inattentive minds, that if the human intelligence is applied

continuously to the mechanism of war it will steadily develop

destructive powers, but that it will fail to develop any corresponding

power of decision and settlement, because the development of the

former is easy and obvious in comparison with the development of the

latter; it will therefore progressively make war more catastrophic and

less definitive. It will not make war impossible in the ordinary

meaning of the word, the bigger the gun and the viler the lethal

implement the more possible does war become, but it will make war

"impossible" in the slang use of five or six years ago, in the sense,

that is, of its being utterly useless and mischievous, the sense in

which Norman Angell employed it and so brought upon himself an

avalanche of quite unfair derision. No nation ever embarked upon so

fair a prospect of conquest and dominion as the victorious Germans

when, after 1871, they decided to continue to give themselves to the

development of overwhelming military power. And after exertions

unparalleled in the whole history of mankind their net conquests are

nothing; they have destroyed enormously and achieved no other single

thing, and today they repeat on a colossal scale the adventures of

Fort Chabrol and Sidney Street, and are no better than a nation of

murderous outcasts besieged by an outraged world.

Now, among many delusions that this war has usefully dispelled is the

delusion that there can be a sort of legality about war, that you can

make war a little, but not make war altogether, that the civilized

world can look forward to a sort of tame war in the future, a war

crossed with peace, a lap-dog war that will bark but not bite. War is

war; it is the cessation of law and argument, it is outrage, and

Germany has demonstrated on the large scale what our British

suffragettes learned on a small one, that with every failure to

accomplish your end by violent means you are forced to further

outrages. Violence has no reserves but further violence. Each failure

of the violent is met by the desperate cry, the heroical scream: "We

will not be beaten. If you will not give in to us for this much,

then see! We will go further." Wars always do go further. Wars always

end more savagely than they begin. Even our war in South Africa,

certainly the most decently conducted war in all history, got to farm

burning and concentration camps. A side that hopes for victory fights

with conciliation in its mind. Victory and conciliation recede

together. When the German--who is really, one must remember, a human

being like the rest of us, at the worst just merely a little worse in

his upbringing--when he finds he cannot march gloriously into Paris or

Warsaw, then, and only then, does he begin to try to damage Paris and

Warsaw with bombs, when he finds he cannot beat the French Army and

the British fleet, then, and not till then, does he attack and murder

the slumbering civilians of Scarborough and Dunkirk, and lies in wait

for and sinks the Lusitania. If war by the rules will not bring

success, then harsher measures must be taken; let us suddenly torture

and murder our hated enemies with poison gas, let us poison the South

African wells, let us ill-treat prisoners and assassinate civilians.

Let us abolish the noncombatant and the neutral. These are no peculiar

German iniquities, though the Germans have brought them to an

unparalleled perfection; they are the natural psychological

consequences of aggressive war heroically conceived and bitterly

thwarted; they are "fierceness"; they are the logical necessary

outcome of going to war and being disappointed and getting hit hard

and repeatedly. Any military nation in a corner will play the savage,

the wildcat at bay, in this fashion, rather than confess itself done.

And since the prophetic Bloch has been justified and the long

inconclusiveness of modern war, with its intrenchments and

entanglements, has been more than completely demonstrated, this is the

way that every war in the future is likely to go. Fair and open

conquest becoming more and more out of the question, each side will

seek to cow, dismay, and subjugate the spirit of the other, and

particularly the spirit of the noncombatant masses, by more and more

horrible proceedings. "What do you think of that?" said the German

officer, with a grin, as he was led prisoner past one of our soldiers,

dying in agonies of asphyxiation. To that point war brings men.

Probably at the beginning of the war he was quite a decent man. But

once he was committed to war the fatal logic of our new resources in

science laid hold of him. And war is war.

Now there does not appear the slightest hope of any invention that

will make war more conclusive or less destructive; there are, however,

the clearest prospects in many directions that it may be more

destructive and less conclusive. It will be dreadfuller and bitterer;

its horrors will be less and less forgivable; it will leave vast

sundering floods of hate. The submarine and the aircraft are quite

typical of the new order of things. You can sweep a visible fleet off

the seas, you can drive an invading army into its own country, but

while your enemy has a score of miles of coast line or a thousand

square miles of territory left him, you cannot, it seems, keep his

aircraft out of your borders, and still less can you keep his

submarines out of the sea. You can, of course, make reprisals, but you

can not hold him powerless as it was once possible to do. He can work

his bloody mischief on your civil life to the very end of the war, and

you must set your teeth and stick to your main attack. To that pitch

this war has come, and to that pitch every subsequent war will come.

The civil life will be treated as a hostage, and as it becomes more

and more accessible, as it will do, to the antagonist it will be more

and more destroyed. The sinking of the Lusitania is just a sign and a

sample of what war now becomes, its rich and ever richer opportunities

of unforgettable exasperation. Germany is resolved to hurt and destroy

to the utmost, every exasperated militarism will come naturally to

such resolves, and only by pain and destruction, by hurting, shaming

and damaging Germany to the point of breaking the German spirit can

this inflamed and war-mad people be made to relinquish their gigantic

aggression upon the world. Germany, that great camp of warriors, must

be broken as the Red Indians and the Zulus were broken, if

civilization is to have another chance, and its breaking cannot be

done without unparalleled resentments. War is war, and it is not the

Allies who have forced its logic to this bitter end.

Unless this war does help to bring about a lasting peace in the world,

it is idle to pretend that it will have been anything else but a

monstrous experience of evil. If at the end of it we cannot bring

about some worldwide political synthesis, unanimous enough and

powerful enough to prohibit further wars by a stupendous array of

moral and material force, then all this terrible year of stress and

suffering has been no more than a waste of life, and our sons and

brothers and friends and allies have died in vain. If we cannot summon

enough good-will and wisdom in the world to establish a world alliance

and a world congress to control the clash of "legitimate national

aspirations" and "conflicting interests" and to abolish all the

forensic trickeries of diplomacy, then this will be neither the last

war, nor will it be the worst, and men must prepare themselves to face

a harsh and terrible future, to harden their spirits against

continuing and increasing adversity, and to steel their children to

cruelty and danger. Revenge will become the burden of history. That is

the price men will pay for clinging to their little separatist cults

and monarchies and complete independencies, now. The traffic and

wealth of our great and liberal age will diminish, the arts will

dwindle and learning fade, science will cease to advance, and the rude

and hard will inherit the earth. The Warpath or the World State; that

is the choice for mankind.

This lesson of the submarine which destroys much and achieves nothing

has ample support in history. There never was so blind a superstition

as the belief that progress is inevitable. The world has seen the

great civilization of the Western empire give place to the warring

chaos of the baronial castles of the ninth and tenth centuries; it has

seen the Eastern empire for 500 years decay and retrogress under the

militarism of the Turk; it has watched the Red Indians, with rifles in

their hands, grimly engage in mutual extermination. Is it still a

blind world, doomed to blunder down again from such light and order

and hope as we were born to, toward such another millennium of

barbaric hates and aimless wars? That is no mere possibility; it is

the present probability unless men exert themselves to make it

impossible. It is quite conceivable that ours is the last generation

for many generations that will go freely about the world, that will

have abundance of leisure, and science and free speech and abundant

art and much beauty and many varied occupations. We stand about in our

old haunts and try to keep on with our old ways of living and

speculate when the war will be "over," and when we shall be able to go

back to everything just as it was before the war. This war and its

consequences will never be "over," and we have not even begun to

realize what it has cost us.

The course of human history is downward and very dark, indeed, unless

our race can give mind and will now unreservedly in unprecedented

abundance to the stern necessities that follow logically from the

aircraft bomb and the poison gas and that silent, invisible,

unattainable murderer, the submarine.

[Illustration]

"Human Beings and Germans"

By Rudyard Kipling.

Addressing 10,000 persons at a recruiting rally in

Southport, England, on June 21, 1915, Mr. Kipling spoke as

reported in the subjoined cable dispatch to THE NEW YORK

TIMES.

The German went into this war with a mind which had been carefully

trained out of the idea of every moral sense or obligation, private,

public, or international. He does not recognize the existence of any

law, least of all those he has subscribed to himself, in making war

against com-[Transcriber's Note: Text missing from original.] and

children.

All mankind bears witness today that there is no crime, no cruelty, no

abomination that the mind of man can conceive which the German has not

perpetrated, is not perpetrating, and will not perpetrate if he is

allowed to go on.

These horrors and perversions were not invented by him on the spur of

the moment. They were arranged beforehand. Their outlines are laid

down in the German war book. They are part of the system in which

Germany has been scientifically trained. It is the essence of that

system to make such a hell of countries where their armies set foot

that any terms she may offer will seem like heaven to the people whose

bodies she has defiled and whose minds she has broken of set purpose

and intention.

So long as an unbroken Germany exists, so long will life on this

planet be intolerable, not only for us and for our allies, but for all

humanity.

There are only two divisions in the world today, human beings and

Germans, and the German knows it. Human beings have long ago sickened

of him and everything connected with him, of all he does, says,

thinks, or believes.

From the ends of earth to the ends of the earth they desire nothing

more greatly than that this unclean thing should be thrust out from

membership and memory of the nations.

We have no reason to believe that Germany will break up suddenly and

dramatically. She took two generations to prepare herself in every

detail and through every fibre of her national being for this war. She

is playing for the highest stakes in the world--the dominion of the

world. It seems to me that she must either win or bleed to death

almost where her lines run today.

Therefore, we and our allies must continue to pass our children

through fire to Moloch until Moloch perish.

In Belgium at this hour several million Belgians are making war

material or fortifications for their conquerors. They receive enough

food to support life, as the German thinks it should be supported, (by

the way, I believe the United States of America supplies a large part

of that food.) In return they are compelled to work at the point of

the bayonet. If they object, they are shot. They have no more property

and no more rights than cattle, and they cannot lift a hand to protect

the honor of their women.

There has been nothing like the horror of their fate in all history.

If Germany is victorious, every refinement of outrage which is within

the compass of the German imagination will be inflicted on us in every

aspect of our lives. Realize, too, that if the Allies are beaten there

will be no spot on the globe where a soul can escape from the

domination of this enemy of mankind.

There has been childish talk that the Western Hemisphere would offer a

refuge from oppression. Put that thought from your mind. If the Allies

were defeated Germany would not need to send a single battleship over

the Atlantic. She would issue an order, and it would be obeyed.

Civilization would be bankrupt, and the Western world would be taken

over with the rest of the wreckage by Germany, the receiver.

So you see that there is no retreat possible. There are no terms and

no retreat in this war. It must go forward, and with those men of

England, who are eligible for service but who have not yet offered

themselves, the decision of war rests.

This is, for us, in truth a war to death against the power of darkness

with whom any peace except on our own terms would be more terrible

than any war.

Garibaldi's Promise.

By KATHERINE DRAYTON MAYRANT SIMONS, JR.

_O Loveland of the Poets,

In the hour of your pain,

Does Garibaldi's promise

To your heroes hold again?_

There were fisher lads among them,

In the shirt of peasant red,

And mountaineers from Tyrol,

When Garibaldi said:

"I have no prayer to make you,

For to God alone I kneel!

I have no price to pay you,

For your wage is Austrian steel!

"There is naught of knightly emblem

For the honor of the brave,

And the only land I grant you

Will be length to mark your grave!

"I promise cold and hunger

In the stead of drink and meat!

I promise death, my brothers,

Shall be yours before defeat!"

_O Sweetheart of the Nations,

In the hour of your pain,

Does Garibaldi's promise

To Italia hold again?_

New York Times Current History; The European War, Vol 2, No. 4, July, 1915 April-September, 1915 · 第 194 / 233 题