CHAPTER V.

THE LAW OF UNIVERSAL CAUSATION.

Phenomena in nature stand to each other in two relations, that of

simultaneity, and that of succession. On a knowledge of the truths

respecting the succession of facts depends our power of predicting and

influencing the future. The object, therefore, must be to find some law

of succession not liable to be defeated or suspended by any change of

circumstances, by being tested by, and deduced from which law, all other

uniformities of succession may be raised to equal certainty. Such a law

is not to be found in the class of laws of number or of space; for

though these are certain and universal, no laws except those of space

and number can be deduced from them by themselves (however important

_elements_ they may be in the ascertainment of uniformities of

succession). But causation is such a law; and of this, moreover, all

cases of succession whatever are examples.

This _Law of Causation_ implies no particular theory as to the ultimate

production of effects by _efficient_ causes, but simply implies the

existence of an invariable order of succession (on our assurance of

which the validity of the canons of inductive logic depends) found by

observation, or, when not yet observed, believed, to obtain between an

invariable antecedent, i.e. the _physical_ cause, and an invariable

consequent, the effect. This sequence is generally between a consequent

and the _sum_ of several antecedents. The cause is really the sum total

of the conditions, positive and negative; the negative being stated as

one condition, the same always, viz. the absence of counteracting causes

(since one cause generally counteracts another by the same law whereby

it produces its own effects, and, therefore, the particular mode in

which it counteracts another may be classed under the positive causes).

But it is usual, even with men of science, to reserve the name _cause_

for an antecedent _event_ which completes the assemblage of conditions,

and begins to exist immediately before the effect (e.g. in the case of

death from a fall, the slipping of the foot, and not the weight of the

body), and to style the permanent facts or _states_, which, though

existing immediately before, have also existed long previously, the

_conditions_. But indeed, popularly, any condition which the hearer is

least likely to be aware of, or which needs to be dwelt upon with

reference to the particular occasion, will be selected as the cause,

even a negative condition (e.g. the sentinel's absence from his post, as

the cause of a surprise), though from a mere negation no consequence can

really proceed. On the other hand, the object which is popularly

regarded as standing in the relation of _patient_, and as being the mere

theatre of the effect, is never styled _cause_, being included in the

phrase describing the effect, viz. as the object, of which the effect is

_a state_. But really these so-called _patients_ are themselves agents,

and their properties are positive conditions of the effect. Thus, the

death of a man who has taken prussic acid is as directly the effect of

the organic properties of the man, i.e. the _patient_, as of the poison,

i.e. the _agent_.

To be a cause, it is not enough that the sequence _has been_ invariable.

Otherwise, night might be called the cause of day; whereas it is not

even a condition of it. Such relations of succession or coexistence, as

the succession of day and night (which Dr. Whewell contrasts as _laws of

phenomena_ with _causes_, though, indeed, the latter also are laws of

phenomena, only more universal ones), result from the coexistence of

real causes. The causes themselves are followed by their effects, not

only invariably, but also _necessarily_, i.e. _unconditionally_, or

subject to none but negative conditions. _This_ is material to the

notion of a cause. But another question is not material, viz. whether

causes _must_ precede, or may, at times, be simultaneous with (they

certainly are never preceded by) their effects. In some, though not in

all cases, the causes do invariably continue _together with_ their

effects, in accordance with the schools' dogma, _Cessante causa, cessat

et effectus_; and the hypothesis that, in such cases, the effects are

produced _afresh_ at each instant by their cause, is only a verbal

explanation. But the question does not affect the theory of causation,

which remains intact, even if (in order to take in cases of simultaneity

of cause and effect) we have to define a cause, as the assemblage of

phenomena, which occurring, some other phenomenon invariably and

unconditionally commences, or has its origin.

There exist certain original natural agents, called permanent causes

(some being objects, e.g. the earth, air, and sun; others, cycles of

events, e.g. the rotation of the earth), which together make up nature.

All other phenomena are immediate or remote effects of these causes.

Consequently, as the state of the universe at one instant is the

consequence of its state at the previous instant, a person (but only if

of more than human powers of calculation, and subject also to the

possibility of the order being changed by a new volition of a supreme

power) might predict the whole future order of the universe, if he knew

the original distribution of all the permanent causes, with the laws of

the succession between each of them and its different mutually

independent effects. But, in fact, the distribution of these permanent

causes, with the reason for the proportions in which they coexist, has

not been reduced to a law; and this is why the sequences or coexistences

among the effects of several of them together cannot rank as laws of

nature, though they are invariable while the causes coexist. For this

same reason (since the proximate causes are traceable ultimately to

permanent causes) there are no original and independent uniformities of

coexistence between effects of different (proximate) causes, though

there may be such between different effects of the same cause.

Some, and particularly Reid, have regarded man's voluntary agency as

the true type of causation and the exclusive source of the idea. The

facts of inanimate nature, they argue, exhibit only antecedence and

sequence, while in volition (and this would distinguish it from physical

causes) we are conscious, prior to experience, of power to produce

effects: volition, therefore, whether of men or of God, must be, they

contend, an efficient cause, and the only one, of all phenomena. But, in

fact, they bring no positive evidence to show that we could have known,

apart from experience, that the effect, e.g. the motion of the limbs,

would follow from the volition, or that a volition is more than a

physical cause. In lieu of positive evidence, they appeal to the

supposed conceivableness of the direct action of will on matter, and

inconceivableness of the direct action of matter on matter. But there is

no inherent law, to this effect, of the conceptive faculty: it is only

because our voluntary acts are, from the first, the most direct and

familiar to us of all cases of causation, that men, as is seen from the

structure of languages (e.g. their active and passive voices, and

impersonations of inanimate objects), get the _habit_ of borrowing them

to explain other phenomena by a sort of original Fetichism. Even Reid

allows that there is a tendency to assume volition where it does not

exist, and that the belief in it has its sphere gradually limited, in

proportion as fixed laws of succession among external objects are

discovered.

This proneness to require the appearance of some necessary and natural

connection between the cause and its effect, i.e. some reason _per se_

why the one should produce the other, has infected most theories of

causation. But the selection of the particular agency which is to make

the connection between the physical antecedent and its consequent seem

_conceivable_, has perpetually varied, since it depends on a person's

special habits of thought. Thus, the Greeks, Thales, Anaximenes, and

Pythagoras, thought respectively that water, air, or number is such an

agency explaining the production of physical effects. Many moderns,

again, have been unable to _conceive_ the production of effects by

volition itself, without some intervening agency to connect it with

them. This medium, Leibnitz thought, was some _per se_ efficient

physical antecedent; while the Cartesians imagined for the purpose the

theory of Occasional Causes, that is, supposed that God, not _qua_ mind,

or _qua_ volition, but _qua_ omnipotent, intervenes to connect the

volition and the motion: so far is the mind from being forced to think

the action of mind on matter more _natural_ than that of matter on

matter. Those who believe volition to be an efficient cause are guilty

of exactly the same error as the Greeks, or Leibnitz or Descartes; that

is, of requiring an _explanation_ of physical sequences by something

[Greek: aneu hou to aition ouk an pot' eie aition]. But they are guilty

of another error also, in inferring that volition, even if it is an

_efficient_ cause of so peculiar a phenomenon as nervous action, must

therefore be the efficient cause of all other phenomena, though having

scarcely a single circumstance in common with them.

Analysis of Mr. Mill's System of Logic · 第 5 / 21 章