THE FIRST ESSAY.

IT could not be expected that an assertion of London’s being bigger than

Paris and Rouen, or than Paris and Rome put together, and bigger than any

city of the world, should escape uncontradicted; and ’tis also expected

that I (if continuing in the same persuasion), should make some reply to

those contradictions. In order whereunto,

I begin with the ingenious author of the “_République des Lettres_,” who

saith that Rey in Persia is far bigger than London, for that in the sixth

century of Christianity (I suppose, A.D. 550 the middle of that century),

it had 15,000, or rather 44,000 mosques or Mahometan temples; to which I

reply, that I hope this objector is but in jest, for that Mahomet was not

born till about the year 570, and had no mosques till about 50 years

after.

In the next place I reply to the excellent Monsieur Auzout’s “Letters

from Rome,” who is content that London, Westminster, and Southwark may

have as many people as Paris and its suburbs; and but faintly denieth,

that all the housing within the bills may have almost as many people as

Paris and Rouen, but saith that several parishes inserted into these

bills are distant from, and not contiguous with London, and that Grant so

understood it.

To which (as his main if not his only objection) we answer:—(l) That the

London bills appear in Grant’s book to have been always, since the year

1636; as they now are; (2) That about fifty years since, three or four

parishes, formerly somewhat distant, were joined by interposed buildings

to the bulk of the city, and therefore then inserted into the bills; (3)

That since fifty years the whole buildings being more than double have

perfected that union, so as there is no house within the said bills from

which one may not call to some other house; (4) All this is confirmed by

authority of the king and city, and the custom of fifty years; (5) That

there are but three parishes under any colour of this exception which are

scarce one-fifty-second part of the whole.

Upon the whole matter, upon sight of Monsieur Auzout’s large letter,

dated the 19th of November, from Rome, I made remarks upon every

paragraph thereof, but suppressing it (because it looked like a war

against a worthy person with whom I intended none, whereas, in truth, it

was but a reconciling explication of some doubts) I have chosen the

shorter and softer way of answering Monsieur Auzout as followeth, viz.:—

Concerning the number of people in London, as also in Paris, Rouen, and

Rome, viz.:—

Monsieur Auzout allegeth an authentic account that there are 23,223

houses in Paris, wherein do live about eighty thousand families, and

therefore supposing three and a half families to live in every of the

said houses, one with another, the number of families will be 81,280; and

Monsier Auzout also allowing six heads to each family, the utmost number

of people in Paris, according to that opinion, will be 487,680.

The medium of the Paris burials was not denied by Monsier Auzout to be

19,887, nor that there died 3,506 unnecessarily out of the L’Hôtel Dieu;

wherefore deducting the said last number out of the former, the net

standard for burials at Paris will be 16,381, so, as the number of people

there, allowing but one to die out of thirty (which is more advantageous

to Paris than Monsieur Auzout’s opinion of one to die out of twenty-five)

the number of people at Paris will be 491,430 more than by Monsier

Auzout’s own last-mentioned account 491,430.

And the medium of the said two Paris accounts is 488,055.

The medium of the London burials is really 23,212, which, multiplied by

thirty (as hath been done for Paris), the number of the people there will

be 696,360.

The number of houses at London appears by the register to be 105,315,

whereunto adding one-tenth part of the same, or 10,315, as the least

number of double families that can be supposed in London, the total of

families will be 115,840, and allowing six heads for each family, as was

done for Paris, the total of the people at London will be 695,076.

The medium of the two last London accounts is 695,718.

So, as the people of Paris, according to the above 488,055.

account, is

Of Rouen, according to Monsieur Auzout’s utmost demands 80,000.

Of Rome, according to his own report thereof in a 125,000.

former letter

Total 693,055.

So as there are more people at London than at Paris, Rouen, and Rome by

2,663.

Memorandum.—That the parishes of Islington, Newington, and Hackney, for

which only there is any colour of non-contiguity, is not one-fifty-second

part of what is contained in the bills of mortality, and consequently

London, without the said three parishes, hath more people than Paris and

Rouen put together, by 114,284.

Which number of 114,284 is probably more people than any other city of

France contains.

Essays on Mankind and Political Arithmetic · 第 53 / 72 题