Bowie by now was in the room, and it was immediately clear he’d won her

respect through his brains and dedication, not through the normal

trappings of executivedom. He was bearded. He wore a sweater and heavy

boots and wire-rimmed glasses. He plainly was the construction

industry’s version of the proverbial shirt-sleeves manager. He must

loathe paperwork, prefer the field to the executive suite, even if he

was a vice-president of a publicly owned real estate company with twelve

hundred stockholders. He was in his mid-thirties. That wasn’t so much

younger than Ed Boland, who himself, interviewed on a Saturday, had worn

casual clothes. And yet the two somehow came across as being on opposite

sides of the generation gap that all the pundits were babbling about

during Vietnam. I could imagine Boland watching _M*A*S*H_; I could

imagine Bowie, in the right setting, being a mild version of Hawkeye. He

wouldn’t necessarily do things the traditional way, but in the end no

one would care, because whatever it was, he’d succeed. Ed Boland was a

man with a fondness for constants—a characteristic that in his

profession had served him well. Charlie Bowie, I sensed, enjoyed

surprises and change.

Bowie’s company, like Boland’s, had to be good to have survived so long

in a boom-and-bust industry. Everyone needs transportation, everyone

needs housing; everyone does _not_ need recreational motorcycles or

_new_ homes. Across the country, home sales had plummeted at the start

of the 1980s. Washington Homes’ sales had been almost $30 million in

1980 but just half that two years later.

Yet Bowie’s company had survived the ups and downs since 1965. The

management philosophy struck me as the same as Clinton Cycles—the lean,

mean school. It was early 1983 when we first talked. Another housing

boom seemed ready to explode, and Bowie was working a sixty-five-hour

week, “because we’ve gotten very busy, very quickly, and we haven’t

built up our staff rapidly. It’s hard to find qualified people, and we

don’t know whether the recovery’s here to stay.” Small wonder that he

welcomed his computer as a sort of financial radar—an early warning

system that would buzz before the bombs fell.

Washington Homes was a general contractor. In other words, it was just

as much in the management and budget business as the building business.

Bowie and his company didn’t hire laborers, didn’t buy every nail and

brick. Rather, they farmed out the construction to subcontractors, some

of whom, if not policed, could wreak havoc on Washington Homes by, say,

finishing work late.

You can’t do plumbing and the electrical wiring, normally, if the walls

aren’t up yet. You’ve got to keep your invisible assembly line moving.

The sixty phases on Bowie’s “House budget summary” started with items

like “Engineering” and “Water Sewer Charge,” continued through “Brick

Veneer” and “Siding” and went on to such details as “Fences” and “Trash

Removal.” If Bowie was late in submitting bids or getting what he paid

for, it wasn’t a bureaucratic abstraction. It meant a late house, an

unhappy customer, perhaps, and above all, more interest to pay the bank

on Washington Homes’ construction loans.

Bowie, moreover, had to keep track of his customer’s own financing

arrangements. The company’s houses sold for anywhere from $55,000 to

$135,000, but most customers were first timers who had never before

wended their ways through the mortgage maze. Bowie could reduce his

company’s carrying charges if he didn’t rush homes to completion before

the customers were ready for them.

“We don’t make any money until we deliver the house,” he said, “so we

need to keep track of the time between when people contract and make

application with a lender and how long it takes for them to win loan

approval.

“When our company had ninety or a hundred houses and was backlogged, it

was fairly easy to do manually. But now we have almost five hundred

houses in our backlog.”

Shopping around for a system to handle all those grubby details, Bowie

found that computer stores didn’t treat their first-time buyers as well

as he wanted to treat his. “I looked at computers for a year,” he said,

“and the biggest thing I found was the condescending attitude of the

people in the sales centers to someone who knows nothing about it.

“I’d walk into a store and give them a written list of my requirements,

and the first thing they’d tell me was ‘Your requirements are wrong.’

And that was the case until I got to Clinton Computers.”

Bowie showed Sue Grothoff, the sales rep, his sixty-phase budget sheet—a

basic common-sense rule of software and hardware shopping. If you’re

working with documents, at least nonconfidential ones, then _show_ them!

Do so to a store. Do so to a consultant if you have one. Explain as

clearly as you can just what kind of paperwork you’re computerizing.

Here, incidentally, you can’t compare Bowie and Boland in an

apple-to-apple way. Accounting programs can be much trickier than data

bases and spreadsheets, especially for companies with unusual

circumstances like Boland’s—that is, all those subsidiaries in a

small-to-medium business. It’s clear, though, that whatever happened,

Grothoff and Bowie communicated much better than she and Boland.

“At this point,” said Bowie, “I was only interested in loan processing

and budgets, and the main thing I was interested in was budgets.”

He thought he needed above all an electronic spreadsheet. Here, however,

for once, a computer sales rep knew his needs better than he did.

Grothoff persuaded him that most of all he needed a =data-base=

program—one that would help him track loans on hundreds of houses. It

would store information and rearrange it in patterns he needed. He might

not want full copies of all loan-processing reports, for example.

Instead, he might want just the names of the home buyers, say, or just

the foundation costs of each house. Or he might want the program to tote

up all the foundation costs or perform other arithmetic, including

complicated multiplication and division or calculation of ratios and

percentages. And with a program like dBASE II that’s possible. Like many

of its rivals, it will do some complex calculations, not just shuffle

facts around. There are many books on dBASE II—yet another advantage and

indication of its popularity. (Two good choices are _dBASE II User’s

Guide_ by Adam B. Green and _Everyman’s Database Primer featuring dBASE

II_ by Robert Byers.)

Here are some ways in which dBASE II might organize your records if

you’re an executive like Bowie:

1. The CREATE command lets you begin a =file=.

2. A file in a data base is the electronic version of a file drawer or

cabinet. It’s just the space on the disks holding =records=—say, the

house-budget summaries for your homes.

3. A =field= is a category of fact like the amount of money spent on

each air-conditioning system for each house.

4. =Structure= is simply the way a record is set up. There are three big

considerations—the =field names=, the =field width=, and the =field

type=. The field name is simply a field’s title. The field width is

the number of spaces required for the information in each field. The

field type can be one of these categories:

a. A =numeric field=—just numbers

b. A =character field= or =alphanumeric field=—numbers, letters,

question marks, miscellaneous symbols like “@,” or spaces between

letters or numbers

c. A =logical field=—one with just two choices, like “Y” for “Yes”

and “N” for “No”

5. The EDIT command changes the contents of a data field. You can type

in modifications after putting your cursor in the right place.

6. A command to APPEND can add new records to your electronic filing

cabinet.

7. =Sorting= lets you reshuffle records alphabetically, by date or other

ways, just as you would index cards.

8. The LIST command tells dBASE II to flash across the screen the

records that you specify.

9. .AND. helps you narrow down the information you’re looking for or

changing. Consider this hypothetical example: LIST FOR SALE:PERSN =

‘BABBITT’ .AND. LOAN:AMT = ‘$70,000’ would guide you to all houses

that a sales rep named Babbitt sold to a customer borrowing exactly

$70,000.

10. .OR. is another way to describe the desired facts. LIST FOR

SALE:PERSN = ‘BABBITT’ .OR. LOAN:AMT = ‘$70,000’ would indicate you

wanted to see records involving either Babbitt or a loan of $70,000.

11. LIST FOR .NOT. SALE:PERSN = ‘BABBITT’ could help weed from view, or

the files, all records involving Babbitt.

12. =Command files= are programs that tell the machine how to manipulate

the data so you needn’t repeat complicated procedures one by one. You

might work out these files to simplify your secretary’s work—or he or

she might do the same for you.

Bowie and Grimes mastered dBASE II basics in eight hours of classes at

Clinton Computer. “dBASE II was real easy,” he said. “The manual is in

plain English. Even without all our records in the computer now, it

saves me and Julie probably five or six hours a week. We were doing it

manually before, and we’re on the verge of saving other people in the

company lots of time with the loan processing by using dBASE II. I think

we’d have to say with five hundred houses in our backlog there is the

potential for this to save us $50,000 a year in carrying charges that

may have accrued under the old system of keeping loan-processing

records.

“We are going to buy another machine,” Bowie said, “for the Northern

Division.”

The potential $50,000 annual savings from the two machines, by the way,

would include just reductions in carrying charges—not in executive time

or tasks besides loan processing. Consider the economies that would

result simply from less paperwork.

“When we first set up the computer,” Bowie said, “we set it up exactly

like we were doing things manually. As a division manager, I’m in charge

of marketing and production. And earlier we had (1) marketing reports,

(2) production reports, and (3) reports combining highlights of each for

me to determine whether to start houses and things like that. But now

all three categories appear on one loan-processing form.”

dBASE II (or the new dBASE III) may not work for you. But for Bowie it

was a dream program through which he could store and retrieve records

quickly and conveniently for any one of many purposes. He might set up

his records mainly for loan processing. But the “SALE:PERSN” field,

combined with the “SALE:PRICE” one, could tell him which outside sales

reps were selling the most expensive homes. In other words, the

loan-processing data base was one good way to keep track of the salesmen

catering most successfully to the $135,000 buyers. For who cared what

Bowie called his data base—“Loan Processing” or “Sales”? The point is,

he could follow the salesmen’s performance, too, through

cross-references between fields. dBASE II was a treasure trove of

information about trends, sales, or otherwise.

“The problem,” said Bowie, “is that dBASE II would work fine with my

budget summaries for my houses, except they require sixty fields and

dBASE II is limited to thirty-two. So Sue suggested the Multiplan

spreadsheet program. Multiplan is easy to use, even easier than dBASE

II. Julie got started with Multiplan with just fifteen minutes of

instruction.”

Multiplan works on the same idea as the better-known VisiCalc program,

which, like WordStar, has sold hundreds and hundreds of thousands of

copies.

The true origins of these spreadsheets go back to 1978. A Harvard MBA

student disliked the tedium of using a calculator to tote up columns and

rows of interrelated numbers; it was boring even with a pocket

calculator. A change in just one number could throw off dozens of other

entries, so imagine the brain-numbing effect of making an error and then

having to recalculate an entire spreadsheet. Why not write a computer

program to alter all the other variables if one changed?

And so was born the electronic spreadsheet; it and word processing are

the single most popular uses of microcomputers—the real justifications

for their existence. A VisiCalc-type spreadsheet can add, subtract,

multiply, average, do partial sums, find minimums, maximums, simplify

your life in a number of ways.

A description of VisiCalc in _CPA Micro Report_ ticks off an awesome

number of applications: “sales forecasts, profit and loss statements,

rate-of-return calculations, project scheduling, tax calculation,

pricing strategies, financial planning, loan amortization, league

standings and report generation.” An electronic spreadsheet can help do

your checkbook; or it can assist in the preparation of a small country’s

budget—which, in fact, has happened.

Some even say that spreadsheets are contributing to the paperwork

deluging American business. VisiCalc coauthor Dan Bricklin disagrees. “A

lot of calculations,” he said of the pre-VisiCalc days, “were being done

on the backs of envelopes or corners of envelopes or the corners of

newspapers. VisiCalc isn’t causing people to produce more numbers and

reports. Those numbers were always there, but they weren’t always being

identified.”[28]

Footnote 28:

The Bricklin quote comes from Steve Ditlea’s excellent article in

_Popular Computing_, September 1982, page 48, which helped me

appreciate VisiCalc’s many uses.

“Multiplan is incredible,” Bowie said of his VisiCalc-style software. “I

have generated budgets to see if they’ll do all I want them to, to

consider all the what ifs.

“And it’s a big help in scheduling production. We have a factory

producing cabinets for our homes, and our scheduling system is critical,

since at most it can produce cabinets for only fifteen units a week.”

The cabinet plant manager, caught between the demands of Washington

Homes’ northern and southern divisions, had scheduled production

according to his own whims.

“It was costing us a lot of money in missed settlements,” said Bowie,

“and cabinets were not delivered, or they were the wrong color and

size.” He was talking in late February, telling how, the other day, he

had loaded in thirty-five more cabinet orders and instantly learned “we

were out to April 15 on cabinet deliveries. That’s the soonest we could

get them based on the plant’s production capabilities. I’m meeting with

the manager this morning to see if in the future he can up his output.

I’ve found that everybody’s got to live with lead times. Everybody’s got

to give us the right lead time on orders, which means we are now

ordering cabinets for delivery at the end of April and May, where we

generally in the past would not have ordered May delivery until April.

If I miss five house deliveries in a month because of cabinets not being

there on time, then that’s ,000 to $5,000 in carrying charges over the

next three to five months.”

Similarly, Multiplan was probably saving Bowie several thousand dollars

more over the same period by “identifying houses not started because

building permits have not been issued. And it will help identify the

reasons why they haven’t been.

“To get a building permit, all sorts of things must fall into place. And

now we can look at any particular job at any particular time, and if we

see it isn’t started, find out why the permit hasn’t been issued.

“We can determine if we’re waiting for site plans or a plumbing permit

or electrical permit or whatever it happened to be and instantly target

and solve that problem.

“Before, the record keeping was ‘Go get a permit. Have you got it yet?’

There were no details, no backup. We relied on our field people to get

the permits, and they would get the permits in a way that was timely for

them and their production schemes but not in a way that was timely for

us in bottom-line deliveries. So we are now able to target all the

permit process and make it happen at our rate.” Not only was Bowie using

Multiplan as a spreadsheet to plug in all the what ifs; he was also

using it as a data base, even if it wasn’t as nimble in manipulating

nonnumeric data as dBASE II could be.

Whatever chore Bowie was using Multiplan for, he loved the “Help”

screens. He could turn them on to guide himself through the commands he

wasn’t familiar with; besides, all of Multiplan’s basic commands were

normally at the bottom of the screen, anyway.

Multiplan, by the time you’re reading this, may not be the best

spreadsheet on the market, at least not for you. But at one point _CPA

Micro Report_ was pronouncing it the “new Empress of Spreadsheets” for

accountants using a wide range of computers. Multiplan even worked with

VisiCalc files so that users of the older program could easily convert.

“Multiplan,” said _Micro Report_, “... can sort a line-by-line record of

events by account number or name—a frequent requirement in CPA

applications.” Keepers of expense accounts, presumably, could cherish

such a capability. Also, Multiplan, as the newsletter pointed out, lets

you name your variables; you could refer more easily to the =cells= or

the exact locations in the columns and rows. Instead of saying cells

“A26” or “R38P,” you could refer to “Sales” and “Total Costs.”

With programs like Multiplan, software designers are more successfully

catering to the needs of businesspeople who want computers to adjust to

them rather than the other way around. That’s how it should be. Bowie is

a construction executive, not a computer expert, and Boland’s an

accountant rather than a hacker.

Bowie, however, plainly seemed more willing to live with the

complexities of existing software. Many in his place would have used a

consultant—and wisely, I think, for Washington Homes was a

multimillion-dollar operation—yet Bowie had the background and patience

to computerize just with guidance from a store. He might not have been a

computer expert. But he loved the new. He loved complexity if he could

logically unravel it. He didn’t mind mistakes. He felt in control

because he had backups on disk and on paper. The manuals didn’t scare

him. Instead of soaking up every word there, Bowie, like Seymour

Rubinstein, had a gift for knowing which page to flip to if he had

trouble. Bowie was a born micro user. However serious about his job, he

might as well have been a child relaxing after school with a few rounds

of Pac-Man. He loved seeing instant cause-and-effect relationships. He

took as much delight in learning where his division could be six months

hence as a child might take in winning an arcade game. He considered his

computer “the greatest therapy in the world,” an opportunity to “sit

down and feel really good” in “a fairly high tension business.”

Edward Boland, too, however, in a different, more structured way, was

curious about numbers and life, and in the end, I suspect, the two men’s

learning styles didn’t entirely explain their opinions of their

programs. Bolands’ general-ledger software just wasn’t right for his

needs. It straitjacketed him. Bowie’s programs, on the other hand,

helped him do just about anything he wanted.

“Anything,” incidentally, included advancing his career. When I next

caught up with him, in May 1984, he was president of another

construction firm and owned one-third of that company and was taking

home a paycheck thirty-five percent bigger. Bowie said his computer

skills “had a great deal to do with it. I had management tools that not

very many other people had.”

Alan Scharf: Integrated Program, Including Graphics

Alan Scharf, a forty-three-year-old New York executive, also has a nice

touch with software—a good-enough one, in fact, to have helped win him a

job at a blue-chip firm at triple his old salary.

“It’s done wonders for my earning power,” he said from his offices at

Merrill Lynch Leasing, Inc., where he was a $75,000-a-year assistant

vice-president. “I got this job because I walked in and told them I

could do a better job on an Apple.

“I didn’t own one at home at the time. But you can be sure that I bought

one promptly and boned up on it for the next three weeks, and of course

I’d done a lot of research on the Apple before then to make sure I could

deliver on my promise.

“My previous company had refused to let me get one to improve operations

there and do estate taxes. I had to do them by hand on a calculator. It

took hours per client. And I got mad. Most people my age are afraid of

computers, but I’d worked with word processors. And what are word

processors but another kind of computer?”

So Scharf left his job as an estate tax planner with a staid old

brokerage firm and set up shop at Merrill Lynch’s division dealing with

real estate and equipment leasing.

It was a VisiCalc devotee’s dream job, one calling for quick,

repetitive, accurate math in deals as big as $150 million. Merrill Lynch

Leasing made bids to companies hungry for better cash flow. The leasing

company (and rivals) offered to buy their headquarters buildings or

other real estate, freeing the money for bigger factories or research

and development. It was a series of leaseback arrangements. Merrill

Lynch organized syndicates for the ultimate buyers—people or companies

eager for tax shelters. And that meant more than a little numbers

crunching.

Imagine the variables. The deals had to be sexy enough to the selling

companies for Merrill Lynch to win the bids. At the same time, the tax

shelters couldn’t leak. The deals must provide the buyers with the

write-offs that the prospectuses from the leasing company promised.

Ideally, too, they would yield maximum tax advantages on minimum

investments. And for investments of different sizes and at different tax

rates, just what would the various benefits be?

When Scharf reported for work, he found that the real estate department

of the leasing company was on the verge of spending $200,000 a year

tapping into an outside firm’s computer to come up with the right

numbers. The big machine would have been able to do simple

debt-amortization calculations. Scharf could have told a company, for

instance, how long it would take to pay off a mortgage on a building for

which Merrill Lynch proposed a leaseback. But that was only a small part

of what the job needed. And what about the costs?

So Scharf instead used an Apple system costing less than $7,000, a

one-time investment. The Apple couldn’t do all the calculations needed,

but it could actually outperform the time-sharing system in some ways.

Consider simultaneous equations. The software on big machines—at least

by way of the terminals at Merrill Lynch Leasing—just didn’t include

them. But the Apple could simulate this capability. With the VisiCalc

spreadsheet it could juggle around dozens of interrelated statistics,

using nightmarishly elaborate algebra with Catch-22-like mathematical

spirals. In other words, you wanted to know the value of _x_, and it

depended on the value of _y_ and _z_, and you couldn’t solve for _y_

until you solved _z_, and you couldn’t solve for _z_ until you knew _x_.

That’s how it worked, except, quite possibly, Scharf and his staff would

be wrestling with, say, _a_ through _k_ instead of just _x_ through _z_.

Struggling with these Catch-22s, the Apple was a slowpoke by computer

standards. It still took half an hour. That might seem like the Indy 500

to someone accustomed to hand calculations. But Scharf must have felt

the same way I did about inferior word-processing software. However

faster than without a computer, it still limited your possibilities. You

didn’t have as much time to experiment with all your choices. And the

more time Scharf had, the more closely he could consider all the

variables and the more attractive could be Merrill Lynch’s leaseback

bids. The Apple did its job. “We used it to compete successfully for

work with a number of well-known clients,” Scharf said. “Anheuser

Busch—we did their office building in St. Louis. We worked with

Beneficial Corporation. We’ve done a number of K mart stores.”

Scharf, never smug, still tinkered with the Apple and its software. An

observant computer dealer noticed he would keep asking for larger RAM

boards to allow him to do bigger, fancier spreadsheets.

And so it was that the dealer nominated Scharf a tester for Lotus 1-2-3

in late summer 1982. 1-2-3 was the new =integrated software= from Lotus

Development Corporation, a Massachusetts firm started by a former rock

disk jockey rich with $500,000 in royalties from programs sold to the

makers of VisiCalc.

1-2-3 combined a spreadsheet, graphics, and data base. You could, for

instance, pump figures from the spreadsheet program directly into the

data base with a few simple keystrokes. You didn’t have to go through

unwieldy computer rigamarole to transfer facts from one kind of

electronic file to another. More important, however, Lotus, at least for

Scharf’s use, was a more powerful numbers cruncher than the VisiCalc he

ran on his Apple. Lotus was for the 16-bit IBM PC. Sixteen-bit machines

were speed demons for numbers crunchers, especially with powerful

programs like 1-2-3. An Apple-VisiCalc duo handled worksheets with 254

rows and about 65 columns. But an IBM and 1-2-3 duo could take on 2,048

rows and 256 columns.

The Silicon Jungle · 第 8 / 36 段