CHAPTER VII

THE MARCH OF SCIENCE

In a forecast like the present it is impossible to avoid a certain

amount of overlapping in different sections of the subject and

a certain blending of topics in a single chapter. The attempt to

differentiate consistently between the progress of science as science,

and the concurrent advance of practical invention by which scientific

discovery is turned to use would only involve needless repetition. I

have already had occasion to suggest elements of material progress

which presuppose the advance in pure science that would make them

possible. Thus, in endeavouring to suggest what the methods of commerce

and the condition of our cities are likely to be in the future it

was necessary to conceive certain advances in our knowledge of what

is rather clumsily called "wireless" telegraphy, and to predict

the discovery of new and cheap methods of analysing water into its

component gases as a source of fuel and as means for the production

of electricity: and in order to avoid useless repetition it was found

convenient to work out in a rough manner the various ways in which the

cheap and inexhaustible supplies of hydrogen and oxygen which I have

imagined discovery to have placed at the disposal of invention would

be employed in the arts. Similarly, when we interrogate imagination

on the subject of scientific discovery itself, we shall be forced to

think chiefly of the practical results likely to be achieved by it,

and indeed there would otherwise be hardly any purpose to serve by

the effort. What imports the greatest amount of complexity into the

subject is the difficulty of conceiving the lines upon which science

is likely to travel, unless we allow ourselves to be guided by the

practical requirements of the future as far as we are able to foresee

them. Imagination has indeed superabundant room in which to run riot

when it endeavours to give form to the probabilities of scientific

discovery; and the only danger is that effort may be wasted in purely

fanciful directions, if it be not pretty securely tied down by some

such artificial restraint as the convention of keeping more or less

strictly to the anticipation of discoveries likely to have immediate

practical application.

For instance, there is hardly any end to the developments we might

allow ourselves to imagine as arising out of the new theories, still in

a probationary condition, as to the ultimate physical structure of the

universe. Such conjectures might be followed indefinitely in several

directions, and the resulting conclusions would be more likely to

err by timidity than by extravagance: but as there is no knowledge at

present available which could serve as a guide to the probably-right,

and as a warning against the probably-wrong, directions, it would be

neither interesting nor useful to pursue them. Radium "the revealer,"

as Dr Saleeby has called it in one of those brilliant papers which

fine imagination and delicate fancy have adorned with many another

noble phrase and memorable image, opens the door to a whole world of

new possibilities. Our whole conception of cosmic processes may have

to be remodelled, in the light of those tiny scintillations which the

spinthariscope has popularised. Already our notions concerning the

nature of matter have been revolutionised. We are told that atoms,

regarded hitherto as the ultimate units of matter--so small that Lord

Kelvin has calculated that if a drop of water were magnified to the

size of the earth the atoms in it would be somewhere between the size

of small shot and the size of cricket balls--are themselves made up

of a stuff so almost infinitely more tenuous, that the particles of

it within the atom are, relatively to their size, farther apart than

the planets of the solar system. Nor is this all. These particles,

commonly called electrons, if particles they can still be designated at

all, were at first said to "carry" a charge of electricity. But it now

seems that they are electricity itself. If this be true, we should seem

to be on the point of bridging the void between what used to be called

the eternal antithetics--matter and force: and whither this will lead

us can only with the greatest caution be pre-imagined. In any case the

consequences of this discovery, philosophical as well as scientific,

are stupefying in the possibilities they open up to the thinker as

well as to the man of practical science. At last science begins to join

hands with philosophy. What will be the philosophy of a hundred years

hence, imagination pales before the effort of attempting to conceive.

But the working out of the revelations promised by radiology belongs

rather to this end of the century than to the other. During the

interval there can be no doubt that electricity, already man's chief

handmaid, will have increased and perhaps completed her services

to the race. When, as I ventured to suggest in a former chapter,

inexhaustible and cheap "current" is yielded to us by some method

of utilising the electrical reciprocity of the hydrogen and oxygen

gases derived from water, doubtless all machinery will be electrically

driven, all transport electrically propelled. Perhaps this discovery

lies so far in the foreground of the future as to be irrelevant to any

anticipations of the world's condition a hundred years hence. The

full development of electrically-driven machinery lies in the

middle distance, and the duration of the electrical age can hardly

be precalculated with any greater exactness than the suggestion that

it will probably have reached, or at all events approached, its end

in about a century's time.

The most important problem connected with this subject is to

imagine, if we can, how electrical power will be applied. It is quite

evident that the device of long conductors, either overhead or below

ground--the "live wires" of alarmed America--is too clumsy and too

dangerous to be long tolerated. It is indeed a public scandal that

cables carrying an electrical charge capable of killing or paralysing

at a touch should be suspended over the heads of the citizens, exposed

to momentary breakage by snowfall, high wind, or the inevitable

wear which careless inspectors may overlook: and the mere fact that

a horse can occasionally set foot on a ground plate and fall dead

from the contact shows that even the vaunted "conduit system" must

not be regarded as anything but a strictly-temporary device. Some of

the dangers of the underground electric wires arise out of the use

of our present illuminating gas, when a pipe leaks into a manhole

or inspection chamber, forming an explosive mixture of gas and air,

which presently becomes ignited by an electric spark and blows up the

whole affair. No doubt coal gas is within easily measurable distance

of its end as a convenience of civilisation. But it is extremely

probable that hydrogen and oxygen will be conveyed by mains to houses

and public buildings during a long time: and it is hardly possible

to believe that the mains will not sometimes leak and be capable of

letting out mixtures far more dangerous on ignition than the mixture

of coal gas and air, and still more dangerous because neither of the

gases, nor the mixture of them, has any smell, unless indeed we should

take the precaution of giving them one artificially. Whatever we may

do, and we shall do much, to minimise the dangers of highly-evolved

civilisation, accidents will always occur, and their violence will

probably increase. We must pay our toll to the conveniences of life,

and we shall of course compensate ourselves by a lower death-rate

from diseases, many of which will no doubt in a hundred years' time

have disappeared from the planet.

If we need any motive power other than electricity, or if we need

motive power of some other kind to produce electricity, no doubt

the explosive recombination of oxygen and hydrogen, controlled by

devices developed from existing gas-engines and petrol-engines, will

be a starting-point: because coal will, probably before the complete

exhaustion of the supply of it, have been found altogether too dirty

and unhealthy a thing to use, at all events by way of combustion,

though rumours are heard from time to time of new methods by which

the stored energy of coal may be utilised directly, to the great

economy of the material. [13] In all sorts of ways the early years of

the century will be employing themselves in seeking out new sources

of man's chief necessity--power: and a hundred years hence we shall

have entered upon the full inheritance of them.

But the obtaining of power is only one problem of the mechanician. Of

almost equal, if not quite equal, importance is that of applying power

at the place where it is needed, and the careful reader will not have

overlooked the fact that while we have been discussing the use of

electricity as a source of power we have already been anticipating,

and perhaps anticipating a good deal. For, when we now speak of

machinery and locomotive engines being "driven" by electricity, we

are really only employing a sort of convenient periphrasis. All our

electric machinery, all our electric railways, our "tuppeny" tubes

and the horrible electric trams which make life almost intolerable in

houses along many of the main roads out of London, are really driven by

coal-burning steam engines. In a few places (especially in the Niagara

valley) waterfall power is used. But whatever the real source of power,

electricity is only a means, more or less convenient, of transmitting

it. Even electric launches, and slow-going electric broughams driven

by accumulators, only represent slightly more subtle examples of the

electrical transmission of power. The ultimate source of power is

always either a steam-engine or a waterfall. A few lecture-table toys

and the like are the only existing examples of machinery in which the

actual source of power is electricity. Even here, it may be objected,

the actual source of power is not electricity, but chemical action

in the battery. But no contrivance of man is an ultimate source of

power. Even a steam-engine is only a device for utilising the stored

solar energy of coal. Of course man can no more create power than

he can create matter: the stock of each in the universe is a fixed

quantity. All that we are able to do is to harness to our use a part

of the cosmic store. When I speak of electricity becoming hereafter

a "source" of power, I am merely distinguishing between its use as

a means of transmitting force already perceived as force in some

other form (as where a dynamo-electric machine receives motion from

a steam-engine or waterfall and turns this motion into electricity,

which is conveyed by wires or rails to an electric dynamic engine

that reconverts it into motion) and its use as a primary means of

utilising the cosmic stores of force.

Before we arrive, therefore, at the point of using electricity as

a source of power in itself, our mechanicians will have plenty to

occupy them in the task of devising safer and more convenient methods

of transmitting force, and even at the end of the century, supposing

the use of electricity not to have been entirely superseded by the

discovery of some entirely new force as yet not even conceivable,

invention will doubtless be still busy with further improvements in

the transmission as well as in the production of electricity. It has

been hinted that "wireless" transmission of power will no doubt by

that time have become practicable, and Signor Marconi's achievement

of wireless telegraphy was mentioned as a proof that such transmission

is at least imaginable. In Marconi's invention an enormous electrical

impulse is launched into the æther, and if the very smallest token

of it can be "picked up" in any way at the receiving station, the

wireless telegram is satisfactorily received. But the important fact

for our present purpose is that some product of the original impulse

can be picked up: and though the effort of imagination required to

see in this a starting-point for entirely new inventions, capable

of gathering up a practicable modicum of the transmitted power in

a form capable of being converted into motion, is severe, we shall

bring but a poor imaginative equipment to a task so colossal as that

of guessing what the next century will be capable of if we refuse to

believe that something in the nature of Hertzian waves, or something

propagated as these are propagated, can be used to carry impulse to

machinery at a distance from the source of power. The imaginative

faculty which boggles at this effort will probably overlook the fact

that the mere transmission is only a part of the difficulty which

is pretty sure to have been overcome by this time next century. It

will not be enough to launch waves capable of being used where they

are intended to be used. We must also discover how to launch them

so that they may be incapable of being used anywhere else. I read

the other day the report of a police-court case in which a man was

charged with "stealing electricity" (which seems a rather doubtful

indictment from the point of view of the lawyer) by obtaining the

use of a public telephone station without paying the usual fee. The

electricians of a hundred years hence will certainly have to find

out how to prevent the purloining of wireless force, and perhaps the

police will have to devise means of detecting this at present somewhat

recondite crime. This question of wireless transmission lies within

the province of discovery rather than that of invention. Before it can

receive actuality we have to do more than utilise existing knowledge:

we have to acquire new knowledge.

In the meantime, portable energy will no doubt be achieved in ways

other than electrical. Some very interesting compressed-air tools are

already in limited use. Holes are drilled and rivets driven by little

contrivances which have a store of force within themselves furnished by

compressed air. One of the many uses of the cheap oxygen and hydrogen,

and doubtless of cheaply liquefied gases of high-resisting power, [14]

will no doubt be to work various kinds of machinery. This use of liquid

airs has been much derided, and indeed a good deal of nonsense has been

written as to its possibilities, drawing from a recent and accomplished

writer the remark that "The statements which have sometimes appeared

in the daily papers, announcing impending revolutions in the methods of

obtaining cheap power by the application of liquid air, have originated

from an imperfect comprehension of the problems involved." [15]

In present conditions, and so far as we are able to see at present,

liquefied gases are for a long time not likely to serve any greater

mechanical purpose than that of furnishing a highly portable apparatus

by which great power can be developed for a short time at any required

place. It is easy to believe that it could not be otherwise employed

with any economy, even when discovery has greatly simplified the now

difficult process of liquefaction. But in regard to this matter, and

to almost every other mechanical and engineering improvement suggested

in the present work, it is of the first importance to remember that

the conditions in which the work of the world a hundred years hence

will be done are certain to differ very greatly from anything we know

to-day; and that procedures at present not merely out of proportion,

but in themselves actually chimerical, will become perfectly workable

in the new circumstances of another century. No doubt the problems at

present involved make many of the developments herein suggested almost

laughable to those who examine the subject without imagination. But

what could have been thought of a man who, when Oersted discovered the

influence of a battery current on the compass needle, suggested that

the discovery might, in much less than a hundred years, be practically

developed in such unforeseen ways as to produce locomotive machines

capable of carrying vast weight at a speed of perhaps a hundred

miles an hour? He would have been told that such predictions "could

only have originated from an imperfect comprehension of the problems

involved." But we know that they would have been perfectly sound,

though it would have been difficult to withhold assent from the

derision which instructed hearers would have poured upon them. The

effect of any scientific discovery can only be measured when we are in

a position to judge of the conditions in which it may be applied, and

the further discoveries which may affect it--a consideration which will

help us against the danger of undue caution in estimating the possible

developments of recent discovery when utilised in the conditions of the

next century and reinforced by inventions and discoveries yet to come.

A like caution will, however, teach us to restrain our expectations

from the new knowledge which radium appears to be gradually unfolding,

not because there is any doubt that radio-activity will ultimately

bring priceless gifts to civilisation, but because in our present

ignorance of all but a few facts concerning it we can form no possible

conjecture as to the lines these gifts will follow. Already we seem

to have seen in some of the radium experiments one "element" turn into

another. If this should develop until we acquire the power which used

to be dreamed of as transmutation, the social and economic upheavals

which would result beggar imagination. [16]

The photographic effect of Röntgen rays has already [17] been

the subject of a suggestion, and even the facts now remotest from

practical use in connection with the rays of various sorts so much

discussed in the scientific newspapers will no doubt be utilised in

a manner or in manners far removed from the limited employment in

therapeutics already found for them.

And indeed medicine, not the most progressive of modern sciences,

will no doubt make vast strides during the period under discussion.

It would be altogether fallacious to forecast the position and

probable achievements of medical science in a century's time on the

line of simple development from the practice of to-day. The changes

will be revolutionary rather than evolutionary. When it is remembered

that only fifty years ago limbs were hacked from the quivering flesh

of the sentient patient, held down by muscular assistants lest the

violent struggles of his agony should embarrass the surgeon, and that

wounds of all sorts festered and decayed until a hospital reeked

with their impurity--in other words, that discoveries so great as

anæsthesia and antisepsis are well within living memory--we need not

hesitate to predict for the present century changes in medical and

surgical science almost inconceivable by the light of our present

attainment. Anæsthetics--of which the local kinds, as cocaine and

eucaine, are of entirely recent use--represent an advance in one

direction. Antiseptic surgery, which is the prevention and correction

of blood and wound-poisoning by chemical disinfectants, represented an

advance of a different kind. But antisepsis is already on the point

of being superseded by the far more rational and scientific method

of asepsis, or the exclusion from open wounds of all the germs which

can set up inflammation and festering. The change is typical.

The direction in which medicine is chiefly working at the present

time is that of introducing into the body one disease with the

idea of excluding other diseases. It is conceived that cow-pox

is antagonistic to small-pox, erysipelas possibly to cancer, and

so on. All the talk in medical circles is of serum and attenuated

virus. And, apart from animal products administered by injection, we

cure or attempt to cure all diseases by administering poisons--animal,

vegetable or mineral. Just as by antiseptics we poison the germ which

causes festering and inflammation, so by drugs we attempt to poison

disease--for all drugs are practically poisons. The principle of their

administration is almost wholly empirical. If you ask a doctor why

phenacetin reduces fever, it is impossible to get beyond a metaphysical

explanation. He will reply that phenacetin reduces fever by lowering

the blood pressure, or something of that kind. But this merely

re-states the problem. Why does phenacetin lower blood pressure? We

do not know. The substitution of asepsis for antisepsis--that is,

of cleanliness for disinfection--has hardly yet been perceived

to be in a certain sense the greatest advance in therapeutics

since Hippocrates. It probably contains the germ of future medical

treatment. Hereafter we shall not try to cast out devils of disease

by other disease-germs only less devilish. We shall learn enough of

the causes of disease to stop them at their source, and knowledge

growing from more to more, which has taught us exactly how "matter

in the wrong place"--of whatever sort--is the source of all disease,

will also show how matter may generally be kept in its right place.

Although comparatively little progress has been made by the curative

use of rays, other discoveries, of which we have even now passed the

brink, will have an enormous effect on medicine and surgery. Already

certain kinds of light cure rodent ulcer, one of the most hideous and

terrible diseases, not by the importation of fresh substances into the

body but by the modification of the tissues themselves. When radiation

has been fully studied it will almost certainly be found that the

sun, which is the source of practically all terrestrial activity,

has been showering upon us, ever since the homogeneous vapour which

was the birth-stuff of the universe aggregated itself into worlds and

suns and planets, rays which are capable of correcting every sort of

disease-germination and, properly used, of preventing it. The absolute

deadliness of unmodified sunlight to many sorts of disease-germs is

recognised already. The value of sun-baths--the exposure of the whole

body, undraped or only lightly covered, to the sunlight--is already

discussed in connection with anæmia, chlorosis and the early stages

of consumption. When we know just where all disease originates,

and why it develops, it seems likely that sunlight and oxygen its

child will prevent nearly all disease and cure whatever disease

accidentally arises. In place of temporary and dangerous expedients

like antiseptics, serum and corrective poisons, we shall import nothing

into the human organism, but only exclude what ought to be kept out,

and modify into innocuousness what has found its way in.

A great part of the disease we call constitutional, as distinguished

from infective, arises from food, either because the food itself is

not free from disease, or because, from excess in quantity or error

in choice, the food we take sets up the production of poisons in the

course of digestion, and by yielding, for instance, lactic or uric

acid to the blood causes rheumatism or gout, or by introducing into

the stomach matter in a state of incipient decay, favours typhoid

and other fevers.

When, for reasons already indicated, animal food has been eliminated

from the menu one great source of disease will have been got rid of.

When we completely understand the nature of the infective and

contagious diseases it seems well within the bounds of possibility

that the systematic destruction of their germs may be carried far

enough to remove them altogether from the planet. [18] We have now,

even by the highly imperfect measure of quarantine and a period

of muzzling (from which, on no evident ground except that it would

interfere with the amusements of the governing class to include them,

sporting dogs were excluded), apparently banished hydrophobia from

Great Britain. If it prove to be the case that just as hydrophobia

cannot arise spontaneously, but requires to be "started" by the entry

into the blood of an animal of an existing infection, other infective

diseases require pre-existing disease before they can arise, we may

get rid of them altogether. The dream may appear a wild one. But

it is not wilder than the dreams of a thinker who anticipated any

one of a hundred common facts of to-day must have appeared to our

great-great-grandfathers.

It is, of course, not to be supposed that disease can altogether be

banished from a world so highly artificial as that of the next century

will be. Undoubtedly the growth of sanitary science and the knowledge

of the larger facts of hygiene, which is only now beginning to dawn

upon us, will have a great influence in correcting some of the evils

which over-civilisation at present entails. But the very progress of

the art of healing will no doubt have the effect of perpetuating in a

manner the existence of illness. Every forward step in medicine serves

to save alive some weakling that in a less advanced civilisation would

die; and these survivors, possibly propagating their species, will have

weak descendants, on whom whatever possibility of disease continues

to exist will certainly fasten. The discovery of means by which we

can make a weak "constitution" into a strong one is perhaps the least

likely of medical innovations. It would be altogether contrary to the

general spirit of the times anticipated to expect that we shall have

steeled our hearts to the destruction of feeble lives as dangerous

to the race. We are much more likely to go on finding better means

to perpetuate them: and this means that there will always be work for

the doctor, though the infective fevers will have been banished from

the earth. Medicine, therefore, will still aspire. But apart from

what are called occupation-diseases, caused by certain manufacturing

processes (of which the more deadly, as phosphorus match-making,

lead-glazing of earthenware and the manufacture of enamelled iron

will before long certainly be abolished), the elaborate machinery

and rapid travel of the new age must needs exact a certain toll

of death and mutilation. The surgeon will have more to do than the

physician. Frightful accidents will occur from time to time. The maim,

the halt and the blind must pay the price of progress. And it is hardly

possible that nervous diseases and insanity, incident to the pressure

of civilisation, can be eliminated. But certainly the alleviations of

all but the last, and even of that except in its extreme expression

as total dementia, will have advanced to a high standard. We shall

no doubt, for instance, have discovered means of so acting on the

sensory system that we shall be able innocuously and temporarily to

paralyse at any desired spot the nerves which transmit pain. Thus,

during convalescence, the injured will suffer no discomfort except

that of confinement, and our means of amusing the patient by talking

machines that will read and sing to him, and the theatroscopes that

will project before him moving and coloured pictures of life or the

play, will make the sick bed almost a paradise.

As we have seen that, apart from the sentimental reasons which have

been suggested, [19] animal and flesh foods must, for economical

reasons, have been abandoned long before the end of the century, the

grazing of cattle being far too expensive a method of utilising the

soil, we may be quite sure that the sciences connected with agriculture

will receive far greater attention than they now enjoy. It will grow

more important with every decade to obtain the greatest possible

tribute from the portions of land, steadily decreasing in area,

which can be spared from the growing needs of the builder. Every

discovery of the chemist which can be laid under contribution by the

agriculturist will eagerly be seized upon. Every means which can be

devised for replacing what we take from the soil will be utilised

to the full: and of course the inevitable disappearance of the horse

as a means of traction, and of the flocks and herds which now yield

manure, and perhaps the gradual exhaustion of the minerals (as rock

phosphates) from which artificial soil enrichers are prepared, will

make it necessary to rearrange, on safe, economical and convenient

lines, our present plans of sanitation. The insane wastefulness of

draining into the sea cannot long be tolerated. Every conceivable means

of conserving our mundane capital will have to be made use of. In

other ways science will come to the rescue. The farmer's sufferings

from the depredations of vermin of various kinds will perhaps never

be much affected by invention, because all nature is so curiously

interdependent that the eradication of one pest has an awkward way

of intensifying some greater evil: we destroy birds and are punished

by a plague of caterpillars. The accidents of climate, too, can

perhaps only be obviated in a very small measure, though the science

of meteorology, constantly being helped by facilities for better

observation-reporting, will unquestionably help the agriculturist

by giving him timely warnings. It seems hardly possible to doubt

that the eccentricities of climate and the unexpected shifting of the

rainy season in Manchuria during the Russo-Japanese war must have been

caused by the vast atmospheric disturbances created by days and weeks

of cannonading: and of course it is an old theory that heavy gun-fire

"brings down the rain." Military historians say that the number of

wet-day battles altogether exceeds any expectation which could have

been formed without allowing for effects of this sort. When science

has pondered upon the subject, and instituted in an ordered manner

experiments of a kind hitherto never taken very seriously, it may

very well be that some means less violent than the detonation of

explosives may be discovered by the practical meteorologist for

creating disturbances in the atmosphere; and while it may not be

possible to prevent excessive rainfall at inconvenient times, it

seems easy to conceive that when there is moisture in the atmosphere

we may be able to bring it down as rain. Of course this is a very

different thing from breaking up droughts: and artificial rain-making

cannot in itself be anything but a momentary expedient. The effects

of deforestation have for some time been observed and the plan

of improving waterless areas by the contrary process is already

discussed. While it seems rather a "large order" to undertake to

meddle with the balance of atmospheric composition on a large scale,

especially as we know so little of the conditions that even success

might very possibly be attended by unforeseen and perhaps calamitous

results, there is nothing intrinsically absurd in the notion that we

might adopt means on a vast scale for increasing oceanic evaporation

and, utilising the exact foreknowledge of winds and air currents

which we shall certainly have achieved, bring moisture and rain to

arid tracts or countries suffering from drought. The operation would

no doubt require to be stupendous, but the next century is not going

to be afraid of stupendous operations; and anticipating vast and

unforeseen progress in meteorology, it would be hazardous to believe

that no practical use will be made of such progress.

While our knowledge and mastery of the planet we possess, and of its

forces, are being steadily advanced by scientific discovery, and the

researches of the pure scientist are constantly yielding practical

results at first undreamed of, it is impossible to doubt that man's

knowledge of himself will make equal progress. And it is not alone the

physical constitution of man that will be interrogated. Everything

assists the belief that this century will be among other things the

century of psychical advance. We appear to be on the verge of great

discoveries concerning the human mind, and especially concerning

the relation of body to consciousness. Hypnotism has only during a

comparatively short time been the subject of systematic observation,

even in France; but at any time during the last ten years results have

been achieved which, if foreseen a century ago, would certainly have

produced a widespread recrudescence of belief in witchcraft. What

the developed science of a hundred years hence will be capable

of would certainly be a great deal more surprising if we could

foresee it to-day. It is reported from the Salpetrière Hospital

that a woman, under hypnosis, has had the existence of a picture on

a blank sheet of paper suggested to her with such vividness that,

on the suggestion being revived at a subsequent period, even after

a considerable interval, she was able to detect that the "picture"

was upside down, the blank paper having been actually reversed. This

phenomenon is attributed to a great accentuation of the sense of vision

produced by hypnotism, it being supposed that the paper, perfectly

blank on ordinary observation, had really some local irregularity

of colour or surface which the sharpened vision of the subject was

able, unconsciously, to utilise. What secrets in the mechanism

of the senses may not this fore-shadow? Without any recourse to

hypnotism, as we at present understand hypnotism, impressions have,

in a number of instances sufficient to exclude all possibility of

collusion or error, been conveyed from one mind to another without

the use of any of the ordinary means of communication: and it is

shown in experiments seriously conducted by trained observers that

the faculties of thus communicating and receiving impressions can

be steadily cultivated. In other words, it would appear that human

consciousness possesses some sort of emanation, and although certain

"ray" experiments possibly connected with the subject have not received

universal acceptance, it is evident that the future is going to enlarge

considerably our knowledge of the nature of mental process. At present

we know nothing--and it has been said with some rashness that we must

always remain in a like ignorance--of the interval between sense and

consciousness. We know how the ear receives air-vibrations, how it

collects and conducts them to the auditory nerves, carefully protecting

itself, by the action of beautifully ordered springs and cushions,

from the effects of vibrations violent enough to be dangerous to its

own integrity. But even when we have followed vibrations as far as

the nerve, and recognised the subtle variation of its own substance

by which the nerve conducts the impression of them to the brain, we

have no inkling of the means by which the phenomenon of consciousness

which we call "mind" is produced. Well, now that by suggestion alone we

can with perfect precision, and without the use of any air vibration

whatever, cause a hypnotised person (or even a person who has at some

earlier period been hypnotised but has recovered his normal state)

to hear--in his mind alone--sounds which have no objective existence,

just as vividly and clearly as any sounds we can physically produce,

does it seem extravagant to believe that the whole mechanism of sense,

nay, the dark mind-gulf beyond mechanism too, will receive full

illumination from the science of the coming time? Such a discovery

would, of course, throw utterly into shadow anything we have yet

learned of the nature of man. It would bring us a step nearer to

the knowledge of the unknown soul of him. What secrets might it

not carry with it of those mysterious co-partners, mind and body,

thought and brain? With this, the noblest subject that can be proposed

to the intellect of man, the science of a hundred years hence will

assuredly be busy, and imagination pales before the contemplation

of a notion so vast. Limited as we are by the knowledge of our own

time, we cannot even conjecture whither such discoveries might lead

us. All we can affirm is that the whole outlook of man, nay, the

nature of man himself, might very conceivably be changed by them,

and the greatest problems of the thinker may be resolved when we eat

of the fruit tendered us by this tree of the knowledge of good and

evil. Perhaps the soul of man may quail before the revelations in

store, fearing that in the day we eat thereof we shall surely die.

A Hundred Years Hence: The Expectations of an Optimist · 第 7 / 12 章