THE FUTURE POSITION OF LOGICAL THEORY.

In last October’s number of _The Monist_, Professor John Dewey gives a

sketch of what in his view is “the present position of logical theory.”

According to this the basis of the position seems to be that “the only

possible thought is the reflection of the significance of fact,” and

that therefore logic, which is the science of the laws of thought,

rests in reality on an objective basis. He supports Hegel in denying

“the existence of any faculty of thought which is other than the

expression of fact itself.” Now it is doubtless the case that this is

the position at present taken up by a large number of logicians, but as

this position seems to me to be fundamentally erroneous I should like

to put before your readers what I hope will be “the future position of

logical theory.” I have elsewhere worked out in some detail a theory of

reasoning which differs from that commonly accepted chiefly in this,

that it recognises not two, but three kinds of reasoning, which I call

Objective, Subjective, and Symbolic. Reasoning is commonly divided into

two branches, denoted by various pairs of terms, such as Objective and

Subjective, Inductive and Deductive, Empirical and Formal. The lines

of division indicated by these various pairs of terms are not quite

identical; but they none of them indicate what seems to me the most

important distinction of all, namely that between real, and symbolic

argument. There _does_ exist (I will not say a “faculty of thought,” but)

a method of argument which “is other than the expression of fact itself,”

whether of objective or of subjective fact. The term “formal reasoning”

is indeed often used to denote this kind of argument, but this is a bad

name to give it, since it seems to imply, and frequently is held to

imply, that it deals with the _forms_ of objective or subjective facts,

whereas in reality it deals only with symbols, which are arbitrarily

defined, and which do not necessarily correspond to any things whatever,

whether objective or subjective. That this kind of argument not only

exists, but flourishes is evident as soon as it is grasped that pure

mathematics is nothing but a branch of symbolic logic. It may be that

there exists somewhere a fact of which any conceivable mathematical

formula might be regarded as the reflexion, but it must surely be evident

that it was not to the reflexion of such facts that mathematical formulæ

in general owe their existence or validity. It may perhaps be true “that

fact, reality is significant,” and even that thoughts are themselves such

significant realities, but it is the thoughts that are given to us first,

or rather sensations which are the elements of thoughts, and we can only

infer the realities from them, and not _vice versa_.

The essence of my theory of logic may be briefly stated thus. The

meaning of a logical term contains two parts, its denotation and its

connotation. Either of these parts may be laid down arbitrarily as its

_definition_, leaving the other part which I call its _import_ to be

found out by experience. To understand both parts of the meaning of any

term is therefore to possess real knowledge. Pure symbolic reasoning

deals only with the definitions of terms, and is not therefore founded

on real knowledge, nor can it alone ever lead to real knowledge. Thus

if in any proposition the definitions of the terms are deducible from

one another, the proposition may be proved symbolically and is what I

call a truism: it gives no real information. But if the definitions of

the terms are independent of each other, and yet not inconsistent, the

proposition can only be intended to assert the identity of the imports

of the terms; it therefore ascribes import to the terms and gives real

information, whether true or false. If any terms in a symbolic argument

are however known to have real import, it may be ascribed to them in

real propositions, and any conclusions of the argument which contain only

such terms will _ipso facto_ be made to yield real information, which may

be new in the sense that it was not before recognised, though it was of

course implied in the real assertion or assertions which ascribed import

to the terms of the symbolic argument.

It is in this way possible to separate any science into two branches,

one of which consists purely of symbolic argument founded on definitions

alone, while the other may be expressed in a series of propositions,

the definitions of whose terms are independent of each other, and which

ascribe real import (whether objective or subjective) to the terms of the

symbolic science, or some of them.

This is as far as pure logic can go. The question how the truth of any

real propositions comes to be known is not, in my opinion, any part of

logical theory, but belongs to metaphysics. However that is no reason for

not discussing it here, especially as it is the chief question discussed

in Professor Dewey’s paper.

“Truth” means some sort of consistency in a proposition. We may compare

a symbolic argument to a game with counters, the rules of which are laid

down arbitrarily, and to say that a given conclusion of such an argument

is true only means that the game has been “played fair.” But the truth of

a real proposition does not depend on any arbitrary rules. It expresses

a consistency between two real facts, either that two named groups of

things possess certain common attributes, or that certain of the things

possessing named groups of attributes are identical. The essential

element of all real knowledge is then a connecting link between a thing

and an attribute, such as is afforded by a well-understood word.

Now the only “things” which we can apprehend directly are our subjective

sensations and conceptions. We can compare two or more sensations or

conceptions, and recognise in them common attributes. Thus I can say

of my own knowledge that the sensations I denote by “the taste of

sugar” and “the taste of lead acetate” have a common attribute, which

I call “sweetness.” This is a real assertion, for its truth is not

deducible from the definitions of its terms, and yet I know, by direct

apprehension, that it is true. But it is only a subjective truth. The

corresponding objective assertion would be sugar and acetate of lead

both produce, when tasted, the sensation of sweetness. And I have no

direct apprehension of this fact. That the tastes referred to in the

former proposition were produced by objective things denoted by the terms

sugar and acetate of lead, can only be inferred by the process called

induction, which can never lead to a positive or necessary truth.

Thus we may from a pure symbolic science proceed one step further, to a

subjective science, by the aid of direct apprehension, and the results

of such a subjective science may in certain cases attain the position

of absolute, or necessary truths. But on the other hand, all objective

sciences must rest on induction. Now the true nature of induction is,

I am persuaded, commonly misapprehended, because it is not realised

sufficiently clearly that the prime data of induction are not themselves

objective, but subjective facts. An “objective fact” is really only

an hypothesis, postulated to account for certain of our subjective

sensations. The only justification for making such an hypothesis is

that it actually does explain certain sensations, and the measure of

its probability (for we can never assert it as a necessary certainty)

is the number and complexity of the sensations which it accounts for.

The first of all such objective hypotheses is that we have an objective

environment to whose action our sensations, or some of them, are due.

This suggests at once a more general hypothesis, commonly known as the

law of causation, namely that the conditions obtaining in the objective

universe at any one moment are the effective causes of those obtaining

at the next, and so at any subsequent moment. These two hypotheses,

together with certain subsidiary ones, do suffice to account for an

enormous number, if not all, of our sensations, and so we are justified

in entertaining them. But to leave out the notion of _effective_

causation, and to substitute a mere rule of sequence, is to remove the

only justification we have for assuming the hypothesis of causation at

all. It is perhaps conceivable that the hypothesis may be false, that

our sensations are not “caused by” an objective environment but if so

what reason remains for believing in that environment at all? I can never

know anything whatever about an objective universe, unless some of my

sensations about which alone I know anything directly, are caused by

that universe. It is perhaps thinkable that there should be an objective

universe in which events occur which in no sense _cause_ my subjective

sensations, but to which those sensations nevertheless happen to

correspond; but if this is so the sensations afford me no ground whatever

for believing in the occurrence of the events, or the objectivity of the

universe.

Well then, the essence of induction is the assumption of an hypothesis to

account for observed facts—first of all of directly observed sensations,

and then of facts assumed to be objective in virtue of the primary

hypothesis. That this account of induction is the true one is I think

particularly enforced by the consideration of those cases to which at

first sight it does not seem to apply. A common example of induction is

afforded by our belief that the sun will rise to-morrow. That it has

risen every morning for the last four thousand years or more is no reason

whatever for believing that it will rise to-morrow, unless it is held to

point to some explanatory hypothesis. Such an hypothesis has actually

been framed by astronomers, and no one would now pretend to found his

belief in the sun’s rising to-morrow on the mere fact that it has often

risen before, but would go on to explain that it must rise unless the

earth were to stop revolving, etc. If at Monte Carlo the red turned up

ten times running, would that be any reason for expecting it to turn up

again, the eleventh time? No, it would not unless the succession of reds

seemed to point to some explanatory hypothesis, such as a defect in the

roulette. Again, the fact that in the last fifty years the death rate

in London has been about twenty-eight per thousand would be no reason

for believing that it will be about that figure this year except on

the assumption that the constancy of the death rate indicated certain

constant causes, which we have no reason to believe have been altered

this year.

Having once assumed that our environment is objective, and as a corollary

the hypothesis of causation, the whole of physical science follows,

step by step. Subsidiary hypotheses are introduced at each stage and

justified by the way they account for observed results. To show how a

single hypothesis is capable of explaining a large number of observed

results, the full meaning of the hypothesis is elucidated by symbolic

reasoning. By such reasoning it is for example shown that the same

hypothesis, of universal gravitation, is capable of accounting, not only

for the movements of the stars, but for the tides, the flow of rivers,

the falling of unsupported bodies, the rising of balloons, the movements

of the balance in Cavendish’s experiment, and so on. That such wide

extensions of an hypothesis are possible tends greatly to confirm, not

only the hypothesis itself, but the fundamental hypotheses of objectivity

and causation also. But it does not prove either the one or the others.

We cannot know anything about the objective universe with absolute

certainty, but we may reasonably believe a certain hypothesis about it

with any degree of conviction we think suitable; that is we may (and of

course we actually do) act on all occasions _as if_ we knew absolutely

that they were true.

We may then believe, and I for one do believe, not only in the

objectivity of the universe, but that even my own subjective sensations

are mere bye-products of that universe. I _believe_ that objective facts

are, if I may so express it, more real than subjective sensations; that

in fact the objective universe might have existed, and might exist again

without any subjective element in it anywhere. But I cannot _know_

this, it is with me a matter of faith. Thus I cannot agree with Hegel,

that “all possible thought is the reflexion of the significance of

fact” (except perhaps in the sense that thought is the reflexion of the

significance of certain changes in the grey matter of the brain) for

this would seem to imply that stupid or contradictory thoughts reflected

stupid or contradictory significance in certain facts. But I believe that

men of science are gradually evolving a system of thought which will

more and more faithfully reflect the significance of fact, and that thus

science is actually building up truth. But all science must begin with,

and be founded upon, subjective knowledge, and therefore any theory of

positivism contradicts itself for it must be founded on faith. Science

is thus founded on faith, faith in things not directly apprehended, just

as truly as religion is. It is only because we unconsciously acquire

this faith in our infancy, and that it is in most cases amply justified

by subsequent experience, that we do not even recognise the fact that it

is faith, in exactly the same sense that belief in God is. But just as

men have sometimes lost their faith in God, so it may happen to a man to

loose his faith in reality, and logic is quite as incapable of shaking a

man out of the one position as out of the other.

This I take it is the key to the agnosticism of such men of science as

Mr. Huxley. I do not for a moment suppose that Mr. Huxley believes less

than most men; he probably has good grounds for believing a great deal

more. Only he rightly refuses to say that he _knows_ facts of which

he can have had no direct apprehension and which he can only infer

more or less probably, to be true. Hypotheses which as we push our

investigations are shown to be capable of explaining more and more facts,

that is, ultimately, more and more sensations, will in the end come to

be believed in without doubt or hesitation. If a man says he _knows_ the

law of gravitation to be true, he commits a logical blunder; but there

is nothing to prevent a scientific man from believing in any miracle

or prodigy, so long as the account he gives of it does not contradict

itself. Not only may two equally reasonable men form very different

estimates of the probability of the same event, even with the same

evidence before them, but one man may put his faith to a proposition with

admittedly much lower degree of probability than would be required to

convince another. Only, a scientific man will always distinguish between

what he knows and what he believes, and will admit that though he has

made up his mind to act _as if_ he knew to be true the propositions he

only believes to be so, yet another man may reasonably take a different

view of any one of them.

The Monist, Vol. 2, 1891-1892 · 第 359 / 390 题