CHAPTER XXIII

THE CRISIS OF 1914

INDEX

MAPS AND PLANS

Campaigns of 1859-71

Sketch Map of the District between Metz and the Rhine

Plan of the Battle of Wörth

Plan of the Battles of Rezonville and Gravelotte

Plan of the Battle of Sedan

Map of Bulgaria

Plan of Plevna

Map of the Treaties of Berlin and San Stefano

Map of Thessaly

Map of Afghanistan

Battle of Maiwand

Battle of Alexandria (Bombardment of, 1882)

Map of the Nile

The Battle of Omdurman

Plan of Khartum

Map of Africa (1902)

INTRODUCTION

"The movements in the masses of European peoples are divided

and slow, and their progress interrupted and impeded, because

they are such great and unequally formed masses; but the

preparation for the future is widely diffused, and . . . the

promises of the age are so great that even the most

faint-hearted rouse themselves to the belief that a time has

arrived in which it is a privilege to live."--GERVINUS, 1853.

The Roman poet Lucretius in an oft-quoted passage describes the

satisfaction that naturally fills the mind when from some safe

vantage-ground one looks forth on travellers tossed about on the stormy

deep. We may perhaps use the poet's not very altruistic words as

symbolising many of the feelings with which, at the dawn of the

twentieth century, we look back over the stormy waters of the century

that has passed away. Some congratulation on this score is justifiable,

especially as those wars and revolutions have served to build up States

that are far stronger than their predecessors, in proportion as they

correspond more nearly with the desires of the nations that

compose them.

As we gaze at the revolutions and wars that form the storm-centres of

the past century, we can now see some of the causes that brought about

those storms. If we survey them with discerning eye, we soon begin to

see that, in the main, the cyclonic disturbances had their origins in

two great natural impulses of the civilised races of mankind. The first

of these forces is that great impulse towards individual liberty, which

we name Democracy; the second is that impulse, scarcely less mighty and

elemental, that prompts men to effect a close union with their kith and

kin: this we may term Nationality.

Now, it is true that these two forces have not led up to the last and

crowning phase of human development, as their enthusiastic champions at

one time asserted that they would; far from that, they are accountable,

especially so the force of Nationality, for numerous defects in the life

of the several peoples; and the national principle is at this very time

producing great and needless friction in the dealings of nations. Yet,

granting all this, it still remains true that Democracy and Nationality

have been the two chief formative influences in the political

development of Europe during the Nineteenth Century.

In no age of the world's history have these two impulses worked with so

triumphant an activity. They have not always been endowed with living

force. Among many peoples they lay dormant for ages and were only called

to life by some great event, such as the intolerable oppression of a

despot or of a governing caste that crushed the liberties of the

individual, or the domination of an alien people over one that

obstinately refused to be assimilated. Sometimes the spark that kindled

vital consciousness was the flash of a poet's genius, or the heroism of

some sturdy son of the soil. The causes of awakening have been

infinitely various, and have never wholly died away; but it is the

special glory of the Nineteenth Century that races which had hitherto

lain helpless and well-nigh dead, rose to manhood as if by magic, and

shed their blood like water in the effort to secure a free and

unfettered existence both for the individual and the nation. It is a

true saying of the German historian, Gervinus, "The history of this age

will no longer be only a relation of the lives of great men and of

princes, but a biography of nations."

At first sight, this illuminating statement seems to leave out of count

the career of the mighty Napoleon. But it does not. The great Emperor

unconsciously called into vigorous life the forces of Democracy and

Nationality both in Germany and in Italy, where there had been naught

but servility and disunion. His career, if viewed from our present

standpoint, falls into two portions: first, that in which he figured as

the champion of Revolutionary France and the liberator of Italy from

foreign and domestic tyrants; and secondly, as imperial autocrat who

conquered and held down a great part of Europe in his attempt to ruin

British commerce. In the former of these enterprises he had the new

forces of the age acting with him and endowing him with seemingly

resistless might; in the latter part of his life he mistook his place in

the economy of Nature, and by his violation of the principles of

individual liberty and racial kinship in Spain and Central Europe,

assured his own downfall.

The greatest battle of the century was the tremendous strife that for

three days surged to and fro around Leipzig in the month of October

1813, when Russians, Prussians, Austrians, Swedes, together with a few

Britons, Hanoverians, and finally his own Saxon allies, combined to

shake the imperial yoke from the neck of the Germanic peoples. This

_Völkerschlacht_ (Battle of the Peoples), as the Germans term it,

decided that the future of Europe was not to be moulded by the imperial

autocrat, but by the will of the princes and nations whom his obstinacy

had embattled against him. Far from recognising the verdict, the great

man struggled on until the pertinacity of the allies finally drove him

from power and assigned to France practically the same boundaries that

she had had in 1791, before the time of her mighty expansion. That is to

say, the nation which in its purely democratic form had easily overrun

and subdued the neighbouring States in the time of their old, inert,

semi-feudal existence, was overthrown by them when their national

consciousness had been trampled into being by the legions of the

great Emperor.

In 1814, and again after Waterloo, France was driven in on herself, and

resumed something like her old position in Europe, save that the throne

of the Bourbons never acquired any solidity--the older branch of that

family being unseated by the Revolution of 1830. In the centre of the

Continent, the old dynasties had made common cause with the peoples in

the national struggles of 1813-14, and therefore enjoyed more

consideration--a fact which enabled them for a time to repress popular

aspirations for constitutional rule and national unity.

Nevertheless, by the Treaties of Vienna (1814-15) the centre of Europe

was more solidly organised than ever before. In place of the effete

institution known as the Holy Roman Empire, which Napoleon swept away in

1806, the Central States were reorganised in the German Confederation--a

cumbrous and ineffective league in which Austria held the presidency.

Austria also gained Venetia and Lombardy in Italy. The acquisition of

the fertile Rhine Province by Prussia brought that vigorous State up to

the bounds of Lorraine and made her the natural protectress of Germany

against France. Russia acquired complete control over nearly the whole

of the former Kingdom of Poland. Thus, the Powers that had been foremost

in the struggle against Napoleon now gained most largely in the

redistribution of lands in 1814-15, while the States that had been

friendly to him now suffered for their devotion. Italy was split up into

a mosaic of States; Saxony ceded nearly the half of her lands to

Prussia; Denmark yielded up her ancient possession, Norway, to the

Swedish Crown.

In some respects the triumph of the national principle, which had

brought victory to the old dynasties, strengthened the European fabric.

The Treaties of Vienna brought the boundaries of States more nearly into

accord with racial interests and sentiments than had been the case

before; but in several instances those interests and feelings were

chafed or violated by designing or short-sighted statesmen. The Germans,

who had longed for an effective national union, saw with indignation

that the constitution of the new Germanic Confederation left them under

the control of the rulers of the component States and of the very real

headship exercised by Austria, which was always used to repress popular

movements. The Italians, who had also learned from Napoleon the secret

that they were in all essentials a nation, deeply resented the

domination of Austria in Lombardy-Venetia and the parcelling out of the

rest of the Peninsula between reactionary kings somnolent dukes, and

obscurantist clerics. The Belgians likewise protested against the

enforced union with Holland in what was now called the Kingdom of the

United Netherlands (1815-30). In the east of Europe the Poles struggled

in vain against the fate which once more partitioned them between

Russia, Austria, and Prussia. The Germans of Holstein, Schleswig, and

Lauenburg submitted uneasily to the Danish rule; and only under the

stress of demonstrations by the allies did the Norwegians accept the

union with Sweden.

It should be carefully noted that these were the very cases which caused

most of the political troubles in the following period. In fact, most of

the political occurrences on the Continent in the years 1815 to

1870--the revolts, revolutions, and wars, that give a special character

to the history of the century--resulted directly from the bad or

imperfect arrangements of the Congress of Vienna and of the so-called

Holy Alliance of the monarchs who sought to perpetuate them. The effect

of this widespread discontent was not felt at once. The peoples were too

exhausted by the terrific strain of the Napoleonic wars to do much for a

generation or more, save in times of popular excitement. Except in the

south-east of Europe, where Greece, with the aid of Russia, Britain, and

France, wrested her political independence from the grasp of the Sultan

(1827), the forty years that succeeded Waterloo were broken by no

important war; but they were marked by oft-recurring unrest and

sedition. Thus, when the French Revolution of 1830 overthrew the

reactionary dynasty of the elder Bourbons, the universal excitement

caused by this event endowed the Belgians with strength sufficient to

shake off the heavy yoke of the Dutch; while in Italy, Germany, and

Poland the democrats and nationalists (now working generally in accord)

made valiant but unsuccessful efforts to achieve their ideals.

The same was the case in 1848. The excitement, which this time

originated in Italy, spread to France, overthrew the throne of Louis

Philippe (of the younger branch of the French Bourbons), and bade fair

to roll half of the crowns of Europe into the gutter. But these

spasmodic efforts of the democrats speedily failed. Inexperience,

disunion, and jealousy paralysed their actions and yielded the victory

to the old Governments. Frenchmen, in dismay at the seeming approach of

communism and anarchy, fell back upon the odd expedient of a Napoleonic

Republic, which in 1852 was easily changed by Louis Napoleon into an

Empire modelled on that of his far greater uncle. The democrats of

Germany achieved some startling successes over their repressive

Governments in the spring of the year 1848, only to find that they could

not devise a working constitution for the Fatherland; and the deputies

who met at the federal capital, Frankfurt, to unify Germany "by

speechifying and majorities," saw power slip back little by little into

the hands of the monarchs and princes. In the Austrian Empire

nationalist claims and strivings led to a very Babel of discordant talk

and action, amidst which the young Hapsburg ruler, Francis Joseph,

thanks to Russian military aid, was able to triumph over the valour of

the Hungarians and the devotion of their champion, Kossuth.

In Italy the same sad tale was told. In the spring of that year of

revolutions, 1848, the rulers in quick succession granted constitutions

to their subjects. The reforming Pope, Pius IX., and the patriotic King

of Sardinia, Charles Albert, also made common cause with their peoples

in the effort to drive out the Austrians from Lombardy-Venetia; but the

Pope and all the potentates except Charles Albert speedily deserted the

popular cause; friction between the King and the republican leaders,

Mazzini and Garibaldi, further weakened the nationalists, and the

Austrians had little difficulty in crushing Charles Albert's forces,

whereupon he abdicated in favour of his son, Victor Emmanuel II.

(1849). The Republics set up at Rome and Venice struggled valiantly for

a time against great odds--Mazzini, Garibaldi, and their volunteers

being finally overborne at the Eternal City by the French troops whom

Louis Napoleon sent to restore the Pope (June 1849); while, two months

later, Venice surrendered to the Austrians whom she had long held at

bay. The Queen of the Adriatic under the inspiring dictatorship of Manin

had given a remarkable example of orderly constitutional government in

time of siege.

It seemed to be the lot of the nationalists and democrats to produce

leaders who could thrill the imagination of men by lofty teachings and

sublime heroism; who could, in a word, achieve everything but success. A

poetess, who looked forth from Casa Guidi windows upon the tragi-comedy

of Florentine failure in those years, wrote that what was needed was a

firmer union, a more practical and intelligent activity, on the part

both of the people and of the future leader:

A land's brotherhood

Is most puissant: men, upon the whole,

Are what they can be,--nations, what they would.

Will therefore to be strong, thou Italy!

Will to be noble! Austrian Metternich

Can fix no yoke unless the neck agree.

* * * * *

Whatever hand shall grasp this oriflamme,

Whatever man (last peasant or first Pope

Seeking to free his country) shall appear,

Teach, lead, strike fire into the masses, fill

These empty bladders with fine air, insphere

These wills into a unity of will,

And make of Italy a nation--dear

And blessed be that man!

When Elizabeth Barrett Browning penned those lines she cannot have

surmised that two men were working their way up the rungs of the

political ladder in Piedmont and Prussia, whose keen intellects and

masterful wills were to weld their Fatherlands into indissoluble union

within the space of one momentous decade. These men were Cavour

and Bismarck.

It would far exceed the limits of space of this brief Introduction to

tell, except in the briefest outline, the story of the plodding

preparation and far-seeing diplomacy by which these statesmen raised

their respective countries from depths of humiliation to undreamt of

heights of triumph. The first thing was to restore the prestige of their

States. No people can be strong in action that has lost belief in its

own powers and has allowed its neighbours openly to flout it. The

history of the world has shown again and again that politicians who

allow their country to be regarded as _une quantité négligeable_

bequeath to some abler successor a heritage of struggle and

war--struggle for the nation to recover its self-respect, and war to

regain consideration and fair treatment from others. However much frothy

talkers in their clubs may decry the claims of national prestige, no

great statesman has ever underrated their importance. Certainly the

first aim both of Cavour and Bismarck was to restore self-respect and

confidence to their States after the humiliations and the dreary

isolation of those dark years, 1848-51. We will glance, first, at the

resurrection (_Risorgimento_) of the little Kingdom of Sardinia, which

was destined to unify Italy.

Charles Albert's abdication immediately after his defeat by the

Austrians left no alternative to his son and successor, Victor Emmanuel

II., but that of signing a disastrous peace with Austria. In a short

time the stout-hearted young King called to his councils Count Cavour,

the second son of a noble Piedmontese family, but of firmly Liberal

principles, who resolved to make the little kingdom the centre of

enlightenment and hope for despairing Italy. He strengthened the

constitution (the only one out of many granted in 1848 that survived the

time of reaction); he reformed the tariff in the direction of Free

Trade; and during the course of the Crimean War he persuaded his

sovereign to make an active alliance with France and England, so as to

bind them by all the claims of honour to help Sardinia in the future

against Austria. The occasion was most opportune; for Austria was then

suspected and disliked both by Russia and the Western Powers owing to

her policy of armed neutrality. Nevertheless the reward of Cavour's

diplomacy came slowly and incompletely. By skilfully vague promises

(never reduced to writing) Cavour induced Napoleon III. to take up arms

against Austria; but, after the great victory of Solferino (June 24,

1859), the French Emperor enraged the Italians by breaking off the

struggle before the allies recovered the great province of Venetia,

which he had pledged himself to do. Worse still, he required the cession

of Savoy and Nice to France, if the Central Duchies and the northern

part of the Papal States joined the Kingdom of Sardinia, as they now

did. Thus, the net result of Napoleon's intervention in Italy was his

acquisition of Savoy and Nice (at the price of Italian hatred), and the

gain of Lombardy and the central districts for the national cause

(1859-60).

The agony of mind caused by this comparative failure undermined Cavour's

health; but in the last months of his life he helped to impel and guide

the revolutionary elements in Italy to an enterprise that ended in a

startling and momentous triumph. This was nothing less than the

overthrow of Bourbon rule in Sicily and Southern Italy by Garibaldi.

Thanks to Cavour's connivance, this dashing republican organised an

expedition of about 1000 volunteers near Genoa, set sail for Sicily, and

by a few blows shivered the chains of tyranny in that island. It is

noteworthy that British war-ships lent him covert but most important

help at Palermo and again in his crossing to the mainland; this timely

aid and the presence of a band of Britons in his ranks laid the

foundation of that friendship which has ever since united the two

nations. In Calabria the hero met with the feeblest resistance from the

Bourbon troops and the wildest of welcomes from the populace. At Salerno

he took tickets for Naples and entered the enemy's capital by railway

train (September 7). Then he purposed, after routing the Bourbon force

north of the city, to go on and attack the French at Rome and proclaim a

united Italy.

Cavour took care that he should do no such thing. The Piedmontese

statesman knew when to march onwards and when to halt. As his

compatriot, Manzoni, said of him, "Cavour has all the prudence and all

the imprudence of the true statesman." He had dared and won in 1855-59,

and again in secretly encouraging Garibaldi's venture. Now it was time

to stop in order to consolidate the gains to the national cause.

The leader of the red-shirts, having done what no king could do, was

thenceforth to be controlled by the monarchy of the north. Victor

Emmanuel came in as the _deus ex machina_; his troops pressed

southwards, occupying the eastern part of the Papal States in their

march, and joined hands with the Garibaldians to the north of Naples,

thus preventing the collision with France which the irregulars would

have brought about. Even as it was, Cavour had hard work to persuade

Napoleon that this was the only way of curbing Garibaldi and preventing

the erection of a South Italian Republic; but finally the French Emperor

looked on uneasily while the Pope's eastern territories were violated,

and while the cause of Italian Unity was assured at the expense of the

Pontiff whom France was officially supporting in Rome. A _plébiscite_,

or mass vote, of the people of Sicily, South Italy, and the eastern and

central parts of the Papal States, was resorted to by Cavour in order to

throw a cloak of legality over these irregular proceedings. The device

pleased Napoleon, and it resulted in an overwhelming vote in favour of

annexation to Victor Emmanuel's kingdom. Thus, in March 1861, the

soldier-king was able amidst universal acclaim to take the title of King

of Italy. Florence was declared to be the capital of the realm (1864),

which embraced all parts of Italy except the Province of Venetia,

pertaining to Austria, and the "Patrimonium Petri"--that is, Rome and

its vicinity,--still held by the Pope and garrisoned by the French. The

former of these was to be regained for _la patria_ in 1866, the latter

in 1870, in consequence of the mighty triumphs then achieved by the

principle of nationality in Prussia and Germany. To these triumphs we

must now briefly advert.

No one who looked at the state of European politics in 1861, could have

imagined that in less than ten years Prussia would have waged three wars

and humbled the might of Austria and France. At that time she showed no

signs of exceptional vigour: she had as yet produced no leaders so

inspiring as Mazzini and Garibaldi, no statesman so able as Cavour. Her

new king, William, far from arousing the feelings of growing enthusiasm

that centred in Victor Emmanuel, was more and more distrusted and

disliked by Liberals for the policy of militarism on which he had just

embarked. In fact, the Hohenzollern dynasty was passing into a "Conflict

Time" with its Parliament which threatened to impair the influence of

Prussia abroad and to retard her recovery from the period of

humiliations through which she had recently passed.

A brief recital of those humiliations is desirable as showing, firstly,

the suddenness with which the affairs of a nation may go to ruin in

slack and unskilful hands, and, secondly, the immense results that can

be achieved in a few years by a small band of able men who throw their

whole heart into the work of national regeneration.

The previous ruler, Frederick William IV., was a gifted and learned man,

but he lacked soundness of judgment and strength of will--qualities

which are of more worth in governing than graces of the intellect. At

the time of the revolutionary outbreaks of 1848 he capitulated to the

Berlin mob and declared for a constitutional régime in which Prussia

should merge herself in Germany; but when the excesses of the democrats

had weakened their authority, he put them down by military force,

refused the German Crown offered him by the popularly elected German

Parliament assembled at Frankfurt-on-Main (April 1849); and thereupon

attempted to form a smaller union of States, namely, Prussia, Saxony,

and Hanover. This Three Kings' League, as it was called, soon came to

an end; for it did not satisfy the nationalists who wished to see

Germany united, the constitutionalists who aimed at the supremacy of

Parliament, or the friends of the old order of things. The vacillations

of Frederick William and the unpractical theorisings of the German

Parliament at Frankfurt having aroused general disgust, Austria found

little difficulty in restoring the power of the old Germanic

Confederation in September, 1850. Strong in her alliance with Russia,

she next compelled Frederick William to sign the Convention of Olmütz

(Nov. 1850). By this humiliating compact he agreed to forbear helping

the German nationalists in Schleswig-Holstein to shake off the

oppressive rule of the Danes; to withdraw Prussian troops from

Hesse-Cassel and Baden, where strifes had broken out; and to acknowledge

the supremacy of the old Federal Diet under the headship of Austria.

Thus, it seemed that the Prussian monarchy was a source of weakness and

disunion for North Germany, and that Austria, backed up by the might of

Russia, must long continue to lord it over the cumbrous Germanic

Confederation.

But a young country squire, named Bismarck, even then resolved that the

Prussian monarchy should be the means of strengthening and binding

together the Fatherland. The resolve bespoke the patriotism of a sturdy,

hopeful nature; and the young Bismarck was nothing if not patriotic,

sturdy, and hopeful. The son of an ancient family in the Mark of

Brandenburg, he brought to his life-work powers inherited from a line of

fighting ancestors; and his mind was no less robust than his body. Quick

at mastering a mass of details, he soon saw into the heart of a problem,

and his solution of it was marked both by unfailing skill and by sound

common sense as to the choice of men and means. In some respects he

resembles Napoleon the Great. Granted that he was his inferior in the

width of vision and the versatility of gifts that mark a world-genius,

yet he was his equal in diplomatic resourcefulness and in the power of

dealing lightning strokes; while his possession of the priceless gift of

moderation endowed his greatest political achievements with a soundness

and solidity never possessed by those of the mighty conqueror who

"sought to give the _mot d'ordre_ to the universe." If the figure of the

Prussian does not loom so large on the canvas of universal history as

that of the Corsican--if he did not tame a Revolution, remodel society,

and reorganise a Continent--be it remembered that he made a United

Germany, while Napoleon the Great left France smaller and weaker than he

found her.

Bismarck's first efforts, like those of Cavour for Sardinia, were

directed to the task of restoring the prestige of his State. Early in

his official career, the Prussian patriot urged the expediency of

befriending Russia during the Crimean War, and he thus helped on that

_rapprochement_ between Berlin and St. Petersburg which brought the

mighty triumphs of 1866 and 1870 within the range of possibility. In

1857 Frederick William became insane; and his brother William took the

reins of Government as Regent, and early in 1861 as King. The new ruler

was less gifted than his unfortunate brother; but his homely common

sense and tenacious will strengthened Prussian policy where it had been

weakest. He soon saw the worth of Bismarck, employed him in high

diplomatic positions, and when the royal proposals for strengthening the

army were decisively rejected by the Prussian House of Representatives,

he speedily sent for Bismarck to act as Minister-President (Prime

Minister) and "tame" the refractory Parliament. The constitutional

crisis was becoming more and more acute when a great national question

came into prominence owing to the action of the Danes in

Schleswig-Holstein affairs.

Without entering into the very tangled web of customs, treaties, and

dynastic claims that made up the Schleswig-Holstein question, we may

here state that those Duchies were by ancient law very closely connected

together, that the King of Denmark was only Duke of Schleswig-Holstein,

and that the latter duchy, wholly German in population, formed part of

the Germanic Confederation. Latterly the fervent nationalists in

Denmark, while leaving Holstein to its German connections, had resolved

thoroughly to "Danify" Schleswig, the northern half of which was wholly

Danish, and they pressed on this policy by harsh and intolerant

measures, making it difficult or well-nigh impossible for the Germans to

have public worship in their own tongue and to secure German teachers

for their children in the schools. Matters were already in a very

strained state, when shortly before the death of King Frederick VII. of

Denmark (November, 1863) the Rigsraad at Copenhagen sanctioned a

constitution for Schleswig, which would practically have made it a part

of the Danish monarchy. The King gave his assent to it, an act which his

successor, Christian IX., ratified.

Now, this action violated the last treaty--that signed by the Powers at

London in 1852, which settled the affairs of the Duchies; and Bismarck

therefore had strong ground for appealing to the Powers concerned, as

also to the German Confederation, against this breach of treaty

obligations. The Powers, especially England and France, sought to set

things straight, but the efforts of our Foreign Minister, Lord John

Russell, had no effect. The German Confederation also refused to take

any steps about Schleswig as being outside its jurisdiction. Bismarck

next persuaded Austria to help Prussia in defeating Danish designs on

that duchy. The Danes, on the other hand, counted on the unofficial

expressions of sympathy which came from the people of Great Britain and

France at sight of a small State menaced by two powerful monarchies. In

fact, the whole situation was complicated by this explosion of feeling,

which seemed to the Danes to portend the armed intervention of the

Western States, especially England, on their behalf. As far as is known,

no official assurance to that effect ever went forth from London. In

fact, it is certain that Queen Victoria absolutely forbade any such

step; but the mischief done by sentimental orators, heedless

newspaper-editors, and factious busybodies, could not be undone. As Lord

John Russell afterwards stated in a short "Essay on the Policy of

England": "It pleased some English advisers of great influence to

meddle in this affair; they were successful in thwarting the British

Government, and in the end, with the professed view, and perhaps the

real intention, of helping Denmark, their friendship tended to deprive

her of Holstein and Schleswig altogether." This final judgment of a

veteran statesman is worth quoting as showing his sense of the mischief

done by well-meant but misguided sympathy, which pushed the Danes on to

ruin and embittered our relations with Prussia for many years.

Not that the conduct of the German Powers was flawless. On January 16,

1864, they sent to Copenhagen a demand for the withdrawal of the

constitution for Schleswig within two days. The Danish Foreign Minister

pointed out that, as the Rigsraad was not in session, this could not

possibly be done within two days. In this last step, then, the German

Powers were undoubtedly the aggressors[1]. The Prussian troops were

ready near the River Eider, and at once invaded Schleswig. The Danes

were soon beaten on the mainland; then a pause occurred, during which a

Conference of the Powers concerned was held at London. It has been

proved by the German historian, von Sybel, that the first serious

suggestion to Prussia that she should take both the Duchies came

secretly from Napoleon III. It was in vain that Lord John Russell

suggested a sensible compromise, namely, the partition of Schleswig

between Denmark and Germany according to the language-frontier inside

the Duchy. To this the belligerents demurred on points of detail, the

Prussian representative asserting that he would not leave a single

German under Danish rule. The war was therefore resumed, and ended in a

complete defeat for the weaker State, which finally surrendered both

Duchies to Austria and Prussia (1864)[2].

[1] Lord Wodehouse (afterwards Earl of Kimberley) was at that time sent

on a special mission to Copenhagen. When his official correspondence is

published, it will probably throw light on many points.

[2] Sybel, _Die Begründung des deutschen Reiches_, vol. iii. pp.

299-344; Débidour, _Hist. diplomatique de l'Europe_, vol. ii. pp.

261-273; Lowe, _Life of Bismarck_, vol. i. chap. vi.; Headlam,

_Bismarck_, chap. viii.; Lord Malmesbury, _Memoirs of an ex-Minister_

pp. 584-593 (small edition); Spencer Walpole, _Life of Lord J. Russell_,

vol. ii. pp. 396-411.

In several respects the cause of ruin to Denmark in 1863-64 bears a

remarkable resemblance to that which produced war in South Africa in

1899, viz. high-handed action of a minority towards men whom they

treated as Outlanders, the stiff-necked obstinacy of the smaller State,

and reliance on the vehement but (probably) unofficial offers of help or

intervention by other nations.

The question of the sharing of the Duchies now formed one of the causes

of the far greater war between the victors; but, in truth, it was only

part of the much larger question, which had agitated Germany for

centuries, whether the balance of power should belong to the North or

the South. Bismarck also saw that the time was nearly ripe for settling

this matter once for all in favour of Prussia; but he had hard work even

to persuade his own sovereign; while the Prussian Parliament, as well as

public opinion throughout Germany, was violently hostile to his schemes

and favoured the claims of the young Duke of Augustenburg to the

Duchies--claims that had much show of right. Matters were patched up for

a time between the two German States, by the Convention of Gastein

(August 1865), while in reality each prepared for war and sought to

gain allies.

Here again Bismarck was successful. After vainly seeking to _buy_

Venetia from the Austrian Court, Italy agreed to side with Prussia

against that Power in order to wrest by force a province which she could

not hope to gain peaceably. Russia, too, was friendly to the Court of

Berlin, owing to the help which the latter had given her in crushing the

formidable revolt of the Poles in 1863. It remained to keep France

quiet. In this Bismarck thought he had succeeded by means of interviews

which he held with Napoleon III. at Biarritz (Nov. 1865). What there

occurred is not clearly known. That Bismarck played on the Emperor's

foible for oppressed nationalities, in the case of Italy, is fairly

certain; that he fed him with hopes of gaining Belgium, or a slice of

German land, is highly probable, and none the less so because he later

on indignantly denied in the Reichstag that he ever "held out the

prospect to anybody of ceding a single German village, or even as much

as a clover-field." In any case Napoleon seems to have promised to

observe neutrality--not because he loved Prussia, but because he

expected the German Powers to wear one another out and thus leave him

master of the situation. In common with most of the wiseacres of those

days he believed that Prussia and Italy would ultimately fall before the

combined weight of Austria and of the German States, which closely

followed her in the Confederation; whereupon he could step in and

dictate his own terms[3].

[3] Busch, _Our Chancellor_, vol. ii. p. 17 (Eng. edit.); Débidour,

_Histoire diplomatique de l'Europe (1814-1878)_, vol ii. pp. 291-293.

Lord Loftus in his _Diplomatic Reminiscences_ (vol. ii. p. 280) says:

"So satisfied was Bismarck that he could count on the neutrality of

France, that no defensive military measures were taken on the Rhine and

western frontier. He had no fears of Russia on the eastern frontier, and

was therefore able to concentrate the military might of Prussia against

Austria and her South German Allies."

Light has been thrown on the bargainings between Italy and Prussia by

the _Memoirs of General Govone_, who found Bismarck a hard bargainer.

Bismarck and the leaders of the Prussian army had few doubts as to the

result. They were determined to force on the war, and early in June 1866

brought forward proposals at the Frankfurt Diet for the "reform" of the

German Confederation, the chief of them being the exclusion of Austria,

the establishment of a German Parliament elected by manhood suffrage,

and the formation of a North German army commanded by the King

of Prussia.

A great majority of the Federal Diet rejected these proposals, and war

speedily broke out, Austria being supported by nearly all the German

States except the two Mecklenburgs.

The weight of numbers was against Prussia, even though she had the help

of the Italians operating against Venetia. On that side Austria was

completely successful, as also in a sea-fight near Lissa in the

Adriatic; but in the north the Hapsburgs and their German allies soon

found out that organisation, armament, and genius count for more than

numbers. The great organiser, von Roon, had brought Prussia's citizen

army to a degree of efficiency that surprised every one; and the

quick-firing "needle-gun" dealt havoc and terror among the enemy. Using

to the full the advantage of her central position against the German

States, Prussia speedily worsted their isolated and badly-handled

forces, while her chief armies overthrew those of Austria and Saxony in

Bohemia. The Austrian plan of campaign had been to invade Prussia by two

armies--a comparatively small force advancing from Cracow as a base into

Silesia, while another, acting from Olmütz, advanced through Bohemia to

join the Saxons and march on Berlin, some 50,000 Bavarians joining them

in Bohemia for the same enterprise. This design speedily broke down

owing to the short-sighted timidity of the Bavarian Government, which

refused to let its forces leave their own territory; the lack of railway

facilities in the Austrian Empire also hampered the moving of two large

armies to the northern frontier. Above all, the swift and decisive

movements of the Prussians speedily drove the allies to act on the

defensive--itself a grave misfortune in war.

Meanwhile the Prussian strategist, von Moltke, was carrying out a far

more incisive plan of operations--that of sending three Prussian armies

into the middle of Bohemia, and there forming a great mass which would

sweep away all obstacles from the road to Vienna. This design received

prompt and skilful execution. Saxony was quickly overrun, and the

irruption of three great armies into Bohemia compelled the Austrians and

their Saxon allies hurriedly to alter their plans. After suffering

several reverses in the north of Bohemia, their chief array under

Benedek barred the way of the two northern Prussian armies on the

heights north of the town of Königgrätz. On the morning of July 3 the

defenders long beat off all frontal attacks with heavy loss; but about 2

P.M. the Army of Silesia, under the Crown Prince Frederick of Prussia,

after a forced march of twelve miles, threw itself on their right flank,

where Benedek expected no very serious onset. After desperate fighting

the Army of Silesia carried the village of Chlum in the heart of the

Austrian position, and compelled Austrians and Saxons to a hurried

retreat over the Elbe. In this the Austrian infantry was saved from

destruction by the heroic stand made by the artillery. Even so, the

allies lost more than 13,000 killed and wounded, 22,000 prisoners, and

187 guns[4].

[4] Sybel, _Die Begründung des deutschen Reiches_, vol. v. pp. 174-205;

_Journals of Field Marshal Count von Blumenthal for 1866 and 1871_ (Eng.

edit.), pp. 37-44.

Königgrätz (or Sadowa, as it is often called) decided the whole

campaign. The invaders now advanced rapidly towards Vienna, and at the

town of Nikolsburg concluded the Preliminaries of Peace with Austria

(July 26), whereupon a mandate came from Paris, bidding them stop. In

fact, the Emperor of the French offered his intervention in a manner

most threatening to the victors. He sought to detach Italy from the

Prussian alliance by the offer of Venetia as a left-handed present from

himself--an offer which the Italian Government subsequently refused.

To understand how Napoleon III. came to change front and belie his

earlier promises, one must look behind the scenes. Enough is already

known to show that the Emperor's hand was forced by his Ministers and by

the Parisian Press, probably also by the Empress Eugénie. Though

desirous, apparently, of befriending Prussia, he had already yielded to

their persistent pleas urging him to stay the growth of the Protestant

Power of North Germany. On June 10, at the outbreak of the war, he

secretly concluded a treaty with Austria, holding out to her the

prospect of recovering the great province of Silesia (torn from her by

Frederick the Great in 1740) in return for a magnanimous cession of

Venetia to Italy. The news of Königgrätz led to a violent outburst of

anti-Prussian feeling; but Napoleon refused to take action at once, when

it might have been very effective.

The best plan for the French Government would have been to send to the

Rhine all the seasoned troops left available by Napoleon III.'s

ill-starred Mexican enterprise, so as to help the hard-pressed South

German forces, offering also the armed mediation of France to the

combatants. In that case Prussia must have drawn back, and Napoleon III.

could have dictated his own terms to Central Europe. But his earlier

leanings towards Prussia and Italy, the advice of Prince Napoleon

("Plon-Plon") and Lavalette, and the wheedlings of the Prussian

ambassador as to compensations which France might gain as a set-off to

Prussia's aggrandisement, told on the French Emperor's nature, always

somewhat sluggish and then prostrated by severe internal pain; with the

result that he sent his proposals for a settlement of the points in

dispute, but took no steps towards enforcing them. A fortnight thus

slipped away, during which the Prussians reaped the full fruits of their

triumph at Königgrätz; and it was not until July 29, three days after

the Preliminaries of Peace were signed, that the French Foreign

Minister, Drouyn de Lhuys, worried his master, then prostrate with pain

at Vichy, into sanctioning the following demands from victorious

Prussia: the cession to France of the Rhenish Palatinate (belonging to

Bavaria), the south-western part of Hesse Darmstadt, and that part of

Prussia's Rhine-Province lying in the valley of the Saar which she had

acquired after Waterloo. This would have brought within the French

frontier the great fortress of Mainz (Mayence); but the great mass of

these gains, it will be observed, would have been at the expense of

South German States, whose cause France proclaimed her earnest desire to

uphold against the encroaching power of Prussia.

Bismarck took care to have an official copy of these demands in writing,

the use of which will shortly appear; and having procured this precious

document, he defied the French envoy, telling him that King William,

rather than agree to such a surrender of German land, would make peace

with Austria and the German States on any terms, and invade France at

the head of the forces of a united Germany. This reply caused another

change of front at Napoleon's Court. The demands were disavowed and the

Foreign Minister, Drouyn de Lhuys, resigned[5].

[5] Sybel, _op. cit._ vol. v. pp. 365-374. Débidour, _op. cit._ vol. ii.

pp. 315-318. See too volume viii. of Ollivier's work, _L'Empire

libéral_, published in 1904; and M. de la Gorce's work, _Histoire du

second Empire_, vol. vi. (Paris 1903).

The completeness of Prussia's triumph over Austria and her German

allies, together with the preparations of the Hungarians for revolt,

decided the Court of Vienna to accept the Prussian terms which were

embodied in the Treaty of Prague (Aug. 23); they were, the direct

cession of Venetia to Italy; the exclusion of Austria from German

affairs and her acceptance of the changes there pending; the cession to

Prussia of Schleswig-Holstein; and the payment of 20,000,000 thalers

(about £3,000,000) as war indemnity. The lenience of these conditions

was to have a very noteworthy result, namely, the speedy reconciliation

of the two Powers: within twenty years they were firmly united in the

Triple Alliance with Italy (see Chapter X.).

Some difficulties stood in the way of peace between Prussia and her late

enemies in the German Confederation, especially Bavaria. These last were

removed when Bismarck privately disclosed to the Bavarian Foreign

Minister the secret demand made by France for the cession of the

Bavarian Palatinate. In the month of August, the South German States,

Bavaria, Würtemberg and Baden, accepted Prussia's terms; whereby they

paid small war indemnities and recognised the new constitution of

Germany. Outwardly they formed a South German Confederation; but this

had a very shadowy existence; and the three States by secret treaties

with Prussia agreed to place their armies and all military arrangements,

in case of war, under the control of the King of Prussia. Thus within a

month from the close of "the Seven Weeks' War," the whole of Germany was

quietly but firmly bound to common action in military matters; and the

actions of France left little doubt as to the need of these timely

precautions.

On those German States which stood in the way of Prussia's territorial

development and had shown marked hostility, Bismarck bore hard. The

Kingdom of Hanover, Electoral Hesse (Hesse-Cassel), the Duchy of Nassau,

and the Free City of Frankfurt were annexed outright, Prussia thereby

gaining direct contact with her Westphalian and Rhenish Provinces. The

absorption of Frankfurt-on-the-Main, and the formation of a new league,

the North German Confederation, swept away all the old federal

machinery, and marked out Berlin, not Vienna or Frankfurt, as the future

governing centre of the Fatherland. It was doubtless a perception of the

vast gains to the national cause which prompted the Prussian Parliament

to pass a Bill of Indemnity exonerating the King's Ministers for the

illegal acts committed by them during the "Conflict Time"

(1861-66)--acts which saved Prussia in spite of her Parliament.

Constitutional freedom likewise benefited largely by the results of the

war. The new North German Confederation was based avowedly on manhood

suffrage, not because either King William or Bismarck loved democracy,

but because after lately pledging themselves to it as the groundwork of

reform of the old Confederation, they could not draw back in the hour of

triumph. As Bismarck afterwards confessed to his Secretary, Dr. Busch,

"I accepted universal suffrage, but with reluctance, as a Frankfurt

tradition" (_i.e._ of the democratic Parliament of Frankfurt in

1848)[6]. All the lands, therefore, between the Niemen and the Main were

bound together in a Confederation based on constitutional principles,

though the governing powers of the King and his Ministers continued to

be far larger than is the case in Great Britain. To this matter we shall

recur when we treat of the German Empire, formed by the union of the

North and South German Confederations of 1866.

[6] Busch, _Our Chancellor_, vol. ii. p. 196 (English edit.).

Austria also was soon compelled to give way before the persistent

demands of the Hungarian patriots for their ancient constitution, which

happily blended monarchy and democracy. Accordingly, the centralised

Hapsburg monarchy was remodelled by the _Ausgleich_ (compromise) of

1867, and became the Dual-Monarchy of Austria-Hungary, the two parts of

the realm being ruled quite separately for most purposes of government,

and united only for those of army organisation, foreign policy, and

finance. Parliamentary control became dominant in each part of the

Empire; and the grievances resulting from autocratic or bureaucratic

rule vanished from Hungary. They disappeared also from Hanover and

Hesse-Cassel, where the Guelf sovereigns and Electors had generally

repressed popular movements.

Greatest of all the results of the war of 1866, however, was the gain to

the national cause in Germany and Italy. Peoples that had long been

divided were now in the brief space of three months brought within sight

of the long-wished-for unity. The rush of these events blinded men to

their enduring import and produced an impression that the Prussian

triumph was like that of Napoleon I., too sudden and brilliant to last.

Those who hazarded this verdict forgot that his political arrangements

for Europe violated every instinct of national solidarity; while those

of 1866 served to group the hitherto divided peoples of North Germany

and Italy around the monarchies that had proved to be the only possible

rallying points in their respective countries. It was this harmonising

of the claims and aspirations of monarchy, nationality, and democracy

that gave to the settlement of 1866 its abiding importance, and fitted

the two peoples for the crowning triumph of 1870.

CHAPTER I

THE CAUSES OF THE FRANCO-GERMAN WAR

"After the fatal year 1866, the Empire was in a state of

decadence."--L. GREGOIRE, _Histoire de France_.

The irony of history is nowhere more manifest than in the curious

destiny which called a Napoleon III. to the place once occupied by

Napoleon I., and at the very time when the national movements,

unwittingly called to vigorous life by the great warrior, were attaining

to the full strength of manhood. Napoleon III. was in many ways a

well-meaning dreamer, who, unluckily for himself, allowed his dreams to

encroach on his waking moments. In truth, his sluggish but very

persistent mind never saw quite clearly where dreams must give way to

realities; or, as M. de Falloux phrased it, "He does not know the

difference between dreaming and thinking[7]." Thus his policy showed an

odd mixture of generous haziness and belated practicality.

[7] _Notes from a Diary, 1851-1872_, by Sir M.E. Grant Duff, vol. i. p.

120.

Long study of his uncle's policy showed him, rightly enough, that it

erred in trampling down the feeling of nationality in Germany and

elsewhere. The nephew resolved to avoid this mistake and to pose as the

champion of the oppressed and divided peoples of Italy, Germany, Poland,

and the Balkan Peninsula--a programme that promised to appeal to the

ideal aspirations of the French, to embarrass the dynasties that had

overthrown the first Napoleon, and to yield substantial gains for his

nephew. Certainly it did so in the case of Italy; his championship of

the Roumanians also helped on the making of that interesting

Principality (1861) and gained the good-will of Russia; but he speedily

forfeited this by his wholly ineffective efforts on behalf of the Poles

in 1863. His great mistakes, however, were committed in and after the

year 1863, when he plunged into Mexican politics with the chimerical aim

of founding a Roman Catholic Empire in Central America, and favoured the

rise of Prussia in connection with the Schleswig-Holstein question. By

the former of these he locked up no small part of his army in Mexico

when he greatly needed it on the Rhine; by the latter he helped on the

rise of the vigorous North German Power.

As we have seen, he secretly advised Prussia to take both Schleswig and

Holstein, thereby announcing his wish for the effective union of Germans

with the one great State composed almost solely of Germans. "I shall

always be consistent in my conduct," he said. "If I have fought for the

independence of Italy, if I have lifted up my voice for Polish

nationality, I cannot have other sentiments in Germany, or obey other

principles." This declaration bespoke the doctrinaire rather than the

statesman. Untaught by the clamour which French Chauvinists and ardent

Catholics had raised against his armed support of the Italian national

cause in 1859, he now proposed to further the aggrandisement of the

Protestant North German Power which had sought to partition France

in 1815.

The clamour aroused by his leanings towards Prussia in 1864-66 was

naturally far more violent, in proportion as the interests of France

were more closely at stake. Prussia held the Rhine Province; and French

patriots, who clung to the doctrine of the "natural frontiers"--the

Ocean, Pyrenees, Alps, and Rhine--looked on her as the natural enemy.

They pointed out that millions of Frenchmen had shed their blood in the

Revolutionary and Napoleonic wars to win and to keep the Rhine boundary;

and their most eloquent spokesman, M. Thiers, who had devoted his

historical gifts to glorifying those great days, passionately declaimed

against the policy of helping on the growth of the hereditary foe.

We have already seen the results of this strife between the pro-Prussian

foibles of the Emperor and the eager prejudices of Frenchmen, whose love

of oppressed and divided nations grew in proportion to their distance

from France, and changed to suspicion or hatred in the case of her

neighbours. In 1866, under the breath of ministerial arguments and

oratorical onslaughts Napoleon III.'s policy weakly wavered, thereby

giving to Bismarck's statecraft a decisive triumph all along the line.

In vain did he in the latter part of that year remind the Prussian

statesman of his earlier promises (always discreetly vague) of

compensation for France, and throw out diplomatic feelers for Belgium,

or at any rate Luxemburg[8]. In vain did M. Thiers declare in the

Chamber of Deputies that France, while recognising accomplished facts in

Germany, ought "firmly to declare that we will not allow them to go

further" (March 14, 1867). Bismarck replied to this challenge of the

French orator by publishing five days later the hitherto secret military

alliances concluded with the South German States in August 1866.

Thenceforth France knew that a war with Prussia would be war with a

united Germany.

[8] In 1867 Bismarck's promises went so far as the framing of a secret

compact with France, one article of which stated that Prussia would not

object to the annexation of Belgium by France. The agreement was first

published by the _Times_ on July 25, 1870, Bismarck then divulging the

secret so as to inflame public opinion against France.

In the following year the Zollverein, or German Customs' Union (which

had been gradually growing since 1833), took a definitely national form

in a Customs' Parliament which assembled in April 1868, thus unifying

Germany for purposes of trade as well as those of war. This sharp rebuff

came at a time when Napoleon's throne was tottering from the utter

collapse of his Mexican expedition; when, too, he more than ever needed

popular support in France for the beginnings of a more constitutional

rule. Early in 1867 he sought to buy Luxemburg from Holland. This action

aroused a storm of wrath in Prussia, which had the right to garrison

Luxemburg; but the question was patched up by a Conference of the Powers

at London, the Duchy being declared neutral territory under the

guarantee of Europe; the fortifications of its capital were also to be

demolished, and the Prussian garrison withdrawn. This success for French

diplomacy was repeated in Italy, where the French troops supporting the

Pope crushed the efforts of Garibaldi and his irregulars to capture

Rome, at the sanguinary fight of Mentana (November 3, 1867). The

official despatch, stating that the new French rifle, the _chassepôt_,

"had done wonders," spread jubilation through France and a sharp

anti-Gallic sentiment throughout Italy.

And while Italy heaved with longings for her natural capital, popular

feelings in France and North Germany made steadily for war.

Before entering upon the final stages of the dispute, it may be well to

take a bird's-eye view of the condition of the chief Powers in so far as

it explains their attitude towards the great struggle.

The condition of French politics was strangely complex. The Emperor had

always professed that he was the elect of France, and would ultimately

crown his political edifice with the corner-stone of constitutional

liberty. Had he done so in the successful years 1855-61, possibly his

dynasty might have taken root. He deferred action, however, until the

darker years that came after 1866. In 1868 greater freedom was allowed

to the Press and in the case of public meetings. The General Election of

the spring of 1869 showed large gains to the Opposition, and decided the

Emperor to grant to the Corps Législatif the right of initiating laws

concurrently with himself, and he declared that Ministers should be

responsible to it (September 1869).

These and a few other changes marked the transition from autocracy to

the "Liberal Empire." One of the champions of constitutional principles,

M. Emile Ollivier, formed a Cabinet to give effect to the new policy,

and the Emperor, deeming the time ripe for consolidating his power on a

democratic basis, consulted the country in a _plébiscite_, or mass vote,

primarily as to their judgment on the recent changes, but implicitly as

to their confidence in the imperial system as a whole. His skill in

joining together two topics that were really distinct, gained him a

tactical victory. More than 7,350,000 affirmative votes were given, as

against 1,572,000 negatives; while 1,900,000 voters registered no vote.

This success at the polls emboldened the supporters of the Empire; and

very many of them, especially, it is thought, the Empress Eugénie,

believed that only one thing remained in order to place the Napoleonic

dynasty on a lasting basis--that was, a successful war.

Champions of autocracy pointed out that the growth of Radicalism

coincided with the period of military failures and diplomatic slights.

Let Napoleon III., they said in effect, imitate the policy of his uncle,

who, as long as he dazzled France by triumphs, could afford to laugh at

the efforts of constitution-mongers. The big towns might prate of

liberty; but what France wanted was glory and strong government. Such

were their pleas: there was much in the past history of France to

support them. The responsible advisers of the Emperor determined to take

a stronger tone in foreign affairs, while the out-and-out Bonapartists

jealously looked for any signs of official weakness so that they might

undermine the Ollivier Ministry and hark back to absolutism. When two

great parties in a State make national prestige a catchword of the

political game, peace cannot be secure: that was the position of France

in the early part of 1870[9].

[9] See Ollivier's great work, _L'Empire libéral_, for full details of

this time.

The eve of the Franco-German War was a time of great importance for the

United Kingdom. The Reform Bill of 1867 gave a great accession of power

to the Liberal Party; and the General Election of November 1868 speedily

led to the resignation of the Disraeli Cabinet and the accession of the

Gladstone Ministry to power. This portended change in other directions

than home affairs. The tradition of a spirited foreign policy died with

Lord Palmerston in 1865. With the entry of John Bright to the new

Cabinet peace at all costs became the dominant note of British

statesmanship. There was much to be said in favour of this. England

needed a time of rest in order to cope with the discontent of Ireland

and the problems brought about by the growth of democracy and

commercialism in the larger island. The disestablishment and partial

disendowment of the Protestant Church in Ireland (July 1869), the Irish

Land Act (August 1870), and the Education Act of 1870, showed the

preoccupation of the Ministry for home affairs; while the readiness with

which, a little later, they complied with all the wishes of the United

States in the "Alabama" case, equally proclaimed their pacific

intentions. England, which in 1860 had exercised so powerful an

influence on the Italian national question, was for five years a factor

of small account in European affairs. Far from pleasing the combatants,

our neutrality annoyed both of them. The French accused England of

"deserting" Napoleon III. in his time of need--a charge that has lately

been revived by M. Hanotaux. To this it is only needful to reply that

the French Emperor entered into alliance with us at the time of the

Crimean War merely for his own objects, and allowed all friendly feeling

to be ended by French threats of an invasion of England in 1858 and his

shabby treatment of Italy in the matter of Savoy and Nice a year later.

On his side, Bismarck also complained that our feeling for the German

cause went no further than "theoretical sympathy," and that "during the

war England never compromised herself so far in our favour as to

endanger her friendship with France. On the contrary." These vague and

enigmatic charges at bottom only express the annoyance of the combatants

at their failure to draw neutrals into the strife[10].

[10] Hanotaux, _Contemporary France_, vol. i. p. 9 (Eng. ed.);

_Bismarck: his Reflections and Reminiscences,_ vol. ii. p. 61. The

popular Prussian view about England found expression in the comic paper

_Kladderdatsch_:--

Deutschland beziehe billige Sympathien Und Frankreich theures

Kriegsmateriel.

The traditions of the United States, of course, forbade their

intervention in the Franco-Prussian dispute. By an article of their

political creed termed the Monroe Doctrine, they asserted their resolve

not to interfere in European affairs and to prevent the interference of

any strictly European State in those of the New World. It was on this

rather vague doctrine that they cried "hands off" from Mexico to the

French Emperor; and the abandonment of his _protégé_, the so-called

Emperor Maximilian, by French troops, brought about the death of that

unhappy prince and a sensible decline in the prestige of his patron

(June 1867).

Russia likewise remembered Napoleon III.'s championship of the Poles in

1863, which, however Platonic in its nature, caused the Czar some

embarrassment. Moreover, King William of Prussia had soothed the Czar's

feelings, ruffled by the dethroning of three German dynasties in 1866,

by a skilful reply which alluded to his (King William's) desire to be of

service to Russian interests elsewhere--a hint which the diplomatists of

St. Petersburg remembered in 1870 to some effect.

For the rest, the Czar Alexander II. (1855-81) and his Ministers were

still absorbed in the internal policy of reform, which in the sixties

freed the serfs and gave Russia new judicial and local institutions,

doomed to be swept away in the reaction following the murder of that

enlightened ruler. The Russian Government therefore pledged itself to

neutrality, but in a sense favourable to Prussia. The Czar ascribed the

Crimean War to the ambition of Napoleon III., and remembered the

friendship of Prussia at that time, as also in the Polish Revolt of

1863[11]. Bismarck's policy now brought its reward.

[11] See Sir H. Rumbold's _Recollections of a Diplomatist_ (First

Series), vol. ii. p. 292, for the Czar's hostility to France in 1870.

The neutrality of Russia is always a matter of the utmost moment for the

Central Powers in any war on their western frontiers. Their efforts

against Revolutionary France in 1792-94 failed chiefly because of the

ambiguous attitude of the Czarina Catherine II.; and the collapse of

Frederick William IV.'s policy in 1848-51 was due to the hostility of

his eastern neighbour. In fact, the removal of anxiety about her open

frontier on the east was now worth a quarter of a million of men

to Prussia.

But the Czar's neutrality was in one matter distinctly friendly to his

uncle, King William of Prussia. It is an open secret that unmistakable

hints went from St. Petersburg to Vienna to the effect that, if Austria

drew the sword for Napoleon III. she would have to reckon with an

irruption of the Russians into her open Galician frontier. Probably this

accounts for the conduct of the Hapsburg Power, which otherwise is

inexplicable. A war of revenge against Prussia seemed to be the natural

step to take. True, the Emperor Francis Joseph had small cause to like

Napoleon III. The loss of Lombardy in 1859 still rankled in the breast

of every patriotic Austrian; and the suspicions which that enigmatical

ruler managed to arouse, prevented any definite agreement resulting from

the meeting of the two sovereigns at Salzburg in 1867.

The relations of France and Austria were still in the same uncertain

state before the War of 1870. The foreign policy of Austria was in the

hands of Count Beust, a bitter foe of Prussia; but after the concession

of constitutional rule to Hungary by the compromise (_Ausgleich_) of

1867, the Dual Monarchy urgently needed rest, especially as its army was

undergoing many changes. The Chancellor's action was therefore clogged

on all sides. Nevertheless, when the Luxemburg affair of 1867 brought

France and Prussia near to war, Napoleon began to make advances to the

Court of Vienna. How far they went is not known. Beust has asserted in

his correspondence with the French Foreign Minister, the Duc de Gramont

(formerly ambassador at Vienna), that they never were more than

discussions, and that they ended in 1869 without any written agreement.

The sole understanding was to the effect that the policy of both States

should be friendly and pacific, Austria reserving the right to remain

neutral if France were compelled to make war. The two Empires further

promised not to make any engagement with a third Power without informing

the other.

This statement is not very convincing. States do not usually bind

themselves in the way just described, unless they have some advantageous

agreement with the Power which has the first claim on their alliance. It

is noteworthy, however, that the Duc de Gramont, in the correspondence

alluded to above, admits that, as Ambassador and as Foreign Minister of

France, he never had to claim the support of Austria in the war with

Prussia[12].

[12] _Memoirs of Count Beust_, vol. ii. pp. 358-359 (Appendix D, Eng.

edit.).

How are we to reconcile these statements with the undoubted fact that

the Emperor Napoleon certainly expected help from Austria and also from

Italy? The solution of the riddle seems to be that Napoleon, as also

Francis Joseph and Victor Emmanuel, kept their Foreign Ministers in the

dark on many questions of high policy, which they transacted either by

private letters among themselves, or through military men who had their

confidence. The French and Italian sovereigns certainly employed these

methods, the latter because he was far more French in sympathy than his

Ministers.

As far back as the year 1868, Victor Emmanuel made overtures to Napoleon

with a view to alliance, the chief aim of which, from his standpoint,

was to secure the evacuation of Rome by the French troops, and the gain

of the Eternal City for the national cause. Prince Napoleon lent his

support to this scheme, and from an article written by him we know that

the two sovereigns discussed the matter almost entirely by means of

confidential letters[13]. These discussions went on up to the month of

June 1869. Francis Joseph, on hearing of them, urged the French Emperor

to satisfy Italy, and thus pave the way for an alliance between the

three Powers against Prussia. Nothing definite came of the affair, and

chiefly, it would seem, owing to the influence of the Empress Eugénie

and the French clerics. She is said to have remarked: "Better the

Prussians in Paris than the Italian troops in Rome." The diplomatic

situation therefore remained vague, though in the second week of July

1870, the Emperor again took up the threads which, with greater firmness

and foresight, he might have woven into a firm design.

[13] _Revue des deux Mondes_ for April 1, 1878.

The understanding between the three Powers advanced only in regard to

military preparations. The Austrian Archduke Albrecht, the victor of

Custoza, burned to avenge the defeat of Königgrätz, and with this aim in

view visited Paris in February to March 1870. He then proposed to

Napoleon an invasion of North Germany by the armies of France, Austria,

and Italy. The French Emperor developed the plan by more specific

overtures which he made in the month of June; but his Ministers were so

far in the dark as to these military proposals that they were then

suggesting the reduction of the French army by 10,000 men, while

Ollivier, the Prime Minister, on June 30 declared to the French Chamber

that peace had never been better assured[14].

[14] Seignobos, _A Political History of Contemporary Europe_, vol. ii.

pp. 806-807 (Eng. edit.). Oncken, _Zeitalter des Kaisers Wilhelm_ (vol.

i. pp. 720-740), tries to prove that there was a deep conspiracy against

Prussia. I am not convinced by his evidence.

And yet on that same day General Lebrun, aide-de-camp to the Emperor,

was drawing up at Paris a confidential report of the mission with which

he had lately been entrusted to the Austrian military authorities. From

that report we take the following particulars. On arriving at Vienna, he

had three private interviews with the Archduke Albrecht, and set before

him the desirability of a joint invasion of North Germany in the autumn

of that year. To this the Archduke demurred, on the ground that such a

campaign ought to begin in the spring if the full fruits of victory were

to be gathered in before the short days came. Austria and Italy, he

said, could not place adequate forces in the field in less than six

weeks owing to lack of railways[15].

[15] _Souvenirs militaires_, by General B.L.J. Lebrun (Paris 1895), pp.

95-148.

Developing his own views, the Archduke then suggested that it

would be desirable for France to undertake the war against

North Germany not later than the middle of March 1871, Austria

and Italy at the same time beginning their mobilisations, though not

declaring war until their armies were ready at the end of six weeks. Two

French armies should in the meantime cross the Rhine in order to sever

the South Germans from the Confederation of the North, one of them

marching towards Nuremberg, where it would be joined by the western army

of Austria and the Italian forces sent through Tyrol. The other Austrian

army would then invade Saxony or Lusatia in order to strike at Berlin.

He estimated the forces of the States hostile to Prussia as follows:--

+------------------------------------------------------------------+

| |Men. |Horses. |Cannon. |

+-------------------------------+------------+----------+----------+

|France |309,000 |35,000 |972 |

|Austria (exclusive of reserve) |360,000 |27,000 |1128 |

|Italy |68,000 |5000 |180 |

|Denmark |260,000 (?) |2000 |72 |

+-------------------------------+------------+----------+----------+

He thus reckoned the forces of the two German Confederations:--

+-------------------------------+------------+----------+----------+

| |Men. |Horses. |Cannon. |

|North |377,000 |48,000 |1284 |

|South |97,000 |10,000 |288 |

+-------------------------------+------------+----------+----------+

but the support of the latter might be hoped for. Lebrun again urged the

desirability of a campaign in the autumn, but the Archduke repeated that

it must begin in the spring. In that condition, as in his earlier

statement that France must declare war first, while her allies prepared

for war, we may discern a deep-rooted distrust of Napoleon III.

On June 14 the Archduke introduced Lebrun to the Emperor Francis Joseph,

who informed him that he wanted peace; but, he added, "if I make war, I

must be forced to it." In case of war Prussia might exploit the national

German sentiment existing in South Germany and Austria. He concluded

with these words, "But if the Emperor Napoleon, compelled to accept or

to declare war, came with his armies into South Germany, not as an enemy

but as a liberator, I should be forced on my side to declare that I

[would] make common cause with him. In the eyes of my people I could do

no other than join my armies to those of France. That is what I pray you

to say for me to the Emperor Napoleon; I hope that he will see, as I do,

my situation both in home and foreign affairs." Such was the report

which Lebrun drew up for Napoleon III. on June 30. It certainly led that

sovereign to believe in the probability of Austrian help in the spring

of 1871, but not before that time.

The question now arises whether Bismarck was aware of these proposals.

If warlike counsels prevailed at Vienna, it is probable that some

preparations would be made, and the secret may have leaked out in this

way, or possibly through the Hungarian administration. In any case,

Bismarck knew that the Austrian chancellor, Count Beust, thirsted for

revenge for the events of 1866[16]. If he heard any whispers of an

approaching league against Prussia, he would naturally see the advantage

of pressing on war at once, before Austria and Italy were ready to enter

the lists. Probably in this fact will be found one explanation of the

origin of the Franco-German War.

[Footnote 16: _Bismarck: his Reflections and Reminiscences_, vol. ii. p.

58.]

Before adverting to the proximate cause of the rupture, we may note that

Beust's despatch of July 11, 1870, to Prince Metternich, Austrian

ambassador at Paris, displayed genuine fear lest France should rush

blindly into war with Prussia; and he charged Metternich tactfully to

warn the French Government against such a course of action, which would

"be contrary to all that we have agreed upon. . . . Even if we wished, we

could not suddenly equip a respectably large force. . . . Our services are

gained to a certain extent [by France]; but we shall not go further

unless events carry us on; and we do not dream of plunging into war

because it might suit France to do so."

Again, however, the military men seem to have pushed on the

diplomatists. The Archduke Albrecht and Count Vitzthum went to Paris

charged with some promises of support to France in case of war.

Thereafter, Count Beust gave the assurance at Vienna that the Austrians

would be "faithful to our engagements, as they have been recorded in the

letters exchanged last year between the two sovereigns. We consider the

cause of France as ours, and we will contribute to the success of her

arms to the utmost of our power[17]."

[Footnote 17: _Memoirs of Count Beust,_ vol. ii. p. 359. _The Present

Position of European Politics_ p. 366 (1887). By the author of _Greater

Britain._]

In the midst of this maze of cross-purposes this much is clear: that

both Emperors had gone to work behind the backs of their Ministers, and

that the military chiefs of France and Austria brought their States to

the brink of war while their Ministers and diplomatists were unaware of

the nearness of danger.

As we have seen, King Victor Emmanuel II. longed to draw the sword for

Napoleon III., whose help to Italy in 1859-60 he so curiously overrated.

Fortunately for Italy, his Ministers took a more practical view of the

situation; but probably they too would have made common cause with

France had they received a definite promise of the withdrawal of French

troops from Rome and the satisfaction of Italian desires for the Eternal

City as the national capital. This promise, even after the outbreak of

war, the French Emperor declined to give, though his cousin, Prince

Napoleon, urged him vehemently to give way on that point[18].

[Footnote 18: See the _Rev. des deux Mondes_ for April 1, 1878, and

"Chronique" of the _Revue d'Histoire diplomatique_ for 1905, p. 298;

also W.H. Stillman, _The Union of Italy, 1815-1895_, p. 348.]

In truth, the Emperor could not well give way. An Oecumenical Council

sat at Rome from December 1869 to July 1870; its Ultramontane tendencies

were throughout strongly marked, as against the "Old Catholic" views;

and it was a foregone conclusion that the Council would vote the dogma

of the infallibility of the Pope in matters of religion--as it did on

the day before France declared war against Prussia. How, then, could the

Emperor, the "eldest son of the Church," as French monarchs have proudly

styled themselves, bargain away Rome to the Italian Government, already

stained by sacrilege, when this crowning aureole of grace was about to

encircle the visible Head of the Church? There was no escape from the

dilemma. Either Napoleon must go into war with shouts of "Judas" hurled

at him by all pious Roman Catholics; or he must try his fortunes without

the much-coveted help of Austria and Italy. He chose the latter

alternative, largely, it would seem, owing to the influence of his

vehemently Catholic Empress[19]. After the first defeats he sought to

open negotiations, but then it was too late. Prince Napoleon went to

Florence and arrived there on August 20; but his utmost efforts failed

to move the Italian Cabinet from neutrality.

[Footnote 19: For the relations of France to the Vatican, see _Histoire

du second Empire_, by M. De la Gorce, vol. vi. (Paris, 1903); also

_Histoire Contemporaine_ (_i.e._ of France in 1869-1875), by M. Samuel

Denis, 4 vols. The Empress Eugénie once said that she was "deux fois

Catholique," as a Spaniard and as French Empress. (Sir M.K. Grant Duff,

_Notes from a Diary, 1851-1872_, vol. i. p. 125.)]

Even this brief survey of international relations shows that Napoleon

III. was a source of weakness to France. Having seized on power by

perfidious means, he throughout his whole reign strove to dazzle the

French by a series of adventures, which indeed pleased the Parisians for

the time, but at the cost of lasting distrust among the Powers. Generous

in his aims, he at first befriended the German and Italian national

movements, but forfeited all the fruits of those actions by his

pettifogging conduct about Savoy and Nice, the Rhineland and Belgium;

while his final efforts to please French clericals and Chauvinists[20]

by supporting the Pope at Rome, lost him the support of States that

might have retrieved the earlier blunders. In brief, by helping on the

nationalists of North Germany and Italy he offended French public

opinion; and his belated and spasmodic efforts to regain popularity at

home aroused against him the distrust of all the Powers. Their feelings

about him may be summarised in the _mot_ of a diplomatist, "Scratch the

Emperor and you will find the political refugee."

[Footnote 20: Chauvinist is a term corresponding to our "Jingo." It is

derived from a man named Chauvin, who lauded Napoleon I. and French

glory to the skies.]

How different were the careers of Napoleon III. and of Bismarck! By

resolutely keeping before him the national aim, and that only, the

Prussian statesman had reduced the tangle of German affairs to

simplicity and now made ready for the crowning work of all. In his

_Reminiscences_ he avows his belief, as early as 1866, "that a war with

France would succeed the war with Austria lay in the logic of history";

and again, "I did not doubt that a Franco-German War must take place

before the construction of a United Germany could take place[21]." War

would doubtless have broken out in 1867 over the Luxemburg question, had

he not seen the need of delay for strengthening the bonds of union with

South Germany and assuring the increase of the armies of the Fatherland

by the adoption of Prussian methods; or, as he phrased it, "each year's

postponement of the war would add 100,000 trained soldiers to our

army[22]." In 1870 little was to be gained by delay. In fact, the

unionist movement in Germany then showed ominous signs of slackening. In

the South the Parliaments opposed any further approach to union with the

North; and the voting of the military budget in the North for that year

was likely to lead to strong opposition in the interests of the

overtaxed people. A war might solve the unionist problem which was

insoluble in time of peace; and a _casus belli _was at hand.

[Footnote 21: Bismarck, _Reminiscences_, vol. ii. pp. 41, 57 (Eng.

edit.).]

[Footnote 22: _Ib._ p. 58.]

Early in July 1870, the news leaked out that Prince Leopold of

Hohenzollern was the officially accepted candidate for the throne of

Spain, left vacant since the revolution which drove Queen Isabella into

exile in 1868[23]. At once a thrill of rage shot through France; and the

Duc de Gramont, Foreign Minister of the new Ollivier Ministry, gave

expression to the prevailing feeling in his answer to a question on the

subject in the Chamber of Deputies (July 6):--

[Footnote 23: The ex-queen Isabella died in Paris in April 1904.]

We do not think that respect for the rights of a neighbouring

people [Spain] obliges us to allow an alien Power [Prussia],

by placing one of its princes on the throne of Charles V., to

succeed in upsetting to our disadvantage the present

equilibrium of forces in Europe, and imperil the interests

and honour of France. We have the firm hope that this

eventuality will not be realised. To hinder it, we count both

on the wisdom of the German people and on the friendship of

the Spanish people. If that should not be so, strong in your

support and in that of the nation, we shall know how to

fulfil our duty without hesitation and without weakness[24].

[Footnote 24: Sorel, _Hist. diplomatique de la Guerre Franco-Allemande_,

vol. i. p. 77.]

The opening phrases were inaccurate. The prince in question was Prince

Leopold of the Swabian and Roman Catholic branch of the Hohenzollern

family, who, as the Duc de Gramont knew, could by no possibility recall

the days when Charles V. reigned as Emperor in Germany and monarch in

Spain. This misstatement showed the intention of the French Ministry to

throw down the glove to Prussia--as is also clear from this statement in

Gramont's despatch of July 10 to Benedetti: "If the King will not advise

the Prince of Hohenzollern to withdraw, well, it is war forthwith, and

in a few days we are at the Rhine[25]."

[Footnote 25: Benedetti, _Ma Mission en Prusse_, p.34. This work

contains the French despatches on the whole affair.]

Nevertheless, those who were behind the scenes had just cause for anger

against Bismarck. The revelations of Benedetti, French ambassador at

Berlin, as well as the Memoirs of the King of Roumania (brother to

Prince Leopold of Hohenzollern) leave no doubt that the candidature of

the latter was privately and unofficially mooted in 1868, and again in

the spring of 1869 through a Prussian diplomatist, Werthern, and that it

met with no encouragement whatever from the Prussian monarch or the

prince himself. But early in 1870 it was renewed in an official manner

by the provisional Government of Spain, and (as seems certain) at the

instigation of Bismarck, who, in May-June, succeeded in overcoming the

reluctance of the prince and of King William. Bismarck even sought to

hurry the matter through the Spanish Cortes so as to commit Spain to the

plan; but this failed owing to the misinterpretation of a ciphered

telegram from Berlin at Madrid[26].

[Footnote 26: In a recent work, _Kaiser Wilhelm und die Begründung des

Reichs, 1866-1871_, Dr. Lorenz tries to absolve Bismarck from complicity

in these intrigues, but without success. See _Reminiscences of the King

of Roumania_ (edited by S. Whitman), pp. 70, 86-87, 92-95; also

Headlam's _Bismarck_, p. 327.]

Such was the state of the case when the affair became known to the

Ollivier Ministry. Though not aware, seemingly, of all these details,

Napoleon's advisers were justified in treating the matter, not as a

private affair between the Hohenzollerns and Spain (as Germans then

maintained it was) but as an attempt of the Prussian Government to place

on the Spanish throne a prince who could not but be friendly to the

North German Power. In fact, the French saw in it a challenge to war;

and putting together all the facts as now known, we must pronounce that

they were almost certainly right. Bismarck undoubtedly wanted war; and

it is impossible to think that he did not intend to use this candidature

as a means of exasperating the French. The man who afterwards declared

that, at the beginning of the Danish disputes in 1863, he made up his

mind to have Schleswig-Holstein for Prussia[27], certainly saw in the

Hohenzollern candidature a step towards a Prusso-Spanish alliance or a

war with France that might cement German unity.

[Footnote 27: Busch, _Our Chancellor_, vol. i. p. 367.]

In any case, that was the outcome of events. The French papers at once

declaimed against the candidature in a way that aroused no less passion

on the other side of the Rhine. For a brief space, however, matters

seemed to be smoothed over by the calm good sense of the Prussian

monarch and his nephew. The King was then at Ems, taking the waters,

when Benedetti, the French ambassador, waited on him and pressed him

most urgently to request Prince Leopold to withdraw from the candidature

to the Spanish Crown. This the King declined to do in the way that was

pointed out to him, rightly considering that such a course would play

into the hands of the French by lowering his own dignity and the

prestige of Prussia. Moreover, he, rather illogically, held the whole

matter to be primarily one that affected the Hohenzollern family and

Spain. The young prince, however, on hearing of the drift of events,

solved the problem by declaring his intention not to accept the Crown of

Spain (July 12). The action was spontaneous, emanating from Prince

Leopold and his father Prince Antony, not from the Prussian monarch,

though, on hearing of their decision, he informed Benedetti that he

entirely approved it.

If the French Government had really wished for peace, it would have let

the matter end there. But it did not do so. The extreme

Bonapartists--_plus royalistes que le roi_--all along wished to gain

prestige for their sovereign by inflicting an open humiliation on King

William and through him on Prussia. They were angry that he had evaded

the snare, and now brought pressure to bear on the Ministry, especially

the Duc de Gramont, so that at 7 P.M. of that same day (July 12) he sent

a telegram to Benedetti at Ems directing him to see King William and

press him to declare that he "would not again authorise this

candidature." The Minister added: "The effervescence of spirits [at

Paris] is such that we do not know whether we shall succeed in mastering

it." This was true. Paris was almost beside herself. As M. Sorel says:

"The warm July evening drove into the streets a populace greedy of shows

and excitements, whose imagination was spoiled by the custom of

political quackery, for whom war was but a drama and history a

romance[28]." Such was the impulse which led to Gramont's new demand,

and it was made in spite of the remonstrances of the British ambassador,

Lord Lyons.

[Footnote 28: Sorel, _Hist. diplomatique de la Guerre Franco-Allemande_,

vol. i. chap. iv.; also for the tone of the French Press, Giraudeau, _La

Vérité sur la Campagne de 1870_, pp. 46-60.

Ollivier tried to persuade Sir M.E. Grant Duff (_Notes from a Diary,

1873-1881_, vol. i. p. 45) that the French demand to King William was

quite friendly and natural.]

Viewing that demand in the clearer light of the present time, we must

say that it was not unreasonable in itself; but it was presented in so

insistent a way that King William declined to entertain it. Again

Gramont pressed Benedetti to urge the matter; but the utmost that the

King would do was to state: "He gives his approbation entirely and

without reserve to the withdrawal of the Prince of Hohenzollern: he

cannot do more." He refused to see the ambassador further on this

subject; but on setting out to return to Berlin--a step necessitated by

the growing excitement throughout Germany--he took leave of Benedetti

with perfect cordiality (July 14). The ambassador thereupon returned

to Paris.

Meanwhile, however, Bismarck had given the last flick to the restive

courses of the Press on both sides of the Rhine. In his _Reminiscences_

he has described his depression of spirits on hearing the news of the

withdrawal of Prince Leopold's candidature and of his nearly formed

resolve to resign as a protest against so tame a retreat before French

demands. But while Moltke, Roon, and he were dining together, a telegram

reached him from the King at Ems, dated July 13, 3.50 P.M., which gave

him leave to inform the ambassadors and the Press of the present state

of affairs. Bismarck saw his chance. The telegram could be cut down so

as to give a more resolute look to the whole affair. And, after gaining

Moltke's assurance that everything was ready for war, he proceeded to

condense it. The facts here can only be understood by a comparison of

the two versions. We therefore give the original as sent to Bismarck by

Abeken, Secretary to the Foreign Office, who was then at Ems:--

His Majesty writes to me: "Count Benedetti spoke to me on the

promenade, in order to demand from me, finally in a very

importunate manner, that I should authorise him to telegraph

at once that I bound myself for all future time never again

to give my consent if the Hohenzollerns should renew their

candidature. I refused at last somewhat sternly, as it is

neither right nor possible to undertake engagements of this

kind _à tout jamais_. Naturally I told him that I had as yet

received no news, and as he was earlier informed about Paris

and Madrid than myself, he could see clearly that my

Government once more had no hand in the matter." His Majesty

has since received a letter from the Prince. His Majesty

having told Count Benedetti that he was awaiting news from

the Prince, has decided, with reference to the above demand,

upon the representation of Count Eulenburg and myself, not to

receive Count Benedetti again, but only to let him be

informed through an aide-de-camp: "That his Majesty had now

received from the Prince confirmation of the news which

Benedetti had already received from Paris, and had nothing

further to say to the ambassador." His Majesty leaves it to

your Excellency whether Benedetti's fresh demand and its

rejection should not be at once communicated both to our

ambassadors and to the Press.

Bismarck cut this down to the following:--

After the news of the renunciation of the hereditary Prince

of Hohenzollern had been officially communicated to the

Imperial Government of France by the Royal Government of

Spain, the French ambassador at Ems further demanded of his

Majesty, the King, that he would authorise him to telegraph

to Paris that his Majesty, the King, bound himself for all

future time never again to give his consent if the

Hohenzollerns should renew their candidature. His Majesty,

the King, thereupon decided not to receive the French

ambassador again, and sent to tell him through the

aide-de-camp on duty that his Majesty had nothing further to

communicate to the ambassador.

Efforts have been made to represent Bismarck's "editing" of the Ems

telegram as the decisive step leading to war; and in his closing years,

when seized with the morbid desire of a partly discredited statesman to

exaggerate his influence on events, he himself sought to perpetuate this

version. He claims that the telegram, as it came from Ems, described the

incident there "as a fragment of a negotiation still pending, and to be

continued at Berlin." This claim is quite untenable. A careful perusal

of the original despatch from Ems shows that the negotiation, far from

being "still pending," was clearly described as having been closed on

that matter. That Benedetti so regarded it is proved by his returning at

once to Paris. If it could have been "continued at Berlin," he most

certainly would have proceeded thither. Finally, the words in the

original as to the King refusing Benedetti "somewhat sternly" were

omitted, and very properly omitted, by Bismarck in his abbreviated

version. Had he included those words, he might have claimed to be the

final cause of the War of 1870. As it is, his claim must be set aside as

the offspring of senile vanity. His version of the original Ems despatch

did not contain a single offensive word, neither did it alter any

statement. Abeken also admitted that his original telegram was far too

long, and that Bismarck was quite justified in abbreviating it as

he did[29].

[Footnote 29: _Heinrich Abeken_, by Hedwig Abeken, p. 375. Bismarck's

successor in the chancellory, Count Caprivi, set matters in their true

light in a speech in the Reichstag shortly after the publication of

Bismarck's _Reminiscences_.

I dissent from the views expressed by the well-informed reviewer of

Ollivier's _L'Empire libéral_ (vol. viii.) in the _Times_ of May 27,

1904, who pins his faith to an interview of Bismarck with Lord Loftus on

July 13, 1870. Bismarck, of course wanted war; but so did Gramont, and I

hold that _the latter_ brought it about.]

If we pay attention, not to the present more complete knowledge of the

whole affair, but to the imperfect information then open to the German

public, war was the natural result of the second and very urgent demand

that came from Paris. The Duc de Gramont in dispatching it must have

known that he was playing a desperate game. Either Prussia would give

way and France would score a diplomatic triumph over a hated rival; or

Prussia would fight. The friends of peace in France thought matters

hopeless when that demand was sent in so insistent a manner. As soon as

Gladstone heard of the second demand of the Ollivier Ministry, he wrote

to Lord Granville, then Foreign Minister: "It is our duty to represent

the immense responsibility which will rest upon France, if she does not

at once accept as satisfactory and conclusive the withdrawal of the

candidature of Prince Leopold[30]."

[Footnote 30: J. Morley, _Life of Gladstone_, vol. ii. p. 328.]

On the other hand, we must note that the conduct of the German Press at

this crisis was certainly provocative of war. The morning on which

Bismarck's telegram appeared in the official _North German Gazette_, saw

a host of violent articles against France, and gleeful accounts of

imaginary insults inflicted by the King on Benedetti. All this was to be

expected after the taunts of cowardice freely levelled by the Parisian

papers against Prussia for the last two days; but whether Bismarck

directly inspired the many sensational versions of the Ems affair that

appeared in North German papers on July 14 is not yet proven.

However that may be, the French Government looked on the refusal of its

last demand, the publication of Bismarck's telegram, and the insults of

the German Press as a _casus belli_. The details of the sitting of the

Emperor's Council at 10 P.M. on July 14, at which it was decided to call

out the French reserves, are not yet known. Ollivier was not present.

There had been a few hours of wavering on this question; but the tone of

the Parisian evening papers--it was the French national day--the loud

cries of the rabble for war, and their smashing the windows of the

Prussian embassy, seem to have convinced the Emperor and his advisers

that to draw back now would involve the fall of the dynasty. Report has

uniformly pointed to the Empress as pressing these ideas on her

consort, and the account which the Duc de Gramont later on gave to Lord

Malmesbury of her words at that momentous Council-meeting support

popular rumour. It is as follows:--

Before the final resolve to declare war the Emperor, Empress,

and Ministers went to St. Cloud. After some discussion

Gramont told me that the Empress, a high-spirited and

impressionable woman, made a strong and most excited address,

declaring that "war was inevitable if the honour of France

was to be sustained." She was immediately followed by Marshal

Leboeuf, who, in the most violent tone, threw down his

portfolio and swore that if war was not declared he would

give it up and renounce his military rank. The Emperor gave

way, and Gramont went straight to the Chamber to announce the

fatal news[31].

[Footnote 31: This version has, I believe, not been refuted. Still, I

must look on it with suspicion. No Minister, who had done so much to

stir up the war-feeling, ought to have made any such confession--least

of all against a lady, who could not answer it. M. Seignobos in his

_Political History of Contemporary Europe_, vol. i. chap. vi. p. 184

(Eng edit.) says of Gramont: "He it was who embroiled France in the war

with Prussia." In the course of the parliamentary inquiry of 1872

Gramont convicted himself and his Cabinet of folly in 1870 by using

these words: "Je crois pouvoir déclarer que si on avait eu un doute, un

seule doute, sur notre aptitude à la guerre, on eût immédiatement arrêté

la négociation" (_Enquête parlementaire_, I. vol. i. p. 108).]

On the morrow (July 15) the Chamber of Deputies appointed a Commission,

which hastily examined the diplomatic documents and reported in a sense

favourable to the Ollivier Ministry. The subsequent debate made strongly

for a rupture; and it is important to note that Ollivier and Gramont

based the demand for warlike preparations on the fact that King William

had refused to see the French ambassador, and held that that alone was a

sufficient insult. In vain did Thiers protest against the war as

inopportune, and demand to see all the necessary documents. The Chamber

passed the war supplies by 246 votes to 10; and Thiers had his windows

broken. Late on that night Gramont set aside a last attempt of Lord

Granville to offer the mediation of England in the cause of peace, on

the ground that this would be to the harm of France--"unless means were

found to stop the rapid mobilisation of the Prussian armies which were

approaching our frontier[32]." In this connection it is needful to state

that the order for mobilising the North German troops was not given by

the King of Prussia until late on July 15, when the war votes of the

French Chambers were known at Berlin.

[Footnote 32: Quoted by Sorel, _op. cit_. vol. i. p. 196.]

Benedetti, in his review of the whole question, passes the following

very noteworthy and sensible verdict: "It was public opinion which

forced the [French] Government to draw the sword, and by an irresistible

onset dictated its resolutions[33]." This is certainly true for the

public opinion of Paris, though not of France as a whole. The rural

districts which form the real strength of France nearly always cling to

peace. It is significant that the Prefects of French Departments

reported that only 16 declared in favour of war, while 37 were in doubt

on the matter, and 34 accepted war with regret. This is what might be

expected from a people which in the Provinces is marked by prudence

and thrift.

[Footnote 33: Benedetti, _Ma Mission en Prusse,_ p. 411.]

In truth, the people of modern Europe have settled down to a life of

peaceful industry, in which war is the most hateful of evils. On the

other hand, the massing of mankind in great cities, where thought is

superficial and feelings can quickly be stirred by a sensation-mongering

Press, has undoubtedly helped to feed political passions and national

hatred. A rural population is not deeply stirred by stories of slights

to ambassadors. The peasant of Brittany had no active dislike for the

peasant of Brandenburg. Each only asked to be left to till his fields in

peace and safety. But the crowds on the Parisian boulevards and in

_Unter den Linden_ took (and seemingly always will take) a very

different view of life. To them the news of the humiliation of the rival

beyond the Rhine was the greatest and therefore the most welcome of

sensations; and, unfortunately, the papers which pandered to their

habits set the tone of thought for no small part of France and Germany

and exerted on national policy an influence out of all proportion to its

real weight.

The story of the Franco-German dispute is one of national jealousy

carefully fanned for four years by newspaper editors and popular

speakers until a spark sufficed to set Western Europe in a blaze. The

spark was the Hohenzollern candidature, which would have fallen harmless

had not the tinder been prepared since Königgratz by journalists at

Paris and Berlin. The resulting conflagration may justly be described as

due partly to national friction and partly to the supposed interests of

the Napoleonic dynasty, but also to the heat engendered by a

sensational Press.

It is well that one of the chief dangers to the peace of the modern

world should be clearly recognised. The centralisation of governments

and of population may have its advantages; but over against them we must

set grave drawbacks; among those of a political kind the worst are the

growth of nervousness and excitability, and the craving for

sensation--qualities which undoubtedly tend to embitter national

jealousies at all times, and in the last case to drive weak dynasties or

Cabinets on to war. Certainly Bismarck's clever shifts to bring about a

rupture in 1870 would have failed had not the atmosphere both at Paris

and Berlin been charged with electricity[34].

[Footnote 34: Prince Leopold of Hohenzollern died at Berlin on June 8,

1905. He was born in 1835, and in 1861 married the Infanta of Portugal.]

CHAPTER II

FROM WÖRTH TO GRAVELOTTE

"The Chief of the General Staff had his eye fixed from the

first upon the capture of the enemy's capital, the possession

of which is of more importance in France than in other

countries. . . . It is a delusion to believe that a plan of war

may be laid for a prolonged period and carried out in every

point."--VON MOLTKE, _The Franco-German War_.

In olden times, before the invention of long-range arms of precision,

warfare was decided mainly by individual bravery and strength. In the

modern world victory has inclined more and more to that side which

carefully prepares beforehand to throw a force, superior alike in

armament and numbers, against the vitals of its enemy. Assuming that the

combatants are fairly equal in physical qualities--and the spread of

liberty has undoubtedly lessened the great differences that once were

observable in this respect among European peoples--war becomes largely

an affair of preliminary organisation. That is to say, it is now a

matter of brain rather than muscle. Writers of the school of Carlyle may

protest that all modern warfare is tame when compared with the

splendidly rampant animalism of the Homeric fights. In the interests of

Humanity it is to be hoped that the change will go on until war becomes

wholly scientific and utterly unattractive. Meanwhile, the

soldier-caste, the politician, and the tax-payer have to face the fact

that the fortunes of war are very largely decided by humdrum costly

preparations in time of peace.

The last chapter set forth the causes that led to war in 1870. That

event found Germany fully prepared. The lessons of the campaign of 1866

had not been lost upon the Prussian General Staff. The artillery was

improved alike in _matériel_ and in drill-tactics, Napoleon I.'s plan of

bringing massed batteries to bear on decisive points being developed

with Prussian thoroughness. The cavalry learnt to scout effectively and

act as "the eyes and ears of an army," as well as to charge in brigades

on a wavering foe. Universal military service had been compulsory in

Prussia since 1813; but the organisation of territorial army corps now

received fuller development, so that each part of Prussia, including,

too, most of the North German Confederation, had its own small army

complete in all arms, and reinforced from the Reserve, and, at need,

from the Landwehr[35]. By virtue of the military conventions of 1866,

the other German States adopted a similar system, save that while

Prussians served for three years (with few exceptions in the case of

successful examinees), the South Germans served with the colours for a

shorter period. Those conventions also secured uniformity, or harmony,

in the railway arrangements for the transport of troops.

[Footnote 35: By the Prussian law of November 9, 1867, soldiers had to

serve three years with the colours, four in the reserve, and five in the

Landwehr. Three new army corps (9th, 10th, and 11th) were formed in the

newly annexed or confederated lands, Hanover, Hesse-Cassel, Saxony, etc.

(Maurice, _The Franco-German War_, 1900).]

The General Staff of the North German Army had used these advantages to

the utmost, by preparing a most complete plan of mobilisation--so

complete, in fact, that the myriad orders had only to be drawn from

their pigeon-holes and dated in the last hours of July 15. Forthwith the

whole of the vast machinery started in swift but smooth working.

Reservists speedily appeared at their regimental depôts, there found

their equipment, and speedily brought their regiments up to the war

footing; trains were ready, timed according to an elaborate plan, to

carry them Rhinewards; provisions and stores were sent forward, _ohne

Hast, ohne Rast_, as the Germans say; and so perfect were the plans on

rail, river, and road, that none of those blocks occurred which

frequently upset the plans of the French. Thus, by dint of plodding

preparation, a group of federal States gained a decisive advantage over

a centralised Empire which left too many things to be arranged in the

last few hours.

Herein lies the true significance of the War of 1870. All Governments

that were not content to jog along in the old military ruts saw the need

of careful organisation, including the eventual control of all needful

means of transport; and all that were wise hastened to adapt their

system to the new order of things, which aimed at assuring the swift

orderly movement of great masses of men by all the resources of

mechanical science. Most of the civilised States soon responded to the

new needs of the age; but a few (among them Great Britain) were content

to make one or two superficial changes and slightly increase the number

of troops, while leaving the all-important matter of organisation almost

untouched; and that, too, despite the vivid contrast which every one

could see between the machine-like regularity of the German mobilisation

and the chaos that reigned on the French side.

Outwardly, the French army appeared to be beyond the reach of criticism.

The troops had in large measure seen active service in the various wars

whereby Napoleon III. fulfilled his promise of 1852--"The Empire is

peace"; and their successes in the Crimea, Lombardy, Syria, and China,

everywhere in fact but Mexico, filled them with warlike pride. Armed

with the _chassepôt_, a newer and better rifle than the needle-gun,

while their artillery (admittedly rather weak) was strengthened by the

_mitrailleuse_, they claimed to be the best in the world, and burned to

measure swords with the upstart forces of Prussia.

[Illustration: SKETCH MAP OF THE DISTRICT BETWEEN METZ AND THE RHINE.]

But there was a sombre reverse to this bright side. All thinking

Frenchmen, including the Emperor, were aware of grave defects--the lack

of training of the officers[36], and the want of adaptability in the

General Staff, which had little of that practical knowledge that the

German Staff secured by periods of service with the troops. Add to this

the leaven of republicanism working strongly in the army as in the

State, and producing distrust between officers and men; above all, the

lack of men and materials; and the outlook was not reassuring to those

who knew the whole truth. Inclusive of the levies of the year 1869,

which were not quite ready for active service, France would have by

August 1, 1870, as many as 567,000 men in her regular army; but of these

colonial, garrison, and other duties claimed as many as 230,000--a

figure which seems designed to include the troops that existed only on

paper. Not only the _personnel_ but the _matériel_ came far below what

was expected. General Leboeuf, the War Minister, ventured to declare

that all was ready even to the last button on the gaiters; but his boast

at once rang false when at scores of military depôts neither gaiters,

boots, nor uniforms were ready for the reservists who needed them.

[Footnote 36: M. de la Gorce in his _Histoire du second Empire_, vol.

vi., tells how the French officers scouted study of the art of war,

while most of them looked on favouritism as the only means of promotion.

The warnings of Colonel Stoffel, French Military Attaché at Berlin, were

passed over, as those of "a Prussomane, whom Bismarck had fascinated."]

Even where the organisation worked at its best, that best was slow and

confused. There were no territorial army corps in time of peace; and the

lack of this organisation led to a grievous waste of time and energy.

Regiments were frequently far away from the depôts which contained the

reservists' equipment; and when these had found their equipment, they

often wandered widely before finding their regiments on the way to the

frontier. One general officer hunted about on the frontier for a command

which did not exist. As a result of this lack of organisation, and of

that control over the railways which the Germans had methodically

enforced, France lost the many advantages which her compact territory

and excellent railway system ought to have ensured over her more

straggling and poorer rival.

The loss of time was as fatal as it was singular under the rule of a

Napoleon whose uncle had so often shattered his foes by swift movements

of troops. In 1870 Napoleonic France had nothing but speed and dash on

which to count. Numbers were against her. In 1869 Marshal Leboeuf had

done away with the Garde Mobile, a sort of militia which had involved

only fifteen days' drill in the year; and the Garde Nationale of the

towns was less fit for campaigning than the re-formed Mobiles proved to

be later on in the war. Thus France had no reserves: everything rested

on the 330,000 men struggling towards the frontiers. It is doubtful

whether there were more than 220,000 men in the first line by August 6,

with some 50,000 more in reserve at Metz, etc.

Against them Germany could at once put into the field 460,000 infantry,

56,000 cavalry, with 1584 cannon; and she could raise these forces to

some 1,180,000 men by calling out all the reserves and Landwehr. These

last were men who had served their time and had not, as a rule, lost

their soldierly qualities in civil life. Nearly 400,000 highly trained

troops were ready to invade France early in August.

In view of these facts it seems incredible that Ollivier, the French

Prime Minister, could have publicly stated that he entered on war with a

light heart. Doubtless, Ministers counted on help from Austria or Italy,

perhaps from both; but, as it proved, they judged too hastily. As was

stated in Chapter I. of this work, Austria was not likely to move as

long as Russia favoured the cause of Prussia; for any threatening

pressure of the Muscovites on the open flank of the Hapsburg States,

Galicia, has sufficed to keep them from embarking on a campaign in the

West. In this case, the statesmen of Vienna are said to have known by

July 20 that Russia would quietly help Prussia; she informed the

Hapsburg Government that any increase in its armaments would be met by a

corresponding increase in those of Russia. The meaning of such a hint

was clear; and Austria decided not to seek revenge for Königgrätz unless

the French triumph proved to be overwhelming. As for Italy, her alliance

with France alone was very improbable for the reasons previously stated.

Another will o' the wisp which flitted before the ardent Bonapartists

who pushed on the Emperor to war, was that the South German States would

forsake the North and range their troops under the French eagles, as

they had done in the years 1805-12. The first plan of campaign drawn up

at Paris aimed at driving a solid wedge of French troops between the two

Confederations and inducing or compelling the South to join France; it

was hoped that Saxony would follow. As a matter of fact, very many of

the South Germans and Saxons disliked Prussian supremacy; Catholic

Bavaria looked askance at the growing power of Protestant Prussia.

Würtemberg was Protestant, but far too democratic to wish for the

control of the cast-iron bureaucrats of Berlin. The same was even more

true of Saxony, where hostility to Prussia was a deep-rooted tradition;

some of the Saxon troops on leaving their towns even shouted _Napoleon

soll leben_[37]. It is therefore quite possible that, had France struck

quickly at the valleys of the Neckar and Main, she might have reduced

the South German States to neutrality. Alliance perhaps was out of the

question save under overwhelming compulsion; for France had alienated

the Bavarian and Hessian Governments by her claims in 1866, and the

South German people by her recent offensive treatment of the

Hohenzollern candidature. It is, however, safe to assert that if

Napoleon I. had ordered French affairs he would have swept the South

Germans into his net a month after the outbreak of war, as he had done

in 1805. But Nature had not bestowed warlike gifts on the nephew, who

took command of the French army at Metz at the close of July 1870. His

feeble health, alternating with periods of severe pain, took from him

all that buoyancy which lends life to an army and vigour to the

headquarters; and his Chief of Staff, Leboeuf, did not make good the

lack of these qualities in the nominal chief.

[Footnote 37: _I.e._ "Long live Napoleon." The author had this from an

Englishman who was then living in Saxony.]

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