VII

So far I have spoken only of heavier-than-air flying-machines. There

is also the airship to which many people pin their faith for future

long-distance air-transport.

The airship was neglected in England after the War because experience

seemed to show that it was incapable of playing a useful part in

warfare. Its revival was chiefly due to Commander Burney, who

continually drew attention to his conviction that the airship could be

made a safe and successful long-distance air-transport vehicle.

Most airship advocates believe in the bigger the better theory. If

the gas-capacity of an airship is doubled, the disposable lift may

be quadrupled, and the size will be only about 1.3 times that of the

smaller vessel. For this reason the two English airships now being

built are each of 5,000,000 cu. ft. gas-capacity. One is being built

by the Government, the other for the Government to Commander Burney’s

general design.

These airships have provided matter for many speeches on Empire

air-ship-routes of the future. At the recent Imperial Conference

airships were spoken of as the right vessels for long-distance

air-lines. These forecasts are based on slender foundations.

Since 1914 only one successful commercial airship-service has been

run. The ‘Bodensee’ in 1919 made 103 trips between Berlin and

Friedrichshafen and carried 2450 passengers. Those 103 trips seem to

be an insecure basis upon which to build calculations about voyages

halfway round the world. The new airships may go from England to Egypt

in 2½ days, and from England to Melbourne in 12½ days, but nothing

has occurred in airship-development to strengthen the probability of

such events. The two new airships are nothing more than a gigantic

experiment.

I must make some unpleasant remarks about airships, but, before

doing so, it is necessary to record admiration of the English

airship policy. I do not agree with the man with a genius for mixed

metaphor who described the airship scheme as the “thin edge of the

white elephant”. On the contrary, in initiating this experiment the

Government has shown imagination and daring. Airship enthusiasts are

to have an opportunity of testing their theories. If the experiment

is a hopeless failure no money and no time will have been wasted, for

the knowledge gained will be of value in directing future aeronautical

development.

But to the question: Will the airship become the long-distance air

vehicle of the future? I answer No.

I base my view on an examination of airship history and on the opinions

of airship pilots. Upon that basis the probable future of the 5,000,000

cu. ft. vessels will be this:

The first one to be completed will make a first flight, and come to its

200 ft. mooring mast successfully. For several months it will cruise

periodically, and minor structural modifications will be made. It will

fly to India and back. Paying passengers will be accepted, and after

considerable delay the first long-distance passenger-flight will be

flown. Some two or three years after the airship comes from its shed,

it will meet with disaster.

More airships will be designed and built, larger still than those now

building. There will be another disaster.

By then the heavier-than-air machine in the moving-wing and fixed-wing

forms, will have proved itself capable of doing all that airships can

do and doing it more safely, more quickly, more regularly, and more

cheaply. The airship will gradually disappear, and its place will

be taken by the heavier-than-air craft, as the balloon is gradually

disappearing and its place being taken by the airship.

There is only one major difference between balloon and airship, a

difference in the amount of control exercised by the airman. The same

difference exists between airship and aeroplane. The aeroplane is

the more controllable. It can rise and descend with less preliminary

juggling; it can turn more quickly; and it can land more quickly.

In support of my pessimistic forecast I append a brief outline of

air-ship-history.

Lighter-than-air man-carrying flight started in 1783 when Pilâtre de

Rozier, the world’s first aeronaut, went up in a Montgolfier balloon.

In the same year a hydrogen filled balloon flew from Paris to Nesle. In

the following year an oblong balloon propelled by parasols as oars was

made by the Duc de Chartres.

In 1852 a small airship propelled by a steam engine was made. In 1882

Tissandier’s airship worked by an electric motor was flown, and in

1884 the airship ‘La France’ was flown. Count Zeppelin built his first

airship in 1900. Santos Dumont constructed an airship, and, in 1902,

flew it round the Eiffel Tower.

It will be seen that the airship has passed through a longer period of

development than the heavier-than-air flying-machine, even if the claim

that Clement Ader flew in 1897 be accepted. Lighter-than-air flight,

indeed, dates back to 1783.

The result of that longer development period is not such as to warrant

too sanguine a belief in the airship’s future. The accidents to

non-rigids and rigids have been many in proportion to the number of

vessels actually flown.

The last type of non-rigid built in England was the North Sea type,

one of which was destroyed by lightning soon after the War. Nine

people were killed. Among the rigids, R.34, which made the double

Atlantic crossing, was damaged beyond repair in 1921. R.33 has had many

adventures, among them being her break-away from the mooring-mast in

1925. This was hailed as a proof of the safety of airships. R.33 is

still alive, though she is treated with the respect due to her age.

R.36, the first British airship to be adapted for commercial purposes,

is still in existence though not in service. R.38 broke up over the

Humber in 1921 and forty-four people were killed.

The U.S.A. have the ‘Los Angeles’, which is the name now given to the

German designed and built ZR.3. The ‘Shenandoah’ broke away from

her mast in 1924, and was destroyed in 1926. According to survivors’

stories, the ‘Shenandoah’ was wrecked by the same kind of vertical

air-currents that wrecked an early Zeppelin in 1913. In all, nine

American airships have perished violently since the War.

The French ‘Dixmude’ was the ex-Zeppelin L.72. She created a world’s

record in 1923, and then disappeared off Sicily with all hands (54

people).

Considering how few large airships have been built, and how short a

time they are, on the average, kept in service, the proportion of

serious accidents is high. In war that proportion is prohibitively high.

The Zeppelin works have turned out more rigid airships than any factory

in the world. The fate of every Zeppelin airship completed since 1915

was recently given in a French technical paper. I do not vouch for

the figures, but they come from a fairly reliable source. Out of 76

airships no fewer than 37 (or nearly 50%) were put out of service

before they had completed one year’s work. Only four airships were

kept in service for more than three years. This is the record of the

firm which knows more about airships than any other firm in the world.

Yet airships have had longer to develop than aeroplanes.

How can an airship be said to be superior to a fixed-wing aeroplane?

It can hover, it has a longer range, it provides a higher degree

of comfort for its passengers. How is it inferior to a fixed-wing

aeroplane? It is slower, it requires more elaborate ground

organization, it is less controllable. Since the moving-wing aircraft

is, as yet, far from fully developed, I leave it out of discussion.

The argument that an aeroplane is always using a part of its power for

lifting is counterbalanced by the argument that an airship is always

using a part of its power for driving its bulk against the wind. An

airship cannot stand still and use no power. There is always some wind

at a height, and the airship must either use power or drift. An airship

with all its engines stopped is as helpless as an aeroplane with all

its engines stopped. The aeroplane, while gliding, still retains a

large measure of controllability, and the pilot can select its landing

ground within 50 yards. The airship has less controllability when its

engines are stopped. Its commander would be lucky if he could select

its landing ground within 50 miles.

It is right that the airship should have every chance to develop. If

it prove successful, so much the better. I do not think it will prove

successful. If it is made to work, it will be at more than ten times

the cost in money and lives, at which heavier-than-air machines have

been made to work.

Sometimes it seems regrettable that even a small part of the sums

spent on developing airships cannot be spent on developing the

passenger-carrying aeroplane.

I will give airships the last word by recalling that Sir George Cayley

in 1816 expressed his belief that airships would eventually prove

the most efficient and safest means of air travel, and by quoting Dr

Eckener:

“A modern airship”, said Dr Eckener, “is at least as capable in heavy

weather as a modern aeroplane. A storm will never have more effect than

delaying or speeding a trip, and it can become directly dangerous only

inasmuch as it may delay the voyage beyond the reach of fuel supply.”

Aeolus; or, the future of the flying machine · 第 14 / 16 题