The answer was a flat "No."

In a few days I was notified that my plan had been given the green

light. I already had the plan written up in the form of a staff study

so I sent it through channels for formal approval.

It had been obvious right from the start of the reorganization of

Project Grudge that there would be questions that no one on my staff

was technically competent to answer. To have a fully staffed project,

I'd need an astronomer, a physicist, a chemist, a mathematician, a

psychologist, and probably a dozen other specialists. It was, of

course, impossible to have all of these people on my staff, so I

decided to do the next best thing. I would set up a contract with

some research organization who already had such people on their

staff; then I would call on them whenever their services were needed.

I soon found a place that was interested in such a contract, and the

day after Christmas, Colonel S. H. Kirkland, of Colonel Dunn's staff,

and I left Dayton for a two-day conference with these people to

outline what we wanted. Their organization cannot be identified by

name because they are doing other highly secret work for the

government. I'll call them Project Bear.

Project Bear is a large, well-known research organization in the

Midwest. The several hundred engineers and scientists who make up

their staff run from experts on soils to nuclear physicists. They

would make these people available to me to assist Project Grudge on

any problem that might arise from a UFO report. They did not have a

staff astronomer or psychologist, but they agreed to get them for us

on a subcontract basis. Besides providing experts in every field of

science, they would make two studies for us; a study of how much a

person can be expected to see and remember from a UFO sighting, and a

statistical study of UFO reports. The end product of the study of the

powers of observation of a UFO observer would be an interrogation form.

Ever since the Air Force had been in the UFO business, attempts had

been made to construct a form that a person who had seen a UFO could

fill out. Many types had been tried but all of them had major

disadvantages. Project Bear, working with the psychology department

of a university, would study all of the previous questionnaires,

along with actual UFO reports, and try to come up with as near a

perfect interrogation form as possible. The idea was to make the form

simple and yet extract as much and as accurate data as possible from

the observer.

The second study that Project Bear would undertake would be a

statistical study of all UFO reports. Since 1947 the Air Force had

collected about 650 reports, but if our plan to encourage UFO reports

worked out the way we expected this number could increase tenfold. To

handle this volume of reports, Project Bear said that they would set

up a complete UFO file on IBM punch cards. Then if we wanted any bit

of information from the files, it would be a matter of punching a few

buttons on an IBM card-sorting machine, and the files would be sorted

electronically in a few seconds. Approximately a hundred items

pertaining to a UFO report would be put on each card. These items

included everything from the time the UFO was seen to its position in

the sky and the observer's personality. The items punched on the

cards would correspond to the items on the questionnaires that

Project Bear was going to develop.

Besides giving us a rapid method of sorting data, this IBM file

would give us a modus operandi file. Our MO file would be similar to

the MO files used by police departments to file the methods of

operations of a criminal. Thus when we received a report we could put

the characteristics of the reported UFO on an IBM punch card, put it

into the IBM machine, and compare it with the characteristics of

other sightings that had known solutions. The answer might be that

out of the one hundred items on the card, ninety-five were identical

to previous UFO reports that ducks were flying over a city at night

reflecting the city's lights.

On the way home from the meeting Colonel Kirkland and I were both

well satisfied with the assistance we believed Project Bear could

give to Project Grudge.

In a few days I again left ATIC, this time for Air Defense Command

Headquarters in Colorado Springs, Colorado. I wanted to find out how

willing ADC was to help us and what they could do. When I arrived I

got a thorough briefing on the operations of ADC and the promise that

they would do anything they could to help solve the UFO riddle.

All of this co-operation was something that I hadn't expected. I'd

been warned by the people who had worked on Project Sign and the old

Project Grudge that everybody hated the word UFO--I'd have to fight

for everything I asked for. But once again they were wrong. The

scientists who visited ATIC, General Samford, Project Bear, and now

Air Defense Command couldn't have been more co-operative. I was

becoming aware that there was much wider concern about UFO reports

than I'd ever realized before.

While I traveled around the United States getting the project set

up, UFO reports continued to come in and all of them were good. One

series of reports was especially good, and they came from a group of

people who had had a great deal of experience watching things in the

sky--the people who launch the big skyhook balloons for General

Mills, Inc. The reports of what the General Mills people had seen

while they were tracking their balloons covered a period of over a

year. They had just sent them in because they had heard that Project

Grudge was being reorganized and was taking a different view on UFO

reports. They, like so many other reliable observers, had been

disgusted with the previous Air Force attitude toward UFO reports,

and they had refused to send in any reports. I decided that these

people might be a good source of information, and I wanted to get

further details on their reports, so I got orders to go to

Minneapolis. A scientist from Project Bear went with me. We arrived

on January 14, 1952, in the middle of a cold wave and a blizzard.

The Aeronautical Division of General Mills, Inc., of Wheaties and

Betty Crocker fame, had launched and tracked every skyhook balloon

that had been launched prior to mid-1952. They knew what their

balloons looked like under all lighting conditions and they also knew

meteorology, aerodynamics, astronomy, and they knew UFO's. I talked

to these people for the better part of a full day, and every time I

tried to infer that there might be some natural explanation for the

UFO's I just about found myself in a fresh snowdrift.

What made these people so sure that UFO's existed? In the first

place, they had seen many of them. One man told me that one tracking

crew had seen so many that the sight of a UFO no longer even

especially interested them. And the things that they saw couldn't be

explained.

For example: On January 16, 1951, two people from General Mills and

four people from Artesia, New Mexico, were watching a skyhook balloon

from the Artesia airport. They had been watching the balloon off and

on for about an hour when one of the group saw two tiny specks on the

horizon, off to the northwest. He pointed them out to the others

because two airplanes were expected into the airport, and he thought

that these might be the airplanes. But as they watched, the two

specks began to move in fast, and within a few seconds the observers

could see that "the airplanes" were actually two round, dull white

objects flying in close formation. The two objects continued to come

in and headed straight toward the balloon. When they reached the

balloon they circled it once and flew off to the northwest, where

they disappeared over the horizon. As the two UFO's circled the

balloon, they tipped on edge and the observers saw that they were

disk-shaped.

When the two UFO's were near the balloon, the observers also had a

chance to compare the size of the UFO's with the size of the balloon.

If the UFO's were as close to the balloon as they appeared to be they

would have been 60 feet in diameter.

After my visit to General Mills, Inc., I couldn't help remembering a

magazine article I'd read about a year before. It said that there was

not a single reliable UFO report that couldn't be attributed to a

skyhook balloon.

I'd been back at ATIC only a few days when I found myself packing up

to leave again. This time it was for New York. A high-priority wire

had come into ATIC describing how a Navy pilot had chased a UFO over

Mitchel AFB, on Long Island. It was a good report.

I remember the trip to New York because my train passed through

Elizabeth, New Jersey, early in the morning, and I could see the

fires caused by an American Airlines Convair that had crashed. This

was the second of the three tragic Elizabeth, New Jersey, crashes.

The morning before, on January 21, a Navy pilot had taken off from

Mitchel in a TBM. He was a lieutenant commander, had flown in World

War II, and was now an engineer at the Navy Special Devices Center on

Long Island. At nine-fifty he had cleared the traffic pattern and was

at about 2,500 feet, circling around the airfield. He was southeast

of the field when he first noticed an object below him and "about

three runway lengths off the end of Runway 30." The object looked

like the top of a parachute canopy, he told me; it was white and he

thought he could see the wedges or panels. He said that he thought

that it was moving across the ground a little bit too fast to be

drifting with wind, but he was sure that somebody had bailed out and

that he was looking at the top of his parachute. He was just ready to

call the tower when he suddenly realized that this "parachute" was

drifting across the wind. He had just taken off from Runway 30 and

knew which direction the wind was blowing.

As he watched, the object, whatever it was (by now he no longer

thought that it was a parachute), began to gradually climb, so he

started to climb, he said, staying above and off to the right of the

object. When the UFO started to make a left turn, he followed and

tried to cut inside, but he overshot and passed over it. It continued

to turn and gain speed, so he dropped the nose of the TBM, put on

more power, and pulled in behind the object, which was now level with

him. In a matter of seconds the UFO made a 180-degree turn and

started to make a big swing around the northern edge of Mitchel AFB.

The pilot tried to follow, but the UFO had begun to accelerate

rapidly, and since a TBM leaves much to be desired on the speed end,

he was getting farther and farther behind. But he did try to follow

it as long as he could. As he made a wide turn around the northern

edge of the airfield he saw that the UFO was now turning south. He

racked the TBM up into a tight left turn to follow, but in a few

seconds the UFO had disappeared. When he last saw it, it had crossed

the Long Island coast line near Freeport and it was heading out to sea.

When he finished his account of the chase, I asked the commander

some specific questions about the UFO. He said that just after he'd

decided that the UFO was not a parachute it appeared to be at an

altitude of about 200 to 300 feet over a residential section. From

the time it took it to cover a city block, he'd estimated that it was

traveling about 300 miles an hour. Even when he pulled in behind the

object and got a good look, it still looked like a parachute canopy--

dome-shaped--white--and it had a dark undersurface. It had been in

sight two and a half minutes.

He had called the control tower at Mitchel during the chase, he told

me, but only to ask if any balloons had been launched. He thought

that he might be seeing a balloon. The tower had told him that there

was a balloon in the area.

Then the commander took out an aeronautical chart and drew in his

flight path and the apparent path of the UFO for me. I think that he

drew it accurately because he had been continually watching landmarks

as he'd chased the UFO and was very careful as he drew the sketches

on the map.

I checked with the weather detachment at Mitchel and they said that

they had released a balloon. They had released it at nine-fifty and

from a point southeast of the airfield. I got a plot of its path.

Just as in the Long Beach Incident, where the six F-86's tried to

intercept the UFO, the balloon was almost exactly in line with the

spot where the UFO was first seen, but then any proof you might

attempt falls apart. If the pilot knew where he was, and had plotted

his flight path even semi-accurately, he was never over the balloon.

Yet he was over the UFO. He came within less than 2,000 feet of the

UFO when he passed over it; yet he couldn't recognize it as a balloon

even though he thought it might be a balloon since the tower had just

told him that there was one in the area. He said that he followed the

UFO around the north edge of the airfield. Yet the balloon, after it

was launched southeast of the field, continued on a southeast course

and never passed north of the airfield.

But the biggest argument against the object's being a balloon was

the fact that the pilot pulled in behind it; it was directly off the

nose of his airplane, and although he followed it for more than a

minute, it pulled away from him. Once you line up an airplane on a

balloon and go straight toward it you will catch it in a matter of

seconds, even in the slowest airplane. There have been dogfights with

UFO's where the UFO's turned out to be balloons, but the pilots

always reported that the UFO "made a pass" at them. In other words,

they rapidly caught up with the balloon and passed it. I questioned

this pilot over and over on this one point, and he was positive that

he had followed directly behind the UFO for over a minute and all the

time it was pulling away from him.

This is one of the most typical UFO reports we had in our files. It

is typical because no matter how you argue there isn't any definite

answer. If you want to argue that the pilot didn't know where he was

during the chase--that he was 3 or 4 miles from where he thought he

was--that he never did fly around the northern edge of the field and

get in behind the UFO--then the UFO could have been a balloon.

But if you want to believe that the pilot knew where he was all

during the chase, and he did have several thousand hours of flying

time, then all you can conclude is that the UFO was an unknown.

I think the pilot summed up the situation very aptly when he told me, "I

don't know what it was, but I've never seen anything like it before or

since--maybe it was a spaceship."

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