CHAPTER XI.

WARFARE.

The last notable war of the nineteenth century has falsified the

anticipations of nearly all the makers of small arms. The magazine

rifle was held to be so perfect in its trajectory, and in the rapidity

with which it could discharge its convenient store of cartridges in

succession, that the bayonet charge had been put outside of the region

of possibility in warfare. Those who reasoned thus were forgetting, to

a large extent, that while small arms have been improving so also has

artillery, and that a bayonet charge covered by a demoralising fire of

field-pieces, mortars, and quick-firing artillery is a very different

thing from one in which the assailants alone are the targets exposed

to fire. Given that two opposing armies are possessed of weapons of

about equal capacity for striking from a distance, they may do one

another a great deal of harm without coming to close quarters at all.

Yet victory will rest with the men who have sufficient bravery, skill

and ingenuity to cross the fire-zone and tackle their enemies hand to

hand.

Smoke-producing shells and other forms of projected cover, designed to

mask the advance of cavalry and infantry, will greatly assist in the

work of rendering this task of crossing the fire-zone less dangerous,

notwithstanding any possible improvement that may be effected in the

magazine-rifle. Already it has been observed that much of the surprise

and confusion which terrifies those who have no bayonets, when

subjected to a cannonade and at the same time brought face to face

with a bayonet charge, arises from the fact that they cannot see to

shoot straight, owing to the haze produced by the smoke and its

blinding effects upon the eyes.

Special smoke-producing shells, made for the express purpose of

covering a charge, will soon be evolved from the laboratory of the

chemist in pursuance of this clue. In addition to shells and other

missiles, small pieces of steel-piping will be projected by mortars

into the fire-swept zone, in order to supplement the defects of

natural cover which, of course, are nearly always as great as

possible, seeing that the ground has generally been selected by the

side against which the attack is being directed.

The task of enabling a rifleman to shoot straight has been taken up

with extraordinary zeal and ability compared with the amount of skill

and effort devoted to the corresponding or opposing object of spoiling

his aim and preventing him from getting a shot in. When this latter

has been to some extent accomplished, mainly by the agency of

artillery, the bayonet and other weapons for use at close quarters

will once more be in the ascendant. Thin shields of hard steel will be

affixed to the rifles of the attacking party, so as to deflect the

bullets wherever possible.

This baffling of the rifleman by the artillery supporting the cavalry

and bayonet charge will produce momentous changes, not only in the

future of war, but also in that of international relations. Anything

which tends to discount the value of personal bravery and to elevate

the tactics of the ambuscade and the sharp-shooting expedition gives,

_pro tanto_, an advantage to the meaner-spirited races of mankind, and

places them more or less in a position of mastery over those who hold

higher racial traditions. The man who will face the risk of being shot

in the open generally belongs to a higher type of humanity than he who

only shoots from behind cover.

Moreover, the nations which have the skill and ingenuity to

manufacture new weapons of self-defence belong to a higher class than

those which only acquire advanced warlike munitions by purchase. One

of the early international movements of the twentieth century will be

directed towards the prohibition of the sale of such weapons as

magazine-rifles, quick-firing field guns, and torpedoes to any savage

or barbarous race. It will be accounted as treason to civilisation for

any member of the international family to permit its manufacturers to

sell the latest patterns of weapons to races whose ascendency might

possibly become a menace to civilisation. As factors in determining

the survival of the fittest, the elements of high character, bravery,

and intellectual development must be conserved in their maximum

efficiency at all hazards.

Another potent element in the safeguards of civilisation may be seen

in the increased effectiveness of weapons for coastal defence. The

hideous nightmare of a barbarian irruption, such as those which almost

erased culture and intellect from the face of Europe during the dark

ages of the fourth, fifth and sixth centuries, may occasionally be

seen exercising its influence in the pessimistic writings which are

from time to time issued from the Press predicting the coming

ascendency of the yellow man.

However the case may be in regard to nations which are accessible by

land to the encroachments of the Asiatic, there is no doubt that those

countries which are divided off by the sea have been rendered much

more secure through the rapid advances which have been made in the

modern appliances for defending coasts and harbours. In naval tactics,

also, it will be more and more clearly seen that to possess and defend

the harbours where coaling can be carried out is practically to

possess and defend the trade of the high seas; and the essence of good

maritime policy will be to so locate the defended harbours that they

may afford the greatest amount of protection, having in view the harm

that may be done by an enemy's harbours in the vicinity.

The most effective naval weapon in the future will undoubtedly be the

torpedo, but, like the bayonet, it requires to be in the hands of

brave men before its value as the ultimate arbiter of naval conflict

can be demonstrated. Much fallacious teaching has arisen from what has

been called the lessons of certain naval wars which occurred on the

coasts of South America and China--international embroilments in which

mercenaries, or only half-trained seamen and engineers, were engaged.

On similar fallacious grounds it was argued that the magazine-rifle

had put the bayonet out of the court of military arbitrament, and the

South African war has proved conclusively how erroneous was that idea.

The use of the torpedo-boat and of the weapons which it carries must

always demand, like that of the bayonet, men of the strongest nerve,

and of the greatest devotion to their duty and to their country.

Fifty miles an hour is a rate which is already in sight as the speed

of the future torpedo-boat, the first turbine steamer of the British

Navy having achieved forty-three miles an hour before the end of the

nineteenth century. It should be distinctly understood, however, that

such a speed cannot be kept up for any great length of time and that

long voyages are out of the question. The role of the turbine

torpedo-boat will be to "get home" with its weapon in the shortest

practicable time. Hence its great value for the defence of harbours by

striking at distances of perhaps two or three hours' steaming.

On the high seas the battle-ships, which will virtually be the

cruisers of the future, will be provided with turbine torpedo-boats,

carried slung in convenient positions and ready at short notice to be

let slip like greyhounds. During the hazardous run of the

torpedo-boat towards the enemy, various devices will be employed for

the purpose of baffling his aim, such for instance as the emission of

volumes of smoke from the bows and the erection of broad network

blinds covering the sight of the little craft, but capable of being

shifted from side to side, so that the enemy's marksmen may never know

exactly what part of the object in sight is to be aimed at. The

torpedo will be carried on a mast, which at the right moment can be

lowered to form a projecting spar like a bowsprit; and the explosion

that will take place on its impact with the enemy's hull will be

enough to blow a fatal breach in any warship afloat.

For harbour defence and the safety of the battle-ship the wire-guided

and propelled torpedo will form a second line behind the fast

torpedo-boat. This type of weapon strikes with more unerring accuracy

than any other yet included in the armoury of naval warfare, because

it is under the control of the marksman from the time of its launching

until it fulfils its deadly mission. Its range, of course, is strictly

limited; but it may be worked to advantage within the distances at

which the best naval artillery can be depended upon to make good

practice.

The least costly and the lightest form is that in which the backward

pulling of two wires, unwinding two drums on the torpedo, actuates two

screws at greater or less speeds according to the rapidity of the

motion imparted, any advantage of speed in one screw over the other

being responded to by an alteration in the direction taken by the

weapon. The torpedo may be set so as to dive from the surface at any

desired interval; but, of course, an appearance in the form of at

least a flash is necessary to enable the operator to judge in what

direction he is sending his missile. Small torpedo-boats, not manned

but sticking to the surface, may be used in the same manner. Each one

no doubt runs a very great risk of being hit by shot or shell aimed at

them; but out of half a dozen, discharged at short intervals, it would

be practically impossible for an enemy to make certain that one at

least did not find its billet.

The submarine boat will have some useful applications in peace; but

its range of utility in warfare is likely to be very limited. It is

hopeless to expect the eyes of sailors to see any great distance under

the water; therefore the descent must be made within sight of the

enemy, who has only to surround himself with placed contact-torpedoes

hanging to a depth, and to pollute the water in order to render the

assault an absolutely desperate enterprise.

Military aeronautics, like submarine operations in naval warfare, have

been somewhat overrated. Visions of air-ships hovering over a doomed

city and devastating it with missiles dropped from above are mere

fairy tales. Indeed the whole subject of aeronautics as an element in

future human progress has excited far more attention than its

intrinsic merits deserve.

A balloon is at the mercy of the wind and must remain so, while a true

flying machine, which supports itself in the air by the operation of

fans or similar devices, may be interesting as a toy, but cannot have

much economical importance for the future. When man has the solid

earth upon which to conduct his traffic, without the necessity of

overcoming the force of gravitation by costly power, he would be

foolish in the extreme to attempt to abandon the advantage which this

gives him, and to commit himself to such an element as the air, in

which the power required to lift himself and his goods would be

immeasurably greater than that needed to transport them from place to

place.

The amount of misdirected ingenuity that has been expended on these

two problems of submarine and aerial navigation during the nineteenth

century will offer one of the most curious and interesting studies to

the future historian of technological progress. Unfortunately that

faculty of the constructive imagination upon which inventive talent

depends may too frequently be indulged by its possessor without any

serious reference to the question of utility. Fancy paints a picture

in which the inventor appears disporting himself at unheard-of depths

below the surface of the sea or at extraordinary heights above the

level of the land, while his friends, his rivals, and all manner of

men and women besides, gaze with amazement! Patent agents are only too

well aware how often an inordinate desire for self-glorification goes

along with real inventive talent, and how many of the brotherhood of

inventors make light of the losses which may be inflicted upon

trusting investors so long as they themselves may get well talked

about.

Nations may at times be infected with this unpractical vainglory of

inventiveness; and on these occasions there is need of all the

restraining influence of the hard-headed business man to prevent the

waste of enormous sums of money. The idea that military ascendency in

the future is to be secured by the ability to fly through the air and

to dive for long distances under the water has taken possession of

certain sections in France, Germany, Russia, Great Britain and the

United States. Large numbers of voluble "Boulevardiers" in Paris have,

during the last years of the nineteenth century, made it an article of

their patriotic faith that the future success of the French navy

depends upon the submarine boat. The question as to what an enemy

would do with such a boat in actual warfare seems hardly ever to occur

to them; and, indeed, any one who should venture to put such a query

would run the risk of being set down as a traitor to his country!

More important to the student of the practical details of naval

preparation is the great question as to the point at which the contest

between shot and armour will be brought to a standstill. That it

cannot proceed indefinitely may be confidently taken for granted. The

plate-makers thicken their armour while the gun-makers enlarge the

size and increase the penetrative power of their weapons, until the

weight that has to be carried on a battle-ship renders the attainment

of speed practically impossible.

Meanwhile there is going forward, in the hull of the vessel itself, a

gradual course of evolution which will eventually place the policy of

increasing strength of armour and of guns at a discount. The division

of the air-space of a warship into water-tight compartments will

doubtless prove to be, in actual naval conflict, a more effectual

means of keeping the vessel afloat than the indefinite increase in the

thickness and consequent weight of her armour.

The most advanced naval architects of modern times are bestowing more

and more attention upon this feature, as affording a prospect of

rendering ships unsinkable, whether through accidents or through

injury in warfare. No doubt, for merchant steamers, it will be seen

that development along the lines already laid down in this department

will suffice for all practical purposes. The water-tight bulkheads,

with readily closed or automatically shutting doorways, ensure the

maintenance of buoyancy in case of any ordinary accident from

collision or grounding, while the duplication of engines, shafts and

propellers--without which no steamship of the middle twentieth century

will be passed by marine surveyors as fit for carrying passengers on

long ocean voyages--will make provision against all excepting the most

extremely improbable mishaps to the machinery.

If the numerical estimate of the chance of the disablement of a single

engine and its propeller during a certain voyage be stated at one to

a thousand, then the risk of helplessness through the break down of

both systems in a vessel having twin screws and entirely separate

engines will be represented by the proportion of one to a million.

This mode of reckoning, of course, assumes that the two systems could

be made absolutely independent in relation to all possible disasters;

and some deduction must be made on account of the impossibility of

attaining this ideal. Yet it is evident that when every practicable

device has been adopted for rendering a double accident improbable the

chances against such a disaster will not be far from the proportion

stated.

When we come to consider the evolution of the warship as compared with

that of the merchant steamer, we are at once confronted with the fact

that the infliction of injury upon the boilers, the engine, or the

propellers of a hostile vessel is the great object aimed at by the

gunners. The evolution of the warship in the direction of ensuring

safety, therefore, will not stop at the duplication of the engines,

boilers and propellers. In fact it must sooner or later be apparent

that the interests of a great naval power demand the working out of a

type of warlike craft that shall be almost entirely destitute of

armour, but constructed on such a principle--both as to hull and

machinery--that she can be raked fore and aft, and shot through in all

directions without becoming either water-logged or deprived of her

motive power.

A torpedo-boat built on this system may consist essentially of a

series of steel tubes of large section grouped longitudinally, and

divided into compartments like those of a bamboo cane. Each of these

has its own small but powerful boilers and engines, and each its

separate propeller at the stern. Care also is taken to place the

machinery of each tube in such a position that no two are abreast. In

fact, the principle of construction is such as to render just as

remote as may be the possibility of any shot passing through the

vessel and disabling two at the same time.

If a boat of this description has each tube furnished not only with a

separate screw at the stern, but also with a torpedo at the bows, it

can offer a most serious menace to even the most powerful battle-ship

afloat, because its power of "getting home" with a missile depends not

upon its protective precautions, but upon an appeal to the law of

averages, which makes it practically impossible for any gunners,

however skilful, to disable all its independent sections during the

run from long range to torpedo-striking distance. The attacked

warship is like an animal exposed to the onslaught of one of those

fabled reptiles possessing a separate life and a separate sting in

each of its myriad sections; so that what would be a mortal injury to

a creature having its vital organs concentrated in one spot produces

only the most limited effect in diminishing its strength and powers of

offence.

Or this class of naval fighter may be regarded as a combined fleet of

small torpedo-boats, bound together for mutual purposes of offence and

defence. Singly, they would present defects of coal-carrying capacity,

sea-going qualities, and accommodation for crew which would render

them comparatively helpless and innocuous; but in combination they

possess all the travelling capacities of a large warship, conjoined

with the deadly powers at close quarters of a number of torpedo boats,

all acting closely in concert upon a single plan.

The chief naval lesson taught during the Spanish-American War was the

need for improving the sea-going qualities of the torpedo-boat before

it can be regarded as a truly effective weapon in naval warfare. It

was announced at one stage that if the Spanish torpedo-boat fleet

could have been coaled and re-coaled at the Azores, and two or three

other points on the passage across to America, it might have been

brought within striking distance of the United States cruisers

operating against Santiago. This hypothetical statement provided but

cold comfort for the Spaniards, who had been persuaded to put so much

of their available naval strength into a type of craft utterly

unsuited for operations complying with the first great requirement of

naval warfare, namely, that the proper limit of the campaign coincides

with the shores of the enemy's country.

But when the naval architect and the engineer have evolved a class of

torpedo-using vessel which can both travel far and strike hard, and

which, moreover, can stand a few well-directed shots penetrating her

without succumbing to their effect, a new era will have been opened up

in naval warfare--an era of high explosive weapons requiring to strike

home with dash and bravery in spite of risk from shot and shell; but,

like the bayonet on land, capable of overthrowing all war-machines

which can only strike from a considerable distance.

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