WEATHER PREDICTION AND MODIFICATION

Meteorological satellites should make possible weather observations over

the entire globe. Today, only 20 percent of the globe is covered by any

regular observational and reporting systems. If we can solve the

problems of handling the vast amounts of data that will be received,

develop methods for timely analysis of the data and the notification of

weather bureaus throughout the world, we should be able to improve by a

significant degree the accuracy of weather predictions. An improvement

of only 10 percent in accuracy could result in savings totaling hundreds

of millions of dollars annually to farmers, builders, airlines,

shipping, the tourist trade, and many other enterprises.

Perhaps even greater savings will come from warning systems devised for

hurricanes and tornadoes.

The slight knowledge which humans actually have of weather forces can be

seen from the fact that at present we do not even know exactly how rain

begins.[58] Learning to predict it and to modify it, through space

application, might help slow down the soil erosion of arable land--that

"geological inevitability * * * which man can only hasten or

postpone."[59] It is noteworthy that the two leading nations in space

research, the United States and the U.S.S.R., are among the most

affected by soil erosion.

The "leg up" which the United States has in this particular phase of

space research is illustrated by the acute photographic talents of the

Tiros satellite and their meaning to weather experts. The following

description of some of the earliest pictures by the Director of the

Office of Meteorological Research, U.S. Weather Bureau, is illuminating.

This picture, labeled "No. 1," was the storm that was picked up in

the early orbits of Tiros on the first day of launch, April 1. This

shows the storm 120 miles east of Cape Cod, with dry continental

air streaming off the United States, not shown by clouds, and off

the coast the moist air streaming up to the north, counterclockwise

around the center, producing widespread clouds and precipitation as

far north as the Gulf of St. Lawrence.

On that same day mention was made of a storm in the Midwest. That

is illustrated by photograph No. 2. This was centered over

southeast Nebraska, a rather extensive storm. Again, we have a

clear air portion shown by a dark area, the ground underneath,

which has less brightness than the clouds, the cold air from Canada

streaming into that area, not characterized by clouds, and to the

east the moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, in this general

neighborhood, streaming around into that center and producing

rather widespread rains. In this case near the Gulf of Mexico,

where the cloud is extremely bright, indicating that the clouds are

very high, thunderstorms were found in that area.

[Illustration: FIGURE 12.--Storm center over Nebraska

photographed by the first U.S. weather satellite, Tiros, on April

1, 1960. The extent of the picture can be seen from the

accompanying weather map.]

It is a sort of situation in which tornadoes are to be found in

this very bright cloudy area, especially this time of year in the

Midwest.

A third vortex was observed, also April 1, in the Gulf of Alaska,

500 miles southeast of Kodiak Island. The vortex circulation is

clearly evidenced by the clouds which form in a circular array, and

the large clear area in the center of the storm.

No. 4 picture refers to a very big storm 1,500 miles in diameter

located 300 miles west of Ireland on April 2. This is a very old

storm which was whirling around, had no fronts associated with it.

It has long since wound up around the center. There is a rather

well-marked structure to the clouds that you can see. It is quite

different from the pictures in the first two. These are storms

mostly over the continental area or just off the coast. The storms

over the oceans seem to show more of a banded structure. By that I

mean circular bands of clouds, of width perhaps ranging from 20

miles to a few hundred miles, spiraling around the center in a

counterclockwise manner.[60]

The Practical Values of Space Exploration Report of the Committee on Science and Astronautics, U.S. House of Representatives, Eighty-Sixth Congress, Second Session · 第 46 / 56 题