THE THEORY OF “NATURAL SELECTION”

Although, as we have seen, a succession of great writers and thinkers

had for more than half a century shown the necessity for some process

of evolution as the only rational or intelligible mode of origin

of existing species of animals and plants, as well as of the whole

physical universe, yet these views were by no means generally accepted

by the educated classes, while few bodies of students were less

influenced by them than zoologists and botanists, generally known as

naturalists.

Now, Darwin wrote especially for these classes, and no one knew better

than he did their great prejudice on this matter. Not only had such

men as Sir Charles Lyell and Sir John Herschel expressed themselves

strongly against all theories of the transmutation of species, but

the universal contempt and indignation of naturalists as well as

theologians against _The Vestiges of Creation_, published anonymously

a few years earlier, and giving a most temperate and even religious

exposition of the general arguments for the universality of evolution,

showed what any one might expect who advocated and attempted to

demonstrate a similar theory. This accounts for Darwin writing to Sir

Joseph Hooker, in 1844, of his being “almost convinced that species are

not (it is like confessing a murder) immutable,” and again, in 1845, to

the Rev. L. Blomefield, that he now saw the way in which new varieties

become exquisitely adapted to the external conditions of life and to

other surrounding beings, and he adds: “I am a bold man to lay myself

open to being thought a complete fool, and a most deliberate one.”

It is only by a consideration of the frame of mind of even advanced

thinkers at the time Darwin was preparing his work, and remembering

how small was the effect which had been produced by Buffon, Goethe,

Lamarck, the author of _Vestiges of Creation_, and the earlier writings

of Herbert Spencer, that we can adequately realize the marvellous work

that he accomplished. Let us now briefly consider the essential nature

of this new theory, which in a few brief years became the established

belief of the great majority of the students of nature, and which also

gave a new interest in nature to the whole thinking world.

The theory of natural selection is founded upon a few groups of

thoroughly ascertained and universally admitted facts, with the direct

and necessary results of those facts.

The first group of facts consists of the great powers of increase

of all organisms and the circumstance that, notwithstanding this

great yearly increase, the actual population of each species remains

stationary, there being no permanent increase. Now, these two facts

were recognized by Buffon, but though, of course, known to all

subsequent writers, were fully appreciated or thought out to their

logical results by none of them. Lamarck, so far as I can ascertain,

took no notice of them whatever. Darwin has given illustrations of

these facts in Chapter IV. of the _Origin of Species_, and I have added

others in the second chapter of my _Darwinism_. That the population

of each species remains stationary, with, of course, considerable

fluctuations, is both a matter of observation and of reasoning. The

powers of increase of all creatures are so great that if there is in

any country room and food for a larger number of any species they will

be produced in a year or two. It is impossible, therefore, to believe

that, in a state of nature, where all kinds of animals and plants have

lived together as they best could for thousands of years, there can be

any important difference in their numbers from year to year or from

century to century.

Now, it is as a consequence of these two indisputable facts that the

struggle for existence necessarily results. For if every year each pair

of animals or each plant produces only ten young animals or plants,

and this is very far below the average, and if the adult life of these

is taken at ten years, again below the average of the higher plants

and animals, then, unless some of the parents die, the whole of the

offspring must die off every year; or, in other words, only as many

young can survive as are necessary to replace the old ones that die.

Hence the deaths must always (on the average and in the long run) equal

the births. This terrible yearly destruction is an absolutely certain

fact, as well as an inevitable result of the two preceding facts, and

it is said to be due to the struggle for existence. This struggle

is manifold in its nature. Individuals of the same species struggle

together for food, for light, for moisture; they struggle also against

other species having the same wants; they struggle against every kind

of enemy, from parasitic worms and insects up to carnivorous animals;

and there is a continual struggle with the forces of nature—frosts,

rains, droughts, floods, and tempests.

These varied causes of destruction may be seen constantly at work

by any one who looks for them. They act from the moment of birth,

being more especially destructive to the young; and, as only one in

ten or fifty or a thousand (according to the rate of increase of

the particular species) can possibly come to the full breeding age,

we feel compelled to ask ourselves: What determines the nine or the

forty-nine or the nine hundred and ninety-nine, as the case may be,

which die, and the one which survives? Darwin calls this process of

extermination one of “natural selection”—that is, by this process

nature weeds out the weak, the unhealthy, the unadapted, the imperfect

in any way. Of course, what may be called chance or accident produces

many deaths of individuals otherwise well fitted to live, but if we

think of the process going on day by day and year by year till only

one in a hundred of those born in a given area are left alive, it is

impossible to suppose that the _one_ which has passed through all

the dangers and risks which have been fatal to, say, his ninety-nine

relations was not, in all the faculties and qualities essential to the

continuance of the race, decidedly better organized than the bulk of

those which succumbed. Herbert Spencer calls the process the “survival

of the fittest,” and though the term may not be strictly accurate in

the case of any one species in any one year, yet when we consider that

the struggle is going on _every_ year, during the whole duration of

each species, we cannot doubt that, on the whole, and in the long run,

those which survive are among the fittest. The struggle is so severe,

so incessant, that the smallest defect in any sense organ, any physical

weakness, any imperfection in constitution, will almost certainly, at

one time or another, be fatal.

This continual weeding out of the less fit, in every generation, and

with exceptional severity in recurring adverse seasons, will produce

two distinct effects, which require to be clearly distinguished. The

first is the preservation of each species in the highest state of

adaptation to the conditions of its existence; and, therefore, so

long as these conditions remained unchanged, the effect of natural

selection is to keep each well-adapted species also unchanged. The

second effect is produced whenever the conditions vary, when, taking

advantage of the variations continually occurring in all well-adapted

and therefore populous species, the same process will slowly but surely

bring about complete adaptation to the new conditions. And here another

fact—the normal variability of all populous or dominant species, which

is seldom realized except by those who have largely and minutely

compared the individuals of many species in a state of nature—comes

into play. There are some writers who admit all the preceding facts

and reasoning, so far as the action of natural selection in weeding

out the unfit and thus keeping every species in the highest state of

efficiency is concerned, but who deny that it can modify them in such a

way as to adapt them to new conditions, because they allege that “the

right variations will not always occur at the right time.” This seems

a strong and real objection to many of their readers, but to those

who have studied the variability of species in nature, it is a mere

verbal difficulty dependent on ignorance of the actual facts. A brief

statement of the facts must therefore be given.

Of late years, and chiefly since Darwin’s works were written, the

variability of animals and plants in a state of nature has been

carefully studied, by actual comparison and measurement of scores,

hundreds, and even thousands of individuals of many common, that is,

abundant and widely distributed species; and it is found that in almost

every case they vary greatly, and, what is still more important, that

every organ and every appendage varies independently and to a large

amount. Some of the best known of these facts of variation are adduced

in my _Darwinism_, and are illustrated by numerous diagrams, and much

more extensive series have since been examined, always with the same

general result. By large variability is meant a variation of from ten

to twenty-five per cent. on each side of the mean size, this amount

of variation occurring in at least five or ten per cent. of the whole

number of individuals, and in every organ or part as yet examined,

external or internal.

Now, as the weeding-out process is so severe, only from one in ten to

one in a hundred of those born surviving to produce young, the above

proportion of variations affords ample scope for the selection of

any variation needed in order to modify the species so as to bring it

into harmony with new or changing conditions. And this will be the

more easy and certain if we consider how slowly land-surfaces and

climates undergo permanent changes; and these are certainly the kind of

changes that initiate and compel alterations, first, perhaps, in the

distribution, and afterwards in the structure and habits of species.

It follows, therefore, as an absolutely necessary conclusion from the

facts, if natural selection can and does keep each continually varying

species in close adaptation to an unchanging environment, that it

preserves the fixity of its mean or average condition, and almost every

objector admits this. Then, given a slowly changing environment, the

same power must inevitably bring about whatever corresponding change is

needed for the well-being and permanent survival of the various species

which are subjected to those changed conditions.

I shall not add here a further consideration of the objections and

difficulties alleged by critics of the theory. All of these have,

I believe, been fully answered either by Darwin or myself, many of

the most recent having been discussed in review articles. Suffice

it to say here that this theory of natural selection—meaning the

elimination of the least fit, and therefore the ultimate “survival of

the fittest”—has furnished a rational and precise explanation of the

means of adaptation of all existing organisms to their conditions,

and therefore of their transformation from the series of distinct but

allied species which occupied the earth at some preceding epoch. In

this sense it has actually demonstrated the “origin of species,” and,

by carrying back this process step by step into earlier and earlier

geological times, we are able mentally to follow out the evolution of

all forms of life from one or a few primordial forms. Natural selection

has thus supplied that motive power of change and adaptation that was

wanting in all earlier attempts at explanation, and this has led to its

very general acceptance both by naturalists and by the great majority

of thinkers and men of science.

The brief sketch now given of the progress of human thought on the

questions of the fact and the mode of the evolution of the material

universe indicates how great has been the progress during the

nineteenth as compared with all preceding centuries.

Although the philosophical writers of classical times obtained a few

glimpses of the action of law in nature regulating its successive

changes, nothing satisfactory could be effected till the actual facts

had been better ascertained by the whole body of workers who, during

the last five centuries, have penetrated ever more and more deeply into

nature’s mysteries and laws. By their labors we became possessed of

such a body of carefully observed facts that, towards the end of the

eighteenth century, such thinkers as Laplace and Hutton were enabled

to give us the first rudiments of theories of evolution as applied to

the solar system and the earth’s crust, both of which have been greatly

developed and rendered more secure during the century just passed away.

In like manner Buffon and Goethe may be said to have started the idea

of organic evolution, more systematically treated a little later by

Lamarck, but still without any discovery of laws adequate to produce

the results we see everywhere in nature. The subject then languished,

till, after twenty years of observation and research, Charles Darwin

produced a work which at once satisfied many thinkers that the

long-desired clew had been discovered. Its acceptance by almost the

whole scientific world soon followed: it threw new light on almost

every branch of research, and it will probably take its place, in the

opinion of future generations, as the crowning achievement of the

nineteenth century.

The Progress of the Century · 第 14 / 155 题