CHAPTER XXII.

UNIFORMITIES OF COEXISTENCE NOT DEPENDENT ON CAUSATION.

Besides uniformities of succession, which always depend on causation,

there are uniformities of coexistence. These also, whenever the

coexisting phenomena are effects of causes, whether of one common cause

or of several different causes, depend on the laws of their cause or

causes; and, till resolved into these laws, are mere empirical laws. But

there are some uniformities of coexistence, viz. those between the

ultimate properties of _kinds_, which do not depend on causation, and

therefore seem entitled to be classed as a peculiar sort of laws of

nature. As, however, the presumption always is (except in the case of

those _kinds_ which are called _simple substances_ or elementary natural

agents), that a thing's properties really depend on causes though not

traced, and we _never_ can be certain that they do not; we cannot safely

claim (though it _may_ be an ultimate truth) higher certainty than that

of an empirical law for any generalisation about coexistence, that is to

say (since _kinds_ are known to us only by their properties, and,

consequently, all assertions about them are assertions about the

coexistence of something with those properties), about the properties of

_kinds_.

Besides, no rigorous inductive system can be applied to the uniformities

of coexistence, since there is no general axiom related to them, as is

the law of causation to those of succession, to serve as a basis for

such a system. Thus, Bacon's practical applications of his method

failed, from his supposing that we can have previous certainty that a

property must have an invariable coexistent (as it must have an

invariable antecedent), which he called its form. He ought to have seen

that his great logical instrument, elimination, is inapplicable to

coexistences, since things, which agree in having certain apparently

ultimate properties, often agree in nothing else; even the properties

which (e.g. Hotness) are effects of causes, generally being not

connected with the ultimate resemblances or diversities in the objects,

but depending on some outward circumstance.

Our only substitute for an universal law of coexistence is the ancients'

induction _per enumerationem simplicem ubi non reperitur instantia

contradictoria_, that is, the improbability that an exception, if any

existed, could have hitherto remained unobserved. But the certainty thus

arrived at can be only that of an empirical law, true within the limits

of the observations. For the coexistent property must be either a

property of the _kind_, or an accident, that is, something due to an

extrinsic cause, and not to the _kind_ (whose own indigenous properties

are always the same). And the ancients' class of induction can only

prove that _within given limits_, either (in the latter case) one

common, though unknown, cause has always been operating, or (in the

former case) that no new _kind_ of the object has _as yet_ or _by us_

been discovered.

The evidence is, of course (with respect both to the derivative and the

ultimate uniformities of coexistence), stronger in proportion as the law

is more general; for the greater the amount of experience from which it

is derived, the more probable is it that counteracting causes, or that

exceptions, if any, would have presented themselves. Consequently, it

needs more evidence to establish an exception to a very general, than to

a special, empirical law. And common usage agrees with this principle.

Still, even the greater generalisations, when not based on connection by

causation, are delusive, unless grounded on a separate examination of

_each_ of the included _infimae species_, though certainly there is a

probability (no more) that a sort of parallelism will be found in the

properties of different kinds; and that their degree of unlikeness in

one respect bears some proportion to their unlikeness in others.

Analysis of Mr. Mill's System of Logic · 第 18 / 21 章