CLIMATIC CHANGES IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE.

By C.A.M. TABER.

Having had occasion to cruise a considerable time over the Southern

Ocean, I have had my attention directed to its prevailing winds and

currents, and the way in which they affect its temperature, and also

to the ice-worn appearance of its isolated lands.

It is now generally conceded that the lands situated in the high

latitudes of the southern hemisphere have in the remote past been

covered with ice sheets, similar to the lands which lie within the

antarctic circle. The shores of Southern Chile, from latitude 40° to

Cape Horn, show convincing evidence of having been overrun by heavy

glaciers, which scoured out the numerous deep channels that separate

the Patagonian coast from its islands. The Falkland Islands and South

Georgia abound with deep friths; New Zealand and Kerguelen Land also

exhibit the same evidence of having been ice-laden regions; and it is

said that the southern lands of Africa and Australia show that ice

accumulated at one time to a considerable extent on their shores. At

this date we find the southern ice sheets mostly confined to regions

within the antarctic circle; still the lands of Chile, South Georgia,

and New Zealand possess glaciers reaching the low lands, which are

probably growing in bulk; for it appears that the antarctic cold is

slowly on the increase, and the reasons for its increase are the same

as the causes which brought about the frigid period which overran with

ice all lands situated in the high southern latitudes.

Why there should be a slow increase of cold on this portion of the

globe is because of the independent circulation of the waters of the

Southern Ocean. The strong westerly winds of the southern latitudes

are constantly blowing the surface waters of the sea from west to east

around the globe. This causes an effectual barrier, which the warm

tropical currents cannot penetrate to any great extent. For instance,

the tropical waters of the high ocean levels, which lie abreast Brazil

in the Atlantic and the east coast of Africa in the Indian Ocean, are

not attracted far into the southern sea, because the surface waters of

the latter sea are blown by the westerly winds from west to east

around the globe. Consequently the tropical waters moving southward

are turned away by the prevailing winds and currents from entering the

Southern Ocean. Thus the ice is accumulating on its lands, and the

temperature of its waters slowly falling through their contact with

the increasing ice; and such conditions will continue until the lands

of the high southern latitudes are again covered with glaciers, and a

southern ice period perfected. But while this gathering of ice is

being brought about, the antarctic continent, now nearly covered with

an ice sheet, will, through the extension of glaciers out into its

shallow waters, cover a larger area than now; for where the waters are

shoal the growing glaciers, resting on a firm bottom, will advance

into the sea, and this advancement will continue wherever the shallow

waters extend. Especially will this be the case where the snowfall is

great.

Under such conditions, it appears that the only extensive body of

shallow water extending from the ice-clad southern continent is the

shoal channel which separates the South Shetlands from Cape Horn,

which is a region of great snowfall. Therefore, should the antarctic

ice gain sufficient thickness to rest on the bottom of this shallow

sea, it would move into the Cape Horn channel, and eventually close

it. The ice growth would not be entirely from the southern continent,

but also from lands in the region of Cape Horn. Thus the antarctic

continent and South America would be connected by an isthmus of ice,

and consequently the independent circulation of the Southern Ocean

arrested. Hence it will be seen that the westerly winds, instead of

blowing the surface waters of the Southern Ocean constantly around the

globe, as they are known to do to-day, would instead blow the surface

waters away from the easterly side of the ice-formed isthmus, which

would cause a low sea level along its Atlantic side, and this low sea

level would attract the tropical waters from their high level against

Brazil well into the southern seas, and so wash the antarctic

continent to the eastward of the South Shetlands.

The tropical waters thus attracted southward would be cooler than the

tropical waters of to-day, owing to the great extension of cold in the

southern latitudes. Still they would begin the slow process of raising

the temperature of the Southern Ocean, and would in time melt the ice

in all southern lands. Not only the Brazil currents would penetrate

the southern seas, as we have shown, but also the waters from the high

level of the tropical Indian Ocean which now pass down the Mozambique

Channel would reach a much higher latitude than now.

The ice-made isthmus uniting South America to the antarctic continent

would on account of its location be the last body of ice to melt from

the southern hemisphere, it being situated to windward of the tropical

currents and also in a region where the fall of snow is great; yet it

would eventually melt away, and the independent circulation of the

Southern Ocean again be established. But it would require a long time

for ice sheets to again form on southern lands, because of the lack of

icebergs to cool the southern waters. Still, their temperature would

gradually lower with the exclusion of the tropical waters, and

consequently ice would slowly gather on the antarctic lands.

The above theory thus briefly presented to account for the climatic

changes of the high southern latitudes is in full accord with the

simple workings of nature as carried on to-day; and it is probable

that the formation of continents and oceans, as well as the earth's

motions in its path around the sun, have met with little change since

the cold era iced the lands of the high latitudes.

At an early age, previous to the appearance of frigid periods, the

ocean waters of the high latitudes probably did not possess an

independent circulation sufficient to lower the temperature so that

glaciers could form. This may have been owing to the shallow sea

bottom south of Cape Horn having been above the surface of the water,

the channel having since been formed by a comparatively small change

in the ocean's level. For, while considering this subject, it is well

to keep in mind that whenever the western continent extended to the

antarctic circle it prevented the independent circulation of the

Southern Ocean waters, consequently during such times ice periods

could not have occurred in the southern hemisphere.

It will be noticed that according to the views given above, the

several theories which have been published to account for great

climatic changes neglect to set forth the only efficacious methods

through which nature works for conveying and withdrawing tropical heat

sufficient to cause temperate and frigid periods in the high

latitudes. While lack of space forbids an explanation of the causes

which would perfect an ice period in the northern hemisphere, I will

say that it could be mainly brought about through the independent

circulation of the arctic waters, which now largely prevent the

tropical waters of the North Atlantic from entering the arctic seas,

thus causing the accumulation of ice sheets on Greenland. But before a

northern ice period can be perfected, it seems that it will need to

co-operate with a cold period in the southern hemisphere; and in order

to have the ice of a northern frigid period melt away, it would

require the assistance of a mild climate in the high southern

latitudes.--_Science_.

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Scientific American Supplement No. 819, September 12, 1891 · 第 34 / 45 题