NEW YORK, Jan. 30, 1893.]

The suddenness--so far, at least, as the general public is

concerned--with which the long-existing troubles in Hawaii have come to

a head, and the character of the advances reported to be addressed to

the United States by the revolutionary government, formally recognized

as _de facto_ by our representative on the spot, add another to the

many significant instances furnished by history, that, as men in the

midst of life are in death, so nations in the midst of peace find

themselves confronted with unexpected causes of dissension, conflicts

of interests, whose results may be, on the one hand, war, or, on the

other, abandonment of clear and imperative national advantage in order

to avoid an issue for which preparation has not been made. By no

premeditated contrivance of our own, by the cooperation of a series of

events which, however dependent step by step upon human action, were

not intended to prepare the present crisis, the United States finds

herself compelled to answer a question--to make a decision--not unlike

and not less momentous than that required of the Roman senate, when the

Mamertine garrison invited it to occupy Messina, and so to abandon the

hitherto traditional policy which had confined the expansion of Rome to

the Italian peninsula. For let it not be overlooked that, whether we

wish or no, we _must_ answer the question, we _must_ make the decision.

The issue cannot be dodged. Absolute inaction in such a case is a

decision as truly as the most vehement action. We can now advance, but,

the conditions of the world being what they are, if we do not advance

we recede; for there is involved not so much a particular action as a

question of principle, pregnant of great consequences in one direction

or in the other.

Occasion of serious difficulty, indeed, should not arise here. Unlike

the historical instance just cited, the two nations whose interests

have come now into contact--Great Britain and the United States--are

so alike in inherited traditions, habits of thought, and views of

right, that injury to the one need not be anticipated from the

predominance of the other in a quarter where its interests also

predominate. Despite the heterogeneous character of the immigration

which the past few years have been pouring into our country, our

political traditions and racial characteristics still continue

English--Mr. Douglas Campbell would say Dutch, but even so the stock

is the same. Though thus somewhat gorged with food not wholly to its

taste, our political digestion has contrived so far to master the

incongruous mass of materials it has been unable to reject; and if

assimilation has been at times imperfect, our political constitution

and spirit remain English in essential features. Imbued with like

ideals of liberty, of law, of right, certainly not less progressive

than our kin beyond sea, we are, in the safeguards deliberately placed

around our fundamental law, even more conservative than they. That

which we received of the true spirit of freedom we have kept--liberty

and law--not the one or the other, but both. In that spirit we not

only have occupied our original inheritance, but also, step by step,

as Rome incorporated the other nations of the peninsula, we have added

to it, spreading and perpetuating everywhere the same foundation

principles of free and good government which, to her honor be it said,

Great Britain also has maintained throughout her course. And now,

arrested on the south by the rights of a race wholly alien to us, and

on the north by a body of states of like traditions to our own, whose

freedom to choose their own affiliations we respect, we have come to

the sea. In our infancy we bordered upon the Atlantic only; our youth

carried our boundary to the Gulf of Mexico; to-day maturity sees us

upon the Pacific. Have we no right or no call to progress farther in

any direction? Are there for us beyond the sea horizon none of those

essential interests, of those evident dangers, which impose a policy

and confer rights?

This is the question that long has been looming upon the brow of a

future now rapidly passing into the present. Of it the Hawaiian

incident is a part--intrinsically, perhaps, a small part--but in its

relations to the whole so vital that, as has been said before, a wrong

decision does not stand by itself, but involves, not only in principle

but in fact, recession along the whole line. In our natural, necessary,

irrepressible expansion, we are come here into contact with the

progress of another great people, the law of whose being has impressed

upon it a principle of growth which has wrought mightily in the past,

and in the present is visible by recurring manifestations. Of this

working, Gibraltar, Malta, Cyprus, Egypt, Aden, India, in geographical

succession though not in strict order of time, show a completed chain;

forged link by link, by open force or politic bargain, but always

resulting from the steady pressure of a national instinct, so powerful

and so accurate that statesmen of every school, willing or unwilling,

have found themselves carried along by a tendency which no

individuality can resist or greatly modify. Both unsubstantial rumor

and incautious personal utterance have suggested an impatient desire

in Mr. Gladstone to be rid of the occupation of Egypt; but scarcely

has his long exclusion from office ended when the irony of events

signalizes his return thereto by an increase in the force of

occupation. Further, it may be noted profitably of the chain just

cited, that the two extremities were first possessed--first India,

then Gibraltar, far later Malta, Aden, Cyprus, Egypt--and that, with

scarce an exception, each step has been taken despite the jealous

vexation of a rival. Spain has never ceased angrily to bewail

Gibraltar. "I had rather see the English on the heights of

Montmartre," said the first Napoleon, "than in Malta." The feelings of

France about Egypt are matter of common knowledge, not even

dissembled; and, for our warning be it added, her annoyance is

increased by the bitter sense of opportunity rejected.

It is needless here to do more than refer to that other chain of

maritime possessions--Halifax, Bermuda, Santa Lucia, Jamaica--which

strengthen the British hold upon the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the

Isthmus of Panama. In the Pacific the position is for them much less

satisfactory--nowhere, perhaps, is it less so, and from obvious natural

causes. The commercial development of the eastern Pacific has been far

later, and still is less complete, than that of its western shores. The

latter when first opened to European adventure were already the seat of

ancient economies in China and Japan, furnishing abundance of curious

and luxurious products to tempt the trader by good hopes of profit. The

western coast of America, for the most part peopled by savages, offered

little save the gold and silver of Mexico and Peru, and these were

monopolized jealously by the Spaniards--not a commercial nation--during

their long ascendency. Being so very far from England and affording so

little material for trade, Pacific America did not draw the enterprise

of a country the chief and honorable inducement of whose seamen was the

hope of gain, in pursuit of which they settled and annexed point after

point in the regions where they penetrated, and upon the routes leading

thither. The western coasts of North America, being reached only by the

long and perilous voyage around Cape Horn, or by a more toilsome and

dangerous passage across the continent, remained among the last of the

temperate productive seaboards of the earth to be possessed by white

men. The United States were already a nation, in fact as well as in

form, when Vancouver was exploring Puget Sound and passed first through

the channel separating the mainland of British America from the island

which now bears his name. Thus it has happened that, from the late

development of British Columbia in the northeastern Pacific, and of

Australia and New Zealand in the southwestern, Great Britain is found

again holding the two extremities of a line, between which she must

inevitably desire the intermediate links; nor is there any good reason

why she should not have them, except the superior, more urgent, more

vital necessities of another people--our own. Of these links the

Hawaiian group possesses unique importance--not from its intrinsic

commercial value, but from its favorable position for maritime and

military control.

The military or strategic value of a naval position depends upon its

situation, upon its strength, and upon its resources. Of the three, the

first is of most consequence, because it results from the nature of

things; whereas the two latter, when deficient, can be supplied

artificially, in whole or in part. Fortifications remedy the weaknesses

of a position, foresight accumulates beforehand the resources which

nature does not yield on the spot; but it is not within the power of

man to change the geographical situation of a point which lies outside

the limit of strategic effect. It is instructive, and yet apparent to

the most superficial reading, to notice how the first Napoleon, in

commenting upon a region likely to be the scene of war, begins by

considering the most conspicuous natural features, and then enumerates

the commanding positions, their distances from each other, the relative

directions, or, as the sea phrase is, their "bearings," and the

particular facilities each offers for operations of war. This furnishes

the ground plan, the skeleton, detached from confusing secondary

considerations, and from which a clear estimate of the decisive points

can be made. The number of such points varies greatly, according to the

character of the region. In a mountainous, broken country they may be

very many; whereas in a plain devoid of natural obstacles there may be

few, or none save those created by man. If few, the value of each is

necessarily greater than if many; and if there be but one, its

importance is not only unique, but extreme,--measured only by the size

of the field over which its unshared influence extends.

The sea, until it approaches the land, realizes the ideal of a vast

plain unbroken by obstacles. On the sea, says an eminent French

tactician, there is no field of battle, meaning that there is none of

the natural conditions which determine, and often fetter, the movements

of the general. But upon a plain, however flat and monotonous, causes,

possibly slight, determine the concentration of population into towns

and villages, and the necessary communications between the centres

create roads. Where the latter converge, or cross, tenure confers

command, depending for importance upon the number of routes thus

meeting, and upon their individual value. It is just so at sea. While

in itself the ocean opposes no obstacle to a vessel taking any one of

the numerous routes that can be traced upon the surface of the globe

between two points, conditions of distance or convenience, of traffic

or of wind, do prescribe certain usual courses. Where these pass near

an ocean position, still more where they use it, it has an influence

over them, and where several routes cross near by that influence

becomes very great,--is commanding.

Let us now apply these considerations to the Hawaiian group. To any one

viewing a map that shows the full extent of the Pacific Ocean, with its

shores on either side, two striking circumstances will be apparent

immediately. He will see at a glance that the Sandwich Islands stand by

themselves, in a state of comparative isolation, amid a vast expanse of

sea; and, again, that they form the centre of a large circle whose

radius is approximately--and very closely--the distance from Honolulu

to San Francisco. The circumference of this circle, if the trouble is

taken to describe it with compass upon the map, will be seen, on the

west and south, to pass through the outer fringe of the system of

archipelagoes which, from Australia and New Zealand, extend to the

northeast toward the American continent. Within the circle a few

scattered islets, bare and unimportant, seem only to emphasize the

failure of nature to bridge the interval separating Hawaii from her

peers of the Southern Pacific. Of these, however, it may be noted that

some, like Fanning and Christmas Islands, have within a few years been

taken into British possession. The distance from San Francisco to

Honolulu, twenty-one hundred miles--easy steaming distance--is

substantially the same as that from Honolulu to the Gilbert, Marshall,

Samoan, Society, and Marquesas groups, all under European control,

except Samoa, in which we have a part influence.

To have a central position such as this, and to be alone, having no

rival and admitting no alternative throughout an extensive tract, are

conditions that at once fix the attention of the strategist,--it may be

added, of the statesmen of commerce likewise. But to this striking

combination are to be added the remarkable relations, borne by these

singularly placed islands, to the greater commercial routes traversing

this vast expanse known to us as the Pacific,--not only, however, to

those now actually in use, important as they are, but also to those

that must be called into being necessarily by that future to which the

Hawaiian incident compels our too unwilling attention. Circumstances,

as already remarked, create centres, between which communication

necessarily follows; and in the vista of the future all discern,

however dimly, a new and great centre that must largely modify existing

sea routes, as well as bring new ones into existence. Whether the canal

of the Central American isthmus be eventually at Panama or at Nicaragua

matters little to the question now in hand, although, in common with

most Americans who have thought upon the subject, I believe it surely

will be at the latter point. Whichever it be, the convergence there of

so many ships from the Atlantic and the Pacific will constitute a

centre of commerce, interoceanic, and inferior to few, if to any, in

the world; one whose approaches will be watched jealously, and whose

relations to the other centres of the Pacific by the lines joining it

to them must be examined carefully. Such study of the commercial routes

and of their relations to the Hawaiian Islands, taken together with the

other strategic considerations previously set forth, completes the

synopsis of facts which determine the value of the group for conferring

either commercial or naval control.

Referring again to the map, it will be seen that while the shortest

routes from the Isthmus to Australia and New Zealand, as well as those

to South America, go well clear of any probable connection with or

interference from Hawaii, those directed toward China and Japan pass

either through the group or in close proximity to it. Vessels from

Central America bound to the ports of North America come, of course,

within the influence of our own coast. These circumstances, and the

existing recognized distribution of political power in the Pacific,

point naturally to an international acquiescence in certain defined

spheres of influence, for our own country and for others, such as has

been reached already between Great Britain, Germany, and Holland in the

Southwestern Pacific, to avoid conflict there between their respective

claims. Though artificial in form, such a recognition, in the case here

suggested, would depend upon perfectly natural as well as indisputable

conditions. The United States is by far the greatest, in numbers,

interests, and power, of the communities bordering upon the eastern

shores of the North Pacific; and the relations of the Hawaiian Islands

to her naturally would be, and actually are, more numerous and more

important than they can be to any other state. This is true, although,

unfortunately for the equally natural wishes of Great Britain and her

colonies, the direct routes from British Columbia to Eastern Australia

and New Zealand, which depend upon no building of a future canal, pass

as near the islands as those already mentioned. Such a fact, that this

additional great highway runs close to the group, both augments and

emphasizes their strategic importance; but it does not affect the

statement just made, that the interest of the United States in them

surpasses that of Great Britain, and dependent upon a natural cause,

nearness, which has been admitted always as a reasonable ground for

national self-assertion. It is unfortunate, doubtless, for the wishes

of British Columbia, and for the communications, commercial and

military, depending upon the Canadian Pacific Railway, that the United

States lies between them and the South Pacific, and is the state

nearest to Hawaii; but, the fact being so, the interests of our

sixty-five million people, in a position so vital to our part in the

Pacific, must be allowed to outweigh those of the six millions of

Canada.

From the foregoing considerations may be inferred the importance of the

Hawaiian Islands as a position powerfully influencing the commercial

and military control of the Pacific, and especially of the Northern

Pacific, in which the United States, geographically, has the strongest

right to assert herself. These are the main advantages, which can be

termed positive: those, namely, which directly advance commercial

security and naval control. To the negative advantages of possession,

by removing conditions which, if the islands were in the hands of any

other power, would constitute to us disadvantages and threats, allusion

only will be made. The serious menace to our Pacific coast and our

Pacific trade, if so important a position were held by a possible

enemy, has been mentioned frequently in the press, and dwelt upon in

the diplomatic papers which from time to time are given to the public.

It may be assumed that it is generally acknowledged. Upon one

particular, however, too much stress cannot be laid, one to which naval

officers cannot but be more sensitive than the general public, and that

is the immense disadvantage to us of any maritime enemy having a

coaling-station well within twenty-five hundred miles, as this is, of

every point of our coast-line from Puget Sound to Mexico. Were there

many others available, we might find it difficult to exclude from all.

There is, however, but the one. Shut out from the Sandwich Islands as a

coal base, an enemy is thrown back for supplies of fuel to distances of

thirty-five hundred or four thousand miles,--or between seven thousand

and eight thousand, going and coming,--an impediment to sustained

maritime operations well-nigh prohibitive. The coal-mines of British

Columbia constitute, of course, a qualification to this statement; but

upon them, if need arose, we might hope at least to impose some

trammels by action from the land side. It is rarely that so important a

factor in the attack or defence of a coast-line--of a sea frontier--is

concentrated in a single position; and the circumstance renders doubly

imperative upon us to secure it, if we righteously can.

It is to be hoped, also, that the opportunity thus thrust upon us may

not be viewed narrowly, as though it concerned but one section of our

country or one portion of its external trade or influence. This is no

mere question of a particular act, for which, possibly, just occasion

may not have offered yet; but of a principle, a policy, fruitful of

many future acts, to enter upon which, in the fulness of our national

progress, the time now has arrived. The principle being accepted, to be

conditioned only by a just and candid regard for the rights and

reasonable susceptibilities of other nations,--none of which is

contravened by the step here immediately under discussion,--the

annexation, even, of Hawaii would be no mere sporadic effort,

irrational because disconnected from an adequate motive, but a

first-fruit and a token that the nation in its evolution has aroused

itself to the necessity of carrying its life--that has been the

happiness of those under its influence--beyond the borders which

heretofore have sufficed for its activities. That the vaunted blessings

of our economy are not to be forced upon the unwilling may be conceded;

but the concession does not deny the right nor the wisdom of gathering

in those who wish to come. Comparative religion teaches that creeds

which reject missionary enterprise are foredoomed to decay. May it not

be so with nations? Certainly the glorious record of England is

consequent mainly upon the spirit, and traceable to the time, when she

launched out into the deep--without formulated policy, it is true, or

foreseeing the future to which her star was leading, but obeying the

instinct which in the infancy of nations anticipates the more reasoned

impulses of experience. Let us, too, learn from her experience. Not all

at once did England become the great sea power which she is, but step

by step, as opportunity offered, she has moved on to the world-wide

pre-eminence now held by English speech, and by institutions sprung

from English germs. How much poorer would the world have been, had

Englishmen heeded the cautious hesitancy that now bids us reject every

advance beyond our shore-lines! And can any one doubt that a cordial,

if unformulated, understanding between the two chief states of English

tradition, to spread freely, without mutual jealousy and in mutual

support, would increase greatly the world's sum of happiness?

But if a plea of the world's welfare seem suspiciously like a cloak for

national self-interest, let the latter be accepted frankly as the

adequate motive which it assuredly is. Let us not shrink from pitting a

broad self-interest against the narrow self-interest to which some

would restrict us. The demands of our three great seaboards, the

Atlantic, the Gulf, and the Pacific,--each for itself, and all for the

strength that comes from drawing closer the ties between them,--are

calling for the extension, through the Isthmian Canal, of that broad

sea common along which, and along which alone, in all the ages

prosperity has moved. Land carriage, always restricted and therefore

always slow, toils enviously but hopelessly behind, vainly seeking to

replace and supplant the royal highway of nature's own making.

Corporate interests, vigorous in that power of concentration which is

the strength of armies and of minorities, may here withstand for a

while the ill-organized strivings of the multitude, only dimly

conscious of its wants; yet the latter, however temporarily opposed and

baffled, is sure at last, like the blind forces of nature, to overwhelm

all that stand in the way of its necessary progress. So the Isthmian

Canal is an inevitable part in the future of the United States; yet one

that cannot be separated from other necessary incidents of a policy

dependent upon it, whose details cannot be foreseen exactly. But

because the precise steps that hereafter may be opportune or necessary

cannot yet be foretold certainly, is not a reason the less, but a

reason the more, for establishing a principle of action which may serve

to guide as opportunities arise. Let us start from the fundamental

truth, warranted by history, that the control of the seas, and

especially along the great lines drawn by national interest or national

commerce, is the chief among the merely material elements in the power

and prosperity of nations. It is so because the sea is the world's

great medium of circulation. From this necessarily follows the

principle that, as subsidiary to such control, it is imperative to take

possession, when it can be done righteously, of such maritime positions

as contribute to secure command. If this principle be adopted, there

will be no hesitation about taking the positions--and they are

many--upon the approaches to the Isthmus, whose interests incline them

to seek us. It has its application also to the present case of Hawaii.

There is, however, one caution to be given from the military point of

view, beyond the need of which the world has not yet passed. Military

positions, fortified posts, by land or by sea, however strong or

admirably situated, do not confer control by themselves alone. People

often say that such an island or harbor will give control of such a

body of water. It is an utter, deplorable, ruinous mistake. The phrase

indeed may be used by some only loosely, without forgetting other

implied conditions of adequate protection and adequate navies; but the

confidence of our own nation in its native strength, and its

indifference to the defence of its ports and the sufficiency of its

fleet, give reason to fear that the full consequences of a forward step

may not be weighed soberly. Napoleon, who knew better, once talked this

way. "The islands of San Pietro, Corfu, and Malta," he wrote, "will

make us masters of the whole Mediterranean." Vain boast! Within one

year Corfu, in two years Malta, were rent away from the state that

could not support them by its ships. Nay, more: had Bonaparte not taken

the latter stronghold out of the hands of its degenerate but innocuous

government, that citadel of the Mediterranean would perhaps--would

probably--never have passed into those of his chief enemy. There is

here also a lesson for us.

It is by no means logical to leap, from this recognition of the

necessity of adequate naval force to secure outlying dependencies, to

the conclusion that the United States would need for that object a navy

equal to the largest now existing. A nation as far removed as is our

own from the bases of foreign naval strength may reasonably reckon upon

the qualification that distance--not to speak of the complex European

interests close at hand--impresses upon the exertion of naval strength

by European powers. The mistake is when our remoteness, unsupported by

carefully calculated force, is regarded as an armor of proof, under

cover of which any amount of swagger may be indulged safely. An

estimate of what is an adequate naval force for our country may

properly take into account the happy interval which separates both our

present territory and our future aspirations from the centres of

interest really vital to European states. If to these safeguards be

added, on our part, a sober recognition of what our reasonable sphere

of influence is, and a candid justice in dealing with foreign interests

within that sphere, there will be little disposition to question our

preponderance therein.

Among all foreign states, it is especially to be hoped that each

passing year may render more cordial the relations between ourselves

and the great nation from whose loins we sprang. The radical identity

of spirit which underlies our superficial differences of polity surely

will draw us closer together, if we do not set our faces wilfully

against a tendency which would give our race the predominance over the

seas of the world. To force such a consummation is impossible, and if

possible would not be wise; but surely it would be a lofty aim, fraught

with immeasurable benefits, to desire it, and to raise no needless

impediments by advocating perfectly proper acts, demanded by our

evident interests, in offensive or arrogant terms.

The Interest of America in Sea Power, Present and Future · 第 12 / 19 题