THE MONEY ARTICLE OF THE PRESS
The Money Article of the daily Press is regarded so much as a part
of the usual information provided for the public, that few readers
pause to consider the large amount and far-reaching character of the
information which is supplied therein: information gathered from all
quarters of the globe—sifted, summarised, and placed before the public
in a concise form. The amount of practical and useful knowledge derived
from a perusal of Money Articles depends entirely upon the reader.
Without some knowledge of the Money Market and financial matters
generally, the articles resolve themselves into a mere record of the
rise and fall in price of various commodities—money, bills, stocks,
and shares. With knowledge, however, these articles may be said to
represent to the reader a mirror, in which the affairs of the whole
world are pictured, though in a somewhat mercenary manner.
The genesis of the Money Article was about the year 1825. Previous
to that date a few of the leading papers published a list of the
prices of the stocks and shares then dealt in on the Stock Exchange,
but practically nothing further than the list appeared. About the
above-mentioned year, however, public interest in Stock Exchange
matters received a great stimulus, and the editors of certain papers
then commenced to devote more attention to the matter than they had
previously done. As the subject gradually became of more and wider
interest to the public at large, the papers devoted more and more
attention to it. The advent of limited liability companies enormously
increased the number of persons interested in Stock Exchange matters,
and the Money Article then became an important and integral part of
every paper of standing. At the present time, as previously noted,
the Money Article really reflects the financial matters of the whole
world, and any event which causes a change in the natural or political
conditions of any country the world over is sure, sooner or later, to
have its effect noted in one of the paragraphs of the Money Article.
There are two ways of reading a Money Article. The first, and probably
by far the most popular method, is merely to glance at, or “skip
over,” the information respecting the condition of the Money Market,
the price of money, the discount of bills, foreign exchanges, Bank
Return, etc., and to turn to the supposedly more interesting subject of
the fluctuations in prices on the Stock Exchange, and especially of the
prices of those securities in which the reader has a pecuniary interest.
The other method of reading these articles, and certainly the most
profitable method, is to read thoughtfully _all_ the information, and
to note the connection of cause and effect in relation to the various
items mentioned; in fact, to read the articles as a homogeneous whole,
and not simply to dip into them here and there; and the reader who so
reads his Money Article will be surprised to find what an insight into
the present and, to a certain extent, the future financial position he
acquires thereby.
The City Editor of a paper has a vast amount of information to supply
to the public, and a limited amount of space in which to present
that information, and the result is that these articles are usually
decidedly “terse”—not to say abrupt—in style: a fact is briefly stated,
and the probable effect of such fact is added, though no information is
given as to why such an effect should result from such a cause, which
is left to the reader to fathom out as best he can.
Money Articles may be roughly divided into two sections: the first
deals with the Money Market proper, the foreign exchanges, gold
movements, etc., and the second with Stock Exchange matters. These two
sections may appeal to somewhat different classes of the community; but
the connection between them is so intimate, and they act and react on
each other so frequently, that they cannot be dissociated. The first
section of the article more nearly affects the subject-matter of this
book than the latter portion, which is amply dealt with in another book
of this series.
Money Articles almost invariably commence with a paragraph which
is really a general summary of the events which have transpired in
the Money Market on the day of writing. The first paragraph, though
consisting of only a few lines, often teems with information to those
that can read it aright. Nearly all the subjects with which it deals
have been dealt with in the course of this book, and therefore it will
only be necessary to enumerate them here.
The condition of the Money Market is first noted in reference to
the supply and demand of “call” and “short money,” as between the
bill-brokers, the banks, and the Bank of England; the rates are quoted
at which money was lent at “call,” “overnight,” or for “short periods,”
and mention is made of any transactions in this market entered into by
the India Council. Passing on from this, any facts are mentioned which,
on the day in question, _have_ had, or on the following day _will_
have, any important bearing on the position of the short loan fund.
These items comprise reminders of the falling due of any instalment
on large new public issues, the payment for or repayment of Treasury,
India, or Corporation bills, etc.
The question of discount rates is then dealt with, and a note is
usually made as to whether or no the banks are “working”; that is,
whether the banks are buying bills from the brokers, or refraining from
so doing. The paragraph then usually concludes with a reference to
exchange rates.
The article then proceeds to note any import or export of gold which
has taken place on the day in question, and any variation which may
have occurred in the price of gold. Importers of the metal know that
they can always sell their gold to the Bank of England at the minimum
price of £3 17_s._ 9_d._ per standard ounce, and therefore the price
never falls below this figure. If there is any foreign demand for gold,
the exporters will bid above this price, and secure what is offering,
unless the Bank of England raises its buying price, as it sometimes
does in times of stringency. It is of interest to note the origin of
imports and the destination of exports of gold; and, at the same time,
to follow the movements in the exchange rates of London with these
places of origin or destination. The action of the Bank of France and
of the Reichsbank in retarding exports will frequently become visible
in these figures, as will also the action of the latter institution in
facilitating imports of the metal into Germany. A note will at times
appear that so much gold has been sold for Germany at such a price, and
if the foreign exchange table in the same article be referred to, it
will often be found that this gold has left us for Berlin in spite of
the exchange being well above the nominal export specie point.
The expression that “the Bank bought so much gold to-day” appears to
cause difficulty in some minds, in that some people cannot understand
how the Bank benefits by buying gold. “What can be the use of the
Bank buying gold?” they say. “It must give gold for gold, which won’t
alter its position in the slightest!” This matter is a very simple one
really, and explains itself with a little thought. The usual procedure
of dealing with an import of gold is for the importer, or his agent, to
hand the gold to the Banking Department of the Bank of England, which
_credits_ him for the value of the gold. Of course, if the importer
were then to draw out this amount in gold the Bank would not be
benefited, but this does not happen under any ordinary circumstances.
The Banking Department passes the gold on to the Issue Department in
exchange for notes, and the extent to which the Bank benefits is shown
in the ensuing Return, when “Other Deposits” will be increased, owing
to some account having been credited for the gold received, and on
the other side of the account “Notes” will be so much higher; that
is, the Reserve and Ratio will both be increased. The figures of the
Issue Department will be increased on each side by the amount of gold
received and notes issued.
The question of silver is then dealt with in the article. This question
is not now of such importance as was the case a few years ago, when
the bi-metallic theory was so much to the fore. The position of silver
is very different now from what it was up to quite recent years. For
many centuries previous to about thirty years ago, the price of silver
as compared with that of gold was about as 15 is to 1; in other words,
an ounce of silver was worth about 5_s._, and an ounce of gold about
75_s._ to 80_s._ This state of things has now entirely disappeared,
however, and we find silver fluctuating rapidly and extensively in
price—having in the course of the year 1902 been as low as 21⁹/₁₆_d._
per ounce.
The reason for this fall in the price of silver is not far to seek;
supply has largely exceeded demand. Several countries which had been
large consumers of silver for currency purposes have, during the last
thirty years, thrown over their silver system and adopted gold in its
place, as a standard of value. This, of course, largely decreased the
demand for the metal, and in addition it threw a large amount of silver
out of circulation and on to the market. The supply of the metal has
also been largely increased, owing to extensive discoveries of new
mines, and to improvements in the method of mining, which have made it
possible for mines of a low grade of ore to be worked at a commercial
profit.
The paragraph in the article relating to silver is of chief interest
to those who have commercial transactions with silver using countries,
and also to those who are interested in companies whose business is
conducted in such countries. These companies earn their revenue in
silver, but pay their dividends in gold, in addition to often paying
for much of their material in gold. Therefore the rate of exchange
between such countries and London, which rate is of course subject to
the price of silver, is of material interest to the holders of such
stocks.
The price of the Mexican dollar is frequently noted in the “silver”
paragraph of Money Articles. Mexican dollars circulate freely on the
coast of China, in spite of many efforts which have been made to
supplant them. When the dollars arrive in China the merchants who
receive them put their “mark” on each coin, which thereafter circulates
freely; the merchants’ “marks” being looked on by the populace as
a proof of genuineness. In London, Mexican dollars are dealt in by
weight, and as they are coined in silver nine-tenths fine, their price
should consequently be a little less per ounce than the price of bar
silver; but demand sometimes exceeds supply, when the price of the
coins rises somewhat considerably above their intrinsic worth.
The Indian price of silver is also noted in the article: this price
refers to the number of rupees which have to be given for one hundred
tolas of silver; the tola being an Indian weight equal to ·375 ounce,
and the silver being about nine-tenths fine.
Up to this point the information given in Money Articles is of
daily occurrence, and attention is then turned to various items of
intelligence according to the day of the week or month. For instance,
the day after ’Change is held in London, a paragraph is inserted
dealing with the various alterations which have been established
in exchange rates since the previous post day, and the “Course of
Exchange” is usually printed, more or less in full. On Friday mornings
the Bank Return is published, and the City Editor adds his own notes
on the same, calling attention to, and explaining as best he can, any
alterations which have occurred since the previous return. On Friday
also, the return of the Bankers’ Clearing House makes its appearance.
On Wednesdays and Thursdays the traffic returns of various railways
are published. These returns are of interest as exhibiting the state
of trade throughout the country as a whole, as well as the position
of individual lines. In considering railway traffics, and comparing
them with previous results, care must be taken to bear in mind any
alteration which may have taken place in the price of labour, coal,
or material; as an increase in gross profit may be quite offset by an
increase in any one of these items, and _vice versâ_. It is also of
interest to note that an increase or decrease in the _gross_ earnings
of a railway, the chief business of which consists of passenger
traffic, has far greater effect on the _net_ earnings than does a
similar increase or decrease have on a line the chief business of which
consists of goods traffic. Passenger trains run whether they are full
or empty, and therefore an increase in the takings from passengers
means, very largely, so much more net earnings; whereas goods trains
usually run only when traffic offers, and therefore extra traffic means
considerable extra expense. In considering the probable results of
railways doing business in silver using countries, the influence of the
price of silver must not be overlooked.
On the seventh day of each month the Board of Trade publishes a return
showing the exports, imports, and re-exports of goods for the previous
month. This return is summarised in the following day’s Money Article,
and when this is read in conjunction with the Clearing House Return and
the Traffic Returns, the three together form a very good barometer of
the state of our trade. In studying the figures of the Board of Trade,
and comparing them with previous returns, it is important to remember
that _values_ only should not be considered, but _quantities_ as well
as _values_; we may have imported considerably more of a certain
commodity, but paid less for it, or imported less and paid more.
In many articles two tables relating to the foreign exchanges appear
daily; one of these is a table of the rates of interest for money
ruling in the principal financial centres of the Continent, and
the other is a table of the exchange rates prevailing in foreign
centres for drafts _on_ London. The first of these tables is of use
as providing one of the factors necessary to calculate the “long”
rate from the “short” rate; it is also of use as being a guide to the
comparative value of money in various centres, and thereby indicating
the likelihood of foreign bankers investing their funds in London
bills, or of withdrawing such investments. The second table indicates
the movements in rates which are taking place on the Continent
between our “’Change” days, and it is of use to those persons who
have considerable sums to pay to, or receive from, foreign centres.
As was noted in the chapter dealing with the foreign exchanges, the
rates between any two given centres always keep nearly on a level, but
there is at times a slight variation. Advantage can be taken of this
variation by persons having transactions with such centres, and this
table affords necessary information in the matter.
The foregoing items of news comprise the Money Market portion of the
article, and attention is then given to the Stock Exchange portion.
This portion is divided into several paragraphs, each one of which
deals with a special and well-recognised class of stock, or “market,”
as it is called.
First we have the paragraph dealing with the “gilt-edged market.”
This market comprises securities of, or guaranteed by, the British
Government (Consols, local loans, etc.), Bank stock, and colonial
and municipal issues. The whole of this market is largely under the
influence of the price of money, and, at present, of excess of supply
over demand. The supply of Government stocks has, of course, been
increased owing to the requirements of the late war, which led to a
further issue of Consols, in addition to the creation of the War Loan
and Transvaal Loan. In addition, a very large amount of colonial and
municipal loans has been offered to the public during the course of the
last few years. These issues have been far in excess of the demand,
with a consequence that the market has been glutted with securities
of this class, resulting in an all-round depression of prices. This
depression has been deepened by the knowledge of the many new issues
which are only awaiting a favourable opportunity to be launched on the
public.
The next paragraph in most Money Articles deals with the “Foreign
Market”—Spanish, Turks, Russians, Tintos, etc. In this section
securities are dealt with which have a more or less international
character, and in which dealings on foreign stock exchanges have often
considerably more importance than the dealings on our own Exchange.
Hence this section is not so much under the influence of the price of
money as it is under the influence of the attitude and condition of
foreign centres, especially those of Paris and Berlin.
Home railways are then dealt with, and then American rails, which
latter are, of course, largely under the influence of New York and its
magnates. Then comes a paragraph dealing with colonial and foreign
rails, which are largely under harvest influences, and the internal
condition of the country in which they do their business. Then follow
paragraphs on the miscellaneous and industrial sections, and lastly a
paragraph on the mining market.
The miscellaneous and industrial section is chiefly notable for the
large number and different character of the securities there dealt
in, comprising the shares of banks, breweries, insurance and finance
companies, iron, coal, and steel concerns, waterworks, etc., besides
the shares of numerous manufacturing and catering companies. Much
speculation exists in certain classes of these shares, but it is
a noticeable fact that the issues of many of the sound industrial
concerns have withstood the recent severe wave of depression far better
than have many securities which are supposed to be of a considerably
higher status.
Following this there usually appear dividend announcements, reports
of company meetings, and a number of miscellaneous notices. Although
these notices mostly explain themselves, and are of interest only to
persons connected with them, yet one or two items which appear from
time to time are of somewhat more general interest. It is of frequent
occurrence to find in this portion of the article a notice that
“tenders for Treasury Bills will be received at the Bank of England on
such a date.”
Treasury Bills constitute a Money Market and not a Stock Exchange
security, and they belong to the unfunded debt of this country. They
were first issued in 1877, and were promptly recognised, both in our
own and foreign markets, as being bills of the highest possible class.
These bills are issued from time to time to suit the necessities of
the Government; they have a currency of three, six, nine, or twelve
months, and are of great assistance to the Chancellor of the Exchequer
in enabling him to regulate the finances of his department.
Treasury Bills are always issued by the tender system, and those
persons who wish to acquire some of these bills must make their
application through a London banker. The tender must state how much per
cent. will be given for such an amount of bills, and those who tender
at higher figures will, of course, obtain an allotment in preference to
those tendering at lower ones.
Besides Treasury Bills, several other classes of security are, from
time to time, issued by tender; for example: India bills, London County
Council bills, Corporation and Colonial stock. This system of issue is
not a popular method so far as the general public are concerned, as it
is not properly understood; and when the public do endeavour to obtain
investments in this manner, they often make ludicrous and expensive
mistakes by tendering at a figure far above what would easily obtain an
allotment.
Another item of interest which appears among these “notices” is the
notice of issue of stock at _fixed prices_. Such notices appear plain
on the face of them; but, on comparing the price of issue with the
market price of similar stocks, care must be taken not to overlook the
fact that very frequently certain allowances have to be taken off the
nominal price of issue. These allowances are in respect of the stock
being only paid up by instalments, while interest is often paid on
the full nominal amount; and often, in addition, a full six months’
interest is paid only three or four months after the issue; besides
which the stock can frequently be paid up in full at any time, under
rebate. Such considerations as these should always be borne in mind, as
they have a material bearing on the _real_ price of issue.
The article concludes with a list of “closing prices,” and of “business
done” on the Stock Exchange on the day in question. The closing prices
are estimates only, supplied by certain members of the House, and
though affording a very good guide to the course of prices, they cannot
be relied upon for any out-of-the-way securities—actual dealings in
which may be impossible at the prices quoted.
From this brief examination of the usual contents of a Money Article,
the large amount of information embodied in such becomes apparent,
and also the necessity for a certain amount of technical knowledge to
enable a reader to grasp, and make full use of the information there
placed at his service.