PART III.

SECT. I.

ABSTRACT of the EXPORTS from and IMPORTS to GREAT-BRITAIN from 1697 to

1773, with REMARKS.

IMPORTS. EXPORTS. EXCESS of EXPORTS.

£. £. £.

ANNUAL MEDIUM

for FOUR YEARS

ended at 1700 4.956,975 6.034,724 1.077,749 or 10/56 of

the exports.

For FIVE YEARS

ended at 1710 5.321,717 6.713,246 1.391,529 or 10/48 of

the exports.

at 1715 5.304,343 7.401,946 2.097,603 or 10/35 of

the exports.

at 1725 6.628,279 9.663,527 3.035,248 or 10/32 of

the exports.

at 1735 7.470,454 11.855,226 4.384,772 or 10/27 of

the exports.

at 1745 7.363,079 11.922,982 4.559,903 or 10/26 of

the exports.

at 1750 7.429,739 12.877,129 5.447,390 or 10/24 of

the exports.

at 1755 8.264,834 13.406,530 5.141,696 or 10/26 of

the exports.

at 1760 8.877,144 14.253,377 5.376,233 or 10/26 of

the exports.

For FOUR YEARS

ended at 1764 10.110,870 15.793,158 5.682,228 or 10/28 of

the exports.

For NINE YEARS

ended at 1773 11.996,769 14.814,074 2.817,305 or 10/53 of

the exports.

This ABSTRACT has been formed from the accounts delivered annually to the

HOUSE OF COMMONS, and lately published by Sir CHARLES WHITWORTH.

In order to draw just inferences from it, the following particulars

should be remembered.—First. The EXPORTS in the _Custom-House_ entries

are, for reasons well-known, too high. This excess has, by some of

the best judges, been reckoned at a million _per ann._—Secondly. The

IMPORTS are too low, no smuggled commodities being included in them.

This deficiency has been estimated at another million _per ann._ But, in

order to be sure of keeping within bounds, I will take both at a _million

and a half per ann._—Thirdly. The interest of the national debt paid to

foreigners; the money spent in foreign countries by _English_ travellers;

the bullion consumed in manufactures; and the wear of the current coin,

cannot, perhaps, amount to much less than two millions _per ann._ I will,

however, take them at no more than the annual sum which has been commonly

supposed to be due to foreigners from our funds; or, a _million and a

half_.—In order, therefore, to find the GRAND BALANCE OF PAYMENT between

_Britain_ and the rest of the world _since_ the last war, all these

sums (making up THREE MILLIONS) must be deducted from the excess of the

exports.—But, in order to find the same balance _before_ the end of the

last war, less must be deducted, in proportion as the national debt and

the foreign trade were _then_ less than they are _now_.

If the foregoing Abstract is examined with a due regard to this rule, it

will be found that, from[114] 1710 to 1764, the BALANCE OF PAYMENT must

have been in favour of _Britain_; and that consequently, there must have

been, during that period, an influx of money into the kingdom.—It was

this, together with the increase of our paper, that produced the rapid

fall of interest which began a few years before the _Accession_. And it

was this also that enabled us to bear the great expence of the two last

wars, and the loss of those enormous sums which were sent out of the

kingdom to pay foreign subsidies, and to support armies on the continent.

Before 1710 it appears to be doubtful, whether the excess of the

exports was such as brought any money into the kingdom; but it seems

certain, that it could not have been such as in any degree compensated

that drain of the public cash, which was occasioned by the continental

wars of King _William_ and Queen _Ann_. In consequence of this, the

quantity of _specie_ in the kingdom must have been greatly diminished;

and Dr. _Davenant_ computes that in 1711 it was nine millions less than

at the _Revolution_. Hence proceeded the high rate of interest; the

unproductiveness of the taxes; and the difficulties which government

met with in raising money during those two wars: And there is reason to

believe, these difficulties would have been insurmountable, had not a

substitute for _specie_ been provided by the establishment of the _Bank_.

In the interval of peace between the two last wars, or from 1748 to

1755, the balance in favour of _Britain_ was at the highest; and this

contributed to raise the stocks[115] to such a price, as enabled

government to reduce the interest of the public debts from 4 to 3 _per

cent._

But the observation I here intended principally to make is, that the

_balance_, since the year 1764, appears, from the preceding abstract, to

have been _against_ BRITAIN; and that this accounts for the high price of

bullion, the scarcity of specie, and the distress of the _Bank_ from that

year to 1773.

It deserves farther to be observed that, while the exports were

decreasing from 1764 to 1773, the IMPORTS appear to have increased

faster than ever: And the fact is, that since 1760, a greater addition

has been made to them, than had been made during the whole time from the

_Accession_ to that year.—This is a striking proof that luxury has been

for some years increasing with rapidity among us; and it is worth adding,

that the productiveness of the taxes has kept pace, as might have been

expected, with this increase of luxury, both the CUSTOMS and EXCISES

having brought in lately, near 250,000l. _per ann._ each, more than they

did twelve years ago.—It should be attended to, that this improvement

of the revenue must be the effect solely of an increased consumption

occasioned by luxury; the taxes, ever since the end of the last war,

having been nearly the same.

The _exports_ from 1710 to 1764 went on increasing constantly. I have

observed, that from 1764 to 1773 they have decreased. One reason of this

has been, the decline of the PORTUGAL trade; the exports to that country

having fallen, since 1760, from 1.200,000l. _per ann._ to 600,000l. _per

ann._—Another reason has been the check which a wretched policy has been

giving, ever since 1763, to our trade with the Colonies. This trade had

for many years contributed more than any other trade towards raising our

_exports_; and even in the period between 1763 and 1774, notwithstanding

the checks it received, it went on increasing, and produced a balance

in our favour of a million and a half _per ann._ But since 1774 it has

been entirely lost. _Before_ this loss, the balance of payment between

us and the rest of the world was, according to the account I have given,

_against_ us. Undoubtedly then, it was a loss we could by no means have

sustained, had it not been for the seasonable interposition of some very

particular causes. Time will shew whether these causes are of a permanent

nature, or temporary and accidental.

SECT. II.

_HISTORICAL DEDUCTION and ANALYSIS of the PUBLIC DEBTS._

_STATE and AMOUNT of the NATIONAL DEBT, at Midsummer, 1775, with the

Charges of Management._

CAPITALS and ANNUITIES transferable at the BANK OF ENGLAND.

Principal. Interest.

£. £.

CAPITAL of their original Fund—See Note (1) p. 125 3.200,000 96,000

EXCHEQUER bills, by 3d of _Geo._ I. c. 8th, bearing

originally 5 _per cent._ interest, but reduced

to 4 _per cent._ in 1727, and to 3 _per cent._ by

23d _George_ II. 1749. See Note (2) p. 126 500,000 15,000

Purchased of the SOUTH SEA COMPANY in 1722,—reduced

from 6 to 5 _per cent._ interest in 1717; from 5

to 4. _per cent._ in 1727; and to 3 _per cent._

by 23d of _George_ II. 1749.—See Note (3) 4.000,000 120,000

Lent to government at 4 _per cent._ in 1728,

charged on the surplus of the fund for the

lottery in 1714, and reduced to 3 _per cent._

by 23d _George_ II. 1749 1.250,000 37,500

Lent at 4 _per cent._ in 1727; charged on the

duties on coals; and reduced to 3 _per cent._

by 23d of _George_ II. 1749 1.750,000 52,500

Lent at 4 _per cent._ in 1746; charged on licences

for retailing spirituous liquors; and reduced to

3 _per cent._ by 23d _Geo._ II. 1749 986,800 29,604

---------------------

Amount of Bank capital 11.686,800 350,604

See Note (4) p. 126.

Charge of management 5,898_l._ _per ann._

BANK ANNUITIES.

Consolidated 4 _per cent._ annuities due

_April_ 5, and _October_ 10—See Note (5) 18.986,300 759,452

These annuities fall to 3 _per cent._ in

_January_, 1781. Charge of management

10,680_l._ _per ann._

Annuities at 3½ _per cent._ 1758, due _Jan._ 5, and

_July_ 5.—These annuities fall to 3 _per cent._

in 1782 4.500,000 157,500

See an account of them in p. 101.

Charge of management 2,805_l._ _per ann._

including management on half a million raised

at the same time by a lottery, and made a part

of the consolidated 3 _per cents_.

CONSOLIDATED 3 _per cent._ annuities due _Jan._ 5,

and _July_ 5. See Note(6) 38.251,696 1.147,551

Management 21,087_l._ _per ann._

REDUCED 3 _per cent._ annuities, due _April_ 5,

and _Oct._ 10. See Note (7) 18.353,774 550,613

Charge of management 10,324_l._ _per ann._

Three _per cent._ 1726, due _Jan._ 5, and _July_ 5,

charged on the deduction of 6_d._ _per_ pound on

all pensions from the civil list; and on all

payments from the crown, except to the navy and

army—See Note (8) p. 128 1.000,000 30,000

Management 360_l._ _per ann._

Long annuity due _Jan._ 5, and _July_ 5 6.702,750 248,250

The remaining term from _Jan._ 1776, is 84

years—See Note (9) p. 128.

Management 3,491_l._ _per ann._

CAPITALS and ANNUITIES transferable at the SOUTH SEA HOUSE.

SOUTH SEA STOCK 3.662,784 109,884

The dividend on this stock, at 3½ _per cent._

is 128,197_l._ 9_s._—Due _Jan._ 5, and _July_ 5.

SOUTH SEA 3 _per cent._ OLD Annuities due

_April_ 5, and _Oct._ 10 11.907,470 357,224

Three _per cent._ NEW Annuities due _Jan._ 5,

and _July_ 5 8.494,830 254,845

Three _per cent._ 1751, due _Jan._ 5, and

_July_ 5 1.919,600 57,588

Charge of management on _South Sea_ Stock and

Annuities 15,100_l._ _per ann._—See Note (10).

CAPITAL and ANNUITIES transferable at the INDIA HOUSE.

EAST INDIA STOCK 3.200,000 96,000

Interest 3 _per cent._

_Dividend_ 7 _per cent._ 224,000_l._ due _Jan._

5, and _July_ 5.—See Note (11).

Charge of management 1.285_l._ 14_s._ 4_d._

EAST INDIA Annuity due _April_ 5, and _Oct._ 10,

charged on the surplus of a tax on spirituous

liquors. See Note (12) 1.000,000 30,000

Management 401_l._ 15_s._ 8_d._ _per ann._

ANNUITIES payable at the EXCHEQUER.

ANNUITIES for 96 and 99 years, from various

dates, in the time of King _William_

and Queen _Anne_—See Note (13) 1.836,276 131,203

Salaries to Exchequer officers, and

management—5,250_l._ _per ann._

Annuities for lives, with benefit of survivorship,

granted by the 4th of _William_ and _Mary_,

1693.—These annuities are not yet extinct,

and they are valued at three years purchase 22,781 7,567

Annuities for lives, with benefit of survivorship,

by an Act of the 5th of _Geo._ III. 1765—See

Note (14) 18,000 540

Annuities for two or three lives, granted in

1694.—Also, Annuities on single lives 1745, 1746,

and 1757.—See Note (15)—Their original amount,

taken all together, was very nearly 124,000_l._

but they are now reduced by deaths to near

80,000_l._ and their value is here taken at

10 years purchase 800,000 80,000

UNFUNDED DEBT, consisting of Exchequer bills,

(1.250,000_l._) Navy debt, (1.850,000_l._)

and Civil list debt, supposed 500,000_l._—The

interest is reckoned at 2 _per cent._—See

Note (16) 3.600,000 72,000

Salaries to Exchequer bill officers 650_l._

_per ann._

---------------------

Total of the principal and interest of the

National Debt at _Midsummer_ 1775. £. 135.943,051 4.440,821

_NOTES containing an EXPLANATION and HISTORY of the different Articles in

the foregoing Account._

NOTE (1)—BANK OLD CAPITAL. See Page 119.—The BANK was established in

1694. Their original capital was 1.200,000_l._ bearing 8 _per cent._

interest, charged on 5/7ths. of 9_d._ _per_ barrel excise, with 4000_l._

_per ann._ for management.—In 1709, they lent to government 400,000_l._

without interest, which increased their old capital to 1.600,000_l._

bearing 6 _per cent._ interest. In 1742, they again lent to government

1.600,000l. without interest; and thereby increased this capital to its

present amount, or to 3.200,000_l._ bearing 3 _per cent._ with the same

annual sum for management.—It is of particular importance to observe with

respect to the sums of 400,000_l._ and of 1.600,000_l._ just mentioned,

that they were properly a compensation from the _Bank_ to the public for

continuing their exclusive privileges; and would have been advanced,

or at least the greatest part of them, though government had not bound

itself to return the purchase money, by making it a part of the principal

due to the _Bank_, provided the same interest had been continued for

some time on their former principal, and the same liberty granted to

increase their _stock_.—The like is true of 1.200,000_l._ advanced by the

_India_ Company without interest in 1708.—In these instances, therefore,

a needless addition was made to the public debt of 3.200,000_l._ which,

had it been avoided, the public would have had not only a principal so

much less to pay; but it would have saved in interest at least 96000_l._

_per ann._ for the old capital of the _Bank_ and the capital of the _East

India_ Company would have formed, in this case, between them, a debt of

only 3.200,000_l._ (instead of 6.400,000_l._) the interest of which might

long ago have been reduced at least one half; or from 8 _per cent._ the

original interest, to 4 _per cent._

* * * * *

NOTE (2)—_Half a million_, part of the BANK CAPITAL. See Page 119.—This

part of the Bank capital consisted originally of two millions in

_Exchequer_ bills, cancelled for government by an act of the 3d of _Geo._

I. But half a million was discharged in 1729; and a million in 1738.

* * * * *

NOTE (3)—FOUR MILLIONS purchased of the SOUTH-SEA COMPANY; part of the

BANK Capital. See Page 119.—In order to procure this money, the _Bank_

sold new stock at 18 _per cent._ premium. This produced a saving of

610,169_l._ the sale of 3.389,831_l._ _stock_ having produced four

millions in _money_. And, consequently, though by this transaction the

capital for which they received interest was increased four millions,

yet the _stock_ on which they made their dividends was increased only

3.389,831_l._

* * * * *

NOTE (4)—BANK STOCK and DIVIDEND.—The _stock_ on which the _Bank_ divides

is only 10,780,000_l._ This dividend varies as their profits vary; but

for several years it has been 5½ _per cent._ payable half-yearly at

_Lady-day_ and _Michaelmas_. Their whole annual dividend is, therefore,

592,900_l._ which subtracted from 350,604_l._ the interest paid by

government, makes their clear annual profit 242,296_l._—Besides interest,

they receive for management of their capital 4000_l._ _per ann._ on

account of their old capital, and 1,898_l._ _per ann._ on account of

four millions purchased of the South Sea Company; in all, 5,898_l._ _per

ann._—The _Bank_ receives farther the sums specified in the foregoing

account, towards bearing the expences of managing the annuities commonly

called _Bank Annuities_. All these expences, including the sums granted

for managing their capital, amount to 54,645_l._ _per ann._

* * * * *

NOTE (5)—CONSOLIDATED 4 _per cent._ BANK ANNUITIES. See Page 120.—The

capital of these Annuities consists of two loans, one in 1760, and

the other in 1762, consolidated into one stock, and charged on the

additional duty of 3_d._ per bushel on malt, the surplus of the duties

on spirituous liquors, and the additional duties on windows; all which

duties were ordered by 2d Geo. III. to be carried to the Sinking Fund,

and the interest with which they were charged to be paid out of that

fund.—I have made some remarks on these loans in page 96, and page 99.

They amounted to 20.240,000_l._ But 1.253,700_l._ of this capital was

changed in 1770, from an interest of 4 to 3 _per cent._ and the capital

reduced to the present sum.—A more full account of these annuities may be

found in Mr. _Ashmore_’s Analysis of the several Bank Annuities, p. 17.

* * * * *

NOTE (6)—CONSOLIDATED 3 _per cent._ BANK ANNUITIES. See page 121.—The

capital of these annuities is made a distinct stock from that of the

annuities called _Reduced_, because it never bore a higher interest than

3 _per cent._—It consisted originally of the following loans—37,821_l._

remaining in 1727, of 3 _per cent._ annuities, granted in lieu of

St. _Christopher_’s and _Nevis_ debentures—800,000_l._ borrowed in

1731—600,000_l._ borrowed in 1736—300,000_l_. in 1738—6.400,000_l_.

in 1742, 1743, 1744 and 1745, and charged on additional duties on

spirituous liquors, wines, vinegar, &c.—1.000,000_l._ borrowed in

1750—24.490,000_l._ borrowed in the course of the last war, and funded on

the additional duties on beer, houses, stamps, &c.—4.900,000_l._ borrowed

in 1766, 1767 and 1768—And 1.253,700_l._ of the 4 _per cent._ annuities,

subscribed into the 3 _per cent._ annuities in 1770.

All these loans were by 25 Geo. II. 1751, and several subsequent Acts

of Parliament, consolidated into one joint stock; and carried, with the

duties for paying the interest, to the _Sinking Fund_. And in 1770, they

formed a capital of 39.781,521_l._ which has been since reduced, by the

payments mentioned in the _Postscript_ at the end of this tract, to the

sum specified in the account to which this note refers.—See a more full

account in Mr. Ashmore’s Analysis, &c. from page 5 to page 11.

* * * * *

NOTE (7)—REDUCED 3 _per cent._ BANK ANNUITIES. See page 121.—The capital

of these annuities consisted, in 1749, of loans in 1746, 1747, and 1748,

and navy, ordnance and transport debts funded in 1749, amounting to

18.402,472_l._ and all bearing 4 _per cent._ interest.—By the 23d of

Geo. II. 1749, these loans were reduced to an interest of 3 _per cent._

and by the great consolidating Act in 1751, they were converted into one

stock, and carried into the Sinking Fund with the duties on carriages,

and the additional duties on glass, spirituous liquors, houses, windows,

stamps, merchandize imported, &c. which had been granted for paying the

interest.—In 1751, certain exchequer tallies and orders, amounting to

129,750_l._ were subscribed into this stock; and in 1765, navy bills to

the amount of 1,482,000_l._ were subscribed into it, which made its whole

original amount 20.014.222_l._—In 1751, there was paid off 830,898_l._

being stock which had not been subscribed agreeably to the Act in 1749

for reducing interest; and in 1772, 1774, and 1775, so much more of this

stock was paid off as reduced it to its present amount.—See Mr. Ashmore’s

Analysis, p. 12-16.

* * * * *

NOTE (8)—CIVIL LIST MILLION. See page 121.—The income settled upon King

George I. for his civil list, was 700,000_l._—In 1720, there had been

granted him besides, from the _Royal Exchange_ and _London_ Assurance

companies, 300,000_l._ And in 1726, this million was farther granted

towards paying off his debts.

* * * * *

NOTE (9)—BANK LONG ANNUITY. See page 122.—This annuity consists of

128,250_l._ _per ann._ for 99 years, given in 1761, as a _premium_ to the

subscribers of 11.400,000_l._ at 3 _per cent_; and of 120,000_l._ _per

ann._ for 98 years, given in 1762, as a premium to the lenders of twelve

millions at 4 _per cent._ See page 95 and 100. It is charged, together

with the loans to which it was annexed, on the _Sinking Fund_.—Its value

in the Alley is about 25 years purchase; but the remaining term is really

worth 27 years purchase, reckoning interest at 3½, (or the 3 _per cents._

being at 85¾.) But when interest is at 4 _per cent._ or the 3 _per

cents._ are at 75, it is worth only 24 years purchase.—When this annuity

is called a _premium_, it must not be imagined, that no compensation was

given for it. Government received the value of it; but, at the same time,

made itself a debtor for that value. And, what is very surprizing, this

has been uniformly practised with respect to all the premiums or douceurs

granted by government; and the consequence has been, that great and

needless increase of the public debt explained in the 3d section of the

2d Part.

* * * * *

NOTE (10).—SOUTH-SEA STOCK AND ANNUITIES. See page 122.—These four

capitals amounting to 25.984,684_l._ 13_s._ consist almost entirely

of the remainder of debts contracted in the reigns of _King William_

and Queen _Anne_. The following account will probably give sufficient

information concerning them.

In 1711, Lord Oxford being minister, the proprietors of certain navy,

army, ordnance and transport debts, to the amount of 9.177,968_l._

including arrears of interest, and half a million for the current

supplies, were incorporated into a company for trading to the

_South-seas_. They were allowed 6 _per cent._ interest for this debt,

with 8000_l._ _per ann._ for management; and the duties on wine, tobacco,

_East-India_ goods, candles, &c. were made perpetual, and granted as a

_Fund_ (ever since called the _South-sea Company’s Fund_) for paying the

interest. This kept up public credit at the time, and has been called

the _Earl of Oxford_’s master-piece.—By the 1st of Geo. I. 822,032_l._

consisting chiefly of interest payable on the Company’s capital, was

added to the capital, in consequence of which it was increased to TEN

MILLIONS, (ever since called their _original capital_) bearing 6 _per

cent._ interest.—In 1717, they agreed to take 5 _per cent_; and this was

the first great reduction of interest, which in conjunction with the same

reduction of the other redeemable debts almost all carrying 6 _per cent._

laid the foundation of the SINKING FUND established in this year. But

it is remarkable, that so fast did interest fall at this time, that the

price of _South-sea stock_, notwithstanding this reduction, rose from 101

to 111.—In 1719, the _South-sea_ capital was increased to 11.746,844_l._

bearing 5 _per cent._ interest (with an addition of 1,397_l._ 9_s._

to their former allowance for management) by advancing to government

544,142_l._ and by the proprietors of 94,329_l._ 12_s._ lottery annuities

for 32 years granted in 1710, accepting in lieu of them 1.202,702_l._

_South Sea stock_.—In 1720, the agreement was made by government with

the South Sea Company, which produced the great SOUTH SEA BUBBLE.—There

existed at that time _long_ annuities to the amount of 666,821_l._

8_s._ and _short_ annuities, for 32 years from 1710, to the amount of

127,260_l._ 6_s._ The proprietors of these annuities were allowed to

subscribe them into the _South Sea_ trading stock; and the Company, for

every 100_l._ of the _long_ annuity which should be subscribed, were

to receive from government an addition to their capital of 2000_l._

bearing 5 _per cent._ interest till 1727, and afterwards 4 _per cent._

till redeemed: and for every 100_l._ of the _short_ annuities, they

were to receive an addition to their capital of 1400_l._ bearing the

same interest.—They were besides to take in the redeemable debts to the

amount of 16.546,482_l_. and to receive an addition to their capital of

100_l._ for every 100_l._ subscribed.—By the subscription of the _long_

and _short_ annuities which followed this agreement, a capital due from

government to the Company was created, which was greater by 3.034,769_l._

than the original sum advanced for the annuities subscribed. And as

much of these annuities and of the redeemable debts were subscribed, as

increased the _South Sea_ trading capital to 37.802,203_l._—In 1722,

four millions of this capital was purchased by the BANK, (See Note 3.)

which reduced it to 33.802,203_l._—By 9 Geo. I. 1723, this remaining

capital was divided into two equal parts, one of which alone (or

16.901,101_l._) was ordered to be the trading capital of the Company,

and the other part was directed to be called _South Sea Annuities_.—In

1733, the _South Sea_ trading capital had been reduced by payments at

different times to 14.651,137_l._ 12_s._ By an Act of Parliament in

that year, this remaining stock received a farther division; and only

a fourth part, or 3.662,784_l._ was allowed to be the Company’s stock;

and the other three parts, or 10.988,353_l._ were directed to be called

NEW South Sea Annuities, in order to distinguish them from the former

annuities, which have ever since gone under the name of OLD South Sea

annuities.—From 1733, to the present time, SOUTH SEA STOCK has continued

the same; but the capital of the OLD South Sea annuities has been

reduced, by redemptions, to 11,907,470_l._ and of the NEW South Sea

annuities, to 8.494,830_l._ And of the whole _South Sea_ debt, which in

1722 was 33.802,203_l._ there has, since that year, been paid off in all

9.737,119_l._ This should have reduced it to 24.065,081_l._ but it is in

reality 25.984,685_l._ The reason of this is, that the diminution just

mentioned of the _South Sea_ debt was made in part with money borrowed in

1751, to pay off such proprietors of South Sea annuities as had refused

to consent to the reduction of interest proposed to them in 1749. The sum

borrowed for this purpose was 2.100,000_l._ bearing 3 _per cent._ with

1181_l._ 5_s._ for management. This debt is now reduced by redemptions to

the sum specified in the preceding account; or to 1.919,600_l._

* * * * *

NOTE (11).—EAST-INDIA STOCK. See page 123.—In 1698, a company of

merchants, in consideration of two millions lent to government at 8 _per

cent._ were incorporated, and entitled to the sole privilege of trading

to the _East-Indies_.—These two millions formed the first capital of the

present _East-India_ Company.—In 1702, an old company of traders to the

_East-Indies_ was united to this company; and in 1708, these united

companies lent to government 1.200,000_l._ without additional interest,

which made their capital 3.200,000_l._ bearing 5 _per cent._—In 1730,

this interest was reduced to 4 _per cent._ and by the 23d Geo. II. 1749,

to 3 _per cent._—The salt duties, and some additional stamp duties, were

at first charged with the annuity due on this capital; but at present the

duties constituting the aggregate fund are charged with it.

* * * * *

NOTE (12).—EAST-INDIA ANNUITY. See page 123.—The capital of this

annuity was advanced to government in 1744, at 3 _per cent._ and, in

consideration of this loan, the exclusive charter of the Company was

continued to Lady-day 1783, at which time it is to cease, provided three

years notice has been given, and the debt due from government discharged.

An observation here forces itself upon me, which I have often had

occasion to make.—Part of this loan was a compensation from the

_East-India_ Company for prolonging the term of its charter; and,

therefore, ought not to have been included in the loan. The Company would

have lent 750,000_l._ on the interest common at the time, or 4 _per

cent._ and the remainder would have been advanced as a gratuity.—It is a

pity those who managed these contracts for the public, did not attend to

the absurdity and extravagance of making a _debt_ of purchase money, and

_borrowing_ in the very act of _selling_.

* * * * *

NOTE (13).—EXCHEQUER LONG ANNUITIES. See page 123.—These are the _long_

annuities which, in 1720, remained unsubscribed to the South Sea Company.

See Note 10.—They consist first of annuities to the amount of 54,900_l._

14_s._ 6_d._ purchased by the 4th, 5th, and 6th of _William_ and _Mary_,

for 96 years, from January 1695, with the addition of 1350_l._ _per ann._

for salaries to exchequer officers. These annuities were originally 14

_per cent._ life-annuities. By the 6th and 7th of _William_ and _Mary_,

in order to raise more money, these annuitants, or any other persons

for them, were offered a reversionary interest in the annuities after

the failure of the lives, till the end of 96 years from January 1695,

on paying 4½ years purchase, (that is 63_l._) for every annuity of

14_l._—The predecessors of the present company of the MILLION BANK (so

called from the MILLION lottery 1694, in which they were some of the

principal adventurers) purchased 30,669_l._ 4_s._ of these reversionary

annuities. The life annuitants being now reduced to a very small number,

almost the whole of this annuity is lapsed to the _company_; and though

they have divided for several years 5 _per cent._ on a capital of half a

million, yet their growing savings, from the falling in of lives, have

been such, that, when their annuity ceases in 1791, they will, I am

informed, have accumulated a fund considerably larger, than the capital

on which they have made their dividends. But to return.

* * * * *

These EXCHEQUER Annuities consist farther of

£. _s._ _d._

30,400 6 8 purchased for 99 years from _Christmas_

1705, by 2d and 3d of _Anne_, with

1450_l._ for management.

23,234 16 6 purchased for 99 years from _Lady-day_,

1706, by 4 _Anne_, with 1470_l._

_per ann._ for management.

7,776 10 0 purchased for 99 years from _Lady-day_,

1707, by 5 _Anne_, with 375_l._ 12_s._

_per ann._ for management.

4,710 0 0 purchased for 99 years from _Lady-day_,

1708, by 6th of _Anne_, with 208_l._

2_s._ _per ann._ for management.

10,181 0 0 purchased for 99 years from _Lady-day_,

1707, by a 2d Act of 5th of _Anne_,

with 416_l._ _per ann._ for management.

Add 54,900 14 6

-----------------

131,203 7 8 Total.

The original sum contributed for these annuities was 1.836,276_l._ They

are even now worth more than this sum. The public has already paid above

TEN MILLIONS; and by the time they are all extinct, it will have paid

above THIRTEEN MILLIONS, on their account. This is great extravagance;

but it is nothing to the extravagance constantly practised of borrowing

on perpetual annuities, without putting them into a fixed course of

redemption.

* * * * *

NOTE (14).—TONTINE by an act of 6 Geo. III. See page 124.—The intention

of this Act was to raise 300,000_l._ towards paying off navy bills, by

offering to subscribers for every 100_l._ advanced, an annuity of 3_l._

for their lives, with benefit of survivorship. But the scheme did not

succeed, and only 18000_l._ was subscribed.

* * * * *

NOTE (15).—LIFE ANNUITIES. See page 124.—The annuities on _two_ lives in

1694, were sold at 12_l._ _per ann._ during _two_ lives, of any ages, and

the annuities on _three_ lives, at 10_l._ _per ann._ during three lives,

for every 100_l._ advanced.—This was very extravagant; for, supposing the

annuitants in general, about the age of 20 or 30, it was the same, in

the case of _two_ lives, with giving above 10 _per cent._ for money, and

in the case of _three_ lives, 9 _per cent._—It is, likewise, extremely

absurd in these cases to pay no regard to difference of ages. A _single_

life at the age of 60, supposing money improved at 4 _per cent._ is

intitled to 11 _per cent._ but at the age of 10, scarcely to 6 _per

cent._ _Two_ lives at 60, are entitled, on the same supposition, to 8½

_per cent._ but at 10, not to 5 _per cent._—The original amount of these

annuities was 22,700_l._ nearly. In 1762, that is, in 68 years, they were

reduced by deaths no lower than 9,215_l._

The other life-annuities mentioned in the preceding account were

_douceurs_ granted for loans in 1745, 1746, and 1757. An account of the

annuities granted in the last of these years may be seen in page 101.

The life-annuities in 1745, amounted to 22,500_l._ and were granted,

together with the profits of a lottery, for a loan of two millions at 4

_per cent._

The life-annuities in 1746, amounted to 45,000_l._ and were granted,

with the profits of another lottery, for a loan of three millions, at

the same interest.—The remarks made in the 3d section of the last part,

and particularly in the note, p. 101, are applicable to these two loans.

The value of the life-annuities, and the profits of the lotteries, were

made a part of the public debt. And, supposing the life-annuities worth,

one with another, only 14 years purchase, and the profits of the two

lotteries worth 300,000_l._ it will follow, that the capital created

by these loans, instead of being 5.000,000_l._ should have been only

3.755,000_l._

But there is another remark, which it is proper to mention here. The

life-annuities granted in 1757, amounting to 33,750_l._ were, in January

1775, that is in 18 years, reduced by deaths to 28,732_l._ or but a

little more than a seventh part. But, supposing the annuitants all in

the firmest stage of life, or between the age of 10 and 30, they ought,

according to some of the best tables of observations, to have been

reduced a _quarter_. These life-annuities have, therefore, fallen in much

more slowly than could have been expected; and I have found the same to

be true of all the other life-annuities.—The reason, undoubtedly, is,

that the tables exhibit the rate of mortality among all sorts and orders

of men taken together; whereas, the lives on which annuities are bought,

are a selection of the better sort of lives from the general mass, and

therefore must be of greater value.—Indeed I am not acquainted with any

table of observations which gives the probabilities of the duration

of life high enough to be a guide in this case; except that which was

formed by Mr. _De Parcieux_, from the French _Tontines_.—A calculation,

therefore, of the values of lives, agreeably to this table, would be of

considerable use.

* * * * *

NOTE (16).—UNFUNDED DEBT. See page 124.—I have given the navy debt, as it

was in January, 1775.—The civil list debt in 1775, was probably more than

the sum at which I have reckoned it. Lord STAIR, in his account of the

national debt, income, and expenditure, reckons it at 800,000_l._

Much the greatest part of the foregoing debts, with the taxes for

paying the interest, including the duties composing the _Aggregate_,

_South-Sea_, and _General_ Funds, have, by the 25th of _George_ the

Second, 1751, and several subsequent acts of Parliament, been thrown

into one general account; and the _surplus_ of the whole, after

deducting the interest, 800,000l. _per ann._ to the civil list, and a

few other payments, forms the SINKING FUND.—The debts not brought to

this account are about seven millions and a half in the _South-Sea_

House; 11.186,800l. of the _Bank_ capital; the Civil List million; four

millions and a half borrowed at 3½ _per cent._ in 1758; the capital of

the East-India annuity; and the Exchequer long and life annuities, except

those granted in 1758. But the _surplusses_ of the duties which pay

the interest of these debts are either carried _immediately_ into the

_Sinking Fund_ account; or brought _first_ to the _Aggregate_ Fund, and

from thence carried into that account.—On the contrary. Deficiencies in

these duties when they happen, are made good out of the Sinking Fund; and

afterwards replaced from the supplies.

For example. Three old nine-penny excises on beer, with an additional

three-pence per barrel, producing above half a million annually; also,

3,700l. _per_ week out of the hereditary excise on beer, together with

some duties on paper, coals, &c. and ⅓ additional subsidy of tonnage and

poundage, are appropriated to the payment of the Banker’s Annuity; the

Life Annuities granted in 1693 and 1694; the Exchequer Long Annuities;

and annuities on various sums subscribed to the South-Sea Company in

1720. The surplusses make a part of the _Aggregate Fund_; and after

contributing to satisfy the charge on that fund, are carried into the

_Sinking Fund_.—Again. Certain additional duties on soap, parchment,

coals, &c. are appropriated to pay the interest of 1.250,000l. and

of 1.750,000l. parts of the Bank capital.—The surplusses are carried

_directly_ to the _Sinking Fund_.—In like manner. The duties on houses

and windows imposed by an act of the 20th of _George_ the Second,

1747,[116] after deducting from them 91,485l. _per ann._ to satisfy

certain charges on old house-duties in the _Aggregate Fund_; and, also,

other duties on houses and windows imposed by the 2d and 6th of _George_

the Third, amounting in all to about 205,000l. _per ann._ are carried

into the Sinking Fund, together with the capitals, the interest of which

has been charged upon them. But the addition to these duties (with a

tax on pensions) granted in 1758, and charged with the interest (at 3½

_per cent._) of the loan in that year, having not been carried into the

_Sinking Fund_, and proving deficient; the deficiency is constantly made

good out of this fund, and afterwards replaced from the supplies.

_State and Amount of the NATIONAL DEBT at Christmas 1753; with the

Charges of Management._

BANK OF ENGLAND.

Principal. Interest.

£. £.

BANK capital 11.686,800 393,038

Of this capital 3.200,000l. bore at this time 3

_per cent._ interest; and the remainder bore 3½

_per cent._ till 1757, by 23d Geo. II. 1749.—See

note (1) p. 125.

Management 5,898l. _per ann._

Three _per cent._ BANK Annuities consolidated by

25 Geo. II. 1751.—See note (6) p. 127. 9.137,821 274,135

Management 4,450l. _per ann._

BANK Annuities consolidated by 25 Geo. II.

2.713,618l. carrying 3½ _per cent._ interest

till 1755; and 14.857,956l. carrying the same

interest till 1757. See note (7) p. 128. 17.740,132 619,546

Management 9,884l. _per ann._

Civil List million, 1726 1.000,000 30,000

Management 360l. _per ann._

Whole charge of Management at the Bank in

1753—20,592l. _per ann._

SOUTH-SEA COMPANY.

SOUTH-SEA STOCK carrying 4 _per cent._ till 1757 3.662,784 146,511

Old and New SOUTH-SEA Annuities carrying 3½

_per cent._ till 1757 21.362,525 747,688

Three _per cent._ 1751—See note (10) p. 131. 2.100,000 63,000

Whole charge of management at the _South-Sea-House_

on stock and annuities, 15,748l. _per ann._

EAST-INDIA HOUSE.

EAST-INDIA STOCK, reduced to 3½ till 1757 3.200,000 112,000

EAST-INDIA annuity 1744 1.000,000 30,000

Management 1,687l. 10s. _per ann._

---------------------

Total[117] £. 70,851,254 2.415,918

EXCHEQUER.

ANNUITIES for 96 and 99 years from various dates

in King _William_’s and Queen _Anne_’s times

being the original sum contributed. See note

(13) page 132. 1.836,276 131,203

Management 5,230l. _per ann._ inclusive of

management for the two next articles.

ANNUITIES for lives with benefit of survivorship,

being the original sum contributed 108,100 7,567

ANNUITIES for two and three lives, being the

remainder after deducting the annuities fallen

in by deaths, and reckoned worth 10 years

purchase 106,650 10,665

ANNUITIES for single lives 1745, being the

remainder after deducting the annuities fallen

in by deaths; and reckoned worth 14 years

purchase 296,142 21,153

ANNUITIES for single lives 1746, being the

remainder after the lives fallen in 582,274 41,591

Navy debt in 1754—Interest reckoned at 2

_per cent._ 1.296,568 25,931

---------------------

Total of the principal and interest of the

public debts in 1753 £. 75.077,264 2.654,028

_STATE and AMOUNT of the NATIONAL DEBT in 1739._

BANK OF ENGLAND.

Principal. Interest.

£. £.

BANK CAPITAL, consisting of 1.600,000l. old capital

carrying 6 _per cent_; and 7.500,000l. carrying 4

_per cent._ See note 1, p. 123. 9.100,000 396,000

BANK ANNUITIES at 3 _per cent._ for the lottery in

1731. 800,000 24,000

SOUTH-SEA COMPANY.

Stock and annuities bearing 4 _per cent._ 27.302,203 1.092,088

EAST-INDIA COMPANY.

EAST-INDIA stock carrying 4 _per cent._ 3.200,000 128,000

EXCHEQUER ANNUITIES.

Annuities at 3½ by 4 Geo. II. paid off in 1752 400,000 14,000

ANNUITIES at 4 _per cent._ charged on the duty on

wrought plate by 6 Geo. I. 1720 312,000 12,480

182,250l. of this capital was paid off in 1750.

The remainder is now included in the capital

of the reduced 3 _per cent._ annuities.

ANNUITIES at 3 _per cent._ charged on the Sinking

Fund by 9 and 10 Geo. II. Now included in the

consolidated 3 _per cent._ annuities 900,000 27,000

ANNUITIES on _Nevis_ and St. _Christopher_ Debentures

at 3 _per cent._ Now included in the consolidated

3 _per cents._ 37,821 1,135

EXCHEQUER BILLS charged on a duty upon victuallers

by 12 Geo. I. 1726—Carrying 3 _per cent._ 480,000 14,400

EXCHEQUER BILLS charged on a duty on sweets by 10 of

Geo. II. 1737—Carrying 3 _per cent._ and paid off

in 1754—See the note p. 140. 499,600 14,988

ANNUITIES for long terms from various dates 1.836,276 131,203

ANNUITIES for lives with _benefit_ of _Survivorship_

granted in 1693 108,100 7,567

ANNUITIES for two and three lives, 1694 106,650 15,000

_Navy_ debt[118] 1.300,000 26,000

---------------------

Total of the _Principal_ and _Interest_ of the

National Debt in 1739[119] £. 46.382,650 1.903,861

From the account in the POSTSCRIPT, at the end of this tract, it will

appear, that 10.639,793l. of the public debt was discharged between

the years 1763 and 1775; and also that the _funded_ debt was, in

1775, 1.400,000l. greater than it was at the end of the last war.

From hence, and from the amount of the public debt in 1775, as stated

in page 124, it follows, that the funded debt at the end of the war

was 130.943,051l. and the whole debt 146.582,844l. and, consequently,

that the war left upon the nation an _unfunded debt_ amounting to[120]

15.639,793l. This unfunded debt consisted of the following particulars—Of

3.500,000l. borrowed after the peace in 1763, and applied towards

bearing such expences of the war as could not immediately cease with its

operations.—Of near _eight millions_ in navy, victualling, ordnance, and

transport debts.—Of 1.800,000l. _Exchequer bills_; and the remainder,

of subsidies to foreign princes, extraordinaries of the army, and German

demands.

In the interval of peace between 1748 and 1755 the following debts were

paid off.

£.

_Bank Annuities_ bearing 4 _per cent._ 1.013,148

SOUTH-SEA Annuities bearing 4 _per cent._ 176,893

_Annuities_ bearing 3½ _per cent._ charged by 4 Geo. II. on

additional Stamp-duties 400,000

EXCHEQUER Bills bearing 3 _per cent._ charged by 10 Geo. II.

1737 on the duties on sweets 499,600

Borrowed in 1745 at 3½ _per cent._ on the credit of the Salt

duties 1.000,000

See note, page 140.

-----------

[121]Total £. 3.089,641

From the whole, the following account of the progress of the National

Debt, from 1739 to 1775, may be deduced.

Principal. Interest.

£. £.

_Amount_ of the _principal_ and _interest_

of the national debt before the war

which begun in 1740 46.382,650 1.903,861

Amount in 1749 immediately after the war 78.166,906 2.765,608

Increased by the war 31.784,256 861,747

Diminished by the Peace from 1748 to 1755 3.089,641 111,590

Amount at the commencement of the last war 75.077,264 2.654,018

Amount at the end of the war in 1763 146.582,844 4.840,821

Increased by the last war 71.505,580 2.186,803

Diminished by the Peace, in twelve years from

1763 to 1775 10.639,793 [122]400,000

Amount at _Midsummer_, 1775 135.943,051 4.440,821

We are now involved in another war, and the public debts are increasing

again fast. _Exchequer_ Bills have been increased from 1.250,000l. to

1.500,000l. A new capital of 2.150,000l. has been added to the 3 _per

cent._ Consolidated Annuities. And a vote of credit was given in the

last session of Parliament for a million. The last year, therefore, has

added 3.400,000l. to our debts, besides a vast sum not yet provided for,

consisting of navy, ordnance, victualling, transport and army debts.—The

present year (1777) must make another great addition to them; and what

they will be at the end of these troubles, no one can tell.—The union of

a _foreign_ war to the present _civil_ war might perhaps raise them to

TWO HUNDRED MILLIONS; but, more probably, it would sink them to—NOTHING.

SECT. III.

_Of the DEBTS and RESOURCES of France._

Ministers have of late sought to remove the public apprehensions by

general accounts of the weakness of powers, which, from the circumstances

of former wars as well as national prejudices, have been felt by the

people as jealous rivals or formidable enemies.—I wish it was possible

for me to confirm these accounts; and by contrasting the preceding state

of our own debts with a similar one of those of FRANCE, to shew, that

from this power in particular we have nothing to fear. The following

particulars, on the correctness of which I can rely, may give some

assistance in judging of this subject.

* * * * *

The whole expence of the last war to FRANCE was 1.118.307,047 livres;

that is, 49.702,000l. sterling: of which 23.152,000l. (520.926,000

livres) consisted of money procured by the sale of taxes, by free-gifts,

and extra-impositions during the war, which left behind them no debts:

And 26.550,000l. (597.380,100 livres) consisted of LOANS, or money raised

on perpetual annuities, life-annuities, and lotteries.—At the beginning

of 1769 the whole amount of the debts of _France_, including all arrears

and capitals advanced on annuities and lotteries, was 128.622,000l.

sterling, or 2.894.053,616 livres. The annual charge derived from this

debt was 6.707,500l. sterling (150.919,284 livres)—All the appropriations

amounted to 8.218,500l. sterling (184.919,284 livres).—The expences of

the army, navy, king’s houshold, prince’s houshold, foreign affairs, &c.

amounted to 8.947,000l. or 201.307,312 livres. So that the whole annual

expence was 17.165,000l. (386.226,596 livres).—The whole revenue had

amounted, before 1769, to 13.484,500l. sterling (303.401,696 livres).—The

public expence, therefore, had exceeded the revenue 3.681,000l.

(82.800,000 livres.) _per ann._

From the year 1769 to the present King’s Accession, by forced reductions

of interest, and by new taxes, the public revenue was carried to

16.289,000l. sterling (366.508,000 livres) and the public expence was

reduced so as not to exceed the revenue above 766,800l. _per annum_

(17.253,000 livres).—The anticipations also of the revenue, which

before 1769 had extended to _seventeen_ months, were reduced to _five_

months.—Such was the progress of reformation; namely, an increase of

revenue amounting to little less than THREE MILLIONS sterling _per ann._

in a few years, under an unpopular minister, in the latter days of a

reign never characterized by an attention to oeconomy, or a regard to the

public interest; and at this time particularly stamped by unprecedented

profusion and a general relaxation.

A new reign produced a new minister of finance whose name will be

respected by posterity for a set of measures as new to the _political_

world, as any late discoveries in the system of nature have been to the

_philosophical_ world.—Doubtful in their operation, as all unproved

measures must be, but distinguished by their tendency to lay a solid

foundation for endless peace, industry, and a general enjoyment of

the gifts of nature, arts, and commerce.—The edicts issued during his

administration exhibit indeed a phænomenon of the most extraordinary

kind. An absolute king rendering a voluntary account to his subjects,

and inciting his people to _think_; a right which it has been the

business of all absolute princes and their ministers to extinguish in

the minds of men.—In these edicts the king declared in the most distinct

terms against a bankruptcy, an augmentation of taxes, and new loans;

while the minister applied himself to increase every public resource by

principles more liberal than _France_, or any part of _Europe_, ever had

in serious contemplation.—It is much to be regretted, that the opposition

he met with, and the intrigues of a court, should have deprived the world

of those lights which must have resulted from the example of such an

administration.

After a short interval, a nomination, in some respects still more

extraordinary, has taken place in the court of FRANCE. A court which a

few years since was distinguished by its bigotry and intolerance, has

raised a _Protestant_, the subject of a small but virtuous republic, to

a decisive lead in the regulation of its finances. It is to be presumed,

that so singular a preference will produce an equally singular exertion

of integrity and talents. Though differing from Monsieur TURGOT in

several principles, which regard the larger lines of government, he

appears by his first steps, and, particularly, the preamble to a late

edict for raising 24 millions of livres by a lottery, to put his foot

on the same great basis of general justice, and a strict conservation

of the faith o£ the king; and points more particularly at the surest

of all resources in any modern states, a simplification of taxes and

a reformation in the collection of them. This administration, making

improvements in the Revenue its immediate object, is more capable of

present exertion; and, as such, is more formidable.

From these facts and observations it is impossible not to conclude,

that if we trust our safety to the difficulties of FRANCE, we may

find ourselves fatally deceived. I will add, that though (like the

3s. land-tax and lotteries among ourselves) some of the extraordinary

impositions of the last war have been continued in _France_, there

are some which ceased with the war, and which they can renew. It is,

particularly, an advantage of unspeakable importance to them, that they

can carry on a war, as they did the last, at _half_ our expence; and

that, having no dependence on the flattering delusion of paper, they

can, as they did in 1759, bear even a bankruptcy in the middle of a

war, and yet carry it on vigorously.—Their debts time itself is sinking

fast. Of 3.111,000l. (seventy millions of livres) in annuities on the

_Hotel de Ville_ at _Paris_, 1.777,000l. (forty millions of livres)

consisted in 1774 of Life Annuities, which were falling by deaths at

the rate of 71,000l. (1.600,000 livres) every year.—Even their loss of

credit, whatever present embarrassment attends it, favours them upon

the whole. To this they owe the advantages just mentioned. The facility

with which our high credit has enabled us to run in debt ensnares us;

and, if a change of measures does not take place,[123] must _ruin_ us.

Experience has given them a just horror at borrowing on permanent funds;

and were they inclined to do it, they are not able to do it to any great

amount; and, consequently, they cannot go on mortgaging one resource

after another till none is left.—While we lose sight of the capital in

the interest, they carry their views chiefly to the reimbursement of

the capital; and after receiving high interest, for some years, can be

satisfied with receiving back a part of their capital.—Their debts, being

confined in a great measure to the _Farmers General_ and others at PARIS,

are not circulated and diffused among the body of the people in the

manner ours are: And it is well known, that they can make use of methods

to discharge them which our government must never think of. The acts of

arbitrary power and unjust expedients to which, on many occasions, they

have had recourse for this purpose without producing any tumults, are

such as appear to us almost incredible; and should the time ever come,

when it will be necessary in this country to make use of any violence of

the same kind, all government will probably be at an end.

In point of territory and number of inhabitants, the two countries will

bear no comparison[124]. We have hitherto opposed _France_ by our free

spirit, and our colonies; and to them chiefly we owe our prosperity and

victories. Our colonies once separated from us, the islands will soon

follow. But should they remain ours, our comparative advantages will best

appear from the following authentic account of the imports into _France_

from their islands.

In 1774.

Weight in Pounds.

Sugar imported into _France_ 147.986,959

Indigo 1.734,206

Rocou 210,187

Coffee 58.247,133

-----------

208.178,485

In 1775.

Weight in Pounds.

Sugar imported into _France_ 171.932,972

Indigo 2.134,247

Rocou 169,831

Coffee 58.545,000

-----------

[125]232.782,050

Value of the above commodities re-exported from _France_, taken upon the

average price.

_Livres._ _Sterling._

In 1774 75.901,373 3.373,000

In 1775 74.961,318 3.331,000

The whole importation from the _West Indies_ into _Britain_ is about

three millions _per ann._

But I have gone much beyond the views with which I begun this section.

The facts which have been stated, and the reflections which they have

occasioned, are intended principally to shew that we ought not to suffer

ourselves to be drawn into security by any assurances of the weakness

of _France_.—May she, however, find herself the weakest of kingdoms

whenever, from motives of interest or ambition, she shall attempt to

injure any of her neighbours.—May _Britain_, hitherto the most favoured

spot under heaven, always preserve her distinguished happiness, and

escape the danger which now threatens her. And may the time soon come,

when all mankind, sensible of the value of the blessings of peace and

equal liberty, shall suffer one another to enjoy them, and learn war no

more.

SECT. IV.

_Containing an Account of the National Income and Expenditure; the

Surplus of the Revenue; and the Money drawn from the Public by the Taxes;

with Remarks on Lord STAIR’S Account._

_APPROPRIATED REVENUE at Midsummer, 1775._

£.

Interest of the national debt 4.440,821

Civil list revenue. See the note in page 163 800,000

Expences of management attending the national debt; of which

71,432 l. is the expence of management at the Bank, South-Sea

House, and _India_ House; and 5.900 l. salaries to _Exchequer

Officers_. See Page 119, &c. 77,332

Annuities payable out of the Aggregate Fund to the DUKE OF

GLOUCESTER, 8000 l.—DUKE OF CUMBERLAND, 8000 l.—the

Representatives of ARTHUR ONSLOW, Esq; 3000 l.—And the

Sheriffs of ENGLAND and WALES, 4000 l.—In all 23,000

Clerk of the Hanaper in Chancery—Coinage[126] expence—Tenths

and first-fruits of the Clergy appropriated to the

augmentation of small livings—Extra revenues of the

crown, consisting of _American_ quit-rents; duty of 4½

_per cent._ in the Leeward Islands; revenues of Gibraltar

and dutchy of _Cornwall_, &c.—Fees for warrants and orders,

for auditing and engrossing accounts of dividend warrants,

and other charges at the EXCHEQUER and TREASURY[127] 100,000

---------

Total of the Appropriated Revenue £. 5.441,153

_State of the SURPLUS of the REVENUE for 11 years ended at 1775._

UNAPPROPRIATED REVENUE.

NEAT PRODUCE of the Sinking Fund, for five years, including

casual surplusses, reckoning to _Christmas_ in every year;

being the annual medium, after deducting from it about

45,000l. always carried to it from the supplies, in order

to replace so much taken from it every year to make good

a deficiency in a Fund established in 1758. £. 2.610,759

Neat annual produce of Land Tax at 3s. militia deducted;

and of the Malt Tax[128] 1.800,000

(N. B. These two taxes in 1773, brought in only 1.665,475l.)

There are some casual Receipts, not included in the Sinking

Fund, such as Savings in Pay-Office, duties on Gum Senega,

American Revenue, &c. But they are so uncertain and

inconsiderable, that it is scarcely proper to give them as

a part of the permanent Revenue. Add however on this account 50,000

---------

Total of unappropriated Revenue £. 4.460,759

_Produce of the SINKING FUND, reckoned to Christmas in every Year._

1770 £. 2.486,836

1771 2.553,505

1772 2.683,831

1773 2.823,150

1774 2.731,476

The average of these five years is 2.655,759l. or, deducting 45,000l. (as

directed in the last page), 2.610,759l.

In 1775, the Sinking Fund was taken for 2.900,000l. including an

extraordinary charge of 100,000l. on the _Aggregate_ Fund; but it

produced 2.917,869l. The average of six years, including 1775, was

2.654,443l. The average of five years before 1770, was 2.234,780l.

ANNUAL EXPENDITURE.

£.

Peace Establishment, for the Navy and Army, including

all miscellaneous and incidental expences 3.700,000

Annual increase of the Navy and Civil List debts 350,000

Interest at 2 _per cent._ of 3.600,000l. unfunded debt,

which must be paid out of the unappropriated Revenue 72,000

---------

Total 4.122,000

ANNUAL SURPLUS of the Revenue 338,759

---------

Annual income £. 4.460,759

The estimate for the peace establishment, including miscellaneous

expences, amounted, in 1775, to 3.703,476l.—But the extraordinary

expences, occasioned by the war with America, made it fall very

short.—In 1774 it amounted to 3.784,452l. exclusive of 250,000l. raised

by Exchequer Bills, towards defraying the expence of calling in the

gold coin. And the medium for eleven years, from 1765, has been nearly

3.700,000l.—According to the accounts which I have collected, the expence

of the peace establishment (including miscellaneous expences) was in

1765, 1766, and 1767, 3.540,000l. _per ann._—In 1768, 1769, and 1770,

it was 3.354,000l. _per ann._—In 1771, 1772, 1773, 1774, and 1775, the

average has been nearly four millions _per ann._ exclusive of the expence

of calling in the coin.

* * * * *

The parliament votes for the sea service 4l. _per_ month _per_ man,

including wages, wear and tear, victuals and ordnance. This allowance

is insufficient, and falls short every year more or less, in proportion

to the number of men voted. From hence, in a great measure, arises that

annual increase of the navy debt, mentioned in the second article of the

_National Expenditure_. This increase in 1772 and 1773 was 669,996l. or

335,000l. _per ann._ The number of men voted in those two years, was

20,000. I have supposed them reduced to 16,000, and the annual increase

of the Navy Debt to be only 250,000l.—Add 100,000l. for the annual

increase of the Civil List Debt, and the total will be 350,000l.

* * * * *

Soon after the publication of the preceding account in _February_ last

year, the EARL OF STAIR obliged the public with another account of

the same kind, which brings out a conclusion much more unfavourable.

According to this account, were lotteries abolished, and the land-tax

at 3s. in the pound only, there would be a _deficiency_ in the revenue,

instead of such a _surplus_ as I have stated. The following remarks will

shew the reason of this difference.

The EARL OF STAIR has taken the annual produce of the _Sinking_ Fund

at 2.506,400l. being the average produce of EIGHT years ended at _Lady

day_ 1775.—I have taken it at 2.610,759l. being the average of FIVE

years ended at _Christmas_ 1775.—The neat produce of the land and malt

taxes has been also taken near 50,000l. higher in my account; and I have

besides admitted 50,000l. _per ann._ for casual supplies, which his

Lordship has not charged.

The annual increase of the Navy Debt, LORD STAIR states at 300,000l. and

of the Civil List at 200,000l. I have stated the former at 250,000l. and

the latter at 100,000l.—In order also to avoid, as much as possible, all

exaggeration, I have thrown out the expence of the new coinage. Lord

Stair has admitted it, and given an yearly expence derived from hence of

100,000l.—He has also taken the Peace Establishment for 1774, as a fair

medium for common years of peace, because it was lower in that year than

in the three years preceding 1775. I have taken the average of _eleven_

years of peace, which is 75,000l. less.

In consequence of these differences, the national PEACE expenditure in

_Lord Stair_’s account comes out 325,000l. _per ann. higher_ than in

mine; and the national income comes out 204,359l. _lower_; from whence it

follows, that without lotteries, and the land being at 3s. in the pound,

the kingdom must, according to his Lordship’s calculation, run out at the

rate of about 200,000l. every year.

In some of the particulars I have mentioned, this account is probably

nearest to the truth; but, I hope, it will be considered, that I have

studied to give moderate accounts, and aimed at erring always rather on

the favourable than the unfavourable side.

_Second Method of deducing the SURPLUS of the REVENUE._

From the year 1763 to the year 1775, or during a period of 12 years,

10.639,793l. of the public[129] debt was paid off.—The money employed

for this purpose must have been derived from the surplus of the

_ordinary_ revenue, added to the _extraordinary_ receipts. These receipts

have consisted of the following articles.—1st. The land-tax at 4s. in the

pound in 1764, 1765, 1766, and 1771; or 1s. in the pound extraordinary

for four years, making 1.750,000l.—2. The profits of ten lotteries[130]

making (at 150,000l. each lottery) 1.500,000l.—3. A contribution of

400,000l. _per ann._ for five years from the EAST INDIA Company, making

2.000,000l.—4. Savings by debts discharged at a discount,[131] making

at least 400,000l.—5. Paid by the Bank in 1764 for the renewal of their

charter, 110,000l.—6. Savings on high grants during the war; produce of

_French_ prizes taken before the declaration of war; sale of lands in the

ceded islands; and composition for maintaining _French_ prisoners,[132]

making 2.520,000l.—All these sums amount to 8.280,000l. There remains to

make up 10.639,793l. (the whole debt discharged) 2.359,793l. and this,

therefore, is the amount of the whole surplus of the _ordinary_ revenue

for twelve years; or 196,000l. _per ann._[133]

The Earl of STAIR has also, in this method, calculated the _surplus_ of

the Revenue; and makes the total, for eleven years, to be no more than

2.557,378l. even with the assistance of lotteries, and the land-tax at

4s. in the pound for five years; from whence it follows, that _without_

these assistances, there would have been a deficiency of near 60,000l.

_per ann._—The reason is, that his Lordship has taken the whole debt paid

since 1763, at no more than 7.053,855l. or three millions and a half

less than I have made it; and he has taken it so much less, chiefly in

consequence of including in the amount of the public debt in 1775, the

excess of the expences of that year above the common peace expences.

This excess is to be charged to the present war; and, in determining the

ordinary peace _surplus_, which is my object, it was proper to exclude

it, and to terminate the account at the commencement of the war.—I will

only add, that Lord STAIR has also included more in the extraordinary

receipts than I have; and, particularly, 700,000l. which he supposes the

public gained by the TEA INDEMNITY.—But this was only a compensation made

by the _East-India_ Company for the loss which the public sustained by

taking off, in 1766, a part (or 1s. _per_ pound) of the duty on tea. In

1772 it was restored; and the excise upon tea has since, if I am rightly

informed, produced as much as ever. _Before_ 1766, it produced annually

474,091l. Immediately[134] after 1766, it produced 341,284l.—But in 1775,

it produced near half a million.

_Sketch of an Account of the Money drawn from the Public by the Taxes,

before the Year 1776._

£.

CUSTOMS in ENGLAND, being the medium of the payments

into the Exchequer, for 3 years ending in 1773[135] 2.528,275

Amount of the EXCISES in ENGLAND, including the malt tax,

being the medium of 3 years ending in 1773 4.649,892

Land Tax at 3s. 1.300,000

Land Tax at 1s. in the pound 450,000

SALT DUTIES, being the medium of the years 1765 and 1766 218,739

Duties on Stamps, Cards, Dice, Advertisements, Bonds, Leases,

Indentures, News-papers, Almanacks, &c. 280,788

Duties on houses and windows, being the medium of 3 years

ending in 1771 385,369

Post Office, Seizures, Wine Licences, Hackney Coaches, Tenths

of the Clergy, &c. 250,000

EXCISES in SCOTLAND, being the medium of 3 years ending in 1773 95,229

CUSTOMS in SCOTLAND, being the medium of 3 years ending in 1773 68,369

Annual profit from Lotteries 150,000

Inland taxes in SCOTLAND, coinage duties, casual revenues, such

as the duties on Gum-Senega, American revenue, &c. 150,000

EXPENCE of collecting the EXCISES in ENGLAND, being the average

of the years 1767 and 1768, when their produce was 4.531,075l.

_per ann._—6 _per cent._ of the gross produce 297,887

EXPENCE of collecting the Excises in SCOTLAND, being the medium

of the years 1772 and 1773, and the difference between the

gross and nett produce—31 _per cent._ of the gross produce 43,254

EXPENCE of collecting the CUSTOMS in ENGLAND, being the average

of 1771 and 1772, bounties included, and 15 _per cent._ of

the gross produce, exclusive of drawbacks and over-entries 468,703

N. B. The bounties for 1771 were 202,840l.—for 1772, 172,468l.

The charges of management for 1771, were 276,434l.

For 1772, 285,764l. or 10 _per cent._ nearly.

Interest of loans on the land tax at 4s. expences of collection,

militia, &c. 250,000

PERQUISITES, &c. to Custom-house officers, &c. supposed 250,000

EXPENCE of collecting the Salt-duties in ENGLAND, 10½ _per cent._ 27,000

Bounties on fish exported 18,000

EXPENCE of collecting the duties on Stamps, Cards, Advertisements,

&c. 5¼ _per cent._ 18,000

----------

Total £. 11.900,505

----------

It must be seen, that this account is imperfect and defective. It is,

however, sufficient to prove, that the whole money raised DIRECTLY by the

taxes, (exclusive of tithes, county rates, and the taxes which support

the poor,) cannot be much less than TWELVE MILLIONS. The _Earl of Stair_

has in his papers made it to be above 400,000l. more, by including in

his estimate several articles which I have omitted; particularly, the

interest and management on the equivalent to _Scotland_, the Scotch crown

Revenues, Dutchy of _Cornwall_ and _Lancaster_ Fines, &c. He has also

given an estimate of the fees and perquisites of office of every kind,

and reckoned them at half a million; whereas, I have only reckoned the

perquisites of office at the _Custom-house_.

I should be inexcusable were I to quit this subject, without taking

notice of the particular gratitude due from the public to _Lord Stair_,

for publishing his papers; and for stepping forth at this time to draw

attention, by the weight of his name and character, to calculations,

which, as he justly says, “it becomes every man of property among us to

understand; to awaken the nation from the lethargy into which the mockery

of paper wealth has plunged it; and to bear his testimony against the

present unnatural war.”

POSTSCRIPT.

The following POSTSCRIPT has been published only in a few of the last

Editions of the _Observations on Civil Liberty._ It has been often

referred to in the preceding work; and, therefore, it is necessary to

give it a place here.

_ACCOUNT of Public Debts discharged, Money borrowed, and Annual Interest

saved from 1763 to 1775._

Debts paid off since 1763. Annuity decreased.

£. £. _s._

1765 870,888 funded, bearing interest at

4 _per cent._ 34,835 10

1.500,000 unfunded, 4 _per cent._ 60,000 00

1766 0.870,888 funded, 4 _per cent._ 34,835 10

1.200,000 unfunded, 4 — 48,000 00

1767 2.616,777 funded, 4 — 104,671 0

1768 2.625,000 funded, 4 — 105,000 0

1771 1.500,000 funded, 3 _per cent._ 45,000 0

1772 1.500,000 funded, 3 _per cent._ 45,000 0

1773 800,000 unfunded, 3 — 24,000 0

1774 1.000,000 funded, 3 — 30,000 0

1775 1.000,000 funded, 3 — 30,000 0

---------- ----------

Total 15.483,553 Total 561,342 0

In 1764, there was paid off 650,000_l._ navy-debt; but this I have not

charged, because scarcely equal to that annual increase of the navy-debt

for 1764, 1765, and 1766, which forms a part of the ordinary peace

establishment. The same is true of 300,000_l._ navy-debt, paid in 1767;

of 400,000_l._ paid in 1769; of 100,200_l._ paid in 1770; 200,000_l._ in

1771; 215,883_l._ in 1772; and 200,000_l._ in 1774.

_Account of money borrowed and debts contracted since 1763._

Annual interest

£ increased.

Borrowed and funded,

at 3 _per cent._ in 1765 1.500,000 45,000

in 1766 1.500,000 45,000

in 1767 1.500,000 45,000

in 1768 1.900,000 57,000

Unfunded in 1774 250,000 7,500

Civil list debt in 1775 500,000[136]

--------- -------

Total 7.150,000 199,500

From 15.483,553_l._ the total of debts discharged, subtract 7.150,000_l._

the total of debts contracted; and the remainder, or 8.333,553_l._ will

be the diminution of the public debts since 1763. Also, from 561,342_l._

the total of the decrease of the annual interest, subtract 199,500_l._

(the total of its increase), and the remainder, or 361,842_l._ will

be the interest or annuity saved since 1763.—To this must be added

12,537_l._ _per ann._ saved by changing a capital of 1.253,700_l._ (part

of 20.240,000_l._) from an interest of 4 to 3 _per cent._ pursuant to

an act of the 10th of George III.; also the life-annuities that have

fallen in; and 7,500_l._ _per ann._ gained by the falling (in 1771) of

1.500,000_l._ from an interest of 3½ to 3 _per cent._; which will make a

saving in the whole of near 400,000_l._ _per annum_: And it is to this

saving, together with the increase of luxury, that the increase of the

_Sinking-Fund_ for the last ten years has been owing.

To the debts discharged the following additions must be made.

In 1764 there was paid towards discharging the extraordinary expences of

the army, 987,434_l._: In 1765, these expences amounted to 404,496_l._:

In 1766, to 479,088_l._—Total 1.871,018_l._—This sum is at least a

million higher than the extraordinary expences of the army for three

years in a time of peace. This excess, being derived from the preceding

war, must be reckoned a debt left by the war. And the same is true

of 1.106,000_l._ applied, in 1764, 1765, and 1766, towards satisfying

_German_ demands.—There are likewise some smaller sums of the same kind;

such as subsidies to _Hesse-Cassel_, _Brunswick_, &c. And they may be

taken at 200,000_l._—The total of all these sums is 2.306,240_l._; which,

added to 8.333,553_l._ makes the whole diminution of the public debt

since 1763, to be 10.639,793_l._

Soon after the peace in 1763, an unfunded debt, amounting to

6.983,553_l._ was funded on the _Sinking Fund_, and on new duties on wine

and cyder, at 4 _per cent._ There has been since borrowed and funded

on coals exported, window-lights, &c. 6.400,000_l._ The funded debt,

therefore, has increased since the war 13.383,553_l._ It has decreased

(as appears from page 171) 11.983,553_l._; and, consequently, there has

been on the whole an addition to it of 1.400,000_l._—During seven years,

from 1767 to 1774, 1.415,883_l._ navy-debt was paid off. See page 172.

But, as this is a debt arising from constant deficiencies in the peace

estimates for the navy, it is a part of the current peace expences.—In

1768 this debt was[137] 1.226,915_l._—In 1774 it was 1.850,000_l._; and

consequently, though 1.415,883_l._ was paid off, an addition was made to

it, in seven years, of 623,085_l._ It increased, therefore, at the rate

of 291,000_l._ _per ann._

The paper from which I have taken the following account, came into my

hands after almost the whole of this work had been printed off. It

contains a fact of so much importance, that I cannot satisfy myself

without laying it before the public.—In a Committee of CONGRESS in _June_

1775, a declaration was drawn up containing an offer to GREAT BRITAIN,

“that the Colonies would not only continue to grant extraordinary aids in

time of war, but also, if allowed a free commerce, pay into the SINKING

FUND such a sum annually for ONE HUNDRED YEARS, as should be _more_ than

sufficient in that time, if faithfully applied, to extinguish all the

present debts of BRITAIN. Or, provided this was not accepted, that, to

remove the groundless jealousy of _Britain_ that the Colonies aimed at

Independence and an abolition of the Navigation Act, which, in truth,

they had never intended; and also, to avoid all future disputes about the

right of making that and other Acts for regulating their commerce for the

general benefit, they would enter into a covenant with _Britain_, that

she should fully possess and exercise that right for _one hundred years_

to come.”

At the end of the _Observations on Civil Liberty_, I had the honor of

laying before the public the Earl of _Shelburne’s_ plan of Pacification

with the Colonies. In that plan, it is particularly proposed, that the

Colonies should grant an annual supply to be carried to the Sinking Fund,

and unalienably appropriated to the discharge of the public debt.—It must

give this excellent Peer great pleasure to learn, from this resolution,

that even this part of his plan, as well as all the other parts,

would, most probably, have been accepted by the Colonies. For though

the resolution only offers the alternative of either a _free_ trade,

with extraordinary aids and an annual supply, or an _exclusive_ trade

confirmed and extended; yet there can be little reason to doubt, but that

to avoid the calamities of the present contest, both would have been

consented to; particularly, if, on our part, such a revisal of the laws

of trade had been offered as was proposed in Lord Shelburne’s plan.

The preceding resolution was, I have said, drawn up in a Committee of

the Congress. But it was not entered in their minutes; a severe Act of

Parliament happening to arrive at that time, which determined them not to

give the sum proposed in it.

FINIS.

POSTSCRIPT.

The following POSTSCRIPT was published only in a few of the last Editions

of the _Observations on Civil Liberty_. It has been often referred to in

the preceding work; and therefore, it is necessary to give it a place

here.

_ACCOUNT of Public Debts discharged, Money borrowed, and Annual Interest

saved from 1763 to 1775._

Debts paid off since 1763. Annuity decreased.

£. £. _s._

1765 876,888 funded, bearing interest at

4 _per cent._ 34,835 10

1.500,000 unfunded, 4 _per cent._ 60,000 00

1766 0.870,888 funded, 4 _per cent._ 34,835 10

1.200,000 unfunded, 4 — 48,000 00

1767 2.616,777 funded, 4 — 104,671 0

1768 2.625,000 funded, 4 — 105,000 0

1771 1.500,000 funded, 3½ _per cent._ 52,500 0

1772 1.500,000 funded, 3 _per cent._ 45,000 0

1773 800,000 unfunded, 3 — 24,000 0

1774 1.000,000 funded, 3 — 30,000 0

1775 1.000,000 funded, 3 — 30,000 0

---------- -----------

Total 15.483,553 Total 568,842 0

In 1764, there was paid off 650,000l. navy-debt; but this I have not

charged, because scarcely equal to that annual increase of the navy-debt

for 1764, 1765, and 1766, which forms a part of the ordinary peace

establishment. The same is true of 300,000l. navy-debt, paid in 1767; of

400,000l. paid in 1769; of 100,200l. paid in 1770; 200,000l. in 1771;

215,883l. in 1772; and 200,000l. in 1774.

_Account of money borrowed and debts contracted since 1763._

Annual interest

£ increased.

Borrowed and funded,

at 3 _per cent._ in 1765 1.500,000 45,000

in 1766 1.500,000 45,000

in 1767 1.500,000 45,000

in 1768 1.900,000 57,000

Unfunded in 1774 250,000 7,500

Civil list debt in 1775 500,000[138]

--------- -------

Total 7.150,000 199,500

From 15.483,553l. the total of debts discharged, subtract 7.150,000l.

the total of debts contracted; and the remainder, or 8.333,553l. will

be the diminution of the public debts since 1763. Also, from 568,842l.

the total of the decrease of the annual interest, subtract 199,500l.

(the total of its increase), and the remainder, or 369,342l. will be the

interest or annuity saved since 1763.—To this must be added 12,537l _per

ann._ saved by changing a capital of 1.253,700l. (part of 20.240,000l.)

from an interest of 4 to 3 _per cent._ pursuant to an act of the 10th of

George III.; also the life-annuities that have fallen in; which will make

a saving in the whole of near 400,000l. _per annum_: And it is to this

saving, together with the increase of luxury, that the increase of the

_Sinking Fund_ for the last ten years has been owing.

To the debts discharged the following additions must be made.

In 1764 there was paid towards discharging the extraordinary expences

of the army, 987,434l. In 1765, these expences amounted to 404,496l.

In 1766, to 479,088l.—Total 1.871,018l.—This sum is 1.100,000l. higher

than the extraordinary expences of the army for three years in a time

of peace. This excess, being derived from the preceding war, must be

reckoned a debt left by the war. And the same is true of 1.106,000l.

applied, in 1764, 1765, and 1766, towards satisfying _German_

demands.—There are likewise some smaller sums of the same kind; such as

subsidies to _Hesse-Cassel_, _Brunswick_, &c. And they may be taken at

200,000l.—The total of all these sums is 2.406,240l. which, added to

8.333,553l. makes the whole diminution of the public debts, or the whole

saving of the kingdom, since 1763, to be 10.739,793l.

Two Tracts on Civil Liberty, the War with America, and the Debts and Finances of the Kingdom With a General Introduction and Supplement · 第 3 / 4 章