15. THE PROSPECT

We may look forward to seeing the majority of this frontier population

resolved that the links between themselves and the Yugoslavs shall not

be broken. Very little will they care for the edicts of European

Ambassadors. It would not have been surprising to hear that on the

withdrawal of the Yugoslavs to the prescribed frontier their resourceful

friends beyond it had procured from Serbia a few volunteers to take the

place of the official Serbs. And failing this, that rough-and-ready

people might simply declare themselves to be in Yugoslavia. This time

they will be unable to persuade the Yugoslav Government to move its

excise posts more to the west. But if these tenacious men have made up

their minds to join their brethren on the right bank of the Drin and

enter Yugoslavia, the Ambassadors' Conference would preserve more of

their dignity in accepting with a good grace that which they are

powerless to hinder.... The minority of the border population will go

raiding in Yugoslavia. If they had been consulted they would have drawn

the frontier very much as it is. With large areas lying at their mercy

they will keep the border villages in constant dread. And that is the

other reason which should induce the Ambassadors' Conference to cancel

their unwise decision.

It is better when the politicians do not come with advice to the

battlefield; and in those primitive regions, where part of the people

cannot, as yet, be restrained from perpetual warfare, it would have been

better if the politicians had done nothing but confirm the General's

frontier. Franchet d'Esperey gave it to the Serbs "for the time being,"

and that period should last until there is no longer any military need

to hold it. "No General, however distinguished, could possibly have any

authority whatever to give to any nation the territories of another,

such as can only be transferred and delineated by treaties and

international recognition." So says Mr. H. E. Goad, or Captain Goad as

he has the right to call himself. But it is a pity that he does not

appreciate the difference between that which is temporary and that which

is not.

Italy has been given against the Yugoslavs a purely strategic frontier,

which places under her dominion over 500,000 unwilling Slovenes, whose

culture is admittedly on a higher level than that of their Italian

neighbours. And yet the Ambassadors' Conference (in which Italy plays a

prominent part) has refused to give Yugoslavia a strategic frontier

against a much more turbulent neighbour, which frontier, moreover, would

include of alien subjects only a small fraction of the number which

Italy has obtained. The Albanian frontier now imposed on Yugoslavia is

very much like that which the treaties of 1815 gave to France, when the

passage (_trouee_) of Couvin, often called erroneously the trouee of the

Oise, at a short distance from Paris, was purposely opened. "Formerly,"

says Professor Jean Brunhes,[107] "the sources of the Oise belonged to

France, protected, far back, by the two enclaves of Philippeville and

Marienbourg, both fortified by Vauban." And M. Gabriel Hanotaux[108]

remarks that this opening of the trouee of Couvin was the reason why in

1914 France lost the battle of Charleroi.

The Ambassadors' Conference has committed a grave injustice. "Let us

hope," says M. Justin Godart,[109] a French ex-Under Secretary of

Hygiene, concerning whose very misguided mission to Albania we have

written elsewhere,[110] "let us hope," says he--in my opinion one of the

unjustest men towards Yugoslavia and Greece--"let us hope that

Yugoslavia will understand that it is unworthy of her to contest the

decision of the Ambassadors' Conference." It has given to the Yugoslavs

a frontier that necessitates the presence of a considerable army, and

this is precisely what suits the Italians. Seeing that in Italy there

are men alive who can recall their struggles against the Austrian

oppressor, it is sad that their own country should now be playing this

very same role. The Ambassadors appear to have taken no notice of

Italy's support of the Tirana Government, but to have been very drastic

with respect to Yugoslavia's support of the Mirditi. They have punished

the Yugoslavs by binding their hands in a district part of whose

population long for the help of those hands in gaining some

tranquillity, whereas the other part consists of persons against whom

one must defend oneself.

The politicians have acted as if all the border folk were as peaceful as

they doubtless are themselves. In consequence, there will be panic and

assassination till the politicians--unable to oppose the wishes of the

majority of those who dwell in the frontier zone--proclaim that until

further notice General Franchet d'Esperey's wise and prudent

dispositions shall be honoured.

* * * * *

That is the only method by which an Albania can be brought slowly into

existence. At this moment the cartographers are printing the map of the

Albanians' country in accordance with the Ambassadors' decision. They

might spare themselves the trouble. The decision to recognize an

Albania was as premature a project as, in Mr. Wells' opinion, is the

League of Nations. A free, united Albania has been recognized, and in a

little time the Ambassadors' Conference, perceiving that such a thing

does not exist, will be relieved to see the North and the South taking

the steps to which we have referred. It is wonderful that the

Ambassadors' Conference and the League of Nations should imagine that a

country, most of which is in the social state of the Gallic clans in the

days of Vercingetorix, can suddenly become a modern nation by the simple

contrivance of a parliament, which, as a matter of fact, has been the

caricature of one. In the words of Lord Halsbury, when reversing a

judgment of the Court of Appeal, I am bewildered by the absurdity of

such a suggestion. Albania is in need of organizers, not of orators. A

very competent French traveller,[111] one who believes that a future is

reserved for this unquenchable people, warns the world against undue

haste. After describing the deplorable state or the non-existence of

Albanian schools, roads, ports, the monetary system and the organization

of credit, he says that it is scarcely an exaggeration to assert that

from the point of view of economic arrangement everything has to be

created. This necessitates a Government which knows how to administer

and which has funds at its command. But there is not the least

likelihood of regular taxes being paid to a central Government until you

have security of communication. And even then the native--except if

force is used--will not pay before he sees the benefit which taxes

produce. He who for the most part has never given obedience save to his

village chief will require to see the local benefit. Therefore his whole

outlook must be changed; slowly from being parochial it must become

national.... There can be no greater folly than at this stage to aim at

applying modern usages, equality of taxation, uniformity of judicial

organization, and so forth. It must be a very slow advance, says M.

Jaray, taking local traditions and the feudalism, both domestic and

collective, into account. Even if a central Government had all the

necessary qualifications, yet that would not cause the people to regard

it with gratitude and loyalty. It is too remote. The clans have been

accustomed to look no farther than their own chiefs. Only in serious

circumstances and against an invasion have they united and chosen a

common leader. To expect the Albanians rapidly to throw aside their

clannishness is to prepare for oneself a disappointment. It is in the

clan that they must be made fit for something more extensive. Let the

country be recognized not as a nation, but as a collection of clans, and

let these clans, with any outside assistance they themselves may choose,

come gradually to understand the word "Albania." ... And what are the

chances that this will come to pass? No country is more feudal; yet only

the most thoroughgoing peasant reforms will lay a sure foundation for

the State.

(_b_) THE GREEK FRONTIER

The frontier with Greece has undergone no alteration as a result of the

War. It is inconvenient in certain details; it runs, for example, at

such a very short distance to the south of the town of Ghevgeli that the

prefect has little chance of frustrating those who actively object to

the payment of import duties. Rather a large number of Slavs, some say

300,000, live on the Greek side of the frontier, while a far smaller

number of Greeks live in Monastir. Both the Slavs and the Greeks have

made sundry complaints, which are more or less justified, against the

alien authority which governs them. However, during 1919 and 1920, the

two Governments resolved, in the furtherance of their good

understanding, to raise none of these questions, neither the claims of

the derelict Slavs, who are mostly Exarchists, nor of the Monastir

Greeks, who are mostly hellenized Vlachs. The two countries, while

Venizelos was in power, were acting on the principles of the Serbo-Greek

friendship that used to be advocated by _L'Hellenisme_, the newspaper

which Sir Anastasius Adossides, under Venizelos the enlightened

Governor-General of Salonica, published for several years before the

first Balkan War in Paris. Yugoslavia was to have every facility given

her in Salonica, which course would naturally be the most beneficial to

that place. And among the minor advantages of really amicable relations

would be the impossibility of such a state of things as once prevailed

at Doiran, where the masters of the Greek and Bulgarian schools were

neither of them in a position to chastise their peccant pupils, who

could always have the last word by threatening to transfer themselves to

the rival establishment. It was, I believe, the custom of these young

scoundrels to remain at one or other of the two schools on the

understanding that the teacher gave them a retaining fee of so many

chocolates.... One rather felt, during 1919 and 1920, that the

Yugoslavs, in their willingness to take the hand of Greece, which had so

shamefully refused to act upon its obligations in the first half of the

War, were behaving as if Venizelos would henceforward be retained in

power by his countrymen. Should the Serbs find themselves hampered in

their use of the "Free Zone" at Salonica, a moment might arrive when

they and the Bulgars would, to their mutual advantage, make an

arrangement with regard to Salonica and her hinterland.

(_c_) THE BULGARIAN FRONTIER

There have been various modifications in the frontier line between

Serbia and Bulgaria. The Bulgars acknowledge that in the case of the

Struma salient, of the part near Vranja and of the villages on the bank

of the Timok, it was clearly for the purpose of safeguarding the

railways; and few people would be found to say that Serbia has been

other than modest in her demands. Compare the Italian position on the

Brenner with the Yugoslav frontier against Bulgaria and in the Baranja:

against Bulgars and Magyars the Yugoslavs only secure a sound defensive

frontier, whereas Italy obtains a capacity for the offensive against

Austria.[112] It is rather different with regard to Tsaribrod, on the

main line between Ni[vs] and Sofia. So good a friend of the Yugoslavs as

Dr. Seton-Watson has deplored the cession of this small place, since it

appears likely to imperil a future friendship between Serbia and

Bulgaria. As a matter of fact the Yugoslav Peace Delegates requested,

for strategic purposes, a still more southerly frontier on the Dragoman

Pass, which was denied to them. But Tsaribrod, which is dominated by the

heights of Dragoman, is anyhow a place of minor importance. It is much

to be hoped that the inhabitants will not imitate those of the Pirot

_intelligentsia_ who in 1878 shook off the dust of their town when it

became Serbian and migrated to Sofia, where they never wearied of

anti-Serbian agitation. One must do one's best not to retard the arrival

of that day when it will be almost a matter of indifference as to

whether a village is situated in Serbia or in Bulgaria. Mr.

Stanojevi['c], the deputy for Zaje[vc]a, which is not far from the

frontier, proposed in the Skup[vs]tina that Tsaribrod should be left to

the Bulgars in exchange for a sum of money. This suggestion was opposed

by the Radicals, and the far-seeing Yugoslav statesmen who would gladly

have adopted it were left hoping that the Skup[vs]tina would some day

decide in its favour.... This moderation on the part of the Serbs has

been less in evidence at Bucharest and still less at Athens. The Peace

Conference which felt itself unable to deprive its Ally of southern

Dobrudja, and unable to resist the persuasive eloquence of M. Venizelos,

does not seem to have contributed towards a lasting Balkan peace. A

reviewer in the _Observer_, while approving of Mr. Leland Buxton's hope

of a Serb-Bulgar reconciliation, asks why this should be effected to the

exclusion and obvious detriment of Greece. "Why not a Balkan

Federation?" he asks. In view of the very different races which inhabit

the Balkans, he might just as well ask, "Why not a European Federation?"

And the statesmen of the non-Slav Balkan countries do not seem to have

made serious efforts to prevent the coming of a purely Slav Federation.

It remains to be seen whether, when that comes to pass, the Greek and

Roumanian people will have achieved such statesmanship as to make an

equally small effort to keep under their control their large Slav

territories.... "We should no longer think of Thrace," said M. Venizelos

in the Greek Chamber in 1913, "for it is impossible to include in the

Greek State all those parts where Greeks have lived; we ought to be

modest and contented with what is most righteous and attainable; we

ought not to let ourselves be carried away by our imagination."

(_d_) THE ROUMANIAN FRONTIER

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