SCIENTIFIC METHOD.

Edward Gibbon has told us that diligence and accuracy are the only

merits which an historical writer can ascribe to himself. Without doubt

they are fundamental qualities necessary for historical research,

but in order to bear fruit they require to be exercised by one whose

mental qualities are such as to enable him to analyze the data brought

together by his diligence, to discriminate between the false and the

true, to possess an insight into the complex motives that determine

human action, to be able to recognize those facts and incidents which

had exercised either a primary or only a secondary influence on the

affairs of nations, or on the thoughts and doings of the person whose

character he is depicting.

In scientific research, also, diligence and accuracy are fundamental

qualities. By their application new facts are discovered and tabulated,

their order of succession is ascertained and a wider and more intimate

knowledge of the processes of nature is acquired. But to decide on

their true significance a well-balanced mind and the exercise of

prolonged thought and reflection are needed. William Harvey, the father

of exact research in physiology, in his memorable work, ‘De Motu Cordis

et Sanguinis,’ published more than two centuries ago, tells us of the

great and daily diligence which he exercised in the course of his

investigations, and the numerous observations and experiments which

he collated. At the same time he refers repeatedly to his cogitations

and reflections on the meaning of what he had observed, without which

the complicated movements of the heart could not have been analyzed,

their significance determined and the circulation of the blood in a

continuous stream definitely established. Early in the present century,

Carl Ernst von Baer, the father of embryological research, showed the

importance which he attached to the combination of observation with

meditation by placing side by side on the title page of his famous

treatise ‘Ueber Entwickelungsgeschichte der Thiere’ (1828) the words

_Beobachtung und Reflexion_.

Though I have drawn from biological science my illustrations of the

need of this combination, it must not be inferred that it applies

exclusively to one branch of scientific inquiry; the conjunction

influences and determines progress in all the sciences, and when

associated with a sufficient touch of imagination, when the power of

seeing is conjoined with the faculty of foreseeing, of projecting the

mind into the future, we may expect something more than the discovery

of isolated facts; their coördination and the enunciation of new

principles and laws will necessarily follow.

Scientific method consists, therefore, in close observation, frequently

repeated so as to eliminate the possibility of erroneous seeing;

in experiments checked and controlled in every direction in which

fallacies might arise; in continuous reflection on the appearances and

phenomena observed, and in logically reasoning out their meaning and

the conclusions to be drawn from them. Were the method followed out in

its integrity by all who are engaged in scientific investigations, the

time and labor expended in correcting errors committed by ourselves

or by other observers and experimentalists would be saved, and the

volumes devoted annually to scientific literature would be materially

diminished in size. Were it applied, as far as the conditions of life

admit, to the conduct and management of human affairs, we should not

require to be told, when critical periods in our welfare as a nation

arise, that we shall muddle through somehow. Recent experience has

taught us that wise discretion and careful provision are as necessary

in the direction of public affairs as in the pursuit of science, and in

both instances, when properly exercised, they enable us to reach with

comparative certainty the goal which we strive to attain.

The Popular Science Monthly, October, 1900 Vol. 57, May, 1900 to October, 1900 · 第 9 / 50 题