ITS PROBABLE FRUITS

Now it is obvious that the Treaty of Rapallo has placed between the

Yugoslavs and the Italians all too many causes of friction. Zadar, like

other such enclaves, will be dear to the heart of the smuggler. She

cannot live without her Yugoslav hinterland--five miles away in

Yugoslavia are the waterworks, and if these were not included, by a

special arrangement, in her dominion, she would have no other liquid but

her maraschino. She cannot die without her Yugoslav hinterland--but so

that her inhabitants need not be carried out into a foreign land, the

cemetery has also, by stretching a point, been included in the city

boundaries. It remains to be seen how Zadar and the hinterland will

serve two masters. We have alluded to the questionable arrangements at

Rieka, in which town there had for those years been such an orgy of

limelight and recrimination that even the most statesmanlike solution

must have left a good deal of potential friction. In Istria the dangers

of an outbreak are evident. Italy has now become the absolute mistress

of the Adriatic and has gained a strategical frontier which could hardly

be improved upon, while Yugoslavia has been placed in an economic

position of much difficulty. Sooner or later, if matters are left _in

situ_, trouble will arise. Perhaps an economic treaty between Italy and

Yugoslavia, as favourable as possible to the weaker State, would

introduce some sort of stability; but no good cause would be served by

crying "Peace" where there is no peace, and while Yugoslavia has a

grievance there will be trouble in the Balkans.

The most serious phase of the Adriatic crisis is now ushered in, for a

new Alsace has been created; and those who point this out cannot be

charged with an excessive leaning towards the Yugoslavs. It also seems

to me that one can scarcely say they are alarmists. If Yugoslavia, in

defiance of that most immoral pressure, had declared for war, Vesni['c]

at the general election would have swept the country with the cry of

"War for Istria!" To his eternal honour he chose the harder path of

loyalty to the new ideas which Serbian blood has shed so freely to make

victorious. A momentary victory has now been gained by the Italians, but

not one that makes for peace. It poisons by annexations fundamentally

unjustifiable, however consecrated by treaty, the whole source of

tranquillity in the Near East. "Paciencia!" [Have patience] you say, in

refusing to give alms to a Portuguese beggar, and he follows your

advice. But when the Yugoslavs ask for a revision of the Treaty--if the

Italians do not wisely offer it themselves--it would be rash if in

attempting to foretell the future we should base ourselves upon the

premise that their patience will be everlasting. A new Alsace has been

created, an Alsace to which, in the opinion of competent observers, all

the Yugoslavs will turn until the day comes when it is honourable to set

the standards forth on a campaign of liberation.

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