ON THE PROBABLE EVENT OF THE DISEASE.

The prediction of the event in cases of insanity must be the result of

accurate and extensive experience; and even then it will be a matter of

very great uncertainty. The practitioner can only be led to suppose that

patients of a particular description will recover, from knowing, that

under the same circumstances, a certain number have been actually restored

to health.

The practice of an individual, however active and industrious he may be,

is insufficient to accumulate a stock of facts, necessary to form the

ground of a regular and correct prognosis: it is therefore to be wished,

that those who exclusively confine themselves to this department of the

profession, would occasionally communicate to the world the result of

their observations. Physicians attending generally to diseases, have not

been reserved in imparting to the public the amount of their labours and

success; but with regard to this disorder, those who have devoted their

whole attention to its treatment have either been negligent or cautious of

giving information respecting it. Whenever the powers of the mind are

concentrated to one object, we may naturally expect a more rapid progress

in the attainment of knowledge; we have therefore only to lament the want

of observations upon this subject, and endeavour to repair it. The records

of Bethlem Hospital have afforded me some satisfactory information, though

far from the whole of what I wished to obtain. From them and my own

observations the prognosis of this disease is, with great diffidence,

submitted to the reader.

In our own climate women are more frequently affected with insanity than

men. Several persons who superintend private mad-houses have assured me,

that the number of females brought in annually considerably exceeds that

of the males. From the year 1748, to 1794, comprizing a period of

forty-six years, there have been admitted into Bethlem Hospital 4832

women, and 4042 men. The natural processes which women undergo, of

menstruation, parturition, and of preparing nutriment for the infant,

together with the diseases to which they are subject at these periods, and

which are frequently remote causes of insanity, may, perhaps, serve to

explain their greater disposition to this malady. As to the proportion in

which they recover, compared with males, it may be stated, that of 4832

women affected, 1402 were discharged cured; and that of the 4042 men, 1155

recovered. It is proper here to mention that in general we know but little

of what becomes of those who are discharged, a certain number of those

cured occasionally relapse; and some of those who are discharged uncured

afterwards recover: perhaps in the majority of instances, where they

relapse, they are sent back to Bethlem. To give some idea of the number so

readmitted, it may be mentioned, that, during the last two years, there

have been admitted 389 patients, 53 of whom had at some former time been

in the house. There are such a variety of circumstances, which, supposing

they did relapse, might prevent them from returning, that it can only be

stated, with confidence, that within twelve months (the time allowed as a

trial of cure) so many have been discharged perfectly well.

To shew how frequently insanity supervenes on parturition, it may be

remarked, that, from the year 1784 to 1794 inclusive, 80 patients have

been admitted, whose disorder shortly followed the puerperal state. Women

affected from this cause recover in a larger proportion than patients of

any other description of the same age. Of these 80, 50 have perfectly

recovered. The first symptom of the approach of this disease, after

delivery, is want of sleep; the milk is afterwards secreted in less

quantity, and, when the mind becomes more violently disordered, it is

totally suppressed.

From whatever cause this disease may be produced in women, it is

considered as very unfavourable to recovery, if they are worse at the

period of menstruation, or have their catamenia in very small or

immoderate quantities.

At the first attack of the disease, and for some months afterwards, during

its continuance, females most commonly labour under amenorrhoea. The

natural and healthy return of this discharge generally precedes

convalescence.

From the following statement it will be seen, that insane persons recover

in proportion to their youth, and that as they advance in years, the

disease is less frequently cured. It comprizes a period of about ten

years, viz. from 1784 to 1794. In the first column the age is noticed, in

the second the number of patients admitted; the third contains the number

cured; the fourth those who were discharged not cured.

Age between Number admitted. Number discharged Number discharged

cured. uncured.

10 and 20 113 78 35

20 and 30 488 200 288

30 and 40 527 180 347

40 and 50 362 87 275

50 and 60 143 25 118

60 and 70 31 4 27

----- ----- -----

1664 574 1090

Total admitted. Total cured. Total uncured.

From this table it will be seen, that when the disease attacks persons

advanced in life, the prospect of recovery is but small.

From the very rare instances of complete cure, or durable amendment, among

the class of patients deemed incurable, as well as from the infrequent

recovery of those who have been admitted, after the complaint has been of

more than twelve months standing, I am led to conclude, that the chance of

cure is less, in proportion to the length of time which the disorder shall

have continued.

Although patients, who have been affected with insanity more than a year,

are not admissible into the hospital, to continue there for the usual time

of trial for cure, namely, a twelvemonth, yet, at the discretion of the

committee, they may be received into it from Lady-day to Michaelmas, at

which latter period they are removed. In the course of the last ten years,

fifty-six patients of this description have been received, of whom only

one has been discharged cured. This patient, who was a woman, has since

relapsed twice, and is, at present, in the hospital.

When the reader contrasts the preceding statement with the account

recorded in the report of the committee, appointed to examine the

physicians who have attended his majesty, &c. he will either be inclined

to deplore the unskilfulness or mismanagement which has prevailed among

those medical persons who have directed the treatment of mania in the

largest public institution, in this kingdom, of its kind, compared with

the success which has attended the private practice of an individual; or,

_to require some other evidence, than the bare assertions of the man

pretending to have performed such cures_[5]. It was deposed by that

reverend and celebrated physician, that of patients placed under his care

within three months after the attack of the disease, nine out of ten had

recovered[6]; and also that the age was of no signification, unless the

patient had been afflicted before with the same malady[7].

How little soever I might be disposed to doubt such a bold, unprecedented,

and marvellous account, yet, I must acknowledge, that my mind would have

been much more satisfied as to the truth of that assertion, had it been

plausibly made out, or had the circumstances been otherwise than feebly

recollected by that very successful practitioner. Medicine has generally

been esteemed a progressive science, in which its professors have

confessed themselves indebted to great preparatory study, and long

subsequent experience, for the knowledge they have acquired; but in the

case to which we are now alluding, the outset of the doctor's practice was

marked with such splendid success, that time and observation have been

unable to increase it.

This astonishing number of cures has been effected by the vigorous agency

of remedies, which others have not hitherto been so fortunate as to

discover; by remedies which, when remote causes have been operating for

twenty-seven years, such as weighty business, severe exercise, too great

abstemiousness and little rest, are possessed of adequate power directly

to _meet and counteract_ such causes[8].

It will be seen by the table that a greater number of patients have been

admitted between the age of thirty and forty, than during any other equal

period of life. There may be some reasons assigned for the increased

proportion of insane persons at this age.

Although I have made no exact calculation, yet, from a great number of

cases, it appears to be the time, when the hereditary disposition is most

frequently called into action; or, to speak more plainly, it is that stage

of life when persons, whose families have been insane, are most liable to

become mad. If it can be made to appear, that at this period people are

more subject to be acted upon by the remote causes of the disease, or that

a greater number of such causes are then applied, we may be enabled

satisfactorily to explain it. At this age people are generally established

in their different occupations, are married, and have families; their

habits are more strongly formed, and the interruptions of them are,

consequently, attended with greater anxiety and regret. Under these

circumstances, they feel the misfortunes of life more exquisitely.

Adversity does not depress the individual for himself alone, but as

involving his partner and his offspring in wretchedness and ruin. In

youth, we feel desirous only of present good; at the middle age, we

become more provident and anxious for the future; the mind assumes a

serious character, and religion, as it is justly or improperly impressed,

imparts comfort, or excites apprehension and terror.

By misfortunes the habits of intoxication are readily formed. Those, who

in their youth have shaken off calamity as a superficial incumbrance, at

the middle age feel it corrode and penetrate: and when fermented liquors

have once dispelled the gloom of despondency, and taught the mind either

to excite a temporary assemblage of cheerful scenes, or to disdain the

terror of impending misery, it is natural to recur to the same, though

destructive cause, to reproduce the effect.

Patients, who are in a furious state, recover in a larger proportion than

those who are depressed and melancholick. An hundred violent, and the same

number of melancholick cases were selected. Of the former, sixty-two were

discharged well; of the latter, only twenty-seven. When the furious state

is succeeded by melancholy, and after this shall have continued a short

time, the violent paroxysm returns, the hope of recovery is very slight.

Indeed, whenever these states of the disease frequently change, such

alternation may be considered as unfavourable.

Where the complaint has been induced from remote physical causes, the

proportion of those who recover is considerably greater, than where it has

arisen from causes of a moral nature. In those instances where insanity

has been produced by a train of unavoidable misfortunes, as where the

father of a large family, with the most laborious exertions, ineffectually

struggles to maintain it, the number who recover is very small indeed.

Paralytic affections are a much more frequent cause of insanity than has

been commonly supposed. In those affected from this cause, we are, on

enquiry, enabled to trace a sudden affection, or fit, to have preceded the

disease. These patients usually bear marks of such affection, independent

of their insanity: the speech is impeded, and the mouth drawn aside; an

arm, or leg, is more or less deprived of its capacity of being moved by

the will: and in by far the greatest number of these cases the memory is

particularly affected. Very few of these cases have received any benefit

in the hospital; and from the enquiries I have been able to make at the

private houses, where they have been afterwards confined, it has appeared,

that they have either died suddenly from apoplexy, or have had repeated

fits, from the effects of which they have sunk into a stupid state, and

have gradually dwindled away.

When the natural small-pox attacks insane persons, it most commonly proves

fatal.

When insanity supervenes on epilepsy, of where the latter disease is

induced by insanity, a cure is very seldom effected: from my own

observation, I do not recollect a single case of recovery.

When patients during their convalescence become more corpulent than they

were before, it is a favourable symptom; and, as far as I have remarked,

such persons have very seldom relapsed.

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