HISTORY’S TEACHING AND THE FUTURE

The object of this paper has been not to present an accumulation of

details, but to elucidate the principles upon which the details rest.

The latter, when correct, are but the application of principles to

practice. Subject to the imperfections attendant on all human work,

the writer is persuaded that the greatest errors in practice—and

especially the lack of homogeneousness which characterizes the

present battle-ships—arise chiefly from the failure to refer back

to principles. Until war has given us the abundant experience which

led our predecessors to the broadside seventy-four as the rule, with

occasional exceptions, we must depend upon reasoning alone for the

solution of our problems; and the reasoner keeps within the limits of

safety only by constant reference to fundamental facts.

The one experience of war which ships really contemporary have had

was in the battle of the Yalu. Its teachings lose some value from the

fact that the well-drilled Japanese used their weapons to advantage,

while the Chinese were ill trained; still, some fair inferences can

be made. The Japanese had a great many rapid-fire guns, with few

very heavy ones, and their vessels were not battle-ships properly

so-called. The Chinese, besides other vessels, had two battle-ships

with heavy armor and heavy guns. Victory remained with the Japanese.

In the opinion of the writer two probable conclusions can be reached:

That rapid-fire guns in due proportion to the entire battery will beat

down a ship dependent mainly upon turret guns; that is, between two

ships whose batteries are alike the issue of the contest will depend

upon the one or the other gaining first a predominance of rapid fire.

That done, the turret guns of the predominant ship will give the final

blows to the engines and turrets of the other, whose own turret guns

cannot be used with the necessary deliberation under the preponderant

storm of projectiles now turned upon them. The other conclusion, even

more certain than the first, is that rapid-fire guns alone, while

they may determine an action, cannot make it decisive. Despite the

well-established superiority of the Japanese rapid fire in that action,

the Chinese battle-ships, though overborne, were not taken. Their

heaviest armor being unpierced, the engines and turret guns remained

effective, and they withdrew unmolested.

The Progress of the Century · 第 102 / 155 题